# List of packages
packages <- c("tidyverse", "fst", "modelsummary", "viridis") # add any you need here

# Install packages if they aren't installed already
new_packages <- packages[!(packages %in% installed.packages()[,"Package"])]
if(length(new_packages)) install.packages(new_packages)

# Load the packages
lapply(packages, library, character.only = TRUE)
## ── Attaching core tidyverse packages ──────────────────────── tidyverse 2.0.0 ──
## ✔ dplyr     1.1.4     ✔ readr     2.1.4
## ✔ forcats   1.0.0     ✔ stringr   1.5.1
## ✔ ggplot2   3.4.4     ✔ tibble    3.2.1
## ✔ lubridate 1.9.3     ✔ tidyr     1.3.0
## ✔ purrr     1.0.2     
## ── Conflicts ────────────────────────────────────────── tidyverse_conflicts() ──
## ✖ dplyr::filter() masks stats::filter()
## ✖ dplyr::lag()    masks stats::lag()
## ℹ Use the conflicted package (<http://conflicted.r-lib.org/>) to force all conflicts to become errors
## Loading required package: viridisLite
## [[1]]
##  [1] "lubridate" "forcats"   "stringr"   "dplyr"     "purrr"     "readr"    
##  [7] "tidyr"     "tibble"    "ggplot2"   "tidyverse" "stats"     "graphics" 
## [13] "grDevices" "utils"     "datasets"  "methods"   "base"     
## 
## [[2]]
##  [1] "fst"       "lubridate" "forcats"   "stringr"   "dplyr"     "purrr"    
##  [7] "readr"     "tidyr"     "tibble"    "ggplot2"   "tidyverse" "stats"    
## [13] "graphics"  "grDevices" "utils"     "datasets"  "methods"   "base"     
## 
## [[3]]
##  [1] "modelsummary" "fst"          "lubridate"    "forcats"      "stringr"     
##  [6] "dplyr"        "purrr"        "readr"        "tidyr"        "tibble"      
## [11] "ggplot2"      "tidyverse"    "stats"        "graphics"     "grDevices"   
## [16] "utils"        "datasets"     "methods"      "base"        
## 
## [[4]]
##  [1] "viridis"      "viridisLite"  "modelsummary" "fst"          "lubridate"   
##  [6] "forcats"      "stringr"      "dplyr"        "purrr"        "readr"       
## [11] "tidyr"        "tibble"       "ggplot2"      "tidyverse"    "stats"       
## [16] "graphics"     "grDevices"    "utils"        "datasets"     "methods"     
## [21] "base"

Loading Data into R

france_data <- read.fst("france_data.fst")
france_data <- france_data %>%
  mutate(
    ppltrst = ifelse(ppltrst %in% c(77, 88, 99), NA, ppltrst), # set values 77, 88, and 99 to NA.
  )
table(france_data$ppltrst) # if there are values that are not supposed to be there (e.g., 77, 88, 99 in this case), then we need to deal with it
## 
##    0    1    2    3    4    5    6    7    8    9   10 
## 1240  612 1575 2364 2294 5238 2096 2114 1109  231  148
france_data$year <- NA
replacements <- c(2002, 2004, 2006, 2008, 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016, 2018, 2020)
for(i in 1:10){
  france_data$year[france_data$essround == i] <- replacements[i]
}
table(france_data$year)
## 
## 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 
## 1503 1806 1986 2073 1728 1968 1917 2070 2010 1977
trust_by_year <- france_data %>%
  group_by(year) %>%
  summarize(mean_trust = mean(ppltrst, na.rm = TRUE))
trust_by_year
## # A tibble: 10 × 2
##     year mean_trust
##    <dbl>      <dbl>
##  1  2002       4.47
##  2  2004       4.52
##  3  2006       4.43
##  4  2008       4.45
##  5  2010       4.33
##  6  2012       4.44
##  7  2014       4.67
##  8  2016       4.58
##  9  2018       4.62
## 10  2020       4.69
ggplot(trust_by_year, aes(x = year, y = mean_trust)) +
  geom_line(color = "blue", size = 1) +  # Line to show the trend
  geom_point(color = "red", size = 3) +  # Points to highlight each year's value
  labs(title = "Trust in Others in France (2002-2020)", 
       x = "Survey Year", 
       y = "Average Trust (0-10 scale)") +
  ylim(0, 10) +  # Setting the y-axis limits from 0 to 10
  theme_minimal()
## Warning: Using `size` aesthetic for lines was deprecated in ggplot2 3.4.0.
## ℹ Please use `linewidth` instead.
## This warning is displayed once every 8 hours.
## Call `lifecycle::last_lifecycle_warnings()` to see where this warning was
## generated.

ggplot(trust_by_year, aes(x = year, y = mean_trust)) +
  geom_line(aes(group = 1), color = "blue", size = 1, linetype = "longdash") +  # Dashed line for the trend
#  geom_point(aes(color = mean_trust), size = 3) +  # if you want to try alternative + strive to keep improving
#  scale_color_viridis(option = "D", end = 0.9, direction = -1) +  # try the alternative, and try to keep improving
  labs(title = "Trust in Others in France (2002-2020)", 
       x = "Survey Year", 
       y = "Average Trust (0-10 scale)") +
  ylim(3.5, 5) +  # change the numbers to truncate more or less or keep the full 0 to 10 scale
  theme_minimal() +  # Minimal theme for a clean look
  theme(legend.position = "none")  # Remove the legend

france_data <- france_data %>%
  # Modify 'clsprty' column: set values of 2 to 0, and values in 7, 8, 9 to NA. Retain other values as is.
  mutate(
    clsprty = ifelse(clsprty == 2, 0, ifelse(clsprty %in% c(7, 8, 9), NA, clsprty))
  ) %>%
  # Modify 'yrbrn' column: set specific values (7777, 8888, 9999) to NA.
  mutate(
    yrbrn = ifelse(yrbrn %in% c(7777, 8888, 9999), NA, yrbrn)
  )
# Compute proportions for 'clsprty' by 'yrbrn' (year of birth)

# Start with the 'france_data' dataframe
clsprty_proportions <- france_data %>%
  
  # Filter data to:
  # 1. Exclude missing values in 'yrbrn'
  # 2. Only include rows where 'yrbrn' is 1920 or later
  # 3. Exclude missing values in 'clsprty'
  filter(!is.na(yrbrn) & yrbrn >= 1920 & !is.na(clsprty)) %>%  
  
  # Group the data by 'yrbrn' (year of birth) and 'clsprty' 
  group_by(yrbrn, clsprty) %>%
  
  # Count the number of rows (i.e., occurrences) for each combination of 'yrbrn' and 'clsprty'
  tally() %>%
  
  # Calculate the proportion of each 'clsprty' value within each 'yrbrn' group
  # This is done by dividing the count of each 'clsprty' by the total count for that 'yrbrn'
  mutate(proportion = n / sum(n)) %>%
  
  # Remove the grouping to allow further manipulations on the dataframe if needed
  ungroup()
clsprtyplot <- ggplot(clsprty_proportions, aes(x = yrbrn, y = proportion, color = as.factor(clsprty))) +  # Initialize the ggplot, setting 'yrbrn' as x-axis, 'proportion' as y-axis, and coloring by 'clsprty' (converted to a factor)
  geom_point() +  # Add points to the plot for each data point, representing each cohort's proportion
  geom_smooth(method = 'loess', se = FALSE) +  # Add a LOESS smoothed line to visualize the trend without standard error bands
  labs(
    title = "Proportions of Feeling Close to a Party by Cohort in France",  # Title of the plot, specifically mentioning it's for France
    x = "Cohort",  # Label for the x-axis, representing the birth cohort
    y = "Proportion"  # Label for the y-axis, representing the proportion of respondents
  ) +
  theme_minimal() +  # Use a minimal theme for a cleaner look
  theme(
    panel.grid.major = element_blank(),  # Remove major grid lines for a cleaner plot
    panel.grid.minor = element_blank()  # Remove minor grid lines as well
  ) +
  scale_color_discrete(name = "Close to Party", labels = c("No", "Yes"))  # Set the color scale as discrete with a legend titled "Close to Party" and labels as "No" and "Yes"

clsprtyplot  # Display the plot
## `geom_smooth()` using formula = 'y ~ x'

clsprty_proportions
## # A tibble: 172 × 4
##    yrbrn clsprty     n proportion
##    <dbl>   <dbl> <int>      <dbl>
##  1  1920       0    17      0.425
##  2  1920       1    23      0.575
##  3  1921       0    12      0.308
##  4  1921       1    27      0.692
##  5  1922       0    33      0.5  
##  6  1922       1    33      0.5  
##  7  1923       0    20      0.377
##  8  1923       1    33      0.623
##  9  1924       0    27      0.435
## 10  1924       1    35      0.565
## # ℹ 162 more rows
italy_data <- read.fst("italy_data.fst")
norway_data <- read.fst("norway_data.fst")
# Combine data from three countries (France, Norway, Italy) into a single dataset
combined_countries_data <- bind_rows(
  france_data %>% mutate(cntry = "France"),  # Add a new column 'cntry' with the value 'France' to france_data
  norway_data %>% mutate(cntry = "Norway"), # Do the same for norway_data with 'Norway'
  italy_data %>% mutate(cntry = "Italy")    # And for italy_data with 'Italy'
) %>%
  filter(!yrbrn %in% c(7777, 8888)) %>%  # Remove rows where 'yrbrn' (year born) is either 7777 or 8888 (likely missing data codes)
  mutate(
    yrbrn = ifelse(yrbrn > 2005, NA, yrbrn), # Replace 'yrbrn' values greater than 2005 with NA (as they are invalid)
    clsprty = ifelse(clsprty %in% c(7, 8, 9), NA, clsprty), # Replace 'clsprty' values of 7, 8, 9 with NA (considered as invalid or missing)
    clsprty = ifelse(clsprty == 2, 0, clsprty) # Convert 'clsprty' value of 2 to 0 (recoding for analysis purposes)
  )

# Compute proportions for 'clsprty' by 'yrbrn' for each country
clsprty_proportions_compare <- combined_countries_data %>%
  filter(!is.na(yrbrn) & yrbrn >= 1920 & !is.na(clsprty)) %>% # Filter out rows with NA in 'yrbrn' and 'clsprty', and where 'yrbrn' is earlier than 1920
  group_by(yrbrn, cntry) %>% # Group the data by 'yrbrn' (year born) and 'cntry' (country)
  summarise(yes_count = sum(clsprty), total_count = n(), .groups = 'drop') %>% # Summarise data to get count of 'clsprty' and total count per group
  mutate(proportion = yes_count / total_count) # Calculate the proportion of 'clsprty' in each group
clsprty_proportions_compare
## # A tibble: 258 × 5
##    yrbrn cntry  yes_count total_count proportion
##    <dbl> <chr>      <dbl>       <int>      <dbl>
##  1  1920 France        23          40      0.575
##  2  1920 Italy          1           2      0.5  
##  3  1920 Norway        21          25      0.84 
##  4  1921 France        27          39      0.692
##  5  1921 Italy          4           7      0.571
##  6  1921 Norway        28          36      0.778
##  7  1922 France        33          66      0.5  
##  8  1922 Italy          8          13      0.615
##  9  1922 Norway        28          35      0.8  
## 10  1923 France        33          53      0.623
## # ℹ 248 more rows
# Visualize the data
task2_plot <- ggplot(clsprty_proportions_compare, aes(x = yrbrn, y = proportion, color = cntry)) +  # Initialize ggplot with 'clsprty_proportions' data, setting 'yrbrn' as x-axis, 'proportion' as y-axis, and 'cntry' for color differentiation
  geom_point() +  # Add points to the plot for each data point
  geom_smooth(method = 'loess', se = FALSE) +  # Add a LOESS smoothed line for trend visualization without standard error bands
  labs(
    title = "Proportion Saying 'Yes' to Feeling Close to a Party by Cohort",  # Title of the plot
    x = "Cohort",  # Label for the x-axis
    y = "Proportion",  # Label for the y-axis
    color = "Country"  # Legend title for color coding by country
  ) +
  theme_minimal() +  # Use a minimal theme for a cleaner look
  scale_color_manual(values = c(
    "France" = "#1f77b4",  # Assign a specific color for France
    "Norway" = "#ff7f0e",  # Assign a different color for Norway
    "Italy" = "#2ca02c"    # And another distinct color for Italy
  )) +
  scale_y_continuous(limits = c(0, 1))  # Set the y-axis limits from 0 to 1 as we're dealing with proportions

# Display the plot
task2_plot
## `geom_smooth()` using formula = 'y ~ x'

france_data <- france_data %>%
  mutate(
    gndr = case_when(
      gndr == 1 ~ "Male",
      gndr == 2 ~ "Female",
      TRUE ~ NA_character_  # Set anything that is not 1 or 2 to NA
    ),
    lrscale = case_when(
      lrscale %in% 0:3 ~ "Left",       # Left-wing (0 to 3)
      lrscale %in% 7:10 ~ "Right",     # Right-wing (7 to 10)
      TRUE ~ NA_character_  # Moderate (4, 5, 6) and special codes (77, 88, 99) set to NA 
    )    
  ) 
lrscale_percentages <- france_data %>%  # Begin with the dataset 'france_data'
  filter(!is.na(lrscale), !is.na(gndr)) %>%  # Filter out rows where 'lrscale' or 'gender' is NA (missing data)
  group_by(gndr, lrscale) %>%  # Group the data by 'gender' and 'lrscale' categories
  summarise(count = n(), .groups = 'drop') %>%  # Summarise each group to get counts, and then drop groupings
  mutate(percentage = count / sum(count) * 100)  # Calculate percentage for each group by dividing count by total count and multiplying by 100

lrscale_percentages  # The resulting dataframe
## # A tibble: 4 × 4
##   gndr   lrscale count percentage
##   <chr>  <chr>   <int>      <dbl>
## 1 Female Left     2507       27.8
## 2 Female Right    2211       24.5
## 3 Male   Left     2202       24.4
## 4 Male   Right    2091       23.2
lrscale_plot <- ggplot(lrscale_percentages, aes(x = lrscale, y = percentage, fill = lrscale)) +
  geom_bar(stat = "identity", position = position_dodge()) +  # Dodged bar chart
  facet_wrap(~ gndr, scales = "fixed") +  # Fixed scales for y-axis across facets
  scale_fill_brewer(palette = "Set1") +  # Distinct colors for Left and Right
  labs(
    title = "Political Orientation (Left vs. Right) by Gender in France",
    x = "Political Orientation",
    y = "Percentage of Respondents",
    fill = "Orientation"
  ) +
  theme_minimal() +  # Minimal theme for clarity
  theme(legend.position = "bottom")  # Legend at the bottom

# Display the ggplot object
lrscale_plot

# Create a ggplot object for horizontal bar chart with the specified style
lrscale_plot_v2 <- ggplot(lrscale_percentages, 
            aes(x = percentage,  # Use percentage directly
                y = reorder(gndr, -percentage),  # Order bars within each gender
                fill = gndr)) +  # Fill color based on Gender

  # Create horizontal bar chart
  geom_col() +  # Draws the bars using the provided data
  coord_flip() +  # Flip coordinates to make bars horizontal

  # Remove fill color legend
  guides(fill = "none") +  # Removes legend for the fill aesthetic

  # Split the plot based on Political Orientation
  facet_wrap(~ lrscale, nrow = 1) +  # Separate plots for Left/Right

  # Labels and titles for the plot
  labs(x = "Percentage of Respondents",  # X-axis label
       y = NULL,  # Remove Y-axis label
       title = "Political Orientation by Gender",  # Main title
       subtitle = "Comparing the percentage distribution of left vs. right for France (2002-2020)") +  # Subtitle

  # Adjust visual properties of the plot
  theme(plot.title = element_text(size = 16, face = "bold"),  # Format title
        plot.subtitle = element_text(size = 12),  # Format subtitle
        axis.title.y = element_blank(),  # Remove Y-axis title
        legend.position = "bottom")  # Position the legend at the bottom

# Display the ggplot object
lrscale_plot_v2

# Recode clsprty and geo variables, removing NAs
france_data <- france_data %>%
  mutate(
    geo = recode(as.character(domicil), 
                 '1' = "Urban", 
                 '2' = "Urban",
                 '3' = "Rural", 
                 '4' = "Rural", 
                 '5' = "Rural",
                 '7' = NA_character_,
                 '8' = NA_character_,
                 '9' = NA_character_)
  ) %>%
  filter(!is.na(lrscale), !is.na(geo))  # Removing rows with NA in clsprty or geo
# Calculate conditional probabilities, excluding NAs
cond <- france_data %>%
  count(lrscale, geo) %>%
  group_by(geo) %>%
  mutate(prob = n / sum(n))

cond
## # A tibble: 4 × 4
## # Groups:   geo [2]
##   lrscale geo       n  prob
##   <chr>   <chr> <int> <dbl>
## 1 Left    Rural  3004 0.496
## 2 Left    Urban  1704 0.577
## 3 Right   Rural  3055 0.504
## 4 Right   Urban  1247 0.423
# Plot conditional probabilities
plot <- ggplot(cond, aes(x = lrscale, y = prob, fill = lrscale)) + 
  geom_bar(stat = "identity", position = "dodge") + 
  scale_fill_viridis_d(name = "Political Orientation") + 
  labs(y = "Conditional Probability", 
       x = "Feels Close to a Party",
       title = "Conditional Probability of Political Orientation in France", 
       subtitle = "by Geographical Area: Urban vs. Rural") + 
  facet_wrap(~ geo, nrow = 1) + 
  theme(legend.position = "bottom", 
        legend.title = element_blank(), 
        plot.title = element_text(size = 16, face = "bold"),
        plot.subtitle = element_text(size = 12), 
        axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 45, hjust = 1)) 

# Display the plot
plot

Task 1

Provide code and answer.

Prompt: in the tutorial, we calculated the average trust in others for France and visualized it. Using instead the variable ‘Trust in Parliament’ (trstplt) and the country of Spain (country file provided on course website), visualize the average trust by survey year. You can truncate the y-axis if you wish. Provide appropriate titles and labels given the changes. What are your main takeaways based on the visual (e.g., signs of increase, decrease, or stall)?

spain_data <- read.fst("spain_data.fst")

spain_data <- spain_data %>%
  mutate(
    trstplt = ifelse(trstplt %in% c(77, 88, 99), NA, trstplt) # Set values 77, 88, and 99 to NA
  )

spain_data$year <- NA
replacements <- c(2002, 2004, 2006, 2008, 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016, 2018, 2020)
for(i in 1:10){
  spain_data$year[spain_data$essround == i] <- replacements[i]
}

# Calculate the average trust by year
trust_by_year_spain <- spain_data %>%
  group_by(year) %>%
  summarize(mean_trust = mean(trstplt, na.rm = TRUE))

# Visualize the average trust over the years in Spain
ggplot(trust_by_year_spain, aes(x = year, y = mean_trust)) +
  geom_line(color = "blue", size = 1) +
  geom_point(color = "red", size = 3) +
  labs(title = "Trust in Parliament in Spain (2002-2020)",
       x = "Survey Year",
       y = "Average Trust (0-10 scale)") +
  ylim(0, 10) +
  theme_minimal()

#my maintakeaways based on the visual are it shows signs of decrease

Task 2

Provide answer only.

Prompt and question: Based on the figure we produced above called task2_plot, tell us: what are your main takeaways regarding France relative to Italy and Norway? Make sure to be concrete and highlight at least two important comparative trends visualized in the graph.

Based on figure task2_plot one takeaway based on the figure is that France decreased less than Italy but greater than Norway. Another takeaway is that France has a more similar proportion to saying yes to feeling close to a party as Italy.

Task 3

Provide code and answer.

Question: What is the marginal percentage of Italian men who feel close to a particular political party?

italy_data <- italy_data %>%
  mutate(
  gndr = case_when(
    gndr == 1 ~ "Male", 
    gndr == 2 ~ "Female", 
    TRUE ~ NA_character_
  ),
  clsprty = case_when(
    clsprty %in% 1 ~"Yes",
    clsprty %in% 2 ~ "No",
    TRUE ~ NA_character_
   )
  )
clsprty_percentages <- italy_data %>%
  filter(!is.na(clsprty), !is.na(gndr)) %>%
  group_by(gndr, clsprty) %>%
  summarise(count = n(), .groups = 'drop') %>%
  mutate(percentage = count / sum(count) * 100)
clsprty_percentages
## # A tibble: 4 × 4
##   gndr   clsprty count percentage
##   <chr>  <chr>   <int>      <dbl>
## 1 Female No       3228       34.2
## 2 Female Yes      1686       17.9
## 3 Male   No       2593       27.5
## 4 Male   Yes      1936       20.5

#the percentage of Intian men who feel close to a particular political party is 20.5%

Task 4

Provide code and output only.

Prompt: In the tutorial, we calculated then visualized the percentage distribution for left vs. right by gender for France. Your task is to replicate the second version of the visualization but for the country of Sweden instead.

# Load the Sweden data
sweden_data <- read.fst("sweden_data.fst")

# Recode gender and political orientation variables
sweden_data <- sweden_data %>%
  mutate(
    gndr = case_when(
      gndr == 1 ~ "Male",
      gndr == 2 ~ "Female",
      TRUE ~ NA_character_
    ),
    lrscale = case_when(
      lrscale %in% 0:3 ~ "Left",
      lrscale %in% 7:10 ~ "Right",
      TRUE ~ NA_character_
    )
  )

# Calculate percentages for 'lrscale' by 'gndr' for Sweden
lrscale_percentages_sweden <- sweden_data %>%  
  filter(!is.na(lrscale), !is.na(gndr)) %>%
  group_by(gndr, lrscale) %>%
  summarise(count = n(), .groups = 'drop') %>%
  mutate(percentage = count / sum(count) * 100)

# Create horizontal bar chart for Sweden
lrscale_plot_sweden <- ggplot(lrscale_percentages_sweden, 
            aes(x = percentage,
                y = reorder(gndr, -percentage),
                fill = gndr)) +
  geom_col() +
  coord_flip() +
  guides(fill = "none") +
  facet_wrap(~ lrscale, nrow = 1) +
  labs(x = "Percentage of Respondents",
       y = NULL,
       title = "Political Orientation by Gender in Sweden",
       subtitle = "Comparing the percentage distribution of left vs. right for Sweden (2002-2020)") +
  theme(plot.title = element_text(size = 16, face = "bold"),
        plot.subtitle = element_text(size = 12),
        axis.title.y = element_blank(),
        legend.position = "bottom")

# Display the ggplot object for Sweden
lrscale_plot_sweden

Task 5

Provide code and answer: In Hungary, what is the conditional probability of NOT feeling close to any particular party given that the person lives in a rural area?

hungary.data <- read.fst("hungary_data.fst")
hungary.data <- hungary.data%>% 
  mutate(
    clsprty - ifelse (clsprty == 2, 0, ifelse(clsprty %in% c(7, 8, 9), NA, clsprty))
  ) %>%
  mutate(
    yrbrn = ifelse(yrbrn %in% c(7777, 8888, 9999), NA, yrbrn)
  )
clsprty_proportions <- hungary.data%>%
  filter(!is.na(yrbrn) & yrbrn >= 1920 & !is.na(clsprty)) %>% 
  group_by(yrbrn, clsprty) %>%
  tally() %>%
  mutate(proportion = n / sum(n)) %>%
  ungroup()
hungary_data <- hungary.data%>%
  mutate(
    geo = recode(as.character(domicil),
                 '1' = "Urban",
                 '2' = "Urban",
                 '3' = "Rural",
                 '4' = "Rural",
                 '5' = "Rural",
                 '7' = NA_character_,
                 '8' = NA_character_,
                 '9' = NA_character_) 
  )%>%
  filter(!is.na(lrscale), !is.na(geo))  # Removing rows with NA in clsprty or geo
cond <-hungary_data %>%
  count(clsprty, geo) %>%
  group_by(geo) %>%
  mutate(prob = n / sum(n))

cond
## # A tibble: 10 × 4
## # Groups:   geo [2]
##    clsprty geo       n     prob
##      <dbl> <chr> <int>    <dbl>
##  1       1 Rural  5055 0.429   
##  2       1 Urban  2283 0.472   
##  3       2 Rural  6275 0.532   
##  4       2 Urban  2395 0.495   
##  5       7 Rural   234 0.0199  
##  6       7 Urban    88 0.0182  
##  7       8 Rural   219 0.0186  
##  8       8 Urban    70 0.0145  
##  9       9 Rural     4 0.000339
## 10       9 Urban     4 0.000826

#the conditional probability of NOT feeling close to a certain party given that the person lives in a rural area is 0.53% ```