Governor Lifespan

Author

Aditya Narayan

\[\begin{equation} death\_age_i = \beta_0 + \beta_1 treatment_i + \beta_2 party_i + \beta_3 win\_margin_i + \epsilon_i \end{equation}\]

Characteristic

Beta

95% CI

1
treatment

    treatmentwin 8.4 3.1, 14
party

    partyRepublican 4.0 1.2, 6.7
    partyThirdparty -9.5 -25, 6.5
win_margin -1.4 -2.4, -0.45
1

CI = Credible Interval

Units: Candidates for Governor Outcomes: years lived after election Treatment: Election won covariates: gender, age, year

Validity: Data has governor election wins while we want mayor election wins

Justice

Population Table: Election before 1945, Data of elections from 1945-2012, preceptor table, 2012 +

Stability: Over the years lifespans have gotten longer

Represantativness: Preceptor table is not a random draw since california elections will be different from massachusetts elections

Uncoundfoundness: Money makes you win and live longer more probably.