2024-02-01

Outcome Scenarios

and Interaction Plots

There are five possible outcomes for a factorial experiment with two EVs \(X_1, X_2\).

1. Neither \(X_1\) nor \(X_2\) affect \(Y\)

lm(Y ~ block + X1 + X2 + X1:X2)

  • All ANOVA terms non-significant
  • Most concise description of data: grand mean
  • Y ~ block

“Yield is unaffected by sow rate or variety.”

2. \(X_2\) affects \(Y\), but \(X_1\) does not

lm(Y ~ block + X1 + X2 + X1:X2)

  • ANOVA: only \(X_2\) significant
  • Most concise description of data:
    Y ~ block + X2

“Yield is affected by variety, but not by sow rate”.

3. \(X_1\) affects \(Y\), but \(X_2\) does not

lm(Y ~ block + X1 + X2 + X1:X2)

  • ANOVA: only \(X_1\) significant
  • Most concise description of data:
    Y ~ block + X1

“Yield is affected by sow rate, but not by variety”.

4. \(X_1\) and \(X_2\) affect \(Y\) additively

lm(Y ~ block + X1 + X2 + X1:X2)

  • ANOVA: \(X_1\) and \(X_2\) significant,
    but interaction term not.
  • Most concise description of data:
    Y ~ block + X1 + X2

“Yield is independently affected by sow rate and by variety; the effects are additive”.

5. \(X_1\) and \(X_2\) affect \(Y\) non-additively

lm(Y ~ block + X1 + X2 + X1:X2)

  • ANOVA: interaction term significant.
  • Regardless of significance of main effects!!
  • Most concise description of data: as in model eqn.

“Yield is affected by sow rate and by variety; the effect of sow rate depends on variety and vice versa”.

Order of Interpretation

lm(Y ~ block + X1 + X2 + X1:X2)

Always start with with the interaction: from bottom of ANOVA table up!

  • No significant interaction, but two significant main effects: two simple stories
  • Significant interaction: one more complicated story.

If you have a significant interaction, don’t attempt to interpret the significance of the main effects in the ANOVA:

The significant interaction tells you that both EVs affect \(Y\), so they are obviously both important!