Title: Investigating Weather Event Severity on Human and Economic Health

Synopsis

Weather events pose a potent threat human life. Abnormal events (i.e. tornado, hail) can burden human and economic health in the United States. In this document, we analyze Storm Data from the National Weather Service. Data analysis was conducted to determine the amount of injuries and fatalities from each type of weather event. Economic health was assessed by reviewing crop and property damage statistics. We found that a handful of weather related events are responsible for burdening human and economic health. Tornados are the top weather event that causes human injuries, human fatalities, and property damage. Hail is the most common wether event that causes crop damage. The analysis shows that a weather events cause significant damage, and the effects may be lessened by passing legislation aimed at these events.

Data Processing

First, lets download the data and input it into RStudio.

url <- "https://d396qusza40orc.cloudfront.net/repdata%2Fdata%2FStormData.csv.bz2"
download.file(url, destfile = "/Users/joshuastein/Desktop/hello-world/ReproducibleResearch/CourseProject2/repdata_data_StormData.csv.bz2", mode = "wb")

data <- read.csv("/Users/joshuastein/Desktop/hello-world/ReproducibleResearch/CourseProject2/repdata_data_StormData.csv.bz2")

Now, let’s process the data. Let’s first create a dataset to investigate event type on human health.

humanhealthdatafat <- aggregate(FATALITIES ~ EVTYPE, data = data, FUN = sum)
humanhealthdatainj <- aggregate(INJURIES ~ EVTYPE, data = data, FUN = sum)

The dataset was ordered based on the number of fatalities or injuries and only the top 10 events were taken for figure generation.

orderedfatdata <- humanhealthdatafat[order(humanhealthdatafat$FATALITIES, decreasing = TRUE), ]
orderedfatdatatop10 <- orderedfatdata[1:10,]
orderedinjdata <- humanhealthdatainj[order(humanhealthdatainj$INJURIES, decreasing = TRUE), ]
orderedinjdatatop10 <- orderedinjdata[1:10,]

Now, let’s investigate weather event on economic health by assessing property damage and crop. First, we need to convert property damage value into a numerical number.

i <- 1
while (i < length(data)){
  if(data$PROPDMGEXP[i] == "K"){
    data$PROPDMG[i] <- data$PROPDMG[i] * 1000
  }
  if(data$PROPDMGEXP[i] == "M"){
    data$PROPDMG[i] <- data$PROPDMG[i] * 1000000
  }
  if(data$CROPDMGEXP[i] == "K"){
    data$CROPDMG[i] <- data$CROPDMG[i] * 1000
  }
  if(data$CROPDMGEXP[i] == "M"){
    data$CROPDMG[i] <- data$CROPDMG[i] * 1000000
  }
  i <- i + 1
}

And for determining the top 10.

ecohealthdataprop <- aggregate(PROPDMG ~ EVTYPE, data = data, FUN = sum)
ecohealthdatacrop <- aggregate(CROPDMG ~ EVTYPE, data = data, FUN = sum)
orderedpropdata <- ecohealthdataprop[order(ecohealthdataprop$PROPDMG, decreasing = TRUE), ]
orderedpropdatatop10 <- orderedpropdata[1:10,]
orderedcropdata <- ecohealthdatacrop[order(ecohealthdatacrop$CROPDMG, decreasing = TRUE), ]
orderedcropdatatop10 <- orderedcropdata[1:10,]

Analysis

Let’s first identify the weather events that are most harmful to human health. We can begin by looking at the number of fatalities.

print(orderedfatdatatop10)
##             EVTYPE FATALITIES
## 834        TORNADO       5633
## 130 EXCESSIVE HEAT       1903
## 153    FLASH FLOOD        978
## 275           HEAT        937
## 464      LIGHTNING        816
## 856      TSTM WIND        504
## 170          FLOOD        470
## 585    RIP CURRENT        368
## 359      HIGH WIND        248
## 19       AVALANCHE        224

Here, we see that tornado constitutes just under half the total fatalities. Similar analysis will be conducted for injuries.

print(orderedinjdatatop10)
##                EVTYPE INJURIES
## 834           TORNADO    91346
## 856         TSTM WIND     6957
## 170             FLOOD     6789
## 130    EXCESSIVE HEAT     6525
## 464         LIGHTNING     5230
## 275              HEAT     2100
## 427         ICE STORM     1975
## 153       FLASH FLOOD     1777
## 760 THUNDERSTORM WIND     1488
## 244              HAIL     1361

The weather events with the next highest fatalities is excessive heat, flash flood, heat, and lightning. We see that tornado is the number one cause of injuries, aligning with the number of fatalities. Next includes wind, flood, excessive heat, and lightening. While these events are found on the number of fatalities, their ordering has changed. Now, let’s visualize with a piechart.

par(mfrow = c(1, 2))
pie(orderedfatdatatop10$FATALITIES, labels = orderedfatdatatop10$EVTYPE, main = "Number of Fatalities")
pie(orderedinjdatatop10$INJURIES, labels = orderedinjdatatop10$EVTYPE, main = "Number of Injuries")

Tornado overwhelmingly causes more injuries and fatalities. It appears that tornados are the most harmful wheather event to human health. Let’s see if the same trend holds true for economic health.

print(orderedpropdatatop10)
##                 EVTYPE    PROPDMG
## 834            TORNADO 11713748.2
## 153        FLASH FLOOD  1420124.6
## 856          TSTM WIND  1335965.6
## 170              FLOOD   899938.5
## 760  THUNDERSTORM WIND   876844.2
## 244               HAIL   688693.4
## 464          LIGHTNING   603351.8
## 786 THUNDERSTORM WINDS   446293.2
## 359          HIGH WIND   324731.6
## 972       WINTER STORM   132720.6

Tornados overwhelming cause property damage. Now let’s look at crop damage.

print(orderedcropdatatop10)
##                 EVTYPE   CROPDMG
## 244               HAIL 579596.28
## 153        FLASH FLOOD 179200.46
## 170              FLOOD 168037.88
## 856          TSTM WIND 109202.60
## 834            TORNADO 100018.52
## 760  THUNDERSTORM WIND  66791.45
## 95             DROUGHT  33898.62
## 786 THUNDERSTORM WINDS  18684.93
## 359          HIGH WIND  17283.21
## 290         HEAVY RAIN  11122.80

Hail is the number one weather event that causes crop damage. Tornado is ranked number 5. Since the data is more distributed, let’s visualize with a pie chart.

pie(orderedcropdatatop10$CROPDMG, labels = orderedcropdatatop10$EVTYPE, main = "Crop Damage")

It’s clear that hail consitutes just under half of all weather event-related crop damage.