Elections
\[death\_age = \beta_{0} + \beta_{1}treatment_i + \beta_{2}win\_margin_i +\\ \beta_{4}repub_i + \beta_{5}thirdparty_i + \epsilon_{i}\]
Characteristic |
Beta |
95% CI 1 |
|---|---|---|
| treatment | ||
| treatmentwin | 8.3 | 2.9, 14 |
| win_margin | -1.4 | -2.4, -0.38 |
| party | ||
| partyRepublican | 4.0 | 1.2, 6.9 |
| partyThirdparty | -9.6 | -25, 6.2 |
| 1
CI = Credible Interval |
||
In this data set, I compared the average lifespan of each candidate depending on their party and if they win or lose. However, the data is not entirely representative of the actual population since the data only drew the two most popular candidates, ignoring the lesser-known candidates. In the end, I found that candidates that win elections are expected to live longer than those who lose, living around 3-14 years longer with 95% certainty.