Background

In a 2 (informed vs. uninformed) X 2 (rational vs. irrational) between-subjects design, participants read about a transaction involving storing hazardous chemicals, and were asked to indicate to what extent the seller benefited from each of them, to what extent the buyer benefited from each of them, and the power balance in each of them.

Attention check

What are the roles of Person A and Person B in the transaction that took place?
The correct answer is: Person A paid money and Person B received money

informed rational failcheck passcheck
0 0 5 199
0 1 5 197
1 0 7 194
1 1 10 194

Alright, that leaves us with 784. Let’s see how participants fared with the manipulation checks:

Manipulation checks

Participants responded indicated whether the following statements are TRUE or FALSE:
1. They have been given all the available information about the risks associated with this transaction
2. They have the ability to think rationally about this transaction

informed rational pass_both fail_rational fail_informed fail_both
0 0 173 13 5 8
0 1 159 33 3 2
1 0 159 18 12 5
1 1 184 2 5 3

Ok, they had the hardest time with 1-0 and 0-1 combinations, which is understandable. But still pretty good. We’ll run all analyses with and without them, as preregistered.

Demographics

Race

race N Perc
asian 59 7.53
black 93 11.86
hispanic 32 4.08
multiracial 42 5.36
white 550 70.15
NA 8 1.02

Gender

gender N Perc
man 375 47.83
woman 397 50.64
NA 12 1.53

Age

age_mean age_sd
39.42347 12.34681

Education

edu N Perc
noHS 2 0.26
GED 224 28.57
2yearColl 85 10.84
4yearColl 337 42.98
MA 103 13.14
PHD 30 3.83
NA 3 0.38

Income

Analysis (ALL PARTICIPANTS WHO PASSED ATTENTION CHECK)

Condition -> Benefit A

To avoid a three-way interaction, I’ll look at the effect of condition on each party’s benefit separately. And only then I’ll show everything in one plot.

Descriptives

informed rational benefit_A_M benefit_A_SD
0 0 2.16 1.14
0 1 2.08 1.29
1 0 1.94 1.06
1 1 2.01 1.05

Benefit A: Two-way ANOVA

Effect DFn DFd F p p<.05 ges
informed 1 780 3.028 0.082 4.00e-03
rational 1 780 0.012 0.914 1.51e-05
informed:rational 1 780 0.868 0.352 1.00e-03

Great. No effect on buyer’s benefit. So far so good.

Condition -> Benefit B

Let’s take a look at the seller.

Descriptives

informed rational benefit_B_M benefit_B_SD
0 0 -1.69 1.46
0 1 -1.63 1.54
1 0 -0.98 1.61
1 1 0.02 1.77

Benefit B: Two-way ANOVA

Effect DFn DFd F p p<.05 ges
informed 1 780 105.917 0.00e+00
0.120
rational 1 780 21.531 4.10e-06
0.027
informed:rational 1 780 17.000 4.14e-05
0.021

Main effects and interaction. Cool cool.

Benefit B: Planned contrasts

Here, we’ll compare the rational/informed condition to the rest of the conditions with a planned contrasts analysis.

Analysis of Variance Model
  Df Sum Sq Mean Sq F value Pr(>F)
cond 3 367.7 122.6 48.03 1.723e-28
Residuals 780 1991 2.552 NA NA

Bonferroni-corrected post-hoc comparisons: Rational

rational Effect DFn DFd F p p<.05 ges p.adj
0 informed 1 391 20.605 7.5e-06
0.050 1.51e-05
1 informed 1 389 96.427 0.0e+00
0.199 0.00e+00

Bonferroni-corrected post-hoc comparisons: Informed

informed Effect DFn DFd F p p<.05 ges p.adj
0 rational 1 394 0.153 0.695 0.000389 1
1 rational 1 386 33.856 0.000
0.081000 0

Plot: Condition -> Buyer and Seller Benefit


That’s great stuff. As predicted!

Condition -> Power

Let’s take a look at the effect on power. Power was rated from -3 (Buyer has much more power) to 3 (Seller has much more power).

Descriptives

informed rational power_M power_SD
0 0 -1.75 1.42
0 1 -1.41 1.67
1 0 -1.16 1.54
1 1 -0.01 1.68

Power: Two-way ANOVA

Effect DFn DFd F p p<.05 ges
informed 1 780 77.331 0.000000
0.090
rational 1 780 44.315 0.000000
0.054
informed:rational 1 780 13.108 0.000313
0.017

Power: Planned contrasts

Here, we’ll compare the rational/informed condition to the rest of the conditions with a planned contrasts analysis.

Analysis of Variance Model
  Df Sum Sq Mean Sq F value Pr(>F)
cond 3 335.4 111.8 44.8 1.019e-26
Residuals 780 1947 2.496 NA NA

Bonferroni-corrected post-hoc comparisons: Rational

rational Effect DFn DFd F p p<.05 ges p.adj
0 informed 1 391 15.219 0.000113
0.037 0.000226
1 informed 1 389 68.682 0.000000
0.150 0.000000

Bonferroni-corrected post-hoc comparisons: Informed

informed Effect DFn DFd F p p<.05 ges p.adj
0 rational 1 394 4.846 0.028
0.012 0.056
1 rational 1 386 50.278 0.000
0.115 0.000

Plot: Condition -> Power


Great stuff.

Mediation model 1: informed -> power -> seller benefit

0 = uninformed; 1 = informed

a = 0.99 (p = 0); b = 0.39 (p = 0); direct = 1.17 (p = 0); indirect = 0.79 (p = 0).

Mediation model 2: rational -> power -> seller benefit

0 = irrational; 1 = rational

a = 0.75 (p = 0); b = 0.44 (p = 0); direct = 0.53 (p = 0); indirect = 0.2 (p = 0.082).

Mediation model 3: Interaction term -> power -> seller benefit

fitM <- lm(power ~ informed*rational, data = df_tt_elg) #linear model with interaction term predicting the mediator

fitY <- lm(benefit_B~ informed*rational + power, data = df_tt_elg) #linear model with interaction term predicting the outcome, adjusting for the mediator

fitMedBoot <- mediation::mediate(fitM,fitY,boot = T,sims = 10000,treat = "informed",mediator = "power") #mediation model with 10,000 bootstrap

pander(summary(fitMedBoot$model.m))
  Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
(Intercept) -1.749 0.112 -15.62 4.916e-48
informed 0.5838 0.1594 3.663 0.0002665
rational 0.3427 0.1588 2.158 0.03123
informed:rational 0.8171 0.2257 3.621 0.000313
Fitting linear model: power ~ informed * rational
Observations Residual Std. Error \(R^2\) Adjusted \(R^2\)
784 1.58 0.147 0.1437
pander(summary(fitMedBoot$model.y))
  Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
(Intercept) -1.068 0.1216 -8.785 9.822e-18
informed 0.4968 0.1523 3.261 0.001156
rational -0.06255 0.1509 -0.4146 0.6786
power 0.3547 0.03393 10.46 4.913e-24
informed:rational 0.6511 0.2156 3.019 0.002616
Fitting linear model: benefit_B ~ informed * rational + power
Observations Residual Std. Error \(R^2\) Adjusted \(R^2\)
784 1.497 0.2598 0.256
plot(fitMedBoot)

Moderated mediation

using this guide: https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/manymome/vignettes/mome_lm.html

library(manymome)

#path parameters, estimated by two multiple regressions
lm_m <- lm(power ~ informed*rational,df_tt_elg)
lm_y <- lm(benefit_B ~ power + informed,df_tt_elg)

#combine into one object
fit_lm <- lm2list(lm_m,lm_y)

#generating bootstrap estimated
boot_out_lm <- do_boot(fit_lm,
                       R = 10000,
                       seed = 54532,
                       ncores = 1)

#conditional indirect effects
out_xmy_on_w <- cond_indirect_effects(wlevels = "rational",
                                      x = "informed",
                                      y = "benefit_B",
                                      m = "power",
                                      fit = fit_lm,
                                      boot_ci = TRUE,
                                      boot_out = boot_out_lm)

#index of moderated mediation
out_mome <- index_of_mome(x = "informed",
                          y = "benefit_B",
                          m = "power",
                          w = "rational",
                          fit = fit_lm,
                          boot_ci = TRUE,
                          boot_out = boot_out_lm)

#standardized conditional indirect effects
std_xmy_on_w <- cond_indirect_effects(wlevels = "rational",
                                      x = "informed",
                                      y = "benefit_B",
                                      m = "power",
                                      fit = fit_lm,
                                      boot_ci = TRUE,
                                      boot_out = boot_out_lm,
                                      standardized_x = TRUE,
                                      standardized_y = TRUE)

std_xmy_on_w
## 
## == Conditional indirect effects ==
## 
##  Path: informed -> power -> benefit_B
##  Conditional on moderator(s): rational
##  Moderator(s) represented by: rational
## 
##   [rational] (rational)   std CI.lo CI.hi Sig power~informed benefit_B~power
## 1    M+1.0SD      0.999 0.156 0.110 0.207 Sig          1.400           0.385
## 2    Mean         0.499 0.110 0.080 0.144 Sig          0.991           0.385
## 3    M-1.0SD     -0.002 0.065 0.032 0.100 Sig          0.582           0.385
##     ind
## 1 0.540
## 2 0.382
## 3 0.225
## 
##  - [CI.lo to CI.hi] are 95.0% percentile confidence intervals by
##    nonparametric bootstrapping with 10000 samples.
##  - std: The standardized indirect effects. 
##  - ind: The unstandardized indirect effects.
##  - 'power~informed','benefit_B~power' is/are the path coefficient(s)
##    along the path conditional on the moderators.

Using this guide: http://www.regorz-statistik.de/en/moderated_mediation_process_for_r.html

# PROCESS Model 7
process(data = df_tt_elg,
        y = "benefit_B", 
        x = "informed", 
        m = "power",
        w = "rational", 
        model = 7,
        center = 2,
        moments = 1, 
        modelbt = 1,
        boot = 10000, 
        seed = 654321)
## 
## ********************* PROCESS for R Version 4.3.1 ********************* 
##  
##            Written by Andrew F. Hayes, Ph.D.  www.afhayes.com              
##    Documentation available in Hayes (2022). www.guilford.com/p/hayes3   
##  
## *********************************************************************** 
##                  
## Model : 7        
##     Y : benefit_B
##     X : informed 
##     M : power    
##     W : rational 
## 
## Sample size: 784
## 
## Custom seed: 654321
## 
## 
## *********************************************************************** 
## Outcome Variable: power
## 
## Model Summary: 
##           R      R-sq       MSE         F       df1       df2         p
##      0.3834    0.1470    2.4957   44.8013    3.0000  780.0000    0.0000
## 
## Model: 
##              coeff        se         t         p      LLCI      ULCI
## constant   -1.7487    0.1120  -15.6154    0.0000   -1.9686   -1.5289
## informed    0.5838    0.1594    3.6626    0.0003    0.2709    0.8967
## rational    0.3427    0.1588    2.1581    0.0312    0.0310    0.6543
## Int_1       0.8171    0.2257    3.6205    0.0003    0.3741    1.2602
## 
## Product terms key:
## Int_1  :  informed  x  rational      
## 
## Test(s) of highest order unconditional interaction(s):
##       R2-chng         F       df1       df2         p
## X*W    0.0143   13.1082    1.0000  780.0000    0.0003
## ----------
## Focal predictor: informed (X)
##       Moderator: rational (W)
## 
## Conditional effects of the focal predictor at values of the moderator(s):
##    rational    effect        se         t         p      LLCI      ULCI
##      0.0000    0.5838    0.1594    3.6626    0.0003    0.2709    0.8967
##      1.0000    1.4009    0.1598    8.7673    0.0000    1.0873    1.7146
## 
## *********************************************************************** 
## Outcome Variable: benefit_B
## 
## Model Summary: 
##           R      R-sq       MSE         F       df1       df2         p
##      0.4962    0.2462    2.2760  127.5625    2.0000  781.0000    0.0000
## 
## Model: 
##              coeff        se         t         p      LLCI      ULCI
## constant   -1.0508    0.0920  -11.4229    0.0000   -1.2313   -0.8702
## informed    0.7917    0.1126    7.0286    0.0000    0.5706    1.0129
## power       0.3854    0.0330   11.6763    0.0000    0.3206    0.4502
## 
## *********************************************************************** 
## Bootstrapping progress:
## 
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## 
## **************** DIRECT AND INDIRECT EFFECTS OF X ON Y ****************
## 
## Direct effect of X on Y:
##      effect        se         t         p      LLCI      ULCI
##      0.7917    0.1126    7.0286    0.0000    0.5706    1.0129
## 
## Conditional indirect effects of X on Y:
## 
## INDIRECT EFFECT:
## 
## informed    ->    power    ->    benefit_B
## 
##    rational    Effect    BootSE  BootLLCI  BootULCI
##      0.0000    0.2250    0.0623    0.1072    0.3533
##      1.0000    0.5400    0.0847    0.3849    0.7185
## 
##      Index of moderated mediation
##      (differences beween conditional indirect effects):
##              Index    BootSE  BootLLCI  BootULCI
## rational    0.3150    0.0945    0.1392    0.5110
## 
## ********** BOOTSTRAP RESULTS FOR REGRESSION MODEL PARAMETERS **********
## 
## Outcome variable: power
## 
##              Coeff  BootMean    BootSE  BootLLCI  BootULCI
## constant   -1.7487   -1.7482    0.1003   -1.9390   -1.5477
## informed    0.5838    0.5848    0.1512    0.2817    0.8840
## rational    0.3427    0.3391    0.1553    0.0341    0.6428
## Int_1       0.8171    0.8199    0.2280    0.3703    1.2625
## ----------
## Outcome variable: benefit_B
## 
##              Coeff  BootMean    BootSE  BootLLCI  BootULCI
## constant   -1.0508   -1.0498    0.1012   -1.2454   -0.8485
## informed    0.7917    0.7928    0.1156    0.5653    1.0190
## power       0.3854    0.3859    0.0388    0.3106    0.4630
## 
## ******************** ANALYSIS NOTES AND ERRORS ************************ 
## 
## Level of confidence for all confidence intervals in output: 95
## 
## Number of bootstraps for percentile bootstrap confidence intervals: 10000

Analysis (ONLY PARTICIPANTS WHO PASSED MANIPULATION CHECKS)

Condition -> Benefit A

Descriptives

informed rational benefit_A_M benefit_A_SD
0 0 2.28 1.02
0 1 2.18 1.16
1 0 1.97 1.05
1 1 2.03 1.04

Benefit A: Two-way ANOVA

Effect DFn DFd F p p<.05 ges
informed 1 671 8.166 0.004
1.20e-02
rational 1 671 0.066 0.797 9.83e-05
informed:rational 1 671 0.940 0.333 1.00e-03

Condition -> Benefit B

Descriptives

informed rational benefit_B_M benefit_B_SD
0 0 -1.82 1.38
0 1 -1.60 1.57
1 0 -1.11 1.57
1 1 0.09 1.75

Benefit B: Two-way ANOVA

Effect DFn DFd F p p<.05 ges
informed 1 671 97.295 0.00e+00
0.127
rational 1 671 33.383 0.00e+00
0.047
informed:rational 1 671 16.325 5.95e-05
0.024

Benefit B: Planned contrasts

Here, we’ll compare the rational/informed condition to the rest of the conditions with a planned contrasts analysis.

Analysis of Variance Model
  Df Sum Sq Mean Sq F value Pr(>F)
cond 3 387.8 129.3 52 3.153e-30
Residuals 671 1668 2.486 NA NA

Bonferroni-corrected post-hoc comparisons: Rational

rational Effect DFn DFd F p p<.05 ges p.adj
0 informed 1 330 19.060 1.7e-05
0.055 3.4e-05
1 informed 1 341 87.643 0.0e+00
0.204 0.0e+00

Bonferroni-corrected post-hoc comparisons: Informed

informed Effect DFn DFd F p p<.05 ges p.adj
0 rational 1 330 1.704 0.193 0.005 0.386
1 rational 1 341 43.556 0.000
0.113 0.000

Plot: Condition -> Buyer and Seller Benefit


Condition -> Power

Power was rated from -3 (Buyer has much more power) to 3 (Seller has much more power).

Descriptives

informed rational power_M power_SD
0 0 -1.92 1.31
0 1 -1.43 1.63
1 0 -1.34 1.47
1 1 0.07 1.64

Power: Two-way ANOVA

Effect DFn DFd F p p<.05 ges
informed 1 671 78.103 0.000000
0.104
rational 1 671 65.393 0.000000
0.089
informed:rational 1 671 15.174 0.000108
0.022

Power: Planned contrasts

Here, we’ll compare the rational/informed condition to the rest of the conditions with a planned contrasts analysis.

Analysis of Variance Model
  Df Sum Sq Mean Sq F value Pr(>F)
cond 3 391.6 130.5 56.49 1.443e-32
Residuals 671 1551 2.311 NA NA

Bonferroni-corrected post-hoc comparisons: Rational

rational Effect DFn DFd F p p<.05 ges p.adj
0 informed 1 330 14.377 0.000178
0.042 0.000356
1 informed 1 341 71.068 0.000000
0.172 0.000000

Bonferroni-corrected post-hoc comparisons: Informed

informed Effect DFn DFd F p p<.05 ges p.adj
0 rational 1 330 9.224 0.003
0.027 0.006
1 rational 1 341 68.755 0.000
0.168 0.000

Plot: Condition -> Power


Mediation model 1: informed -> power -> seller benefit

0 = uninformed; 1 = informed

a = 1.1 (p = 0); b = 0.35 (p = 0); direct = 1.25 (p = 0); indirect = 0.86 (p = 0).

Mediation model 2: rational -> power -> seller benefit

0 = irrational; 1 = rational

a = 1.01 (p = 0); b = 0.4 (p = 0); direct = 0.78 (p = 0); indirect = 0.37 (p = 0.004).

Mediation model 3: Interaction term -> power -> seller benefit

fitM <- lm(power ~ informed*rational, data = df_tt_elg_onlypass) #linear model with interaction term predicting the mediator

fitY <- lm(benefit_B~ informed*rational + power, data = df_tt_elg_onlypass) #linear model with interaction term predicting the outcome, adjusting for the mediator

fitMedBoot.1 <- mediation::mediate(fitM,fitY,boot = T,sims = 10000,treat = "rational",treat.value = 1,mediator = "power") #mediation model with 10,000 bootstrap

fitMedBoot.2 <- mediation::mediate(fitM,fitY,boot = T,sims = 10000,treat = "informed",treat.value = 1,mediator = "power") #mediation model with 10,000 bootstrap

pander(summary(fitMedBoot.1$model.m))
  Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
(Intercept) -1.919 0.1156 -16.6 3.991e-52
informed 0.5795 0.167 3.47 0.0005547
rational 0.4914 0.167 2.942 0.00337
informed:rational 0.9134 0.2345 3.895 0.0001079
Fitting linear model: power ~ informed * rational
Observations Residual Std. Error \(R^2\) Adjusted \(R^2\)
675 1.52 0.2016 0.1981
pander(summary(fitMedBoot.1$model.y))
  Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
(Intercept) -1.246 0.1365 -9.128 8.136e-19
informed 0.5364 0.1676 3.201 0.001437
rational 0.06563 0.1672 0.3926 0.6948
power 0.2963 0.0384 7.718 4.302e-14
informed:rational 0.7119 0.2359 3.019 0.002637
Fitting linear model: benefit_B ~ informed * rational + power
Observations Residual Std. Error \(R^2\) Adjusted \(R^2\)
675 1.512 0.2549 0.2504
pander(summary(fitMedBoot.2$model.m))
  Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
(Intercept) -1.919 0.1156 -16.6 3.991e-52
informed 0.5795 0.167 3.47 0.0005547
rational 0.4914 0.167 2.942 0.00337
informed:rational 0.9134 0.2345 3.895 0.0001079
Fitting linear model: power ~ informed * rational
Observations Residual Std. Error \(R^2\) Adjusted \(R^2\)
675 1.52 0.2016 0.1981
pander(summary(fitMedBoot.2$model.y))
  Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
(Intercept) -1.246 0.1365 -9.128 8.136e-19
informed 0.5364 0.1676 3.201 0.001437
rational 0.06563 0.1672 0.3926 0.6948
power 0.2963 0.0384 7.718 4.302e-14
informed:rational 0.7119 0.2359 3.019 0.002637
Fitting linear model: benefit_B ~ informed * rational + power
Observations Residual Std. Error \(R^2\) Adjusted \(R^2\)
675 1.512 0.2549 0.2504
plot(fitMedBoot.1)

plot(fitMedBoot.2)