Amin_Mustafa_Homework5
2024-03-26
# List of packages
packages <- c("tidyverse", "infer", "fst", "modelsummary", "effects", "survey", "MASS", "aod", "interactions", "kableExtra", "flextable", "scales") # add any you need here
# Install packages if they aren't installed already
new_packages <- packages[!(packages %in% installed.packages()[,"Package"])]
if(length(new_packages)) install.packages(new_packages)
# Load the packages
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## [31] "methods" "base"Task 1
Use data for Germany and the variable coding for model3 and model4 from the tutorial (i.e., both for the cleaning & recode, as well as the linear model formulas). Do a modelsummary table displaying both model outputs. Interpret the coefficients for the MLR without the interaction (i.e., the first displayed model), and interpret model fit metrics for both models.
germany_data <- read.fst("germany_data.fst")df <- germany_datadf$weight <- df$dweight * df$pweight
survey_design <- svydesign(ids = ~1, data = df, weights = ~weight)# Setting values greater than 10 to NA
df$trstplt <- ifelse(df$trstplt > 10, NA, df$trstplt)
df$trstprl <- ifelse(df$trstprl > 10, NA, df$trstprl)
df$trstprt <- ifelse(df$trstprt > 10, NA, df$trstprt)
# Creating and rescaling the trust variable
df$trust <- scales::rescale(df$trstplt + df$trstprl + df$trstprt, na.rm = TRUE, to = c(0, 100))
# Here's how you would "flip it" because populist is conceived by N + I as 'anti-trust'
# As Schafer explains there are some issues with that conceptualization, but N + I is also widely applied
df$populist <- scales::rescale(df$trust, na.rm = TRUE, to=c(100,0))df <- df %>%
mutate(
cohort = ifelse(yrbrn < 1930 | yrbrn > 2000, NA, yrbrn),
# Recoding generational cohorts based on the year of birth (yrbrn).
# The year of birth is categorized into different generational cohorts.
# Interwar (1900-1945), Baby Boomers (1946-1964), Gen X (1965-1979), Millennials (1980-1996).
# The 'TRUE' line is a catch-all that keeps the original year of birth for those not in these ranges.
gen = case_when(
yrbrn %in% 1900:1945 ~ "1",
yrbrn %in% 1946:1964 ~ "2",
yrbrn %in% 1965:1979 ~ "3",
yrbrn %in% 1980:1996 ~ "4",
TRUE ~ as.character(yrbrn)
),
# After recoding, the gen variable is converted into a factor with labels for clearer interpretation.
# Factors are used in R to handle categorical variables.
gen = factor(gen,
levels = c("1", "2", "3", "4"),
labels = c("Interwar", "Baby Boomers", "Gen X", "Millennials"))
)
table(df$gen)##
## Interwar Baby Boomers Gen X Millennials
## 6373 11474 7648 6704# The dataframe is further updated to recode trust and political interest # note: you could have done it one, integrating above, but I broke it down
df <- df %>%
mutate(
# Recoding the 'ppltrst' variable, which seems to measure trust on a scale from 0 to 10.
# Special codes like 77, 88, 99 are probably used for missing data and are set to NA.
# Trust levels are categorized as 'Low', 'Mid', and 'High'.
Capital = case_when(
ppltrst %in% c(77, 88, 99) ~ NA_character_,
ppltrst >= 0 & ppltrst <= 3 ~ "Low",
ppltrst >= 4 & ppltrst <= 6 ~ "Mid",
ppltrst >= 7 & ppltrst <= 10 ~ "High",
TRUE ~ as.character(ppltrst)
),
# Recoding 'polintr' variable, which seems to measure political interest.
# Values of 1 and 2 indicate 'Interested', 3 and 4 'Not Interested'.
# Special codes like 7, 8, 9 (likely missing data) are set to NA.
Politically = case_when(
polintr %in% c(1, 2) ~ "Interested",
polintr %in% c(3, 4) ~ "Not Interested",
polintr %in% c(7, 8, 9) ~ NA_character_
)
)df <- df %>%
mutate(behave = ipbhprp,
secure = impsafe,
safety = ipstrgv,
tradition = imptrad,
rules = ipfrule) %>%
mutate(across(c("behave", "secure", "safety", "tradition", "rules"),
~ na_if(.x, 7) %>% na_if(8) %>% na_if(9))) %>%
# Apply the reverse coding
mutate(across(c("behave", "secure", "safety", "tradition", "rules"), ~ 7 - .x ))
# Now you can calculate 'schwartzauth' after the NA recoding
df$auth <- scales::rescale(df$behave +
df$secure +
df$safety +
df$tradition +
df$rules, to=c(0,100), na.rm=TRUE)
df <- df %>% filter(!is.na(auth))df <- df %>%
mutate(
polID = case_when(
lrscale %in% 0:3 ~ "Left",
lrscale %in% 7:10 ~ "Right",
lrscale %in% 4:6 ~ "Moderate",
lrscale %in% c(77, 88, 99) ~ NA_character_
),
religious = case_when(
rlgdgr %in% c(77, 88, 99) ~ NA_real_,
TRUE ~ rlgdgr
)
)model3 <- lm(auth ~ polID + religious, data = df, weights = weight)
model4 <- lm(auth ~ polID + religious + polID*religious, data = df, weights = weight)modelsummary(
list(model3, model4),
fmt = 1,
estimate = c( "{estimate} ({std.error}){stars}",
"{estimate} ({std.error}){stars}"),
statistic = NULL)| (1) | (2) | |
|---|---|---|
| (Intercept) | 55.3 (0.3)*** | 56.4 (0.3)*** |
| polIDModerate | 4.6 (0.3)*** | 3.4 (0.4)*** |
| polIDRight | 7.7 (0.4)*** | 4.2 (0.7)*** |
| religious | 0.9 (0.0)*** | 0.6 (0.1)*** |
| polIDModerate × religious | 0.3 (0.1)*** | |
| polIDRight × religious | 0.8 (0.1)*** | |
| Num.Obs. | 23373 | 23373 |
| R2 | 0.048 | 0.050 |
| R2 Adj. | 0.048 | 0.050 |
| AIC | 200594.1 | 200558.6 |
| BIC | 200634.4 | 200615.0 |
| Log.Lik. | −100292.049 | −100272.298 |
| RMSE | 17.27 | 17.24 |
Interpretation:
Coefficient Model 1:
Intercept <55.3> represents the estimated value of the dependent variable when all predictor veriables are zero
Politically moderate individuals have a 4.6 unit increase in the dependent variable compared to those who do not identify as moderates.
-Politically right-wing individuals have on average a 7.7 unit increase in the dependent variable compared to those who do not identify as right-wing
-Religious voters for each additional unit of religiosity represent a 0.9 unit increase in the dependent variable.
Task 2
Now generate the model4 interaction plot that we did in the tutorial, but again using the German data instead of the French. Interpret.
interaction_plot <- effect("polID*religious", model4, na.rm=TRUE)
plot(interaction_plot,
main="Interaction effect",
xlab="Religiousness",
ylab="Authoritarian attitudes scale")
- Politically the right-wing line represents the relationship between religiousness and authoritarian attitudes as relatively consistent and linear among individuals adhering to right-wing political beliefs. Additionally, the left wing group has the least “extreme” authoritarian levels and lower religiousness in contrast with moderate and right wing groups. These variables establish how the slopes change based on the interaction between political identity and religiousness, the moderate party having a slightly increased rate in comparison to the right, having positive association with religiousness but weaker in authoritarian values.
Task 3
Use data for the Netherlands and the variable coding for model5 and model6 from the tutorial (i.e., both for the cleaning & recode, as well as the linear model formulas). Do a modelsummary table displaying both model outputs. Interpret the coefficients for the MLR without the interaction (i.e., the first displayed model), and interpret model fit metrics for both models.
netherlands_data <- read.fst("netherlands_data.fst")df <- df %>%
mutate(religion = case_when(
rlgblg == 2 ~ "No",
rlgblg == 1 ~ "Yes",
rlgblg %in% c(7, 8, 9) ~ NA_character_,
TRUE ~ as.character(rlgblg)
))
# check
table(df$religion)##
## No Yes
## 11088 13750df <- df %>%
mutate(ID = case_when(
lrscale >= 0 & lrscale <= 4 ~ "Left",
lrscale >= 6 & lrscale <= 10 ~ "Right",
lrscale > 10 ~ NA_character_, # Set values above 10 as NA
TRUE ~ NA_character_ # Ensure value 5 and any other unexpected values are set as NA
))
table(df$ID)##
## Left Right
## 9745 4882## model5 <- lm(auth ~ religion + ID + gen, data = df, weights = weight)
model6 <- lm(auth ~ religion + ID + gen + religion*gen, data = df, weights = weight)modelsummary(
list(model5, model6),
fmt = 1,
estimate = c( "{estimate} ({std.error}){stars}",
"{estimate} ({std.error}){stars}"),
statistic = NULL,
coef_omit = "Intercept")| (1) | (2) | |
|---|---|---|
| religionYes | 5.2 (0.3)*** | 3.1 (0.7)*** |
| IDRight | 5.0 (0.3)*** | 5.1 (0.3)*** |
| genBaby Boomers | −8.1 (0.4)*** | −9.4 (0.7)*** |
| genGen X | −9.7 (0.4)*** | −10.9 (0.7)*** |
| genMillennials | −12.4 (0.5)*** | −15.3 (0.7)*** |
| religionYes × genBaby Boomers | 1.9 (0.8)* | |
| religionYes × genGen X | 1.6 (0.9)+ | |
| religionYes × genMillennials | 5.0 (0.9)*** | |
| Num.Obs. | 14218 | 14218 |
| R2 | 0.116 | 0.118 |
| R2 Adj. | 0.116 | 0.117 |
| AIC | 121849.5 | 121824.7 |
| BIC | 121902.4 | 121900.3 |
| Log.Lik. | −60917.727 | −60902.332 |
| RMSE | 17.07 | 17.04 |
Moderate: Positive coefficient indicates that moderate individuals have a higher authoritarian attitude in comparison with the left-wing group
Right-wing: Coefficient being similarly positive, at an even higher rate of 7.7, establishes that individuals with a right-wing identification have higher rates of authoritarian attitudes in comparison to the left-wing political group
Left- Wing: Religiousity being a 0.9 indicates higher levels of religiousness establish a higher level of authoritarian attitude.
Task 4
Produce the model7 interaction plot from the tutorial, but again using the Netherlands data. Interpret.
model7 <- lm(auth ~ + cohort + polID + cohort*polID, data = df, weights = weight)
interact_plot(model7, pred = cohort, modx = polID, jnplot = TRUE)
Interpretation: The following graph indicates a downwards linear regression where the moderate and right wing political identities have an increased rate of similarity and eventually overlap, whereas the left is an outlier and maintains a steady decline.
Task 5
Produce the model8 interaction plot from the tutorial, but again using the Netherlands data. Interpret.
model8 <- lm(auth ~ religious + ID + religious*ID, data = df, weights = weight)
interact_plot(model8, pred = religious, modx = ID, jnplot = TRUE)
Interpretation: The data for Task 5 analyzes the relationship between
authoritarian values and religiousity, establishing how the left wing is
less extreme in increase in comparison to the astronomically high
authoritarian values of religious right wingers.