Tutorial 8 (222)
Sebastien Parker
2023-11-29
Initial set-up
# List of packages
packages <- c("tidyverse", "infer", "fst", "modelsummary", "effects", "survey", "MASS", "aod", "interactions", "kableExtra", "flextable", "scales") # add any you need here
# Install packages if they aren't installed already
new_packages <- packages[!(packages %in% installed.packages()[,"Package"])]
if(length(new_packages)) install.packages(new_packages)
# Load the packages
lapply(packages, library, character.only = TRUE)## ── Attaching core tidyverse packages ──────────────────────── tidyverse 2.0.0 ──
## ✔ dplyr 1.1.4 ✔ readr 2.1.5
## ✔ forcats 1.0.0 ✔ stringr 1.5.1
## ✔ ggplot2 3.4.4 ✔ tibble 3.2.1
## ✔ lubridate 1.9.3 ✔ tidyr 1.3.0
## ✔ purrr 1.0.2
## ── Conflicts ────────────────────────────────────────── tidyverse_conflicts() ──
## ✖ dplyr::filter() masks stats::filter()
## ✖ dplyr::lag() masks stats::lag()
## ℹ Use the conflicted package (<http://conflicted.r-lib.org/>) to force all conflicts to become errors## Warning: package 'infer' was built under R version 4.3.3## Warning: package 'effects' was built under R version 4.3.3## Loading required package: carData## Warning: package 'carData' was built under R version 4.3.3## lattice theme set by effectsTheme()
## See ?effectsTheme for details.## Warning: package 'survey' was built under R version 4.3.3## Loading required package: grid
## Loading required package: Matrix
##
## Attaching package: 'Matrix'
##
## The following objects are masked from 'package:tidyr':
##
## expand, pack, unpack
##
## Loading required package: survival
##
## Attaching package: 'survey'
##
## The following object is masked from 'package:graphics':
##
## dotchart
##
##
## Attaching package: 'MASS'
##
## The following object is masked from 'package:dplyr':
##
## select## Warning: package 'aod' was built under R version 4.3.3##
## Attaching package: 'aod'
##
## The following object is masked from 'package:survival':
##
## rats## Warning: package 'interactions' was built under R version 4.3.3##
## Attaching package: 'kableExtra'
##
## The following object is masked from 'package:dplyr':
##
## group_rows## Warning: package 'flextable' was built under R version 4.3.3##
## Attaching package: 'flextable'
##
## The following objects are masked from 'package:kableExtra':
##
## as_image, footnote
##
## The following object is masked from 'package:purrr':
##
## compose
##
##
## Attaching package: 'scales'
##
## The following object is masked from 'package:purrr':
##
## discard
##
## The following object is masked from 'package:readr':
##
## col_factor## [[1]]
## [1] "lubridate" "forcats" "stringr" "dplyr" "purrr" "readr"
## [7] "tidyr" "tibble" "ggplot2" "tidyverse" "stats" "graphics"
## [13] "grDevices" "utils" "datasets" "methods" "base"
##
## [[2]]
## [1] "infer" "lubridate" "forcats" "stringr" "dplyr" "purrr"
## [7] "readr" "tidyr" "tibble" "ggplot2" "tidyverse" "stats"
## [13] "graphics" "grDevices" "utils" "datasets" "methods" "base"
##
## [[3]]
## [1] "fst" "infer" "lubridate" "forcats" "stringr" "dplyr"
## [7] "purrr" "readr" "tidyr" "tibble" "ggplot2" "tidyverse"
## [13] "stats" "graphics" "grDevices" "utils" "datasets" "methods"
## [19] "base"
##
## [[4]]
## [1] "modelsummary" "fst" "infer" "lubridate" "forcats"
## [6] "stringr" "dplyr" "purrr" "readr" "tidyr"
## [11] "tibble" "ggplot2" "tidyverse" "stats" "graphics"
## [16] "grDevices" "utils" "datasets" "methods" "base"
##
## [[5]]
## [1] "effects" "carData" "modelsummary" "fst" "infer"
## [6] "lubridate" "forcats" "stringr" "dplyr" "purrr"
## [11] "readr" "tidyr" "tibble" "ggplot2" "tidyverse"
## [16] "stats" "graphics" "grDevices" "utils" "datasets"
## [21] "methods" "base"
##
## [[6]]
## [1] "survey" "survival" "Matrix" "grid" "effects"
## [6] "carData" "modelsummary" "fst" "infer" "lubridate"
## [11] "forcats" "stringr" "dplyr" "purrr" "readr"
## [16] "tidyr" "tibble" "ggplot2" "tidyverse" "stats"
## [21] "graphics" "grDevices" "utils" "datasets" "methods"
## [26] "base"
##
## [[7]]
## [1] "MASS" "survey" "survival" "Matrix" "grid"
## [6] "effects" "carData" "modelsummary" "fst" "infer"
## [11] "lubridate" "forcats" "stringr" "dplyr" "purrr"
## [16] "readr" "tidyr" "tibble" "ggplot2" "tidyverse"
## [21] "stats" "graphics" "grDevices" "utils" "datasets"
## [26] "methods" "base"
##
## [[8]]
## [1] "aod" "MASS" "survey" "survival" "Matrix"
## [6] "grid" "effects" "carData" "modelsummary" "fst"
## [11] "infer" "lubridate" "forcats" "stringr" "dplyr"
## [16] "purrr" "readr" "tidyr" "tibble" "ggplot2"
## [21] "tidyverse" "stats" "graphics" "grDevices" "utils"
## [26] "datasets" "methods" "base"
##
## [[9]]
## [1] "interactions" "aod" "MASS" "survey" "survival"
## [6] "Matrix" "grid" "effects" "carData" "modelsummary"
## [11] "fst" "infer" "lubridate" "forcats" "stringr"
## [16] "dplyr" "purrr" "readr" "tidyr" "tibble"
## [21] "ggplot2" "tidyverse" "stats" "graphics" "grDevices"
## [26] "utils" "datasets" "methods" "base"
##
## [[10]]
## [1] "kableExtra" "interactions" "aod" "MASS" "survey"
## [6] "survival" "Matrix" "grid" "effects" "carData"
## [11] "modelsummary" "fst" "infer" "lubridate" "forcats"
## [16] "stringr" "dplyr" "purrr" "readr" "tidyr"
## [21] "tibble" "ggplot2" "tidyverse" "stats" "graphics"
## [26] "grDevices" "utils" "datasets" "methods" "base"
##
## [[11]]
## [1] "flextable" "kableExtra" "interactions" "aod" "MASS"
## [6] "survey" "survival" "Matrix" "grid" "effects"
## [11] "carData" "modelsummary" "fst" "infer" "lubridate"
## [16] "forcats" "stringr" "dplyr" "purrr" "readr"
## [21] "tidyr" "tibble" "ggplot2" "tidyverse" "stats"
## [26] "graphics" "grDevices" "utils" "datasets" "methods"
## [31] "base"
##
## [[12]]
## [1] "scales" "flextable" "kableExtra" "interactions" "aod"
## [6] "MASS" "survey" "survival" "Matrix" "grid"
## [11] "effects" "carData" "modelsummary" "fst" "infer"
## [16] "lubridate" "forcats" "stringr" "dplyr" "purrr"
## [21] "readr" "tidyr" "tibble" "ggplot2" "tidyverse"
## [26] "stats" "graphics" "grDevices" "utils" "datasets"
## [31] "methods" "base"#Task 1
germany_data <- read_fst("germany_data.fst")df <- germany_data# Setting values greater than 10 to NA
df$trstplt <- ifelse(df$trstplt > 10, NA, df$trstplt)
df$trstprl <- ifelse(df$trstprl > 10, NA, df$trstprl)
df$trstprt <- ifelse(df$trstprt > 10, NA, df$trstprt)
# Creating and rescaling the trust variable
df$trust <- scales::rescale(df$trstplt + df$trstprl + df$trstprt, na.rm = TRUE, to = c(0, 100))
# Here's how you would "flip it" because populist is conceived by N + I as 'anti-trust'
# As Schafer explains there are some issues with that conceptualization, but N + I is also widely applied
df$populist <- scales::rescale(df$trust, na.rm = TRUE, to=c(100,0))df <- df %>%
mutate(
cohort = ifelse(yrbrn < 1930 | yrbrn > 2000, NA, yrbrn),
# Recoding generational cohorts based on the year of birth (yrbrn).
# The year of birth is categorized into different generational cohorts.
# Interwar (1900-1945), Baby Boomers (1946-1964), Gen X (1965-1979), Millennials (1980-1996).
# The 'TRUE' line is a catch-all that keeps the original year of birth for those not in these ranges.
gen = case_when(
yrbrn %in% 1900:1945 ~ "1",
yrbrn %in% 1946:1964 ~ "2",
yrbrn %in% 1965:1979 ~ "3",
yrbrn %in% 1980:1996 ~ "4",
TRUE ~ as.character(yrbrn)
),
# After recoding, the gen variable is converted into a factor with labels for clearer interpretation.
# Factors are used in R to handle categorical variables.
gen = factor(gen,
levels = c("1", "2", "3", "4"),
labels = c("Interwar", "Baby Boomers", "Gen X", "Millennials"))
)
table(df$gen)##
## Interwar Baby Boomers Gen X Millennials
## 6373 11474 7648 6704# The dataframe is further updated to recode trust and political interest # note: you could have done it one, integrating above, but I broke it down
df <- df %>%
mutate(
# Recoding the 'ppltrst' variable, which seems to measure trust on a scale from 0 to 10.
# Special codes like 77, 88, 99 are probably used for missing data and are set to NA.
# Trust levels are categorized as 'Low', 'Mid', and 'High'.
Capital = case_when(
ppltrst %in% c(77, 88, 99) ~ NA_character_,
ppltrst >= 0 & ppltrst <= 3 ~ "Low",
ppltrst >= 4 & ppltrst <= 6 ~ "Mid",
ppltrst >= 7 & ppltrst <= 10 ~ "High",
TRUE ~ as.character(ppltrst)
),
# Recoding 'polintr' variable, which seems to measure political interest.
# Values of 1 and 2 indicate 'Interested', 3 and 4 'Not Interested'.
# Special codes like 7, 8, 9 (likely missing data) are set to NA.
Politically = case_when(
polintr %in% c(1, 2) ~ "Interested",
polintr %in% c(3, 4) ~ "Not Interested",
polintr %in% c(7, 8, 9) ~ NA_character_
)
)df <- df %>%
mutate(behave = ipbhprp,
secure = impsafe,
safety = ipstrgv,
tradition = imptrad,
rules = ipfrule) %>%
mutate(across(c("behave", "secure", "safety", "tradition", "rules"),
~ na_if(.x, 7) %>% na_if(8) %>% na_if(9))) %>%
# Apply the reverse coding
mutate(across(c("behave", "secure", "safety", "tradition", "rules"), ~ 7 - .x ))
# Now you can calculate 'schwartzauth' after the NA recoding
df$auth <- scales::rescale(df$behave +
df$secure +
df$safety +
df$tradition +
df$rules, to=c(0,100), na.rm=TRUE)
df <- df %>% filter(!is.na(auth))df <- df %>%
mutate(
polID = case_when(
lrscale %in% 0:3 ~ "Left",
lrscale %in% 7:10 ~ "Right",
lrscale %in% 4:6 ~ "Moderate",
lrscale %in% c(77, 88, 99) ~ NA_character_
),
religious = case_when(
rlgdgr %in% c(77, 88, 99) ~ NA_real_,
TRUE ~ rlgdgr
)
)model3 <- lm(auth ~ polID + religious, data = df, weights = weight)
model4 <- lm(auth ~ polID + religious + polID*religious, data = df, weights = weight)modelsummary(
list(model3, model4),
fmt = 1,
estimate = c( "{estimate} ({std.error}){stars}",
"{estimate} ({std.error}){stars}"),
statistic = NULL)| (1) | (2) | |
|---|---|---|
| (Intercept) | 57.5 (0.7)*** | 59.6 (0.9)*** |
| polIDModerate | 5.3 (0.7)*** | 2.6 (1.1)* |
| polIDRight | 9.3 (1.1)*** | 3.4 (1.9)+ |
| religious | 0.3 (0.1)** | −0.3 (0.2)+ |
| polIDModerate × religious | 0.8 (0.2)** | |
| polIDRight × religious | 1.5 (0.4)*** | |
| Num.Obs. | 2855 | 2855 |
| R2 | 0.035 | 0.041 |
| R2 Adj. | 0.034 | 0.039 |
| AIC | 24680.0 | 24665.5 |
| BIC | 24709.7 | 24707.2 |
| Log.Lik. | −12334.978 | −12325.764 |
| RMSE | 17.13 | 17.13 |
#When we hold the same level of convictions, the average score of the politically moderate group is 5.3 points higher than the politically left group on a particular scale (let’s use authoritarian principles as an example). Speaking of the “baseline group,” we mean the group to whom we are not making a direct comparison, in this case, left-leaning individuals. Similarly, assuming a constant level of religiousness, the average score for individuals who identify as politically right is 9.3 points higher than that of individuals who identify as politically left.
#Assuming that the individuals being compared have similar political inclinations, we anticipate seeing a rise of 0.3 points on the authoritarian values scale for every unit increase in religiousness.
#Our degree of confidence in these results is indicated by the
symbols *** and * next to the coefficients. Based on the statistical
method we employed, they indicate that the likelihood of these results
occurring by accident is less than 0.1%.
#Task 2
interaction_plot <- effect("polID*religious", model4, na.rm=TRUE)
plot(interaction_plot,
main="Interaction effect",
xlab="Religiousness",
ylab="Authoritarian attitudes scale")
interaction_plot##
## polID*religious effect
## religious
## polID 0 2 5 8 10
## Left 59.61010 58.93398 57.91980 56.90562 56.22950
## Moderate 62.21299 63.14317 64.53843 65.93370 66.86388
## Right 63.00456 65.26702 68.66072 72.05442 74.31689#I notice a tendency for persons with left-leaning political views to become less authoritarian as they grow more committed. However, as individuals get more religious, their authoritarian tendencies tend to increase when they tilt to the right. In a comparable manner leaning moderately is similar to leaning right for people in the center, except there is less of an increase in authoritarian tendencies. It resembles a minor adjustment. Furthermore, a graph illustrating these relationships doesn’t have straight, parallel lines, indicating the presence of an interaction effect. This indicates that the three variables—religion, political inclinations, and authoritarian views—are all interacting with one another.
#Task 3
netherlands_data <- read_fst("netherlands_data.fst")df <- netherlands_data# Setting values greater than 10 to NA
df$trstplt <- ifelse(df$trstplt > 10, NA, df$trstplt)
df$trstprl <- ifelse(df$trstprl > 10, NA, df$trstprl)
df$trstprt <- ifelse(df$trstprt > 10, NA, df$trstprt)
# Creating and rescaling the trust variable
df$trust <- scales::rescale(df$trstplt + df$trstprl + df$trstprt, na.rm = TRUE, to = c(0, 100))
# Here's how you would "flip it" because populist is conceived by N + I as 'anti-trust'
# As Schafer explains there are some issues with that conceptualization, but N + I is also widely applied
df$populist <- scales::rescale(df$trust, na.rm = TRUE, to=c(100,0))df <- df %>%
mutate(
cohort = ifelse(yrbrn < 1930 | yrbrn > 2000, NA, yrbrn),
# Recoding generational cohorts based on the year of birth (yrbrn).
# The year of birth is categorized into different generational cohorts.
# Interwar (1900-1945), Baby Boomers (1946-1964), Gen X (1965-1979), Millennials (1980-1996).
# The 'TRUE' line is a catch-all that keeps the original year of birth for those not in these ranges.
gen = case_when(
yrbrn %in% 1900:1945 ~ "1",
yrbrn %in% 1946:1964 ~ "2",
yrbrn %in% 1965:1979 ~ "3",
yrbrn %in% 1980:1996 ~ "4",
TRUE ~ as.character(yrbrn)
),
# After recoding, the gen variable is converted into a factor with labels for clearer interpretation.
# Factors are used in R to handle categorical variables.
gen = factor(gen,
levels = c("1", "2", "3", "4"),
labels = c("Interwar", "Baby Boomers", "Gen X", "Millennials"))
)
table(df$gen)##
## Interwar Baby Boomers Gen X Millennials
## 3967 6359 4684 2803# The dataframe is further updated to recode trust and political interest # note: you could have done it one, integrating above, but I broke it down
df <- df %>%
mutate(
# Recoding the 'ppltrst' variable, which seems to measure trust on a scale from 0 to 10.
# Special codes like 77, 88, 99 are probably used for missing data and are set to NA.
# Trust levels are categorized as 'Low', 'Mid', and 'High'.
Capital = case_when(
ppltrst %in% c(77, 88, 99) ~ NA_character_,
ppltrst >= 0 & ppltrst <= 3 ~ "Low",
ppltrst >= 4 & ppltrst <= 6 ~ "Mid",
ppltrst >= 7 & ppltrst <= 10 ~ "High",
TRUE ~ as.character(ppltrst)
),
# Recoding 'polintr' variable, which seems to measure political interest.
# Values of 1 and 2 indicate 'Interested', 3 and 4 'Not Interested'.
# Special codes like 7, 8, 9 (likely missing data) are set to NA.
Politically = case_when(
polintr %in% c(1, 2) ~ "Interested",
polintr %in% c(3, 4) ~ "Not Interested",
polintr %in% c(7, 8, 9) ~ NA_character_
)
)df <- df %>%
mutate(behave = ipbhprp,
secure = impsafe,
safety = ipstrgv,
tradition = imptrad,
rules = ipfrule) %>%
mutate(across(c("behave", "secure", "safety", "tradition", "rules"),
~ na_if(.x, 7) %>% na_if(8) %>% na_if(9))) %>%
# Apply the reverse coding
mutate(across(c("behave", "secure", "safety", "tradition", "rules"), ~ 7 - .x ))
# Now you can calculate 'schwartzauth' after the NA recoding
df$auth <- scales::rescale(df$behave +
df$secure +
df$safety +
df$tradition +
df$rules, to=c(0,100), na.rm=TRUE)
df <- df %>% filter(!is.na(auth))df <- df %>%
mutate(
polID = case_when(
lrscale %in% 0:3 ~ "Left",
lrscale %in% 7:10 ~ "Right",
lrscale %in% 4:6 ~ "Moderate",
lrscale %in% c(77, 88, 99) ~ NA_character_
),
religious = case_when(
rlgdgr %in% c(77, 88, 99) ~ NA_real_,
TRUE ~ rlgdgr
)
)df <- df %>%
mutate(religion = case_when(
rlgblg == 2 ~ "No",
rlgblg == 1 ~ "Yes",
rlgblg %in% c(7, 8, 9) ~ NA_character_,
TRUE ~ as.character(rlgblg)
))
# check
table(df$religion)##
## No Yes
## 10913 6750df <- df %>%
mutate(ID = case_when(
lrscale >= 0 & lrscale <= 4 ~ "Left",
lrscale >= 6 & lrscale <= 10 ~ "Right",
lrscale > 10 ~ NA_character_, # Set values above 10 as NA
TRUE ~ NA_character_ # Ensure value 5 and any other unexpected values are set as NA
))
table(df$ID)##
## Left Right
## 5449 7010`
model5 <- lm(auth ~ religion + ID + gen, data = df, weights = weight)
model6 <- lm(auth ~ religion + ID + gen + religion*gen, data = df, weights = weight)modelsummary(
list(model5, model6),
fmt = 1,
estimate = c( "{estimate} ({std.error}){stars}",
"{estimate} ({std.error}){stars}"),
statistic = NULL,
coef_omit = "Intercept")| (1) | (2) | |
|---|---|---|
| religionYes | 8.2 (0.9)*** | 7.5 (2.1)*** |
| IDRight | 3.4 (0.9)*** | 3.4 (0.9)*** |
| genBaby Boomers | −5.8 (1.3)*** | −6.5 (1.7)*** |
| genGen X | −7.3 (1.4)*** | −7.6 (1.8)*** |
| genMillennials | −8.6 (1.5)*** | −8.6 (1.9)*** |
| religionYes × genBaby Boomers | 1.6 (2.6) | |
| religionYes × genGen X | 0.5 (2.8) | |
| religionYes × genMillennials | −0.6 (3.2) | |
| Num.Obs. | 1147 | 1147 |
| R2 | 0.126 | 0.127 |
| R2 Adj. | 0.123 | 0.121 |
| AIC | 9479.3 | 9484.5 |
| BIC | 9514.7 | 9535.0 |
| Log.Lik. | −4732.669 | −4732.251 |
| RMSE | 14.94 | 14.94 |
#On a particular scale, the average scores of religious persons are 8.2 points higher than those of nonreligious political leftists. When their level of religiosity is the same, people who lean politically to the right typically score 3.4 points higher on the scale than the reference group.On the scale, Baby Boomers are 5.8 points lower than the reference group.Even worse, Generation X receives 7.3 points less than the reference.The largest decline is seen in millennials, who scored 8.6 points less than the reference group. This discrepancy is noteworthy because it demonstrates how Millennials diverge most from left-leaning individuals. All these findings are very reliable, with a less than 0.1% chance of being due to chance, according to our statistical analysis.
#Task 4
model7 <- lm(auth ~ + cohort + polID + cohort*polID, data = df, weights = weight)
interact_plot(model7, pred = cohort, modx = polID, jnplot = TRUE)
#The left- and right-leaning groupings appear to be traveling in the same general direction, although the right-leaning group is shrinking more quickly. Additionally, they begin at various degrees of authoritarianism. At approximately 60, left-leaning tends to be the least, moderate in the middle at approximately 68, and right-leaning at approximately 78. All groups demonstrate a decline in authoritarian views as the decades go by. The generations that lean left have seen the least change, while those that lean right have seen the most. Finally, the greatest variances in levels of authoritarian attitudes are found among left-leaning political individuals.
#Task 5
model8 <- lm(auth ~ religious + ID + religious*ID, data = df, weights = weight)
interact_plot(model8, pred = religious, modx = ID, jnplot = TRUE)
#It appears that ID right begins at 60 and ID left at 55. As both groups grow more religious, authoritarian views become increasingly prevalent. Although they have quite equal slopes, left-leaning has a little steeper one.