New variables distribuitions by year (SES and NSE is the same thing)

Results

Black students

Summary satistics of cohorts gains

COHORT mean_gain_math mean_gain_leitura avg_math_9_grade avg_math_5_grade sd_math_9_grade avg_leitura_9_grade avg_leitura_5_grade
2007-2011 58.58020 67.29065 237.8804 179.3002 24.98941 228.7605 161.4699
2009-2013 46.30225 60.02076 237.0957 190.7935 23.89820 229.9514 169.9306
2011-2015 49.97688 63.05933 243.3466 193.3698 20.33981 237.6887 174.6293
2013-2017 47.21102 63.60072 241.7565 194.5455 24.05005 241.2981 177.6974

Regression analysis - Reading

Reading
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
LEITURA_5TH_GRADE 0.243*** 0.235*** 0.235*** 0.235*** 0.235*** 0.174***
(0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)
COHORT2009-2013 -0.072*** 0.003 0.004 0.003 0.002 0.001
(0.018) (0.020) (0.020) (0.020) (0.020) (0.019)
COHORT2011-2015 0.196*** 0.264*** 0.264*** 0.263*** 0.262*** 0.276***
(0.018) (0.020) (0.020) (0.020) (0.020) (0.020)
COHORT2013-2017 0.311*** 0.381*** 0.385*** 0.381*** 0.381*** 0.412***
(0.018) (0.020) (0.020) (0.020) (0.020) (0.020)
RACA_PRETO 0.019 0.020 0.018 0.019 0.019 -0.024
(0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014)
NSE_AVG 0.235*** 0.212*** 0.213*** 0.212*** 0.214*** 0.293***
(0.012) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.015)
SEXO_M -0.092*** -0.084*** -0.084*** -0.084*** -0.084*** -0.084***
(0.006) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.006)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 0.130* 0.134* 0.134* 0.136* -0.195***
(0.053) (0.053) (0.053) (0.053) (0.057)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 -0.007*** -0.007*** -0.007*** -0.007*** -0.003***
(0.0005) (0.0005) (0.0005) (0.0005) (0.001)
NUM_SCHOOLS -0.004 -0.002 -0.002 -0.002 -0.003
(0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
proportion_estadual -0.002 -0.005 -0.004 -0.004 -0.046***
(0.007) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.009)
avg_index_violence -0.052*** -0.053*** -0.053*** -0.053*** -0.043***
(0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)
DROP_OUT_RATE 0.055*** 0.055*** 0.055*** 0.054*** 0.080***
(0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008)
kl_raca -0.017**
(0.006)
kl_NSE -0.010
(0.006)
kl_raca_ses -0.012 0.0004
(0.006) (0.006)
UfAC -0.087
(0.099)
UfAL -0.639***
(0.058)
UfAM -0.519***
(0.065)
UfAP -0.801***
(0.114)
UfBA -0.441***
(0.044)
UfCE 0.008
(0.049)
UfDF -0.446
(0.440)
UfES -0.146*
(0.058)
UfMA -0.566***
(0.050)
UfMG -0.004
(0.033)
UfMS -0.239***
(0.058)
UfMT -0.598***
(0.047)
UfPA -0.543***
(0.052)
UfPB -0.600***
(0.045)
UfPE -0.451***
(0.047)
UfPI -0.397***
(0.047)
UfPR -0.613***
(0.037)
UfRJ -0.419***
(0.056)
UfRN -0.568***
(0.048)
UfRO -0.245***
(0.068)
UfRR -0.581***
(0.119)
UfRS -0.616***
(0.039)
UfSC -0.672***
(0.041)
UfSE -0.527***
(0.062)
UfSP -0.527***
(0.034)
UfTO -0.281***
(0.048)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO -0.010 -0.004 -0.004 -0.004 -0.004 -0.008
(0.019) (0.019) (0.019) (0.019) (0.019) (0.018)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO -0.044* -0.038* -0.038* -0.038* -0.038* -0.036*
(0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO -0.037* -0.030 -0.031 -0.031 -0.031 -0.025
(0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG -0.053** -0.049** -0.048** -0.048** -0.048** -0.039*
(0.017) (0.017) (0.017) (0.017) (0.017) (0.017)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.050** -0.045* -0.044* -0.044* -0.045* -0.037*
(0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.017)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG 0.0005 0.008 0.007 0.008 0.007 0.013
(0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.017)
Constant -0.105*** -0.076*** -0.079*** -0.077*** -0.078*** 0.326***
(0.013) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.034)
Observations 21,554 21,554 21,554 21,554 21,554 21,500
R2 0.183 0.194 0.194 0.194 0.194 0.242
Adjusted R2 0.183 0.194 0.194 0.194 0.194 0.241
Residual Std. Error 0.904 (df = 21540) 0.898 (df = 21534) 0.898 (df = 21533) 0.898 (df = 21533) 0.898 (df = 21533) 0.873 (df = 21453)
F Statistic 371.732*** (df = 13; 21540) 273.183*** (df = 19; 21534) 259.944*** (df = 20; 21533) 259.660*** (df = 20; 21533) 259.733*** (df = 20; 21533) 149.076*** (df = 46; 21453)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001

Regression analysis - Math

Reading
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
MATEMATICA_5TH_GRADE 0.262*** 0.249*** 0.247*** 0.248*** 0.248*** 0.190***
(0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)
COHORT2009-2013 -0.191*** -0.112*** -0.110*** -0.113*** -0.113*** -0.116***
(0.018) (0.020) (0.020) (0.020) (0.020) (0.019)
COHORT2011-2015 0.047** 0.116*** 0.117*** 0.114*** 0.114*** 0.121***
(0.018) (0.020) (0.020) (0.020) (0.020) (0.020)
COHORT2013-2017 -0.036* 0.031 0.040* 0.031 0.031 0.051**
(0.018) (0.020) (0.020) (0.020) (0.020) (0.020)
RACA_PRETO -0.026 -0.023 -0.027 -0.023 -0.023 -0.075***
(0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014)
NSE_AVG 0.268*** 0.239*** 0.240*** 0.239*** 0.241*** 0.325***
(0.012) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.015)
SEXO_M -0.046*** -0.037*** -0.038*** -0.038*** -0.037*** -0.031***
(0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.006)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 0.256*** 0.264*** 0.261*** 0.263*** -0.028
(0.054) (0.054) (0.054) (0.054) (0.057)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 -0.008*** -0.008*** -0.008*** -0.008*** -0.005***
(0.0005) (0.0005) (0.0005) (0.0005) (0.001)
NUM_SCHOOLS -0.017** -0.013* -0.015* -0.015* -0.014*
(0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
proportion_estadual -0.007 -0.013 -0.010 -0.009 -0.058***
(0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.009)
avg_index_violence -0.053*** -0.055*** -0.053*** -0.053*** -0.041***
(0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)
DROP_OUT_RATE 0.053*** 0.053*** 0.053*** 0.053*** 0.078***
(0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008)
kl_raca -0.035***
(0.006)
kl_NSE -0.014*
(0.007)
kl_raca_ses -0.014* -0.001
(0.006) (0.006)
UfAC -0.056
(0.100)
UfAL -0.529***
(0.058)
UfAM -0.584***
(0.065)
UfAP -0.814***
(0.114)
UfBA -0.372***
(0.044)
UfCE 0.010
(0.049)
UfDF -0.289
(0.442)
UfES -0.105
(0.058)
UfMA -0.682***
(0.050)
UfMG 0.085**
(0.033)
UfMS -0.235***
(0.058)
UfMT -0.554***
(0.047)
UfPA -0.619***
(0.052)
UfPB -0.526***
(0.046)
UfPE -0.359***
(0.047)
UfPI -0.275***
(0.047)
UfPR -0.532***
(0.037)
UfRJ -0.383***
(0.056)
UfRN -0.566***
(0.048)
UfRO -0.074
(0.068)
UfRR -0.563***
(0.119)
UfRS -0.576***
(0.039)
UfSC -0.586***
(0.041)
UfSE -0.332***
(0.062)
UfSP -0.519***
(0.034)
UfTO -0.217***
(0.048)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO 0.007 0.012 0.014 0.013 0.013 0.005
(0.019) (0.019) (0.019) (0.019) (0.019) (0.018)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO -0.031 -0.026 -0.026 -0.026 -0.026 -0.026
(0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO -0.028 -0.023 -0.024 -0.023 -0.023 -0.018
(0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG -0.075*** -0.069*** -0.067*** -0.068*** -0.069*** -0.055**
(0.017) (0.017) (0.017) (0.017) (0.017) (0.017)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.115*** -0.106*** -0.104*** -0.105*** -0.106*** -0.095***
(0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.017)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG -0.055** -0.043* -0.043* -0.042* -0.044* -0.035*
(0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.017)
Constant 0.051*** 0.084*** 0.077*** 0.083*** 0.082*** 0.422***
(0.013) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.034)
Observations 21,554 21,554 21,554 21,554 21,554 21,500
R2 0.169 0.185 0.186 0.185 0.185 0.238
Adjusted R2 0.168 0.184 0.185 0.184 0.184 0.236
Residual Std. Error 0.912 (df = 21540) 0.903 (df = 21534) 0.903 (df = 21533) 0.903 (df = 21533) 0.903 (df = 21533) 0.875 (df = 21453)
F Statistic 336.666*** (df = 13; 21540) 256.746*** (df = 19; 21534) 245.788*** (df = 20; 21533) 244.178*** (df = 20; 21533) 244.209*** (df = 20; 21533) 145.514*** (df = 46; 21453)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001

Black and Brown students

Summary satistics of cohorts gains

COHORT mean_gain_math mean_gain_leitura avg_math_9_grade avg_math_5_grade sd_math_9_grade avg_leitura_9_grade avg_leitura_5_grade
2007-2011 54.32974 63.79266 243.0459 188.7162 19.18105 234.3181 170.5255
2009-2013 42.55312 57.90073 243.0745 200.5214 18.68563 236.7222 178.8215
2011-2015 43.83649 59.54431 248.7159 204.8794 16.31649 244.3450 184.8007
2013-2017 41.84401 59.73081 249.5612 207.7172 18.49423 249.9289 190.1980

Regression analysis - Reading

Reading
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
LEITURA_5TH_GRADE 0.519*** 0.525*** 0.525*** 0.525*** 0.524*** 0.403***
(0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)
COHORT2009-2013 -0.111*** -0.024 -0.024 -0.024 -0.025 -0.003
(0.014) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015)
COHORT2011-2015 0.168*** 0.248*** 0.248*** 0.247*** 0.247*** 0.304***
(0.014) (0.016) (0.016) (0.016) (0.016) (0.015)
COHORT2013-2017 0.347*** 0.432*** 0.430*** 0.432*** 0.433*** 0.531***
(0.015) (0.016) (0.016) (0.016) (0.016) (0.016)
RACA_PRETO -0.022* -0.024* -0.023* -0.024* -0.024* -0.064***
(0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011)
NSE_AVG 0.275*** 0.291*** 0.291*** 0.291*** 0.294*** 0.400***
(0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.012)
SEXO_M -0.117*** -0.095*** -0.095*** -0.095*** -0.095*** -0.098***
(0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 0.183*** 0.181*** 0.187*** 0.190*** -0.106*
(0.041) (0.041) (0.041) (0.041) (0.043)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 -0.006*** -0.006*** -0.006*** -0.006*** -0.003***
(0.0004) (0.0004) (0.0004) (0.0004) (0.0004)
NUM_SCHOOLS -0.004 -0.005 -0.003 -0.002 -0.003
(0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
proportion_estadual -0.041*** -0.040*** -0.042*** -0.043*** -0.065***
(0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.007)
avg_index_violence -0.071*** -0.071*** -0.072*** -0.072*** -0.065***
(0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.005)
DROP_OUT_RATE 0.101*** 0.101*** 0.101*** 0.101*** 0.117***
(0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
kl_raca 0.006
(0.005)
kl_NSE -0.009
(0.005)
kl_raca_ses -0.013** -0.003
(0.005) (0.005)
UfAC -0.172*
(0.075)
UfAL -0.646***
(0.044)
UfAM -0.494***
(0.048)
UfAP -1.083***
(0.085)
UfBA -0.511***
(0.033)
UfCE 0.135***
(0.037)
UfDF -0.724*
(0.327)
UfES -0.310***
(0.043)
UfMA -0.706***
(0.038)
UfMG -0.075**
(0.025)
UfMS -0.321***
(0.043)
UfMT -0.613***
(0.035)
UfPA -0.789***
(0.039)
UfPB -0.666***
(0.034)
UfPE -0.413***
(0.035)
UfPI -0.477***
(0.036)
UfPR -0.711***
(0.028)
UfRJ -0.523***
(0.042)
UfRN -0.552***
(0.037)
UfRO -0.213***
(0.050)
UfRR -0.924***
(0.089)
UfRS -0.638***
(0.029)
UfSC -0.609***
(0.031)
UfSE -0.559***
(0.047)
UfSP -0.633***
(0.026)
UfTO -0.391***
(0.036)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO -0.034* -0.028 -0.028 -0.028 -0.028 -0.031*
(0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.014)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO -0.050*** -0.045** -0.046** -0.046** -0.045** -0.045***
(0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.013)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO -0.044** -0.036* -0.036* -0.036* -0.036** -0.040**
(0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.013)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG -0.082*** -0.077*** -0.077*** -0.076*** -0.076*** -0.057***
(0.014) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.100*** -0.092*** -0.092*** -0.091*** -0.092*** -0.076***
(0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.013)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG -0.124*** -0.115*** -0.115*** -0.115*** -0.115*** -0.094***
(0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.013)
Constant -0.093*** -0.091*** -0.090*** -0.092*** -0.093*** 0.330***
(0.010) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.025)
Observations 21,181 21,181 21,181 21,181 21,181 21,181
R2 0.510 0.528 0.528 0.528 0.528 0.581
Adjusted R2 0.510 0.527 0.527 0.527 0.527 0.580
Residual Std. Error 0.700 (df = 21167) 0.688 (df = 21161) 0.688 (df = 21160) 0.688 (df = 21160) 0.687 (df = 21160) 0.648 (df = 21134)
F Statistic 1,695.241*** (df = 13; 21167) 1,244.028*** (df = 19; 21161) 1,181.931*** (df = 20; 21160) 1,182.075*** (df = 20; 21160) 1,182.551*** (df = 20; 21160) 636.309*** (df = 46; 21134)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001

Regression analysis - Math

Reading
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
MATEMATICA_5TH_GRADE 0.544*** 0.544*** 0.544*** 0.543*** 0.542*** 0.435***
(0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)
COHORT2009-2013 -0.313*** -0.219*** -0.219*** -0.220*** -0.220*** -0.202***
(0.015) (0.016) (0.016) (0.016) (0.016) (0.015)
COHORT2011-2015 -0.100*** -0.015 -0.015 -0.017 -0.018 0.025
(0.015) (0.016) (0.016) (0.016) (0.016) (0.015)
COHORT2013-2017 -0.114*** -0.026 -0.025 -0.025 -0.024 0.041**
(0.015) (0.017) (0.017) (0.017) (0.017) (0.016)
RACA_PRETO -0.065*** -0.065*** -0.065*** -0.064*** -0.064*** -0.127***
(0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011)
NSE_AVG 0.299*** 0.315*** 0.315*** 0.314*** 0.318*** 0.414***
(0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.012)
SEXO_M -0.043*** -0.021*** -0.021*** -0.021*** -0.021*** -0.012*
(0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 0.301*** 0.302*** 0.308*** 0.313*** 0.006
(0.042) (0.042) (0.042) (0.042) (0.044)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 -0.008*** -0.008*** -0.008*** -0.008*** -0.004***
(0.0004) (0.0004) (0.0004) (0.0004) (0.0004)
NUM_SCHOOLS -0.020*** -0.019*** -0.017*** -0.016** -0.013**
(0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
proportion_estadual -0.054*** -0.054*** -0.057*** -0.057*** -0.086***
(0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.007)
avg_index_violence -0.075*** -0.076*** -0.076*** -0.076*** -0.063***
(0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
DROP_OUT_RATE 0.097*** 0.097*** 0.097*** 0.097*** 0.111***
(0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
kl_raca -0.003
(0.005)
kl_NSE -0.016**
(0.005)
kl_raca_ses -0.021*** -0.013**
(0.005) (0.005)
UfAC -0.139
(0.077)
UfAL -0.539***
(0.045)
UfAM -0.674***
(0.049)
UfAP -1.151***
(0.087)
UfBA -0.394***
(0.033)
UfCE 0.092*
(0.038)
UfDF -0.496
(0.333)
UfES -0.094*
(0.044)
UfMA -0.810***
(0.038)
UfMG 0.067**
(0.025)
UfMS -0.327***
(0.044)
UfMT -0.549***
(0.036)
UfPA -0.840***
(0.040)
UfPB -0.635***
(0.035)
UfPE -0.312***
(0.036)
UfPI -0.324***
(0.037)
UfPR -0.671***
(0.028)
UfRJ -0.409***
(0.042)
UfRN -0.531***
(0.037)
UfRO -0.100
(0.051)
UfRR -0.819***
(0.091)
UfRS -0.539***
(0.030)
UfSC -0.509***
(0.031)
UfSE -0.335***
(0.047)
UfSP -0.663***
(0.026)
UfTO -0.284***
(0.037)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO 0.001 0.007 0.007 0.007 0.007 -0.001
(0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.014)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO -0.008 -0.005 -0.005 -0.005 -0.005 -0.007
(0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.014)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO -0.020 -0.014 -0.014 -0.014 -0.015 -0.016
(0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.014)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG -0.107*** -0.100*** -0.100*** -0.100*** -0.100*** -0.077***
(0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.013)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.159*** -0.146*** -0.146*** -0.145*** -0.146*** -0.127***
(0.015) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.013)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG -0.147*** -0.133*** -0.132*** -0.131*** -0.132*** -0.111***
(0.015) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.013)
Constant 0.139*** 0.140*** 0.139*** 0.137*** 0.136*** 0.497***
(0.011) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.026)
Observations 21,181 21,181 21,181 21,181 21,181 21,181
R2 0.473 0.495 0.495 0.495 0.496 0.565
Adjusted R2 0.472 0.495 0.495 0.495 0.495 0.564
Residual Std. Error 0.726 (df = 21167) 0.711 (df = 21161) 0.711 (df = 21160) 0.711 (df = 21160) 0.711 (df = 21160) 0.661 (df = 21134)
F Statistic 1,460.251*** (df = 13; 21167) 1,092.585*** (df = 19; 21161) 1,037.947*** (df = 20; 21160) 1,038.889*** (df = 20; 21160) 1,039.611*** (df = 20; 21160) 595.761*** (df = 46; 21134)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001

White students

Summary satistics of cohorts gains

COHORT mean_gain_math mean_gain_leitura avg_math_9_grade avg_math_5_grade sd_math_9_grade avg_leitura_9_grade avg_leitura_5_grade
2007-2011 57.29921 66.94352 249.1911 191.8919 23.85190 240.0255 173.0820
2009-2013 44.27338 60.46607 248.7010 204.4276 23.57677 242.7580 182.2919
2011-2015 44.48807 60.93895 254.3192 209.8312 21.61192 250.4281 189.4892
2013-2017 44.48920 61.72375 256.5350 212.0458 23.43181 256.6433 194.9196

Regression analysis - Reading

Reading
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
LEITURA_5TH_GRADE 0.545*** 0.531*** 0.530*** 0.531*** 0.531*** 0.428***
(0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)
COHORT2009-2013 -0.127*** -0.055*** -0.053*** -0.056*** -0.056*** -0.039**
(0.013) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014)
COHORT2011-2015 0.058*** 0.130*** 0.131*** 0.128*** 0.128*** 0.176***
(0.014) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015)
COHORT2013-2017 0.228*** 0.301*** 0.307*** 0.302*** 0.302*** 0.383***
(0.014) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015)
RACA_PRETO -0.002 -0.002 -0.006 -0.001 -0.001 -0.021*
(0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010)
NSE_AVG 0.311*** 0.298*** 0.300*** 0.298*** 0.300*** 0.387***
(0.009) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.011)
SEXO_M -0.076*** -0.064*** -0.064*** -0.064*** -0.064*** -0.072***
(0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 0.086* 0.090* 0.090* 0.092* -0.142***
(0.039) (0.039) (0.039) (0.039) (0.041)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 -0.007*** -0.007*** -0.007*** -0.007*** -0.003***
(0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0004)
NUM_SCHOOLS -0.005 -0.003 -0.003 -0.003 -0.006
(0.004) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.004)
proportion_estadual -0.013* -0.015** -0.015** -0.015** -0.035***
(0.005) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
avg_index_violence -0.049*** -0.051*** -0.050*** -0.050*** -0.045***
(0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
DROP_OUT_RATE 0.066*** 0.067*** 0.066*** 0.066*** 0.093***
(0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
kl_raca -0.018***
(0.005)
kl_NSE -0.010*
(0.005)
kl_raca_ses -0.010* 0.001
(0.005) (0.005)
UfAC -0.228**
(0.072)
UfAL -0.508***
(0.042)
UfAM -0.428***
(0.046)
UfAP -0.906***
(0.082)
UfBA -0.445***
(0.031)
UfCE 0.201***
(0.036)
UfDF -0.549
(0.313)
UfES -0.153***
(0.042)
UfMA -0.511***
(0.036)
UfMG 0.034
(0.024)
UfMS -0.212***
(0.041)
UfMT -0.415***
(0.034)
UfPA -0.584***
(0.037)
UfPB -0.484***
(0.033)
UfPE -0.250***
(0.034)
UfPI -0.363***
(0.035)
UfPR -0.458***
(0.027)
UfRJ -0.365***
(0.040)
UfRN -0.398***
(0.035)
UfRO -0.226***
(0.048)
UfRR -0.613***
(0.086)
UfRS -0.452***
(0.028)
UfSC -0.450***
(0.029)
UfSE -0.460***
(0.045)
UfSP -0.289***
(0.025)
UfTO -0.278***
(0.035)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO -0.021 -0.017 -0.017 -0.017 -0.017 -0.023
(0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.013)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO -0.044** -0.043** -0.042** -0.043** -0.043** -0.046***
(0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO -0.040** -0.036** -0.036** -0.036** -0.036** -0.043***
(0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG -0.069*** -0.066*** -0.065*** -0.065*** -0.065*** -0.050***
(0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.012)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.075*** -0.067*** -0.066*** -0.066*** -0.067*** -0.059***
(0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.012)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG -0.124*** -0.113*** -0.113*** -0.112*** -0.113*** -0.099***
(0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013)
Constant -0.033*** 0.003 -0.001 0.002 0.001 0.257***
(0.010) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.024)
Observations 21,168 21,168 21,168 21,168 21,168 21,168
R2 0.570 0.582 0.582 0.582 0.582 0.616
Adjusted R2 0.570 0.581 0.582 0.581 0.581 0.615
Residual Std. Error 0.656 (df = 21154) 0.647 (df = 21148) 0.647 (df = 21147) 0.647 (df = 21147) 0.647 (df = 21147) 0.621 (df = 21121)
F Statistic 2,157.474*** (df = 13; 21154) 1,547.885*** (df = 19; 21148) 1,472.126*** (df = 20; 21147) 1,470.969*** (df = 20; 21147) 1,470.976*** (df = 20; 21147) 735.248*** (df = 46; 21121)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001

Regression analysis - Math

Reading
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
MATEMATICA_5TH_GRADE 0.570*** 0.554*** 0.553*** 0.553*** 0.553*** 0.457***
(0.006) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)
COHORT2009-2013 -0.326*** -0.243*** -0.242*** -0.243*** -0.244*** -0.231***
(0.013) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.014)
COHORT2011-2015 -0.196*** -0.119*** -0.118*** -0.120*** -0.120*** -0.084***
(0.014) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015)
COHORT2013-2017 -0.140*** -0.063*** -0.060*** -0.062*** -0.062*** -0.009
(0.014) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015)
RACA_PRETO -0.045*** -0.042*** -0.044*** -0.042*** -0.042*** -0.081***
(0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010)
NSE_AVG 0.330*** 0.328*** 0.329*** 0.328*** 0.331*** 0.400***
(0.009) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.011)
SEXO_M -0.023*** -0.011* -0.011* -0.011* -0.011* -0.007
(0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 0.207*** 0.209*** 0.212*** 0.216*** -0.012
(0.039) (0.039) (0.039) (0.039) (0.041)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 -0.007*** -0.007*** -0.007*** -0.007*** -0.003***
(0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0004)
NUM_SCHOOLS -0.020*** -0.019*** -0.018*** -0.018*** -0.017***
(0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.004)
proportion_estadual -0.027*** -0.029*** -0.030*** -0.030*** -0.052***
(0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
avg_index_violence -0.060*** -0.061*** -0.061*** -0.061*** -0.048***
(0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)
DROP_OUT_RATE 0.056*** 0.056*** 0.056*** 0.055*** 0.071***
(0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
kl_raca -0.010*
(0.005)
kl_NSE -0.012**
(0.005)
kl_raca_ses -0.015** -0.009*
(0.005) (0.005)
UfAC -0.234**
(0.072)
UfAL -0.427***
(0.042)
UfAM -0.613***
(0.046)
UfAP -0.964***
(0.082)
UfBA -0.333***
(0.031)
UfCE 0.140***
(0.036)
UfDF -0.332
(0.313)
UfES 0.098*
(0.042)
UfMA -0.564***
(0.036)
UfMG 0.148***
(0.024)
UfMS -0.191***
(0.041)
UfMT -0.358***
(0.034)
UfPA -0.595***
(0.037)
UfPB -0.474***
(0.033)
UfPE -0.179***
(0.034)
UfPI -0.170***
(0.035)
UfPR -0.421***
(0.027)
UfRJ -0.243***
(0.040)
UfRN -0.376***
(0.035)
UfRO -0.150**
(0.048)
UfRR -0.515***
(0.086)
UfRS -0.311***
(0.028)
UfSC -0.288***
(0.029)
UfSE -0.290***
(0.045)
UfSP -0.372***
(0.025)
UfTO -0.153***
(0.035)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO 0.025 0.030* 0.030* 0.030* 0.030* 0.021
(0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.013)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO 0.004 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.002
(0.014) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO -0.018 -0.014 -0.014 -0.015 -0.015 -0.019
(0.014) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG -0.089*** -0.084*** -0.083*** -0.083*** -0.083*** -0.066***
(0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.012)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.144*** -0.132*** -0.131*** -0.131*** -0.131*** -0.117***
(0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG -0.138*** -0.123*** -0.122*** -0.121*** -0.122*** -0.106***
(0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013)
Constant 0.172*** 0.181*** 0.179*** 0.179*** 0.179*** 0.380***
(0.010) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.024)
Observations 21,168 21,168 21,168 21,168 21,168 21,168
R2 0.561 0.574 0.574 0.574 0.574 0.616
Adjusted R2 0.561 0.574 0.574 0.574 0.574 0.615
Residual Std. Error 0.663 (df = 21154) 0.653 (df = 21148) 0.653 (df = 21147) 0.653 (df = 21147) 0.653 (df = 21147) 0.621 (df = 21121)
F Statistic 2,081.670*** (df = 13; 21154) 1,499.166*** (df = 19; 21148) 1,424.655*** (df = 20; 21147) 1,424.926*** (df = 20; 21147) 1,425.393*** (df = 20; 21147) 735.962*** (df = 46; 21121)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001