n-parameters

Author

Dinesh Satyavolu

We are trying to determine the causal effect of receiving a postcard how people vote in the upcoming Texas election, with how it can change with their past engagement. A specific problem that casts doubt on our approach is the unmeasured factors that can change the change of receiving a postcard or voting. A linear regression model is being used with the dependent variable being voting in the election. Age, gender, and past voting behavior are the independent variables. There is a relationship with how past voting behavior is linked to voting in the upcoming election.

\[y_{i} = \beta_{0} + \beta_{1} age\_z + \beta_{2}male_i + \beta_{3}civic\_duty_i + \\ \beta_{4}hawthorne_i + \beta_{5}self_i + \beta_{6}neighbors_i + \\ \beta_{7}Sometimes\ vote_i + \beta_{8}Always\ vote_i + \\ \beta_{9}civic\_duty_i Sometimes\ vote_i + \beta_{10}hawthorne_i Sometimes\ vote_i + \\ \beta_{11}self_i Sometimes\ vote_i + \beta_{11}neighbors_i Sometimes\ vote_i + \\ \beta_{12}civic\_duty_i Always\ vote_i + \beta_{13}hawthorne_i Always\ vote_i + \\ \beta_{14}self_i Always\ vote_i + \beta_{15}neighbors_i Always\ vote_i + \epsilon_{i}\]

Warning in tidy.brmsfit(x, ..., effects = "fixed"): some parameter names
contain underscores: term naming may be unreliable!

Characteristic

Beta

95% CI

1
(Intercept) 0.156 0.138, 0.175
age_z 0.036 0.031, 0.041
sex

    sexMale 0.004 -0.005, 0.013
treatment

    No Postcard
    treatmentCivicDuty 0.015 -0.028, 0.058
    Hawthorne 0.004 -0.038, 0.044
    Self -0.008 -0.050, 0.034
    Neighbors 0.083 0.039, 0.127
voter_class

    Rarely Vote
    voter_classSometimesVote 0.114 0.094, 0.134
    voter_classAlwaysVote 0.297 0.275, 0.320
treatment * voter_class

    treatmentCivicDuty * voter_classSometimesVote -0.004 -0.051, 0.044
    Hawthorne * voter_classSometimesVote 0.011 -0.034, 0.057
    Self * voter_classSometimesVote 0.059 0.012, 0.106
    Neighbors * voter_classSometimesVote -0.008 -0.056, 0.039
    treatmentCivicDuty * voter_classAlwaysVote -0.008 -0.062, 0.044
    Hawthorne * voter_classAlwaysVote 0.035 -0.017, 0.088
    Self * voter_classAlwaysVote 0.048 -0.006, 0.101
    Neighbors * voter_classAlwaysVote -0.001 -0.055, 0.052
1

CI = Credible Interval