2024-04-18
We have learned from Sample quantile CLT that if a distribution function \(F\) admits a density at \(\xi_p\) and \(F(\xi_p) = p\),
\(X_1, X_2, \ldots, X_n {\sim}_{\text{iid}}\ F\), where F is an absolutely continuous distribution. Then
where \(F(\xi_p)\) is the density of \(F\) at \(\xi_p\).
The result holds for \(0 < p < 1\) but it doesn’t hold for extreme quantiles.
The proof of the sample quantile CLT is perhaps a bit technical, and it does not give us much insight about how exactly the quantiles behave. In a landmark paper, Raghu Raj Bahadur (1966) gave a deep insight by providing a linear representation of a sample quantiles, in terms of the population quantile and some other terms.
Let \(F(x)=\mathbb{P}\left(X_{n} \leq x\right)\) be the marginal distribution function of \(X_{n}\) and let \(f\) be its density. For \(0<p<1\), denote by \(\xi_{p}=\) \(\inf \{x: F(x) \geq p\}\) the \(p\) th quantile of \(F\). Given a sample \(X_{1}, \ldots, X_{n}\), let \(\hat{\xi}_{p, n}\) be the \(p\) th \((0<p<1)\) sample quantile and define the empirical distribution function
\[ F_{n}(x)=\frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^{n} \mathbf{1}_{X_{i} \leq x} \]
For simplicity we also refer to \(\hat{\xi}_{p, n}\) as the \(p\) th quantile of \(F_{n}\).
\(\xi_p\) be a fixed point such that F(\(\xi_p\)) = p
It is assumed that F is at least twice differentiable at some neighbourhood of \(\xi_p\), that \(F^{\prime\prime}(x)\) is bounded in the neighbourhood and \(F^{\prime}(\xi_p)\) = \(f(\xi_p)\) > 0. These assumptions imply, in particular, that 0 < p < 1 and \(\xi_p\) is the unique \(p^{th}\) quantile of \(F\).
We are interested in finding asymptotic representations of \(\hat{\xi}_{p, n}\).
\[\begin{equation*} \boxed{\hat{\xi}_{p, n}=\xi_{p}+\frac{p-F_{n}\left(\xi_{p}\right)}{f\left(\xi_{p}\right)}+R_n,\ where\ R_n = O\left[n^{-3 / 4}(\log n)^{3 / 4}\right], w.p.\ 1 } \end{equation*}\]Suppose \(F^{\prime}\left(\xi_{p}\right)\) exists and is strictly positive. Then,
\[\begin{equation*} \boxed{\hat{\xi}_{p, n}=\xi_{p}+\frac{p-F_{n}(\xi_{p})}{F^{\prime}(\xi_{p})}+R_{n}} \end{equation*}\]where, \(R_{n}=o_{P}\left(n^{-1 / 2}\right)\)
We will prove the weaker version of the Bahadur representation and later use it in problems regarding finding asymptotic distributions of few specific functions.
Suppose \(\left\{W_{n}: n \geqslant 1\right\}\) is a uniformly tight sequence of random variables. Also assume that the sequence of random variables \(\left\{V_{n}: n \geqslant 1\right\}\) satisfies the following condition: for all \(c \in \mathbb{R}\) and all \(\epsilon>0\),
\[ \lim _{n \rightarrow \infty} \mathbf{P}\left(V_{n} \leqslant c, W_{n} \geqslant c+\epsilon\right)=0 \text { and } \quad \lim _{n \rightarrow \infty} \mathbf{P}\left(V_{n} \geqslant c+\epsilon, W_{n} \leqslant c\right)=0 \]
Then, \(\left(V_{n}-W_{n}\right) \xrightarrow{P} 0\).
Given that, \(\left\{W_{n}: n \geqslant 1\right\}\) is uniformly tight. Then, there exists M > 0, such that we can restrict \(W_{n}\) to [-M , M] with arbitrarily high probability.
Write [-M , M] = \(\bigcup_{j=1}^{K} [a_j , a_{j+1}]\) such that -M = \(a_1 < a_2 < . . . < a_K < a_{K+1}\) = M and |\(a_{j+1} - a_j\)| < \(\epsilon\)
It follows that \(\forall\) - \(\infty\) < a < b < \(\infty\) and \(\forall\) \(\epsilon\) > 0,
\(P(a \leq W_n \leq b, V_n \leq a - \epsilon\) or \(V_n \geq b + \epsilon) \rightarrow\) 0 as \(n \rightarrow \infty\)
\(=>\) \(P(a \leq W_n \leq b, V_n \epsilon (- \infty, a - \epsilon) \bigcup [b + \epsilon, \infty]) \rightarrow 0\) as \(n \rightarrow \infty\)
Again,
\[ \begin{aligned} \mathbf{P}\left(\left|V_{n}-W_{n}\right|>2 \epsilon\right) & =\mathbf{P}\left(\left|V_{n}-W_{n}\right|>2 \epsilon,\left|W_{n}\right|>M\right)+\mathbf{P}\left(\left|V_{n}-W_{n}\right|>2 \epsilon,\left|W_{n}\right| \leqslant M\right) \\ & \leqslant \delta+\sum_{j=1}^{K} \mathbf{P}\left(\left|V_{n}-W_{n}\right|>2 \epsilon, W_{n} \in\left[a_{j}, a_{j+1}\right]\right) \\ & =\delta+\sum_{j=1}^{K}\left[\mathbf{P}\left(V_{n}>W_{n}+2 \epsilon, W_{n} \in\left[a_{j}, a_{j+1}\right]\right)+\mathbf{P}\left(V_{n}<W_{n}-2 \epsilon, W_{n} \in\left[a_{j}, a_{j+1}\right]\right)\right] \\ & \leqslant \delta+\sum_{j=1}^{K}\left[\mathbf{P}\left(V_{n}>a_{j+1}+\epsilon, a_{j} \leqslant W_{n} \leqslant a_{j+1}\right)+\mathbf{P}\left(V_{n}<a_{j}-\epsilon, a_{j} \leqslant W_{n} \leqslant a_{j+1}\right)\right] \end{aligned} \]
Now, each term in the above summand goes to zero as \(n \rightarrow \infty\). Since \(\delta>0\) and \(\epsilon>0\) are arbitrary, hence the claim follows. Thus, \(\left(V_{n}-W_{n}\right) \xrightarrow{P} 0\).
Define, \(G_{n}(x)=1-F_{n}(x)\) and \(G(x)=1-F(x)\). For each \(n \geqslant 1\) and each \(t \in \mathbb{R}\), define the following random variables:
\[ V_{n}=\sqrt{n}\left(\hat{\xi}_{p, n}-\xi_{p}\right), \\ W_{n}=\frac{\sqrt{n}\left(G_{n}\left(\xi_{p}\right)-G\left(\xi_{p}\right)\right)}{F^{\prime}\left(\xi_{p}\right)},\\ Z_{t, n}=\frac{\sqrt{n}\left(G_{n}\left(\xi_{p}+n^{-1 / 2} t\right)-G\left(\xi_{p}+n^{-1 / 2} t\right)\right)}{F^{\prime}\left(\xi_{p}\right)} \]
Note that
\[ \left[V_{n} \leqslant t\right] \Rightarrow\left[Z_{t, n} \leqslant t_{n}\right], \quad \text { where } \quad t_{n}=\frac{\sqrt{n}\left(F\left(\xi_{p}+n^{-1 / 2} t\right)-p\right)}{F^{\prime}\left(\xi_{p}\right)} \]
due to given assumption, \(p=F\left(\xi_{p}\right)\) and hence \(t_{n} \rightarrow t\).
Note that, if \(t>0\),
\[ \begin{aligned} &\mathbf{E}\left(Z_{t, n}-W_{n}\right)^{2}\\ &=\mathbf{E}[\frac{\sqrt{n}(G_n(\xi_p+\frac{t}{\sqrt{n}})) - G_n(\xi_p+\frac{t}{\sqrt{n}})}{F^{\prime}(\xi_{p})} - \frac{\sqrt{n}(G_n(\xi_p)) - G_n(\xi_p)}{F^{\prime}(\xi_{p})}]^2\\ &=\frac{n}{(F^{\prime}(\xi_{p}))^{2}} \cdot\mathbf{E}[(F_n(\xi_{p}+n^{-1 / 2} t)-F_n(\xi_{p})) -(F(\xi_{p}+n^{-1 / 2} t)-F(\xi_{p}))]^2\\ & =\frac{n}{\left(F^{\prime}\left(\xi_{p}\right)\right)^{2}} \cdot \mathbf{E}\left(\frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^{n} \mathbf{1}\left(X_{i} \in\left(\xi_{p}, \xi_{p}+n^{-1 / 2} t\right)\right)-\mathbf{P}\left(X_{1} \in\left(\xi_{p}, \xi_{p}+n^{-1 / 2} t\right)\right)\right)^{2} \\ & =\frac{n}{(F^{\prime}(\xi_{p}))^{2}} \cdot \frac{1}{n} \cdot \mathbf{P}(X_{1} \in(\xi_{p}, \xi_{p}+n^{-1 / 2} t))\cdot(1 - \mathbf{P}(X_{1} \in(\xi_{p}, \xi_{p}+n^{-1 / 2} t)))\\ &=\frac{1}{(F^{\prime}(\xi_{p}))^{2}} \cdot[(F(\xi_{p}+n^{-1 / 2} t)-F(\xi_{p}))(1 -(F(\xi_{p}+n^{-1 / 2} t)-F(\xi_{p})))]\\\\ &\rightarrow 0, \quad \text { as } n \rightarrow \infty \end{aligned} \]
due to continuity of \(F\) at \(\xi_{p}\).
Hence, for any \(\epsilon>0\),
\[ \mathbf{P}\left(\left|Z_{t, n}-W_{n}\right|>\epsilon\right) \leqslant \frac{1}{\epsilon^{2}} \cdot \mathbf{E}\left(Z_{t, n}-W_{n}\right)^{2} \rightarrow 0\ as\ n\ \rightarrow \infty \]
Combining similar arguments for \(t<0\), we claim that for any \(t \in \mathbb{R},\left|Z_{t, n}-W_{n}\right| \xrightarrow{P} 0\).
Now, by iid CLT, \(W_{n}\) converges in distribution to a normal random variable and hence \(\left\{W_{n}: n \geqslant 1\right\}\) will be uniformly tight.
Then, for any \(t \in \mathbb{R}, \epsilon>0\) and large enough \(n\),
\[ \begin{aligned} \mathbf{P}\left(V_{n} \leqslant t, W_{n} \geqslant t+\epsilon\right) & =\mathbf{P}\left(Z_{t, n} \leqslant t_{n}, W_{n} \geqslant t+\epsilon\right) \\ & \leqslant \mathbf{P}\left(Z_{t, n} \leqslant t+\epsilon / 4, W_{n} \geqslant t+\epsilon\right), \quad\left(\text { since, } t_{n} \leqslant t+\epsilon / 4, \text { for large } n\right) \\ & \leqslant \mathbf{P}\left(\left|Z_{t, n}-W_{n}\right|>3 \epsilon / 4\right)\\ & \rightarrow 0\ as\ n\rightarrow \infty \end{aligned} \]
Similarly, we can show that,
\(\mathbf{P}\left(V_{n} \geqslant t+\epsilon, W_{n} \leqslant t\right) \rightarrow 0\ as\ n\rightarrow \infty\)
Thus both the conditions of the lemma are satisfied.
Therefore, \(\boxed{V_{n}-W_{n} \xrightarrow{P} 0}\) as \(n\rightarrow \infty\).
Now let, \(U_{n}=V_{n}-W_{n}\), we have
\[ \begin{aligned} U_{n}=V_{n}-W_{n} & =\sqrt{n}\left(\hat{\xi}_{p, n}-\xi_{p}\right)-\frac{\sqrt{n}\left(G_{n}\left(\xi_{p}\right)-G\left(\xi_{p}\right)\right)}{F^{\prime}\left(\xi_{p}\right)} \\ & =\sqrt{n}\left(\hat{\xi}_{p, n}-\xi_{p}\right)-\frac{\sqrt{n}\left(1-F_{n}\left(\xi_{p}\right)-\left(1-F\left(\xi_{p}\right)\right)\right)}{F^{\prime}\left(\xi_{p}\right)} \\ & =\sqrt{n}\left(\hat{\xi}_{p, n}-\xi_{p}\right)-\frac{\sqrt{n}\left(p-F_{n}\left(\xi_{p}\right)\right)}{F^{\prime}\left(\xi_{p}\right)} \\ \Rightarrow \hat{\xi}_{p, n} & =\xi_{p}+\frac{p-F_{n}\left(\xi_{p}\right)}{F^{\prime}\left(\xi_{p}\right)}+R_{n}, \quad \text { where, } R_{n}=U_{n} / \sqrt{n} . \end{aligned} \]
Since, \(U_{n}=o_{P}(1)\), it implies \(R_{n}=o_{P}\left(n^{-1 / 2}\right)\). This proves the result.
Now we are interested in finding the asymptotic distribution of the IQR.
We know that, joint distribution of any two quantiles is given by
\[ \left(\begin{array}{c} \sqrt{n}\left(\hat\xi_{p_{1}, n}-\xi_{p_{1}}\right) \\ \sqrt{n}\left(\hat\xi_{p_{2}, n}-\xi_{p_{2}}\right) \end{array}\right) \xrightarrow{D} N_2(0, \Sigma) \] where, \(\Sigma\) = \[ \left( \begin{array}{cc} \frac{p_1(1-p_1)}{{f(\xi_{p_1})}^2} & \frac{(p_1 \wedge p_2) - p_1p_2}{f(\xi_{p_1})f(\xi_{p_2})}\\ \frac{(p_1 \wedge p_2) - p_1p_2}{f(\xi_{p_1})f(\xi_{p_2})} & \frac{p_2(1-p_2)}{{f(\xi_{p_2})}^2} \end{array} \right) \]
and \(\hat{\xi}_{p_{1}, n} = \xi_{p_{1}, n} + \frac{p_1 - \hat {F_n}(\xi_{p_{1}})}{\sqrt{p_1(1 - p_1)}}\)
and \(\hat{\xi}_{p_{1}, n} = \xi_{p_{1}, n} + \frac{p_1 - \hat {F_n}(\xi_{p_{1}})}{\sqrt{p_1(1 - p_1)}}\)
Here \(p_1\) = 0.75 and \(p_2\) = 0.25,
So we get,
\[ \left(\begin{array}{c} \sqrt{n}\left(\hat\xi_{0.75, n}-\xi_{0.75}\right) \\ \sqrt{n}\left(\hat\xi_{0.25, n}-\xi_{0.25}\right) \end{array}\right) \xrightarrow{D} N_2(0, \Sigma) \]
Where, \(\Sigma\) =
\[
\left(
\begin{array}{cc}
\frac{3}{{16f(\xi_{0.75})}^2} & \frac{1}{16f(\xi_{0.75})f(\xi_{0.25})}\\
\frac{1}{16f(\xi_{0.75})f(\xi_{0.25})} & \frac{3}{{16f(\xi_{0.25})}^2}
\end{array}
\right)
\]
Now consider the transformation:
\[ f\left(\begin{array}{c} x \\ y \end{array}\right) = x - y \]
So,
\(\frac{\delta f}{\delta x}\) = 1 and \(\frac{\delta f}{\delta y}\) = -1
and hence,
\(\sqrt{n}(\hat{IQR} - IQR) \xrightarrow{D} N(0, {\sigma}^2)\)
where,
\({\sigma}^2\) = \(\frac{1}{16}[\frac{3}{{f(\xi_{0.75})}^2} + \frac{3}{{f(\xi_{0.25})}^2} - \frac{2}{f(\xi_{0.25})f(\xi_{0.75})}]\)
We will show that,
\[\begin{equation*}
X_{(n,k_n)}=\xi_{p}+\frac{p-\hat{F}_{n}(\xi_{p})}{F^{\prime}(\xi_{p})}+Y_{n}
\end{equation*}\]
where \(Y_{n}=o_{P}\left(n^{-1 / 2}\right)\ as\ n\rightarrow\infty\)
We know that
\[\begin{equation*}
\boxed{\sqrt{n}(X_{(n,k_n)} - \xi_p) \xrightarrow{D} \mathcal{N}(0, \frac{p(1-p)}{{F^{\prime}({\xi_p})}^2})}
\end{equation*}\]
So, \(X_{(n,k_n)} \xrightarrow{P} \xi_p\ as\ n\rightarrow \infty\)
and,
\(\sqrt{n}(X_{(n,k_n)} - \xi_p) = o_{P}(1)\)
Again,
\(\hat{\xi}_{p, n} \xrightarrow{P} \xi_p\ as\ n \rightarrow \infty\)
and,
\(\sqrt{n}(\hat{\xi}_{p, n} - \xi_p) = o_{P}(1)\)
From these two, it implies that,
\(X_{(n,k_n)} - \hat{\xi}_{p, n} = o_{P}(\frac{1}{\sqrt{n}})\)
Again from the weaker version,
\(\hat{\xi}_{p, n} =\xi_{p}+\frac{p-F_{n}\left(\xi_{p}\right)}{F^{\prime}\left(\xi_{p}\right)}+R_{n}, \quad \text { where, } R_{n}=o_{P}\left(n^{-1 / 2}\right)\)
Using this, we have
\(X_{(n,k_n)} - Z_{n} =\xi_{p}+\frac{p-F_{n}\left(\xi_{p}\right)}{F^{\prime}\left(\xi_{p}\right)}+R_{n}, \quad \text { where, } R_{n}=o_{P}\left(n^{-1 / 2}\right),\ Z_{n}=o_{P}\left(n^{-1 / 2}\right)\)
So, ultimately we obtain, \(X_{(n,k_n)} =\xi_{p}+\frac{p-F_{n}\left(\xi_{p}\right)}{F^{\prime}\left(\xi_{p}\right)}+Y_{n}, \quad \text { where, } Y_{n}=o_{P}\left(n^{-1 / 2}\right)\)