Updated by HRH 10/01/24

Austin Bergstrom AP, TX US is the best location for an amusement park.

Out of the 12 months Austin, TX had the more “nice days” than any other location.

(Nice days are defined by temperature being between the range of 60 - 80 degrees F)

Comparing actual tmax versus predicted tmax shows us the margin for error on any given day. The margin for error in this data set ranges from -30.62 degrees to 23.24 degrees off.

The data predicts there will be 169 nice days but in reality there were only 123 nice days.

The predicted data has a 73.15% accuracy of predicting “good days”.

On any given day, the weather is predicted to be an average of 8 degrees F above or below the actual temperature max for the day (absolute average).

But the predictions lean more above the actual data as the average error is 4 degrees F above (average).

The precision is 57.39% which shows us our model is not very reliable, just barely above 50%.

The recall is 72.78%, this is less important for temperature and would probably be helpful to us when looking at rainy days or inclement weather that would effect park attendance more.