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rm(list=ls()); gc() 
##           used (Mb) gc trigger (Mb) limit (Mb) max used (Mb)
## Ncells  546031 29.2    1225380 65.5         NA   669417 35.8
## Vcells 1014042  7.8    8388608 64.0      16384  1851678 14.2
# List of packages
packages <- c("tidyverse", "gapminder", "fst") # add any you need here

# Install packages if they aren't installed already
new_packages <- packages[!(packages %in% installed.packages()[,"Package"])]
if(length(new_packages)) install.packages(new_packages)

# Load the packages
lapply(packages, library, character.only = TRUE)
## ── Attaching core tidyverse packages ──────────────────────── tidyverse 2.0.0 ──
## ✔ dplyr     1.1.4     ✔ readr     2.1.4
## ✔ forcats   1.0.0     ✔ stringr   1.5.1
## ✔ ggplot2   3.4.4     ✔ tibble    3.2.1
## ✔ lubridate 1.9.3     ✔ tidyr     1.3.0
## ✔ purrr     1.0.2     
## ── Conflicts ────────────────────────────────────────── tidyverse_conflicts() ──
## ✖ dplyr::filter() masks stats::filter()
## ✖ dplyr::lag()    masks stats::lag()
## ℹ Use the conflicted package (<http://conflicted.r-lib.org/>) to force all conflicts to become errors
## [[1]]
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##  [7] "tidyr"     "tibble"    "ggplot2"   "tidyverse" "stats"     "graphics" 
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##  [7] "purrr"     "readr"     "tidyr"     "tibble"    "ggplot2"   "tidyverse"
## [13] "stats"     "graphics"  "grDevices" "utils"     "datasets"  "methods"  
## [19] "base"
getwd()
## [1] "/Users/debbie/Downloads/SOC222: Rstudio"
spain_data <- read.fst("spain_data.fst")
italy_data <- read.fst("italy_data.fst")
sweden_data <- read.fst("sweden_data.fst")
hungary_data <- read.fst("hungary_data.fst")

Task 1

Provide code and answer.

Prompt: in the tutorial, we calculated the average trust in others for France and visualized it. Using instead the variable ‘Trust in Parliament’ (trstplt) and the country of Spain (country file provided on course website), visualize the average trust by survey year. You can truncate the y-axis if you wish. Provide appropriate titles and labels given the changes. What are your main takeaways based on the visual (e.g., signs of increase, decrease, or stall)?

spain_data <- spain_data %>%
  mutate(
    trstplt = ifelse(trstplt %in% c(77, 88, 99), NA, trstplt), # set values 77, 88, and 99 to NA.
  )
table(spain_data$trstplt) # if there are values that are not supposed to be there (e.g., 77, 88, 99 in this case), then we need to deal with it
## 
##    0    1    2    3    4    5    6    7    8    9   10 
## 5165 1830 2329 2441 2085 2890 1154  639  355   80   71
spain_data$year <- NA
replacements <- c(2002, 2004, 2006, 2008, 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016, 2018, 2020)
for(i in 1:10){
  spain_data$year[spain_data$essround == i] <- replacements[i]
}
table(spain_data$year)
## 
## 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 
## 1729 1663 1876 2576 1885 1889 1925 1958 1668 2283
trust_by_year <- spain_data %>%
  group_by(year) %>%
  summarize(mean_trust = mean(trstplt, na.rm = TRUE))
trust_by_year
## # A tibble: 10 × 2
##     year mean_trust
##    <dbl>      <dbl>
##  1  2002       3.41
##  2  2004       3.66
##  3  2006       3.49
##  4  2008       3.32
##  5  2010       2.72
##  6  2012       1.91
##  7  2014       2.23
##  8  2016       2.40
##  9  2018       2.55
## 10  2020       1.94
ggplot(trust_by_year, aes(x = year, y = mean_trust)) +
  geom_line(color = "blue", size = 1) +  # Line to show the trend
  geom_point(color = "red", size = 3) +  # Points to highlight each year's value
  labs(title = "Trust in Parliament in Spain (2002-2020)", 
       x = "Survey Year", 
       y = "Average Trust (0-10 scale)") +
  ylim(0, 10) +  # Setting the y-axis limits from 0 to 10
  theme_minimal()
## Warning: Using `size` aesthetic for lines was deprecated in ggplot2 3.4.0.
## ℹ Please use `linewidth` instead.
## This warning is displayed once every 8 hours.
## Call `lifecycle::last_lifecycle_warnings()` to see where this warning was
## generated.

Answer to Task 1: Based on this visualization, it is clear that there was a decline in trust in parliament in Spain from 2005 to 2012, then from that point there was a sign of increase in trsut in parliament in spain up till 2017 and 2018. And there is a sign that it is starting to decrease again in 2020.

Task 2

Provide answer only.

Prompt and question: Based on the figure we produced above called task2_plot, tell us: what are your main takeaways regarding France relative to Italy and Norway? Make sure to be concrete and highlight at least two important comparative trends visualized in the graph.

Answer to Task 2: Based on the figure produced, we could tell that the analysis of the plot data graph reveals dynamic shifts in the relationships between France, Italy, and Norway from 1920 to 2000. Initially distinct in 1920, France and Italy significantly converged around 1960, growing even closer in 1990-2000. In contrast, Norway became more distinct from both countries over the same period.

Task 3

Provide code and answer.

Question: What is the marginal percentage of Italian men who feel close to a particular political party?

italy_data <- italy_data %>%
  mutate(
    gndr = case_when(
      gndr == 1 ~ "Male",
      gndr == 2 ~ "Female",
      TRUE ~ NA_character_  # Set anything that is not 1 or 2 to NA
    ),
    lrscale = case_when(
      lrscale %in% 0:3 ~ "Left",       # Left-wing (0 to 3)
      lrscale %in% 7:10 ~ "Right",     # Right-wing (7 to 10)
      TRUE ~ NA_character_  # Moderate (4, 5, 6) and special codes (77, 88, 99) set to NA 
    )    
  ) 
lrscale_percentages <- italy_data %>%  
  filter(!is.na(lrscale), !is.na(gndr)) %>%  # Filter out rows where 'lrscale' or 'gender' is NA (missing data)
  group_by(gndr, lrscale) %>%  # Group the data by 'gender' and 'lrscale' categories
  summarise(count = n(), .groups = 'drop') %>%  # Summarise each group to get counts, and then drop groupings
  mutate(percentage = count / sum(count) * 100)  # Calculate percentage for each group by dividing count by total count and multiplying by 100

lrscale_percentages  # The resulting dataframe
## # A tibble: 4 × 4
##   gndr   lrscale count percentage
##   <chr>  <chr>   <int>      <dbl>
## 1 Female Left      930       23.9
## 2 Female Right     955       24.5
## 3 Male   Left      924       23.7
## 4 Male   Right    1084       27.8

Answer to Task 3: Marginal Percentages in Survey Data: Of all Italian respondents, 23.7% are Male who lean politically left, and 27.8% are Male who lean politically right. Making a total of 51.5% of Italian men who feel close to a particular political party.

Task 4

Provide code and output only.

Prompt: In the tutorial, we calculated then visualized the percentage distribution for left vs. right by gender for France. Your task is to replicate the second version of the visualization but for the country of Sweden instead.

sweden_data <- sweden_data %>%
  mutate(
    gndr = case_when(
      gndr == 1 ~ "Male",
      gndr == 2 ~ "Female",
      TRUE ~ NA_character_  # Set anything that is not 1 or 2 to NA
    ),
    lrscale = case_when(
      lrscale %in% 0:3 ~ "Left",       # Left-wing (0 to 3)
      lrscale %in% 7:10 ~ "Right",     # Right-wing (7 to 10)
      TRUE ~ NA_character_  # Moderate (4, 5, 6) and special codes (77, 88, 99) set to NA 
    )    
  ) 
lrscale_percentages <- sweden_data %>%  
  filter(!is.na(lrscale), !is.na(gndr)) %>%  # Filter out rows where 'lrscale' or 'gender' is NA (missing data)
  group_by(gndr, lrscale) %>%  # Group the data by 'gender' and 'lrscale' categories
  summarise(count = n(), .groups = 'drop') %>%  # Summarise each group to get counts, and then drop groupings
  mutate(percentage = count / sum(count) * 100)  # Calculate percentage for each group by dividing count by total count and multiplying by 100

lrscale_percentages  # The resulting dataframe
## # A tibble: 4 × 4
##   gndr   lrscale count percentage
##   <chr>  <chr>   <int>      <dbl>
## 1 Female Left     2296       23.0
## 2 Female Right    2530       25.3
## 3 Male   Left     2062       20.6
## 4 Male   Right    3107       31.1
lrscale_plot <- ggplot(lrscale_percentages, aes(x = lrscale, y = percentage, fill = lrscale)) +
  geom_bar(stat = "identity", position = position_dodge()) +  # Dodged bar chart
  facet_wrap(~ gndr, scales = "fixed") +  # Fixed scales for y-axis across facets
  scale_fill_brewer(palette = "Set1") +  # Distinct colors for Left and Right
  labs(
    title = "Political Orientation (Left vs. Right) by Gender in Sweden",
    x = "Political Orientation",
    y = "Percentage of Respondents",
    fill = "Orientation"
  ) +
  theme_minimal() +  # Minimal theme for clarity
  theme(legend.position = "bottom")  # Legend at the bottom

# Display the ggplot object
lrscale_plot

# Create a ggplot object for horizontal bar chart with the specified style
lrscale_plot_v2 <- ggplot(lrscale_percentages, 
            aes(x = percentage,  # Use percentage directly
                y = reorder(gndr, -percentage),  # Order bars within each gender
                fill = gndr)) +  # Fill color based on Gender

  # Create horizontal bar chart
  geom_col() +  # Draws the bars using the provided data
  coord_flip() +  # Flip coordinates to make bars horizontal

  # Remove fill color legend
  guides(fill = "none") +  # Removes legend for the fill aesthetic

  # Split the plot based on Political Orientation
  facet_wrap(~ lrscale, nrow = 1) +  # Separate plots for Left/Right

  # Labels and titles for the plot
  labs(x = "Percentage of Respondents",  # X-axis label
       y = NULL,  # Remove Y-axis label
       title = "Political Orientation by Gender",  # Main title
       subtitle = "Comparing the percentage distribution of left vs. right for Sweden (2002-2020)") +  # Subtitle

  # Adjust visual properties of the plot
  theme(plot.title = element_text(size = 16, face = "bold"),  # Format title
        plot.subtitle = element_text(size = 12),  # Format subtitle
        axis.title.y = element_blank(),  # Remove Y-axis title
        legend.position = "bottom")  # Position the legend at the bottom

# Display the ggplot object
lrscale_plot_v2

Task 5

Provide code and answer: In Hungary, what is the conditional probability of NOT feeling close to any particular party given that the person lives in a rural area?

# Recode clsprty and geo variables, removing NAs
hungary_data <- hungary_data %>%
  mutate(
    geo = recode(as.character(domicil), 
                 '1' = "Urban", 
                 '2' = "Urban",
                 '3' = "Rural", 
                 '4' = "Rural", 
                 '5' = "Rural",
                 '7' = NA_character_,
                 '8' = NA_character_,
                 '9' = NA_character_)
  ) %>%
  filter(!is.na(lrscale), !is.na(geo))  # Removing rows with NA in clsprty or geo
# Calculate conditional probabilities, excluding NAs
cond <- hungary_data %>%
  count(lrscale, geo) %>%
  group_by(geo) %>%
  mutate(prob = n / sum(n))

cond
## # A tibble: 28 × 4
## # Groups:   geo [2]
##    lrscale geo       n   prob
##      <dbl> <chr> <int>  <dbl>
##  1       0 Rural   314 0.0266
##  2       0 Urban   234 0.0483
##  3       1 Rural   233 0.0198
##  4       1 Urban   107 0.0221
##  5       2 Rural   469 0.0398
##  6       2 Urban   215 0.0444
##  7       3 Rural   637 0.0540
##  8       3 Urban   337 0.0696
##  9       4 Rural   632 0.0536
## 10       4 Urban   332 0.0686
## # ℹ 18 more rows

Answer to Task 5: Given that the person lives in a rural area, the conditional probability of not feeling close to any particular party is 0.19