library(rlang)
library(stargazer)
library(texreg)
library(lubridate)
library(tidyverse)
library(writexl)

Reproducible Research Assignment 2

Synopsis

This assignment uses U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) storm database to examine the most damaging weather events and types of events. The questions answered are:

1. What types of weather events cause the most fatalities and injuries?

2. What were the most fatal and injurious single events in the dataset?

3. What types of events have caused the largest amounts of economic (property and crop) damage?

Data Processing

#Steps: #Explore #Clean #Manipulate #Describe and summarise #Visualise #Analyse

Load file

data <- read.csv("/Users/marjo/Desktop/RStudio/repdata_data_StormData.csv")

head(data)
##   STATE__           BGN_DATE BGN_TIME TIME_ZONE COUNTY COUNTYNAME STATE  EVTYPE
## 1       1  4/18/1950 0:00:00     0130       CST     97     MOBILE    AL TORNADO
## 2       1  4/18/1950 0:00:00     0145       CST      3    BALDWIN    AL TORNADO
## 3       1  2/20/1951 0:00:00     1600       CST     57    FAYETTE    AL TORNADO
## 4       1   6/8/1951 0:00:00     0900       CST     89    MADISON    AL TORNADO
## 5       1 11/15/1951 0:00:00     1500       CST     43    CULLMAN    AL TORNADO
## 6       1 11/15/1951 0:00:00     2000       CST     77 LAUDERDALE    AL TORNADO
##   BGN_RANGE BGN_AZI BGN_LOCATI END_DATE END_TIME COUNTY_END COUNTYENDN
## 1         0                                               0         NA
## 2         0                                               0         NA
## 3         0                                               0         NA
## 4         0                                               0         NA
## 5         0                                               0         NA
## 6         0                                               0         NA
##   END_RANGE END_AZI END_LOCATI LENGTH WIDTH F MAG FATALITIES INJURIES PROPDMG
## 1         0                      14.0   100 3   0          0       15    25.0
## 2         0                       2.0   150 2   0          0        0     2.5
## 3         0                       0.1   123 2   0          0        2    25.0
## 4         0                       0.0   100 2   0          0        2     2.5
## 5         0                       0.0   150 2   0          0        2     2.5
## 6         0                       1.5   177 2   0          0        6     2.5
##   PROPDMGEXP CROPDMG CROPDMGEXP WFO STATEOFFIC ZONENAMES LATITUDE LONGITUDE
## 1          K       0                                         3040      8812
## 2          K       0                                         3042      8755
## 3          K       0                                         3340      8742
## 4          K       0                                         3458      8626
## 5          K       0                                         3412      8642
## 6          K       0                                         3450      8748
##   LATITUDE_E LONGITUDE_ REMARKS REFNUM
## 1       3051       8806              1
## 2          0          0              2
## 3          0          0              3
## 4          0          0              4
## 5          0          0              5
## 6          0          0              6
names(data)
##  [1] "STATE__"    "BGN_DATE"   "BGN_TIME"   "TIME_ZONE"  "COUNTY"    
##  [6] "COUNTYNAME" "STATE"      "EVTYPE"     "BGN_RANGE"  "BGN_AZI"   
## [11] "BGN_LOCATI" "END_DATE"   "END_TIME"   "COUNTY_END" "COUNTYENDN"
## [16] "END_RANGE"  "END_AZI"    "END_LOCATI" "LENGTH"     "WIDTH"     
## [21] "F"          "MAG"        "FATALITIES" "INJURIES"   "PROPDMG"   
## [26] "PROPDMGEXP" "CROPDMG"    "CROPDMGEXP" "WFO"        "STATEOFFIC"
## [31] "ZONENAMES"  "LATITUDE"   "LONGITUDE"  "LATITUDE_E" "LONGITUDE_"
## [36] "REMARKS"    "REFNUM"

Subset the data set to use only the columns that we will use in the analysis

storm <- data %>% 
  select(c("EVTYPE","FATALITIES","INJURIES","PROPDMG","PROPDMGEXP","CROPDMG","CROPDMGEXP")) %>%
  rename_all(tolower)
str(storm)
## 'data.frame':    902297 obs. of  7 variables:
##  $ evtype    : chr  "TORNADO" "TORNADO" "TORNADO" "TORNADO" ...
##  $ fatalities: num  0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 ...
##  $ injuries  : num  15 0 2 2 2 6 1 0 14 0 ...
##  $ propdmg   : num  25 2.5 25 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 25 25 ...
##  $ propdmgexp: chr  "K" "K" "K" "K" ...
##  $ cropdmg   : num  0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ...
##  $ cropdmgexp: chr  "" "" "" "" ...

Now our data set has 902,297 rows and 7 colums. This is a brief description of each variable:

#evtype : storm event type

#fatalities: amount of fatalities per event

#injuries : amount of injuries per event

#propdmg : property damage amount

#propdmgexp: property damage in exponents

#cropdmg : crop damage amount

#cropdmgexp: crop damage in exponents

Converting propdmgexp and cropdmgexp variables to characters:

storm$propdmgexp <- as.character(storm$propdmgexp)
storm$cropdmgexp <- as.character(storm$cropdmgexp)

First Analysis: Sum of fatalities and injuries

first_analysis <-
    storm %>% select(evtype, fatalities, injuries) %>% 
    group_by(evtype) %>% 
    summarize(fatalities = sum(fatalities), injuries = sum(injuries), .groups='drop') %>%
    arrange(desc(fatalities), desc(injuries)) %>%
    slice(1:10) %>% 
    gather(key = type, value = value, fatalities, injuries)

Result: 1. Across the United States, which types of events (as indicated in the EVTYPE variable) are most harmful with respect to population health?

Answer: Tornadoes have the highest impact on the population, causing a higher number of fatalities and injuries.

ggplot(data=first_analysis, aes(reorder(evtype, -value), value, fill=type)) +
  geom_bar(position = "dodge", stat="identity", width=0.8) + 
  labs(x="Event Type", y="Count") +
  theme_minimal() +  # Clean and modern look
  theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 20, vjust=0.7, size=10, color="black"), 
        axis.text.y = element_text(size=10, color="black"),
        plot.title = element_text(hjust = 0.5, size=14, color="black", face="bold"),
        legend.position = "top",
        legend.title = element_text(size=10, color="black"),
        legend.text = element_text(size=10, color="black")) +
  ggtitle("Total Number of Fatalities and Injuries") +
  scale_fill_manual(values=c("steelblue", "seagreen"))  # Custom color palette

Second Analysis: Type of events and economic consequences

#Function to calculate cost
cost <- function(x) {
  if (x == "H")
    1E-4
  else if (x == "K")
    1E-3
  else if (x == "M")
    1
  else if (x == "B")
    1E3
  else
    1-6
}

second_analysis <- 
  storm %>% select("evtype", "propdmg", "propdmgexp", "cropdmg", "cropdmgexp") %>% 
    mutate(prop_dmg = propdmg*sapply(propdmgexp, FUN = cost), crop_dmg = cropdmg*sapply(cropdmgexp, FUN = cost), .keep="unused") %>%
    group_by(evtype) %>% 
    summarize(property = sum(prop_dmg), crop = sum(crop_dmg), .groups='drop') %>%
    arrange(desc(property), desc(crop)) %>%
    slice(1:10) %>% 
    gather(key = type, value = value, property, crop)

Result: 2. Across the United States, which types of events have the greatest economic consequences?

Answer: Floods and hurricanes have the highest property and crop damage costs, resulting in higher economic consequences.

ggplot(data=second_analysis, aes(reorder(evtype, -value), value, fill=type)) +
  geom_bar(position = "dodge", stat="identity", width=0.7) + 
  labs(x="Event Type", y="Count (millions)", 
       title="Total Cost of Property and Crop Damage") +
  theme_minimal() +  # Clean and modern look
  theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle=25, vjust=0.5, hjust=0.7, size=10, color="black"),
        axis.text.y = element_text(size=10, color="black"),
        plot.title = element_text(hjust=0.5, size=14, color="black", face="bold"),
        legend.position = "top",
        legend.title = element_text(size=10, color="black"),
        legend.text = element_text(size=10, color="black")) +
  scale_fill_manual(values=c("steelblue", "slategray"))  # Custom color palette

Conclusion

#In light of the analysis, efforts should focus on enhancing safety and public health by investing in improved infrastructure and early warning systems to address tornado risks. Additionally, funding should be allocated to support innovation and the development of advanced systems and infrastructure for managing hurricanes and typhoons, with the aim of safeguarding properties and crops to minimize potential damage.