Political Office Longevity

Author

Sophia Yao

                 Estimate Est.Error       Q2.5      Q97.5
Intercept       73.546603 1.7499504  70.186060 76.9556030
treatmentwin     8.282289 2.7517164   2.887139 13.6431442
win_margin      -1.394744 0.5092531  -2.390999 -0.3751618
partyRepublican  4.007309 1.4712793   1.171899  6.9195287
partyThirdparty -9.553980 7.9678386 -25.454344  6.2325401

Characteristic

Beta

95% CI

1
treatment

    treatmentwin 8.3 2.9, 14
win_margin -1.4 -2.4, -0.38
party

    partyRepublican 4.0 1.2, 6.9
    partyThirdparty -9.6 -25, 6.2
1

CI = Credible Interval

\[ death\_age = \beta_{0} + \beta_{1} treatment_i + \beta_{2}win\_margin_i + \\ \beta_{4}repub_i + \beta_{5}thirdparty_i + \epsilon_{i} \]