ANALISI VALORI ESTREMI – BLOCK MAXIMA

Analisi dei valori estremi mediante BLOCK MAXIMA (serie annuali RX1, fonte SCIA). Si tratta delle serie che partono dal 1951, serie stazionarie.

Inizio Programma

## Stazione: 5602

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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 229.3
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## $mle
## [1] 39.76163  9.77551  0.04457
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## $se
## [1] 1.4406 1.0643 0.1027
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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 229.4
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## $mle
## [1] 39.989  9.925
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## $se
## [1] 1.358 1.026

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## [1] "Profile Likelihood for return levels"

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## Stazione: 5621

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## $conv
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## $nllh
## [1] 275
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## $mle
## [1] 72.09935 25.29836  0.02372
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## $se
## [1] 3.8583 2.8723 0.1138
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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 275.1
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## $mle
## [1] 72.43 25.53
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## $se
## [1] 3.559 2.683

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## Stazione: 5635

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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 283.6
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## $mle
## [1] 109.0469  33.1673  -0.1901
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## $se
## [1] 4.92656 3.49228 0.09683
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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 285.2
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## $mle
## [1] 105.77  31.92
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## $se
## [1] 4.473 3.172

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## Stazione: 5640

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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 296.3
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## $mle
## [1] 103.1452  32.6921   0.2315
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## $se
## [1] 5.1260 4.1982 0.1372
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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 298.2
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## $mle
## [1] 107.50  36.77
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## $se
## [1] 5.098 4.020

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## Stazione: 6259

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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 299.7
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## $mle
## [1] 58.602 25.872  0.284
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## $se
## [1] 3.8458 3.2292 0.1211
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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 303
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## $mle
## [1] 62.8 30.2
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## $se
## [1] 4.072 3.286

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## Stazione: 6269

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## $conv
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## $nllh
## [1] 259.3
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## $mle
## [1] 52.5138 19.4079  0.1554
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## $se
## [1] 2.89268 2.21491 0.09433
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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 261.2
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## $mle
## [1] 54.26 20.82
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## $se
## [1] 2.904 2.245

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## Stazione: 6285

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## $conv
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## $nllh
## [1] 300.8
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## $mle
## [1] 85.31054 30.15648  0.05375
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## $se
## [1] 4.4128 3.2804 0.0983
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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 301
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## $mle
## [1] 86.22 30.79
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## $se
## [1] 4.180 3.143

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## Stazione: 6429

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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 313
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## $mle
## [1] 80.23945 40.11684  0.05392
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## $se
## [1] 6.0767 4.5928 0.1196
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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 313.1
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## $mle
## [1] 81.41 41.02
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## $se
## [1] 5.617 4.277

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## Stazione: 6697

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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 253.8
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## $mle
## [1] 74.42918 18.04981  0.09852
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## $se
## [1] 2.7651 2.1040 0.1152
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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 254.1
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## $mle
## [1] 75.40 18.79
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## $se
## [1] 2.636 2.028

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## Stazione: 6709

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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 247.4
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## $mle
## [1] 52.652949 14.742739 -0.009783
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## $se
## [1] 2.1905 1.5906 0.1014
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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 247.4
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## $mle
## [1] 52.57 14.69
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## $se
## [1] 2.032 1.510

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## Stazione: 6720

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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 267.7
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## $mle
## [1] 54.0696 16.2317  0.1664
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## $se
## [1] 2.35105 1.82696 0.09845
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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 269.5
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## $mle
## [1] 55.57 17.52
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## $se
## [1] 2.364 1.854

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## Stazione: 6721

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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 245.8
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## $mle
## [1] 49.74387 14.84692  0.06188
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## $se
## [1] 2.2304 1.6657 0.1035
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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 246
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## $mle
## [1] 50.25 15.21
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## $se
## [1] 2.118 1.603

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## Stazione: 6723

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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 250.3
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## $mle
## [1] 46.18681 12.89435  0.09428
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## $se
## [1] 1.81231 1.30659 0.06571
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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 251.8
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## $mle
## [1] 46.93 13.33
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## $se
## [1] 1.798 1.330

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## Stazione: 6729

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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 237.4
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## $mle
## [1] 53.98714 13.73354 -0.06764
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## $se
## [1] 2.0467 1.4595 0.0998
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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 237.6
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## $mle
## [1] 53.51 13.51
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## $se
## [1] 1.887 1.373

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## Stazione: 6736

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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 254.8
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## $mle
## [1] 52.333 14.281  0.151
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## $se
## [1] 2.05435 1.55718 0.08374
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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 257.2
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## $mle
## [1] 53.61 15.30
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## $se
## [1] 2.076 1.597

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## Stazione: 6769

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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 274.1
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## $mle
## [1] 49.49924 18.53946 -0.01691
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## $se
## [1] 2.7426 2.0274 0.1128
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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 274.1
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## $mle
## [1] 49.33 18.43
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## $se
## [1] 2.486 1.865

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## Stazione: 6773

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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 268.5
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## $mle
## [1] 55.727706 20.982863  0.004109
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## $se
## [1] 3.2809 2.4964 0.1348
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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 268.5
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## $mle
## [1] 55.77 21.02
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## $se
## [1] 2.908 2.207

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## Stazione: 6794

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## $conv
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## $nllh
## [1] 277.8
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## $mle
## [1] 48.0654 18.9974  0.1863
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## $se
## [1] 2.69152 2.08493 0.08264
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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 281.3
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## $mle
## [1] 50.09 20.77
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## $se
## [1] 2.787 2.203

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## Stazione: 6812

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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 249.5
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## $mle
## [1] 30.8723 14.0934  0.2657
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## $se
## [1] 2.1776 1.8095 0.1305
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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 252.1
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## $mle
## [1] 33.03 16.21
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## $se
## [1] 2.243 1.791

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## Stazione: 6817

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## $conv
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## $nllh
## [1] 232.3
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## $mle
## [1] 44.54210 11.90415  0.05069
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## $se
## [1] 1.73309 1.24693 0.07639
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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 232.5
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## $mle
## [1] 44.89 12.09
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## $se
## [1] 1.681 1.240

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## Stazione: 6828

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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 249.7
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## $mle
## [1] 41.7597 16.1451  0.1703
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## $se
## [1] 2.5682 2.0485 0.1401
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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 250.6
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## $mle
## [1] 43.30 17.51
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## $se
## [1] 2.454 1.917

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## Stazione: 6836

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## $conv
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## $nllh
## [1] 249.2
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## $mle
## [1] 32.9498 13.7168  0.3092
## 
## $se
## [1] 2.1257 1.8056 0.1339
## 
## $conv
## [1] 0
## 
## $nllh
## [1] 253.2
## 
## $mle
## [1] 35.43 16.30
## 
## $se
## [1] 2.250 1.816

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## Stazione: 6841

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## $conv
## [1] 0
## 
## $nllh
## [1] 267.5
## 
## $mle
## [1] 49.5216 17.6399 -0.1069
## 
## $se
## [1] 2.50743 1.76824 0.08139
## 
## $conv
## [1] 0
## 
## $nllh
## [1] 268.1
## 
## $mle
## [1] 48.51 17.18
## 
## $se
## [1] 2.325 1.678

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## Stazione: 6850

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## $conv
## [1] 0
## 
## $nllh
## [1] 231.8
## 
## $mle
## [1] 40.39799 12.57937  0.04909
## 
## $se
## [1] 1.87651 1.37420 0.09492
## 
## $conv
## [1] 0
## 
## $nllh
## [1] 232
## 
## $mle
## [1] 40.72 12.78
## 
## $se
## [1] 1.793 1.350

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## Stazione: 6856

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## $conv
## [1] 0
## 
## $nllh
## [1] 258.6
## 
## $mle
## [1] 52.27603 17.37886 -0.07936
## 
## $se
## [1] 2.50030 1.73995 0.07923
## 
## $conv
## [1] 0
## 
## $nllh
## [1] 259
## 
## $mle
## [1] 51.54 17.10
## 
## $se
## [1] 2.351 1.681

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## Stazione: 6859

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## $conv
## [1] 0
## 
## $nllh
## [1] 278.9
## 
## $mle
## [1] 49.8104 20.9210  0.1881
## 
## $se
## [1] 3.0842 2.4260 0.1048
## 
## $conv
## [1] 0
## 
## $nllh
## [1] 281.1
## 
## $mle
## [1] 52.08 22.92
## 
## $se
## [1] 3.115 2.439

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## Stazione: 6865

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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 255.8
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## $mle
## [1] 49.93972 16.58221  0.02959
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## $se
## [1] 2.5816 1.9671 0.1343
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## $conv
## [1] 0
## 
## $nllh
## [1] 255.8
## 
## $mle
## [1] 50.20 16.79
## 
## $se
## [1] 2.321 1.773

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## Stazione: 6869

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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 274.2
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## $mle
## [1] 53.5044 18.4966  0.1239
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## $se
## [1] 2.7843 2.1591 0.1213
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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 274.8
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## $mle
## [1] 54.78 19.54
## 
## $se
## [1] 2.648 2.045

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## Stazione: 6874

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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 231.6
## 
## $mle
## [1] 33.61130 11.39056 -0.02993
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## $se
## [1] 1.65691 1.16869 0.08569
## 
## $conv
## [1] 0
## 
## $nllh
## [1] 231.7
## 
## $mle
## [1] 33.43 11.32
## 
## $se
## [1] 1.565 1.136

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## Stazione: 6888

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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 248.2
## 
## $mle
## [1] 46.9683 14.6435  0.1545
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## $se
## [1] 2.3135 1.8363 0.1402
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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 248.8
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## $mle
## [1] 48.23 15.74
## 
## $se
## [1] 2.188 1.706

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## Stazione: 6897

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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 278.4
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## $mle
## [1] 48.4743 23.4535  0.1137
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## $se
## [1] 3.5230 2.6977 0.1109
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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 279
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## $mle
## [1] 49.96 24.63
## 
## $se
## [1] 3.394 2.614

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## Stazione: 6901

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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 288.1
## 
## $mle
## [1] 48.3179 22.0593  0.2245
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## $se
## [1] 3.3185 2.6909 0.1243
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## $conv
## [1] 0
## 
## $nllh
## [1] 290.2
## 
## $mle
## [1] 51.15 24.69
## 
## $se
## [1] 3.333 2.635

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## Stazione: 6923

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## $conv
## [1] 0
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## $nllh
## [1] 269.7
## 
## $mle
## [1] 32.6889 14.4242  0.1754
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## $se
## [1] 2.1062 1.6611 0.1131
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## $conv
## [1] 0
## 
## $nllh
## [1] 271.1
## 
## $mle
## [1] 34.10 15.65
## 
## $se
## [1] 2.081 1.632

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