Description of research
This study seeks to determine the relationship of several indirect effects on arthropod herbivore density across 3 years in a common garden of Coastal Sage Scrub plants.
The metadata used for our analyses was collected annually in April-May for three consecutive years from 2021-2023 in a common garden at Concordia University Irvine. The common garden consisted of 13 species of woody shrubs native to the Coastal Sage Scrub ecosystem, arranged in 20 plots, each with 1 individual plant per species.
Data collected, abbreviations used and variable type assigned for the metadata can be found in the table below.
| Data | Description | Column Name | Variable Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plant # | Individual plant | Plant | Factor |
| Plant Species | Plant Species | Species | Factor |
| Plot | Individual Plot | Plot | Factor |
| Year | Year data collected | Year | Factor |
| Bird attack rate | Bird attacks on clay caterpillars | bird_attack | Numeric |
| Herbivore count | Total number of herbivores | Abundance_Herb | Numeric |
| Predator count | Total number of predators | Abundance_Pred | Numeric |
Methods
Clay caterpillars were deployed in 2022 and assessed for bird attacks weekly over a period of 4 weeks with one caterpillar on the interior and one on the exterior of each plant as described in Dean, et al., 2024. Arthropods were collected from plants using a vacuum method as previously described in Pratt et al. (2017), sorted from plant material, identified to taxonomic order and assigned to one of 5 feeding guilds: Herbivore, Predator, Omnivore, Detritovore, Playnivore.
We will first test whether species vary in Herbivore density as well as direct/indirect effects on herbivore density of interest: Predator density and clay caterpillar attack rates for birds. To do this, we will run a series of generalized linear mixed models for each response variable listed above with the main fixed effect of interest being Species. Additional fixed effects plus random effects will be added depending on main effect.
log(Herbivore count + 1) ~ Species + Year + (1|Plant) + (1|Plot)
NOTE Predator density relationship with herbivore count is curvilinear, therefore we ran the model with a polynomial assumption. Figure included in 3.3 for reference.
log(Predator count + 1) ~ Species + poly(log(Herbivore count + 1), 2) + Year + (1|Plant) + (1|Plot)
Caterpillar attack (Bird only) ~ Species + Caterpillar position + (1|Plant) + (1|Plot) + (1|Caterpillar), family = binomial
We will create a correlation matrix to assess relationships between direct, indirect effects and herbivore density using species-level means.
NOTE Least square means were used for predator abundance to control for the effect of herbivore abundance included in the model
NOTE For variables transformed in the model (herbivore, predator and spodoptera) we report non-transformed means
Trait species means and p-values of species effect for each trait
| Species | Mean_herb | lsMean_pred | Mean_bird_attack |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-value (species effect) | <0.001 | <0.001 | 0.81 |
| Acmispon_glaber | 137.00 | 6.89 | 0.13 |
| Artemisia_californica | 76.61 | 6.55 | 0.17 |
| Diplacus_aurantiacus | 21.43 | 8.76 | 0.15 |
| Encelia_californica | 38.81 | 5.37 | 0.14 |
| Eriogonum_fasciculatum | 29.83 | 6.62 | 0.16 |
| Grindelia_camporum | 92.67 | 6.05 | 0.16 |
| Isocoma_menziesii | 54.63 | 10.38 | 0.20 |
| Malacothamnus_fasciculatus | 190.75 | 5.21 | 0.09 |
| Malacothrix_saxatilis | 14.56 | 5.00 | 0.09 |
| Mirabilis_laevis | 31.81 | 2.83 | 0.13 |
| Salvia_apiana | 142.13 | 4.95 | 0.15 |
| Salvia_mellifera | 89.18 | 5.81 | 0.13 |
| Sisyrinchium_bellum | 9.82 | 4.26 | 0.14 |
We will now report p-values for correlation matrixes on untransformed species-level means to determine the strength of relationships between each variable.
NOTE All correlation coefficients are Pearson
P-values
| Mean_herb | lsMean_pred | Mean_bird_attack | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean_herb | NA | 0.9273587 | 0.4567026 |
| lsMean_pred | 0.9273587 | NA | 0.0265001 |
| Mean_bird_attack | 0.4567026 | 0.0265001 | NA |
Plot
Predator density ~ Herbivore density (all species, log-transformed)
lsMean Predator density ~ Mean Herbivore density
Bird attack ~ Herbivore density
Bird attack ~ Predator density
| Response | Fixef | Ranef | P.value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arth_tot_density | Species | Plant,plot | <0.001 |
| Arth_tot_density | Year | Plant,plot | <0.001 |
| Herb_density | Species | Plant,plot | <0.001 |
| Herb_density | Year | Plant,plot | <0.001 |
| Pred_density | Species | Plant,plot | <0.001 |
| Pred_density | Herb_density | Plant,plot | <0.001 |
| Pred_density | Year | Plant,plot | <0.001 |
| Pred_ratio | Species | Plant, plot | <0.001 |
| Pred_ratio | Year | Plant,plot | <0.001 |
| Spod_growth | Species | Plant,plot | <0.001 |
| Spod_growth | Year | Plant,plot | <0.001 |
| Bird_attack | Species | Plant,plot,cat_id | 0.81 |
| Bird_attack | cat_position | Plant,plot,cat_id | <0.001 |
| Vertebrate_attack | Species | Plant,plot,cat_id | 0.45 |
| Vertebrate_attack | cat_position | Plant,plot,cat_id | <0.001 |
| Arthropod_attack | Species | Plant,plot,cat_id | <0.001 |
| Arthropod_attack | cat_position | Plant,plot,cat_id | <0.05 |
| total_attack | Species | Plant,plot,cat_id | <0.05 |
| total_attack | cat_position | Plant,plot,cat_id | <0.01 |