Hassan_Aleena_Homework_2
2024-01-25
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# List of packages
packages <- c("tidyverse", "fst", "modelsummary", "viridis") # add any you need here
# Install packages if they aren't installed already
new_packages <- packages[!(packages %in% installed.packages()[,"Package"])]
if(length(new_packages)) install.packages(new_packages)
# Load the packages
lapply(packages, library, character.only = TRUE)## ── Attaching core tidyverse packages ──────────────────────── tidyverse 2.0.0 ──
## ✔ dplyr 1.1.3 ✔ readr 2.1.4
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## ✔ ggplot2 3.4.3 ✔ tibble 3.2.1
## ✔ lubridate 1.9.2 ✔ tidyr 1.3.0
## ✔ purrr 1.0.2
## ── Conflicts ────────────────────────────────────────── tidyverse_conflicts() ──
## ✖ dplyr::filter() masks stats::filter()
## ✖ dplyr::lag() masks stats::lag()
## ℹ Use the conflicted package (<http://conflicted.r-lib.org/>) to force all conflicts to become errors## Warning: package 'fst' was built under R version 4.3.2## Warning: package 'modelsummary' was built under R version 4.3.2## Warning: package 'viridis' was built under R version 4.3.2## Loading required package: viridisLite## [[1]]
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## [16] "utils" "datasets" "methods" "base"
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## [1] "viridis" "viridisLite" "modelsummary" "fst" "lubridate"
## [6] "forcats" "stringr" "dplyr" "purrr" "readr"
## [11] "tidyr" "tibble" "ggplot2" "tidyverse" "stats"
## [16] "graphics" "grDevices" "utils" "datasets" "methods"
## [21] "base"getwd()## [1] "C:/Users/hassa947/Desktop/222_Homework"#Task 1: #Prompt: in the tutorial, we calculated the average trust in others for France and visualized it. Using instead the variable ‘Trust in Parliament’ (trstplt) and the country of Spain (country file provided on course website), visualize the average trust by survey year. You can truncate the y-axis if you wish. Provide appropriate titles and labels given the changes. What are your main takeaways based on the visual (e.g., signs of increase, decrease, or stall)?
spain_data <- read.fst("spain_data.fst")## Warning: package 'fstcore' was built under R version 4.3.2Cleaning and transforming the variable.
spain_data <- spain_data %>%
mutate(
trstplt = ifelse(trstplt %in% c(77, 88, 99), NA, trstplt), # set values 77, 88, and 99 to NA.
)table(spain_data$trstplt)##
## 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
## 5165 1830 2329 2441 2085 2890 1154 639 355 80 71Creating a ‘year’ variable from the essround variable.
spain_data$year <- NA
replacements <- c(2002, 2004, 2006, 2008, 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016, 2018, 2020)
for(i in 1:10){
spain_data$year[spain_data$essround == i] <- replacements[i]
}table(spain_data$year)##
## 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
## 1729 1663 1876 2576 1885 1889 1925 1958 1668 2283Now calculating the average by year.
trust_by_year <- spain_data %>%
group_by(year) %>%
summarize(mean_trust = mean(trstplt, na.rm = TRUE))
trust_by_year## # A tibble: 10 × 2
## year mean_trust
## <dbl> <dbl>
## 1 2002 3.41
## 2 2004 3.66
## 3 2006 3.49
## 4 2008 3.32
## 5 2010 2.72
## 6 2012 1.91
## 7 2014 2.23
## 8 2016 2.40
## 9 2018 2.55
## 10 2020 1.94Visualizing.
ggplot(trust_by_year, aes(x = year, y = mean_trust)) +
geom_line(color = "blue", size = 1) +
geom_point(color = "red", size = 3) +
labs(title = "Average Trust in Parliament in Spain (2002-2020)",
x = "Survey Year",
y = "Average Trust in Parliament (0-10 scale)") +
ylim(0, 10) + # Setting the y-axis limits from 0 to 10
theme_minimal()## Warning: Using `size` aesthetic for lines was deprecated in ggplot2 3.4.0.
## ℹ Please use `linewidth` instead.
## This warning is displayed once every 8 hours.
## Call `lifecycle::last_lifecycle_warnings()` to see where this warning was
## generated.
#Answer: The graph illustrates that the average trust in the Spanish parliament remained relatively stable from 2002 to 2008. However, a noticeable decline occurred in 2010, continuing to decrease until reaching its lowest point in 2012. Subsequently, there was a gradual increase, maintaining a relatively stable level until 2020, when it experienced another drop. The analysis of the graph suggests that, overall, the average trust in the Spanish parliament was generally steady, with a discernible decline starting from 2010, and it did not recover to the levels observed in 2002.
#Task 2: #Prompt and question: Based on the figure we produced above called task2_plot, tell us: what are your main takeaways regarding France relative to Italy and Norway? Make sure to be concrete and highlight at least two important comparative trends visualized in the graph.
#Answer: The first thing that strikes one looking at the graph is that France is the only country to have a rise at first, followed by a decline. On the other hand, Norway and Italy both start off at high levels, have a downturn, and then show signs of recovery. Notably, France begins at a certain level, undergoes an increase, and subsequently experiences a continuous decrease in its proportion. Another interesting trend is that, in contrast to France, Norway and Italy exhibit variation, with both rising and declining proportions occurring on occasion. This indicates a distinct trend in the proportion of individuals saying ‘yes’ to feeling close to a political party by cohort in France, where a continuous decline has been evident since 1940, while Norway and Italy have witnessed fluctuations with occasional increases.
#Task 3: #Question: What is the marginal percentage of Italian men who feel close to a particular political party?
getwd()## [1] "C:/Users/hassa947/Desktop/222_Homework"italy_data <- read.fst("italy_data.fst")Percentages
italy_data <- italy_data %>%
mutate(
gndr = case_when(
gndr == 1 ~ "Male",
gndr == 2 ~ "Female",
TRUE ~ NA_character_
),
clsprty = case_when(
clsprty == 1 ~ "Yes",
clsprty == 2 ~ "No",
TRUE ~ NA_character_
)
) Calcuations
clsprty_percentages <- italy_data %>%
filter(!is.na(clsprty), !is.na(gndr)) %>%
group_by(gndr, clsprty) %>%
summarise(count = n(), .groups = 'drop') %>%
mutate(percentage = count / sum(count) * 100)
clsprty_percentages ## # A tibble: 4 × 4
## gndr clsprty count percentage
## <chr> <chr> <int> <dbl>
## 1 Female No 3228 34.2
## 2 Female Yes 1686 17.9
## 3 Male No 2593 27.5
## 4 Male Yes 1936 20.5#Answer: The marginal percentage of Italian men who feel close to a particular political party is 20.50196% or 21%.
#Task 4: #Prompt: In the tutorial, we calculated then visualized the percentage distribution for left vs. right by gender for France. Your task is to replicate the second version of the visualization but for the country of Sweden instead.
sweden_data <- read.fst("sweden_data.fst")Percentages
sweden_data <- sweden_data %>%
mutate(
gndr = case_when(
gndr == 1 ~ "Male",
gndr == 2 ~ "Female",
TRUE ~ NA_character_
),
lrscale = case_when(
lrscale %in% 0:3 ~ "Left", # Left-wing (0 to 3)
lrscale %in% 7:10 ~ "Right", # Right-wing (7 to 10)
TRUE ~ NA_character_ # Moderate (4, 5, 6) and special codes (77, 88, 99) set to NA
)
) Calculations
lrscale_percentages <- sweden_data %>%
filter(!is.na(lrscale), !is.na(gndr)) %>%
group_by(gndr, lrscale) %>%
summarise(count = n(), .groups = 'drop') %>%
mutate(percentage = count / sum(count) * 100)
lrscale_percentages # The resulting dataframe## # A tibble: 4 × 4
## gndr lrscale count percentage
## <chr> <chr> <int> <dbl>
## 1 Female Left 2296 23.0
## 2 Female Right 2530 25.3
## 3 Male Left 2062 20.6
## 4 Male Right 3107 31.1Visualization
lrscale_plot <- ggplot(lrscale_percentages, aes(x = lrscale, y = percentage, fill = lrscale)) +
geom_bar(stat = "identity", position = position_dodge()) + # Dodged bar chart
facet_wrap(~ gndr, scales = "fixed") + # Fixed scales for y-axis across facets
scale_fill_brewer(palette = "Set1") + # Distinct colors for Left and Right
labs(
title = "Political Orientation (Left vs. Right) by Gender in Sweden",
x = "Political Orientation",
y = "Percentage of Respondents",
fill = "Orientation"
) +
theme_minimal() + # Minimal theme for clarity
theme(legend.position = "bottom") # Legend at the bottom
# Display the ggplot object
lrscale_plot
lrscale_plot_v2 <- ggplot(lrscale_percentages,
aes(x = percentage, # Use percentage directly
y = reorder(gndr, -percentage), # Order bars within each gender
fill = gndr)) + # Fill color based on Gender
# Create horizontal bar chart
geom_col() + # Draws the bars using the provided data
coord_flip() + # Flip coordinates to make bars horizontal
# Remove fill color legend
guides(fill = "none") + # Removes legend for the fill aesthetic
# Split the plot based on Political Orientation
facet_wrap(~ lrscale, nrow = 1) + # Separate plots for Left/Right
# Labels and titles for the plot
labs(x = "Percentage of Respondents", # X-axis label
y = NULL, # Remove Y-axis label
title = "Political Orientation by Gender", # Main title
subtitle = "Comparing the percentage distribution of left vs. right for Sweden (2002-2020)") + # Subtitle
# Adjust visual properties of the plot
theme(plot.title = element_text(size = 16, face = "bold"), # Format title
plot.subtitle = element_text(size = 12), # Format subtitle
axis.title.y = element_blank(), # Remove Y-axis title
legend.position = "bottom") # Position the legend at the bottom
# Display the ggplot object
lrscale_plot_v2
#Task 5: #Provide code and answer: In Hungary, what is the conditional probability of NOT feeling close to any particular party given that the person lives in a rural area?
getwd()## [1] "C:/Users/hassa947/Desktop/222_Homework"hungary_data <- read.fst("hungary_data.fst")Percentages
hungary_data <- hungary_data %>%
mutate(
gndr = case_when(
gndr == 1 ~ "Male",
gndr == 2 ~ "Female",
TRUE ~ NA_character_
),
clsprty = case_when(
clsprty == 1 ~ "Yes",
clsprty == 2 ~ "No",
TRUE ~ NA_character_
)
) Calculations
clsprty_percentages <- hungary_data %>%
filter(!is.na(clsprty), !is.na(gndr)) %>%
group_by(gndr, clsprty) %>%
summarise(count = n(), .groups = 'drop') %>%
mutate(percentage = count / sum(count) * 100)
clsprty_percentages ## # A tibble: 4 × 4
## gndr clsprty count percentage
## <chr> <chr> <int> <dbl>
## 1 Female No 5071 31.7
## 2 Female Yes 4008 25.0
## 3 Male No 3608 22.5
## 4 Male Yes 3334 20.8Probabilities
hungary_data <- hungary_data %>%
mutate(
geo = recode(as.character(domicil),
'1' = "Urban",
'2' = "Urban",
'3' = "Rural",
'4' = "Rural",
'5' = "Rural",
'7' = NA_character_,
'8' = NA_character_,
'9' = NA_character_)
) %>%
filter(!is.na(clsprty), !is.na(geo)) # Removing rows with NA in clsprty or geo# Calculate conditional probabilities, excluding NAs
cond <- hungary_data %>%
count(clsprty, geo) %>%
group_by(geo) %>%
mutate(prob = n / sum(n))
cond## # A tibble: 4 × 4
## # Groups: geo [2]
## clsprty geo n prob
## <chr> <chr> <int> <dbl>
## 1 No Rural 6275 0.554
## 2 No Urban 2395 0.512
## 3 Yes Rural 5055 0.446
## 4 Yes Urban 2283 0.488#Answer: In Hungary, the conditional probability of not feeling close to any particular party in a rural area is 0.5538394 or 55%.