| Characteristic | Beta | 95% CI1 |
|---|---|---|
| muClinton_(Intercept) | 0.45 | 0.31, 0.60 |
| muPerot_(Intercept) | -0.85 | -1.1, -0.64 |
| muClinton_sexMale | -0.25 | -0.48, -0.03 |
| muPerot_sexMale | 0.42 | 0.14, 0.69 |
| 1 CI = Credible Interval | ||
Four Parameters: Categorical
The question is: What was the relationship between sex and voting in the 1992 US Presidential election among supporters of the three leading candidates: Clinton, Bush and Perot? I have looked at the preceptor table, examined validity, the population table, stability, representativeness, and unconfoundedness. I have made a model and took samples from it to get the posterior distribution for expected probability of candidates supporting among women.
\[\begin{aligned} \rho_{clinton} &=& \frac{e^{\beta_{0, clinton} + \beta_{1, clinton} male}}{1 + e^{\beta_{0, clinton} + \beta_{1, clinton} male}}\\ \rho_{perot} &=& \frac{e^{\beta_{0, perot} + \beta_{1, perot} male}}{1 + e^{\beta_{0, perot} + \beta_{1, perot} male}}\\ \rho_{bush} &=& 1 - \rho_{clinton} - \rho_{perot} \end{aligned}\]