##Regression for Outcome NM binary (NM Rebel Victory Binary) as DV {.tabset}
Simple Linear Model with no fixed effects (Coethnicity Nachiket as BINARY)
## model_outcome_binary..1
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## Constant -0.4962*** (0.0532)
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket_binary -0.0821*** (0.0157)
## Level_of_Threat 0.3205*** (0.0236)
## polity2 0.0041* (0.0016)
## state_strength 0.0180. (0.0093)
## rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled 0.0055 (0.0184)
## duration_year -0.0025*** (0.0005)
## ethpol 0.4530*** (0.0401)
## __________________________________ _______________________
## S.E. type IID
## Observations 1,767
## R2 0.52921
## Adj. R2 0.52734
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_binary..1
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## Constant -5.121*** (0.9171)
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket_binary -0.4817. (0.2599)
## Level_of_Threat 1.137** (0.3644)
## polity2 0.0062 (0.0333)
## state_strength -0.1971 (0.1779)
## rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled 0.0683 (0.2734)
## duration_year -0.1232*** (0.0159)
## ethpol 7.430*** (0.9249)
## __________________________________ _______________________
## S.E. type IID
## Observations 1,767
## Squared Cor. 0.56050
## Pseudo R2 0.53814
## BIC 731.81
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Simple Linear Model with no fixed effects (Coethnicity Nachiket as NON BINARY)
## model_outcome_binary..2
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## Constant -0.4904*** (0.0539)
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket -0.0544** (0.0170)
## Level_of_Threat 0.2972*** (0.0232)
## polity2 0.0031. (0.0016)
## state_strength 0.0157. (0.0094)
## rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled 0.0242 (0.0181)
## duration_year -0.0029*** (0.0005)
## ethpol 0.4626*** (0.0409)
## ______________________________ _______________________
## S.E. type IID
## Observations 1,767
## R2 0.52461
## Adj. R2 0.52271
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_binary..1
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## Constant -5.116*** (0.9160)
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket -0.3714 (0.2683)
## Level_of_Threat 1.077** (0.3634)
## polity2 0.0019 (0.0334)
## state_strength -0.2142 (0.1775)
## rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled 0.1162 (0.2736)
## duration_year -0.1244*** (0.0158)
## ethpol 7.496*** (0.9228)
## ______________________________ _______________________
## S.E. type IID
## Observations 1,767
## Squared Cor. 0.56165
## Pseudo R2 0.53708
## BIC 733.35
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_binary..2
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## Level_of_Threat 82.30*** (3.781)
## duration_year 5.673*** (0.3184)
## Fixed-Effects: -----------------------
## government Yes
## _______________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 178
## Squared Cor. 1.0000
## Pseudo R2 1.0000
## BIC 25.909
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_binary..3
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## duration_year 4.241 (3.064)
## Fixed-Effects: -----------------------
## government Yes
## ucdp_conflictid Yes
## _______________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Convergence FALSE
## Observations 118
## Squared Cor. 1.0000
## Pseudo R2 1.0000
## BIC 19.083
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_binary..4
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## duration_year 4.241 (3.051)
## Fixed-Effects: -----------------------
## ucdp_conflictid Yes
## _______________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: ucdp_conflictid
## Convergence FALSE
## Observations 118
## Squared Cor. 1.0000
## Pseudo R2 1.0000
## BIC 14.312
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Simple Model with Interaction Term. Removing level of threat because interaction term is there (for synergistic effect). (Coethnicity Nachiket as BINARY)
## model_outcome_binary..3
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## Constant 0.0486 (0.0500)
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket_binary -0.0014 (0.0152)
## polity2 0.0112*** (0.0016)
## state_strength -0.0741*** (0.0157)
## rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled 0.1963*** (0.0249)
## duration_year -0.0055*** (0.0005)
## ethpol 0.3480*** (0.0415)
## state_strength x rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled 0.0075 (0.0120)
## ________________________________________ _______________________
## S.E. type IID
## Observations 1,767
## R2 0.47995
## Adj. R2 0.47788
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_binary..1
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## Constant -0.5279 (2.210)
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket_binary -0.3390 (0.8409)
## polity2 0.0330 (0.0911)
## state_strength -1.764* (0.6852)
## rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled -1.028 (0.7190)
## duration_year -0.1780** (0.0546)
## ethpol 8.831* (3.957)
## state_strength x rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled 0.8768* (0.3936)
## ________________________________________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 1,767
## Squared Cor. 0.55524
## Pseudo R2 0.55404
## BIC 708.67
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Simple Model with Interaction Term. Removing level of threat because interaction term is there (for synergistic effect). (Coethnicity Nachiket as NON-BINARY)
## model_outcome_binary..4
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## Constant 0.0468 (0.0494)
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket 0.0158 (0.0169)
## polity2 0.0105*** (0.0016)
## state_strength -0.0744*** (0.0157)
## rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled 0.1966*** (0.0249)
## duration_year -0.0056*** (0.0005)
## ethpol 0.3436*** (0.0418)
## state_strength x rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled 0.0082 (0.0120)
## ________________________________________ _______________________
## S.E. type IID
## Observations 1,767
## R2 0.48021
## Adj. R2 0.47814
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_binary..1
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## Constant -0.6135 (0.7359)
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket -0.2535 (0.2800)
## polity2 0.0291 (0.0329)
## state_strength -1.755*** (0.2307)
## rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled -1.013*** (0.3043)
## duration_year -0.1779*** (0.0166)
## ethpol 8.859*** (0.9215)
## state_strength x rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled 0.8744*** (0.1392)
## ________________________________________ _______________________
## S.E. type IID
## Observations 1,767
## Squared Cor. 0.55622
## Pseudo R2 0.55351
## BIC 709.45
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_b..41
## Dependent Var.: outcome_new
##
## Constant 0.6924*** (0.0808)
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket 0.0701* (0.0285)
## polity2 -0.0200*** (0.0028)
## state_strength -0.0418. (0.0249)
## rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled 0.3026*** (0.0355)
## duration_year -0.0009 (0.0009)
## ethpol -0.4053*** (0.0729)
## state_strength x rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled 0.0631*** (0.0187)
## ________________________________________ ___________________
## S.E. type IID
## Observations 1,838
## R2 0.31407
## Adj. R2 0.31145
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outco..42
## Dependent Var.: outcome_new
##
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket 0.1167 (0.1491)
## Fixed-Effects: ---------------
## government Yes
## ___________________________ _______________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 1,893
## R2 0.68902
## Within R2 0.01228
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outco..43
## Dependent Var.: outcome_new
##
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket 0.1216 (0.1551)
## Fixed-Effects: ---------------
## ucdp_conflictid Yes
## ___________________________ _______________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 1,873
## R2 0.70355
## Within R2 0.01391
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_..44
## Dependent Var.: outcome_new
##
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket 0.1263 (0.1661)
## polity2 0.0839. (0.0420)
## state_strength -0.4777** (0.1558)
## rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled 0.0127 (0.1426)
## duration_year 0.0038 (0.0159)
## Fixed-Effects: ------------------
## government Yes
## ______________________________ __________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 1,838
## R2 0.71773
## Within R2 0.09435
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outco..45
## Dependent Var.: outcome_new
##
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket 0.1742 (0.1713)
## polity2 0.2883 (0.4729)
## state_strength 0.4192 (0.5552)
## rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled 0.3685 (0.2331)
## duration_year 0.0086 (0.0659)
## Fixed-Effects: ---------------
## ucdp_conflictid Yes
## ______________________________ _______________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 1,818
## R2 0.72414
## Within R2 0.07362
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome..46
## Dependent Var.: outcome_new
##
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket 0.1762 (0.1612)
## Level_of_Threat 0.5399** (0.1796)
## polity2 0.0135 (0.0214)
## duration_year 0.0070 (0.0169)
## Fixed-Effects: -----------------
## government Yes
## ___________________________ _________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 1,838
## R2 0.72788
## Within R2 0.12690
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Outcome ~ coethnicity + duration + polity2 + ethpol (+gdp?)
## model_outcom..47
## Dependent Var.: outcome_new
##
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket 0.1328 (0.1609)
## polity2 -0.0025 (0.0248)
## duration_year -0.0073 (0.0181)
## Fixed-Effects: ----------------
## government Yes
## ___________________________ ________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 1,838
## R2 0.69463
## Within R2 0.02022
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Fixed Effects Ordinary Least Square Models with Clustered errors at the Country/government level. Coethnic Nachiket (BINARY)
## model_outcome_binary..5
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket_binary 0.0004 (0.0236)
## polity2 0.0263 (0.0394)
## Level_of_Threat 0.4457 (0.2647)
## state_strength -0.1193 (0.2453)
## rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled -0.0706 (0.0775)
## duration_year 0.0076 (0.0105)
## Fixed-Effects: -----------------------
## government Yes
## __________________________________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 1,767
## R2 0.90038
## Within R2 0.44030
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_binary..1
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## Level_of_Threat 82.30*** (3.781)
## duration_year 5.673*** (0.3184)
## Fixed-Effects: -----------------------
## government Yes
## _______________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 178
## Squared Cor. 1.0000
## Pseudo R2 1.0000
## BIC 25.909
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcom..51
## Dependent Var.: outcome_new
##
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket_binary 0.1996 (0.2094)
## polity2 0.0297 (0.0500)
## Level_of_Threat 0.4678. (0.2502)
## state_strength -0.1109 (0.2462)
## rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled -0.0107 (0.0897)
## duration_year 0.0066 (0.0176)
## Fixed-Effects: ----------------
## government Yes
## __________________________________ ________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 1,838
## R2 0.73260
## Within R2 0.14206
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Fixed Effects Ordinary Least Square Models with Clustered errors at the Country/government level. Coethnic Nachiket (NON BINARY)
## model_outcome_binary..6
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket 0.0053 (0.0197)
## polity2 0.0260 (0.0392)
## Level_of_Threat 0.4476 (0.2648)
## state_strength -0.1171 (0.2451)
## rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled -0.0692 (0.0774)
## duration_year 0.0076 (0.0104)
## Fixed-Effects: -----------------------
## government Yes
## ______________________________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 1,767
## R2 0.90039
## Within R2 0.44039
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_binary..1
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## Level_of_Threat 82.30*** (3.781)
## duration_year 5.673*** (0.3184)
## Fixed-Effects: -----------------------
## government Yes
## _______________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 178
## Squared Cor. 1.0000
## Pseudo R2 1.0000
## BIC 25.909
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcom..61
## Dependent Var.: outcome_new
##
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket 0.1641 (0.1710)
## polity2 0.0342 (0.0476)
## Level_of_Threat 0.4575. (0.2499)
## state_strength -0.1308 (0.2388)
## rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled -0.0194 (0.0860)
## duration_year 0.0077 (0.0170)
## Fixed-Effects: ----------------
## government Yes
## ______________________________ ________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 1,838
## R2 0.72868
## Within R2 0.12948
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Same as the Third and Fourth models but with FE and clustered errors Coethnic NACHIKET (BINARY) Level of threat removed because we wish to capture the synergistic effects of interaction term
## model_outcome_binary..7
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket_binary -0.0234 (0.0251)
## polity2 0.0937** (0.0262)
## state_strength -0.7150*** (0.1316)
## rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled -0.1432 (0.1284)
## duration_year 0.0033 (0.0103)
## state_strength x rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled 0.1246* (0.0555)
## Fixed-Effects: -----------------------
## government Yes
## ________________________________________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 1,767
## R2 0.87668
## Within R2 0.30718
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_binary..1
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## state_strength -68.97** (26.46)
## duration_year 4.241 (2.646)
## Fixed-Effects: -----------------------
## government Yes
## _______________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Convergence FALSE
## Observations 178
## Squared Cor. 1.0000
## Pseudo R2 1.0000
## BIC 25.909
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_b..7
## Dependent Var.: outcome_new
##
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket_binary 0.1909 (0.2115)
## polity2 0.1262** (0.0415)
## state_strength -1.085*** (0.2841)
## rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled -0.2349* (0.0889)
## duration_year 0.0012 (0.0166)
## state_strength x rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled 0.2979* (0.1415)
## Fixed-Effects: ------------------
## government Yes
## ________________________________________ __________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 1,838
## R2 0.72565
## Within R2 0.11976
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
LM MODEL Same as the Third and Fourth models but with FE and clustered errors Coethnic NACHIKET (NON-BINARY) Level of threat removed because we wish to capture the synergistic effects of interaction term
## model_outcome_binary..8
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket -0.0217 (0.0209)
## polity2 0.0935** (0.0262)
## state_strength -0.7156*** (0.1319)
## rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled -0.1433 (0.1282)
## duration_year 0.0031 (0.0101)
## state_strength x rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled 0.1254* (0.0542)
## Fixed-Effects: -----------------------
## government Yes
## ________________________________________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 1,767
## R2 0.87663
## Within R2 0.30686
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_binary..1
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## state_strength -68.97** (26.46)
## duration_year 4.241 (2.646)
## Fixed-Effects: -----------------------
## government Yes
## _______________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Convergence FALSE
## Observations 178
## Squared Cor. 1.0000
## Pseudo R2 1.0000
## BIC 25.909
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_binary..1
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket -17.90*** (2.13e-14)
## Fixed-Effects: -----------------------
## government Yes
## ___________________________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 178
## Squared Cor. 0.17140
## Pseudo R2 0.14155
## BIC 230.22
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_binary..2
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## duration_year 4.241 (3.064)
## Fixed-Effects: -----------------------
## government Yes
## ucdp_conflictid Yes
## _______________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Convergence FALSE
## Observations 118
## Squared Cor. 1.0000
## Pseudo R2 1.0000
## BIC 19.083
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Additional Controls FEOLS with Coethnic Nachiket (Binary)
Adding Three Variables and Removing State Strength due to possibility of Multicollinearity and adding individual predictors of state strength
## model_outcome_binary..9
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket_binary 0.0662 (0.0420)
## polity2 0.0102 (0.0312)
## gdpcapita_imputed_entire -0.9650** (0.3137)
## lmilper_imputed_entire 0.4363 (0.4775)
## ltroopratio_imputed_entire 0.0094 (0.2396)
## rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled 0.2646 (0.3326)
## duration_year 0.0112 (0.0152)
## Fixed-Effects: -----------------------
## government Yes
## __________________________________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 1,767
## R2 0.88898
## Within R2 0.37629
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_binary..1
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## gdpcapita_imputed_entire -118.5** (45.46)
## duration_year 4.241 (2.646)
## Fixed-Effects: -----------------------
## government Yes
## ________________________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Convergence FALSE
## Observations 178
## Squared Cor. 1.0000
## Pseudo R2 1.0000
## BIC 25.909
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_binary..1
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket_binary -17.90*** (2.13e-14)
## Fixed-Effects: -----------------------
## government Yes
## __________________________________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 178
## Squared Cor. 0.17140
## Pseudo R2 0.14155
## BIC 230.22
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Additional Controls FEOLS with Coethnic Nachiket (Binary)
Adding Three Variables and Removing State Strength due to possibility of Multi-collinearity and adding individual predictors of state strength
## model_outcome_binar..10
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket_binary 0.0662 (0.0420)
## polity2 0.0102 (0.0312)
## gdpcapita_imputed_entire -0.9650** (0.3137)
## lmilper_imputed_entire 0.4363 (0.4775)
## ltroopratio_imputed_entire 0.0094 (0.2396)
## rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled 0.2646 (0.3326)
## duration_year 0.0112 (0.0152)
## Fixed-Effects: -----------------------
## government Yes
## __________________________________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 1,767
## R2 0.88898
## Within R2 0.37629
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_binary..1
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket_binary -17.90*** (2.13e-14)
## Fixed-Effects: -----------------------
## government Yes
## __________________________________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 178
## Squared Cor. 0.17140
## Pseudo R2 0.14155
## BIC 230.22
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_binary..1
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## Constant -5.152** (1.940)
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket_binary -0.5943 (0.9576)
## Level_of_Threat 2.081** (0.7617)
## __________________________________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 1,813
## Squared Cor. 0.44520
## Pseudo R2 0.40211
## BIC 900.84
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_binary..1
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## Constant -1.690* (0.7843)
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket -0.5372 (0.7466)
## ___________________________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 1,822
## Squared Cor. 0.00569
## Pseudo R2 0.00682
## BIC 1,476.7
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_binary..2
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket -17.90*** (2.13e-14)
## Fixed-Effects: -----------------------
## government Yes
## ___________________________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 178
## Squared Cor. 0.17140
## Pseudo R2 0.14155
## BIC 230.22
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_binary..3
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket -0.0303 (0.0323)
## Fixed-Effects: -----------------------
## government Yes
## ucdp_conflictid Yes
## ___________________________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 1,802
## Squared Cor. 0.87597
## Pseudo R2 3.1694
## BIC -2,132.2
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_binary..4
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket 0.0550 (0.0346)
## polity2 0.0100 (0.0313)
## gdpcapita_imputed_entire -0.9525** (0.3251)
## lmilper_imputed_entire 0.4149 (0.4736)
## ltroopratio_imputed_entire 0.0154 (0.2381)
## rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled 0.2593 (0.3333)
## duration_year 0.0112 (0.0153)
## Fixed-Effects: -----------------------
## government Yes
## ______________________________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 1,767
## R2 0.88815
## Within R2 0.37161
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_binary..1
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## Constant -1.680* (0.6127)
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket -0.0597 (0.0725)
## Level_of_Threat 0.4475*** (0.0911)
## polity2 0.0013 (0.0071)
## gdpcapita_imputed_entire 0.0708 (0.0893)
## lmilper_imputed_entire 0.1025 (0.0747)
## ltroopratio_imputed_entire -0.0151 (0.0533)
## rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled -0.0481 (0.1017)
## duration_year -0.0019 (0.0033)
## ethpol 0.5825* (0.2118)
## ______________________________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 1,767
## R2 0.56028
## Adj. R2 0.55802
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_binary..2
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket 0.0019 (0.0166)
## Level_of_Threat 0.6547*** (0.1669)
## polity2 0.0326 (0.0309)
## gdpcapita_imputed_entire 0.0976 (0.3217)
## lmilper_imputed_entire 0.0739 (0.5001)
## ltroopratio_imputed_entire -0.2759 (0.2482)
## rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled -0.2910 (0.2261)
## duration_year 0.0126 (0.0147)
## Fixed-Effects: -----------------------
## government Yes
## ______________________________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 1,767
## R2 0.90436
## Within R2 0.46269
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_binary..5
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## Constant -1.690* (0.7843)
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket -0.5372 (0.7466)
## ___________________________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 1,822
## Squared Cor. 0.00569
## Pseudo R2 0.00682
## BIC 1,476.7
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## model_outcome_binary..6
## Dependent Var.: outcome_binary_nachiket
##
## Constant -5.303* (2.110)
## coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket -0.2162 (1.145)
## Level_of_Threat 2.091** (0.8109)
## ___________________________ _______________________
## S.E.: Clustered by: government
## Observations 1,813
## Squared Cor. 0.44772
## Pseudo R2 0.39650
## BIC 909.09
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Intercept) | -1.690* | -5.303* | -1.680* | -0.613 | |||
| (0.784) | (2.110) | (0.613) | (0.736) | ||||
| (0.031) | (0.012) | (0.012) | (0.405) | ||||
| coethnic_rebel_pgm_nachiket | -0.537 | -17.903*** | -0.216 | -0.060 | 0.002 | -0.253 | -0.022 |
| (0.747) | (0.000) | (1.145) | (0.073) | (0.017) | (0.280) | (0.021) | |
| (0.472) | (<0.001) | (0.850) | (0.419) | (0.911) | (0.365) | (0.312) | |
| Level_of_Threat | 2.091** | 0.448*** | 0.655*** | ||||
| (0.811) | (0.091) | (0.167) | |||||
| (0.010) | (<0.001) | (<0.001) | |||||
| polity2 | 0.001 | 0.033 | 0.029 | 0.094** | |||
| (0.007) | (0.031) | (0.033) | (0.026) | ||||
| (0.855) | (0.305) | (0.376) | (0.002) | ||||
| gdpcapita_imputed_entire | 0.071 | 0.098 | |||||
| (0.089) | (0.322) | ||||||
| (0.437) | (0.765) | ||||||
| lmilper_imputed_entire | 0.102 | 0.074 | |||||
| (0.075) | (0.500) | ||||||
| (0.185) | (0.884) | ||||||
| ltroopratio_imputed_entire | -0.015 | -0.276 | |||||
| (0.053) | (0.248) | ||||||
| (0.780) | (0.279) | ||||||
| rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled | -0.048 | -0.291 | -1.013*** | -0.143 | |||
| (0.102) | (0.226) | (0.304) | (0.128) | ||||
| (0.641) | (0.212) | (<0.001) | (0.276) | ||||
| duration_year | -0.002 | 0.013 | -0.178*** | 0.003 | |||
| (0.003) | (0.015) | (0.017) | (0.010) | ||||
| (0.571) | (0.402) | (<0.001) | (0.760) | ||||
| ethpol | 0.582* | 8.859*** | |||||
| (0.212) | (0.922) | ||||||
| (0.012) | (<0.001) | ||||||
| state_strength | -1.755*** | -0.716*** | |||||
| (0.231) | (0.132) | ||||||
| (<0.001) | (<0.001) | ||||||
| state_strength × rebel_strength_nachiket_scaled | 0.874*** | 0.125* | |||||
| (0.139) | (0.054) | ||||||
| (<0.001) | (0.031) | ||||||
| Num.Obs. | 1822 | 178 | 1813 | 1767 | 1767 | 1767 | 1767 |
| R2 | 0.007 | 0.142 | 0.396 | 0.560 | 0.904 | 0.554 | 0.877 |
| R2 Adj. | 0.005 | 0.117 | 0.394 | 0.558 | 0.903 | 0.544 | 0.875 |
| R2 Within | 0.060 | 0.463 | 0.307 | ||||
| R2 Within Adj. | 0.051 | 0.460 | 0.304 | ||||
| AIC | 1465.7 | 217.5 | 892.6 | -118.9 | -2774.6 | 665.6 | -2328.6 |
| BIC | 1476.7 | 230.2 | 909.1 | -64.2 | -2610.3 | 709.4 | -2175.3 |
| RMSE | 0.35 | 0.45 | 0.26 | 0.23 | 0.11 | 0.23 | 0.12 |
| Std.Errors | by: government | by: government | by: government | by: government | by: government | IID | by: government |
| FE: government | X | X | X |
Note: ^^ + p < 0.1, * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001