February 17, 2024

Introduction to CO₂ Emissions

  • Definition of CO₂: A colorless gas with a density about 53% higher than that of dry air. CO₂ molecules absorb and emit infrared radiation, contributing to the greenhouse effect.
  • Primary sources: The burning of fossil fuels like coal, oil, and natural gas for energy and transportation, deforestation for agriculture, and industrial processes.
  • Impact: The leading driver of climate change, affecting weather patterns, increasing the frequency of extreme weather events, and causing sea-level rise.

Combating Urban Air Pollution: A Call to Action

  • Affects over 90% of urban dwellers, exacerbating health issues and environmental injustice.
  • Transportation and industrial activities in cities are major contributors.
  • Linked to increased respiratory and cardiovascular diseases.

Global CO₂ Emissions Over Time

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Data Cleaning Steps

Exploratory Data Analysis

##       Year        Emissions     
##  Min.   :1750   Min.   : 0.030  
##  1st Qu.:1820   1st Qu.: 0.060  
##  Median :1890   Median : 0.430  
##  Mean   :1890   Mean   : 5.938  
##  3rd Qu.:1960   3rd Qu.: 3.740  
##  Max.   :2023   Max.   :40.900

Visualising the trend over time

The Composition of Air

  • Major components: Nitrogen (~78%), Oxygen (~21%), Argon (~0.93%), Carbon Dioxide (~0.04%).
  • Minor gases: Include Neon, Helium, Methane, Krypton, Hydrogen, Xenon.
  • Water vapour: A variable component, significant for its role in weather and climate.

The Greenhouse Effect

  • Natural process: Sunlight warms the Earth’s surface, and the surface emits heat. Greenhouse gases trap some of this heat, warming the atmosphere.
  • Role of CO₂: Enhances the natural greenhouse effect, leading to warmer temperatures on Earth’s surface.
  • Impact: Critical for life on Earth in moderation; however, excessive CO₂ levels lead to global warming and climate change.

Data Visualisations

Global CO₂ Emissions: GtCO₂ vs Year.

Pie Chart for Global CO2 Emissions

Linear Regression Prediction for Global CO₂ Emissions: 2030-2039

  • A Linear Regression Prediction for Global CO₂ Emissions spanning 2030 to 2039 provides a forward-looking estimate of emissions trends based on historical data and current trajectories.
  • This predictive model is instrumental in several ways, serving both policymakers and various sectors of society in addressing the challenges posed by climate change and in strategizing for sustainable development.

Resourceful Usage of CO2 Emissions Data

  • Policy Evaluation: It enables policymakers to set realistic, data-driven targets for CO₂ emissions reduction in line with international agreements like the Paris Agreement.
  • Mitigation Planning: Organizations, countries, and regions can use the predictions to plan mitigation efforts, such as investing in renewable energy, enhancing energy efficiency, and developing carbon capture technologies.
  • Resource Allocation: Predictive data helps in prioritizing investments and resources towards sectors and areas with the highest potential for emissions reduction.
  • Risk Management: Businesses and governments can use the data to assess future risks related to climate change, guiding infrastructure development, and resilience planning to mitigate those risks.

Wrapping Up

  • The data reveals a dramatic escalation in global CO2 emissions, emphasizing the necessity for immediate and impactful carbon reduction measures.
  • At this pivotal moment, our choices have profound implications for Earth’s climate, ecosystems, and societies, necessitating decisive action.
  • This concerning trend in emissions accentuates the critical need for a swift shift to sustainable energy, improved efficiency, and advanced solutions.