Objective

Create a Classification Tree to predict customer attrition.

The Data

The data has 10127 observations. The data was split into training and validation datasets (70/30), ( 7149 / 2978 ).

The Tree

Two Tree Inperpretations

Customers Likely to leave:

Customers not likely to leave

Variable Importance

Model Performance

## 
##  
##    Cell Contents
## |-------------------------|
## |                       N |
## | Chi-square contribution |
## |           N / Row Total |
## |           N / Col Total |
## |         N / Table Total |
## |-------------------------|
## 
##  
## Total Observations in Table:  2978 
## 
##  
##                                | validation_tree$Attrition_Flag_predicted 
## validation_tree$Attrition_Flag | Attrited Customer | Existing Customer |         Row Total | 
## -------------------------------|-------------------|-------------------|-------------------|
##              Attrited Customer |               363 |               102 |               465 | 
##                                |          1308.092 |           220.154 |                   | 
##                                |             0.781 |             0.219 |             0.156 | 
##                                |             0.846 |             0.040 |                   | 
##                                |             0.122 |             0.034 |                   | 
## -------------------------------|-------------------|-------------------|-------------------|
##              Existing Customer |                66 |              2447 |              2513 | 
##                                |           242.046 |            40.737 |                   | 
##                                |             0.026 |             0.974 |             0.844 | 
##                                |             0.154 |             0.960 |                   | 
##                                |             0.022 |             0.822 |                   | 
## -------------------------------|-------------------|-------------------|-------------------|
##                   Column Total |               429 |              2549 |              2978 | 
##                                |             0.144 |             0.856 |                   | 
## -------------------------------|-------------------|-------------------|-------------------|
## 
##  
## Statistics for All Table Factors
## 
## 
## Pearson's Chi-squared test 
## ------------------------------------------------------------
## Chi^2 =  1811.029     d.f. =  1     p =  0 
## 
## Pearson's Chi-squared test with Yates' continuity correction 
## ------------------------------------------------------------
## Chi^2 =  1804.916     d.f. =  1     p =  0 
## 
##