Hold Them or Fold Them

Analyzing Stud Poker With Wildcards

Bradley Shanrock-Solberg
Freelance Data Scientist

Hand Value in Stud Poker - the Key to Victory

Basic Poker Strategy - requires accurate Hand Value estimation

  • My Hand: How good is my hand already, and what are the odds of making it better?
  • Expense: Is my hand good enough to put more money in the pot and draw another card?
  • Other Hands: Are any hands either already better or likely to beat me if they keep drawing?
  • Stud Poker's 4-5 betting rounds & visible cards leaves more scope for skill than Draw Poker

What affects Hand Value?

  • 5 card stud wins with much weaker hands than 7 card stud or Texas Hold-Em
  • In a professional/casino game, # of players can shift suddenly, wildcards are banned
  • in a private "friendly" game, # of wildcards can shift suddenly, but players are fixed
  • The Hold Them or Fold Them application explores how Stud Poker hand values change

Example: Testing Hand Value by Game

Example: Testing Hand Value by Number of Players

Example: Testing Hand Value by Wildcards