# List of packages
packages <- c("tidyverse", "infer", "fst") # add any you need here

# Install packages if they aren't installed already
new_packages <- packages[!(packages %in% installed.packages()[,"Package"])]
if(length(new_packages)) install.packages(new_packages)

# Load the packages
lapply(packages, library, character.only = TRUE)
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france_data <- read.fst("france_data.fst")

Task 1 Based on the recoding of lrscale for “left” and “right” and omitting “moderates” (see Tutorial 4), and educ.ba from this tutorial, do the long form coding for Chi-Square. Using the steps outlined in the tutorial, first generate the tables of expected proportions and frequencies. Determine and interpret the critical value for independence. Finally, determine and interpret both the Pearson’s chi-squared statistic and the p-value. Discuss main takeaways.

france_data <- france_data %>%
  # Filter for France
  filter(cntry == "FR") %>%
  
  # Recoding clsprty and cleaning trstplt (will use later)
  mutate(
    clsprty = case_when(
      clsprty == 1 ~ "Yes",  # Recode 1 to "Yes"
      clsprty == 2 ~ "No",   # Recode 2 to "No"
      clsprty %in% c(7, 8, 9) ~ NA_character_,  # Handle other specific cases where you want to set it as NA
      TRUE ~ as.character(clsprty)  # Keep other values as-is but ensure they are characters
    ),
    trstplt = ifelse(trstplt %in% c(77, 88, 99), NA, trstplt),
    
    # Recoding gender
    gndr = case_when(
      gndr == 1 ~ "Male",
      gndr == 2 ~ "Female",
      gndr == 9 ~ NA_character_,
      TRUE ~ as.character(gndr)
    ),
 
    # Recoding education with case_when for consistency
    educ.ba = case_when(
      essround < 5 & edulvla == 5 ~ "BA or more",
      essround >= 5 & edulvlb > 600 ~ "BA or more",
      TRUE ~ "No BA"
    )
  ) %>%
  # Ensure all NAs are handled uniformly
  mutate(
    edulvla = ifelse(edulvla %in% c(77, 88), NA_integer_, edulvla),
    edulvlb = ifelse(edulvlb %in% c(5555, 7777, 8888), NA_integer_, edulvlb),
    educ.ba = as.character(educ.ba)  # Force educ.ba to be treated as character
  )
france_data <- france_data %>%
  mutate(
    lrscale = case_when(
      lrscale %in% 0:3 ~ "Left",
      lrscale %in% 7:10 ~ "Right",
      lrscale %in% c(77, 88, 99) ~ NA_character_
    ),
    Gen = case_when(
      yrbrn %in% 1900:1945 ~ "1",                   
      yrbrn %in% 1946:1964 ~ "2",                   
      yrbrn %in% 1965:1979 ~ "3",                   
      yrbrn %in% 1980:1996 ~ "4",                   
      TRUE ~ as.character(yrbrn)                    
    ),

    Gen = factor(Gen, levels = c("1", "2", "3", "4"),
                 labels = c("Interwar", "Baby Boomers", "Gen X", "Millennials"))
  )
## Not necessary, but always good to rename when doing operations so you can backtrack to clean dataset
tab_dat <- france_data

# Create a crosstable and save it into the object mytab
mytab <- table(tab_dat$clsprty, tab_dat$educ.ba)

# Calculate row-wise sums of counts in table 
rsums <- rowSums(mytab)

# Calculate column-wise sums of counts in table
csums <- colSums(mytab)

# Get the total count of the table (N)
N <- sum(mytab)

# Generate table of expected proportions
ptab <- tcrossprod(rsums/N, csums/N)
cat("Table of Expected Proportions:\n")
## Table of Expected Proportions:
print(ptab)
##           [,1]      [,2]
## [1,] 0.1101248 0.3815066
## [2,] 0.1138739 0.3944946
# Table of expected frequencies
ftab <- N * ptab
cat("Table of Expected Frequencies:\n")
## Table of Expected Frequencies:
print(ftab)
##          [,1]     [,2]
## [1,] 2059.444 7134.556
## [2,] 2129.556 7377.444
# Critical Value for Independence:
alpha <- 0.05 # significance level
c_val <- qchisq(alpha, df = 1, lower.tail = FALSE)
cat("Critical Value:", round(c_val, 3), "\n")
## Critical Value: 3.841

We reject the null hypothesis at the 0.05 sigifiance level, since the Chi-squared test statistic exceeds 3.841.There is a signficiant association between feeling close to a party and education level.

# Pearson's chi-squared statistic:
test_stat <- sum((mytab - ftab)^2 / ftab)
cat("Pearson's X^2:", round(test_stat, 4), "\n")
## Pearson's X^2: 166.1849

The Observed value is greater than the critical value. Suggesting it is significantly different, even if we were to expect things were unrelated.There is a sigificant association between placement on left right scale and a person’s educational level, which means that the probability of placement on left right scale is not identical across the different education levels.

# p-value:
p_val <- pchisq(test_stat, df = 1, lower.tail = F)
cat("p-value:", round(p_val, 4), "\n")
## p-value: 0
# Using chisq.test for validation:
cat("Chi-squared test result:\n")
## Chi-squared test result:
print(chisq.test(mytab, correct = F))
## 
##  Pearson's Chi-squared test
## 
## data:  mytab
## X-squared = 166.18, df = 1, p-value < 2.2e-16

Since p-value < 2.2e-16 is in scientific notation suggests its super close to 0. Since it is close to 0, we reject null hypothesis that the two variables are independent of each other.The Chi-squred test demonstrates that if two categorical variables are independent or if they are associated somehow.There is a good association between the two variables.

Task 2 Do Steps 1 to 3 using the infer package (as we did in the tutorial), for the variables sbbsntx (recoded to the corresponding 5 categories) as the response and domicil (recoded to urban and rural, setting 2 to urban instead of peri-urban) as the explanatory variable for the country of France.

See variable info here: https://ess.sikt.no/en/datafile/ffc43f48-e15a-4a1c-8813-47eda377c355/92?tab=1&elements=[%22874a86e2-a0f6-40b4-aef7-51c8eed98a7d/1%22])

Provide interpretations of the output (consider the variable info).

france_data <- read.fst("france_data.fst")
table(france_data$domicil)
## 
##    1    2    3    4    5    7    8 
## 3584 2361 6257 5668 1162    3    3
table(france_data$sbbsntx)
## 
##    1    2    3    4    5    7    8 
##  757 1538  804  640  301    3  100
france_data <- france_data %>%
  mutate(
    sbbsntx = recode(as.character(sbbsntx), 
                 '1' = "Agree Strongly", 
                 '2' = "Agree",
                 '3' = "Neither agree nor disagree", 
                 '4' = "Disagree", 
                 '5' = "Disagree strongly",
                 '7' = NA_character_,
                 '8' = NA_character_,
                 '9' = NA_character_)
  ) %>%
  filter(!is.na(sbbsntx))
france_data <- france_data %>%
  mutate(
    domicil = recode(as.character(domicil), 
                 '1' = "Urban", 
                 '2' = "Urban",
                 '3' = "Rural", 
                 '4' = "Rural", 
                 '5' = "Rural",
                 '7' = NA_character_,
                 '8' = NA_character_,
                 '9' = NA_character_)
  ) %>%
  filter(!is.na(domicil))
test_stat <- france_data %>%
  specify(explanatory = domicil, # change variable name for explanatory variable
          response = sbbsntx) %>% # change variable name for outcome of interest
  hypothesize(null = "independence") %>%
  calculate(stat = "chisq") # replace in between quotation marks appropriate test statistic

print(test_stat$stat)
## X-squared 
##  19.97187

19.97 is the chi-squared statistic, demonstrating that there is a big assoication between ubran and rural. There are levels of agreement on social benefits/services cost businesses too much in taxes/charges.

null_distribution <- france_data %>%
  specify(explanatory = domicil,
          response = sbbsntx) %>%
  hypothesize(null = "independence") %>%
  generate(reps = 1000, type = "permute") %>% # only line we are adding, use reps = 1000 as standard but change if too computationally demanding
  calculate(stat = "chisq")
p_val <- null_distribution %>% # replace name here if you assigned something other than null_distribution above
  get_pvalue(obs_stat = test_stat, direction = "two-sided") # would only replace test_stat if assigned another name in Step 1
## Warning: Please be cautious in reporting a p-value of 0. This result is an approximation
## based on the number of `reps` chosen in the `generate()` step.
## ℹ See `get_p_value()` (`?infer::get_p_value()`) for more information.
p_val
## # A tibble: 1 × 1
##   p_value
##     <dbl>
## 1       0

P value is basically 0 under the assumptions of the hypothesis testing, suggesting strong evidence to reject the null. Task 3 Now do Step 4 (i.e., the null distribution visualization with confidence intervals) for the same variables and country as Task 2, and interpret the output.

null_distribution %>%
  visualize() +
  shade_p_value(obs_stat = test_stat, direction = "two-sided")
## Warning: Chi-Square usually corresponds to right-tailed tests. Proceed with
## caution.

null_distribution
## Response: sbbsntx (factor)
## Explanatory: domicil (factor)
## Null Hypothesis: independence
## # A tibble: 1,000 × 2
##    replicate  stat
##        <int> <dbl>
##  1         1 6.91 
##  2         2 2.89 
##  3         3 4.17 
##  4         4 6.62 
##  5         5 1.48 
##  6         6 2.12 
##  7         7 3.97 
##  8         8 1.04 
##  9         9 2.22 
## 10        10 0.463
## # ℹ 990 more rows
conf_int <- null_distribution %>%
  get_confidence_interval(level = 0.95, type = "percentile")


null_distribution %>%
  visualize() +
  shade_p_value(obs_stat = test_stat, direction = "greater") +
  shade_confidence_interval(endpoints = conf_int)

null_distribution
## Response: sbbsntx (factor)
## Explanatory: domicil (factor)
## Null Hypothesis: independence
## # A tibble: 1,000 × 2
##    replicate  stat
##        <int> <dbl>
##  1         1 6.91 
##  2         2 2.89 
##  3         3 4.17 
##  4         4 6.62 
##  5         5 1.48 
##  6         6 2.12 
##  7         7 3.97 
##  8         8 1.04 
##  9         9 2.22 
## 10        10 0.463
## # ℹ 990 more rows

It is right-skewed distribution, suggesting the three M’s (Mean, median, & mode) are under 10. Red line does not fall within the null distribution, proving against the null hypothesis.The red line falls out at 20. Task 4 Conduct Steps 1 to 3 using the infer package (as we did in the tutorial), for the variables ccrdprs (leaving it on the 0-10 numeric scale) as the response (or outcome) variable and lrscale (recoded as left and right, omitting “moderates” as we did in Task 1) as the explanatory variable.

france_data <- france_data %>%
  # Filter for France
  filter(cntry == "FR") %>%
  
     # Recoding 'lrscale' 
    mutate(
    lrscale = case_when(
      lrscale %in% 0:3 ~ "Left",                    # Values 0 to 3 in 'lrscale' are categorized as "Left"
      lrscale %in% 7:10 ~ "Right",                  # Values 7 to 10 in 'lrscale' are categorized as "Right"
      lrscale %in% 4:6 ~ "Moderate",                # Values 4 to 6 in 'lrscale' are categorized as "Moderate"
      lrscale %in% c(77, 88, 99) ~ NA_character_    # Values 77, 88, 99 in 'lrscale' are set as NA
    ),

    ccrdprs = ifelse(ccrdprs %in% c(66, 77, 88, 99), NA, ccrdprs),   # Set values 66, 77, 88, 99 in 'ccrdprs' to NA
  )
test_stat <- france_data %>%
  specify(explanatory = lrscale, # change variable name for explanatory variable
          response = ccrdprs) %>% # change variable name for outcome of interest
  hypothesize(null = "independence") %>%
  calculate(stat = "F") 
## Warning: Removed 2200 rows containing missing values.
print(test_stat$stat)
## [1] 12.48013

Sigificant association between placement on left right scale and levels of feeling personal responsibility to reduce climate change. Being right or left dictates their level of feeling personal responsbility to reduce climate change.

null_distribution <- france_data %>%
  specify(explanatory = lrscale,
          response = ccrdprs) %>%
  hypothesize(null = "independence") %>%
  generate(reps = 1000, type = "permute") %>% # only line we are adding, use reps = 1000 as standard but change if too computationally demanding
  calculate(stat = "F")
## Warning: Removed 2200 rows containing missing values.
p_val <- null_distribution %>% # replace name here if you assigned something other than null_distribution above
  get_pvalue(obs_stat = test_stat, direction = "greater") # would only replace test_stat if assigned another name in Step 1
## Warning: Please be cautious in reporting a p-value of 0. This result is an approximation
## based on the number of `reps` chosen in the `generate()` step.
## ℹ See `get_p_value()` (`?infer::get_p_value()`) for more information.
p_val
## # A tibble: 1 × 1
##   p_value
##     <dbl>
## 1       0

P-value is 0, so we can reject the null hypothesis.

Variable info here: https://ess.sikt.no/en/datafile/ffc43f48-e15a-4a1c-8813-47eda377c355/92?tab=1&elements=[%2283b08cf2-508e-49a0-9fc8-c3cc281290ec/4%22]

Provide interpretations of the output (consider the variable info).

Task 5 Now do Step 4 (i.e., the null distribution visualization with confidence intervals) for the same variables and country as Task 4, and interpret the output.

null_distribution %>%
  visualize() +
  shade_p_value(obs_stat = test_stat, direction = "two-sided")
## Warning: F usually corresponds to right-tailed tests. Proceed with caution.

null_distribution
## Response: ccrdprs (numeric)
## Explanatory: lrscale (factor)
## Null Hypothesis: independence
## # A tibble: 1,000 × 2
##    replicate  stat
##        <int> <dbl>
##  1         1 5.28 
##  2         2 0.257
##  3         3 0.960
##  4         4 3.23 
##  5         5 0.570
##  6         6 0.431
##  7         7 0.906
##  8         8 0.391
##  9         9 1.46 
## 10        10 2.01 
## # ℹ 990 more rows
conf_int <- null_distribution %>%
  get_confidence_interval(level = 0.95, type = "percentile")


null_distribution %>%
  visualize() +
  shade_p_value(obs_stat = test_stat, direction = "greater") +
  shade_confidence_interval(endpoints = conf_int)
## Warning in min(diff(unique_loc)): no non-missing arguments to min; returning
## Inf

null_distribution
## Response: ccrdprs (numeric)
## Explanatory: lrscale (factor)
## Null Hypothesis: independence
## # A tibble: 1,000 × 2
##    replicate  stat
##        <int> <dbl>
##  1         1 5.28 
##  2         2 0.257
##  3         3 0.960
##  4         4 3.23 
##  5         5 0.570
##  6         6 0.431
##  7         7 0.906
##  8         8 0.391
##  9         9 1.46 
## 10        10 2.01 
## # ℹ 990 more rows

Right-skewed distribution. Confidence intervals are between 0 and 5, proving that the true value is likely to fall within this range. Red line does not fall within the null distribution (rejects the null hypothesis). P-value = 0 rejects null as well.