Preliminary results
Laura Menicacci
2023-12-07
- Time series: 1995:2019
- Sample: 21 countries
- Function: levels, logs, growth rates
- p-val: 0.01, 0.05
- AR(0,1)
Climate change mitigation technologies
with IIS
Count
0
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 02:27:00 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 523
Sample: 1 to 523
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 4.2299e-12 1.0567e-13 40.0295 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop 3.1575e-05 1.7694e-06 17.8453 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 4.4286e+02 5.7117e+01 7.7535 6.315e-14 ***
idBEL 2.7230e+02 5.5551e+01 4.9018 1.340e-06 ***
idCAN -1.2791e+02 5.6407e+01 -2.2677 0.0238353 *
idCHE 4.4393e+02 5.7576e+01 7.7104 8.512e-14 ***
idCHN -4.0548e+04 2.3340e+03 -17.3725 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU -3.3907e+02 1.2857e+02 -2.6372 0.0086559 **
idDNK 5.3922e+02 5.9290e+01 9.0946 < 2.2e-16 ***
idESP -7.3862e+02 6.6093e+01 -11.1755 < 2.2e-16 ***
idFIN 4.5617e+02 5.9441e+01 7.6743 1.091e-13 ***
idFRA -6.1961e+02 9.1570e+01 -6.7665 4.243e-11 ***
idGBR -7.9579e+02 8.8795e+01 -8.9621 < 2.2e-16 ***
idISR 3.8534e+02 5.8991e+01 6.5323 1.801e-10 ***
idITA -1.0240e+03 8.4302e+01 -12.1463 < 2.2e-16 ***
idJPN -7.7647e+02 2.3893e+02 -3.2497 0.0012443 **
idKOR -4.0925e+03 1.4930e+02 -27.4107 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 2.5828e+02 5.3041e+01 4.8694 1.566e-06 ***
idNOR 3.9709e+02 5.9887e+01 6.6306 9.861e-11 ***
idRUS -4.2843e+03 2.2460e+02 -19.0751 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE 4.1143e+02 5.6446e+01 7.2888 1.471e-12 ***
idUSA -6.0917e+03 4.5801e+02 -13.3006 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1995 -6.4652e+02 6.6305e+01 -9.7508 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1996 -6.3355e+02 6.6529e+01 -9.5229 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1997 -6.2208e+02 6.6011e+01 -9.4239 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1998 -5.9263e+02 6.6258e+01 -8.9443 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1999 -5.7876e+02 6.6458e+01 -8.7086 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2000 -5.5921e+02 6.6304e+01 -8.4340 4.891e-16 ***
time2001 -5.9187e+02 6.5683e+01 -9.0110 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2002 -6.3421e+02 6.5601e+01 -9.6677 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2003 -6.0651e+02 6.5833e+01 -9.2128 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2004 -5.4268e+02 6.3530e+01 -8.5422 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2005 -4.9646e+02 6.4079e+01 -7.7476 6.580e-14 ***
time2006 -4.4159e+02 6.4642e+01 -6.8313 2.826e-11 ***
time2007 -5.1632e+02 6.5473e+01 -7.8859 2.511e-14 ***
time2008 -4.9938e+02 6.4881e+01 -7.6969 9.343e-14 ***
time2009 -3.9752e+02 6.6030e+01 -6.0203 3.686e-09 ***
time2010 -3.2999e+02 6.7559e+01 -4.8844 1.457e-06 ***
time2011 -3.0563e+02 6.8019e+01 -4.4933 8.986e-06 ***
time2012 -3.2030e+02 6.8671e+01 -4.6642 4.120e-06 ***
time2013 -3.7913e+02 6.9356e+01 -5.4665 7.723e-08 ***
time2014 -4.0847e+02 7.0035e+01 -5.8324 1.063e-08 ***
time2015 -4.5809e+02 7.0674e+01 -6.4818 2.446e-10 ***
time2016 -4.0865e+02 7.1321e+01 -5.7298 1.873e-08 ***
time2017 -4.3363e+02 6.8572e+01 -6.3236 6.308e-10 ***
time2018 -4.2433e+02 6.9155e+01 -6.1359 1.896e-09 ***
time2019 -5.0106e+02 6.9617e+01 -7.1973 2.687e-12 ***
iis126 3.1281e+03 3.0730e+02 10.1794 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis127 2.7217e+03 2.9079e+02 9.3596 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis128 2.3197e+03 2.7506e+02 8.4334 4.911e-16 ***
iis129 1.9060e+03 2.6116e+02 7.2983 1.381e-12 ***
iis130 1.5657e+03 2.4930e+02 6.2804 8.146e-10 ***
iis131 1.2400e+03 2.3909e+02 5.1864 3.284e-07 ***
iis132 1.0107e+03 2.2966e+02 4.4006 1.358e-05 ***
iis133 8.1726e+02 2.2232e+02 3.6760 0.0002663 ***
iis134 5.7877e+02 2.1630e+02 2.6758 0.0077354 **
iis349 -2.0144e+03 2.3284e+02 -8.6518 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis350 -1.8978e+03 2.3283e+02 -8.1509 3.828e-15 ***
iis351 -1.7278e+03 2.3261e+02 -7.4280 5.815e-13 ***
iis352 -1.3959e+03 2.3261e+02 -6.0012 4.110e-09 ***
iis353 -7.4154e+02 2.3261e+02 -3.1879 0.0015356 **
iis363 8.8595e+02 2.0288e+02 4.3669 1.575e-05 ***
iis364 2.6308e+03 2.0307e+02 12.9550 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis365 3.4739e+03 2.0309e+02 17.1051 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis366 3.1187e+03 2.0312e+02 15.3535 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis367 2.5479e+03 2.0317e+02 12.5408 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis368 2.4215e+03 2.0322e+02 11.9155 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis369 2.1096e+03 2.0328e+02 10.3775 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis370 2.1699e+03 2.0334e+02 10.6711 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis371 2.4739e+03 2.0307e+02 12.1826 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis372 2.4913e+03 2.0312e+02 12.2654 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis373 1.1353e+03 2.0316e+02 5.5884 4.035e-08 ***
iis511 -5.8115e+02 2.0954e+02 -2.7734 0.0057835 **
iis514 5.5460e+02 2.0859e+02 2.6588 0.0081286 **
iis515 8.0645e+02 2.0838e+02 3.8700 0.0001254 ***
iis516 1.6248e+03 2.0824e+02 7.8026 4.493e-14 ***
iis517 2.1390e+03 2.0814e+02 10.2766 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis518 1.1778e+03 2.0808e+02 5.6601 2.738e-08 ***
iis519 1.0699e+03 2.0806e+02 5.1422 4.102e-07 ***
iis520 1.0078e+03 2.0809e+02 4.8430 1.777e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2017 1.3541e+03 1.6164e+02 8.3776 7.399e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.7790e+03 7.6521e+01 23.2483 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2002 7.1308e+02 1.5229e+02 4.6823 3.790e-06 ***
fesisUSA.2001 1.1236e+03 1.1413e+02 9.8447 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2007 2.1848e+03 1.2282e+02 17.7882 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 149.29 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 125.67 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 185.09743
R-squared 0.99206
Log-lik.(n=523) -3430.12631 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 02:26:58 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 523
Sample: 1 to 523
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 4.0999e-12 1.4489e-13 28.2965 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop 6.6487e-05 3.5046e-06 18.9712 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 7.4235e+02 5.9106e+01 12.5597 < 2.2e-16 ***
idBEL 4.8774e+02 5.3509e+01 9.1150 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCAN -6.9316e+02 6.1757e+01 -11.2240 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCHE 7.6564e+02 6.0692e+01 12.6151 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCHN -8.6447e+04 4.5943e+03 -18.8160 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU -2.5148e+03 2.2618e+02 -11.1186 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 9.3733e+02 6.6427e+01 14.1108 < 2.2e-16 ***
idESP -1.5618e+03 9.1892e+01 -16.9965 < 2.2e-16 ***
idFIN 8.6053e+02 6.6929e+01 12.8573 < 2.2e-16 ***
idFRA -2.2529e+03 1.5816e+02 -14.2443 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGBR -2.3619e+03 1.5166e+02 -15.5730 < 2.2e-16 ***
idISR 7.2177e+02 6.2325e+01 11.5807 < 2.2e-16 ***
idITA -2.4786e+03 1.4095e+02 -17.5847 < 2.2e-16 ***
idJPN -3.7618e+03 3.8847e+02 -9.6835 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -4.6373e+03 1.5759e+02 -29.4260 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 2.7525e+02 4.4047e+01 6.2490 1.032e-09 ***
idNOR 8.7960e+02 7.0336e+01 12.5056 < 2.2e-16 ***
idRUS -8.7395e+03 4.3849e+02 -19.9307 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE 6.7688e+02 5.6727e+01 11.9322 < 2.2e-16 ***
idUSA -1.5093e+04 8.9643e+02 -16.8372 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1995 -1.1764e+03 7.8254e+01 -15.0330 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1996 -1.1817e+03 7.9033e+01 -14.9521 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1997 -1.2125e+03 7.9287e+01 -15.2925 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1998 -1.1919e+03 8.0010e+01 -14.8965 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1999 -1.1547e+03 8.0650e+01 -14.3168 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2000 -1.1390e+03 8.1385e+01 -13.9948 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2001 -1.1571e+03 7.9513e+01 -14.5519 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2002 -1.1535e+03 8.0098e+01 -14.4014 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2003 -1.1766e+03 8.0673e+01 -14.5842 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2004 -1.1391e+03 8.1422e+01 -13.9894 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2005 -1.0946e+03 8.2170e+01 -13.3213 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2006 -1.0398e+03 8.2977e+01 -12.5310 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2007 -1.1076e+03 8.2709e+01 -13.3919 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2008 -1.0631e+03 8.2593e+01 -12.8711 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2009 -9.8716e+02 8.4675e+01 -11.6581 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2010 -9.4354e+02 8.6142e+01 -10.9534 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2011 -8.9463e+02 8.4584e+01 -10.5769 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2012 -9.4030e+02 8.6530e+01 -10.8668 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2013 -9.8396e+02 8.4270e+01 -11.6764 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2014 -1.0325e+03 8.6210e+01 -11.9765 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2015 -1.0740e+03 8.8024e+01 -12.2007 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2016 -1.0582e+03 8.9853e+01 -11.7773 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2017 -1.0596e+03 8.7391e+01 -12.1250 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2018 -1.0092e+03 8.8662e+01 -11.3821 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2019 -1.1005e+03 8.9967e+01 -12.2320 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis126 7.4949e+03 4.6006e+02 16.2913 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis127 6.6637e+03 4.1907e+02 15.9012 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis128 5.8668e+03 3.7910e+02 15.4757 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis129 5.0481e+03 3.4199e+02 14.7608 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis130 4.3075e+03 3.0894e+02 13.9427 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis131 3.6399e+03 2.7968e+02 13.0143 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis132 3.0748e+03 2.5107e+02 12.2466 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis133 2.5372e+03 2.2806e+02 11.1253 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis134 2.0705e+03 2.0807e+02 9.9507 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis135 1.6059e+03 1.9064e+02 8.4238 6.137e-16 ***
iis136 1.2069e+03 1.7540e+02 6.8806 2.226e-11 ***
iis137 7.7206e+02 1.6342e+02 4.7243 3.173e-06 ***
iis138 4.5370e+02 1.5447e+02 2.9371 0.0034989 **
iis151 -8.1552e+02 1.3450e+02 -6.0634 3.015e-09 ***
iis152 -6.4877e+02 1.3450e+02 -4.8236 1.988e-06 ***
iis349 -2.8201e+03 1.3879e+02 -20.3198 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis350 -2.6933e+03 1.3870e+02 -19.4176 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis351 -2.4909e+03 1.3831e+02 -18.0098 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis352 -2.1629e+03 1.3833e+02 -15.6363 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis353 -1.5402e+03 1.3832e+02 -11.1345 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis354 -8.8336e+02 1.3828e+02 -6.3884 4.535e-10 ***
iis355 -7.4262e+02 1.3822e+02 -5.3728 1.300e-07 ***
iis356 -8.4416e+02 1.3808e+02 -6.1138 2.260e-09 ***
iis363 7.6743e+02 1.3849e+02 5.5416 5.358e-08 ***
iis364 2.5380e+03 1.3844e+02 18.3327 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis365 3.3649e+03 1.3848e+02 24.2985 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis366 3.0487e+03 1.3853e+02 22.0069 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis367 2.4705e+03 1.3844e+02 17.8450 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis368 2.3694e+03 1.3852e+02 17.1049 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis369 2.0551e+03 1.3866e+02 14.8210 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis370 2.1519e+03 1.3882e+02 15.5010 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis371 2.4371e+03 1.3870e+02 17.5709 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis372 2.4195e+03 1.3853e+02 17.4658 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis373 1.0840e+03 1.3869e+02 7.8159 4.598e-14 ***
iis388 6.2564e+02 1.3507e+02 4.6318 4.868e-06 ***
iis389 8.7934e+02 1.3597e+02 6.4671 2.833e-10 ***
iis390 7.7709e+02 1.3714e+02 5.6662 2.746e-08 ***
iis391 9.4900e+02 1.3808e+02 6.8726 2.341e-11 ***
iis392 1.1749e+03 1.3972e+02 8.4093 6.820e-16 ***
iis393 1.1233e+03 1.4169e+02 7.9281 2.109e-14 ***
iis394 5.8311e+02 1.4377e+02 4.0558 5.977e-05 ***
iis395 8.4109e+02 1.4632e+02 5.7482 1.758e-08 ***
iis396 2.9705e+02 1.4950e+02 1.9870 0.0475857 *
iis513 3.6494e+02 1.5738e+02 2.3189 0.0208905 *
iis514 7.4805e+02 1.5817e+02 4.7294 3.098e-06 ***
iis515 8.9661e+02 1.5985e+02 5.6091 3.736e-08 ***
iis516 2.3604e+03 1.6303e+02 14.4783 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis517 2.7833e+03 1.6050e+02 17.3409 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis518 1.7600e+03 1.5936e+02 11.0445 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis519 1.5619e+03 1.5839e+02 9.8615 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis520 1.4521e+03 1.5765e+02 9.2109 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis521 9.0100e+02 1.5685e+02 5.7445 1.794e-08 ***
fesisAUS.2009 -3.4316e+02 5.2713e+01 -6.5100 2.189e-10 ***
fesisCHN.2011 -6.6006e+02 1.3328e+02 -4.9526 1.071e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2013 -9.4214e+02 1.4257e+02 -6.6083 1.205e-10 ***
fesisCHN.2017 5.1504e+02 1.3361e+02 3.8547 0.0001344 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.7058e+03 5.4660e+01 31.2065 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisESP.2009 -2.8122e+02 5.3115e+01 -5.2946 1.945e-07 ***
fesisKOR.1999 -5.9417e+02 1.0042e+02 -5.9171 6.898e-09 ***
fesisKOR.2002 -2.7047e+02 1.0472e+02 -2.5828 0.0101455 *
fesisNOR.2009 -1.3570e+02 5.2185e+01 -2.6003 0.0096501 **
fesisUSA.2001 5.2265e+02 9.4460e+01 5.5330 5.608e-08 ***
fesisUSA.2007 1.4105e+03 1.1076e+02 12.7347 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2012 -6.9444e+02 1.5148e+02 -4.5844 6.045e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 68.379 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 129.222 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 124.55974
R-squared 0.99662
Log-lik.(n=523) -3209.96765 1
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 02:26:56 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 502
Sample: 1 to 502
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.0036e-01 9.9480e-03 90.5061 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 1.3176e-13 1.6578e-13 0.7948 0.4271855
pop 4.3294e-06 5.2058e-07 8.3163 1.235e-15 ***
idAUT 6.4761e+01 2.0735e+01 3.1233 0.0019103 **
idBEL 3.9956e+01 2.0273e+01 1.9708 0.0493897 *
idCAN -1.4357e+01 2.0403e+01 -0.7036 0.4820355
idCHE 6.1239e+01 2.0824e+01 2.9408 0.0034525 **
idCHN -5.2534e+03 6.3385e+02 -8.2882 1.514e-15 ***
idDEU -3.3098e+00 4.0360e+01 -0.0820 0.9346807
idDNK 8.1441e+01 2.1287e+01 3.8258 0.0001498 ***
idESP -9.9334e+01 2.2931e+01 -4.3318 1.846e-05 ***
idFIN 6.4272e+01 2.1201e+01 3.0315 0.0025819 **
idFRA -7.4213e+01 2.8509e+01 -2.6032 0.0095587 **
idGBR -1.0513e+02 2.7947e+01 -3.7617 0.0001924 ***
idISR 5.4620e+01 2.1267e+01 2.5683 0.0105594 *
idITA -1.3612e+02 2.7224e+01 -5.0000 8.392e-07 ***
idJPN -3.4630e+00 9.7975e+01 -0.0353 0.9718206
idKOR -1.3972e+02 1.4407e+02 -0.9698 0.3326907
idNLD 3.8218e+01 1.9799e+01 1.9303 0.0542356 .
idNOR 5.8491e+01 2.1247e+01 2.7529 0.0061601 **
idRUS -5.5431e+02 6.8181e+01 -8.1300 4.720e-15 ***
idSWE 6.0368e+01 2.0590e+01 2.9319 0.0035507 **
idUSA -6.5814e+02 1.3280e+02 -4.9559 1.041e-06 ***
time1996 -8.5683e+01 2.2797e+01 -3.7585 0.0001948 ***
time1997 -9.2426e+01 2.2909e+01 -4.0345 6.485e-05 ***
time1998 -8.2825e+01 2.2805e+01 -3.6319 0.0003156 ***
time1999 -7.8454e+01 2.2982e+01 -3.4137 0.0007022 ***
time2000 -5.7032e+01 2.2113e+01 -2.5791 0.0102398 *
time2001 -7.7103e+01 2.2256e+01 -3.4644 0.0005853 ***
time2002 -9.9073e+01 2.2347e+01 -4.4333 1.182e-05 ***
time2003 -8.2861e+01 2.2566e+01 -3.6719 0.0002714 ***
time2004 -5.6430e+01 2.2613e+01 -2.4955 0.0129566 *
time2005 -6.6006e+01 2.2638e+01 -2.9157 0.0037368 **
time2006 -6.6209e+01 2.2814e+01 -2.9022 0.0038981 **
time2007 -4.1277e+01 2.3015e+01 -1.7935 0.0736085 .
time2008 -4.3404e+01 2.3037e+01 -1.8841 0.0602313 .
time2009 -3.3478e+01 2.3360e+01 -1.4331 0.1525596
time2010 -2.6821e+00 2.3307e+01 -0.1151 0.9084397
time2011 -5.9713e+01 2.3391e+01 -2.5528 0.0110329 *
time2012 -8.5429e+01 2.3431e+01 -3.6460 0.0002993 ***
time2013 -1.1972e+02 2.3821e+01 -5.0259 7.392e-07 ***
time2014 -9.8822e+01 2.3678e+01 -4.1736 3.636e-05 ***
time2015 -1.0256e+02 2.3897e+01 -4.2919 2.195e-05 ***
time2016 -5.7558e+01 2.3341e+01 -2.4659 0.0140580 *
time2017 -3.0510e+01 2.3531e+01 -1.2966 0.1954739
time2018 -3.9678e+01 2.3442e+01 -1.6926 0.0912717 .
time2019 -1.1557e+02 2.3914e+01 -4.8330 1.881e-06 ***
iis141 7.6294e+02 7.8287e+01 9.7455 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis142 5.6290e+02 8.0804e+01 6.9663 1.241e-11 ***
iis143 4.0431e+02 8.3273e+01 4.8553 1.691e-06 ***
iis144 3.2776e+02 8.5732e+01 3.8231 0.0001514 ***
iis347 -5.2566e+02 7.2231e+01 -7.2776 1.649e-12 ***
iis348 4.7374e+02 7.2702e+01 6.5163 2.038e-10 ***
iis349 1.7236e+03 7.2133e+01 23.8946 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis350 9.3320e+02 7.3783e+01 12.6478 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis352 -4.0825e+02 7.5118e+01 -5.4348 9.250e-08 ***
iis358 -1.3282e+03 7.3949e+01 -17.9614 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis372 3.5295e+02 8.2842e+01 4.2606 2.512e-05 ***
iis378 -6.5013e+02 7.7004e+01 -8.4428 4.908e-16 ***
iis380 -3.6129e+02 8.6174e+01 -4.1926 3.356e-05 ***
iis490 3.1251e+02 7.5295e+01 4.1505 4.008e-05 ***
iis495 8.8293e+02 8.5297e+01 10.3512 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis496 6.4306e+02 8.5357e+01 7.5338 2.982e-13 ***
iis497 -7.7665e+02 8.5632e+01 -9.0696 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis502 -2.9113e+02 8.5474e+01 -3.4061 0.0007216 ***
fesisCHN.2000 -1.5568e+02 5.7060e+01 -2.7284 0.0066270 **
fesisDEU.2006 3.4155e+02 3.8495e+01 8.8726 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -3.2837e+02 3.7893e+01 -8.6656 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.1999 5.1824e+02 6.3950e+01 8.1038 5.691e-15 ***
fesisJPN.2001 -3.0732e+02 5.9886e+01 -5.1318 4.370e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2003 1.9562e+02 6.6499e+01 2.9417 0.0034419 **
fesisKOR.2009 3.3523e+02 7.0173e+01 4.7772 2.450e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2017 -3.0167e+02 7.2691e+01 -4.1501 4.015e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2005 4.5482e+02 4.5895e+01 9.9101 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2012 -3.1767e+02 6.0679e+01 -5.2353 2.592e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2017 -4.6869e+02 6.9665e+01 -6.7277 5.572e-11 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.17683 1 0.6741
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 66.34007 1 3.331e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 67.76081
R-squared 0.99895
Log-lik.(n=502) -2790.73115 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 02:26:54 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 502
Sample: 1 to 502
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.5969e-01 1.2574e-02 68.3687 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -8.0545e-14 1.5652e-13 -0.5146 0.6071067
pop 5.1537e-06 5.0789e-07 10.1473 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 7.6305e+01 1.8249e+01 4.1813 3.538e-05 ***
idBEL 4.5848e+01 1.7650e+01 2.5976 0.0097205 **
idCAN -1.4232e+01 1.7662e+01 -0.8058 0.4208402
idCHE 7.2721e+01 1.8325e+01 3.9683 8.528e-05 ***
idCHN -6.2488e+03 6.1792e+02 -10.1126 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU 5.8759e+00 3.4813e+01 0.1688 0.8660465
idDNK 9.6196e+01 1.8873e+01 5.0971 5.252e-07 ***
idESP -1.1912e+02 2.0609e+01 -5.7799 1.470e-08 ***
idFIN 7.5089e+01 1.8641e+01 4.0281 6.688e-05 ***
idFRA -8.0421e+01 2.4863e+01 -3.2346 0.0013157 **
idGBR -1.1918e+02 2.4693e+01 -4.8265 1.957e-06 ***
idISR 6.3463e+01 1.8609e+01 3.4103 0.0007124 ***
idITA -1.6066e+02 2.4673e+01 -6.5116 2.152e-10 ***
idJPN 1.2044e+02 8.9399e+01 1.3473 0.1786284
idKOR 2.7228e+01 1.3571e+02 0.2006 0.8410858
idNLD 4.6152e+01 1.7265e+01 2.6732 0.0078098 **
idNOR 6.7658e+01 1.8599e+01 3.6376 0.0003098 ***
idRUS -6.4538e+02 6.6392e+01 -9.7208 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE 7.2400e+01 1.8107e+01 3.9985 7.546e-05 ***
idUSA -7.7487e+02 1.2133e+02 -6.3864 4.558e-10 ***
time1996 -1.0573e+02 2.0387e+01 -5.1863 3.359e-07 ***
time1997 -1.1097e+02 2.0438e+01 -5.4296 9.633e-08 ***
time1998 -1.0085e+02 2.0308e+01 -4.9659 1.001e-06 ***
time1999 -9.6035e+01 2.0493e+01 -4.6863 3.778e-06 ***
time2000 -6.9363e+01 1.9512e+01 -3.5549 0.0004216 ***
time2001 -8.1512e+01 1.9664e+01 -4.1451 4.119e-05 ***
time2002 -9.2121e+01 1.9735e+01 -4.6678 4.115e-06 ***
time2003 -1.0216e+02 1.9900e+01 -5.1335 4.380e-07 ***
time2004 -7.3648e+01 1.9887e+01 -3.7033 0.0002416 ***
time2005 -7.4510e+01 2.0119e+01 -3.7035 0.0002414 ***
time2006 -8.4250e+01 2.0210e+01 -4.1688 3.729e-05 ***
time2007 -5.4661e+01 2.0176e+01 -2.7092 0.0070231 **
time2008 -5.0072e+01 2.0382e+01 -2.4567 0.0144301 *
time2009 -4.1815e+01 2.0612e+01 -2.0287 0.0431295 *
time2010 -1.5817e+01 2.0511e+01 -0.7712 0.4410533
time2011 -6.0523e+01 2.0439e+01 -2.9611 0.0032411 **
time2012 -7.9906e+01 2.0556e+01 -3.8872 0.0001180 ***
time2013 -1.0223e+02 2.0934e+01 -4.8832 1.492e-06 ***
time2014 -1.0848e+02 2.0673e+01 -5.2473 2.467e-07 ***
time2015 -9.8336e+01 2.1079e+01 -4.6651 4.167e-06 ***
time2016 -8.1692e+01 2.0623e+01 -3.9612 8.778e-05 ***
time2017 -4.7308e+01 2.0663e+01 -2.2895 0.0225490 *
time2018 -5.5921e+01 2.0565e+01 -2.7193 0.0068170 **
time2019 -1.2349e+02 2.0831e+01 -5.9285 6.439e-09 ***
iis141 8.0125e+02 6.7726e+01 11.8309 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis142 6.3102e+02 7.0239e+01 8.9839 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis143 5.0080e+02 7.3141e+01 6.8470 2.726e-11 ***
iis144 4.3712e+02 7.5860e+01 5.7621 1.621e-08 ***
iis162 -3.7727e+02 6.4560e+01 -5.8437 1.033e-08 ***
iis341 -1.9787e+02 8.5016e+01 -2.3274 0.0204240 *
iis347 -7.3882e+02 7.1181e+01 -10.3796 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis348 2.4141e+02 7.2967e+01 3.3085 0.0010199 **
iis349 1.5281e+03 7.0133e+01 21.7880 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis350 8.0275e+02 6.7611e+01 11.8731 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis351 -2.6270e+02 6.8921e+01 -3.8116 0.0001590 ***
iis352 -5.3209e+02 6.8183e+01 -7.8039 4.928e-14 ***
iis354 -3.7764e+02 6.7334e+01 -5.6085 3.732e-08 ***
iis358 -1.4453e+03 6.7457e+01 -21.4251 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis372 2.7654e+02 7.3268e+01 3.7744 0.0001838 ***
iis378 -7.9882e+02 8.5670e+01 -9.3244 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis380 -3.6007e+02 7.4815e+01 -4.8128 2.087e-06 ***
iis489 2.1316e+02 7.4059e+01 2.8783 0.0042055 **
iis490 5.1292e+02 7.1982e+01 7.1256 4.617e-12 ***
iis491 2.1333e+02 7.0107e+01 3.0429 0.0024922 **
iis492 2.6016e+02 6.9725e+01 3.7312 0.0002171 ***
iis493 3.9834e+02 6.9571e+01 5.7257 1.978e-08 ***
iis494 2.6552e+02 6.9915e+01 3.7977 0.0001678 ***
iis495 8.5122e+02 7.0364e+01 12.0973 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis496 6.3334e+02 7.2866e+01 8.6918 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis497 -7.3968e+02 7.4820e+01 -9.8862 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis502 -3.2537e+02 7.4307e+01 -4.3786 1.514e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2000 -1.9801e+02 5.1318e+01 -3.8586 0.0001322 ***
fesisDEU.2006 4.0164e+02 3.5830e+01 11.2095 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -2.6087e+02 3.4103e+01 -7.6495 1.422e-13 ***
fesisJPN.1999 5.5039e+02 5.5849e+01 9.8549 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2001 -4.0565e+02 7.4641e+01 -5.4347 9.380e-08 ***
fesisJPN.2003 2.5723e+02 6.6670e+01 3.8582 0.0001324 ***
fesisJPN.2008 1.6262e+02 5.1458e+01 3.1603 0.0016918 **
fesisKOR.2003 3.0664e+02 6.1505e+01 4.9856 9.091e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2009 4.6584e+02 6.4594e+01 7.2117 2.638e-12 ***
fesisKOR.2015 2.3187e+02 7.1993e+01 3.2207 0.0013796 **
fesisKOR.2017 -4.0456e+02 7.6212e+01 -5.3084 1.805e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2005 3.3506e+02 5.8992e+01 5.6798 2.541e-08 ***
fesisUSA.2017 -4.7722e+02 5.6555e+01 -8.4382 5.421e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.26737 1 0.6051
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 63.56909 1 1.554e-15 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 58.65429
R-squared 0.99924
Log-lik.(n=502) -2712.78080 Count Ma
0
0.01
Formula: count_ma~ gdp_ma + pop_ma
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 02:28:17 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 523
Sample: 1 to 523
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp_ma 0.62073 0.24197 2.5653 0.0106297 *
pop_ma 2.16872 1.06427 2.0377 0.0421555 *
idAUT 4.63983 1.85691 2.4987 0.0128186 *
idBEL 6.22475 1.82051 3.4192 0.0006848 ***
idCAN 4.08762 1.56164 2.6175 0.0091538 **
idCHE -1.99451 2.06210 -0.9672 0.3339483
idCHN 24.93231 4.30654 5.7894 1.321e-08 ***
idDEU 5.64265 2.12946 2.6498 0.0083354 **
idDNK 8.20519 1.89606 4.3275 1.857e-05 ***
idESP 6.13744 2.18618 2.8074 0.0052101 **
idFIN -6.48021 3.46356 -1.8710 0.0619936 .
idFRA 5.80779 1.83588 3.1635 0.0016638 **
idGBR 4.43547 1.77845 2.4940 0.0129863 *
idISR 3.64130 2.39452 1.5207 0.1290379
idITA 6.48771 2.09707 3.0937 0.0020990 **
idJPN 5.43750 2.19351 2.4789 0.0135415 *
idKOR 25.30229 3.38553 7.4737 4.061e-13 ***
idNLD 5.75335 1.82821 3.1470 0.0017585 **
idNOR 14.69663 3.00893 4.8843 1.442e-06 ***
idRUS 5.19272 2.24735 2.3106 0.0213038 *
idSWE 3.10838 1.72477 1.8022 0.0721785 .
idUSA 3.85611 1.60715 2.3993 0.0168277 *
time1995 -0.24528 2.42021 -0.1013 0.9193215
time1996 2.11984 2.34090 0.9056 0.3656474
time1997 4.99839 2.37042 2.1086 0.0355234 *
time1998 4.45707 2.36227 1.8868 0.0598301 .
time1999 4.57525 2.44030 1.8749 0.0614530 .
time2000 3.12993 2.43431 1.2858 0.1991838
time2001 0.36853 2.37913 0.1549 0.8769675
time2002 -2.16212 2.29611 -0.9416 0.3468771
time2003 -1.25138 2.33824 -0.5352 0.5927876
time2004 2.61791 2.34471 1.1165 0.2647914
time2005 3.65043 2.43784 1.4974 0.1349839
time2006 4.63821 2.50284 1.8532 0.0645071 .
time2007 4.58113 2.53639 1.8062 0.0715567 .
time2008 5.86895 2.35745 2.4895 0.0131487 *
time2009 4.71253 2.31290 2.0375 0.0421810 *
time2010 3.82801 2.26774 1.6880 0.0920935 .
time2011 -0.80344 2.33854 -0.3436 0.7313330
time2012 -7.46094 2.28968 -3.2585 0.0012043 **
time2013 -9.94917 2.30562 -4.3152 1.960e-05 ***
time2014 -11.77927 2.33265 -5.0497 6.424e-07 ***
time2015 -7.66012 2.35846 -3.2479 0.0012488 **
time2016 -7.21137 2.37828 -3.0322 0.0025673 **
time2017 -4.87456 2.36356 -2.0624 0.0397410 *
time2018 -8.40454 2.31204 -3.6351 0.0003097 ***
time2019 -5.88942 2.13300 -2.7611 0.0059948 **
iis187 40.21717 5.54495 7.2529 1.779e-12 ***
iis188 25.49188 5.54882 4.5941 5.641e-06 ***
iis189 26.89634 5.55522 4.8416 1.770e-06 ***
iis426 17.81853 6.06357 2.9386 0.0034651 **
iis449 22.34879 6.16927 3.6226 0.0003247 ***
iis451 25.72144 5.78673 4.4449 1.107e-05 ***
iis453 35.86365 5.55017 6.4617 2.678e-10 ***
fesisCHE.2008 6.69508 2.23575 2.9946 0.0028990 **
fesisCHN.1997 -16.91723 4.99780 -3.3849 0.0007739 ***
fesisCHN.2000 23.49413 3.87346 6.0654 2.779e-09 ***
fesisCHN.2006 -14.20630 2.66452 -5.3316 1.539e-07 ***
fesisESP.2004 22.40495 3.76125 5.9568 5.169e-09 ***
fesisESP.2007 -23.61410 3.79690 -6.2193 1.136e-09 ***
fesisFIN.1998 11.73373 3.38581 3.4656 0.0005795 ***
fesisISR.2005 21.16226 3.73948 5.6592 2.702e-08 ***
fesisISR.2008 -25.36438 3.51072 -7.2248 2.142e-12 ***
fesisKOR.1998 -18.55496 4.15825 -4.4622 1.025e-05 ***
fesisKOR.2002 25.55782 4.15324 6.1537 1.667e-09 ***
fesisKOR.2005 -22.60069 3.44009 -6.5698 1.386e-10 ***
fesisNOR.2000 -22.68637 4.71021 -4.8164 1.996e-06 ***
fesisNOR.2002 17.88254 4.28922 4.1692 3.664e-05 ***
fesisNOR.2010 -14.76021 2.95407 -4.9966 8.350e-07 ***
fesisNOR.2016 24.20608 3.51950 6.8777 2.028e-11 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 48.063 1 4.127e-12 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 29.826 1 4.726e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 5.28171
R-squared 0.79586
Log-lik.(n=523) -1577.50735 0.05
Formula: count_ma~ gdp_ma + pop_ma
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 02:28:14 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 523
Sample: 1 to 523
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp_ma 0.51921 0.20835 2.4920 0.0130756 *
pop_ma 1.93839 0.96280 2.0133 0.0447046 *
idAUT 12.56595 3.47366 3.6175 0.0003326 ***
idBEL 13.43219 3.46514 3.8764 0.0001225 ***
idCAN 16.29780 3.61174 4.5124 8.272e-06 ***
idCHE 5.87728 3.55148 1.6549 0.0986751 .
idCHN 33.39724 4.69081 7.1197 4.542e-12 ***
idDEU 13.44257 3.57453 3.7607 0.0001928 ***
idDNK 10.42614 4.51772 2.3078 0.0214801 *
idESP 13.53971 3.46456 3.9081 0.0001080 ***
idFIN 2.09859 4.17791 0.5023 0.6157071
idFRA 13.72513 3.46742 3.9583 8.824e-05 ***
idGBR 12.40563 3.44835 3.5976 0.0003584 ***
idISR 9.70532 3.57001 2.7186 0.0068204 **
idITA 14.23650 3.56339 3.9952 7.598e-05 ***
idJPN 15.14636 3.71026 4.0823 5.314e-05 ***
idKOR 34.22254 4.14810 8.2502 1.930e-15 ***
idNLD 13.70996 3.46376 3.9581 8.831e-05 ***
idNOR 23.15082 3.94917 5.8622 9.080e-09 ***
idRUS 18.05360 3.94386 4.5777 6.156e-06 ***
idSWE 8.50082 3.56510 2.3845 0.0175350 *
idUSA 11.95224 3.40143 3.5139 0.0004882 ***
time1995 -7.21846 3.54665 -2.0353 0.0424314 *
time1996 -5.17437 3.51735 -1.4711 0.1419926
time1997 -4.83178 3.71364 -1.3011 0.1939207
time1998 -5.05565 3.71045 -1.3625 0.1737369
time1999 -3.34548 3.73792 -0.8950 0.3712784
time2000 -4.94801 3.73976 -1.3231 0.1865072
time2001 -7.76850 3.71375 -2.0918 0.0370382 *
time2002 -9.20853 3.68204 -2.5009 0.0127561 *
time2003 -9.13070 3.71606 -2.4571 0.0143988 *
time2004 -4.21391 3.69925 -1.1391 0.2552826
time2005 -3.73952 3.75709 -0.9953 0.3201354
time2006 -0.54014 3.79408 -0.1424 0.8868598
time2007 -1.16191 3.79453 -0.3062 0.7595954
time2008 -0.78690 3.69089 -0.2132 0.8312719
time2009 -3.12098 3.65716 -0.8534 0.3939156
time2010 -4.04631 3.63808 -1.1122 0.2666662
time2011 -8.54981 3.67008 -2.3296 0.0202873 *
time2012 -15.69545 3.64809 -4.3024 2.092e-05 ***
time2013 -18.19192 3.65430 -4.9782 9.289e-07 ***
time2014 -19.99094 3.66607 -5.4530 8.350e-08 ***
time2015 -15.44813 3.68206 -4.1955 3.306e-05 ***
time2016 -14.95968 3.69153 -4.0524 6.011e-05 ***
time2017 -12.62048 3.68562 -3.4242 0.0006754 ***
time2018 -15.57865 3.67139 -4.2433 2.698e-05 ***
time2019 -13.90098 3.58776 -3.8746 0.0001234 ***
iis53 18.42234 4.71345 3.9085 0.0001078 ***
iis79 11.52896 4.87432 2.3652 0.0184592 *
iis187 38.58867 4.73967 8.1416 4.214e-15 ***
iis188 24.35573 4.73584 5.1428 4.111e-07 ***
iis189 26.39045 4.73242 5.5765 4.332e-08 ***
iis210 25.42440 4.84981 5.2424 2.486e-07 ***
iis211 22.68359 4.83662 4.6900 3.671e-06 ***
iis212 18.58782 4.84168 3.8391 0.0001419 ***
iis307 16.15173 4.75184 3.3991 0.0007390 ***
iis309 25.12358 4.73627 5.3045 1.808e-07 ***
iis310 15.07708 4.74786 3.1756 0.0016026 **
iis311 26.16579 4.74702 5.5120 6.111e-08 ***
iis322 -12.52801 4.71699 -2.6559 0.0082015 **
iis426 19.76040 5.14705 3.8392 0.0001419 ***
iis449 15.75297 5.49496 2.8668 0.0043492 **
iis451 22.39514 5.15843 4.3415 1.765e-05 ***
iis453 31.23050 4.92132 6.3460 5.591e-10 ***
iis456 -19.47208 4.92730 -3.9519 9.056e-05 ***
iis457 -17.15360 4.93600 -3.4752 0.0005621 ***
fesisAUS.1997 14.97118 3.70285 4.0431 6.245e-05 ***
fesisAUS.2004 -13.00511 2.42096 -5.3719 1.276e-07 ***
fesisAUS.2012 8.87255 2.30563 3.8482 0.0001369 ***
fesisCAN.2004 -12.27366 2.64439 -4.6414 4.597e-06 ***
fesisCAN.2009 7.51756 2.51276 2.9918 0.0029327 **
fesisCHE.2008 7.00079 1.93341 3.6210 0.0003283 ***
fesisCHN.1997 -15.22145 4.24781 -3.5834 0.0003778 ***
fesisCHN.2000 22.02393 3.29081 6.6926 6.825e-11 ***
fesisCHN.2006 -14.45044 2.26172 -6.3891 4.323e-10 ***
fesisDNK.1997 21.25399 4.61307 4.6073 5.375e-06 ***
fesisDNK.1999 -16.34526 3.43980 -4.7518 2.749e-06 ***
fesisFIN.1998 11.01347 2.88096 3.8228 0.0001513 ***
fesisJPN.2005 -10.73866 2.74672 -3.9096 0.0001073 ***
fesisJPN.2009 10.15738 2.71792 3.7372 0.0002111 ***
fesisKOR.1998 -18.25322 3.53145 -5.1688 3.609e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2002 21.45114 3.27195 6.5561 1.579e-10 ***
fesisKOR.2006 -30.00835 3.99210 -7.5169 3.265e-13 ***
fesisKOR.2008 14.38043 3.70426 3.8821 0.0001197 ***
fesisKOR.2015 -8.27729 2.70380 -3.0614 0.0023409 **
fesisNOR.2000 -22.65636 3.99446 -5.6719 2.589e-08 ***
fesisNOR.2002 16.59142 3.63970 4.5585 6.718e-06 ***
fesisNOR.2010 -13.51867 2.52784 -5.3479 1.445e-07 ***
fesisNOR.2016 23.74396 2.98843 7.9453 1.699e-14 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -5.63603 2.21036 -2.5498 0.0111222 *
fesisSWE.2009 6.02247 1.97786 3.0449 0.0024696 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 25.1838 1 5.212e-07 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 9.8835 1 0.001668 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 4.47419
R-squared 0.86030
Log-lik.(n=523) -1480.22867 1
0.01
Formula: count_ma~ gdp_ma + pop_ma
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 02:28:13 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 502
Sample: 1 to 502
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.430318 0.033293 12.9254 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp_ma 0.672307 0.218491 3.0770 0.0022227 **
pop_ma 3.162039 0.915081 3.4555 0.0006033 ***
idAUT 4.553802 1.715376 2.6547 0.0082292 **
idBEL 5.293528 1.693660 3.1255 0.0018939 **
idCAN 2.019379 1.500850 1.3455 0.1791679
idCHE 1.883124 1.550464 1.2146 0.2251947
idCHN 11.157946 2.172756 5.1354 4.256e-07 ***
idDEU 5.993027 1.948890 3.0751 0.0022369 **
idDNK 6.815217 2.247251 3.0327 0.0025688 **
idESP 4.872433 1.649982 2.9530 0.0033173 **
idFIN 4.445652 1.765976 2.5174 0.0121811 *
idFRA 5.159990 1.704565 3.0272 0.0026153 **
idGBR 4.196457 1.651102 2.5416 0.0113804 *
idISR -2.640058 1.632291 -1.6174 0.1065181
idITA 6.548743 1.921057 3.4089 0.0007130 ***
idJPN 5.797699 2.004404 2.8925 0.0040139 **
idKOR 6.894371 2.429246 2.8381 0.0047511 **
idNLD 4.565919 1.703788 2.6799 0.0076448 **
idNOR 7.045161 1.986936 3.5457 0.0004340 ***
idRUS 4.689579 2.053720 2.2835 0.0228849 *
idSWE 2.933702 1.606939 1.8256 0.0685890 .
idUSA 2.979880 1.523961 1.9554 0.0511813 .
time1996 -1.363316 2.133043 -0.6391 0.5230673
time1997 -0.033782 2.166891 -0.0156 0.9875684
time1998 -3.199211 2.140020 -1.4949 0.1356540
time1999 -1.070760 2.193435 -0.4882 0.6256784
time2000 -2.244241 2.195120 -1.0224 0.3071707
time2001 -4.770269 2.126262 -2.2435 0.0253671 *
time2002 -3.695473 2.083759 -1.7735 0.0768513 .
time2003 -4.352097 2.132944 -2.0404 0.0419120 *
time2004 0.209339 2.114070 0.0990 0.9211666
time2005 -0.605549 2.220866 -0.2727 0.7852415
time2006 1.125431 2.264519 0.4970 0.6194509
time2007 -2.500930 2.248019 -1.1125 0.2665358
time2008 0.076856 2.090159 0.0368 0.9706848
time2009 -0.605812 2.047806 -0.2958 0.7674975
time2010 -1.025363 2.017572 -0.5082 0.6115590
time2011 -5.036321 2.080274 -2.4210 0.0158867 *
time2012 -9.997313 2.039393 -4.9021 1.341e-06 ***
time2013 -9.477782 2.076905 -4.5634 6.557e-06 ***
time2014 -11.031064 2.130426 -5.1779 3.438e-07 ***
time2015 -6.229340 2.165233 -2.8770 0.0042125 **
time2016 -6.472575 2.140669 -3.0236 0.0026454 **
time2017 -4.839181 2.120335 -2.2823 0.0229553 *
time2018 -9.307694 2.067820 -4.5012 8.686e-06 ***
time2019 -5.012401 1.928867 -2.5986 0.0096777 **
iis75 19.020306 5.159993 3.6861 0.0002565 ***
iis122 -16.170050 5.208603 -3.1045 0.0020306 **
iis170 18.072342 5.361634 3.3707 0.0008168 ***
iis179 22.950338 6.245220 3.6749 0.0002677 ***
iis201 20.206475 5.258194 3.8429 0.0001397 ***
iis294 23.468723 5.218229 4.4974 8.834e-06 ***
iis296 25.166789 5.175911 4.8623 1.624e-06 ***
iis298 23.808487 5.201341 4.5774 6.153e-06 ***
iis369 -13.635746 5.230630 -2.6069 0.0094504 **
iis408 22.763319 5.302547 4.2929 2.176e-05 ***
iis411 -23.464749 5.267932 -4.4543 1.072e-05 ***
iis432 29.973594 5.392601 5.5583 4.759e-08 ***
iis434 36.772531 5.163287 7.1219 4.436e-12 ***
iis437 -18.207639 5.209129 -3.4953 0.0005221 ***
fesisDNK.2006 12.999089 4.067031 3.1962 0.0014939 **
fesisDNK.2009 -15.708390 4.040745 -3.8875 0.0001171 ***
fesisKOR.2002 14.777653 3.602011 4.1026 4.878e-05 ***
fesisKOR.2005 -14.989966 3.256194 -4.6035 5.460e-06 ***
fesisNOR.2009 -12.831389 2.811304 -4.5642 6.533e-06 ***
fesisNOR.2014 16.374147 3.101002 5.2803 2.042e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.7423 1 0.1868
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.5370 1 0.1112
SE of regression 4.91564
R-squared 0.82442
Log-lik.(n=502) -1478.20286 0.05
Formula: count_ma~ gdp_ma + pop_ma
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 02:28:21 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 502
Sample: 1 to 502
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.449623 0.032324 13.9100 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp_ma 0.627378 0.210893 2.9749 0.0030996 **
pop_ma 1.778775 0.907185 1.9608 0.0505641 .
idAUT 3.119482 1.616552 1.9297 0.0543124 .
idBEL 3.904368 1.591874 2.4527 0.0145832 *
idCAN 0.771948 1.402252 0.5505 0.5822636
idCHE 1.010920 1.444065 0.7001 0.4842805
idCHN 9.242687 2.065202 4.4754 9.822e-06 ***
idDEU 3.996793 1.859899 2.1489 0.0322081 *
idDNK -3.940480 4.788772 -0.8229 0.4110535
idESP 4.870882 2.041188 2.3863 0.0174589 *
idFIN 2.851662 1.669432 1.7082 0.0883414 .
idFRA 3.769039 1.604304 2.3493 0.0192674 *
idGBR 2.938768 1.548763 1.8975 0.0584450 .
idISR 2.701469 2.266135 1.1921 0.2338902
idITA 4.704545 1.830541 2.5700 0.0105112 *
idJPN 3.732059 1.918044 1.9458 0.0523468 .
idKOR 8.133467 2.396111 3.3944 0.0007527 ***
idNLD 3.137922 1.602914 1.9576 0.0509313 .
idNOR 5.849696 1.842039 3.1757 0.0016046 **
idRUS -2.131828 2.798244 -0.7618 0.4465780
idSWE 1.784850 1.502217 1.1881 0.2354447
idUSA 2.137807 1.413582 1.5123 0.1311976
time1996 1.151264 2.047357 0.5623 0.5741985
time1997 2.618800 2.082004 1.2578 0.2091499
time1998 -1.546413 2.071321 -0.7466 0.4557310
time1999 0.605921 2.099899 0.2885 0.7730691
time2000 -1.804909 2.143269 -0.8421 0.4001927
time2001 -2.811368 2.041839 -1.3769 0.1692793
time2002 -0.914948 2.015103 -0.4540 0.6500298
time2003 -1.943612 2.049358 -0.9484 0.3434684
time2004 1.184488 2.037256 0.5814 0.5612722
time2005 1.041558 2.113636 0.4928 0.6224242
time2006 2.428310 2.150123 1.1294 0.2593783
time2007 -0.337565 2.185181 -0.1545 0.8773059
time2008 2.621093 2.028378 1.2922 0.1969911
time2009 1.832267 1.987734 0.9218 0.3571665
time2010 1.387432 1.953677 0.7102 0.4779945
time2011 -3.231397 2.017826 -1.6014 0.1100312
time2012 -8.140633 1.971930 -4.1283 4.407e-05 ***
time2013 -7.441113 2.001559 -3.7177 0.0002282 ***
time2014 -8.885638 2.052536 -4.3291 1.872e-05 ***
time2015 -4.031723 2.086026 -1.9327 0.0539384 .
time2016 -4.374286 2.066768 -2.1165 0.0348883 *
time2017 -2.337757 2.046951 -1.1421 0.2540734
time2018 -6.936096 1.995719 -3.4755 0.0005628 ***
time2019 -2.755546 1.844948 -1.4936 0.1360372
iis75 19.893590 4.751176 4.1871 3.441e-05 ***
iis77 13.808027 4.746680 2.9090 0.0038177 **
iis122 -15.855817 4.797482 -3.3050 0.0010308 **
iis125 15.466878 4.798700 3.2231 0.0013663 **
iis177 17.477081 5.023860 3.4788 0.0005560 ***
iis179 24.448740 5.738757 4.2603 2.520e-05 ***
iis194 -11.763563 5.002434 -2.3516 0.0191534 *
iis201 13.627621 5.704987 2.3887 0.0173457 *
iis293 -17.038406 5.032539 -3.3856 0.0007766 ***
iis294 18.515817 5.058090 3.6606 0.0002835 ***
iis296 20.579733 5.023232 4.0969 5.021e-05 ***
iis298 18.413942 5.048070 3.6477 0.0002977 ***
iis361 -12.751169 5.111584 -2.4946 0.0129927 *
iis369 -13.123872 4.809376 -2.7288 0.0066220 **
iis408 21.948296 4.873979 4.5032 8.675e-06 ***
iis411 -22.208751 4.851265 -4.5779 6.187e-06 ***
iis432 33.737804 5.295508 6.3710 4.919e-10 ***
iis434 41.431531 5.082538 8.1517 4.127e-15 ***
iis437 -14.806937 5.118918 -2.8926 0.0040185 **
fesisDNK.1997 22.182808 5.682358 3.9038 0.0001102 ***
fesisDNK.1999 -15.297150 3.799456 -4.0261 6.722e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2006 14.268677 3.891780 3.6664 0.0002774 ***
fesisDNK.2009 -14.645798 3.729095 -3.9274 0.0001003 ***
fesisESP.2004 7.875138 3.888090 2.0255 0.0434499 *
fesisESP.2007 -10.428249 3.816838 -2.7322 0.0065560 **
fesisISR.2008 -13.491366 3.324822 -4.0578 5.904e-05 ***
fesisISR.2011 13.674773 3.280605 4.1684 3.724e-05 ***
fesisISR.2017 -9.969578 3.272045 -3.0469 0.0024574 **
fesisKOR.2002 11.847922 3.428642 3.4556 0.0006048 ***
fesisKOR.2005 -14.863910 3.000521 -4.9538 1.055e-06 ***
fesisNOR.2009 -11.966072 2.589768 -4.6205 5.093e-06 ***
fesisNOR.2014 15.641745 2.851255 5.4859 7.103e-08 ***
fesisRUS.2004 6.134211 2.432626 2.5216 0.0120481 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.7342 1 0.1879
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 1.1869 1 0.2760
SE of regression 4.51240
R-squared 0.85647
Log-lik.(n=502) -1428.73562 Log Count
0
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 02:27:00 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 523
Sample: 1 to 523
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.4531111 0.1003786 14.4763 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.0624736 0.2582882 -0.2419 0.8089873
idAUT 2.0127186 0.2243547 8.9711 < 2.2e-16 ***
idBEL 1.1600179 0.1714938 6.7642 4.202e-11 ***
idCAN 0.3112625 0.1293390 2.4066 0.0165073 *
idCHE 1.4981697 0.2466973 6.0729 2.683e-09 ***
idCHN -4.2347409 1.0123951 -4.1829 3.464e-05 ***
idDEU 1.5091348 0.3460862 4.3606 1.611e-05 ***
idDNK -1.1841422 0.3507127 -3.3764 0.0007984 ***
idESP -0.3670008 0.2161516 -1.6979 0.0902236 .
idFIN 2.1654734 0.3278929 6.6042 1.134e-10 ***
idFRA 0.8185427 0.2890602 2.8317 0.0048381 **
idGBR 0.7824949 0.2860537 2.7355 0.0064762 **
idISR -0.0048574 0.2634267 -0.0184 0.9852966
idITA -0.0568242 0.2752240 -0.2065 0.8365213
idJPN -5.2093974 0.6078075 -8.5708 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -8.4000297 0.6167739 -13.6193 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.2955235 0.0870842 14.8767 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNOR -2.3813241 0.4044732 -5.8875 7.699e-09 ***
idRUS -6.3227341 0.5199722 -12.1598 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE -1.0941825 0.2545227 -4.2990 2.107e-05 ***
idUSA -0.3125175 0.6486063 -0.4818 0.6301625
time1995 -34.7855190 4.1717517 -8.3383 9.354e-16 ***
time1996 -34.6817665 4.1731196 -8.3108 1.145e-15 ***
time1997 -34.6815555 4.1737546 -8.3094 1.156e-15 ***
time1998 -34.5805119 4.1754447 -8.2819 1.413e-15 ***
time1999 -34.5074136 4.1777535 -8.2598 1.659e-15 ***
time2000 -34.4808472 4.1802969 -8.2484 1.802e-15 ***
time2001 -34.3943132 4.1816486 -8.2251 2.135e-15 ***
time2002 -34.4113719 4.1834752 -8.2255 2.127e-15 ***
time2003 -34.3328814 4.1849786 -8.2038 2.490e-15 ***
time2004 -34.3333034 4.1860711 -8.2018 2.527e-15 ***
time2005 -34.2631007 4.1876873 -8.1819 2.918e-15 ***
time2006 -34.1828411 4.1900618 -8.1581 3.464e-15 ***
time2007 -34.0917784 4.1939855 -8.1287 4.279e-15 ***
time2008 -34.0205851 4.1960369 -8.1078 4.973e-15 ***
time2009 -33.8277513 4.1954267 -8.0630 6.853e-15 ***
time2010 -33.7643912 4.1977476 -8.0435 7.880e-15 ***
time2011 -33.7388955 4.1996625 -8.0337 8.447e-15 ***
time2012 -33.7358935 4.2013535 -8.0298 8.688e-15 ***
time2013 -33.8262375 4.2012427 -8.0515 7.441e-15 ***
time2014 -33.8723060 4.2032412 -8.0586 7.072e-15 ***
time2015 -33.9402855 4.2051807 -8.0711 6.470e-15 ***
time2016 -33.9652058 4.2064928 -8.0745 6.314e-15 ***
time2017 -33.9599924 4.2085318 -8.0693 6.551e-15 ***
time2018 -33.9728913 4.2103839 -8.0688 6.574e-15 ***
time2019 -34.0674753 4.2120000 -8.0882 5.723e-15 ***
iis188 0.7508645 0.1359457 5.5233 5.650e-08 ***
iis189 0.9245462 0.1360082 6.7977 3.404e-11 ***
iis190 0.7963786 0.1360828 5.8522 9.382e-09 ***
iis191 0.9290012 0.1361654 6.8226 2.911e-11 ***
iis192 0.9240905 0.1362418 6.7827 3.741e-11 ***
iis193 0.6912711 0.1363161 5.0711 5.801e-07 ***
iis194 0.5793638 0.1362905 4.2509 2.592e-05 ***
iis195 0.7056211 0.1363246 5.1760 3.428e-07 ***
iis196 0.6160815 0.1363031 4.5199 7.927e-06 ***
iis197 0.8125333 0.1361598 5.9675 4.901e-09 ***
iis198 0.6749225 0.1361547 4.9570 1.017e-06 ***
iis199 0.8308640 0.1361732 6.1015 2.275e-09 ***
iis200 0.8093771 0.1362010 5.9425 5.646e-09 ***
iis374 -0.4634847 0.1388387 -3.3383 0.0009133 ***
iis452 0.3754022 0.1385293 2.7099 0.0069883 **
iis454 0.5588649 0.1373017 4.0703 5.549e-05 ***
fesisAUS.2009 -0.6755534 0.0598400 -11.2893 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHE.1999 -0.3055317 0.0923782 -3.3074 0.0010175 **
fesisCHE.2003 -0.2829979 0.0731895 -3.8666 0.0001267 ***
fesisCHN.2001 0.3953654 0.0953312 4.1473 4.026e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2004 0.5173266 0.1051659 4.9191 1.223e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2016 0.5226966 0.0911047 5.7373 1.773e-08 ***
fesisESP.2005 0.5863313 0.0551599 10.6297 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisISR.2013 -0.3009579 0.0706248 -4.2614 2.478e-05 ***
fesisITA.2007 0.3152924 0.0558885 5.6415 2.993e-08 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.7593138 0.0646540 11.7443 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.4896569 0.0669338 -7.3155 1.193e-12 ***
fesisSWE.2001 -0.4834154 0.0619741 -7.8003 4.382e-14 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 74.917 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 63.897 1 1.332e-15 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.12720
R-squared 0.99319
Log-lik.(n=523) 373.80411 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 02:27:12 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 523
Sample: 1 to 523
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.624856 0.085415 19.0231 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.219013 0.233991 -0.9360 0.3497975
idAUT 2.326270 0.198248 11.7341 < 2.2e-16 ***
idBEL 1.299403 0.149630 8.6841 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCAN 0.364273 0.115871 3.1438 0.0017820 **
idCHE 1.611780 0.223709 7.2048 2.582e-12 ***
idCHN -3.825714 0.910927 -4.1998 3.242e-05 ***
idDEU 1.621675 0.311700 5.2027 3.032e-07 ***
idDNK -1.392423 0.318287 -4.3747 1.524e-05 ***
idESP -0.126606 0.195050 -0.6491 0.5166203
idFIN 2.684830 0.296397 9.0582 < 2.2e-16 ***
idFRA 0.945515 0.260654 3.6275 0.0003202 ***
idGBR 0.934281 0.258214 3.6182 0.0003314 ***
idISR -0.133511 0.239739 -0.5569 0.5778821
idITA 0.085111 0.247921 0.3433 0.7315381
idJPN -5.924838 0.515946 -11.4835 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -9.368148 0.517608 -18.0989 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.409701 0.074645 18.8854 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNOR -2.638040 0.370203 -7.1259 4.322e-12 ***
idRUS -6.744616 0.453266 -14.8800 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE -1.324231 0.228926 -5.7846 1.391e-08 ***
idUSA -0.294920 0.580840 -0.5077 0.6118881
time1995 -36.996402 3.668174 -10.0858 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1996 -36.879026 3.668210 -10.0537 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1997 -36.855867 3.669277 -10.0444 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1998 -36.729164 3.670585 -10.0064 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1999 -36.704931 3.672356 -9.9949 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2000 -36.675735 3.674372 -9.9815 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2001 -36.579609 3.676007 -9.9509 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2002 -36.553872 3.677697 -9.9393 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2003 -36.493404 3.678960 -9.9195 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2004 -36.498272 3.679806 -9.9185 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2005 -36.429718 3.681057 -9.8965 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2006 -36.355178 3.682964 -9.8712 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2007 -36.291691 3.685861 -9.8462 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2008 -36.227018 3.687531 -9.8242 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2009 -36.001349 3.687782 -9.7623 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2010 -35.942742 3.689679 -9.7414 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2011 -35.920702 3.691264 -9.7313 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2012 -35.918716 3.692744 -9.7268 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2013 -35.988863 3.692078 -9.7476 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2014 -36.037328 3.693779 -9.7562 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2015 -36.107671 3.695429 -9.7709 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2016 -36.130511 3.696652 -9.7738 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2017 -36.149942 3.698273 -9.7748 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2018 -36.153572 3.699341 -9.7730 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2019 -36.262907 3.701173 -9.7977 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1 0.354865 0.116191 3.0542 0.0023956 **
iis24 -0.246156 0.117031 -2.1033 0.0360101 *
iis129 -0.365886 0.117989 -3.1010 0.0020540 **
iis177 -0.370232 0.116402 -3.1806 0.0015747 **
iis188 0.724536 0.116295 6.2302 1.101e-09 ***
iis189 0.906539 0.116336 7.7924 4.884e-14 ***
iis190 0.755014 0.116265 6.4939 2.287e-10 ***
iis191 0.889902 0.116331 7.6497 1.307e-13 ***
iis192 0.886810 0.116392 7.6191 1.611e-13 ***
iis193 0.655208 0.116454 5.6263 3.301e-08 ***
iis194 0.522160 0.116492 4.4824 9.453e-06 ***
iis195 0.648849 0.116519 5.5686 4.502e-08 ***
iis196 0.558802 0.116501 4.7965 2.221e-06 ***
iis197 0.748909 0.116386 6.4347 3.270e-10 ***
iis198 0.632170 0.116395 5.4313 9.327e-08 ***
iis199 0.776235 0.116522 6.6617 8.200e-11 ***
iis200 0.767515 0.116431 6.5920 1.259e-10 ***
iis208 -0.362897 0.117070 -3.0998 0.0020620 **
iis311 0.445966 0.115348 3.8663 0.0001274 ***
iis312 0.545313 0.115513 4.7208 3.173e-06 ***
iis374 -0.392199 0.118454 -3.3110 0.0010071 **
iis450 0.446495 0.120428 3.7076 0.0002363 ***
iis452 0.503981 0.121244 4.1567 3.889e-05 ***
iis453 0.358297 0.120452 2.9746 0.0030970 **
iis454 0.705514 0.119631 5.8974 7.422e-09 ***
iis455 0.334434 0.119165 2.8065 0.0052336 **
fesisAUS.2009 -0.666007 0.052554 -12.6727 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisAUT.2002 -0.256983 0.050206 -5.1186 4.630e-07 ***
fesisCHE.1998 -0.378218 0.081413 -4.6457 4.498e-06 ***
fesisCHE.2003 -0.323455 0.057373 -5.6378 3.103e-08 ***
fesisCHN.2004 0.576950 0.083756 6.8885 1.985e-11 ***
fesisCHN.2016 0.428280 0.077439 5.5306 5.517e-08 ***
fesisESP.2005 0.527512 0.048760 10.8185 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisFIN.1997 -0.414251 0.083108 -4.9845 8.987e-07 ***
fesisISR.2013 -0.280660 0.062681 -4.4776 9.656e-06 ***
fesisITA.2007 0.320329 0.047643 6.7235 5.590e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.682630 0.055231 12.3595 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisNOR.2013 -0.451137 0.062899 -7.1724 3.194e-12 ***
fesisNOR.2017 0.421756 0.084946 4.9650 9.885e-07 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.453051 0.059670 -7.5926 1.931e-13 ***
fesisSWE.2001 -0.539798 0.052931 -10.1981 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 47.489 1 5.532e-12 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 32.250 1 1.355e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.10829
R-squared 0.99521
Log-lik.(n=523) 464.47877 1
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 02:28:06 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 502
Sample: 1 to 502
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.731595 0.022656 32.2909 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.555295 0.061316 9.0562 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.208229 0.197413 -1.0548 0.2921118
idAUT 0.590780 0.184391 3.2040 0.0014560 **
idBEL 0.398233 0.134779 2.9547 0.0033008 **
idCAN 0.120439 0.108181 1.1133 0.2661923
idCHE 0.192458 0.189848 1.0137 0.3112703
idCHN -0.552121 0.821100 -0.6724 0.5016788
idDEU 0.537518 0.282698 1.9014 0.0579161 .
idDNK -0.416681 0.270760 -1.5389 0.1245529
idESP 0.091690 0.160457 0.5714 0.5680061
idFIN 0.612750 0.268060 2.2859 0.0227457 *
idFRA 0.363039 0.233354 1.5557 0.1205011
idGBR 0.364553 0.228178 1.5977 0.1108477
idISR -0.162425 0.220541 -0.7365 0.4618350
idITA 0.183066 0.216409 0.8459 0.3980636
idJPN -2.053434 0.441208 -4.6541 4.335e-06 ***
idKOR -3.028737 0.400496 -7.5625 2.399e-13 ***
idNLD 0.417042 0.069633 5.9891 4.445e-09 ***
idNOR -1.058467 0.299397 -3.5353 0.0004513 ***
idRUS -2.104621 0.436868 -4.8175 2.015e-06 ***
idSWE -0.732128 0.173674 -4.2155 3.036e-05 ***
idUSA 0.013804 0.530895 0.0260 0.9792683
time1996 -10.547860 3.445442 -3.0614 0.0023406 **
time1997 -10.632460 3.446559 -3.0849 0.0021666 **
time1998 -10.559789 3.446910 -3.0636 0.0023241 **
time1999 -10.555710 3.447904 -3.0615 0.0023399 **
time2000 -10.560274 3.448918 -3.0619 0.0023366 **
time2001 -10.542892 3.449955 -3.0560 0.0023826 **
time2002 -10.591393 3.450798 -3.0693 0.0022811 **
time2003 -10.520578 3.451667 -3.0480 0.0024454 **
time2004 -10.532444 3.452595 -3.0506 0.0024246 **
time2005 -10.497460 3.452719 -3.0403 0.0025068 **
time2006 -10.457553 3.453287 -3.0283 0.0026068 **
time2007 -10.420825 3.454410 -3.0167 0.0027066 **
time2008 -10.450760 3.455271 -3.0246 0.0026383 **
time2009 -10.381673 3.454500 -3.0053 0.0028081 **
time2010 -10.362888 3.455619 -2.9989 0.0028666 **
time2011 -10.400271 3.456397 -3.0090 0.0027745 **
time2012 -10.441751 3.457390 -3.0201 0.0026766 **
time2013 -10.528971 3.458943 -3.0440 0.0024773 **
time2014 -10.499271 3.460968 -3.0336 0.0025621 **
time2015 -10.525293 3.462892 -3.0395 0.0025141 **
time2016 -10.482245 3.464548 -3.0256 0.0026298 **
time2017 -10.488869 3.465930 -3.0263 0.0026238 **
time2018 -10.484410 3.466668 -3.0243 0.0026403 **
time2019 -10.597884 3.468296 -3.0556 0.0023849 **
iis123 -0.439502 0.107411 -4.0918 5.109e-05 ***
iis169 -0.498667 0.124815 -3.9952 7.597e-05 ***
iis180 0.367312 0.106834 3.4382 0.0006425 ***
iis199 -0.284255 0.109794 -2.5890 0.0099505 **
iis294 -0.346636 0.110081 -3.1489 0.0017524 **
iis295 0.406226 0.110335 3.6818 0.0002610 ***
iis304 -0.322699 0.107193 -3.0104 0.0027615 **
iis309 -0.324866 0.107683 -3.0169 0.0027048 **
iis409 0.448707 0.104453 4.2958 2.152e-05 ***
iis431 0.477551 0.107056 4.4608 1.043e-05 ***
iis433 0.590622 0.107417 5.4984 6.569e-08 ***
iis435 0.642872 0.106459 6.0387 3.352e-09 ***
iis440 0.362901 0.104639 3.4681 0.0005767 ***
iis442 -0.287320 0.104608 -2.7467 0.0062724 **
iis450 -0.398783 0.104797 -3.8053 0.0001621 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.203468 0.049878 -4.0793 5.379e-05 ***
fesisDNK.1999 -0.269782 0.083632 -3.2258 0.0013515 **
fesisDNK.2005 0.455736 0.109983 4.1437 4.113e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2006 -0.494781 0.144134 -3.4328 0.0006550 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.298369 0.106433 2.8033 0.0052855 **
fesisESP.2003 0.155095 0.051030 3.0393 0.0025155 **
fesisISR.2006 0.258153 0.074155 3.4812 0.0005499 ***
fesisISR.2009 -0.287101 0.070323 -4.0826 5.307e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.72045 1 0.396
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 19.22808 1 1.16e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.09914
R-squared 0.99576
Log-lik.(n=502) 482.93615 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 02:28:05 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 502
Sample: 1 to 502
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.725642 0.021474 33.7917 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.560611 0.057398 9.7670 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.081479 0.192026 -0.4243 0.6715556
idAUT 0.967280 0.194793 4.9657 9.950e-07 ***
idBEL 0.737914 0.152643 4.8343 1.874e-06 ***
idCAN 0.091193 0.145628 0.6262 0.5315159
idCHE 0.575406 0.200006 2.8769 0.0042188 **
idCHN -0.837809 0.815005 -1.0280 0.3045467
idDEU 0.627545 0.291894 2.1499 0.0321289 *
idDNK 0.016255 0.271762 0.0598 0.9523314
idESP 0.257245 0.181875 1.4144 0.1579785
idFIN 1.056094 0.271020 3.8967 0.0001133 ***
idFRA 0.479741 0.247093 1.9415 0.0528569 .
idGBR 0.484441 0.242217 2.0000 0.0461361 *
idISR 0.238679 0.227369 1.0497 0.2944363
idITA 0.305763 0.232537 1.3149 0.1892554
idJPN -2.041813 0.445376 -4.5845 6.001e-06 ***
idKOR -2.909127 0.398286 -7.3041 1.399e-12 ***
idNLD 0.705142 0.106490 6.6217 1.080e-10 ***
idNOR -0.607023 0.298059 -2.0366 0.0423137 *
idRUS -2.122431 0.445160 -4.7678 2.567e-06 ***
idSWE -0.207218 0.187964 -1.1024 0.2708978
idUSA -0.066528 0.531124 -0.1253 0.9003785
time1996 -13.035518 3.379539 -3.8572 0.0001326 ***
time1997 -13.163404 3.380150 -3.8943 0.0001144 ***
time1998 -13.074169 3.380722 -3.8673 0.0001274 ***
time1999 -13.065968 3.381085 -3.8644 0.0001288 ***
time2000 -13.058408 3.381963 -3.8612 0.0001305 ***
time2001 -13.053692 3.382997 -3.8586 0.0001318 ***
time2002 -13.102583 3.383773 -3.8722 0.0001249 ***
time2003 -13.031839 3.384597 -3.8503 0.0001362 ***
time2004 -13.036396 3.384955 -3.8513 0.0001357 ***
time2005 -13.000530 3.384996 -3.8406 0.0001415 ***
time2006 -12.962117 3.385390 -3.8288 0.0001482 ***
time2007 -12.923846 3.386513 -3.8163 0.0001557 ***
time2008 -12.953957 3.387293 -3.8243 0.0001509 ***
time2009 -12.877088 3.387095 -3.8018 0.0001648 ***
time2010 -12.858658 3.388142 -3.7952 0.0001691 ***
time2011 -12.907548 3.388180 -3.8096 0.0001598 ***
time2012 -12.949555 3.389129 -3.8209 0.0001529 ***
time2013 -13.019420 3.390447 -3.8400 0.0001418 ***
time2014 -12.996426 3.392284 -3.8312 0.0001469 ***
time2015 -13.036865 3.394561 -3.8405 0.0001416 ***
time2016 -12.994754 3.396215 -3.8262 0.0001497 ***
time2017 -13.002084 3.397552 -3.8269 0.0001494 ***
time2018 -12.997035 3.398215 -3.8247 0.0001507 ***
time2019 -13.095640 3.399298 -3.8525 0.0001351 ***
iis3 0.213512 0.099750 2.1405 0.0328880 *
iis74 0.537777 0.114017 4.7166 3.262e-06 ***
iis123 -0.431684 0.098226 -4.3948 1.404e-05 ***
iis169 -0.532957 0.113981 -4.6759 3.943e-06 ***
iis178 0.455849 0.099272 4.5919 5.802e-06 ***
iis180 0.365529 0.097446 3.7511 0.0002006 ***
iis199 -0.283617 0.100129 -2.8325 0.0048392 **
iis221 -0.250973 0.094900 -2.6446 0.0084831 **
iis294 -0.348229 0.100370 -3.4695 0.0005750 ***
iis295 0.393149 0.100743 3.9025 0.0001107 ***
iis304 -0.417909 0.100329 -4.1654 3.769e-05 ***
iis409 0.439405 0.095700 4.5915 5.812e-06 ***
iis424 -0.287816 0.095123 -3.0257 0.0026317 **
iis425 -0.274239 0.095343 -2.8763 0.0042265 **
iis431 0.450817 0.097985 4.6009 5.568e-06 ***
iis433 0.591757 0.098312 6.0192 3.804e-09 ***
iis435 0.630873 0.097272 6.4856 2.470e-10 ***
iis440 0.357887 0.095398 3.7515 0.0002003 ***
iis442 -0.288712 0.095349 -3.0280 0.0026128 **
iis450 -0.392032 0.095548 -4.1030 4.894e-05 ***
fesisAUS.1997 0.271381 0.099887 2.7169 0.0068602 **
fesisAUS.2005 -0.235624 0.049230 -4.7862 2.353e-06 ***
fesisCAN.1999 0.346555 0.078097 4.4375 1.162e-05 ***
fesisCAN.2004 -0.150098 0.048850 -3.0726 0.0022591 **
fesisDNK.1999 -0.288725 0.075174 -3.8408 0.0001414 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.262911 0.046952 5.5996 3.872e-08 ***
fesisESP.2003 0.142007 0.046848 3.0312 0.0025851 **
fesisISR.2006 0.242363 0.067968 3.5658 0.0004042 ***
fesisISR.2009 -0.454684 0.084823 -5.3604 1.368e-07 ***
fesisISR.2011 0.238040 0.077159 3.0851 0.0021687 **
fesisISR.2018 -0.350874 0.076485 -4.5875 5.920e-06 ***
fesisSWE.1999 -0.200207 0.058898 -3.3992 0.0007398 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.5261617 1 0.2167
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 0.0095442 1 0.9222
SE of regression 0.09036
R-squared 0.99655
Log-lik.(n=502) 533.98870 without IIS
Count
0
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 02:32:39 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 523
Sample: 1 to 523
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 4.2116e-12 1.2354e-13 34.0919 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop 3.3560e-05 2.4592e-06 13.6468 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 4.6846e+02 6.8934e+01 6.7957 3.328e-11 ***
idBEL 2.9312e+02 6.6417e+01 4.4134 1.267e-05 ***
idCAN -1.5146e+02 6.7796e+01 -2.2341 0.0259518 *
idCHE 4.7080e+02 6.9668e+01 6.7577 4.227e-11 ***
idCHN -3.9978e+04 2.9353e+03 -13.6199 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU -4.5696e+02 1.7101e+02 -2.6721 0.0078046 **
idDNK 5.7045e+02 7.2393e+01 7.8799 2.362e-14 ***
idESP -7.8389e+02 8.2996e+01 -9.4449 < 2.2e-16 ***
idFIN 4.8773e+02 7.2632e+01 6.7152 5.518e-11 ***
idFRA -7.0389e+02 1.2103e+02 -5.8159 1.125e-08 ***
idGBR -8.7625e+02 1.1697e+02 -7.4915 3.480e-13 ***
idISR 4.1215e+02 7.1418e+01 5.7709 1.446e-08 ***
idITA -1.0981e+03 1.1036e+02 -9.9503 < 2.2e-16 ***
idJPN -2.7369e+03 2.9112e+02 -9.4012 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -4.1241e+03 1.7752e+02 -23.2318 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 2.6782e+02 6.2328e+01 4.2969 2.112e-05 ***
idNOR 4.2973e+02 7.3335e+01 5.8598 8.809e-09 ***
idRUS -4.5283e+03 3.0963e+02 -14.6250 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE 4.3513e+02 6.7860e+01 6.4122 3.544e-10 ***
idUSA -6.5979e+03 6.3364e+02 -10.4126 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1995 -6.8804e+02 8.0196e+01 -8.5795 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1996 -6.9126e+02 8.1459e+01 -8.4860 2.914e-16 ***
time1997 -6.4961e+02 8.0228e+01 -8.0970 5.024e-15 ***
time1998 -6.2569e+02 8.1446e+01 -7.6822 9.404e-14 ***
time1999 -6.2213e+02 8.0176e+01 -7.7596 5.494e-14 ***
time2000 -5.8410e+02 8.1201e+01 -7.1933 2.562e-12 ***
time2001 -6.2804e+02 8.0999e+01 -7.7537 5.722e-14 ***
time2002 -6.9856e+02 8.1761e+01 -8.5440 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2003 -6.4457e+02 8.0682e+01 -7.9891 1.089e-14 ***
time2004 -6.0946e+02 8.1589e+01 -7.4698 4.032e-13 ***
time2005 -5.6438e+02 8.2511e+01 -6.8401 2.514e-11 ***
time2006 -4.8371e+02 7.9589e+01 -6.0776 2.551e-09 ***
time2007 -5.9055e+02 7.9661e+01 -7.4132 5.911e-13 ***
time2008 -5.4715e+02 8.0593e+01 -6.7890 3.471e-11 ***
time2009 -4.0429e+02 8.1489e+01 -4.9613 9.854e-07 ***
time2010 -3.3946e+02 8.2568e+01 -4.1113 4.656e-05 ***
time2011 -2.6392e+02 8.3369e+01 -3.1657 0.0016494 **
time2012 -3.1808e+02 8.3762e+01 -3.7975 0.0001656 ***
time2013 -3.8092e+02 8.4870e+01 -4.4883 9.072e-06 ***
time2014 -4.6335e+02 8.5984e+01 -5.3888 1.132e-07 ***
time2015 -5.3418e+02 8.7050e+01 -6.1365 1.813e-09 ***
time2016 -4.8605e+02 8.8130e+01 -5.5151 5.806e-08 ***
time2017 -4.7993e+02 8.4526e+01 -5.6779 2.411e-08 ***
time2018 -4.7077e+02 8.5362e+01 -5.5150 5.808e-08 ***
time2019 -6.1282e+02 8.6017e+01 -7.1244 4.028e-12 ***
fesisCHN.1997 -8.8057e+02 2.2974e+02 -3.8329 0.0001441 ***
fesisCHN.1999 -1.0038e+03 2.0640e+02 -4.8635 1.583e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2003 -8.1556e+02 1.8358e+02 -4.4425 1.114e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2006 -5.6570e+02 1.9038e+02 -2.9714 0.0031183 **
fesisCHN.2017 1.3355e+03 1.9543e+02 6.8338 2.615e-11 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.7738e+03 8.9441e+01 19.8315 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.1999 1.5049e+03 1.6958e+02 8.8744 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2002 1.0858e+03 1.5027e+02 7.2256 2.070e-12 ***
fesisJPN.2010 2.3351e+03 1.0564e+02 22.1036 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2001 1.1038e+03 1.3468e+02 8.1954 2.468e-15 ***
fesisUSA.2007 2.2592e+03 1.3923e+02 16.2267 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2012 1.2653e+03 1.4202e+02 8.9088 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2017 -1.3629e+03 1.6355e+02 -8.3331 9.026e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 66.043 1 4.441e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 57.672 1 3.098e-14 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 216.35404
R-squared 0.98854
Log-lik.(n=523) -3524.23200 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 02:32:38 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 523
Sample: 1 to 523
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 6.0441e-12 2.6495e-13 22.8124 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop 5.2038e-05 4.4102e-06 11.7995 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 5.5676e+02 8.0596e+01 6.9080 1.690e-11 ***
idBEL 3.3683e+02 7.4031e+01 4.5499 6.918e-06 ***
idCAN -5.2350e+02 8.2616e+01 -6.3365 5.723e-10 ***
idCHE 5.7035e+02 8.2470e+01 6.9158 1.607e-11 ***
idCHN -6.2123e+04 5.2614e+03 -11.8074 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU -1.7354e+03 2.8608e+02 -6.0660 2.788e-09 ***
idDNK 7.0795e+02 8.9283e+01 7.9292 1.765e-14 ***
idESP -1.2358e+03 1.2029e+02 -10.2736 < 2.2e-16 ***
idFIN 6.3176e+02 8.9881e+01 7.0289 7.785e-12 ***
idFRA -1.6418e+03 2.0044e+02 -8.1906 2.726e-15 ***
idGBR -1.7779e+03 1.9236e+02 -9.2426 < 2.2e-16 ***
idISR 5.1527e+02 8.4621e+01 6.0891 2.440e-09 ***
idITA -1.9408e+03 1.7907e+02 -10.8383 < 2.2e-16 ***
idJPN -5.6618e+03 4.9485e+02 -11.4414 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -5.6742e+03 2.4672e+02 -22.9987 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 2.0599e+02 6.3073e+01 3.2659 0.0011748 **
idNOR 6.6170e+02 9.4517e+01 7.0009 9.323e-12 ***
idRUS -6.9893e+03 5.6007e+02 -12.4793 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE 4.9916e+02 7.7800e+01 6.4159 3.558e-10 ***
idUSA -1.1431e+04 1.1286e+03 -10.1279 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1995 -9.3292e+02 1.0138e+02 -9.2023 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1996 -9.5890e+02 1.0449e+02 -9.1769 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1997 -9.1335e+02 1.0299e+02 -8.8687 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1998 -9.0021e+02 1.0585e+02 -8.5047 2.731e-16 ***
time1999 -8.5650e+02 1.0491e+02 -8.1644 3.293e-15 ***
time2000 -8.3989e+02 1.0742e+02 -7.8185 3.843e-14 ***
time2001 -8.6443e+02 1.0377e+02 -8.3302 9.878e-16 ***
time2002 -9.0406e+02 1.0572e+02 -8.5511 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2003 -8.6773e+02 1.0527e+02 -8.2432 1.863e-15 ***
time2004 -8.5028e+02 1.0742e+02 -7.9154 1.946e-14 ***
time2005 -7.9179e+02 1.0707e+02 -7.3952 6.981e-13 ***
time2006 -7.5610e+02 1.0924e+02 -6.9212 1.554e-11 ***
time2007 -8.4001e+02 1.0600e+02 -7.9244 1.826e-14 ***
time2008 -8.1169e+02 1.0826e+02 -7.4975 3.502e-13 ***
time2009 -6.2854e+02 1.1190e+02 -5.6169 3.414e-08 ***
time2010 -5.8961e+02 1.1435e+02 -5.1560 3.789e-07 ***
time2011 -5.0215e+02 1.1268e+02 -4.4566 1.053e-05 ***
time2012 -5.6307e+02 1.1329e+02 -4.9703 9.527e-07 ***
time2013 -6.1945e+02 1.1132e+02 -5.5648 4.520e-08 ***
time2014 -7.1947e+02 1.1379e+02 -6.3227 6.211e-10 ***
time2015 -7.8970e+02 1.1627e+02 -6.7922 3.516e-11 ***
time2016 -7.5849e+02 1.1862e+02 -6.3945 4.045e-10 ***
time2017 -6.9675e+02 1.1491e+02 -6.0633 2.830e-09 ***
time2018 -7.0264e+02 1.1679e+02 -6.0164 3.703e-09 ***
time2019 -7.8550e+02 1.1888e+02 -6.6075 1.109e-10 ***
fesisAUS.2009 -3.4628e+02 7.5649e+01 -4.5774 6.101e-06 ***
fesisCHN.1997 -1.3301e+03 2.1303e+02 -6.2439 9.898e-10 ***
fesisCHN.1999 -1.1782e+03 2.0678e+02 -5.6979 2.197e-08 ***
fesisCHN.2001 -8.7951e+02 2.0218e+02 -4.3501 1.686e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2003 -7.7061e+02 1.9658e+02 -3.9200 0.0001023 ***
fesisCHN.2005 -6.3561e+02 1.9500e+02 -3.2595 0.0012009 **
fesisCHN.2007 -6.1710e+02 1.8268e+02 -3.3780 0.0007937 ***
fesisCHN.2011 -5.6087e+02 1.8486e+02 -3.0340 0.0025536 **
fesisCHN.2013 -5.2141e+02 1.9518e+02 -2.6714 0.0078275 **
fesisCHN.2017 8.5244e+02 1.8194e+02 4.6853 3.712e-06 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.7754e+03 7.5305e+01 23.5761 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisESP.2009 -2.7439e+02 7.6026e+01 -3.6092 0.0003417 ***
fesisJPN.1999 1.2953e+03 1.5981e+02 8.1049 5.055e-15 ***
fesisJPN.2001 4.6484e+02 2.2572e+02 2.0593 0.0400382 *
fesisJPN.2002 7.0478e+02 1.9559e+02 3.6033 0.0003493 ***
fesisJPN.2010 2.4421e+03 9.0536e+01 26.9744 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2019 -1.4824e+03 1.9446e+02 -7.6231 1.487e-13 ***
fesisKOR.1999 -9.1128e+02 1.4691e+02 -6.2031 1.258e-09 ***
fesisKOR.2002 -6.6256e+02 1.6224e+02 -4.0838 5.246e-05 ***
fesisKOR.2015 -3.6629e+02 1.6996e+02 -2.1552 0.0316775 *
fesisKOR.2017 -8.5432e+02 1.7165e+02 -4.9772 9.211e-07 ***
fesisNOR.2009 -1.8878e+02 7.5442e+01 -2.5024 0.0126912 *
fesisRUS.2009 -2.2177e+02 7.7220e+01 -2.8720 0.0042721 **
fesisUSA.2001 7.5635e+02 1.2973e+02 5.8299 1.061e-08 ***
fesisUSA.2007 1.9897e+03 1.2800e+02 15.5446 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2012 1.0523e+03 1.2625e+02 8.3356 9.494e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2017 -1.5664e+03 1.3908e+02 -11.2622 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 36.685 1 1.388e-09 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 58.388 1 2.154e-14 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 179.60730
R-squared 0.99234
Log-lik.(n=523) -3419.87903 1
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 02:32:36 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 502
Sample: 1 to 502
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.3924e-01 1.4645e-02 57.3054 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -5.3043e-15 1.8273e-13 -0.0290 0.9768560
pop 5.5455e-06 6.2153e-07 8.9224 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 8.2033e+01 2.2953e+01 3.5739 0.0003914 ***
idBEL 4.8777e+01 2.2265e+01 2.1907 0.0290045 *
idCAN -1.3937e+01 2.2311e+01 -0.6247 0.5325167
idCHE 7.8353e+01 2.3049e+01 3.3995 0.0007379 ***
idCHN -6.7245e+03 7.5648e+02 -8.8892 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU 1.5127e+01 4.3924e+01 0.3444 0.7307173
idDNK 1.0318e+02 2.3684e+01 4.3567 1.651e-05 ***
idESP -1.2846e+02 2.5764e+01 -4.9860 8.943e-07 ***
idFIN 8.0403e+01 2.3451e+01 3.4286 0.0006649 ***
idFRA -8.2667e+01 3.1301e+01 -2.6410 0.0085657 **
idGBR -1.2536e+02 3.0986e+01 -4.0458 6.178e-05 ***
idISR 6.7744e+01 2.3441e+01 2.8899 0.0040472 **
idITA -1.7218e+02 3.0765e+01 -5.5967 3.888e-08 ***
idJPN 9.8612e+01 1.0781e+02 0.9147 0.3608679
idKOR -3.7452e+01 1.5940e+02 -0.2350 0.8143578
idNLD 5.0190e+01 2.1772e+01 2.3053 0.0216245 *
idNOR 7.1658e+01 2.3417e+01 3.0601 0.0023506 **
idRUS -7.0082e+02 8.1734e+01 -8.5743 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE 7.7789e+01 2.2770e+01 3.4163 0.0006948 ***
idUSA -8.2721e+02 1.5089e+02 -5.4823 7.153e-08 ***
time1996 -1.1483e+02 2.5491e+01 -4.5048 8.561e-06 ***
time1997 -1.1977e+02 2.5584e+01 -4.6815 3.818e-06 ***
time1998 -1.0898e+02 2.5423e+01 -4.2867 2.238e-05 ***
time1999 -1.0473e+02 2.5666e+01 -4.0806 5.350e-05 ***
time2000 -7.6297e+01 2.4521e+01 -3.1115 0.0019851 **
time2001 -9.6095e+01 2.4591e+01 -3.9078 0.0001081 ***
time2002 -1.1581e+02 2.4669e+01 -4.6948 3.590e-06 ***
time2003 -1.0348e+02 2.4899e+01 -4.1562 3.903e-05 ***
time2004 -7.4552e+01 2.4922e+01 -2.9914 0.0029358 **
time2005 -8.9348e+01 2.5035e+01 -3.5690 0.0003986 ***
time2006 -8.8832e+01 2.5247e+01 -3.5185 0.0004800 ***
time2007 -4.3696e+01 2.5176e+01 -1.7356 0.0833477 .
time2008 -5.6989e+01 2.5403e+01 -2.2434 0.0253796 *
time2009 -3.4395e+01 2.5614e+01 -1.3428 0.1800409
time2010 -1.3226e+01 2.5519e+01 -0.5183 0.6045198
time2011 -6.2259e+01 2.5541e+01 -2.4376 0.0151876 *
time2012 -8.1000e+01 2.5524e+01 -3.1735 0.0016138 **
time2013 -1.4419e+02 2.5684e+01 -5.6142 3.537e-08 ***
time2014 -1.0254e+02 2.6056e+01 -3.9354 9.679e-05 ***
time2015 -1.0932e+02 2.6385e+01 -4.1434 4.119e-05 ***
time2016 -6.4884e+01 2.5862e+01 -2.5088 0.0124786 *
time2017 -4.9408e+01 2.5619e+01 -1.9286 0.0544347 .
time2018 -4.6686e+01 2.5691e+01 -1.8172 0.0698818 .
time2019 -1.2412e+02 2.6043e+01 -4.7657 2.575e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2000 -2.1789e+02 6.4218e+01 -3.3930 0.0007552 ***
fesisCHN.2016 6.0853e+02 6.0836e+01 10.0028 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2006 4.2223e+02 4.4361e+01 9.5181 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -2.9139e+02 4.1923e+01 -6.9507 1.348e-11 ***
fesisJPN.1999 5.6724e+02 7.0397e+01 8.0577 7.670e-15 ***
fesisJPN.2001 -2.1961e+02 6.4894e+01 -3.3841 0.0007793 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -4.5524e+02 8.2219e+01 -5.5370 5.351e-08 ***
fesisJPN.2009 9.6080e+02 1.0754e+02 8.9344 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 1.3039e+03 1.0770e+02 12.1075 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2011 -6.8207e+02 1.1056e+02 -6.1694 1.578e-09 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -9.7045e+02 8.1385e+01 -11.9241 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2019 -1.2831e+03 8.1391e+01 -15.7651 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2003 2.9151e+02 7.2712e+01 4.0090 7.182e-05 ***
fesisKOR.2009 5.3560e+02 6.9500e+01 7.7064 8.961e-14 ***
fesisKOR.2015 -5.9708e+02 8.7721e+01 -6.8066 3.353e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2016 7.5953e+02 1.0799e+02 7.0334 7.935e-12 ***
fesisKOR.2017 -5.1160e+02 8.9573e+01 -5.7115 2.086e-08 ***
fesisUSA.2005 6.4801e+02 5.3392e+01 12.1370 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2012 5.4345e+02 6.8657e+01 7.9154 2.096e-14 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -1.4911e+03 9.4123e+01 -15.8418 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2015 7.1735e+02 9.4101e+01 7.6231 1.587e-13 ***
fesisUSA.2017 -4.7896e+02 7.6220e+01 -6.2839 8.074e-10 ***
fesisUSA.2019 -3.3415e+02 9.3692e+01 -3.5665 0.0004022 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.6923 1 0.1008
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 48.0102 1 4.24e-12 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 74.11352
R-squared 0.99873
Log-lik.(n=502) -2838.71730 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 02:32:35 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 502
Sample: 1 to 502
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.2645e-01 1.4212e-02 58.1504 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -5.6466e-14 1.7562e-13 -0.3215 0.7479656
pop 5.8939e-06 5.9934e-07 9.8340 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 8.6844e+01 2.2049e+01 3.9387 9.551e-05 ***
idBEL 5.1594e+01 2.1379e+01 2.4133 0.0162248 *
idCAN -1.4961e+01 2.1419e+01 -0.6985 0.4852563
idCHE 8.3197e+01 2.2140e+01 3.7577 0.0001951 ***
idCHN -7.1466e+03 7.2944e+02 -9.7973 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU 1.1928e+01 4.2169e+01 0.2829 0.7774213
idDNK 1.0923e+02 2.2757e+01 4.7998 2.193e-06 ***
idESP -1.3671e+02 2.4769e+01 -5.5194 5.885e-08 ***
idFIN 8.5256e+01 2.2526e+01 3.7848 0.0001756 ***
idFRA -8.8414e+01 3.0063e+01 -2.9410 0.0034482 **
idGBR -1.3340e+02 2.9775e+01 -4.4803 9.560e-06 ***
idISR 7.1829e+01 2.2513e+01 3.1905 0.0015238 **
idITA -1.8323e+02 2.9588e+01 -6.1925 1.382e-09 ***
idJPN 1.2032e+02 1.0356e+02 1.1618 0.2459439
idKOR -3.5157e+00 1.5312e+02 -0.0230 0.9816926
idNLD 5.3137e+01 2.0906e+01 2.5417 0.0113801 *
idNOR 7.5996e+01 2.2491e+01 3.3790 0.0007937 ***
idRUS -7.4152e+02 7.8742e+01 -9.4170 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE 8.2613e+01 2.1873e+01 3.7770 0.0001810 ***
idUSA -8.8884e+02 1.4520e+02 -6.1217 2.084e-09 ***
time1996 -1.2240e+02 2.4502e+01 -4.9955 8.544e-07 ***
time1997 -1.2698e+02 2.4588e+01 -5.1644 3.693e-07 ***
time1998 -1.1609e+02 2.4433e+01 -4.7513 2.758e-06 ***
time1999 -1.1184e+02 2.4666e+01 -4.5340 7.510e-06 ***
time2000 -8.1563e+01 2.3555e+01 -3.4626 0.0005885 ***
time2001 -8.8532e+01 2.3639e+01 -3.7452 0.0002047 ***
time2002 -1.0776e+02 2.3718e+01 -4.5433 7.200e-06 ***
time2003 -1.1517e+02 2.3978e+01 -4.8033 2.158e-06 ***
time2004 -8.5696e+01 2.3993e+01 -3.5717 0.0003947 ***
time2005 -1.0127e+02 2.4111e+01 -4.2003 3.241e-05 ***
time2006 -1.0077e+02 2.4314e+01 -4.1447 4.099e-05 ***
time2007 -5.4486e+01 2.4232e+01 -2.2485 0.0250498 *
time2008 -6.1727e+01 2.4399e+01 -2.5299 0.0117643 *
time2009 -3.9902e+01 2.4605e+01 -1.6217 0.1055979
time2010 -1.6998e+01 2.4506e+01 -0.6936 0.4882764
time2011 -6.4340e+01 2.4521e+01 -2.6238 0.0090038 **
time2012 -8.3362e+01 2.4506e+01 -3.4018 0.0007320 ***
time2013 -1.4614e+02 2.4658e+01 -5.9268 6.333e-09 ***
time2014 -1.0550e+02 2.5018e+01 -4.2168 3.021e-05 ***
time2015 -1.1356e+02 2.5339e+01 -4.4817 9.503e-06 ***
time2016 -7.0261e+01 2.4843e+01 -2.8282 0.0048989 **
time2017 -5.3941e+01 2.4604e+01 -2.1923 0.0288912 *
time2018 -5.0730e+01 2.4672e+01 -2.0562 0.0403664 *
time2019 -1.2720e+02 2.5006e+01 -5.0869 5.441e-07 ***
fesisCHN.2000 -2.3789e+02 6.1734e+01 -3.8534 0.0001342 ***
fesisCHN.2016 6.2193e+02 5.8442e+01 10.6417 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2006 4.4320e+02 4.2722e+01 10.3741 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -2.8661e+02 4.0253e+01 -7.1203 4.539e-12 ***
fesisJPN.1999 5.7738e+02 6.7600e+01 8.5411 2.310e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2001 -4.6965e+02 7.4406e+01 -6.3120 6.852e-10 ***
fesisJPN.2003 3.8085e+02 6.1971e+01 6.1457 1.814e-09 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -5.5160e+02 8.0470e+01 -6.8547 2.483e-11 ***
fesisJPN.2009 9.5548e+02 1.0324e+02 9.2550 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 1.3119e+03 1.0339e+02 12.6888 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2011 -6.5939e+02 1.0620e+02 -6.2091 1.254e-09 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -9.6742e+02 7.8130e+01 -12.3822 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2019 -1.2837e+03 7.8134e+01 -16.4298 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2003 3.2811e+02 7.0056e+01 4.6836 3.784e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2009 5.7108e+02 6.6968e+01 8.5277 2.552e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2015 -5.7329e+02 8.4299e+01 -6.8006 3.489e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2016 7.5826e+02 1.0367e+02 7.3144 1.271e-12 ***
fesisKOR.2017 -5.0417e+02 8.5997e+01 -5.8627 9.070e-09 ***
fesisUSA.2005 6.8217e+02 5.1555e+01 13.2318 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2012 5.6739e+02 6.6024e+01 8.5937 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -1.4791e+03 9.0377e+01 -16.3659 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2015 7.0577e+02 9.0355e+01 7.8111 4.362e-14 ***
fesisUSA.2017 -4.8323e+02 7.3173e+01 -6.6039 1.181e-10 ***
fesisUSA.2019 -3.4364e+02 8.9956e+01 -3.8201 0.0001530 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.6558 1 0.1032
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 45.2245 1 1.757e-11 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 71.14749
R-squared 0.99883
Log-lik.(n=502) -2817.71416 Count Ma
0
0.01
Formula: count_ma~ gdp_ma + pop_ma
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 02:33:20 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 523
Sample: 1 to 523
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp_ma 0.51704 0.25708 2.0112 0.0448940 *
pop_ma 2.18213 1.09245 1.9975 0.0463686 *
idAUT 4.50823 1.90814 2.3626 0.0185650 *
idBEL 6.09754 1.87067 3.2595 0.0011994 **
idCAN 4.01214 1.60367 2.5018 0.0127042 *
idCHE -2.07738 2.12498 -0.9776 0.3287909
idCHN 26.00587 4.43256 5.8670 8.539e-09 ***
idDEU 5.47493 2.18887 2.5013 0.0127250 *
idDNK 10.40632 2.30828 4.5083 8.321e-06 ***
idESP 6.26814 2.24703 2.7895 0.0054997 **
idFIN -6.55150 3.55594 -1.8424 0.0660639 .
idFRA 5.65313 1.88733 2.9953 0.0028911 **
idGBR 4.31851 1.82721 2.3634 0.0185246 *
idISR 3.66585 2.45951 1.4905 0.1367892
idITA 6.23598 2.15919 2.8881 0.0040600 **
idJPN 5.21221 2.25676 2.3096 0.0213562 *
idKOR 25.42860 3.47594 7.3156 1.163e-12 ***
idNLD 5.64592 1.87803 3.0063 0.0027904 **
idNOR 18.40481 2.83089 6.5014 2.092e-10 ***
idRUS 16.80069 3.85790 4.3549 1.646e-05 ***
idSWE 3.05124 1.77082 1.7231 0.0855551 .
idUSA 3.78788 1.65026 2.2953 0.0221680 *
time1995 0.32265 2.46942 0.1307 0.8961025
time1996 1.58890 2.46404 0.6448 0.5193582
time1997 6.59683 2.43441 2.7098 0.0069854 **
time1998 4.00036 2.49031 1.6064 0.1088848
time1999 4.70176 2.52993 1.8585 0.0637488 .
time2000 3.41728 2.51850 1.3569 0.1754933
time2001 0.58941 2.45754 0.2398 0.8105636
time2002 -2.02265 2.36627 -0.8548 0.3931176
time2003 -1.06450 2.41190 -0.4414 0.6591662
time2004 2.85436 2.42034 1.1793 0.2388854
time2005 3.96535 2.51850 1.5745 0.1160679
time2006 5.53773 2.57570 2.1500 0.0320813 *
time2007 4.72766 2.60349 1.8159 0.0700435 .
time2008 5.85082 2.41001 2.4277 0.0155803 *
time2009 4.96551 2.37409 2.0915 0.0370318 *
time2010 4.12275 2.32820 1.7708 0.0772647 .
time2011 -0.36972 2.40452 -0.1538 0.8778656
time2012 -7.09543 2.35221 -3.0165 0.0027002 **
time2013 -9.60128 2.36810 -4.0544 5.910e-05 ***
time2014 -11.40190 2.39659 -4.7575 2.634e-06 ***
time2015 -7.25409 2.42394 -2.9927 0.0029154 **
time2016 -6.78202 2.44507 -2.7737 0.0057688 **
time2017 -4.43501 2.43038 -1.8248 0.0686812 .
time2018 -7.97593 2.37718 -3.3552 0.0008593 ***
time2019 -5.69130 2.18937 -2.5995 0.0096383 **
fesisCHE.2008 6.59974 2.30510 2.8631 0.0043885 **
fesisCHN.1997 -17.55356 5.13067 -3.4213 0.0006793 ***
fesisCHN.2000 23.81359 3.98255 5.9795 4.524e-09 ***
fesisCHN.2006 -14.43068 2.73840 -5.2697 2.112e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2006 28.39894 3.63971 7.8025 4.179e-14 ***
fesisDNK.2009 -33.04792 3.64884 -9.0571 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisESP.2004 22.13585 3.86028 5.7343 1.785e-08 ***
fesisESP.2007 -23.74181 3.89672 -6.0928 2.362e-09 ***
fesisFIN.1998 11.72240 3.47523 3.3731 0.0008066 ***
fesisISR.2005 21.17993 3.84050 5.5149 5.856e-08 ***
fesisISR.2008 -25.37593 3.60406 -7.0409 7.064e-12 ***
fesisKOR.1998 -18.08861 4.26698 -4.2392 2.717e-05 ***
fesisKOR.2002 25.28295 4.26260 5.9313 5.944e-09 ***
fesisKOR.2005 -22.92134 3.53287 -6.4880 2.270e-10 ***
fesisNOR.2000 -26.41080 4.67447 -5.6500 2.829e-08 ***
fesisNOR.2002 17.80011 4.40296 4.0428 6.201e-05 ***
fesisNOR.2010 -14.90345 3.03441 -4.9115 1.262e-06 ***
fesisNOR.2016 24.19380 3.61239 6.6974 6.259e-11 ***
fesisRUS.1999 24.51682 6.39421 3.8342 0.0001437 ***
fesisRUS.2000 -36.09994 5.72098 -6.3101 6.610e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 27.796 1 1.348e-07 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 28.702 1 8.442e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 5.42107
R-squared 0.78352
Log-lik.(n=523) -1592.62853 0.05
Formula: count_ma~ gdp_ma + pop_ma
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 02:33:18 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 523
Sample: 1 to 523
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp_ma 0.31588 0.25128 1.2571 0.2093906
pop_ma 1.30553 1.03479 1.2616 0.2077521
idAUT 11.64929 3.63148 3.2079 0.0014358 **
idBEL 13.29872 3.61790 3.6758 0.0002666 ***
idCAN 17.29317 3.72497 4.6425 4.562e-06 ***
idCHE 5.11997 3.70696 1.3812 0.1679318
idCHN 34.74503 4.95923 7.0061 9.344e-12 ***
idDEU 12.20913 3.74535 3.2598 0.0012022 **
idDNK 9.92555 4.70640 2.1089 0.0355188 *
idESP 14.35228 3.74645 3.8309 0.0001464 ***
idFIN 1.20398 4.35361 0.2765 0.7822578
idFRA 12.80059 3.62441 3.5318 0.0004568 ***
idGBR 11.59812 3.60265 3.2193 0.0013809 **
idISR 13.19826 3.97432 3.3209 0.0009728 ***
idITA 12.92260 3.73447 3.4604 0.0005926 ***
idJPN 13.94468 3.88032 3.5937 0.0003632 ***
idKOR 34.11607 4.33232 7.8748 2.738e-14 ***
idNLD 12.85918 3.62035 3.5519 0.0004241 ***
idNOR 26.44631 3.98914 6.6296 9.972e-11 ***
idRUS 31.06288 6.49649 4.7815 2.384e-06 ***
idSWE 7.77925 3.72278 2.0896 0.0372297 *
idUSA 11.45215 3.54859 3.2272 0.0013442 **
time1995 -5.90448 3.72399 -1.5855 0.1135717
time1996 -3.48221 3.70696 -0.9394 0.3480613
time1997 -1.69769 3.87371 -0.4383 0.6614153
time1998 -3.21269 3.90863 -0.8219 0.4115555
time1999 -2.18361 3.93633 -0.5547 0.5793624
time2000 -3.75595 3.93443 -0.9546 0.3402896
time2001 -6.69054 3.90067 -1.7152 0.0870138 .
time2002 -8.23615 3.85466 -2.1367 0.0331808 *
time2003 -7.18524 3.87775 -1.8529 0.0645662 .
time2004 -2.91114 3.88547 -0.7492 0.4541186
time2005 -2.14789 3.94593 -0.5443 0.5864916
time2006 0.52290 3.98252 0.1313 0.8955987
time2007 0.79125 3.99276 0.1982 0.8430028
time2008 0.64210 3.88004 0.1655 0.8686366
time2009 -1.74848 3.84736 -0.4545 0.6497220
time2010 -2.65067 3.82581 -0.6928 0.4887788
time2011 -6.90364 3.86305 -1.7871 0.0746166 .
time2012 -14.16717 3.83728 -3.6920 0.0002507 ***
time2013 -16.67381 3.84425 -4.3373 1.793e-05 ***
time2014 -18.40902 3.85777 -4.7719 2.494e-06 ***
time2015 -13.78513 3.87630 -3.5563 0.0004174 ***
time2016 -13.24481 3.88742 -3.4071 0.0007175 ***
time2017 -10.57390 3.88248 -2.7235 0.0067190 **
time2018 -14.18813 3.85753 -3.6780 0.0002644 ***
time2019 -12.40705 3.77174 -3.2895 0.0010851 **
fesisAUS.1997 14.85267 3.85889 3.8489 0.0001364 ***
fesisAUS.2004 -12.73796 2.52559 -5.0436 6.716e-07 ***
fesisAUS.2012 8.60455 2.40350 3.5800 0.0003822 ***
fesisCAN.2004 -13.68981 2.70518 -5.0606 6.174e-07 ***
fesisCAN.2009 7.40917 2.62413 2.8235 0.0049682 **
fesisCHE.2008 7.18582 2.02921 3.5412 0.0004412 ***
fesisCHN.1997 -16.30418 4.43436 -3.6768 0.0002657 ***
fesisCHN.2000 22.79011 3.44357 6.6182 1.070e-10 ***
fesisCHN.2006 -14.93309 2.37074 -6.2989 7.332e-10 ***
fesisDNK.1997 20.09500 4.80207 4.1847 3.456e-05 ***
fesisDNK.1999 -13.49647 3.84833 -3.5071 0.0005000 ***
fesisDNK.2006 37.04301 5.11970 7.2354 2.106e-12 ***
fesisDNK.2007 -14.24757 5.85738 -2.4324 0.0154000 *
fesisDNK.2009 -26.20867 3.72102 -7.0434 7.352e-12 ***
fesisESP.2004 21.92664 3.35927 6.5272 1.865e-10 ***
fesisESP.2007 -24.77490 3.39580 -7.2957 1.414e-12 ***
fesisFIN.1998 11.00698 3.00760 3.6597 0.0002834 ***
fesisISR.2005 19.24240 3.32867 5.7808 1.418e-08 ***
fesisISR.2008 -22.23306 3.22228 -6.8998 1.842e-11 ***
fesisISR.2017 -6.97737 3.18909 -2.1879 0.0292081 *
fesisJPN.2005 -10.90533 2.86894 -3.8012 0.0001645 ***
fesisJPN.2009 10.00275 2.83928 3.5230 0.0004718 ***
fesisKOR.1998 -17.71232 3.67938 -4.8139 2.044e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2002 20.86400 3.41000 6.1185 2.105e-09 ***
fesisKOR.2006 -30.04506 4.15250 -7.2354 2.105e-12 ***
fesisKOR.2008 14.13267 3.85501 3.6661 0.0002767 ***
fesisKOR.2015 -8.71721 2.82040 -3.0908 0.0021243 **
fesisNOR.2000 -26.23101 4.02677 -6.5142 2.019e-10 ***
fesisNOR.2002 16.30949 3.79595 4.2965 2.141e-05 ***
fesisNOR.2010 -13.46940 2.63684 -5.1082 4.873e-07 ***
fesisNOR.2016 23.33080 3.11444 7.4912 3.829e-13 ***
fesisRUS.1996 -23.09794 6.86210 -3.3660 0.0008302 ***
fesisRUS.1997 28.73048 6.76892 4.2445 2.679e-05 ***
fesisRUS.1998 -21.04574 6.79789 -3.0959 0.0020885 **
fesisRUS.1999 33.03630 6.78415 4.8696 1.567e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2000 -29.16772 5.93252 -4.9166 1.249e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2002 -20.28564 4.78110 -4.2429 2.697e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2004 20.61630 4.37227 4.7152 3.254e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -8.60171 3.24119 -2.6539 0.0082483 **
fesisSWE.2009 6.17744 2.06798 2.9872 0.0029745 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 12.348 1 0.0004414 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 17.059 1 3.624e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 4.65827
R-squared 0.84717
Log-lik.(n=523) -1503.31619 1
0.01
Formula: count_ma~ gdp_ma + pop_ma
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 02:33:18 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 502
Sample: 1 to 502
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.37018 0.03666 10.0975 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp_ma 0.55617 0.25620 2.1709 0.0304820 *
pop_ma 2.51704 1.04675 2.4046 0.0166069 *
idAUT 3.87695 1.87363 2.0692 0.0391176 *
idBEL 4.78325 1.84542 2.5920 0.0098649 **
idCAN 1.12044 3.97550 0.2818 0.7782029
idCHE 1.30586 1.67410 0.7800 0.4357949
idCHN 12.02321 2.34992 5.1164 4.684e-07 ***
idDEU 5.02703 2.15523 2.3325 0.0201317 *
idDNK 8.32012 2.34263 3.5516 0.0004248 ***
idESP 4.40966 2.26341 1.9482 0.0520307 .
idFIN 3.69845 1.93248 1.9138 0.0562988 .
idFRA 4.55940 1.86098 2.4500 0.0146797 *
idGBR 3.63084 1.79506 2.0227 0.0437191 *
idISR -0.38985 2.84364 -0.1371 0.8910185
idITA 5.61234 2.12765 2.6378 0.0086440 **
idJPN 4.72095 2.22578 2.1210 0.0344856 *
idKOR 7.78562 2.58776 3.0086 0.0027770 **
idNLD 4.00838 1.85719 2.1583 0.0314517 *
idNOR 2.03805 5.59980 0.3640 0.7160721
idRUS -4.30817 6.01471 -0.7163 0.4742078
idSWE 2.42619 1.73922 1.3950 0.1637327
idUSA 2.71249 1.63777 1.6562 0.0984032 .
time1996 0.96269 2.44049 0.3945 0.6934316
time1997 1.82061 2.39541 0.7600 0.4476442
time1998 -1.08406 2.41511 -0.4489 0.6537511
time1999 0.77336 2.44794 0.3159 0.7522142
time2000 -1.38067 2.42838 -0.5686 0.5699522
time2001 -3.03539 2.36190 -1.2851 0.1994256
time2002 -3.13561 2.28558 -1.3719 0.1708003
time2003 -2.80568 2.36660 -1.1855 0.2364548
time2004 2.08520 2.37619 0.8775 0.3806798
time2005 1.05149 2.44344 0.4303 0.6671660
time2006 1.03988 2.50047 0.4159 0.6777084
time2007 0.11233 2.52475 0.0445 0.9645320
time2008 2.19118 2.34340 0.9350 0.3502853
time2009 1.45860 2.29488 0.6356 0.5253794
time2010 0.87858 2.25739 0.3892 0.6973182
time2011 -3.09045 2.33557 -1.3232 0.1864634
time2012 -8.35775 2.28171 -3.6629 0.0002802 ***
time2013 -8.25783 2.31840 -3.5619 0.0004090 ***
time2014 -9.94483 2.38000 -4.1785 3.550e-05 ***
time2015 -5.20530 2.42108 -2.1500 0.0321078 *
time2016 -5.17662 2.39870 -2.1581 0.0314680 *
time2017 -3.45042 2.37680 -1.4517 0.1473045
time2018 -7.82929 2.31553 -3.3812 0.0007870 ***
time2019 -4.05743 2.13343 -1.9018 0.0578551 .
fesisCAN.1998 19.33285 6.58948 2.9339 0.0035248 **
fesisCAN.1999 -18.49196 5.50466 -3.3593 0.0008503 ***
fesisDNK.2006 36.24872 5.62619 6.4429 3.120e-10 ***
fesisDNK.2007 -23.93655 6.63807 -3.6060 0.0003471 ***
fesisDNK.2009 -17.15115 4.31592 -3.9739 8.278e-05 ***
fesisESP.2004 14.47653 3.81871 3.7909 0.0001713 ***
fesisESP.2007 -15.78290 3.79608 -4.1577 3.875e-05 ***
fesisISR.2003 20.78957 5.92590 3.5083 0.0004981 ***
fesisISR.2004 -22.32382 7.64715 -2.9192 0.0036916 **
fesisISR.2005 19.86664 6.19446 3.2072 0.0014397 **
fesisISR.2008 -20.97114 3.50685 -5.9800 4.665e-09 ***
fesisKOR.2002 15.16392 3.83355 3.9556 8.915e-05 ***
fesisKOR.2005 -17.16964 3.44387 -4.9856 8.947e-07 ***
fesisNOR.1997 27.74717 7.60634 3.6479 0.0002965 ***
fesisNOR.1998 -24.19477 5.63408 -4.2944 2.163e-05 ***
fesisNOR.2009 -12.15145 2.99168 -4.0617 5.780e-05 ***
fesisNOR.2014 16.83139 3.30050 5.0996 5.094e-07 ***
fesisRUS.1997 36.93803 7.63698 4.8367 1.836e-06 ***
fesisRUS.1998 -31.63122 7.68882 -4.1139 4.655e-05 ***
fesisRUS.1999 39.60394 7.64485 5.1805 3.396e-07 ***
fesisRUS.2000 -36.88168 5.50975 -6.6939 6.736e-11 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 3.5574 1 0.059279 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 8.4608 1 0.003629 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 5.22646
R-squared 0.80197
Log-lik.(n=502) -1508.48202 0.05
Formula: count_ma~ gdp_ma + pop_ma
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 02:33:16 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 502
Sample: 1 to 502
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.391965 0.034757 11.2773 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp_ma 0.655518 0.247248 2.6513 0.0083197 **
pop_ma 2.420082 0.997242 2.4268 0.0156496 *
idAUT 3.882305 1.738285 2.2334 0.0260428 *
idBEL 4.744414 1.711989 2.7713 0.0058292 **
idCAN 0.949913 3.670606 0.2588 0.7959236
idCHE 1.387373 1.547370 0.8966 0.3704410
idCHN 17.258183 5.345949 3.2283 0.0013422 **
idDEU 5.028971 2.006010 2.5070 0.0125509 *
idDNK -3.570412 5.140240 -0.6946 0.4876863
idESP 3.962495 2.094001 1.8923 0.0591309 .
idFIN 3.659620 1.797730 2.0357 0.0424027 *
idFRA 4.566307 1.725216 2.6468 0.0084282 **
idGBR 3.628770 1.663694 2.1812 0.0297209 *
idISR -0.740409 2.640628 -0.2804 0.7793141
idITA 5.700247 1.974529 2.8869 0.0040897 **
idJPN 4.786734 2.069196 2.3133 0.0211821 *
idKOR 6.897472 2.409771 2.8623 0.0044143 **
idNLD 3.963675 1.724206 2.2988 0.0219995 *
idNOR 1.106650 5.185250 0.2134 0.8310999
idRUS -4.564895 5.554758 -0.8218 0.4116532
idSWE 2.385532 1.613149 1.4788 0.1399350
idUSA 2.671342 1.514746 1.7636 0.0785265 .
time1996 0.924641 2.268731 0.4076 0.6838033
time1997 1.319295 2.224626 0.5930 0.5534698
time1998 -1.734673 2.251131 -0.7706 0.4413860
time1999 0.806871 2.284678 0.3532 0.7241393
time2000 -1.076564 2.291773 -0.4698 0.6387739
time2001 -3.113916 2.195651 -1.4182 0.1568612
time2002 -3.047359 2.130535 -1.4303 0.1533601
time2003 -2.759750 2.204308 -1.2520 0.2112673
time2004 1.676928 2.211713 0.7582 0.4487505
time2005 0.435006 2.276177 0.1911 0.8485290
time2006 0.286445 2.326565 0.1231 0.9020709
time2007 -0.620400 2.349488 -0.2641 0.7918638
time2008 2.082595 2.186506 0.9525 0.3413980
time2009 1.439374 2.140811 0.6723 0.5017272
time2010 0.877093 2.104182 0.4168 0.6770112
time2011 -3.830570 2.175290 -1.7609 0.0789683 .
time2012 -8.947714 2.127089 -4.2066 3.166e-05 ***
time2013 -8.674079 2.164715 -4.0070 7.262e-05 ***
time2014 -10.320409 2.222262 -4.6441 4.563e-06 ***
time2015 -5.572264 2.259819 -2.4658 0.0140657 *
time2016 -5.660718 2.236393 -2.5312 0.0117284 *
time2017 -3.501079 2.213726 -1.5815 0.1145020
time2018 -7.925022 2.156036 -3.6757 0.0002676 ***
time2019 -3.856413 1.998005 -1.9301 0.0542571 .
fesisCAN.1998 19.637353 6.082453 3.2285 0.0013410 **
fesisCAN.1999 -18.651094 5.084832 -3.6680 0.0002756 ***
fesisCHN.1997 -15.778640 5.762085 -2.7384 0.0064348 **
fesisCHN.2000 22.822553 5.731958 3.9816 8.053e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2001 -12.985530 5.160645 -2.5163 0.0122290 *
fesisDNK.1997 23.204944 6.085912 3.8129 0.0001577 ***
fesisDNK.1999 -13.296595 3.987025 -3.3350 0.0009281 ***
fesisDNK.2006 38.340711 5.286507 7.2526 1.957e-12 ***
fesisDNK.2007 -24.614818 6.124517 -4.0191 6.914e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2009 -16.514390 3.985151 -4.1440 4.122e-05 ***
fesisESP.2004 14.654246 3.525784 4.1563 3.915e-05 ***
fesisESP.2007 -15.357793 3.508354 -4.3775 1.514e-05 ***
fesisISR.2003 21.195133 5.469875 3.8749 0.0001236 ***
fesisISR.2004 -22.604726 7.055357 -3.2039 0.0014581 **
fesisISR.2005 19.872983 5.712698 3.4787 0.0005559 ***
fesisISR.2008 -28.285168 4.061588 -6.9641 1.266e-11 ***
fesisISR.2011 13.353623 3.504394 3.8105 0.0001592 ***
fesisISR.2017 -10.138189 3.494749 -2.9010 0.0039137 **
fesisKOR.2002 15.082013 3.547682 4.2512 2.617e-05 ***
fesisKOR.2005 -16.432292 3.184162 -5.1606 3.789e-07 ***
fesisNOR.1997 28.450422 7.031811 4.0460 6.193e-05 ***
fesisNOR.1998 -22.819958 6.102684 -3.7393 0.0002098 ***
fesisNOR.2000 -22.906725 6.069067 -3.7743 0.0001833 ***
fesisNOR.2001 23.830820 5.258796 4.5316 7.623e-06 ***
fesisNOR.2009 -13.860374 2.891374 -4.7937 2.270e-06 ***
fesisNOR.2014 16.548635 3.048654 5.4282 9.600e-08 ***
fesisRUS.1997 37.854590 7.061732 5.3605 1.366e-07 ***
fesisRUS.1998 -32.484303 7.107013 -4.5707 6.384e-06 ***
fesisRUS.1999 39.096549 7.053911 5.5425 5.248e-08 ***
fesisRUS.2000 -43.136966 5.623917 -7.6703 1.187e-13 ***
fesisRUS.2004 8.349141 2.890689 2.8883 0.0040719 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.3042 1 0.2535
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 4.9759 1 0.0257 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 4.81935
R-squared 0.83550
Log-lik.(n=502) -1462.77202 Log Count
0
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 02:32:39 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 523
Sample: 1 to 523
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.488747 0.105313 14.1365 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.164404 0.269662 -0.6097 0.5423812
idAUT 1.975918 0.228121 8.6617 < 2.2e-16 ***
idBEL 1.143115 0.173970 6.5708 1.355e-10 ***
idCAN 0.354578 0.133695 2.6521 0.0082741 **
idCHE 1.430429 0.253280 5.6476 2.849e-08 ***
idCHN -3.899709 1.046000 -3.7282 0.0002168 ***
idDEU 1.628010 0.358116 4.5460 6.994e-06 ***
idDNK -1.327564 0.367415 -3.6133 0.0003356 ***
idESP -0.276509 0.226752 -1.2194 0.2233038
idFIN 2.099568 0.334129 6.2837 7.664e-10 ***
idFRA 0.922807 0.299925 3.0768 0.0022169 **
idGBR 0.889757 0.297528 2.9905 0.0029343 **
idISR -0.096762 0.272721 -0.3548 0.7229010
idITA 0.043468 0.285773 0.1521 0.8791706
idJPN -5.231825 0.617795 -8.4685 3.351e-16 ***
idKOR -8.809211 0.634086 -13.8928 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.302966 0.088647 14.6983 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNOR -2.552163 0.424944 -6.0059 3.863e-09 ***
idRUS -6.103187 0.529156 -11.5338 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE -1.204644 0.268125 -4.4929 8.896e-06 ***
idUSA -0.123388 0.666472 -0.1851 0.8532031
time1995 -34.081553 4.243006 -8.0324 8.057e-15 ***
time1996 -33.955095 4.244719 -7.9994 1.020e-14 ***
time1997 -33.969599 4.244968 -8.0023 9.988e-15 ***
time1998 -33.851083 4.246715 -7.9711 1.247e-14 ***
time1999 -33.796742 4.248920 -7.9542 1.407e-14 ***
time2000 -33.744712 4.251391 -7.9373 1.586e-14 ***
time2001 -33.684926 4.252800 -7.9206 1.785e-14 ***
time2002 -33.702110 4.254633 -7.9213 1.777e-14 ***
time2003 -33.623779 4.256143 -7.9001 2.064e-14 ***
time2004 -33.609015 4.257648 -7.8938 2.158e-14 ***
time2005 -33.539416 4.259241 -7.8745 2.472e-14 ***
time2006 -33.459906 4.261592 -7.8515 2.907e-14 ***
time2007 -33.375975 4.265398 -7.8248 3.506e-14 ***
time2008 -33.296260 4.267431 -7.8024 4.103e-14 ***
time2009 -33.108047 4.266912 -7.7593 5.547e-14 ***
time2010 -33.038874 4.269180 -7.7389 6.390e-14 ***
time2011 -33.013906 4.271060 -7.7297 6.815e-14 ***
time2012 -33.021735 4.272736 -7.7285 6.872e-14 ***
time2013 -33.117748 4.272676 -7.7511 5.873e-14 ***
time2014 -33.157815 4.274664 -7.7568 5.641e-14 ***
time2015 -33.230081 4.276624 -7.7702 5.140e-14 ***
time2016 -33.244913 4.278044 -7.7711 5.108e-14 ***
time2017 -33.246549 4.280084 -7.7677 5.228e-14 ***
time2018 -33.252240 4.281925 -7.7657 5.302e-14 ***
time2019 -33.347986 4.283523 -7.7852 4.628e-14 ***
fesisAUS.2009 -0.668645 0.060752 -11.0061 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHE.1999 -0.305132 0.093708 -3.2562 0.0012124 **
fesisCHE.2003 -0.282453 0.074232 -3.8050 0.0001609 ***
fesisCHN.2001 0.396403 0.096827 4.0939 5.008e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2004 0.485101 0.108534 4.4696 9.877e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2016 0.505611 0.093182 5.4261 9.324e-08 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.772996 0.054170 14.2697 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisESP.2005 0.588400 0.055966 10.5135 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisISR.2013 -0.289693 0.071658 -4.0427 6.191e-05 ***
fesisITA.2007 0.318829 0.056765 5.6167 3.370e-08 ***
fesisKOR.1997 0.278092 0.106589 2.6090 0.0093758 **
fesisKOR.2004 0.733848 0.068442 10.7222 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisRUS.2004 -0.275382 0.093937 -2.9316 0.0035403 **
fesisRUS.2007 -0.379618 0.087043 -4.3613 1.597e-05 ***
fesisSWE.2001 -0.485885 0.062982 -7.7147 7.562e-14 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 67.162 1 2.220e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 51.883 1 5.892e-13 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.12903
R-squared 0.99279
Log-lik.(n=523) 359.84148 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 02:32:39 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 523
Sample: 1 to 523
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.539335 0.093849 16.4023 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.185701 0.268118 -0.6926 0.4889083
idAUT 2.122044 0.224173 9.4661 < 2.2e-16 ***
idBEL 1.101017 0.167523 6.5723 1.362e-10 ***
idCAN 0.259119 0.137671 1.8822 0.0604533 .
idCHE 1.468333 0.252348 5.8187 1.122e-08 ***
idCHN -4.002838 1.056241 -3.7897 0.0001712 ***
idDEU 1.527503 0.363805 4.1987 3.232e-05 ***
idDNK -1.454193 0.359584 -4.0441 6.171e-05 ***
idESP -0.318469 0.224296 -1.4199 0.1563343
idFIN 2.447589 0.336176 7.2807 1.476e-12 ***
idFRA 0.832841 0.304260 2.7373 0.0064385 **
idGBR 0.807869 0.300801 2.6857 0.0075025 **
idISR -0.251968 0.280681 -0.8977 0.3698195
idITA -0.029740 0.288561 -0.1031 0.9179580
idJPN -5.587115 0.591024 -9.4533 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -9.161994 0.573226 -15.9832 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.242876 0.081081 15.3288 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNOR -2.638049 0.417810 -6.3140 6.483e-10 ***
idRUS -6.283729 0.530102 -11.8538 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE -1.330780 0.254802 -5.2228 2.690e-07 ***
idUSA -0.284000 0.676578 -0.4198 0.6748599
time1995 -35.082670 4.236014 -8.2820 1.370e-15 ***
time1996 -34.957471 4.237602 -8.2494 1.738e-15 ***
time1997 -34.946725 4.238345 -8.2454 1.790e-15 ***
time1998 -34.811426 4.240022 -8.2102 2.310e-15 ***
time1999 -34.773503 4.241981 -8.1975 2.534e-15 ***
time2000 -34.723809 4.244193 -8.1815 2.844e-15 ***
time2001 -34.661110 4.245578 -8.1641 3.226e-15 ***
time2002 -34.666982 4.247490 -8.1618 3.280e-15 ***
time2003 -34.570632 4.249251 -8.1357 3.958e-15 ***
time2004 -34.566362 4.250409 -8.1325 4.051e-15 ***
time2005 -34.482952 4.251176 -8.1114 4.715e-15 ***
time2006 -34.405283 4.253336 -8.0890 5.537e-15 ***
time2007 -34.343578 4.255834 -8.0698 6.357e-15 ***
time2008 -34.264466 4.257849 -8.0474 7.462e-15 ***
time2009 -34.060318 4.257379 -8.0003 1.044e-14 ***
time2010 -33.992678 4.259499 -7.9804 1.202e-14 ***
time2011 -33.968847 4.261276 -7.9715 1.281e-14 ***
time2012 -33.977121 4.262946 -7.9703 1.292e-14 ***
time2013 -34.053094 4.263274 -7.9875 1.143e-14 ***
time2014 -34.094033 4.265204 -7.9935 1.095e-14 ***
time2015 -34.167171 4.267104 -8.0071 9.944e-15 ***
time2016 -34.181646 4.268603 -8.0077 9.903e-15 ***
time2017 -34.204496 4.270467 -8.0095 9.773e-15 ***
time2018 -34.211222 4.272219 -8.0078 9.893e-15 ***
time2019 -34.307811 4.273748 -8.0276 8.595e-15 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.287231 0.069930 -4.1074 4.746e-05 ***
fesisAUS.2009 -0.498470 0.070814 -7.0391 7.186e-12 ***
fesisAUT.2002 -0.257111 0.052329 -4.9134 1.252e-06 ***
fesisCHE.1998 -0.377676 0.084630 -4.4627 1.022e-05 ***
fesisCHE.2003 -0.332133 0.060033 -5.5325 5.341e-08 ***
fesisCHN.2001 0.358271 0.084922 4.2188 2.966e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2004 0.435944 0.095451 4.5672 6.375e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2016 0.477671 0.081838 5.8368 1.014e-08 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.749142 0.047472 15.7808 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisESP.2005 0.554943 0.049949 11.1101 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisFIN.1997 -0.405470 0.086686 -4.6774 3.838e-06 ***
fesisISR.2007 0.486970 0.091940 5.2966 1.843e-07 ***
fesisISR.2009 -0.470329 0.100813 -4.6654 4.059e-06 ***
fesisISR.2013 -0.273779 0.074914 -3.6546 0.0002877 ***
fesisITA.2007 0.300534 0.049771 6.0383 3.242e-09 ***
fesisKOR.1997 0.234433 0.093348 2.5114 0.0123717 *
fesisKOR.2004 0.692329 0.060208 11.4990 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisNOR.2013 -0.448486 0.065720 -6.8242 2.840e-11 ***
fesisNOR.2017 0.420095 0.088298 4.7577 2.635e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2003 -0.348364 0.076357 -4.5623 6.520e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.396101 0.069445 -5.7038 2.115e-08 ***
fesisSWE.2001 -0.530452 0.055345 -9.5845 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 29.595 1 5.324e-08 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 13.262 1 0.0002708 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.11274
R-squared 0.99458
Log-lik.(n=523) 433.91546 1
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 02:33:13 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 502
Sample: 1 to 502
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.685249 0.026811 25.5583 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.615126 0.077620 7.9248 1.936e-14 ***
lpop -0.378510 0.234994 -1.6107 0.1079655
idAUT 0.522120 0.200560 2.6033 0.0095484 **
idBEL 0.334302 0.147012 2.2740 0.0234535 *
idCAN 0.217174 0.125896 1.7250 0.0852325 .
idCHE 0.070887 0.213834 0.3315 0.7404232
idCHN -0.182736 0.933900 -0.1957 0.8449598
idDEU 0.845372 0.336048 2.5156 0.0122413 *
idDNK -1.201839 0.336674 -3.5697 0.0003971 ***
idESP 0.155181 0.189086 0.8207 0.4122714
idFIN 0.472782 0.295463 1.6001 0.1102933
idFRA 0.594045 0.276506 2.1484 0.0322336 *
idGBR 0.587431 0.271518 2.1635 0.0310459 *
idISR -0.329515 0.260744 -1.2637 0.2069970
idITA 0.366005 0.254573 1.4377 0.1512310
idJPN -1.943684 0.482251 -4.0304 6.572e-05 ***
idKOR -3.201893 0.467168 -6.8538 2.471e-11 ***
idNLD 0.434581 0.075393 5.7642 1.557e-08 ***
idNOR -1.412159 0.388103 -3.6386 0.0003070 ***
idRUS -1.563412 0.493226 -3.1698 0.0016333 **
idSWE -0.924735 0.220525 -4.1933 3.332e-05 ***
idUSA 0.467413 0.609950 0.7663 0.4439054
time1996 -9.135818 3.762810 -2.4279 0.0155902 *
time1997 -9.205528 3.763776 -2.4458 0.0148475 *
time1998 -9.157564 3.764461 -2.4326 0.0153916 *
time1999 -9.156495 3.765432 -2.4317 0.0154298 *
time2000 -9.127846 3.766945 -2.4231 0.0157941 *
time2001 -9.128088 3.767973 -2.4225 0.0158197 *
time2002 -9.186241 3.769198 -2.4372 0.0152019 *
time2003 -9.104454 3.769747 -2.4151 0.0161407 *
time2004 -9.112237 3.770954 -2.4164 0.0160844 *
time2005 -9.047161 3.770943 -2.3992 0.0168518 *
time2006 -9.028703 3.772150 -2.3935 0.0171106 *
time2007 -8.990533 3.774167 -2.3821 0.0176420 *
time2008 -8.998828 3.775545 -2.3835 0.0175794 *
time2009 -8.919185 3.775306 -2.3625 0.0185912 *
time2010 -8.896080 3.776745 -2.3555 0.0189414 *
time2011 -8.928522 3.777881 -2.3634 0.0185486 *
time2012 -8.966746 3.779161 -2.3727 0.0180934 *
time2013 -9.068625 3.780703 -2.3987 0.0168753 *
time2014 -9.027764 3.782698 -2.3866 0.0174318 *
time2015 -9.073337 3.784400 -2.3976 0.0169253 *
time2016 -9.013453 3.786273 -2.3806 0.0177160 *
time2017 -9.018676 3.787804 -2.3810 0.0176963 *
time2018 -9.028348 3.789196 -2.3827 0.0176169 *
time2019 -9.125315 3.790432 -2.4075 0.0164794 *
fesisAUS.2005 -0.214566 0.053017 -4.0471 6.137e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2001 0.208046 0.069741 2.9831 0.0030137 **
fesisDNK.1997 0.496687 0.132390 3.7517 0.0001994 ***
fesisDNK.1999 -0.241081 0.088838 -2.7137 0.0069173 **
fesisDNK.2005 0.421578 0.116686 3.6129 0.0003381 ***
fesisDNK.2006 -0.450081 0.152934 -2.9430 0.0034248 **
fesisDNK.2007 0.662607 0.152504 4.3448 1.737e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2008 -0.355426 0.113426 -3.1335 0.0018439 **
fesisESP.2003 0.225640 0.052630 4.2873 2.230e-05 ***
fesisISR.2003 -0.355453 0.118934 -2.9887 0.0029607 **
fesisISR.2004 0.735869 0.152802 4.8158 2.027e-06 ***
fesisISR.2005 -0.538494 0.153050 -3.5184 0.0004799 ***
fesisISR.2006 0.414005 0.124686 3.3204 0.0009747 ***
fesisISR.2009 -0.346697 0.073291 -4.7304 3.033e-06 ***
fesisNOR.1998 0.450018 0.132235 3.4032 0.0007278 ***
fesisNOR.1999 -0.443761 0.111046 -3.9962 7.559e-05 ***
fesisRUS.1997 -0.648322 0.153063 -4.2356 2.783e-05 ***
fesisRUS.1998 0.648002 0.124813 5.1918 3.204e-07 ***
fesisRUS.2001 -0.367988 0.078429 -4.6920 3.630e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.205344 0.059802 -3.4338 0.0006523 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.9236 1 0.1655
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 23.4022 1 1.314e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.10517
R-squared 0.99519
Log-lik.(n=502) 451.76661 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 02:33:12 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 502
Sample: 1 to 502
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.708178 0.024870 28.4753 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.598695 0.069509 8.6132 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.196150 0.232786 -0.8426 0.3999291
idAUT 0.917608 0.210468 4.3598 1.644e-05 ***
idBEL 0.700262 0.162605 4.3065 2.073e-05 ***
idCAN 0.088099 0.170243 0.5175 0.6050892
idCHE 0.492218 0.224788 2.1897 0.0291038 *
idCHN -0.521237 0.942603 -0.5530 0.5805780
idDEU 0.801472 0.348350 2.3008 0.0219009 *
idDNK -0.691225 0.333592 -2.0721 0.0388774 *
idESP 0.299554 0.209029 1.4331 0.1525907
idFIN 0.999242 0.299277 3.3388 0.0009174 ***
idFRA 0.616896 0.292119 2.1118 0.0353027 *
idGBR 0.619612 0.287041 2.1586 0.0314538 *
idISR 0.149398 0.268459 0.5565 0.5781676
idITA 0.423367 0.272145 1.5557 0.1205506
idJPN -2.001429 0.478017 -4.1869 3.456e-05 ***
idKOR -3.037434 0.438529 -6.9264 1.657e-11 ***
idNLD 0.711368 0.108767 6.5403 1.813e-10 ***
idNOR -0.675387 0.389844 -1.7325 0.0839376 .
idRUS -1.597259 0.499434 -3.1981 0.0014895 **
idSWE -0.334996 0.225725 -1.4841 0.1385464
idUSA 0.200935 0.619597 0.3243 0.7458749
time1996 -12.091584 3.734520 -3.2378 0.0013016 **
time1997 -12.194983 3.734882 -3.2652 0.0011850 **
time1998 -12.118914 3.735189 -3.2445 0.0012719 **
time1999 -12.128585 3.735902 -3.2465 0.0012634 **
time2000 -12.111620 3.737339 -3.2407 0.0012887 **
time2001 -12.108622 3.738748 -3.2387 0.0012976 **
time2002 -12.169572 3.739910 -3.2540 0.0012314 **
time2003 -12.086674 3.740352 -3.2314 0.0013302 **
time2004 -12.089498 3.740855 -3.2317 0.0013287 **
time2005 -12.023980 3.740682 -3.2144 0.0014096 **
time2006 -12.008559 3.741749 -3.2093 0.0014340 **
time2007 -11.964617 3.743365 -3.1962 0.0014992 **
time2008 -11.990829 3.744834 -3.2020 0.0014703 **
time2009 -11.910136 3.745375 -3.1800 0.0015837 **
time2010 -11.881851 3.746295 -3.1716 0.0016287 **
time2011 -11.932574 3.747010 -3.1846 0.0015594 **
time2012 -11.973203 3.748267 -3.1943 0.0015088 **
time2013 -12.053314 3.749627 -3.2145 0.0014089 **
time2014 -12.028927 3.751210 -3.2067 0.0014470 **
time2015 -12.066597 3.752833 -3.2153 0.0014051 **
time2016 -12.022811 3.754754 -3.2020 0.0014700 **
time2017 -12.029703 3.756209 -3.2026 0.0014670 **
time2018 -12.026251 3.757107 -3.2009 0.0014754 **
time2019 -12.124494 3.758293 -3.2261 0.0013547 **
fesisAUS.1997 0.298984 0.100510 2.9747 0.0031046 **
fesisAUS.2005 -0.268926 0.049279 -5.4572 8.347e-08 ***
fesisCAN.1997 0.568341 0.133348 4.2621 2.510e-05 ***
fesisCAN.1998 -0.460279 0.133060 -3.4592 0.0005980 ***
fesisCAN.1999 0.306684 0.103064 2.9757 0.0030950 **
fesisCAN.2004 -0.159547 0.049749 -3.2070 0.0014453 **
fesisCHN.1998 -0.389420 0.115268 -3.3784 0.0007982 ***
fesisCHN.1999 0.444904 0.101122 4.3997 1.381e-05 ***
fesisDNK.1997 0.514895 0.115432 4.4606 1.054e-05 ***
fesisDNK.1999 -0.253260 0.077448 -3.2701 0.0011652 **
fesisDNK.2005 0.416030 0.101278 4.1078 4.816e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2006 -0.459375 0.132708 -3.4615 0.0005930 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.657088 0.132350 4.9648 1.007e-06 ***
fesisDNK.2008 -0.358098 0.098584 -3.6324 0.0003160 ***
fesisESP.2003 0.192124 0.046482 4.1333 4.331e-05 ***
fesisFIN.2000 -0.278345 0.104953 -2.6521 0.0083066 **
fesisFIN.2001 0.235357 0.096410 2.4412 0.0150563 *
fesisISR.2003 -0.367454 0.103324 -3.5563 0.0004195 ***
fesisISR.2004 0.734948 0.132640 5.5409 5.362e-08 ***
fesisISR.2005 -0.554237 0.132824 -4.1727 3.670e-05 ***
fesisISR.2006 0.407368 0.108195 3.7651 0.0001905 ***
fesisISR.2009 -0.456358 0.085767 -5.3209 1.695e-07 ***
fesisISR.2011 0.313669 0.094031 3.3358 0.0009273 ***
fesisISR.2013 -0.482298 0.114670 -4.2060 3.189e-05 ***
fesisISR.2014 0.369750 0.105042 3.5200 0.0004794 ***
fesisISR.2018 -0.307985 0.081492 -3.7793 0.0001803 ***
fesisNOR.1997 -0.315488 0.133155 -2.3693 0.0182786 *
fesisNOR.1998 0.594055 0.132912 4.4695 1.013e-05 ***
fesisNOR.1999 -0.416669 0.098565 -4.2274 2.912e-05 ***
fesisNOR.2010 -0.176525 0.051509 -3.4271 0.0006711 ***
fesisNOR.2015 0.203832 0.059624 3.4186 0.0006918 ***
fesisRUS.1997 -0.624917 0.133344 -4.6865 3.777e-06 ***
fesisRUS.1998 0.757201 0.133045 5.6913 2.390e-08 ***
fesisRUS.1999 -0.421871 0.132922 -3.1738 0.0016168 **
fesisRUS.2000 0.471494 0.132516 3.5580 0.0004169 ***
fesisRUS.2001 -0.537766 0.101875 -5.2787 2.105e-07 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.400522 0.101911 -3.9301 9.949e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2008 0.270131 0.100861 2.6782 0.0076957 **
fesisRUS.2015 -0.383554 0.100096 -3.8318 0.0001469 ***
fesisRUS.2016 0.339956 0.104812 3.2435 0.0012765 **
fesisSWE.1999 -0.201229 0.060469 -3.3278 0.0009535 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.2656 1 0.2606
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 0.3628 1 0.5470
SE of regression 0.09123
R-squared 0.99656
Log-lik.(n=502) 533.66725 Energy
with IIS
Count
0
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:02:50 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 523
Sample: 1 to 523
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 2.7395e-12 8.6711e-14 31.5937 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop 1.0817e-05 6.8285e-07 15.8405 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 1.4482e+02 2.5910e+01 5.5893 4.045e-08 ***
idBEL 8.3953e+01 2.5398e+01 3.3056 0.0010269 **
idCAN -2.1973e+01 2.5677e+01 -0.8558 0.3926072
idCHE 1.6029e+02 2.6060e+01 6.1509 1.758e-09 ***
idCHN -1.3404e+04 8.4615e+02 -15.8408 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU -1.2925e+02 5.2659e+01 -2.4545 0.0145012 *
idDNK 2.5948e+02 2.6628e+01 9.7449 < 2.2e-16 ***
idESP -2.2916e+02 2.8915e+01 -7.9255 1.953e-14 ***
idFIN 1.4350e+02 2.6677e+01 5.3792 1.229e-07 ***
idFRA -2.0332e+02 3.7872e+01 -5.3687 1.298e-07 ***
idGBR -2.5673e+02 3.6874e+01 -6.9623 1.251e-11 ***
idISR 1.3665e+02 2.6687e+01 5.1206 4.596e-07 ***
idITA -3.5855e+02 3.5269e+01 -10.1661 < 2.2e-16 ***
idJPN -4.3553e+02 1.0506e+02 -4.1455 4.083e-05 ***
idKOR -2.2079e+03 8.1113e+01 -27.2195 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 8.0477e+01 2.4586e+01 3.2733 0.0011483 **
idNOR 1.3481e+02 2.6826e+01 5.0253 7.375e-07 ***
idRUS -1.5522e+03 8.7802e+01 -17.6787 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE 1.1888e+02 2.5692e+01 4.6270 4.912e-06 ***
idUSA -2.1640e+03 1.7800e+02 -12.1578 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1995 -2.3512e+02 2.9635e+01 -7.9337 1.843e-14 ***
time1996 -2.4044e+02 2.9712e+01 -8.0922 5.999e-15 ***
time1997 -2.3740e+02 2.9420e+01 -8.0693 7.063e-15 ***
time1998 -2.1201e+02 2.8996e+01 -7.3118 1.288e-12 ***
time1999 -1.9903e+02 2.9267e+01 -6.8007 3.480e-11 ***
time2000 -2.2616e+02 2.9038e+01 -7.7883 5.090e-14 ***
time2001 -2.1525e+02 2.9255e+01 -7.3576 9.510e-13 ***
time2002 -2.0765e+02 2.8123e+01 -7.3835 8.002e-13 ***
time2003 -2.0289e+02 2.8293e+01 -7.1708 3.256e-12 ***
time2004 -1.8324e+02 2.8460e+01 -6.4388 3.211e-10 ***
time2005 -1.5531e+02 2.8634e+01 -5.4238 9.734e-08 ***
time2006 -1.3070e+02 2.8814e+01 -4.5358 7.444e-06 ***
time2007 -1.6185e+02 2.9190e+01 -5.5449 5.131e-08 ***
time2008 -1.2840e+02 2.9354e+01 -4.3743 1.529e-05 ***
time2009 -9.3564e+01 3.0177e+01 -3.1006 0.0020580 **
time2010 -6.4248e+01 3.0341e+01 -2.1175 0.0347875 *
time2011 -4.3644e+01 3.0497e+01 -1.4311 0.1531336
time2012 -6.3635e+01 3.0739e+01 -2.0702 0.0390310 *
time2013 -1.1786e+02 3.0980e+01 -3.8043 0.0001627 ***
time2014 -1.3785e+02 3.1217e+01 -4.4157 1.274e-05 ***
time2015 -1.5230e+02 3.1085e+01 -4.8995 1.361e-06 ***
time2016 -1.3055e+02 3.1313e+01 -4.1693 3.693e-05 ***
time2017 -1.4638e+02 3.0106e+01 -4.8621 1.629e-06 ***
time2018 -1.3289e+02 3.0313e+01 -4.3839 1.466e-05 ***
time2019 -1.6842e+02 3.0478e+01 -5.5258 5.679e-08 ***
iis126 5.8379e+02 1.0510e+02 5.5543 4.878e-08 ***
iis127 4.4744e+02 1.0256e+02 4.3626 1.609e-05 ***
iis128 3.1612e+02 1.0058e+02 3.1431 0.0017871 **
iis349 -1.0340e+03 1.0844e+02 -9.5354 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis350 -1.0001e+03 1.0843e+02 -9.2238 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis351 -9.4828e+02 1.0832e+02 -8.7546 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis352 -7.8752e+02 1.0820e+02 -7.2783 1.608e-12 ***
iis353 -3.8094e+02 1.0814e+02 -3.5225 0.0004730 ***
iis363 8.7033e+02 9.4669e+01 9.1933 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis364 2.1177e+03 9.4643e+01 22.3761 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis365 2.5377e+03 9.4652e+01 26.8103 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis366 2.0673e+03 9.4670e+01 21.8373 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis367 1.5785e+03 9.4690e+01 16.6703 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis368 1.6073e+03 9.4712e+01 16.9708 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis369 1.3612e+03 9.4601e+01 14.3892 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis370 1.4098e+03 9.4673e+01 14.8916 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis371 1.6006e+03 9.4516e+01 16.9343 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis372 1.5615e+03 9.4533e+01 16.5184 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis373 8.0984e+02 9.4545e+01 8.5656 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis388 4.1460e+02 9.2567e+01 4.4789 9.615e-06 ***
iis389 6.2610e+02 9.2534e+01 6.7661 4.319e-11 ***
iis390 6.2033e+02 9.2816e+01 6.6834 7.223e-11 ***
iis391 6.6334e+02 9.3114e+01 7.1240 4.417e-12 ***
iis392 8.8829e+02 9.3698e+01 9.4803 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis393 4.7371e+02 9.4498e+01 5.0129 7.838e-07 ***
iis395 3.5112e+02 9.6389e+01 3.6428 0.0003025 ***
iis511 3.1200e+02 9.9881e+01 3.1237 0.0019063 **
iis512 7.3529e+02 9.9657e+01 7.3783 8.284e-13 ***
iis513 1.0570e+03 9.9680e+01 10.6041 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis514 1.1969e+03 9.9528e+01 12.0261 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis515 1.0812e+03 9.9410e+01 10.8766 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis516 9.7181e+02 9.9283e+01 9.7883 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis517 1.0105e+03 9.9207e+01 10.1860 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis518 4.2886e+02 9.9135e+01 4.3260 1.888e-05 ***
iis519 3.5721e+02 9.8943e+01 3.6102 0.0003418 ***
fesisCHN.2002 -4.1708e+02 7.0992e+01 -5.8750 8.452e-09 ***
fesisCHN.2017 8.9800e+02 7.2622e+01 12.3655 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.0502e+03 4.7186e+01 22.2574 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -1.9371e+02 5.0540e+01 -3.8328 0.0001455 ***
fesisJPN.2002 4.3258e+02 7.0975e+01 6.0948 2.430e-09 ***
fesisKOR.1999 -3.6481e+02 6.8942e+01 -5.2916 1.933e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2002 -2.7820e+02 7.1625e+01 -3.8842 0.0001188 ***
fesisUSA.2000 5.5224e+02 5.3291e+01 10.3628 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2007 6.5903e+02 5.9513e+01 11.0737 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 106.604 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 69.369 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 86.14446
R-squared 0.99244
Log-lik.(n=523) -3027.10629 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:02:47 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 523
Sample: 1 to 523
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 3.0392e-12 1.1899e-13 25.5419 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop 1.4234e-05 8.4937e-07 16.7583 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 1.4460e+02 2.5833e+01 5.5977 3.983e-08 ***
idBEL 7.5495e+01 2.5067e+01 3.0118 0.0027580 **
idCAN -1.0727e+02 2.5796e+01 -4.1585 3.904e-05 ***
idCHE 1.6217e+02 2.6058e+01 6.2235 1.203e-09 ***
idCHN -1.8447e+04 1.1265e+03 -16.3757 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU -3.7827e+02 6.0032e+01 -6.3012 7.631e-10 ***
idDNK 2.6843e+02 2.6902e+01 9.9781 < 2.2e-16 ***
idESP -3.5160e+02 3.0763e+01 -11.4292 < 2.2e-16 ***
idFIN 1.5359e+02 2.6977e+01 5.6934 2.377e-08 ***
idFRA -3.9326e+02 4.3416e+01 -9.0579 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGBR -4.3999e+02 4.2053e+01 -10.4629 < 2.2e-16 ***
idISR 1.3914e+02 2.6608e+01 5.2292 2.719e-07 ***
idITA -5.3090e+02 3.9838e+01 -13.3264 < 2.2e-16 ***
idJPN 2.5657e+02 1.1924e+02 2.1517 0.0320077 *
idKOR -2.5502e+03 9.7760e+01 -26.0868 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 5.2510e+01 2.3862e+01 2.2006 0.0283231 *
idNOR 1.8284e+02 2.9778e+01 6.1400 1.951e-09 ***
idRUS -1.9738e+03 1.1088e+02 -17.8018 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE 1.1430e+02 2.5504e+01 4.4818 9.617e-06 ***
idUSA -3.0630e+03 2.1830e+02 -14.0309 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1995 -2.6580e+02 2.9317e+01 -9.0665 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1996 -2.7293e+02 2.9435e+01 -9.2722 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1997 -2.7098e+02 2.9333e+01 -9.2380 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1998 -2.5414e+02 2.9452e+01 -8.6289 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1999 -2.4233e+02 2.9744e+01 -8.1472 4.548e-15 ***
time2000 -2.4976e+02 2.9269e+01 -8.5332 2.792e-16 ***
time2001 -2.3796e+02 2.9382e+01 -8.0987 6.415e-15 ***
time2002 -2.3204e+02 2.9450e+01 -7.8791 2.997e-14 ***
time2003 -2.3667e+02 2.9566e+01 -8.0050 1.243e-14 ***
time2004 -2.2147e+02 2.9692e+01 -7.4590 5.249e-13 ***
time2005 -1.9854e+02 2.9823e+01 -6.6575 8.963e-11 ***
time2006 -1.5542e+02 2.8966e+01 -5.3657 1.351e-07 ***
time2007 -1.8823e+02 2.9424e+01 -6.3974 4.318e-10 ***
time2008 -1.4772e+02 2.9767e+01 -4.9625 1.022e-06 ***
time2009 -1.0094e+02 3.0767e+01 -3.2810 0.0011230 **
time2010 -7.5330e+01 3.1065e+01 -2.4249 0.0157428 *
time2011 -8.4805e+01 3.1585e+01 -2.6850 0.0075472 **
time2012 -1.0992e+02 3.1923e+01 -3.4434 0.0006335 ***
time2013 -1.3777e+02 3.2037e+01 -4.3004 2.133e-05 ***
time2014 -1.6009e+02 3.2375e+01 -4.9450 1.112e-06 ***
time2015 -1.7897e+02 3.2441e+01 -5.5168 6.127e-08 ***
time2016 -1.6817e+02 3.3017e+01 -5.0933 5.377e-07 ***
time2017 -1.6599e+02 3.1518e+01 -5.2664 2.251e-07 ***
time2018 -1.5527e+02 3.1814e+01 -4.8805 1.518e-06 ***
time2019 -1.8282e+02 3.2032e+01 -5.7072 2.204e-08 ***
iis126 1.5367e+03 1.4058e+02 10.9315 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis127 1.3585e+03 1.3178e+02 10.3081 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis128 1.1851e+03 1.2332e+02 9.6097 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis129 9.9548e+02 1.1566e+02 8.6071 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis130 8.3214e+02 1.0904e+02 7.6316 1.642e-13 ***
iis131 7.0224e+02 1.0265e+02 6.8411 2.870e-11 ***
iis132 5.6780e+02 9.7629e+01 5.8158 1.216e-08 ***
iis133 4.5157e+02 9.3262e+01 4.8419 1.825e-06 ***
iis134 3.5216e+02 8.9518e+01 3.9339 9.812e-05 ***
iis135 2.8161e+02 8.6259e+01 3.2647 0.0011876 **
iis136 2.0463e+02 8.3358e+01 2.4548 0.0145115 *
iis167 5.1047e+02 8.0464e+01 6.3441 5.926e-10 ***
iis168 5.1838e+02 7.6909e+01 6.7402 5.381e-11 ***
iis349 -2.2615e+03 8.8368e+01 -25.5923 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis350 -2.2311e+03 8.8272e+01 -25.2755 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis351 -2.1806e+03 8.8163e+01 -24.7336 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis352 -2.0106e+03 8.8193e+01 -22.7981 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis353 -1.6032e+03 8.8266e+01 -18.1634 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis354 -1.2739e+03 8.8137e+01 -14.4538 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis355 -1.2217e+03 8.8142e+01 -13.8609 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis356 -1.1862e+03 8.8098e+01 -13.4650 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis357 -9.4793e+02 8.8072e+01 -10.7632 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis358 -8.4987e+02 8.8039e+01 -9.6533 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis359 -7.3055e+02 8.8018e+01 -8.3000 1.523e-15 ***
iis360 -7.9671e+02 8.7956e+01 -9.0581 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis361 -5.5346e+02 8.8000e+01 -6.2893 8.181e-10 ***
iis362 -6.6502e+02 8.7950e+01 -7.5613 2.641e-13 ***
iis364 1.2786e+03 8.7989e+01 14.5315 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis365 1.7294e+03 8.8071e+01 19.6362 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis366 1.2628e+03 8.8060e+01 14.3399 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis367 7.4509e+02 8.7975e+01 8.4694 4.454e-16 ***
iis368 7.7637e+02 8.7985e+01 8.8238 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis369 5.3267e+02 8.7927e+01 6.0581 3.120e-09 ***
iis370 5.9122e+02 8.8042e+01 6.7152 6.283e-11 ***
iis371 7.6158e+02 8.7848e+01 8.6694 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis372 7.2480e+02 8.7857e+01 8.2497 2.186e-15 ***
iis388 4.5656e+02 8.0180e+01 5.6942 2.366e-08 ***
iis389 6.4368e+02 7.8214e+01 8.2298 2.522e-15 ***
iis390 6.5093e+02 7.7780e+01 8.3689 9.254e-16 ***
iis391 6.8753e+02 7.7700e+01 8.8485 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis392 8.7095e+02 7.7847e+01 11.1879 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis393 4.4262e+02 7.8548e+01 5.6350 3.259e-08 ***
iis395 3.0558e+02 8.1046e+01 3.7704 0.0001869 ***
iis398 -2.3694e+02 8.7341e+01 -2.7129 0.0069516 **
iis511 4.7411e+02 8.5083e+01 5.5724 4.560e-08 ***
iis512 8.8056e+02 8.4659e+01 10.4012 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis513 1.1813e+03 8.4288e+01 14.0152 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis514 1.3161e+03 8.4048e+01 15.6586 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis515 1.2227e+03 8.3913e+01 14.5708 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis516 1.1104e+03 8.3731e+01 13.2617 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis517 1.1152e+03 8.3467e+01 13.3610 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis518 5.2781e+02 8.3323e+01 6.3345 6.272e-10 ***
iis519 4.5239e+02 8.3090e+01 5.4446 8.961e-08 ***
iis520 2.9712e+02 8.3101e+01 3.5755 0.0003913 ***
fesisAUS.2009 -1.0154e+02 2.9187e+01 -3.4790 0.0005573 ***
fesisCHN.2017 7.2569e+02 6.5160e+01 11.1371 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 9.3831e+02 4.1631e+01 22.5384 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -1.5202e+02 4.5170e+01 -3.3656 0.0008357 ***
fesisKOR.1999 -2.5788e+02 8.1039e+01 -3.1821 0.0015734 **
fesisKOR.2000 -2.4439e+02 8.8744e+01 -2.7538 0.0061523 **
fesisKOR.2002 -2.1671e+02 6.4973e+01 -3.3354 0.0009292 ***
fesisKOR.2006 -1.8499e+02 6.8654e+01 -2.6946 0.0073374 **
fesisNOR.2008 -7.6945e+01 2.9058e+01 -2.6479 0.0084110 **
fesisRUS.2007 -1.2582e+02 2.9517e+01 -4.2627 2.509e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2000 4.8505e+02 4.4615e+01 10.8718 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2007 4.5509e+02 5.7315e+01 7.9402 1.958e-14 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 99.164 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 53.020 1 3.301e-13 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 69.90615
R-squared 0.99528
Log-lik.(n=523) -2906.86618 1
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:02:46 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 502
Sample: 1 to 502
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.3865e-01 7.8737e-03 119.2130 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 3.3205e-13 4.7477e-14 6.9939 1.035e-11 ***
pop 1.2350e-06 1.9599e-07 6.3014 7.341e-10 ***
idAUT 1.8884e+01 1.2066e+01 1.5650 0.1183251
idBEL 9.6147e+00 1.1960e+01 0.8039 0.4219054
idCAN -5.6989e+00 1.1985e+01 -0.4755 0.6346713
idCHE 1.7230e+01 1.2101e+01 1.4238 0.1552245
idCHN -1.5282e+03 2.5182e+02 -6.0684 2.847e-09 ***
idDEU 7.3310e+00 1.8985e+01 0.3861 0.6995841
idDNK 3.1748e+01 1.2282e+01 2.5850 0.0100674 *
idESP -2.7321e+01 1.2594e+01 -2.1694 0.0306048 *
idFIN 1.6301e+01 1.2183e+01 1.3380 0.1815915
idFRA -2.4534e+01 1.4118e+01 -1.7377 0.0829752 .
idGBR -3.0762e+01 1.3978e+01 -2.2007 0.0282888 *
idISR 1.4975e+01 1.2389e+01 1.2087 0.2274492
idITA -4.1932e+01 1.3802e+01 -3.0382 0.0025261 **
idJPN -1.2265e+02 3.9480e+01 -3.1068 0.0020173 **
idKOR -2.7194e+02 5.1893e+01 -5.2405 2.520e-07 ***
idNLD 8.6015e+00 1.1840e+01 0.7265 0.4679582
idNOR 1.6496e+01 1.2200e+01 1.3521 0.1770507
idRUS -1.7845e+02 2.7502e+01 -6.4888 2.397e-10 ***
idSWE 1.2449e+01 1.2022e+01 1.0356 0.3009930
idUSA -1.6316e+02 5.1587e+01 -3.1628 0.0016738 **
time1996 -3.0343e+01 1.2711e+01 -2.3870 0.0174176 *
time1997 -2.7081e+01 1.2742e+01 -2.1253 0.0341331 *
time1998 -1.8337e+01 1.2617e+01 -1.4533 0.1468743
time1999 -1.9958e+01 1.2685e+01 -1.5734 0.1163627
time2000 -1.7426e+01 1.2686e+01 -1.3736 0.1702809
time2001 -1.8833e+01 1.2714e+01 -1.4813 0.1392584
time2002 -3.1840e+01 1.2726e+01 -2.5019 0.0127243 *
time2003 -2.7364e+01 1.2753e+01 -2.1458 0.0324547 *
time2004 -9.9195e+00 1.2777e+01 -0.7764 0.4379633
time2005 -2.3528e+00 1.2781e+01 -0.1841 0.8540324
time2006 -1.8038e+01 1.2912e+01 -1.3969 0.1631535
time2007 9.4033e+00 1.3011e+01 0.7227 0.4702334
time2008 4.2081e+00 1.3141e+01 0.3202 0.7489517
time2009 6.1604e+00 1.3304e+01 0.4630 0.6435655
time2010 9.2178e+00 1.3172e+01 0.6998 0.4844363
time2011 -1.0321e+01 1.3071e+01 -0.7896 0.4302227
time2012 -4.5556e+01 1.3120e+01 -3.4723 0.0005684 ***
time2013 -4.6196e+01 1.3460e+01 -3.4321 0.0006572 ***
time2014 -3.7706e+01 1.3180e+01 -2.8609 0.0044317 **
time2015 -4.8491e+01 1.3077e+01 -3.7081 0.0002363 ***
time2016 -2.2008e+01 1.3132e+01 -1.6759 0.0944827 .
time2017 -2.3236e+00 1.3038e+01 -0.1782 0.8586339
time2018 -1.1771e+01 1.3048e+01 -0.9021 0.3675217
time2019 -4.4186e+01 1.3368e+01 -3.3052 0.0010288 **
iis141 3.5586e+02 4.5172e+01 7.8780 2.774e-14 ***
iis142 3.3712e+02 4.5557e+01 7.4000 7.270e-13 ***
iis143 3.4023e+02 4.6098e+01 7.3805 8.282e-13 ***
iis162 -3.6659e+02 4.4993e+01 -8.1478 4.114e-15 ***
iis347 -2.0604e+02 4.3670e+01 -4.7181 3.229e-06 ***
iis348 5.4126e+02 4.3769e+01 12.3661 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis349 1.2486e+03 4.3670e+01 28.5911 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis350 4.5634e+02 4.5148e+01 10.1075 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis351 -3.9519e+02 4.6074e+01 -8.5771 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis352 -4.7013e+02 4.5211e+01 -10.3984 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis358 -7.8747e+02 4.4370e+01 -17.7478 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis372 3.9793e+02 4.4849e+01 8.8727 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis373 3.2230e+02 4.5930e+01 7.0174 8.901e-12 ***
iis376 1.9127e+02 4.8427e+01 3.9497 9.148e-05 ***
iis379 4.4855e+02 4.8603e+01 9.2289 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis489 3.0993e+02 4.3351e+01 7.1493 3.794e-12 ***
iis490 4.0104e+02 4.3449e+01 9.2301 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis491 4.1912e+02 4.3832e+01 9.5618 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis492 3.4051e+02 4.4442e+01 7.6620 1.236e-13 ***
iis497 -4.0733e+02 4.6334e+01 -8.7911 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 2.2431e+02 2.3505e+01 9.5431 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -2.5427e+02 2.4586e+01 -10.3424 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.1999 3.0562e+02 3.8385e+01 7.9619 1.540e-14 ***
fesisJPN.2001 -2.2157e+02 3.4227e+01 -6.4737 2.625e-10 ***
fesisKOR.2014 -4.0361e+02 4.0071e+01 -10.0724 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2016 1.5222e+02 3.9135e+01 3.8896 0.0001164 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -1.5736e+02 2.2929e+01 -6.8627 2.380e-11 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.3070 1 0.128796
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 8.3013 1 0.003962 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 40.8487
R-squared 0.9983
Log-lik.(n=502) -2537.6642 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:02:45 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 502
Sample: 1 to 502
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.0558e-01 1.1986e-02 75.5550 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 1.5254e-14 1.1351e-13 0.1344 0.8931626
pop 1.3424e-06 2.0993e-07 6.3947 4.272e-10 ***
idAUT 1.9890e+01 1.2008e+01 1.6563 0.0983977 .
idBEL 9.3462e+00 1.1891e+01 0.7860 0.4323120
idCAN -3.3415e+00 1.1959e+01 -0.2794 0.7800588
idCHE 1.8781e+01 1.2049e+01 1.5588 0.1197988
idCHN -1.6505e+03 2.6859e+02 -6.1453 1.849e-09 ***
idDEU 8.1644e+00 2.0355e+01 0.4011 0.6885517
idDNK 3.6464e+01 1.2276e+01 2.9702 0.0031459 **
idESP -2.9356e+01 1.2624e+01 -2.3255 0.0205173 *
idFIN 1.6562e+01 1.2146e+01 1.3636 0.1734069
idFRA -2.0560e+01 1.4549e+01 -1.4132 0.1583355
idGBR -2.9123e+01 1.4301e+01 -2.0363 0.0423392 *
idISR 1.5679e+01 1.2338e+01 1.2709 0.2044749
idITA -4.4354e+01 1.4004e+01 -3.1673 0.0016503 **
idJPN 4.9838e+01 6.0144e+01 0.8287 0.4077702
idKOR -1.6753e+01 9.7764e+01 -0.1714 0.8640186
idNLD 9.7184e+00 1.1752e+01 0.8270 0.4087219
idNOR 1.7373e+01 1.2180e+01 1.4263 0.1545092
idRUS -1.7104e+02 2.9002e+01 -5.8976 7.569e-09 ***
idSWE 1.4288e+01 1.1969e+01 1.1938 0.2332379
idUSA -1.6364e+02 5.5835e+01 -2.9308 0.0035641 **
time1996 -3.4554e+01 1.2702e+01 -2.7202 0.0067928 **
time1997 -3.0262e+01 1.2721e+01 -2.3789 0.0178075 *
time1998 -2.1763e+01 1.2618e+01 -1.7247 0.0853087 .
time1999 -2.2060e+01 1.2665e+01 -1.7418 0.0822729 .
time2000 -1.7023e+01 1.2658e+01 -1.3448 0.1794084
time2001 -1.8930e+01 1.2690e+01 -1.4917 0.1365225
time2002 -3.0010e+01 1.2707e+01 -2.3617 0.0186427 *
time2003 -3.1593e+01 1.2815e+01 -2.4652 0.0140896 *
time2004 -1.2531e+01 1.2811e+01 -0.9782 0.3285523
time2005 -2.8712e+00 1.2805e+01 -0.2242 0.8226884
time2006 -2.6115e+01 1.2998e+01 -2.0093 0.0451455 *
time2007 7.6776e+00 1.3124e+01 0.5850 0.5588707
time2008 1.1908e+01 1.3166e+01 0.9044 0.3662878
time2009 1.3385e+01 1.3355e+01 1.0022 0.3168076
time2010 1.6799e+01 1.3256e+01 1.2673 0.2057523
time2011 -3.0354e+00 1.3247e+01 -0.2291 0.8188779
time2012 -4.9421e+01 1.3317e+01 -3.7112 0.0002339 ***
time2013 -4.2384e+01 1.3575e+01 -3.1222 0.0019189 **
time2014 -3.1302e+01 1.3371e+01 -2.3410 0.0196951 *
time2015 -4.2003e+01 1.3232e+01 -3.1743 0.0016118 **
time2016 -1.7815e+01 1.3193e+01 -1.3503 0.1776425
time2017 -1.0195e+01 1.3263e+01 -0.7687 0.4425052
time2018 -7.1380e+00 1.3117e+01 -0.5442 0.5866081
time2019 -4.5120e+01 1.3277e+01 -3.3984 0.0007422 ***
iis141 2.4394e+02 6.0977e+01 4.0005 7.463e-05 ***
iis142 2.5384e+02 5.9657e+01 4.2550 2.578e-05 ***
iis143 2.6073e+02 5.9018e+01 4.4178 1.269e-05 ***
iis156 1.3984e+02 4.5435e+01 3.0779 0.0022204 **
iis162 -3.6161e+02 4.5462e+01 -7.9542 1.673e-14 ***
iis347 -2.0181e+02 4.3453e+01 -4.6443 4.565e-06 ***
iis348 5.3361e+02 4.3632e+01 12.2298 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis349 1.2686e+03 4.3695e+01 29.0335 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis350 5.2078e+02 4.7867e+01 10.8798 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis351 -3.0285e+02 5.0082e+01 -6.0470 3.251e-09 ***
iis352 -3.9781e+02 4.7732e+01 -8.3342 1.110e-15 ***
iis356 2.2287e+02 4.5156e+01 4.9356 1.152e-06 ***
iis358 -7.1859e+02 4.5740e+01 -15.7103 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis372 2.8228e+02 5.4490e+01 5.1805 3.436e-07 ***
iis373 2.5390e+02 5.1651e+01 4.9157 1.269e-06 ***
iis376 1.9540e+02 5.1475e+01 3.7960 0.0001686 ***
iis379 3.9905e+02 4.9323e+01 8.0906 6.378e-15 ***
iis489 2.4604e+02 5.0393e+01 4.8824 1.489e-06 ***
iis490 3.4398e+02 4.8950e+01 7.0272 8.509e-12 ***
iis491 3.6894e+02 4.7518e+01 7.7642 6.278e-14 ***
iis492 3.0652e+02 4.6769e+01 6.5539 1.638e-10 ***
iis497 -3.8677e+02 4.6379e+01 -8.3394 1.068e-15 ***
fesisCHN.2016 1.3932e+02 5.0536e+01 2.7569 0.0060882 **
fesisDEU.2006 1.7757e+02 2.4234e+01 7.3274 1.203e-12 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -1.5975e+02 2.4143e+01 -6.6167 1.116e-10 ***
fesisJPN.1999 3.1854e+02 3.8273e+01 8.3228 1.205e-15 ***
fesisJPN.2001 -1.7073e+02 3.6578e+01 -4.6676 4.100e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2003 1.4900e+02 4.3753e+01 3.4055 0.0007236 ***
fesisKOR.2009 1.5824e+02 4.8372e+01 3.2714 0.0011580 **
fesisKOR.2014 -3.7392e+02 4.4227e+01 -8.4547 4.606e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2016 2.1345e+02 4.2720e+01 4.9965 8.567e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2006 9.8189e+01 3.6749e+01 2.6719 0.0078341 **
fesisUSA.2014 -1.9795e+02 2.9857e+01 -6.6302 1.028e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 7.7002 1 0.005521 **
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 16.9603 1 3.817e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 40.51248
R-squared 0.99835
Log-lik.(n=502) -2530.51541 Count Ma
0
0.01
Formula: count_ma~ gdp_ma + pop_ma
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:04:02 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 523
Sample: 1 to 523
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp_ma 1.19638 0.42663 2.8043 0.0052580 **
pop_ma 4.42850 1.80900 2.4480 0.0147384 *
idAUT 9.53275 3.26332 2.9212 0.0036598 **
idBEL 10.10187 3.25848 3.1002 0.0020536 **
idCAN 1.87798 2.78766 0.6737 0.5008565
idCHE 1.46153 2.95016 0.4954 0.6205508
idCHN 17.96739 3.92067 4.5827 5.930e-06 ***
idDEU 7.66581 3.70802 2.0674 0.0392625 *
idDNK 13.38047 3.40831 3.9258 9.975e-05 ***
idESP 11.07904 3.90752 2.8353 0.0047812 **
idFIN -7.19090 4.78016 -1.5043 0.1331888
idFRA 6.64284 3.22912 2.0572 0.0402370 *
idGBR 4.72489 3.13620 1.5066 0.1326135
idISR -3.55977 4.24765 -0.8381 0.4024369
idITA 9.12975 3.65516 2.4978 0.0128482 *
idJPN 7.81743 3.81254 2.0505 0.0408904 *
idKOR 15.77290 3.10725 5.0762 5.615e-07 ***
idNLD 7.60451 3.21710 2.3638 0.0185070 *
idNOR 48.00518 6.11187 7.8544 2.893e-14 ***
idRUS 27.53746 6.34461 4.3403 1.753e-05 ***
idSWE 1.18728 3.05058 0.3892 0.6973114
idUSA 2.13080 2.86046 0.7449 0.4567061
time1995 -1.61578 4.16021 -0.3884 0.6979080
time1996 -0.74308 4.23286 -0.1756 0.8607242
time1997 1.53331 4.18727 0.3662 0.7143978
time1998 5.71246 4.21391 1.3556 0.1758896
time1999 6.19293 4.27374 1.4491 0.1480051
time2000 6.08755 4.18852 1.4534 0.1468026
time2001 -0.65000 4.11216 -0.1581 0.8744728
time2002 -0.26985 3.97153 -0.0679 0.9458577
time2003 0.57549 4.04205 0.1424 0.8868454
time2004 5.08269 4.05312 1.2540 0.2104759
time2005 5.93604 4.20171 1.4128 0.1584047
time2006 8.92074 4.26500 2.0916 0.0370242 *
time2007 10.90787 4.31156 2.5299 0.0117441 *
time2008 12.89530 4.04777 3.1858 0.0015425 **
time2009 6.86351 4.01137 1.7110 0.0877568 .
time2010 1.65657 3.93281 0.4212 0.6737935
time2011 -7.56294 4.04995 -1.8674 0.0624839 .
time2012 -15.22958 3.96840 -3.8377 0.0001417 ***
time2013 -18.64094 3.99439 -4.6668 4.026e-06 ***
time2014 -20.35804 4.03886 -5.0405 6.702e-07 ***
time2015 -15.48267 4.10639 -3.7704 0.0001844 ***
time2016 -9.32009 4.11347 -2.2657 0.0239340 *
time2017 -6.31810 4.08976 -1.5449 0.1230727
time2018 -11.24745 4.00518 -2.8082 0.0051949 **
time2019 -6.88276 3.71392 -1.8532 0.0644932 .
iis52 66.75732 9.99253 6.6807 6.930e-11 ***
iis53 73.38919 9.97376 7.3582 8.718e-13 ***
iis54 89.92035 9.95511 9.0326 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis126 81.25130 10.01664 8.1116 4.644e-15 ***
iis127 118.06716 10.01846 11.7850 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis177 -29.08081 10.00174 -2.9076 0.0038197 **
iis178 82.60809 9.97743 8.2795 1.376e-15 ***
iis179 77.05900 9.95960 7.7372 6.567e-14 ***
iis180 88.55285 9.94687 8.9026 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis451 33.01933 10.89637 3.0303 0.0025817 **
fesisESP.2004 34.59911 6.73289 5.1388 4.104e-07 ***
fesisESP.2007 -39.90226 6.74596 -5.9150 6.510e-09 ***
fesisFIN.2001 17.63622 4.65112 3.7918 0.0001696 ***
fesisISR.2005 39.88140 6.68439 5.9663 4.868e-09 ***
fesisISR.2008 -42.82181 6.28298 -6.8155 2.978e-11 ***
fesisNOR.1998 -38.91558 6.37497 -6.1044 2.205e-09 ***
fesisNOR.2010 -16.69033 5.23454 -3.1885 0.0015284 **
fesisNOR.2015 29.50154 6.18495 4.7699 2.483e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2000 -21.48522 5.93990 -3.6171 0.0003311 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 57.854 1 2.820e-14 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 24.881 1 6.099e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 9.47399
R-squared 0.80624
Log-lik.(n=523) -1885.09658 0.05
Formula: count_ma~ gdp_ma + pop_ma
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:04:01 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 523
Sample: 1 to 523
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp_ma 0.93150 0.42760 2.1784 0.0298967 *
pop_ma 4.20836 1.67457 2.5131 0.0123192 *
idAUT -0.22889 5.12805 -0.0446 0.9644175
idBEL -9.99135 9.13068 -1.0943 0.2744309
idCAN 1.58946 2.50870 0.6336 0.5266791
idCHE 0.98149 2.66955 0.3677 0.7132993
idCHN 19.51134 3.69554 5.2797 2.025e-07 ***
idDEU 6.89746 3.39135 2.0338 0.0425589 *
idDNK 9.50176 4.36390 2.1774 0.0299777 *
idESP 10.35287 3.51884 2.9421 0.0034295 **
idFIN -8.22988 4.31908 -1.9055 0.0573614 .
idFRA 2.22977 3.29847 0.6760 0.4993912
idGBR 4.21219 2.84483 1.4806 0.1394064
idISR -4.86988 2.80153 -1.7383 0.0828491 .
idITA 8.17931 3.35652 2.4368 0.0152061 *
idJPN 6.89299 3.49900 1.9700 0.0494580 *
idKOR 18.23636 3.75668 4.8544 1.673e-06 ***
idNLD 7.09223 2.92038 2.4285 0.0155544 *
idNOR 46.07503 5.50569 8.3686 7.571e-16 ***
idRUS 12.20905 7.79494 1.5663 0.1179928
idSWE 0.84158 2.75785 0.3052 0.7603881
idUSA 1.82433 2.57768 0.7077 0.4794761
time1995 2.33808 3.92455 0.5958 0.5516400
time1996 2.23430 3.94619 0.5662 0.5715484
time1997 4.42704 3.81534 1.1603 0.2465373
time1998 6.87622 3.88059 1.7720 0.0770850 .
time1999 6.88485 3.93002 1.7519 0.0804847 .
time2000 8.62241 3.87452 2.2254 0.0265526 *
time2001 0.71734 3.77674 0.1899 0.8494450
time2002 0.84887 3.63215 0.2337 0.8153178
time2003 0.52796 3.74216 0.1411 0.8878678
time2004 5.06855 3.75922 1.3483 0.1782466
time2005 7.84338 3.92074 2.0005 0.0460535 *
time2006 9.42078 3.99688 2.3570 0.0188528 *
time2007 11.22571 4.05177 2.7706 0.0058296 **
time2008 12.86195 3.74202 3.4372 0.0006429 ***
time2009 8.50611 3.68522 2.3082 0.0214464 *
time2010 2.23183 3.60488 0.6191 0.5361568
time2011 -6.64113 3.74964 -1.7711 0.0772202 .
time2012 -14.48082 3.65492 -3.9620 8.651e-05 ***
time2013 -17.92779 3.67458 -4.8789 1.488e-06 ***
time2014 -19.56727 3.72347 -5.2551 2.298e-07 ***
time2015 -14.61089 3.79404 -3.8510 0.0001348 ***
time2016 -8.39501 3.80710 -2.2051 0.0279570 *
time2017 -5.37490 3.78818 -1.4189 0.1566383
time2018 -10.34688 3.70666 -2.7914 0.0054729 **
time2019 -6.58687 3.38221 -1.9475 0.0521015 .
iis52 63.96633 8.98346 7.1205 4.334e-12 ***
iis53 70.64481 8.95007 7.8932 2.304e-14 ***
iis54 89.10454 8.94313 9.9635 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis126 78.98867 9.01249 8.7644 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis127 116.43757 8.99926 12.9386 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis177 -27.25767 9.46603 -2.8795 0.0041744 **
iis178 84.43178 9.43456 8.9492 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis179 80.59956 9.42423 8.5524 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis180 92.60217 9.40960 9.8412 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis181 -20.35411 9.40413 -2.1644 0.0309652 *
iis309 37.49005 8.93593 4.1954 3.288e-05 ***
iis310 32.71183 8.94169 3.6583 0.0002842 ***
iis311 55.81004 8.95367 6.2332 1.060e-09 ***
fesisAUT.1999 10.92914 4.81575 2.2695 0.0237172 *
fesisBEL.1996 20.61653 8.97115 2.2981 0.0220185 *
fesisDNK.2006 35.12961 6.18386 5.6809 2.422e-08 ***
fesisDNK.2009 -36.44830 5.71322 -6.3796 4.449e-10 ***
fesisESP.2004 35.85304 6.05148 5.9247 6.263e-09 ***
fesisESP.2007 -40.92789 6.08966 -6.7209 5.534e-11 ***
fesisFIN.2001 18.36598 4.21919 4.3530 1.667e-05 ***
fesisFRA.2008 7.89045 3.53673 2.2310 0.0261777 *
fesisKOR.2003 27.03968 6.94282 3.8946 0.0001134 ***
fesisKOR.2005 -34.47728 6.57057 -5.2472 2.392e-07 ***
fesisNOR.1998 -37.19738 5.74024 -6.4801 2.430e-10 ***
fesisNOR.2010 -16.60063 4.70743 -3.5265 0.0004647 ***
fesisNOR.2015 29.36987 5.54672 5.2950 1.872e-07 ***
fesisRUS.1997 31.97936 8.26460 3.8694 0.0001254 ***
fesisRUS.2000 -36.30060 6.66408 -5.4472 8.474e-08 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -21.03472 6.09602 -3.4506 0.0006127 ***
fesisRUS.2010 23.84964 5.82384 4.0952 5.010e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 33.5778 1 6.847e-09 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.1203 1 0.1454
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 8.49211
R-squared 0.84807
Log-lik.(n=523) -1822.37364 1
0.01
Formula: count_ma~ gdp_ma + pop_ma
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:04:00 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 502
Sample: 1 to 502
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.43034 0.03688 11.6688 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp_ma 0.26795 0.38005 0.7051 0.4811502
pop_ma 2.70732 1.58645 1.7065 0.0886191 .
idAUT 3.64833 3.04942 1.1964 0.2321877
idBEL 7.36712 3.06769 2.4015 0.0167429 *
idCAN 0.74300 2.62337 0.2832 0.7771405
idCHE 0.83056 2.74833 0.3022 0.7626385
idCHN 12.38505 3.70306 3.3445 0.0008951 ***
idDEU 4.10909 3.41165 1.2044 0.2290742
idDNK 6.41461 3.27179 1.9606 0.0505610 .
idESP 5.19996 2.90731 1.7886 0.0743728 .
idFIN 3.96670 3.11237 1.2745 0.2031631
idFRA 3.46021 2.99466 1.1555 0.2485318
idGBR 2.60881 2.90832 0.8970 0.3702034
idISR -2.93250 2.83986 -1.0326 0.3023509
idITA 4.44051 3.36355 1.3202 0.1874631
idJPN 3.44976 3.50675 0.9838 0.3257814
idKOR 8.72879 2.96585 2.9431 0.0034222 **
idNLD 2.88053 2.99802 0.9608 0.3371778
idNOR 5.52347 2.76873 1.9949 0.0466682 *
idRUS 4.66755 3.56353 1.3098 0.1909462
idSWE 0.38384 2.83502 0.1354 0.8923638
idUSA 1.32453 2.69135 0.4921 0.6228652
time1996 2.49175 3.80103 0.6555 0.5124601
time1997 4.12663 3.84176 1.0742 0.2833465
time1998 5.42915 3.78734 1.4335 0.1524292
time1999 7.13062 3.87527 1.8400 0.0664402 .
time2000 3.72190 3.88370 0.9583 0.3384211
time2001 -1.69433 3.73642 -0.4535 0.6504403
time2002 0.64443 3.60945 0.1785 0.8583822
time2003 2.21916 3.67114 0.6045 0.5458324
time2004 6.07964 3.68490 1.6499 0.0996844 .
time2005 6.88957 3.86809 1.7811 0.0755843 .
time2006 8.28041 3.92679 2.1087 0.0355378 *
time2007 6.45180 3.90648 1.6516 0.0993401 .
time2008 6.55004 3.66425 1.7876 0.0745398 .
time2009 1.41006 3.62264 0.3892 0.6972908
time2010 -1.66443 3.55929 -0.4676 0.6402826
time2011 -7.16288 3.66157 -1.9562 0.0510731 .
time2012 -12.08831 3.60510 -3.3531 0.0008685 ***
time2013 -11.96060 3.66940 -3.2595 0.0012029 **
time2014 -11.91441 3.73460 -3.1903 0.0015235 **
time2015 -4.79197 3.78411 -1.2663 0.2060638
time2016 -1.31714 3.74405 -0.3518 0.7251600
time2017 -1.00909 3.69342 -0.2732 0.7848185
time2018 -7.42371 3.61137 -2.0556 0.0404087 *
time2019 -2.94839 3.36838 -0.8753 0.3818835
iis29 32.15972 9.18762 3.5003 0.0005123 ***
iis49 70.88590 9.27742 7.6407 1.374e-13 ***
iis50 41.63992 9.55512 4.3579 1.638e-05 ***
iis51 57.99093 9.56680 6.0617 2.909e-09 ***
iis52 -63.84197 9.80628 -6.5103 2.058e-10 ***
iis121 81.64691 9.69956 8.4176 5.518e-16 ***
iis122 -46.06576 10.20324 -4.5148 8.156e-06 ***
iis169 -27.44821 9.27366 -2.9598 0.0032454 **
iis170 94.88955 9.35544 10.1427 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis171 43.29165 9.68682 4.4691 1.001e-05 ***
iis172 54.39936 9.66385 5.6292 3.239e-08 ***
iis173 -58.90627 9.80046 -6.0106 3.897e-09 ***
iis179 41.29813 9.22748 4.4756 9.729e-06 ***
iis201 42.35389 9.36857 4.5209 7.937e-06 ***
iis296 36.20090 9.21002 3.9306 9.845e-05 ***
iis298 43.24822 9.26172 4.6696 4.020e-06 ***
iis432 47.86392 9.59051 4.9908 8.694e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.090229 1 0.7639
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 26.518640 1 2.61e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 8.76086
R-squared 0.82807
Log-lik.(n=502) -1769.79468 0.05
Formula: count_ma~ gdp_ma + pop_ma
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:04:01 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 502
Sample: 1 to 502
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.434290 0.035683 12.1709 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp_ma 0.450167 0.368022 1.2232 0.2219202
pop_ma 1.172820 1.528371 0.7674 0.4432838
idAUT 2.458006 2.831209 0.8682 0.3857775
idBEL 7.572500 2.872451 2.6363 0.0086854 **
idCAN 0.284801 2.406388 0.1184 0.9058439
idCHE 0.144217 2.532961 0.0569 0.9546224
idCHN 9.800675 3.523506 2.7815 0.0056480 **
idDEU 2.346880 3.193140 0.7350 0.4627541
idDNK 4.874238 3.039946 1.6034 0.1095797
idESP 13.366661 3.288266 4.0650 5.711e-05 ***
idFIN 2.444263 2.896290 0.8439 0.3991773
idFRA 2.345996 2.778532 0.8443 0.3989537
idGBR 1.545687 2.692656 0.5740 0.5662416
idISR 0.167851 3.745532 0.0448 0.9642767
idITA 3.051223 3.144835 0.9702 0.3324744
idJPN 1.746964 3.287089 0.5315 0.5953723
idKOR 7.150083 2.760976 2.5897 0.0099314 **
idNLD 1.626927 2.781760 0.5849 0.5589511
idNOR 24.541415 6.399217 3.8351 0.0001443 ***
idRUS 4.951753 3.362114 1.4728 0.1415324
idSWE -0.700100 2.619568 -0.2673 0.7893986
idUSA 0.624422 2.474975 0.2523 0.8009338
time1996 1.923122 3.556429 0.5407 0.5889626
time1997 3.501231 3.591203 0.9749 0.3301337
time1998 7.563365 3.574101 2.1162 0.0349041 *
time1999 7.601678 3.641023 2.0878 0.0374037 *
time2000 6.039418 3.652588 1.6535 0.0989649 .
time2001 0.911600 3.525701 0.2586 0.7960993
time2002 1.551548 3.368104 0.4607 0.6452754
time2003 3.046991 3.430641 0.8882 0.3749450
time2004 8.674250 3.490733 2.4849 0.0133359 *
time2005 7.859768 3.616031 2.1736 0.0302797 *
time2006 7.436077 3.709007 2.0049 0.0456018 *
time2007 9.947939 3.705206 2.6849 0.0075360 **
time2008 8.729231 3.469445 2.5160 0.0122308 *
time2009 3.614499 3.426151 1.0550 0.2920284
time2010 0.405069 3.362266 0.1205 0.9041630
time2011 -5.364764 3.463388 -1.5490 0.1221174
time2012 -10.132604 3.401058 -2.9793 0.0030529 **
time2013 -9.884717 3.459827 -2.8570 0.0044837 **
time2014 -9.862990 3.521562 -2.8007 0.0053279 **
time2015 -2.776704 3.568833 -0.7780 0.4369708
time2016 0.603618 3.533501 0.1708 0.8644398
time2017 0.821645 3.488352 0.2355 0.8139019
time2018 -5.672671 3.409485 -1.6638 0.0968811 .
time2019 -0.865722 3.165229 -0.2735 0.7845923
iis29 30.862453 8.409115 3.6701 0.0002728 ***
iis49 71.142589 8.492318 8.3773 7.705e-16 ***
iis50 41.647583 8.807099 4.7289 3.064e-06 ***
iis51 55.086877 8.830091 6.2385 1.056e-09 ***
iis52 -65.163308 9.034359 -7.2128 2.482e-12 ***
iis57 -29.874352 8.428761 -3.5443 0.0004367 ***
iis121 84.137326 8.954088 9.3965 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis122 -43.537477 9.461150 -4.6017 5.519e-06 ***
iis169 -25.180050 8.484633 -2.9677 0.0031673 **
iis170 97.277432 8.555446 11.3702 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis171 42.348847 8.944487 4.7346 2.982e-06 ***
iis172 55.055154 8.880094 6.1998 1.324e-09 ***
iis173 -60.062223 9.048407 -6.6379 9.589e-11 ***
iis179 43.684990 8.435610 5.1786 3.437e-07 ***
iis198 -40.202589 8.656834 -4.6440 4.544e-06 ***
iis201 33.557325 8.750830 3.8348 0.0001444 ***
iis409 -30.287462 8.577719 -3.5309 0.0004587 ***
iis432 48.401070 8.783417 5.5105 6.168e-08 ***
iis435 -35.370732 8.578885 -4.1230 4.488e-05 ***
iis442 -28.754464 8.514187 -3.3772 0.0007986 ***
fesisESP.2007 -13.017641 3.765893 -3.4567 0.0006011 ***
fesisISR.2005 29.014650 5.810973 4.9931 8.645e-07 ***
fesisISR.2008 -34.278802 5.343882 -6.4146 3.720e-10 ***
fesisNOR.1998 -20.143785 6.335657 -3.1794 0.0015821 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.64836 1 0.42070
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 4.62517 1 0.03151 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 8.00540
R-squared 0.85874
Log-lik.(n=502) -1721.02544 Log Count
0
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:02:50 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 523
Sample: 1 to 523
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.712273 0.117380 14.5874 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -1.613487 0.317762 -5.0777 5.596e-07 ***
idAUT 0.928493 0.263899 3.5184 0.0004782 ***
idBEL 0.438703 0.200706 2.1858 0.0293429 *
idCAN 1.354907 0.156700 8.6465 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCHE 0.292939 0.293442 0.9983 0.3186763
idCHN 1.879315 1.227985 1.5304 0.1266159
idDEU 3.593361 0.421582 8.5235 2.336e-16 ***
idDNK -2.635042 0.435057 -6.0568 2.925e-09 ***
idESP 1.072767 0.269868 3.9752 8.186e-05 ***
idFIN 0.643807 0.388711 1.6563 0.0983630 .
idFRA 2.483534 0.353916 7.0173 8.319e-12 ***
idGBR 2.507038 0.351407 7.1343 3.892e-12 ***
idISR -1.331510 0.309707 -4.2993 2.101e-05 ***
idITA 1.421493 0.338540 4.1989 3.232e-05 ***
idJPN -3.575871 0.686695 -5.2074 2.915e-07 ***
idKOR -8.546525 0.701468 -12.1838 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.144292 0.104225 10.9791 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNOR -4.441183 0.501027 -8.8642 < 2.2e-16 ***
idRUS -3.708498 0.603114 -6.1489 1.717e-09 ***
idSWE -3.271614 0.319556 -10.2380 < 2.2e-16 ***
idUSA 3.320851 0.778778 4.2642 2.444e-05 ***
time1995 -17.416814 4.867799 -3.5780 0.0003837 ***
time1996 -17.216500 4.869390 -3.5357 0.0004487 ***
time1997 -17.186291 4.869086 -3.5297 0.0004587 ***
time1998 -17.101126 4.870967 -3.5108 0.0004916 ***
time1999 -16.940256 4.873477 -3.4760 0.0005581 ***
time2000 -16.857667 4.876460 -3.4569 0.0005980 ***
time2001 -16.743234 4.878534 -3.4320 0.0006542 ***
time2002 -16.733934 4.879491 -3.4294 0.0006603 ***
time2003 -16.667484 4.881253 -3.4146 0.0006964 ***
time2004 -16.598064 4.883345 -3.3989 0.0007365 ***
time2005 -16.506840 4.885017 -3.3791 0.0007903 ***
time2006 -16.378362 4.888122 -3.3506 0.0008738 ***
time2007 -16.157623 4.891466 -3.3032 0.0010317 **
time2008 -15.981085 4.893779 -3.2656 0.0011754 **
time2009 -15.746692 4.893562 -3.2178 0.0013845 **
time2010 -15.685243 4.895991 -3.2037 0.0014527 **
time2011 -15.679091 4.898028 -3.2011 0.0014655 **
time2012 -15.755249 4.899945 -3.2154 0.0013961 **
time2013 -15.912046 4.901978 -3.2460 0.0012572 **
time2014 -15.998753 4.904191 -3.2623 0.0011890 **
time2015 -16.129794 4.906371 -3.2875 0.0010896 **
time2016 -16.129086 4.908101 -3.2862 0.0010945 **
time2017 -16.052855 4.910317 -3.2692 0.0011608 **
time2018 -16.093537 4.912325 -3.2762 0.0011333 **
time2019 -16.227749 4.914079 -3.3023 0.0010350 **
iis52 -0.879105 0.183681 -4.7860 2.308e-06 ***
iis177 -0.553019 0.188502 -2.9338 0.0035193 **
iis178 -0.988143 0.187970 -5.2569 2.264e-07 ***
iis208 -0.526845 0.188770 -2.7909 0.0054781 **
iis226 0.774044 0.200629 3.8581 0.0001309 ***
iis452 0.665783 0.188931 3.5239 0.0004685 ***
iis474 1.235226 0.184956 6.6785 7.106e-11 ***
iis475 1.380323 0.185355 7.4469 4.881e-13 ***
iis476 1.325715 0.184795 7.1740 3.002e-12 ***
iis477 1.001056 0.184697 5.4200 9.716e-08 ***
iis478 0.874730 0.184356 4.7448 2.804e-06 ***
iis479 0.671405 0.184221 3.6446 0.0002990 ***
iis480 0.582384 0.184242 3.1610 0.0016781 **
fesisAUS.2009 -0.378315 0.079408 -4.7642 2.559e-06 ***
fesisCAN.2007 -0.325784 0.074016 -4.4015 1.343e-05 ***
fesisCHE.2003 -0.484035 0.078285 -6.1830 1.408e-09 ***
fesisCHN.2002 0.475262 0.121424 3.9141 0.0001047 ***
fesisCHN.2016 0.554247 0.122871 4.5108 8.243e-06 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.767157 0.076742 9.9966 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisESP.2005 0.861512 0.077817 11.0711 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisFIN.2000 -0.307657 0.099663 -3.0870 0.0021463 **
fesisITA.2006 0.377182 0.076285 4.9444 1.079e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.853335 0.083492 10.2206 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.881849 0.087796 -10.0442 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 53.457 1 2.643e-13 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 31.142 1 2.398e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.17457
R-squared 0.98855
Log-lik.(n=523) 206.26510 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:02:54 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 523
Sample: 1 to 523
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.643099 0.116652 14.0854 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.693598 0.371469 -1.8672 0.0625700 .
idAUT 1.635677 0.308313 5.3052 1.821e-07 ***
idBEL 0.545772 0.276879 1.9712 0.0493588 *
idCAN 0.935150 0.178176 5.2485 2.435e-07 ***
idCHE 1.135162 0.345907 3.2817 0.0011176 **
idCHN -1.718550 1.463237 -1.1745 0.2408632
idDEU 2.345422 0.500677 4.6845 3.791e-06 ***
idDNK -1.879006 0.508770 -3.6932 0.0002505 ***
idESP 0.353769 0.305327 1.1587 0.2472522
idFIN 1.712095 0.456807 3.7480 0.0002031 ***
idFRA 1.354812 0.417734 3.2432 0.0012757 **
idGBR 1.487030 0.412839 3.6020 0.0003534 ***
idISR -0.343831 0.385591 -0.8917 0.3730629
idITA 0.442250 0.396316 1.1159 0.2650983
idJPN -4.866577 0.761888 -6.3875 4.459e-10 ***
idKOR -8.887739 0.711080 -12.4989 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.274676 0.106257 11.9961 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNOR -2.981897 0.577428 -5.1641 3.731e-07 ***
idRUS -6.092315 0.691003 -8.8166 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE -2.494025 0.351098 -7.1035 5.206e-12 ***
idUSA 1.001347 0.932972 1.0733 0.2837552
time1995 -30.830177 5.779372 -5.3345 1.566e-07 ***
time1996 -30.701164 5.781619 -5.3101 1.776e-07 ***
time1997 -30.675337 5.781773 -5.3055 1.818e-07 ***
time1998 -30.606492 5.784327 -5.2913 1.956e-07 ***
time1999 -30.467282 5.786875 -5.2649 2.239e-07 ***
time2000 -30.379516 5.790118 -5.2468 2.455e-07 ***
time2001 -30.257817 5.792598 -5.2235 2.763e-07 ***
time2002 -30.263117 5.793992 -5.2232 2.768e-07 ***
time2003 -30.221976 5.795690 -5.2146 2.892e-07 ***
time2004 -30.096706 5.798317 -5.1906 3.265e-07 ***
time2005 -30.029294 5.800000 -5.1775 3.488e-07 ***
time2006 -29.896785 5.803313 -5.1517 3.971e-07 ***
time2007 -29.676948 5.805971 -5.1115 4.856e-07 ***
time2008 -29.543563 5.807707 -5.0870 5.485e-07 ***
time2009 -29.282645 5.808660 -5.0412 6.879e-07 ***
time2010 -29.230974 5.811365 -5.0300 7.270e-07 ***
time2011 -29.213687 5.810826 -5.0275 7.360e-07 ***
time2012 -29.297720 5.813188 -5.0399 6.924e-07 ***
time2013 -29.460423 5.814599 -5.0666 6.067e-07 ***
time2014 -29.555310 5.817171 -5.0807 5.658e-07 ***
time2015 -29.694073 5.819662 -5.1024 5.081e-07 ***
time2016 -29.712060 5.821706 -5.1037 5.048e-07 ***
time2017 -29.630457 5.824171 -5.0875 5.471e-07 ***
time2018 -29.686023 5.826437 -5.0951 5.269e-07 ***
time2019 -29.818926 5.828444 -5.1161 4.745e-07 ***
iis52 -0.516953 0.231713 -2.2310 0.0262051 *
iis127 -0.505287 0.177201 -2.8515 0.0045652 **
iis178 -0.550644 0.200181 -2.7507 0.0062022 **
iis188 0.597510 0.171747 3.4790 0.0005556 ***
iis189 0.819721 0.172017 4.7653 2.598e-06 ***
iis190 0.728533 0.171917 4.2377 2.775e-05 ***
iis191 0.853472 0.172005 4.9619 1.014e-06 ***
iis192 0.815039 0.172066 4.7368 2.971e-06 ***
iis193 0.582773 0.172212 3.3840 0.0007811 ***
iis194 0.543692 0.172318 3.1552 0.0017189 **
iis195 0.610668 0.172347 3.5433 0.0004394 ***
iis196 0.670419 0.172324 3.8904 0.0001162 ***
iis197 0.909597 0.172185 5.2827 2.044e-07 ***
iis198 0.712121 0.172180 4.1359 4.268e-05 ***
iis199 0.944335 0.172196 5.4841 7.173e-08 ***
iis200 0.843041 0.172221 4.8951 1.401e-06 ***
iis208 -0.506455 0.171893 -2.9463 0.0033937 **
iis226 0.684449 0.183364 3.7327 0.0002154 ***
iis312 0.555800 0.170496 3.2599 0.0012048 **
iis374 -0.495521 0.175621 -2.8215 0.0050052 **
iis449 0.560869 0.182381 3.0753 0.0022399 **
iis450 0.869500 0.183483 4.7388 2.942e-06 ***
iis451 0.544002 0.183234 2.9689 0.0031591 **
iis452 1.420936 0.185229 7.6712 1.190e-13 ***
iis453 1.139898 0.183231 6.2211 1.190e-09 ***
iis454 0.966743 0.179987 5.3712 1.295e-07 ***
iis455 0.740699 0.178039 4.1603 3.853e-05 ***
iis456 0.970607 0.175071 5.5441 5.218e-08 ***
iis457 0.798269 0.172769 4.6204 5.094e-06 ***
iis458 0.415330 0.171527 2.4214 0.0158826 *
iis459 0.888932 0.170628 5.2098 2.963e-07 ***
iis460 0.726816 0.169799 4.2804 2.311e-05 ***
iis474 1.135812 0.169389 6.7053 6.467e-11 ***
iis475 1.351830 0.169163 7.9913 1.288e-14 ***
iis476 1.303170 0.168451 7.7362 7.617e-14 ***
iis477 0.997241 0.168055 5.9340 6.169e-09 ***
iis478 0.894736 0.167989 5.3262 1.635e-07 ***
iis479 0.687976 0.167846 4.0989 4.981e-05 ***
iis480 0.590216 0.167882 3.5157 0.0004862 ***
fesisAUS.2009 -0.476393 0.078552 -6.0647 2.939e-09 ***
fesisBEL.1997 0.395182 0.167950 2.3530 0.0190820 *
fesisCAN.2007 -0.372683 0.069481 -5.3639 1.345e-07 ***
fesisCHE.2003 -0.510340 0.072105 -7.0778 6.148e-12 ***
fesisCHN.2002 0.451839 0.118208 3.8224 0.0001521 ***
fesisCHN.2016 0.605322 0.115417 5.2446 2.482e-07 ***
fesisDNK.1998 0.489528 0.128315 3.8150 0.0001565 ***
fesisESP.2005 0.817286 0.072508 11.2716 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisFIN.2000 -0.279491 0.091126 -3.0671 0.0023006 **
fesisFRA.2012 0.288025 0.071006 4.0564 5.938e-05 ***
fesisISR.2011 -0.271718 0.091329 -2.9751 0.0030968 **
fesisITA.2006 0.389585 0.069963 5.5685 4.582e-08 ***
fesisKOR.2003 0.664357 0.085659 7.7558 6.654e-14 ***
fesisKOR.2013 0.383407 0.082822 4.6293 4.891e-06 ***
fesisNOR.2013 -0.331253 0.076453 -4.3328 1.842e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 32.115 1 1.453e-08 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 8.687 1 0.003205 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.15870
R-squared 0.99116
Log-lik.(n=523) 271.08915 1
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:03:53 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 502
Sample: 1 to 502
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.603629 0.029842 20.2274 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.881811 0.091625 9.6242 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -1.541877 0.312613 -4.9322 1.155e-06 ***
idAUT -0.062501 0.278669 -0.2243 0.8226394
idBEL -0.051066 0.208697 -0.2447 0.8068124
idCAN 0.901218 0.151283 5.9572 5.268e-09 ***
idCHE -0.700162 0.299949 -2.3343 0.0200317 *
idCHN 4.195929 1.221062 3.4363 0.0006459 ***
idDEU 2.583963 0.432286 5.9774 4.696e-09 ***
idDNK -2.751777 0.447422 -6.1503 1.741e-09 ***
idESP 1.197572 0.237408 5.0444 6.672e-07 ***
idFIN -0.637074 0.406722 -1.5664 0.1179837
idFRA 1.987675 0.350932 5.6640 2.678e-08 ***
idGBR 1.993938 0.344761 5.7835 1.391e-08 ***
idISR -1.433836 0.351892 -4.0746 5.470e-05 ***
idITA 1.611699 0.320242 5.0328 7.066e-07 ***
idJPN -0.927599 0.589395 -1.5738 0.1162503
idKOR -3.637678 0.535731 -6.7901 3.651e-11 ***
idNLD 0.459203 0.102941 4.4608 1.039e-05 ***
idNOR -3.138992 0.501041 -6.2649 8.908e-10 ***
idRUS -0.393732 0.586240 -0.6716 0.5021774
idSWE -1.553230 0.305605 -5.0825 5.524e-07 ***
idUSA 3.291867 0.796102 4.1350 4.254e-05 ***
time1996 2.768914 4.922078 0.5625 0.5740286
time1997 2.663502 4.923006 0.5410 0.5887602
time1998 2.755642 4.923018 0.5597 0.5759379
time1999 2.860247 4.925686 0.5807 0.5617542
time2000 2.848434 4.927669 0.5780 0.5635275
time2001 2.897307 4.929489 0.5878 0.5570023
time2002 2.832897 4.931215 0.5745 0.5659355
time2003 2.903064 4.932622 0.5885 0.5564701
time2004 2.955520 4.934551 0.5989 0.5495192
time2005 2.995929 4.936813 0.6069 0.5442610
time2006 3.043915 4.937939 0.6164 0.5379275
time2007 3.176164 4.941261 0.6428 0.5206997
time2008 3.210655 4.943478 0.6495 0.5163724
time2009 3.306989 4.943939 0.6689 0.5039123
time2010 3.302461 4.946064 0.6677 0.5046792
time2011 3.264057 4.947894 0.6597 0.5098011
time2012 3.173215 4.949808 0.6411 0.5218063
time2013 3.067893 4.951837 0.6195 0.5358778
time2014 3.084323 4.953992 0.6226 0.5338750
time2015 3.007752 4.956091 0.6069 0.5442444
time2016 3.117723 4.958269 0.6288 0.5298118
time2017 3.183076 4.960280 0.6417 0.5213945
time2018 3.093744 4.962102 0.6235 0.5332965
time2019 3.008458 4.963824 0.6061 0.5447771
iis27 -0.503691 0.168039 -2.9975 0.0028768 **
iis49 -0.741396 0.169099 -4.3844 1.457e-05 ***
iis50 0.793645 0.170645 4.6509 4.381e-06 ***
iis56 -0.628565 0.168566 -3.7289 0.0002175 ***
iis72 -0.567855 0.168238 -3.3753 0.0008029 ***
iis121 -0.547736 0.175237 -3.1257 0.0018917 **
iis171 0.998136 0.180556 5.5281 5.563e-08 ***
iis199 -0.498368 0.177132 -2.8135 0.0051200 **
iis433 0.774197 0.173020 4.4746 9.766e-06 ***
fesisDNK.1998 0.415566 0.135280 3.0719 0.0022593 **
fesisDNK.2005 0.411449 0.081690 5.0367 6.929e-07 ***
fesisESP.2003 0.386967 0.084179 4.5969 5.614e-06 ***
fesisISR.2006 0.504454 0.113119 4.4595 1.045e-05 ***
fesisISR.2009 -0.410012 0.110087 -3.7244 0.0002213 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.485306 0.083069 -5.8422 1.005e-08 ***
fesisSWE.1998 -0.573802 0.126221 -4.5460 7.079e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.9549 1 0.08562 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 6.9418 1 0.00842 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.15993
R-squared 0.98999
Log-lik.(n=502) 239.36505 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:03:51 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 502
Sample: 1 to 502
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.637187 0.029026 21.9521 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.852468 0.086961 9.8029 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -1.302878 0.290148 -4.4904 9.187e-06 ***
idAUT 0.136958 0.254675 0.5378 0.5910167
idBEL -0.085134 0.204600 -0.4161 0.6775477
idCAN 0.769001 0.140838 5.4602 8.135e-08 ***
idCHE -0.469122 0.275129 -1.7051 0.0889114 .
idCHN 3.699395 1.131094 3.2706 0.0011611 **
idDEU 2.190428 0.402920 5.4364 9.218e-08 ***
idDNK -2.051628 0.402020 -5.1033 5.057e-07 ***
idESP 1.114296 0.221816 5.0235 7.504e-07 ***
idFIN -0.327060 0.372741 -0.8774 0.3807440
idFRA 1.686735 0.326542 5.1654 3.706e-07 ***
idGBR 1.702842 0.321065 5.3037 1.835e-07 ***
idISR -1.127666 0.327397 -3.4443 0.0006297 ***
idITA 1.359652 0.297174 4.5753 6.262e-06 ***
idJPN -1.308868 0.539293 -2.4270 0.0156417 *
idKOR -3.716016 0.499115 -7.4452 5.494e-13 ***
idNLD 0.486343 0.094048 5.1712 3.600e-07 ***
idNOR -2.769286 0.467334 -5.9257 6.464e-09 ***
idRUS -0.856011 0.535238 -1.5993 0.1105005
idSWE -1.331889 0.283516 -4.6978 3.564e-06 ***
idUSA 2.618281 0.735710 3.5588 0.0004148 ***
time1996 -0.598444 4.498349 -0.1330 0.8942281
time1997 -0.637652 4.499896 -0.1417 0.8873816
time1998 -0.556044 4.499328 -0.1236 0.9017037
time1999 -0.449418 4.501833 -0.0998 0.9205266
time2000 -0.465916 4.503708 -0.1035 0.9176538
time2001 -0.435082 4.505558 -0.0966 0.9231172
time2002 -0.487276 4.507271 -0.1081 0.9139607
time2003 -0.407616 4.509056 -0.0904 0.9280126
time2004 -0.371688 4.510315 -0.0824 0.9343611
time2005 -0.312997 4.512244 -0.0694 0.9447310
time2006 -0.293850 4.513484 -0.0651 0.9481214
time2007 -0.177668 4.516652 -0.0393 0.9686410
time2008 -0.153158 4.518868 -0.0339 0.9729785
time2009 -0.064939 4.519494 -0.0144 0.9885426
time2010 -0.075255 4.521522 -0.0166 0.9867286
time2011 -0.117925 4.523254 -0.0261 0.9792132
time2012 -0.211315 4.525032 -0.0467 0.9627751
time2013 -0.295382 4.526575 -0.0653 0.9480017
time2014 -0.295412 4.528675 -0.0652 0.9480205
time2015 -0.351412 4.530665 -0.0776 0.9382124
time2016 -0.258327 4.532423 -0.0570 0.9545759
time2017 -0.195525 4.534279 -0.0431 0.9656250
time2018 -0.289331 4.536009 -0.0638 0.9491714
time2019 -0.371598 4.537537 -0.0819 0.9347697
iis27 -0.521385 0.151621 -3.4387 0.0006425 ***
iis31 -0.430711 0.151501 -2.8430 0.0046868 **
iis49 -0.484245 0.172094 -2.8138 0.0051243 **
iis50 0.997447 0.174136 5.7280 1.934e-08 ***
iis56 -0.722891 0.153282 -4.7161 3.273e-06 ***
iis58 -0.565802 0.152526 -3.7095 0.0002354 ***
iis72 -0.638253 0.152418 -4.1875 3.435e-05 ***
iis104 -0.517730 0.151769 -3.4113 0.0007089 ***
iis121 -0.874587 0.210378 -4.1572 3.903e-05 ***
iis170 -0.481819 0.159726 -3.0165 0.0027115 **
iis171 1.071256 0.161024 6.6528 8.945e-11 ***
iis194 -0.364945 0.162838 -2.2411 0.0255357 *
iis199 -0.584474 0.162216 -3.6031 0.0003520 ***
iis221 -0.412646 0.151493 -2.7239 0.0067201 **
iis407 0.453731 0.153372 2.9584 0.0032667 **
iis411 0.383885 0.151879 2.5276 0.0118496 *
iis414 0.339635 0.151971 2.2349 0.0259493 *
iis424 -0.424667 0.151389 -2.8051 0.0052621 **
iis431 0.388018 0.159438 2.4337 0.0153610 *
iis433 0.893875 0.158915 5.6248 3.385e-08 ***
iis437 0.351360 0.158463 2.2173 0.0271348 *
iis440 0.385610 0.160083 2.4088 0.0164317 *
iis450 -0.409134 0.153754 -2.6610 0.0080891 **
fesisBEL.2001 0.240989 0.093516 2.5770 0.0103052 *
fesisCHN.1998 -0.458507 0.159535 -2.8740 0.0042576 **
fesisDNK.2005 0.431604 0.070613 6.1123 2.237e-09 ***
fesisESP.2003 0.273551 0.081356 3.3624 0.0008432 ***
fesisISR.2005 -0.349014 0.159186 -2.1925 0.0288892 *
fesisISR.2006 0.798048 0.170853 4.6710 4.036e-06 ***
fesisISR.2009 -0.429356 0.099222 -4.3272 1.887e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.302590 0.084949 -3.5620 0.0004100 ***
fesisSWE.1998 -0.403555 0.129082 -3.1263 0.0018924 **
fesisSWE.2002 -0.207174 0.086519 -2.3946 0.0170758 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.28279 1 0.5949
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 0.80757 1 0.3688
SE of regression 0.14401
R-squared 0.99220
Log-lik.(n=502) 300.51330 without IIS
Count
0
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:04:51 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 523
Sample: 1 to 523
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 4.0939e-12 1.7521e-13 23.3659 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop 1.0196e-05 8.3889e-07 12.1546 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 1.3841e+02 3.2213e+01 4.2967 2.118e-05 ***
idBEL 7.8961e+01 3.1592e+01 2.4994 0.0127897 *
idCAN -1.4911e+01 3.1933e+01 -0.4670 0.6407460
idCHE 1.5313e+02 3.2397e+01 4.7267 3.039e-06 ***
idCHN -1.2227e+04 1.0070e+03 -12.1416 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU -9.3616e+01 6.4970e+01 -1.4409 0.1502909
idDNK 2.4919e+02 3.3088e+01 7.5312 2.691e-13 ***
idESP -2.1435e+02 3.5869e+01 -5.9759 4.597e-09 ***
idFIN 1.3538e+02 3.3144e+01 4.0847 5.208e-05 ***
idFRA -1.7768e+02 4.6788e+01 -3.7977 0.0001657 ***
idGBR -2.3187e+02 4.5571e+01 -5.0880 5.284e-07 ***
idISR 1.2906e+02 3.3181e+01 3.8897 0.0001152 ***
idITA -3.3563e+02 4.3611e+01 -7.6960 8.672e-14 ***
idJPN -1.9488e+03 1.3214e+02 -14.7475 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -3.1904e+03 1.4275e+02 -22.3496 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 7.8658e+01 3.0609e+01 2.5698 0.0104907 *
idNOR 1.2290e+02 3.3332e+01 3.6871 0.0002540 ***
idRUS -1.5669e+03 1.0803e+02 -14.5042 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE 1.0862e+02 3.1956e+01 3.3992 0.0007348 ***
idUSA -2.0225e+03 2.1879e+02 -9.2440 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1995 -2.1650e+02 3.5962e+01 -6.0203 3.568e-09 ***
time1996 -2.3103e+02 3.6274e+01 -6.3691 4.625e-10 ***
time1997 -2.3463e+02 3.6189e+01 -6.4836 2.318e-10 ***
time1998 -1.9249e+02 3.5727e+01 -5.3877 1.143e-07 ***
time1999 -1.9366e+02 3.6094e+01 -5.3655 1.283e-07 ***
time2000 -2.0863e+02 3.5990e+01 -5.7970 1.257e-08 ***
time2001 -2.0054e+02 3.6250e+01 -5.5320 5.326e-08 ***
time2002 -1.8943e+02 3.4996e+01 -5.4128 1.002e-07 ***
time2003 -1.8726e+02 3.5185e+01 -5.3222 1.607e-07 ***
time2004 -1.7196e+02 3.5363e+01 -4.8626 1.594e-06 ***
time2005 -1.4781e+02 3.5559e+01 -4.1566 3.854e-05 ***
time2006 -1.2785e+02 3.5765e+01 -3.5746 0.0003880 ***
time2007 -1.9335e+02 3.5778e+01 -5.4041 1.049e-07 ***
time2008 -1.4193e+02 3.6025e+01 -3.9397 9.427e-05 ***
time2009 -7.0279e+01 3.6630e+01 -1.9186 0.0556555 .
time2010 -3.5900e+01 3.6645e+01 -0.9797 0.3277553
time2011 -4.7252e+00 3.6874e+01 -0.1281 0.8980886
time2012 -5.2996e+01 3.7193e+01 -1.4249 0.1548654
time2013 -8.1309e+01 3.7481e+01 -2.1693 0.0305724 *
time2014 -9.2875e+01 3.7651e+01 -2.4667 0.0139990 *
time2015 -1.4833e+02 3.7935e+01 -3.9100 0.0001062 ***
time2016 -1.2794e+02 3.8229e+01 -3.3467 0.0008850 ***
time2017 -1.3282e+02 3.7149e+01 -3.5753 0.0003870 ***
time2018 -1.2497e+02 3.7365e+01 -3.3445 0.0008918 ***
time2019 -1.9903e+02 3.7539e+01 -5.3019 1.785e-07 ***
fesisCHN.1998 -4.3401e+02 9.0393e+01 -4.8014 2.136e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2002 -4.0662e+02 8.7788e+01 -4.6318 4.727e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2017 9.0366e+02 8.9864e+01 10.0559 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.0524e+03 5.8728e+01 17.9192 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -1.9606e+02 6.2856e+01 -3.1193 0.0019270 **
fesisJPN.1999 8.0387e+02 8.4204e+01 9.5466 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2002 5.3148e+02 7.6277e+01 6.9678 1.124e-11 ***
fesisJPN.2009 8.7253e+02 1.1766e+02 7.4155 5.895e-13 ***
fesisJPN.2010 1.3373e+03 1.2697e+02 10.5325 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2013 -8.4793e+02 7.6287e+01 -11.1150 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.1999 -5.7526e+02 8.8490e+01 -6.5008 2.087e-10 ***
fesisKOR.2002 -5.5850e+02 9.9246e+01 -5.6275 3.186e-08 ***
fesisKOR.2014 -4.4753e+02 9.5866e+01 -4.6683 3.992e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2017 -4.8371e+02 9.3541e+01 -5.1710 3.483e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2000 5.5824e+02 6.6289e+01 8.4213 4.805e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2007 1.5767e+03 6.0467e+01 26.0751 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -7.6593e+02 6.2262e+01 -12.3017 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 37.500 1 9.144e-10 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 81.112 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 107.27448
R-squared 0.98755
Log-lik.(n=523) -3155.33421 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:04:50 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 523
Sample: 1 to 523
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 5.0864e-12 2.7321e-13 18.6173 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop 1.2284e-05 1.2164e-06 10.0983 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 1.1670e+02 3.5919e+01 3.2490 0.0012445 **
idBEL 5.2171e+01 3.4800e+01 1.4992 0.1345293
idCAN -8.9725e+01 3.5978e+01 -2.4939 0.0129918 *
idCHE 1.3248e+02 3.6249e+01 3.6548 0.0002876 ***
idCHN -1.4777e+04 1.4591e+03 -10.1273 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU -2.6123e+02 8.5279e+01 -3.0633 0.0023205 **
idDNK 2.3180e+02 3.7489e+01 6.1833 1.408e-09 ***
idESP -3.1127e+02 4.3297e+01 -7.1891 2.726e-12 ***
idFIN 1.2006e+02 3.7589e+01 3.1941 0.0015009 **
idFRA -3.1666e+02 6.1684e+01 -5.1336 4.235e-07 ***
idGBR -3.6651e+02 5.9713e+01 -6.1378 1.835e-09 ***
idISR 1.0814e+02 3.7034e+01 2.9201 0.0036749 **
idITA -4.6359e+02 5.6504e+01 -8.2045 2.442e-15 ***
idJPN -2.6724e+03 1.8370e+02 -14.5473 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -4.0119e+03 2.0853e+02 -19.2392 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 3.9740e+01 3.3048e+01 1.2025 0.2298012
idNOR 1.5036e+02 4.1521e+01 3.6214 0.0003263 ***
idRUS -1.8347e+03 1.5812e+02 -11.6034 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE 8.1590e+01 3.5454e+01 2.3013 0.0218313 *
idUSA -2.5949e+03 3.1231e+02 -8.3085 1.146e-15 ***
time1995 -2.1593e+02 4.0108e+01 -5.3836 1.177e-07 ***
time1996 -2.3572e+02 4.0674e+01 -5.7955 1.281e-08 ***
time1997 -2.4297e+02 4.0987e+01 -5.9280 6.101e-09 ***
time1998 -2.0218e+02 4.0626e+01 -4.9766 9.225e-07 ***
time1999 -2.1538e+02 4.1372e+01 -5.2058 2.940e-07 ***
time2000 -1.9792e+02 4.0233e+01 -4.9194 1.219e-06 ***
time2001 -1.9360e+02 4.0683e+01 -4.7589 2.625e-06 ***
time2002 -2.0698e+02 4.1053e+01 -5.0418 6.692e-07 ***
time2003 -1.9400e+02 4.0529e+01 -4.7867 2.302e-06 ***
time2004 -1.8342e+02 4.0931e+01 -4.4813 9.416e-06 ***
time2005 -1.6360e+02 4.1359e+01 -3.9556 8.864e-05 ***
time2006 -1.2849e+02 4.1878e+01 -3.0681 0.0022838 **
time2007 -1.7566e+02 4.0305e+01 -4.3582 1.625e-05 ***
time2008 -1.2304e+02 4.0838e+01 -3.0129 0.0027331 **
time2009 -4.5663e+01 4.2341e+01 -1.0785 0.2814071
time2010 -1.7571e+01 4.2562e+01 -0.4128 0.6799261
time2011 9.6381e+00 4.2922e+01 0.2246 0.8224301
time2012 -4.2782e+01 4.3511e+01 -0.9832 0.3260142
time2013 -7.9349e+01 4.4081e+01 -1.8001 0.0725164 .
time2014 -8.2602e+01 4.4329e+01 -1.8634 0.0630611 .
time2015 -1.4210e+02 4.4798e+01 -3.1721 0.0016167 **
time2016 -1.2582e+02 4.5284e+01 -2.7786 0.0056880 **
time2017 -1.2225e+02 4.4023e+01 -2.7770 0.0057143 **
time2018 -1.1848e+02 4.4389e+01 -2.6692 0.0078783 **
time2019 -1.6130e+02 4.4934e+01 -3.5897 0.0003674 ***
fesisAUS.2009 -1.1323e+02 4.0414e+01 -2.8018 0.0052999 **
fesisCHN.1998 -3.9488e+02 9.7353e+01 -4.0562 5.877e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2000 -3.0057e+02 9.5499e+01 -3.1473 0.0017568 **
fesisCHN.2003 -3.0016e+02 8.2759e+01 -3.6269 0.0003196 ***
fesisCHN.2007 -2.1020e+02 8.4830e+01 -2.4779 0.0135808 *
fesisCHN.2017 7.8993e+02 8.8920e+01 8.8836 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.0279e+03 5.3147e+01 19.3415 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -1.8862e+02 5.6820e+01 -3.3196 0.0009744 ***
fesisJPN.1999 7.8870e+02 7.6022e+01 10.3746 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2002 5.0133e+02 6.9126e+01 7.2525 1.795e-12 ***
fesisJPN.2009 8.6264e+02 1.0629e+02 8.1161 4.622e-15 ***
fesisJPN.2010 1.3257e+03 1.1464e+02 11.5635 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2013 -7.6897e+02 7.0826e+01 -10.8572 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2019 -7.1961e+02 1.0725e+02 -6.7100 5.855e-11 ***
fesisKOR.1999 -4.2831e+02 1.1383e+02 -3.7628 0.0001902 ***
fesisKOR.2000 -4.6297e+02 1.2441e+02 -3.7213 0.0002232 ***
fesisKOR.2002 -5.2676e+02 9.6347e+01 -5.4673 7.578e-08 ***
fesisKOR.2006 -4.2213e+02 1.0395e+02 -4.0609 5.764e-05 ***
fesisKOR.2014 -6.7904e+02 9.8877e+01 -6.8676 2.174e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2017 -6.4514e+02 9.0698e+01 -7.1131 4.483e-12 ***
fesisNOR.2008 -9.2188e+01 4.0212e+01 -2.2925 0.0223338 *
fesisRUS.2007 -2.0535e+02 4.1386e+01 -4.9618 9.916e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2000 5.1513e+02 6.1874e+01 8.3254 1.013e-15 ***
fesisUSA.2007 1.5156e+03 5.7678e+01 26.2764 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -7.9601e+02 5.7332e+01 -13.8843 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 36.289 1 1.702e-09 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 118.875 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 96.81087
R-squared 0.99004
Log-lik.(n=523) -3097.65797 1
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:04:48 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 502
Sample: 1 to 502
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.3857e-01 1.7526e-02 47.8484 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -7.3054e-15 1.2015e-13 -0.0608 0.9515428
pop 1.7376e-06 2.4761e-07 7.0172 8.729e-12 ***
idAUT 2.4984e+01 1.3615e+01 1.8350 0.0671829 .
idBEL 1.1392e+01 1.3455e+01 0.8467 0.3976184
idCAN -8.1176e-01 1.3525e+01 -0.0600 0.9521687
idCHE 2.4924e+01 1.3674e+01 1.8227 0.0690296 .
idCHN -2.1393e+03 3.1635e+02 -6.7624 4.388e-11 ***
idDEU 2.9671e+01 2.2530e+01 1.3170 0.1885369
idDNK 4.8591e+01 1.4045e+01 3.4596 0.0005943 ***
idESP -3.7222e+01 1.4344e+01 -2.5949 0.0097804 **
idFIN 2.0754e+01 1.3760e+01 1.5083 0.1321933
idFRA -2.0373e+01 1.6419e+01 -1.2408 0.2153547
idGBR -3.3126e+01 1.6173e+01 -2.0483 0.0411342 *
idISR 2.0051e+01 1.3979e+01 1.4343 0.1521923
idITA -5.5984e+01 1.5973e+01 -3.5050 0.0005040 ***
idJPN 8.6784e+01 6.4573e+01 1.3440 0.1796547
idKOR 7.0530e-01 1.0387e+02 0.0068 0.9945855
idNLD 1.3396e+01 1.3309e+01 1.0066 0.3147035
idNOR 2.1297e+01 1.3790e+01 1.5443 0.1232330
idRUS -2.2026e+02 3.4421e+01 -6.3988 4.054e-10 ***
idSWE 1.8832e+01 1.3557e+01 1.3891 0.1655113
idUSA -2.0677e+02 6.3605e+01 -3.2508 0.0012403 **
time1996 -4.5472e+01 1.4443e+01 -3.1483 0.0017552 **
time1997 -4.0893e+01 1.4471e+01 -2.8259 0.0049318 **
time1998 -3.1673e+01 1.4334e+01 -2.2096 0.0276522 *
time1999 -3.2154e+01 1.4409e+01 -2.2315 0.0261580 *
time2000 -2.4975e+01 1.4379e+01 -1.7369 0.0831096 .
time2001 -2.6224e+01 1.4393e+01 -1.8220 0.0691412 .
time2002 -3.5816e+01 1.4402e+01 -2.4869 0.0132617 *
time2003 -3.8461e+01 1.4496e+01 -2.6531 0.0082670 **
time2004 -1.8389e+01 1.4494e+01 -1.2687 0.2052314
time2005 -6.5007e+00 1.4480e+01 -0.4489 0.6536941
time2006 -2.5644e+01 1.4517e+01 -1.7665 0.0780210 .
time2007 7.5326e+00 1.4621e+01 0.5152 0.6066834
time2008 2.0699e+00 1.4587e+01 0.1419 0.8872267
time2009 1.4075e+01 1.4854e+01 0.9475 0.3438932
time2010 1.8595e+01 1.4843e+01 1.2528 0.2109601
time2011 -9.5982e+00 1.4941e+01 -0.6424 0.5209475
time2012 -3.7298e+01 1.4956e+01 -2.4938 0.0130072 *
time2013 -5.3246e+01 1.4929e+01 -3.5667 0.0004016 ***
time2014 -3.0095e+01 1.5085e+01 -1.9950 0.0466647 *
time2015 -4.1845e+01 1.4951e+01 -2.7988 0.0053578 **
time2016 -1.9269e+01 1.4803e+01 -1.3017 0.1936961
time2017 7.8483e-01 1.4721e+01 0.0533 0.9575069
time2018 -4.2110e+00 1.4735e+01 -0.2858 0.7751860
time2019 -5.1359e+01 1.4903e+01 -3.4462 0.0006239 ***
fesisCHN.2016 3.8307e+02 3.6205e+01 10.5805 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 3.0585e+02 2.9308e+01 10.4356 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -2.8808e+02 2.6918e+01 -10.7021 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.1999 3.4722e+02 4.3561e+01 7.9710 1.398e-14 ***
fesisJPN.2001 -1.3640e+02 4.0453e+01 -3.3718 0.0008135 ***
fesisJPN.2009 5.8426e+02 5.0247e+01 11.6278 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 7.7825e+02 6.7243e+01 11.5737 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2011 -6.5012e+02 7.0066e+01 -9.2786 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -8.6440e+02 5.7616e+01 -15.0029 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2014 3.4464e+02 4.1590e+01 8.2866 1.459e-15 ***
fesisJPN.2019 -7.5322e+02 5.1469e+01 -14.6344 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2003 1.8447e+02 4.6677e+01 3.9521 9.037e-05 ***
fesisKOR.2009 3.9512e+02 4.3439e+01 9.0959 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2014 -4.7346e+02 4.4344e+01 -10.6771 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2016 5.8949e+02 5.8722e+01 10.0386 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2017 -3.7707e+02 5.5448e+01 -6.8004 3.459e-11 ***
fesisUSA.2006 4.9280e+02 3.5036e+01 14.0655 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2010 -2.4192e+02 3.7790e+01 -6.4017 3.986e-10 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -5.9266e+02 5.2577e+01 -11.2722 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2015 3.3277e+02 5.3196e+01 6.2555 9.486e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 3.045 1 0.08099 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 18.394 1 1.796e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 45.82208
R-squared 0.99783
Log-lik.(n=502) -2598.83975 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:04:47 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 502
Sample: 1 to 502
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.5555e-01 1.6959e-02 50.4475 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -3.8417e-14 1.1632e-13 -0.3303 0.7413614
pop 1.6347e-06 2.3977e-07 6.8180 3.112e-11 ***
idAUT 2.3614e+01 1.3180e+01 1.7917 0.0738849 .
idBEL 1.0804e+01 1.3025e+01 0.8295 0.4073004
idCAN -1.4133e+00 1.3093e+01 -0.1079 0.9140917
idCHE 2.3297e+01 1.3237e+01 1.7600 0.0791219 .
idCHN -2.0111e+03 3.0632e+02 -6.5655 1.487e-10 ***
idDEU 1.5568e+01 2.2224e+01 0.7005 0.4839886
idDNK 4.5490e+01 1.3597e+01 3.3456 0.0008925 ***
idESP -3.5187e+01 1.3886e+01 -2.5339 0.0116310 *
idFIN 1.9601e+01 1.3320e+01 1.4715 0.1418769
idFRA -2.0288e+01 1.5895e+01 -1.2764 0.2024888
idGBR -3.1996e+01 1.5657e+01 -2.0436 0.0415938 *
idISR 1.8903e+01 1.3533e+01 1.3969 0.1631729
idITA -5.2931e+01 1.5463e+01 -3.4230 0.0006783 ***
idJPN 9.4906e+01 6.2532e+01 1.5177 0.1298141
idKOR 2.7512e+01 1.0058e+02 0.2735 0.7845757
idNLD 1.2419e+01 1.2883e+01 0.9639 0.3356192
idNOR 2.0306e+01 1.3350e+01 1.5211 0.1289769
idRUS -2.0494e+02 3.3329e+01 -6.1490 1.774e-09 ***
idSWE 1.7727e+01 1.3124e+01 1.3507 0.1774812
idUSA -1.9468e+02 6.1593e+01 -3.1607 0.0016843 **
time1996 -4.2447e+01 1.3980e+01 -3.0362 0.0025402 **
time1997 -3.7841e+01 1.4007e+01 -2.7016 0.0071708 **
time1998 -2.8896e+01 1.3875e+01 -2.0826 0.0378727 *
time1999 -2.9167e+01 1.3947e+01 -2.0912 0.0370886 *
time2000 -2.2362e+01 1.3918e+01 -1.6067 0.1088575
time2001 -2.4439e+01 1.3928e+01 -1.7547 0.0800186 .
time2002 -3.4269e+01 1.3938e+01 -2.4588 0.0143316 *
time2003 -3.7161e+01 1.4030e+01 -2.6486 0.0083769 **
time2004 -1.7215e+01 1.4029e+01 -1.2271 0.2204375
time2005 -5.7768e+00 1.4016e+01 -0.4121 0.6804389
time2006 -3.5875e+01 1.4163e+01 -2.5330 0.0116604 *
time2007 1.1360e+01 1.4144e+01 0.8031 0.4223367
time2008 1.2844e+01 1.4279e+01 0.8995 0.3688698
time2009 1.7715e+01 1.4369e+01 1.2329 0.2182984
time2010 2.1910e+01 1.4359e+01 1.5259 0.1277571
time2011 -7.2677e+00 1.4453e+01 -0.5028 0.6153283
time2012 -4.9289e+01 1.4489e+01 -3.4019 0.0007313 ***
time2013 -3.9699e+01 1.4600e+01 -2.7192 0.0068076 **
time2014 -3.2672e+01 1.4612e+01 -2.2359 0.0258676 *
time2015 -4.4025e+01 1.4479e+01 -3.0406 0.0025044 **
time2016 -2.0567e+01 1.4327e+01 -1.4355 0.1518582
time2017 -8.9612e-01 1.4252e+01 -0.0629 0.9498928
time2018 -6.3446e+00 1.4269e+01 -0.4446 0.6568094
time2019 -5.3771e+01 1.4435e+01 -3.7252 0.0002210 ***
fesisCHN.2016 3.7326e+02 3.4989e+01 10.6679 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2006 2.3951e+02 2.6768e+01 8.9474 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -5.1824e+02 4.9288e+01 -10.5144 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2014 3.3758e+02 4.9919e+01 6.7625 4.406e-11 ***
fesisJPN.1999 3.3982e+02 4.2168e+01 8.0588 7.575e-15 ***
fesisJPN.2001 -1.2934e+02 3.9271e+01 -3.2934 0.0010712 **
fesisJPN.2008 -1.7306e+02 4.9307e+01 -3.5099 0.0004952 ***
fesisJPN.2009 7.2595e+02 6.4329e+01 11.2850 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 7.6807e+02 6.5092e+01 11.7999 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2011 -6.7178e+02 6.7824e+01 -9.9047 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -8.6592e+02 5.5778e+01 -15.5245 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2014 3.6182e+02 4.0374e+01 8.9617 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2019 -7.5417e+02 4.9824e+01 -15.1368 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2003 1.8806e+02 4.5177e+01 4.1626 3.797e-05 ***
fesisKOR.2009 3.8038e+02 4.2038e+01 9.0486 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2014 -4.7476e+02 4.2925e+01 -11.0602 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2016 5.9742e+02 5.6846e+01 10.5094 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2017 -3.7914e+02 5.3677e+01 -7.0633 6.524e-12 ***
fesisUSA.2006 4.7177e+02 3.4094e+01 13.8373 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2010 -2.6087e+02 3.6493e+01 -7.1486 3.752e-12 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -5.8675e+02 5.0914e+01 -11.5244 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2015 3.4587e+02 5.1497e+01 6.7163 5.876e-11 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 3.5534 1 0.0594253 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 14.5011 1 0.0001401 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 44.35736
R-squared 0.99797
Log-lik.(n=502) -2581.53100 Count Ma
0
0.01
Formula: count_ma~ gdp_ma + pop_ma
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:05:30 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 523
Sample: 1 to 523
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp_ma 1.239610 0.433224 2.8614 0.0044101 **
pop_ma 4.528919 1.832207 2.4718 0.0138021 *
idAUT 9.689699 3.301455 2.9350 0.0035023 **
idBEL -7.028436 10.255218 -0.6854 0.4934662
idCAN 1.949335 2.816621 0.6921 0.4892337
idCHE 1.578274 2.982743 0.5291 0.5969665
idCHN 117.337519 7.808075 15.0277 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU 7.877373 3.754109 2.0983 0.0364193 *
idDNK -3.511726 7.393818 -0.4750 0.6350445
idESP 11.192105 3.950341 2.8332 0.0048105 **
idFIN -7.249506 4.832953 -1.5000 0.1342948
idFRA 6.803401 3.267074 2.0824 0.0378555 *
idGBR 4.862803 3.171929 1.5331 0.1259435
idISR -3.528910 4.290192 -0.8226 0.4111875
idITA 9.362790 3.702169 2.5290 0.0117712 *
idJPN 8.056754 3.861574 2.0864 0.0374922 *
idKOR 15.799343 3.138618 5.0339 6.906e-07 ***
idNLD 7.748417 3.254021 2.3812 0.0176623 *
idNOR 47.653718 6.177835 7.7137 7.617e-14 ***
idRUS 34.290262 6.076275 5.6433 2.917e-08 ***
idSWE 1.294330 3.083898 0.4197 0.6748959
idUSA 2.214325 2.890694 0.7660 0.4440574
time1995 -1.413175 4.259381 -0.3318 0.7402066
time1996 -1.506256 4.224979 -0.3565 0.7216202
time1997 2.386160 4.176739 0.5713 0.5680765
time1998 5.464688 4.238816 1.2892 0.1979745
time1999 5.791792 4.313312 1.3428 0.1800068
time2000 5.381030 4.259875 1.2632 0.2071595
time2001 -1.344441 4.180631 -0.3216 0.7479105
time2002 -0.924430 4.034600 -0.2291 0.8188729
time2003 -0.098944 4.107806 -0.0241 0.9807937
time2004 4.379317 4.120616 1.0628 0.2884371
time2005 5.190105 4.273540 1.2145 0.2251884
time2006 8.166194 4.338202 1.8824 0.0604124 .
time2007 10.187650 4.383008 2.3244 0.0205403 *
time2008 12.298956 4.105931 2.9954 0.0028884 **
time2009 6.841633 4.056272 1.6867 0.0923414 .
time2010 1.653794 3.976834 0.4159 0.6777082
time2011 -7.620119 4.097830 -1.8595 0.0635861 .
time2012 -15.258824 4.014016 -3.8014 0.0001632 ***
time2013 -18.666762 4.040114 -4.6204 4.978e-06 ***
time2014 -20.397114 4.085700 -4.9923 8.475e-07 ***
time2015 -15.536610 4.154682 -3.7395 0.0002076 ***
time2016 -9.381511 4.162234 -2.2540 0.0246675 *
time2017 -6.380475 4.138327 -1.5418 0.1238082
time2018 -11.299140 4.052302 -2.7883 0.0055172 **
time2019 -6.831729 3.753615 -1.8200 0.0694013 .
fesisBEL.1996 93.735134 11.341697 8.2646 1.504e-15 ***
fesisBEL.1999 -75.599626 6.096241 -12.4010 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.1997 -99.538750 7.351283 -13.5403 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.1997 99.401718 8.987685 11.0598 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2000 -75.525951 6.564079 -11.5059 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2009 -11.838241 4.450213 -2.6602 0.0080828 **
fesisESP.2004 34.891883 6.802123 5.1296 4.286e-07 ***
fesisESP.2007 -40.248221 6.814445 -5.9063 6.799e-09 ***
fesisFIN.2001 17.909657 4.702547 3.8085 0.0001587 ***
fesisISR.2005 40.194787 6.750264 5.9546 5.175e-09 ***
fesisISR.2008 -43.443469 6.350669 -6.8408 2.515e-11 ***
fesisNOR.1998 -38.153825 6.444965 -5.9199 6.296e-09 ***
fesisNOR.2010 -17.252109 5.292950 -3.2595 0.0011989 **
fesisNOR.2015 29.549405 6.246578 4.7305 2.982e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2000 -28.054412 5.635625 -4.9780 9.090e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 40.249 1 2.236e-10 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 19.680 1 9.156e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 9.56790
R-squared 0.80065
Log-lik.(n=523) -1892.25524 0.05
Formula: count_ma~ gdp_ma + pop_ma
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:05:29 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 523
Sample: 1 to 523
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp_ma 0.96632 0.44482 2.1724 0.0303455 *
pop_ma 3.87563 1.74234 2.2244 0.0266145 *
idAUT -0.42564 5.24331 -0.0812 0.9353362
idBEL -10.04351 9.33085 -1.0764 0.2823315
idCAN 1.49131 2.56524 0.5814 0.5612924
idCHE 0.82925 2.73085 0.3037 0.7615262
idCHN 117.17599 7.23151 16.2035 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU 6.51521 3.48043 1.8720 0.0618570 .
idDNK -6.04172 6.73247 -0.8974 0.3699820
idESP 10.28732 3.59715 2.8599 0.0044342 **
idFIN -8.37719 4.42256 -1.8942 0.0588361 .
idFRA 2.10566 3.37246 0.6244 0.5326989
idGBR 3.97541 2.91397 1.3643 0.1731639
idISR -2.98383 3.93541 -0.7582 0.4487252
idITA 7.86724 3.43837 2.2881 0.0225930 *
idJPN 6.51842 3.58816 1.8166 0.0699318 .
idKOR 18.13839 3.84745 4.7144 3.232e-06 ***
idNLD 6.82141 2.99344 2.2788 0.0231445 *
idNOR 46.09089 5.63155 8.1844 2.798e-15 ***
idRUS 12.30098 7.96377 1.5446 0.1231367
idSWE 0.60305 2.82666 0.2133 0.8311536
idUSA 1.67670 2.63745 0.6357 0.5252749
time1995 2.38894 4.00068 0.5971 0.5507164
time1996 2.25340 3.97207 0.5673 0.5707828
time1997 4.36030 3.87348 1.1257 0.2608963
time1998 7.49641 3.94005 1.9026 0.0577244 .
time1999 7.38004 4.00293 1.8437 0.0658856 .
time2000 7.96694 3.95034 2.0168 0.0443084 *
time2001 1.07296 3.86839 0.2774 0.7816255
time2002 1.24119 3.72016 0.3336 0.7388069
time2003 0.91884 3.83310 0.2397 0.8106618
time2004 5.42844 3.85101 1.4096 0.1593391
time2005 8.05950 4.00355 2.0131 0.0446964 *
time2006 9.29860 4.07896 2.2796 0.0230926 *
time2007 12.29370 4.13173 2.9754 0.0030822 **
time2008 13.42502 3.85662 3.4810 0.0005479 ***
time2009 9.07020 3.80113 2.3862 0.0174338 *
time2010 2.74233 3.71321 0.7385 0.4605730
time2011 -6.18826 3.84987 -1.6074 0.1086649
time2012 -14.00351 3.75777 -3.7265 0.0002187 ***
time2013 -17.43241 3.78023 -4.6115 5.209e-06 ***
time2014 -19.07879 3.82819 -4.9838 8.892e-07 ***
time2015 -14.12387 3.89890 -3.6225 0.0003247 ***
time2016 -7.92180 3.91026 -2.0259 0.0433607 *
time2017 -4.91534 3.88954 -1.2637 0.2069763
time2018 -9.90258 3.80552 -2.6022 0.0095673 **
time2019 -6.08568 3.49084 -1.7433 0.0819545 .
fesisAUT.1999 10.83967 4.92366 2.2015 0.0282007 *
fesisBEL.1996 95.03073 10.29448 9.2312 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisBEL.1999 -74.63269 5.54523 -13.4589 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.1997 -98.15333 6.69985 -14.6501 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.1997 101.10127 8.16448 12.3831 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2000 -88.44561 6.31964 -13.9954 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2006 37.63478 6.30895 5.9653 4.925e-09 ***
fesisDNK.2009 -36.42239 5.84029 -6.2364 1.027e-09 ***
fesisESP.2004 36.22375 6.18910 5.8528 9.282e-09 ***
fesisESP.2007 -41.63819 6.23992 -6.6729 7.341e-11 ***
fesisFIN.2001 18.12581 4.31588 4.1998 3.218e-05 ***
fesisFRA.2008 7.63739 3.62680 2.1058 0.0357694 *
fesisISR.2005 40.15006 6.14888 6.5297 1.772e-10 ***
fesisISR.2008 -43.00023 5.76757 -7.4555 4.590e-13 ***
fesisKOR.2003 26.74116 7.09833 3.7672 0.0001868 ***
fesisKOR.2005 -34.50907 6.71827 -5.1366 4.164e-07 ***
fesisNOR.1998 -37.38431 5.87323 -6.3652 4.786e-10 ***
fesisNOR.2010 -16.54907 4.81228 -3.4389 0.0006380 ***
fesisNOR.2015 29.23925 5.67079 5.1561 3.775e-07 ***
fesisRUS.1997 31.44060 8.44386 3.7235 0.0002213 ***
fesisRUS.2000 -36.35734 6.84279 -5.3132 1.693e-07 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -21.40349 6.22847 -3.4364 0.0006439 ***
fesisRUS.2010 24.22741 5.95502 4.0684 5.584e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 24.5385 1 7.284e-07 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.9481 1 0.08598 .
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 8.68006
R-squared 0.83878
Log-lik.(n=523) -1837.32246 1
0.01
Formula: count_ma~ gdp_ma + pop_ma
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:05:28 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 502
Sample: 1 to 502
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.370496 0.038255 9.6849 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp_ma -0.355523 0.400388 -0.8879 0.3750513
pop_ma 0.371323 1.828182 0.2031 0.8391421
idAUT 2.086936 3.287467 0.6348 0.5258762
idBEL 62.746380 6.426279 9.7640 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCAN -0.659138 2.797408 -0.2356 0.8138328
idCHE -1.492811 2.950658 -0.5059 0.6131610
idCHN 103.038773 10.797568 9.5428 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU -0.179683 3.752079 -0.0479 0.9618264
idDNK -23.808087 9.859968 -2.4146 0.0161558 *
idESP 4.229002 4.274423 0.9894 0.3230204
idFIN 0.867347 3.394702 0.2555 0.7984553
idFRA 0.379200 3.245015 0.1169 0.9070270
idGBR -0.147303 3.145720 -0.0468 0.9626727
idISR 0.788012 4.359076 0.1808 0.8566269
idITA 0.036080 3.675853 0.0098 0.9921730
idJPN -1.309162 3.857428 -0.3394 0.7344788
idKOR 8.312847 3.183223 2.6115 0.0093217 **
idNLD 0.087085 3.250640 0.0268 0.9786393
idNOR 4.005089 2.957661 1.3541 0.1763817
idRUS 3.258051 3.906067 0.8341 0.4046741
idSWE -2.055235 3.064735 -0.6706 0.5028200
idUSA -0.442584 2.882719 -0.1535 0.8780503
time1996 9.156249 4.133824 2.2150 0.0272709 *
time1997 11.921566 4.080845 2.9213 0.0036633 **
time1998 11.693432 4.134450 2.8283 0.0048920 **
time1999 14.076272 4.234945 3.3238 0.0009616 ***
time2000 12.046519 4.228092 2.8492 0.0045877 **
time2001 4.501700 4.114612 1.0941 0.2745160
time2002 5.883308 3.973484 1.4806 0.1394127
time2003 6.548766 3.981834 1.6447 0.1007492
time2004 12.723283 4.034279 3.1538 0.0017213 **
time2005 12.565141 4.180863 3.0054 0.0028030 **
time2006 14.567520 4.254717 3.4239 0.0006748 ***
time2007 14.255160 4.339309 3.2851 0.0011003 **
time2008 12.615921 4.114431 3.0663 0.0023002 **
time2009 7.152205 4.064273 1.7598 0.0791362 .
time2010 3.749745 3.977285 0.9428 0.3463021
time2011 -1.346645 4.068323 -0.3310 0.7407954
time2012 -7.135830 3.996738 -1.7854 0.0748782 .
time2013 -7.529289 4.053454 -1.8575 0.0639035 .
time2014 -7.490022 4.115661 -1.8199 0.0694515 .
time2015 -0.260778 4.165324 -0.0626 0.9501077
time2016 3.702637 4.134219 0.8956 0.3709489
time2017 4.376063 4.088360 1.0704 0.2850350
time2018 -2.065640 3.998099 -0.5167 0.6056545
time2019 0.554374 3.722164 0.1489 0.8816698
fesisBEL.1999 -117.105687 11.189660 -10.4655 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisBEL.2000 59.293766 10.358476 5.7242 1.918e-08 ***
fesisCHN.1997 -127.433517 13.562275 -9.3962 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.1998 39.916037 10.762720 3.7087 0.0002348 ***
fesisDNK.1997 119.476454 13.545491 8.8204 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.1998 -38.272715 12.426520 -3.0799 0.0021994 **
fesisDNK.2000 -109.076229 11.675393 -9.3424 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2001 57.572572 10.340190 5.5678 4.478e-08 ***
fesisESP.2003 24.239251 6.377680 3.8006 0.0001645 ***
fesisESP.2007 -30.065539 6.140344 -4.8964 1.370e-06 ***
fesisISR.2005 30.960523 6.717347 4.6090 5.298e-06 ***
fesisISR.2008 -34.932367 6.194447 -5.6393 3.047e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.075881 1 0.782959
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 7.745556 1 0.005384 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 9.29252
R-squared 0.80437
Log-lik.(n=502) -1801.87032 0.05
Formula: count_ma~ gdp_ma + pop_ma
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:05:28 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 502
Sample: 1 to 502
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.348411 0.037251 9.3530 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp_ma 0.161915 0.404512 0.4003 0.6891534
pop_ma 0.618730 1.686828 0.3668 0.7139464
idAUT -3.035670 5.153407 -0.5891 0.5561269
idBEL 65.396827 5.980951 10.9342 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCAN -0.169139 2.558462 -0.0661 0.9473210
idCHE -0.756393 2.704896 -0.2796 0.7798880
idCHN 102.742280 10.027241 10.2463 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU 1.066721 3.454415 0.3088 0.7576223
idDNK -22.621200 9.043289 -2.5014 0.0127364 *
idESP 4.934369 3.926575 1.2567 0.2095529
idFIN 1.668669 3.115627 0.5356 0.5925229
idFRA 1.447615 2.983599 0.4852 0.6277857
idGBR 0.695754 2.886484 0.2410 0.8096392
idISR 0.863980 3.985508 0.2168 0.8284813
idITA 1.712717 3.399406 0.5038 0.6146376
idJPN 0.259596 3.561177 0.0729 0.9419225
idKOR 8.247859 2.930609 2.8144 0.0051094 **
idNLD 0.988447 2.984718 0.3312 0.7406765
idNOR 26.298787 6.785976 3.8755 0.0001229 ***
idRUS -4.319886 9.636749 -0.4483 0.6541805
idSWE -1.592896 2.805178 -0.5678 0.5704364
idUSA 0.062114 2.637453 0.0236 0.9812216
time1996 6.558275 3.970658 1.6517 0.0993221 .
time1997 7.697233 3.870304 1.9888 0.0473516 *
time1998 9.912956 3.943270 2.5139 0.0123016 *
time1999 10.816372 4.022827 2.6887 0.0074482 **
time2000 9.927268 3.984552 2.4914 0.0130952 *
time2001 2.757729 3.827824 0.7204 0.4716402
time2002 4.482358 3.676000 1.2194 0.2233709
time2003 4.868930 3.693322 1.3183 0.1880963
time2004 10.891846 3.750002 2.9045 0.0038664 **
time2005 10.540586 3.897602 2.7044 0.0071123 **
time2006 10.476685 3.985013 2.6290 0.0088671 **
time2007 12.616153 4.016932 3.1407 0.0018004 **
time2008 12.208117 3.772788 3.2358 0.0013057 **
time2009 6.800924 3.724115 1.8262 0.0685093 .
time2010 3.104304 3.645764 0.8515 0.3949710
time2011 -2.805398 3.750201 -0.7481 0.4548254
time2012 -8.427261 3.675662 -2.2927 0.0223417 *
time2013 -8.930623 3.731196 -2.3935 0.0171123 *
time2014 -9.117416 3.796053 -2.4018 0.0167334 *
time2015 -2.062591 3.847882 -0.5360 0.5922104
time2016 1.939896 3.817323 0.5082 0.6115837
time2017 2.712212 3.772829 0.7189 0.4726016
time2018 -3.591002 3.686333 -0.9741 0.3305300
time2019 0.081366 3.407600 0.0239 0.9809610
fesisAUT.2000 35.388672 9.766745 3.6234 0.0003252 ***
fesisAUT.2001 -29.464119 8.951870 -3.2914 0.0010783 **
fesisBEL.1999 -115.703886 10.228330 -11.3121 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisBEL.2000 56.106228 9.550380 5.8748 8.439e-09 ***
fesisCHN.1997 -124.465149 12.400536 -10.0371 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.1998 34.814741 9.992854 3.4840 0.0005442 ***
fesisDNK.1997 120.724401 12.378912 9.7524 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.1998 -37.518334 11.425102 -3.2839 0.0011069 **
fesisDNK.2000 -109.027392 10.683715 -10.2050 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2001 53.402456 10.219584 5.2255 2.703e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2006 43.614212 9.528315 4.5773 6.158e-06 ***
fesisDNK.2007 -44.019102 9.032355 -4.8735 1.540e-06 ***
fesisESP.2003 24.794123 5.840023 4.2456 2.669e-05 ***
fesisESP.2007 -30.337068 5.618785 -5.3992 1.104e-07 ***
fesisISR.2005 31.291365 6.145858 5.0915 5.306e-07 ***
fesisISR.2008 -36.407026 5.662477 -6.4295 3.380e-10 ***
fesisNOR.1998 -48.014884 10.689932 -4.4916 9.074e-06 ***
fesisNOR.1999 25.888872 9.065298 2.8558 0.0044986 **
fesisRUS.1997 32.622786 10.147416 3.2149 0.0014024 **
fesisRUS.2000 -56.343290 10.410301 -5.4123 1.032e-07 ***
fesisRUS.2001 30.072053 9.085492 3.3099 0.0010112 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 3.4538 1 0.06311 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 4.0358 1 0.04454 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 8.48142
R-squared 0.84034
Log-lik.(n=502) -1751.52162 Log Count
0
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:04:51 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 523
Sample: 1 to 523
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.622133 0.120112 13.5051 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -1.453733 0.325563 -4.4653 1.007e-05 ***
idAUT 0.938264 0.272164 3.4474 0.0006180 ***
idBEL -0.227134 0.239785 -0.9472 0.3440132
idCAN 1.296779 0.160943 8.0574 6.766e-15 ***
idCHE 0.366900 0.301829 1.2156 0.2247647
idCHN 1.431379 1.261258 1.1349 0.2570159
idDEU 3.433885 0.432829 7.9336 1.635e-14 ***
idDNK -3.032260 0.453464 -6.6869 6.626e-11 ***
idESP 0.867180 0.275234 3.1507 0.0017350 **
idFIN 1.346863 0.432872 3.1115 0.0019775 **
idFRA 2.336153 0.363121 6.4335 3.132e-10 ***
idGBR 2.349037 0.360341 6.5189 1.866e-10 ***
idISR -1.199492 0.317884 -3.7734 0.0001821 ***
idITA 1.274379 0.347306 3.6693 0.0002717 ***
idJPN -3.334858 0.708600 -4.7063 3.343e-06 ***
idKOR -8.425650 0.721619 -11.6760 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.108836 0.107455 10.3191 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNOR -4.146588 0.512600 -8.0893 5.381e-15 ***
idRUS -3.638261 0.622251 -5.8469 9.503e-09 ***
idSWE -2.068486 0.323429 -6.3955 3.940e-10 ***
idUSA 3.110703 0.800933 3.8838 0.0001179 ***
time1995 -17.501488 5.020146 -3.4863 0.0005368 ***
time1996 -17.368533 5.021944 -3.4585 0.0005937 ***
time1997 -17.370253 5.021455 -3.4592 0.0005922 ***
time1998 -17.252405 5.023507 -3.4343 0.0006478 ***
time1999 -17.126547 5.025842 -3.4077 0.0007127 ***
time2000 -17.051416 5.028864 -3.3907 0.0007572 ***
time2001 -16.940122 5.030959 -3.3672 0.0008232 ***
time2002 -16.940019 5.032150 -3.3664 0.0008255 ***
time2003 -16.847854 5.033901 -3.3469 0.0008843 ***
time2004 -16.773487 5.036149 -3.3306 0.0009363 ***
time2005 -16.682973 5.037902 -3.3115 0.0010011 **
time2006 -16.551724 5.041131 -3.2833 0.0011041 **
time2007 -16.326235 5.044604 -3.2364 0.0012980 **
time2008 -16.149569 5.046992 -3.1998 0.0014701 **
time2009 -15.919065 5.046738 -3.1543 0.0017141 **
time2010 -15.855694 5.049260 -3.1402 0.0017971 **
time2011 -15.848226 5.051372 -3.1374 0.0018139 **
time2012 -15.924389 5.053350 -3.1513 0.0017318 **
time2013 -16.081017 5.055449 -3.1809 0.0015673 **
time2014 -16.167015 5.057738 -3.1965 0.0014869 **
time2015 -16.297332 5.059992 -3.2208 0.0013688 **
time2016 -16.298154 5.061764 -3.2199 0.0013733 **
time2017 -16.220546 5.064061 -3.2031 0.0014541 **
time2018 -16.260101 5.066142 -3.2096 0.0014223 **
time2019 -16.393448 5.067958 -3.2347 0.0013053 **
fesisAUS.2009 -0.377374 0.081831 -4.6116 5.185e-06 ***
fesisBEL.1997 0.668511 0.136968 4.8808 1.459e-06 ***
fesisCAN.2007 -0.324793 0.076277 -4.2581 2.501e-05 ***
fesisCHE.2003 -0.477646 0.080704 -5.9185 6.356e-09 ***
fesisCHN.2002 0.562423 0.124579 4.5146 8.070e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2016 0.604985 0.126341 4.7885 2.269e-06 ***
fesisDNK.1998 0.674880 0.123405 5.4688 7.449e-08 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.728945 0.081348 8.9608 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisESP.2005 0.915665 0.077807 11.7684 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisFIN.1996 -0.680753 0.206591 -3.2952 0.0010596 **
fesisFIN.2000 -0.281571 0.102515 -2.7466 0.0062574 **
fesisITA.2006 0.371762 0.078627 4.7282 3.017e-06 ***
fesisKOR.1997 0.420798 0.148794 2.8281 0.0048875 **
fesisKOR.2004 0.797627 0.091063 8.7591 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.894124 0.089993 -9.9355 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisSWE.2002 -0.984029 0.083609 -11.7695 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 48.835 1 2.784e-12 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 31.140 1 2.401e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.17988
R-squared 0.98762
Log-lik.(n=523) 186.58340 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:04:50 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 523
Sample: 1 to 523
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.5644546 0.1162416 13.4587 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.3807135 0.3693835 -1.0307 0.3032419
idAUT 1.7940403 0.3182801 5.6367 3.046e-08 ***
idBEL 0.3812360 0.2632059 1.4484 0.1481849
idCAN 0.8054034 0.1799721 4.4752 9.661e-06 ***
idCHE 1.3741594 0.3517293 3.9069 0.0001077 ***
idCHN -2.9000976 1.4735731 -1.9681 0.0496666 *
idDEU 1.9589209 0.5035267 3.8904 0.0001150 ***
idDNK -1.6221143 0.5007269 -3.2395 0.0012850 **
idESP 0.0428503 0.3012819 0.1422 0.8869640
idFIN 2.6476049 0.4944029 5.3552 1.359e-07 ***
idFRA 1.0240455 0.4188708 2.4448 0.0148726 *
idGBR 1.1511702 0.4125730 2.7902 0.0054885 **
idISR -0.0093892 0.3859703 -0.0243 0.9806030
idITA 0.1280252 0.3969491 0.3225 0.7472047
idJPN -4.9798487 0.7962811 -6.2539 9.237e-10 ***
idKOR -8.9723989 0.7305957 -12.2809 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.2756110 0.1112368 11.4675 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNOR -2.4737192 0.5698358 -4.3411 1.749e-05 ***
idRUS -5.5911262 0.7341228 -7.6161 1.527e-13 ***
idSWE -0.9117014 0.3477437 -2.6218 0.0090408 **
idUSA 0.3459096 0.9466875 0.3654 0.7149905
time1995 -33.8970266 5.9602475 -5.6872 2.313e-08 ***
time1996 -33.7671709 5.9623518 -5.6634 2.634e-08 ***
time1997 -33.7644663 5.9626421 -5.6627 2.644e-08 ***
time1998 -33.6266142 5.9651871 -5.6371 3.038e-08 ***
time1999 -33.5042375 5.9678089 -5.6142 3.440e-08 ***
time2000 -33.4335632 5.9711057 -5.5992 3.729e-08 ***
time2001 -33.3273605 5.9735303 -5.5792 4.155e-08 ***
time2002 -33.3438584 5.9747784 -5.5808 4.119e-08 ***
time2003 -33.2863572 5.9764083 -5.5696 4.374e-08 ***
time2004 -33.1783612 5.9791510 -5.5490 4.885e-08 ***
time2005 -33.0893127 5.9809551 -5.5324 5.338e-08 ***
time2006 -32.9629394 5.9844511 -5.5081 6.078e-08 ***
time2007 -32.7448264 5.9879927 -5.4684 7.503e-08 ***
time2008 -32.5756320 5.9908160 -5.4376 8.829e-08 ***
time2009 -32.3489354 5.9905181 -5.4000 1.076e-07 ***
time2010 -32.2907919 5.9934025 -5.3877 1.147e-07 ***
time2011 -32.2718378 5.9931299 -5.3848 1.165e-07 ***
time2012 -32.3678916 5.9955282 -5.3987 1.083e-07 ***
time2013 -32.5330944 5.9969888 -5.4249 9.439e-08 ***
time2014 -32.6253788 5.9996630 -5.4379 8.816e-08 ***
time2015 -32.7618465 6.0022953 -5.4582 7.919e-08 ***
time2016 -32.7706360 6.0043443 -5.4578 7.935e-08 ***
time2017 -32.6983420 6.0069915 -5.4434 8.564e-08 ***
time2018 -32.7428875 6.0093957 -5.4486 8.331e-08 ***
time2019 -32.8807686 6.0115008 -5.4696 7.454e-08 ***
fesisAUS.2009 -0.5025819 0.0822545 -6.1101 2.141e-09 ***
fesisBEL.1997 0.6516701 0.1277447 5.1013 4.961e-07 ***
fesisCAN.2007 -0.3918647 0.0730550 -5.3640 1.298e-07 ***
fesisCHE.2003 -0.5203263 0.0760546 -6.8415 2.539e-11 ***
fesisCHN.2002 0.5876249 0.1185577 4.9564 1.015e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2016 0.6421941 0.1194678 5.3755 1.223e-07 ***
fesisDNK.1998 0.6624250 0.1151240 5.7540 1.603e-08 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.7382371 0.0759870 9.7153 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisESP.2005 0.8488312 0.0741521 11.4472 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisFIN.1996 -0.6911793 0.1924894 -3.5907 0.0003656 ***
fesisFIN.2000 -0.2577414 0.0956181 -2.6955 0.0072881 **
fesisFRA.2012 0.2842728 0.0748628 3.7973 0.0001661 ***
fesisISR.2011 -0.3422740 0.0935239 -3.6597 0.0002821 ***
fesisITA.2006 0.3793846 0.0737426 5.1447 3.991e-07 ***
fesisKOR.1997 0.3476390 0.1411302 2.4633 0.0141375 *
fesisKOR.2003 0.6599313 0.0930198 7.0945 5.002e-12 ***
fesisKOR.2013 0.3944422 0.0871560 4.5257 7.694e-06 ***
fesisNOR.2013 -0.3505172 0.0802925 -4.3655 1.571e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.7942177 0.0853287 -9.3077 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisSWE.1998 -0.4911097 0.1316970 -3.7291 0.0002164 ***
fesisSWE.2002 -0.7728588 0.0959924 -8.0512 7.226e-15 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 18.950 1 1.342e-05 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 11.367 1 0.0007476 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.16756
R-squared 0.98938
Log-lik.(n=523) 226.19512 1
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:05:25 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 502
Sample: 1 to 502
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.606741 0.030197 20.0925 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.870558 0.092869 9.3741 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -1.552735 0.318725 -4.8717 1.549e-06 ***
idAUT -0.110927 0.282848 -0.3922 0.6951165
idBEL -0.817700 0.264426 -3.0924 0.0021126 **
idCAN 0.904903 0.154034 5.8747 8.392e-09 ***
idCHE -0.722301 0.305330 -2.3656 0.0184337 *
idCHN 3.716101 1.253420 2.9648 0.0031945 **
idDEU 2.597372 0.440382 5.8980 7.364e-09 ***
idDNK -2.767383 0.455165 -6.0800 2.619e-09 ***
idESP 1.133950 0.240981 4.7056 3.400e-06 ***
idFIN -0.672861 0.413604 -1.6268 0.1044939
idFRA 1.998720 0.357589 5.5894 4.012e-08 ***
idGBR 2.003409 0.351352 5.7020 2.180e-08 ***
idISR -1.448804 0.358641 -4.0397 6.320e-05 ***
idITA 1.622917 0.326397 4.9722 9.519e-07 ***
idJPN -0.854013 0.597211 -1.4300 0.1534291
idKOR -3.560050 0.541733 -6.5716 1.417e-10 ***
idNLD 0.446004 0.104189 4.2807 2.290e-05 ***
idNOR -3.145577 0.510853 -6.1575 1.673e-09 ***
idRUS -0.331947 0.615233 -0.5395 0.5897838
idSWE -1.560952 0.310591 -5.0258 7.321e-07 ***
idUSA 3.337081 0.810677 4.1164 4.600e-05 ***
time1996 3.260509 5.002058 0.6518 0.5148505
time1997 3.154554 5.003058 0.6305 0.5286799
time1998 3.228462 5.003968 0.6452 0.5191480
time1999 3.358243 5.006517 0.6708 0.5027179
time2000 3.346471 5.008522 0.6682 0.5043863
time2001 3.374758 5.010488 0.6735 0.5009598
time2002 3.286484 5.012363 0.6557 0.5123771
time2003 3.389681 5.013658 0.6761 0.4993407
time2004 3.442085 5.015619 0.6863 0.4929039
time2005 3.482698 5.017908 0.6941 0.4880164
time2006 3.530797 5.019041 0.7035 0.4821301
time2007 3.662892 5.022298 0.7293 0.4661921
time2008 3.696844 5.024576 0.7358 0.4622751
time2009 3.792207 5.025093 0.7547 0.4508620
time2010 3.787645 5.027251 0.7534 0.4516008
time2011 3.749250 5.029110 0.7455 0.4563636
time2012 3.658486 5.031059 0.7272 0.4675041
time2013 3.553603 5.033113 0.7060 0.4805357
time2014 3.570783 5.035281 0.7092 0.4786071
time2015 3.494709 5.037402 0.6938 0.4882053
time2016 3.605340 5.039596 0.7154 0.4747414
time2017 3.670895 5.041634 0.7281 0.4669316
time2018 3.581538 5.043486 0.7101 0.4780006
time2019 3.496798 5.045208 0.6931 0.4886187
fesisBEL.1997 1.537174 0.235368 6.5309 1.815e-10 ***
fesisBEL.1998 -0.968902 0.194140 -4.9907 8.695e-07 ***
fesisBEL.2001 0.430425 0.151437 2.8423 0.0046885 **
fesisBEL.2003 -0.883756 0.203706 -4.3384 1.784e-05 ***
fesisBEL.2004 0.633358 0.171822 3.6861 0.0002563 ***
fesisBEL.2019 -0.572960 0.171410 -3.3426 0.0009011 ***
fesisCHN.1997 0.557243 0.177429 3.1407 0.0017999 **
fesisDNK.1998 1.433904 0.204487 7.0122 8.936e-12 ***
fesisDNK.1999 -1.012320 0.182327 -5.5522 4.897e-08 ***
fesisDNK.2005 0.405357 0.082689 4.9022 1.337e-06 ***
fesisESP.2003 0.452896 0.081111 5.5836 4.139e-08 ***
fesisISR.2006 0.501221 0.114469 4.3787 1.495e-05 ***
fesisISR.2009 -0.407247 0.111352 -3.6573 0.0002859 ***
fesisRUS.1998 0.789452 0.203774 3.8742 0.0001233 ***
fesisRUS.1999 -0.786495 0.177010 -4.4432 1.124e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.484465 0.086691 -5.5884 4.034e-08 ***
fesisSWE.1998 -0.564375 0.127897 -4.4127 1.287e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.5652 1 0.10924
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 5.8053 1 0.01598 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.16170
R-squared 0.98979
Log-lik.(n=502) 234.32803 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:05:23 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 502
Sample: 1 to 502
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.605780 0.030986 19.5500 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.910786 0.091569 9.9464 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -1.443709 0.307217 -4.6993 3.531e-06 ***
idAUT 0.315186 0.306618 1.0279 0.3045608
idBEL -0.628958 0.251878 -2.4971 0.0128997 *
idCAN 0.851364 0.148556 5.7309 1.895e-08 ***
idCHE -0.465883 0.302282 -1.5412 0.1240071
idCHN 3.231855 1.202435 2.6878 0.0074759 **
idDEU 2.427663 0.425234 5.7090 2.136e-08 ***
idDNK -2.606111 0.439265 -5.9329 6.178e-09 ***
idESP 1.091592 0.231981 4.7055 3.431e-06 ***
idFIN -0.441342 0.395877 -1.1148 0.2655459
idFRA 1.867736 0.344953 5.4145 1.030e-07 ***
idGBR 1.882482 0.339141 5.5507 5.017e-08 ***
idISR -1.252821 0.347518 -3.6051 0.0003491 ***
idITA 1.507567 0.314445 4.7944 2.261e-06 ***
idJPN -1.280551 0.572294 -2.2376 0.0257662 *
idKOR -3.919238 0.527666 -7.4275 6.116e-13 ***
idNLD 0.508405 0.100119 5.0780 5.718e-07 ***
idNOR -2.615761 0.531151 -4.9247 1.212e-06 ***
idRUS -0.430431 0.599807 -0.7176 0.4733887
idSWE -1.475549 0.299742 -4.9227 1.223e-06 ***
idUSA 2.956217 0.778854 3.7956 0.0001687 ***
time1996 0.252860 4.788613 0.0528 0.9579126
time1997 0.209286 4.790086 0.0437 0.9651709
time1998 0.282821 4.790466 0.0590 0.9529493
time1999 0.393985 4.793100 0.0822 0.9345277
time2000 0.357751 4.794975 0.0746 0.9405604
time2001 0.403914 4.796450 0.0842 0.9329282
time2002 0.326214 4.798185 0.0680 0.9458280
time2003 0.459821 4.799353 0.0958 0.9237174
time2004 0.479894 4.800842 0.1000 0.9204229
time2005 0.567969 4.802208 0.1183 0.9059076
time2006 0.573186 4.803830 0.1193 0.9050793
time2007 0.703331 4.806886 0.1463 0.8837403
time2008 0.736068 4.809026 0.1531 0.8784238
time2009 0.832777 4.809497 0.1732 0.8626139
time2010 0.826306 4.811538 0.1717 0.8637283
time2011 0.786376 4.813300 0.1634 0.8703003
time2012 0.694473 4.815159 0.1442 0.8853901
time2013 0.588226 4.817135 0.1221 0.9028687
time2014 0.603699 4.819231 0.1253 0.9003700
time2015 0.526013 4.821269 0.1091 0.9131727
time2016 0.634889 4.823384 0.1316 0.8953414
time2017 0.698730 4.825325 0.1448 0.8849337
time2018 0.607916 4.827079 0.1259 0.8998401
time2019 0.523097 4.828739 0.1083 0.9137850
fesisAUT.1997 -0.577164 0.191880 -3.0079 0.0027866 **
fesisAUT.1999 0.333282 0.116341 2.8647 0.0043811 **
fesisBEL.1997 1.472678 0.221881 6.6372 9.768e-11 ***
fesisBEL.1998 -0.949464 0.183301 -5.1798 3.437e-07 ***
fesisBEL.2001 0.426833 0.142226 3.0011 0.0028486 **
fesisBEL.2003 -0.920374 0.191363 -4.8096 2.103e-06 ***
fesisBEL.2004 0.790746 0.221370 3.5721 0.0003947 ***
fesisBEL.2005 -0.655190 0.220296 -2.9741 0.0031056 **
fesisBEL.2006 0.547225 0.161563 3.3871 0.0007722 ***
fesisBEL.2019 -0.599485 0.161565 -3.7105 0.0002343 ***
fesisCHE.2003 -0.603125 0.166675 -3.6186 0.0003319 ***
fesisCHE.2004 0.479271 0.161698 2.9640 0.0032077 **
fesisCHN.1997 0.870852 0.221637 3.9292 9.946e-05 ***
fesisCHN.1998 -0.428241 0.168119 -2.5473 0.0112087 *
fesisDNK.1998 1.400562 0.192064 7.2921 1.503e-12 ***
fesisDNK.1999 -0.998045 0.171512 -5.8191 1.166e-08 ***
fesisDNK.2005 0.396673 0.077754 5.1016 5.085e-07 ***
fesisESP.2003 0.422514 0.076879 5.4958 6.716e-08 ***
fesisISR.2005 -0.369850 0.167648 -2.2061 0.0279106 *
fesisISR.2006 0.810645 0.179792 4.5088 8.443e-06 ***
fesisISR.2009 -0.424163 0.104588 -4.0556 5.950e-05 ***
fesisNOR.1997 -0.481451 0.181811 -2.6481 0.0083963 **
fesisNOR.2000 0.463286 0.179804 2.5766 0.0103139 *
fesisNOR.2001 -0.402054 0.160168 -2.5102 0.0124366 *
fesisRUS.1997 -0.474788 0.221488 -2.1436 0.0326300 *
fesisRUS.1998 0.998126 0.220861 4.5192 8.055e-06 ***
fesisRUS.1999 -0.785088 0.166309 -4.7207 3.197e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.488742 0.082903 -5.8954 7.626e-09 ***
fesisSWE.1998 -0.393014 0.136251 -2.8845 0.0041198 **
fesisSWE.2002 -0.250940 0.091587 -2.7399 0.0064044 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.92396 1 0.3364
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.16710 1 0.1410
SE of regression 0.15169
R-squared 0.99128
Log-lik.(n=502) 272.91938 Solar
with IIS
Count
AR 0
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:11:00 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 513
Sample: 1 to 513
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 2.2016e-13 4.0603e-14 5.4221 9.809e-08 ***
pop 7.8381e-06 3.3845e-07 23.1587 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 8.6618e+01 1.1267e+01 7.6881 1.013e-13 ***
idBEL 6.3272e+01 1.0976e+01 5.7644 1.559e-08 ***
idCAN -9.4015e+01 1.1135e+01 -8.4429 4.711e-16 ***
idCHE 1.0730e+02 1.1352e+01 9.4521 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCHN -1.0018e+04 4.3319e+02 -23.1261 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU -3.7713e+02 2.4718e+01 -15.2573 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 9.0624e+01 1.2495e+01 7.2529 1.895e-12 ***
idESP -1.7845e+02 1.2939e+01 -13.7914 < 2.2e-16 ***
idFIN 9.5941e+01 1.1698e+01 8.2014 2.730e-15 ***
idFRA -2.8288e+02 1.7730e+01 -15.9545 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGBR -2.9828e+02 1.7206e+01 -17.3353 < 2.2e-16 ***
idISR 1.0611e+02 1.1640e+01 9.1157 < 2.2e-16 ***
idITA -2.7875e+02 1.6359e+01 -17.0397 < 2.2e-16 ***
idJPN -6.4695e+02 4.2313e+01 -15.2894 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -3.7618e+02 4.2416e+01 -8.8687 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 3.5351e+01 1.0513e+01 3.3627 0.0008406 ***
idNOR 9.8355e+01 1.1783e+01 8.3476 9.466e-16 ***
idRUS -1.0119e+03 4.2909e+01 -23.5832 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE 6.9137e+01 1.1144e+01 6.2039 1.289e-09 ***
idUSA -1.9234e+03 8.9474e+01 -21.4971 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1995 -1.5151e+02 1.3068e+01 -11.5946 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1996 -1.5324e+02 1.3106e+01 -11.6924 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1997 -1.5460e+02 1.2895e+01 -11.9885 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1998 -1.5184e+02 1.2948e+01 -11.7271 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1999 -1.4772e+02 1.2980e+01 -11.3802 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2000 -1.4526e+02 1.3016e+01 -11.1602 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2001 -1.4431e+02 1.2936e+01 -11.1555 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2002 -1.4784e+02 1.2978e+01 -11.3911 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2003 -1.4036e+02 1.2831e+01 -10.9391 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2004 -1.3754e+02 1.2942e+01 -10.6274 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2005 -1.2773e+02 1.3056e+01 -9.7836 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2006 -1.2534e+02 1.3149e+01 -9.5329 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2007 -1.1393e+02 1.2699e+01 -8.9721 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2008 -9.3474e+01 1.2841e+01 -7.2792 1.593e-12 ***
time2009 -9.3633e+01 1.3116e+01 -7.1386 4.005e-12 ***
time2010 -8.9004e+01 1.3193e+01 -6.7462 4.878e-11 ***
time2011 -9.0412e+01 1.3288e+01 -6.8042 3.395e-11 ***
time2012 -1.0135e+02 1.3277e+01 -7.6333 1.474e-13 ***
time2013 -1.1654e+02 1.3405e+01 -8.6936 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2014 -1.3572e+02 1.3525e+01 -10.0346 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2015 -1.3948e+02 1.3536e+01 -10.3048 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2016 -1.3108e+02 1.3646e+01 -9.6061 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2017 -1.2776e+02 1.3704e+01 -9.3229 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2018 -1.3077e+02 1.3812e+01 -9.4681 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2019 -1.6988e+02 1.3896e+01 -12.2246 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis126 5.2967e+02 4.7991e+01 11.0367 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis127 4.3366e+02 4.6242e+01 9.3781 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis128 3.4619e+02 4.4883e+01 7.7132 8.520e-14 ***
iis129 2.6793e+02 4.3858e+01 6.1090 2.235e-09 ***
iis130 1.9685e+02 4.3072e+01 4.5702 6.365e-06 ***
iis131 1.3598e+02 4.2558e+01 3.1951 0.0014999 **
iis163 1.9792e+02 4.3570e+01 4.5426 7.216e-06 ***
iis164 1.9181e+02 4.3566e+01 4.4028 1.348e-05 ***
iis165 2.3266e+02 4.3571e+01 5.3399 1.505e-07 ***
iis355 3.8192e+02 4.3572e+01 8.7652 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis356 7.8933e+02 4.3562e+01 18.1197 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis357 7.3623e+02 4.3558e+01 16.9023 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis358 4.1545e+02 4.3514e+01 9.5474 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis359 2.9376e+02 4.3506e+01 6.7521 4.702e-11 ***
iis360 1.4438e+02 4.3506e+01 3.3187 0.0009809 ***
iis501 1.5296e+02 5.3270e+01 2.8715 0.0042864 **
iis502 7.6484e+02 4.3885e+01 17.4283 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis503 9.2127e+02 4.3856e+01 21.0069 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis504 9.3874e+02 4.3776e+01 21.4440 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis505 7.9690e+02 4.3721e+01 18.2272 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis506 5.9579e+02 4.3641e+01 13.6521 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis507 5.3403e+02 4.3588e+01 12.2520 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis508 3.4391e+02 4.3555e+01 7.8959 2.392e-14 ***
iis509 3.7651e+02 4.3501e+01 8.6552 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis510 2.1494e+02 4.3484e+01 4.9429 1.102e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2007 -1.7417e+02 3.0131e+01 -5.7806 1.426e-08 ***
fesisDEU.2007 3.7113e+02 2.4366e+01 15.2313 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -2.3099e+02 2.6049e+01 -8.8674 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2008 4.2774e+02 2.4215e+01 17.6647 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2017 -2.5645e+02 3.0795e+01 -8.3275 1.096e-15 ***
fesisKOR.2009 4.2220e+02 2.9502e+01 14.3111 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2006 3.1255e+02 3.9669e+01 7.8788 2.697e-14 ***
fesisUSA.2008 -2.8123e+02 4.4300e+01 -6.3485 5.497e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 70.239 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 48.078 1 4.095e-12 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 36.71999
R-squared 0.98134
Log-lik.(n=513) -2536.41932 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:10:58 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 513
Sample: 1 to 513
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 2.2015e-13 3.7787e-14 5.8261 1.112e-08 ***
pop 6.9600e-06 3.3728e-07 20.6357 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 7.5283e+01 1.0598e+01 7.1035 5.062e-12 ***
idBEL 5.4052e+01 1.0291e+01 5.2522 2.367e-07 ***
idCAN -8.3594e+01 1.0459e+01 -7.9922 1.226e-14 ***
idCHE 9.5405e+01 1.0688e+01 8.9264 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCHN -8.7492e+03 4.2421e+02 -20.6248 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU -3.2267e+02 2.4189e+01 -13.3394 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 7.6364e+01 1.1790e+01 6.4769 2.558e-10 ***
idESP -1.5843e+02 1.2350e+01 -12.8283 < 2.2e-16 ***
idFIN 8.1967e+01 1.1053e+01 7.4161 6.458e-13 ***
idFRA -2.4559e+02 1.7276e+01 -14.2159 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGBR -2.6268e+02 1.6741e+01 -15.6907 < 2.2e-16 ***
idISR 9.3754e+01 1.0963e+01 8.5521 < 2.2e-16 ***
idITA -2.4595e+02 1.5875e+01 -15.4932 < 2.2e-16 ***
idJPN -5.5364e+02 4.1406e+01 -13.3711 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -3.5261e+02 3.9592e+01 -8.9060 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 3.1123e+01 9.7987e+00 3.1762 0.0015991 **
idNOR 8.3926e+01 1.1141e+01 7.5331 2.939e-13 ***
idRUS -9.0392e+02 4.2595e+01 -21.2215 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE 5.8668e+01 1.0468e+01 5.6043 3.736e-08 ***
idUSA -1.6939e+03 8.9038e+01 -19.0244 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1995 -1.3533e+02 1.2360e+01 -10.9487 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1996 -1.3677e+02 1.2402e+01 -11.0288 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1997 -1.3755e+02 1.2224e+01 -11.2520 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1998 -1.3456e+02 1.2278e+01 -10.9592 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1999 -1.3022e+02 1.2314e+01 -10.5747 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2000 -1.2753e+02 1.2353e+01 -10.3241 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2001 -1.2502e+02 1.2193e+01 -10.2534 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2002 -1.3088e+02 1.2313e+01 -10.6287 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2003 -1.2238e+02 1.2191e+01 -10.0381 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2004 -1.1902e+02 1.2307e+01 -9.6706 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2005 -1.0868e+02 1.2426e+01 -8.7461 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2006 -1.0639e+02 1.2507e+01 -8.5071 2.971e-16 ***
time2007 -9.0143e+01 1.2136e+01 -7.4280 5.964e-13 ***
time2008 -7.8981e+01 1.2290e+01 -6.4264 3.467e-10 ***
time2009 -7.5057e+01 1.2470e+01 -6.0190 3.757e-09 ***
time2010 -6.9974e+01 1.2553e+01 -5.5745 4.385e-08 ***
time2011 -7.0885e+01 1.2653e+01 -5.6023 3.778e-08 ***
time2012 -8.3645e+01 1.2777e+01 -6.5467 1.675e-10 ***
time2013 -9.5935e+01 1.2792e+01 -7.4998 3.679e-13 ***
time2014 -1.1455e+02 1.2917e+01 -8.8682 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2015 -1.1793e+02 1.2941e+01 -9.1127 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2016 -1.0904e+02 1.3056e+01 -8.3517 9.285e-16 ***
time2017 -1.0554e+02 1.3113e+01 -8.0491 8.191e-15 ***
time2018 -1.2158e+02 1.2910e+01 -9.4177 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2019 -1.4686e+02 1.3312e+01 -11.0320 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis126 3.2389e+02 4.5504e+01 7.1179 4.611e-12 ***
iis127 2.3807e+02 4.4360e+01 5.3669 1.311e-07 ***
iis128 1.5986e+02 4.3594e+01 3.6670 0.0002760 ***
iis129 9.0073e+01 4.3140e+01 2.0879 0.0373923 *
iis147 2.8310e+02 3.9100e+01 7.2406 2.069e-12 ***
iis162 1.9578e+02 4.9588e+01 3.9482 9.195e-05 ***
iis163 3.1778e+02 4.9634e+01 6.4025 3.999e-10 ***
iis164 3.1111e+02 4.9632e+01 6.2684 8.864e-10 ***
iis165 3.5014e+02 4.9644e+01 7.0530 7.014e-12 ***
iis166 1.6274e+02 4.9648e+01 3.2780 0.0011302 **
iis355 3.8325e+02 4.0546e+01 9.4523 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis356 7.9023e+02 4.0536e+01 19.4946 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis357 7.3642e+02 4.0531e+01 18.1691 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis358 4.1728e+02 4.0527e+01 10.2963 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis359 2.9253e+02 4.0483e+01 7.2261 2.275e-12 ***
iis360 1.4245e+02 4.0483e+01 3.5187 0.0004797 ***
iis501 1.5062e+02 4.9588e+01 3.0375 0.0025307 **
iis502 7.4858e+02 4.0949e+01 18.2806 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis503 9.0328e+02 4.0880e+01 22.0957 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis504 9.2254e+02 4.0792e+01 22.6155 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis505 7.8219e+02 4.0730e+01 19.2043 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis506 5.8491e+02 4.0678e+01 14.3790 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis507 5.2217e+02 4.0589e+01 12.8651 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis508 3.3353e+02 4.0550e+01 8.2251 2.326e-15 ***
iis509 3.6781e+02 4.0493e+01 9.0832 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis510 2.0780e+02 4.0471e+01 5.1345 4.292e-07 ***
fesisCHN.2003 -1.4612e+02 3.1309e+01 -4.6672 4.083e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2007 -1.4120e+02 2.8389e+01 -4.9736 9.506e-07 ***
fesisDEU.2007 2.5016e+02 3.6509e+01 6.8519 2.528e-11 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -1.1239e+02 3.7533e+01 -2.9945 0.0029070 **
fesisJPN.2008 4.2698e+02 2.2540e+01 18.9431 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2017 -2.5577e+02 2.8659e+01 -8.9247 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2009 4.2360e+02 2.7459e+01 15.4267 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2006 3.2607e+02 3.6957e+01 8.8229 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2008 -2.5550e+02 4.1369e+01 -6.1762 1.520e-09 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 77.423 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 12.429 1 0.0004228 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 34.16556
R-squared 0.98392
Log-lik.(n=513) -2498.43041 AR 1
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:10:54 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 492
Sample: 1 to 492
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 7.6772e-01 1.3561e-02 56.6140 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -7.0256e-14 3.4699e-14 -2.0247 0.0435240 *
pop 8.4152e-07 1.4595e-07 5.7658 1.574e-08 ***
idAUT 7.0282e+00 6.6081e+00 1.0636 0.2881332
idBEL 3.5556e+00 6.5170e+00 0.5456 0.5856401
idCAN -1.0426e+01 6.5717e+00 -1.5865 0.1133794
idCHE 1.1465e+01 6.6445e+00 1.7256 0.0851619 .
idCHN -1.0542e+03 1.8791e+02 -5.6102 3.669e-08 ***
idDEU -1.1409e+01 1.2161e+01 -0.9382 0.3486938
idDNK 3.8797e+00 7.2912e+00 0.5321 0.5949296
idESP -1.9143e+01 7.1616e+00 -2.6731 0.0078079 **
idFIN 6.0239e+00 6.7398e+00 0.8938 0.3719524
idFRA -2.1749e+01 8.7987e+00 -2.4718 0.0138386 *
idGBR -2.9437e+01 8.6391e+00 -3.4074 0.0007190 ***
idISR 1.1210e+01 6.8061e+00 1.6470 0.1002980
idITA -2.7736e+01 8.3297e+00 -3.3297 0.0009459 ***
idJPN 3.1479e+01 2.3447e+01 1.3426 0.1801368
idKOR 5.3453e+01 3.4182e+01 1.5638 0.1186201
idNLD 4.0438e+00 6.3776e+00 0.6341 0.5263832
idNOR 6.1222e+00 6.7671e+00 0.9047 0.3661379
idRUS -1.0734e+02 1.9219e+01 -5.5850 4.199e-08 ***
idSWE 4.2735e+00 6.5695e+00 0.6505 0.5157183
idUSA -1.6819e+02 3.9200e+01 -4.2907 2.212e-05 ***
time1996 -2.0721e+01 7.4315e+00 -2.7883 0.0055385 **
time1997 -2.0377e+01 7.4399e+00 -2.7388 0.0064276 **
time1998 -1.5684e+01 7.0240e+00 -2.2330 0.0260753 *
time1999 -1.2276e+01 7.0498e+00 -1.7414 0.0823465 .
time2000 -1.2414e+01 7.0756e+00 -1.7545 0.0800726 .
time2001 -1.4147e+01 7.1070e+00 -1.9906 0.0471677 *
time2002 -1.6730e+01 7.0697e+00 -2.3664 0.0184128 *
time2003 -1.0352e+01 7.1057e+00 -1.4569 0.1458966
time2004 -7.1183e+00 7.1384e+00 -0.9972 0.3192515
time2005 1.3977e+00 7.1723e+00 0.1949 0.8455835
time2006 8.4719e-02 7.1948e+00 0.0118 0.9906106
time2007 1.5645e-01 7.2835e+00 0.0215 0.9828722
time2008 1.0307e+01 7.4826e+00 1.3775 0.1690887
time2009 2.0121e+01 7.4682e+00 2.6943 0.0073364 **
time2010 3.7216e+00 7.5002e+00 0.4962 0.6200138
time2011 5.5331e-01 7.4820e+00 0.0740 0.9410841
time2012 -1.5527e+01 7.5250e+00 -2.0633 0.0396926 *
time2013 -1.2344e+01 7.5516e+00 -1.6346 0.1028844
time2014 -1.8075e+01 7.5679e+00 -2.3883 0.0173646 *
time2015 -1.2170e+01 7.3166e+00 -1.6633 0.0969929 .
time2016 -7.5325e+00 7.4754e+00 -1.0076 0.3142061
time2017 -1.0613e+01 7.5694e+00 -1.4021 0.1616152
time2018 -7.1815e+00 7.4581e+00 -0.9629 0.3361406
time2019 -2.1703e+01 7.5217e+00 -2.8854 0.0041108 **
iis140 1.0799e+02 2.6069e+01 4.1424 4.156e-05 ***
iis142 -2.9109e+02 2.6730e+01 -10.8902 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis155 8.8013e+01 2.5240e+01 3.4871 0.0005396 ***
iis160 -8.5708e+01 2.4167e+01 -3.5465 0.0004343 ***
iis340 2.4016e+02 2.7831e+01 8.6292 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis341 3.4305e+02 2.7613e+01 12.4233 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis343 -6.7081e+01 2.5780e+01 -2.6020 0.0095943 **
iis348 -9.8188e+01 2.4395e+01 -4.0250 6.757e-05 ***
iis371 2.6793e+02 2.6282e+01 10.1943 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis481 2.0425e+02 2.6042e+01 7.8433 3.648e-14 ***
iis482 8.2549e+01 2.6525e+01 3.1121 0.0019840 **
iis487 -1.2585e+02 2.4653e+01 -5.1050 5.020e-07 ***
iis489 -1.1747e+02 2.4753e+01 -4.7457 2.852e-06 ***
iis490 -1.8589e+02 2.5007e+01 -7.4335 5.965e-13 ***
iis492 -1.8046e+02 2.5266e+01 -7.1423 4.063e-12 ***
fesisCHN.2015 1.4416e+02 1.8253e+01 7.8976 2.497e-14 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.4541e+02 1.4397e+01 10.1000 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -1.6490e+02 1.4414e+01 -11.4401 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2008 2.4077e+02 1.9486e+01 12.3557 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -2.3448e+02 1.8570e+01 -12.6271 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2007 1.9064e+02 2.0334e+01 9.3750 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2016 -6.6047e+01 1.9010e+01 -3.4743 0.0005653 ***
fesisUSA.2006 2.5658e+02 1.6906e+01 15.1774 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -1.6834e+02 1.6747e+01 -10.0519 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.88477 1 0.3469
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 23.10194 1 1.536e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 21.95599
R-squared 0.99345
Log-lik.(n=492) -2182.42548 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:10:53 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 492
Sample: 1 to 492
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.6022e-01 1.7583e-02 48.9232 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 6.1811e-14 3.3815e-14 1.8279 0.0682905 .
pop 5.3558e-07 1.3075e-07 4.0962 5.063e-05 ***
idAUT 4.5818e+00 5.6536e+00 0.8104 0.4181692
idBEL 2.2168e+00 5.5695e+00 0.3980 0.6908199
idCAN -6.7751e+00 5.6332e+00 -1.2027 0.2297786
idCHE 7.3163e+00 5.7019e+00 1.2831 0.2001706
idCHN -6.7023e+02 1.6808e+02 -3.9876 7.903e-05 ***
idDEU -1.5548e+00 1.0465e+01 -0.1486 0.8819639
idDNK 2.5147e+00 6.2317e+00 0.4035 0.6867714
idESP -1.2106e+01 6.1827e+00 -1.9580 0.0509049 .
idFIN 4.0197e+00 5.7632e+00 0.6975 0.4858976
idFRA -1.3429e+01 7.5888e+00 -1.7696 0.0775312 .
idGBR -1.8916e+01 7.5004e+00 -2.5220 0.0120459 *
idISR 7.5754e+00 5.8341e+00 1.2985 0.1948575
idITA -1.7707e+01 7.2297e+00 -2.4492 0.0147335 *
idJPN -2.7302e+01 2.1429e+01 -1.2741 0.2033554
idKOR -6.5272e+01 3.3028e+01 -1.9763 0.0487962 *
idNLD 2.9551e+00 5.4495e+00 0.5423 0.5879200
idNOR 3.6943e+00 5.7874e+00 0.6383 0.5236140
idRUS -7.5976e+01 1.7232e+01 -4.4089 1.329e-05 ***
idSWE 2.5430e+00 5.6148e+00 0.4529 0.6508531
idUSA -9.9817e+01 3.4662e+01 -2.8797 0.0041893 **
time1996 -1.2682e+01 6.4067e+00 -1.9796 0.0484199 *
time1997 -1.2790e+01 6.4105e+00 -1.9952 0.0466872 *
time1998 -8.6209e+00 6.0459e+00 -1.4259 0.1546559
time1999 -5.9330e+00 6.0625e+00 -0.9786 0.3283343
time2000 -7.1059e+00 6.0759e+00 -1.1695 0.2428730
time2001 -9.4545e+00 6.0979e+00 -1.5504 0.1218080
time2002 -1.2681e+01 6.0638e+00 -2.0912 0.0371239 *
time2003 -6.3556e+00 6.0971e+00 -1.0424 0.2978397
time2004 -3.9820e+00 6.1201e+00 -0.6506 0.5156376
time2005 3.5382e+00 6.1434e+00 0.5759 0.5649769
time2006 5.2835e-01 6.2035e+00 0.0852 0.9321680
time2007 6.9008e+00 6.3273e+00 1.0906 0.2760784
time2008 7.7204e+00 6.4883e+00 1.1899 0.2347770
time2009 1.6910e+01 6.4488e+00 2.6222 0.0090629 **
time2010 -6.6173e-01 6.4470e+00 -0.1026 0.9182972
time2011 -3.7256e+00 6.4552e+00 -0.5772 0.5641546
time2012 -6.8982e+00 6.5597e+00 -1.0516 0.2935953
time2013 -1.2263e+01 6.4971e+00 -1.8874 0.0598104 .
time2014 -1.4525e+01 6.5410e+00 -2.2207 0.0269192 *
time2015 -1.1706e+01 6.3186e+00 -1.8527 0.0646439 .
time2016 -6.0273e+00 6.4028e+00 -0.9414 0.3470759
time2017 -8.2114e+00 6.4752e+00 -1.2681 0.2054688
time2018 -8.0216e-01 6.4584e+00 -0.1242 0.9012153
time2019 -1.8417e+01 6.4641e+00 -2.8492 0.0046042 **
iis140 1.0351e+02 2.2283e+01 4.6454 4.579e-06 ***
iis142 -3.2874e+02 2.3525e+01 -13.9742 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis155 1.0638e+02 2.1763e+01 4.8880 1.465e-06 ***
iis159 -9.9669e+01 2.2236e+01 -4.4824 9.591e-06 ***
iis160 -1.1613e+02 2.1227e+01 -5.4711 7.799e-08 ***
iis339 1.6046e+02 3.3059e+01 4.8537 1.725e-06 ***
iis340 3.5011e+02 3.0648e+01 11.4233 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis341 4.1157e+02 2.8168e+01 14.6115 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis343 -1.5525e+02 2.4458e+01 -6.3477 5.801e-10 ***
iis345 -5.1321e+01 2.1835e+01 -2.3504 0.0192282 *
iis348 -1.1437e+02 2.1592e+01 -5.2968 1.927e-07 ***
iis349 -7.3821e+01 2.2016e+01 -3.3530 0.0008736 ***
iis363 6.7608e+01 2.2720e+01 2.9757 0.0030963 **
iis364 6.9209e+01 2.2342e+01 3.0977 0.0020847 **
iis371 2.9588e+02 2.2580e+01 13.1034 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis479 7.3278e+01 2.5897e+01 2.8296 0.0048901 **
iis481 2.2964e+02 2.3818e+01 9.6413 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis482 7.4877e+01 2.3796e+01 3.1466 0.0017722 **
iis485 -9.7692e+01 2.3608e+01 -4.1382 4.251e-05 ***
iis487 -1.2499e+02 2.3836e+01 -5.2438 2.526e-07 ***
iis489 -1.2034e+02 2.7833e+01 -4.3235 1.930e-05 ***
iis490 -1.7661e+02 2.7424e+01 -6.4398 3.353e-10 ***
iis492 -1.5850e+02 2.7248e+01 -5.8169 1.209e-08 ***
fesisCHN.2015 1.2958e+02 1.5720e+01 8.2433 2.289e-15 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.0655e+02 1.3680e+01 7.7889 5.595e-14 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -1.3371e+02 1.3410e+01 -9.9709 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2008 9.7925e+01 2.9161e+01 3.3581 0.0008581 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -1.2521e+02 2.4729e+01 -5.0633 6.238e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2007 1.1817e+02 2.0152e+01 5.8637 9.322e-09 ***
fesisKOR.2012 -1.2034e+02 1.6453e+01 -7.3140 1.374e-12 ***
fesisKOR.2016 -4.7713e+01 1.6495e+01 -2.8926 0.0040248 **
fesisUSA.2006 1.8294e+02 2.0231e+01 9.0426 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -1.6553e+02 1.9536e+01 -8.4729 4.342e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2015 8.2573e+01 2.4497e+01 3.3707 0.0008210 ***
fesisUSA.2016 -6.2189e+01 2.7676e+01 -2.2470 0.0251711 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 8.3505 1 0.003856 **
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 40.2912 1 2.188e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 18.75346
R-squared 0.99535
Log-lik.(n=492) -2099.35585 Log Count
AR 0
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:10:59 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 513
Sample: 1 to 513
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 2.31489 0.16903 13.6952 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop 0.72969 0.55518 1.3143 0.1894064
idAUT 3.23249 0.47960 6.7400 4.913e-11 ***
idBEL 2.33333 0.36207 6.4445 3.014e-10 ***
idCAN -1.54933 0.29812 -5.1970 3.088e-07 ***
idCHE 2.92205 0.53543 5.4573 8.032e-08 ***
idCHN -10.35684 2.20846 -4.6896 3.644e-06 ***
idDEU -1.04840 0.76452 -1.3713 0.1709622
idDNK -1.64418 0.74826 -2.1974 0.0285088 *
idESP -0.73565 0.47143 -1.5605 0.1193538
idFIN 4.33846 0.72859 5.9546 5.288e-09 ***
idFRA -2.18541 0.64674 -3.3791 0.0007910 ***
idGBR -1.29749 0.62973 -2.0604 0.0399416 *
idISR 0.98453 0.55242 1.7822 0.0753935 .
idITA -1.97335 0.61295 -3.2194 0.0013782 **
idJPN -12.60387 1.17178 -10.7561 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -16.26140 1.06834 -15.2212 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 0.70272 0.29319 2.3968 0.0169495 *
idNOR -2.67330 0.84811 -3.1521 0.0017304 **
idRUS -11.86231 1.10357 -10.7490 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE -2.69920 0.52065 -5.1843 3.294e-07 ***
idUSA -5.50698 1.42419 -3.8667 0.0001267 ***
time1995 -74.04951 8.86445 -8.3535 8.457e-16 ***
time1996 -73.92229 8.86824 -8.3356 9.641e-16 ***
time1997 -73.97762 8.86661 -8.3434 9.109e-16 ***
time1998 -73.83764 8.86941 -8.3250 1.042e-15 ***
time1999 -73.70798 8.87338 -8.3066 1.191e-15 ***
time2000 -73.74591 8.87788 -8.3067 1.191e-15 ***
time2001 -73.59674 8.88252 -8.2856 1.389e-15 ***
time2002 -73.56532 8.88630 -8.2785 1.462e-15 ***
time2003 -73.35002 8.88987 -8.2510 1.787e-15 ***
time2004 -73.41070 8.89361 -8.2543 1.744e-15 ***
time2005 -73.16056 8.89610 -8.2239 2.174e-15 ***
time2006 -72.99544 8.90138 -8.2005 2.576e-15 ***
time2007 -72.75416 8.90608 -8.1690 3.232e-15 ***
time2008 -72.48682 8.91027 -8.1352 4.123e-15 ***
time2009 -72.18004 8.91352 -8.0978 5.392e-15 ***
time2010 -72.19414 8.91769 -8.0956 5.478e-15 ***
time2011 -72.31776 8.92123 -8.1063 5.075e-15 ***
time2012 -72.47219 8.92567 -8.1195 4.615e-15 ***
time2013 -72.74391 8.92935 -8.1466 3.798e-15 ***
time2014 -72.87548 8.93328 -8.1578 3.506e-15 ***
time2015 -73.03363 8.93715 -8.1719 3.165e-15 ***
time2016 -73.08603 8.94081 -8.1744 3.108e-15 ***
time2017 -73.14258 8.94466 -8.1772 3.046e-15 ***
time2018 -73.28350 8.94817 -8.1898 2.783e-15 ***
time2019 -73.50073 8.95124 -8.2112 2.383e-15 ***
iis200 -1.38725 0.35369 -3.9222 0.0001016 ***
iis316 -1.90681 0.35851 -5.3187 1.657e-07 ***
iis319 -1.53900 0.35632 -4.3192 1.932e-05 ***
iis320 -1.01296 0.35621 -2.8438 0.0046635 **
fesisAUS.2005 -0.90369 0.14807 -6.1031 2.261e-09 ***
fesisAUT.2016 -0.57495 0.18395 -3.1256 0.0018901 **
fesisCHE.2001 -0.76780 0.16039 -4.7870 2.307e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2016 0.65879 0.22591 2.9161 0.0037229 **
fesisESP.2005 0.46025 0.14576 3.1576 0.0016988 **
fesisFIN.1997 -1.24251 0.25617 -4.8504 1.705e-06 ***
fesisFIN.2012 0.82852 0.14911 5.5566 4.739e-08 ***
fesisFRA.2002 0.54118 0.18097 2.9905 0.0029398 **
fesisFRA.2009 0.53429 0.16302 3.2774 0.0011295 **
fesisITA.2006 0.79787 0.15425 5.1727 3.492e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.71876 0.22562 3.1857 0.0015452 **
fesisKOR.2007 0.79412 0.21686 3.6619 0.0002804 ***
fesisNLD.1997 1.36187 0.29264 4.6538 4.304e-06 ***
fesisNLD.2001 -0.64328 0.18693 -3.4413 0.0006334 ***
fesisRUS.2005 -0.92725 0.16626 -5.5772 4.244e-08 ***
fesisSWE.2002 -0.52542 0.15193 -3.4583 0.0005957 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.0792 1 0.149314
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 10.1359 1 0.001454 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.32705
R-squared 0.96495
Log-lik.(n=513) -121.06340 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:11:00 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 513
Sample: 1 to 513
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 2.37514 0.15058 15.7734 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop 0.47529 0.50415 0.9427 0.3463446
idAUT 3.69207 0.45624 8.0925 6.170e-15 ***
idBEL 2.30936 0.32752 7.0509 7.216e-12 ***
idCAN -1.29604 0.27118 -4.7793 2.426e-06 ***
idCHE 2.79427 0.48732 5.7340 1.861e-08 ***
idCHN -9.43590 2.00923 -4.6963 3.579e-06 ***
idDEU -0.67578 0.69459 -0.9729 0.3311409
idDNK -1.94143 0.67722 -2.8668 0.0043526 **
idESP -0.26811 0.42933 -0.6245 0.5326472
idFIN 4.26160 0.66302 6.4276 3.479e-10 ***
idFRA -1.79665 0.58433 -3.0747 0.0022424 **
idGBR -0.96785 0.57143 -1.6937 0.0910485 .
idISR 0.80202 0.50085 1.6013 0.1100489
idITA -1.66716 0.55458 -3.0062 0.0028019 **
idJPN -12.43411 1.05806 -11.7518 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -15.95388 0.96124 -16.5972 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 0.83391 0.26282 3.1729 0.0016184 **
idNOR -2.39253 0.79902 -2.9943 0.0029108 **
idRUS -12.44423 0.97151 -12.8091 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE -3.92518 0.54357 -7.2212 2.389e-12 ***
idUSA -5.25393 1.28509 -4.0884 5.194e-05 ***
time1995 -71.55467 8.06415 -8.8732 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1996 -71.49619 8.06772 -8.8620 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1997 -71.45318 8.06629 -8.8582 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1998 -71.29575 8.06806 -8.8368 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1999 -71.14924 8.07254 -8.8137 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2000 -71.16474 8.07550 -8.8124 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2001 -71.03351 8.08037 -8.7909 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2002 -70.93492 8.08296 -8.7759 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2003 -70.84509 8.08582 -8.7616 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2004 -70.80099 8.09044 -8.7512 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2005 -70.65799 8.09324 -8.7305 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2006 -70.45382 8.09566 -8.7027 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2007 -70.22643 8.09967 -8.6703 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2008 -69.92274 8.10370 -8.6285 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2009 -69.64832 8.10642 -8.5917 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2010 -69.66272 8.11019 -8.5895 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2011 -69.78636 8.11339 -8.6014 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2012 -69.93220 8.11732 -8.6152 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2013 -70.20303 8.12066 -8.6450 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2014 -70.33406 8.12422 -8.6573 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2015 -70.49168 8.12773 -8.6730 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2016 -70.57003 8.13065 -8.6795 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2017 -70.58840 8.13435 -8.6778 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2018 -70.72748 8.13754 -8.6915 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2019 -71.01558 8.14047 -8.7238 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis48 -0.80121 0.30813 -2.6002 0.0096400 **
iis49 -0.83744 0.30813 -2.7178 0.0068399 **
iis78 -0.98054 0.31020 -3.1610 0.0016843 **
iis80 -1.09717 0.30953 -3.5446 0.0004368 ***
iis200 -1.09086 0.34812 -3.1336 0.0018462 **
iis223 -0.70837 0.31366 -2.2584 0.0244236 *
iis231 -0.74087 0.31207 -2.3740 0.0180371 *
iis242 0.65492 0.32126 2.0386 0.0421083 *
iis316 -1.85442 0.32270 -5.7466 1.737e-08 ***
iis319 -1.53631 0.32040 -4.7950 2.252e-06 ***
iis320 -1.02805 0.32033 -3.2094 0.0014308 **
iis368 -0.64154 0.32071 -2.0004 0.0460946 *
iis369 -0.64455 0.32103 -2.0077 0.0453013 *
iis371 -0.67341 0.32041 -2.1017 0.0361655 *
iis373 -1.03186 0.32026 -3.2220 0.0013708 **
iis423 -1.13602 0.30927 -3.6733 0.0002699 ***
iis441 1.02689 0.32094 3.1997 0.0014786 **
iis442 0.99959 0.32224 3.1020 0.0020502 **
iis443 1.11268 0.32026 3.4743 0.0005646 ***
iis444 0.90380 0.31833 2.8392 0.0047394 **
iis446 1.19811 0.31462 3.8082 0.0001606 ***
iis447 1.49522 0.31211 4.7907 2.299e-06 ***
fesisAUS.2006 -0.85146 0.13299 -6.4024 4.046e-10 ***
fesisAUT.1998 -0.64146 0.19039 -3.3693 0.0008223 ***
fesisCHE.2001 -0.77891 0.14559 -5.3502 1.438e-07 ***
fesisCHN.2016 0.63779 0.20163 3.1632 0.0016720 **
fesisESP.2001 -0.59291 0.21460 -2.7629 0.0059768 **
fesisESP.2005 0.87148 0.19204 4.5381 7.396e-06 ***
fesisFIN.1997 -1.24755 0.23292 -5.3561 1.394e-07 ***
fesisFIN.2012 0.66861 0.14264 4.6876 3.727e-06 ***
fesisFRA.2003 0.47210 0.16459 2.8683 0.0043319 **
fesisFRA.2009 0.55015 0.15317 3.5917 0.0003669 ***
fesisITA.2006 0.81375 0.13878 5.8634 9.102e-09 ***
fesisKOR.2007 1.07412 0.14145 7.5939 1.984e-13 ***
fesisNLD.1997 1.26741 0.26331 4.8134 2.064e-06 ***
fesisNLD.2001 -0.63294 0.16879 -3.7499 0.0002013 ***
fesisNOR.1998 -0.66566 0.19047 -3.4948 0.0005242 ***
fesisSWE.1996 1.21442 0.32802 3.7023 0.0002417 ***
fesisSWE.2002 -0.71552 0.14450 -4.9518 1.062e-06 ***
fesisUSA.2001 0.45348 0.14597 3.1066 0.0020191 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 3.4064 1 0.06494 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.5033 1 0.11361
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.29313
R-squared 0.97311
Log-lik.(n=513) -54.88787 AR 1
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:11:48 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 492
Sample: 1 to 492
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.4023538 0.0361848 11.1194 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 1.5378375 0.1625090 9.4631 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.1108783 0.5607767 -0.1977 0.8433561
idAUT 1.6316404 0.5050328 3.2308 0.0013301 **
idBEL 1.1724876 0.3778951 3.1027 0.0020451 **
idCAN -0.0046769 0.3694130 -0.0127 0.9899046
idCHE 0.9563112 0.5355876 1.7855 0.0748839 .
idCHN -4.2925363 2.2895989 -1.8748 0.0615028 .
idDEU 0.0025657 0.7827761 0.0033 0.9973864
idDNK -1.7041452 0.7580358 -2.2481 0.0250788 *
idESP 0.1999504 0.4771761 0.4190 0.6754061
idFIN 1.4999273 0.7316356 2.0501 0.0409647 *
idFRA -0.3401154 0.6524900 -0.5213 0.6024576
idGBR -0.2345434 0.6399129 -0.3665 0.7141557
idISR 0.1178940 0.5631247 0.2094 0.8342696
idITA -0.3302533 0.6110397 -0.5405 0.5891494
idJPN -7.4831821 1.2162723 -6.1526 1.756e-09 ***
idKOR -10.3339538 1.0937443 -9.4482 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD -0.0387026 0.3769547 -0.1027 0.9182716
idNOR -2.4844436 0.8520118 -2.9160 0.0037326 **
idRUS -6.4933185 1.1942000 -5.4374 9.116e-08 ***
idSWE -1.9162670 0.5227887 -3.6655 0.0002780 ***
idUSA -2.2036192 1.4784075 -1.4905 0.1368217
time1996 -39.1644100 9.4159939 -4.1593 3.860e-05 ***
time1997 -39.3735228 9.4170005 -4.1811 3.521e-05 ***
time1998 -39.1408622 9.4140992 -4.1577 3.887e-05 ***
time1999 -39.0476783 9.4191174 -4.1456 4.090e-05 ***
time2000 -39.1095586 9.4205095 -4.1515 3.989e-05 ***
time2001 -39.0636451 9.4236302 -4.1453 4.095e-05 ***
time2002 -39.0236840 9.4279613 -4.1391 4.201e-05 ***
time2003 -38.8909633 9.4311431 -4.1237 4.482e-05 ***
time2004 -38.9329906 9.4340923 -4.1268 4.423e-05 ***
time2005 -38.7694537 9.4353972 -4.1089 4.766e-05 ***
time2006 -38.6360731 9.4379610 -4.0937 5.078e-05 ***
time2007 -38.4405481 9.4406428 -4.0718 5.560e-05 ***
time2008 -38.3056856 9.4421043 -4.0569 5.913e-05 ***
time2009 -38.1139112 9.4422357 -4.0365 6.429e-05 ***
time2010 -38.2052880 9.4447072 -4.0452 6.206e-05 ***
time2011 -38.3317654 9.4480550 -4.0571 5.908e-05 ***
time2012 -38.4281426 9.4533070 -4.0650 5.718e-05 ***
time2013 -38.6497632 9.4578985 -4.0865 5.232e-05 ***
time2014 -38.6654492 9.4640193 -4.0855 5.253e-05 ***
time2015 -38.7701211 9.4688434 -4.0945 5.061e-05 ***
time2016 -38.7525451 9.4740416 -4.0904 5.148e-05 ***
time2017 -38.7862999 9.4782064 -4.0922 5.111e-05 ***
time2018 -38.9083247 9.4819663 -4.1034 4.877e-05 ***
time2019 -39.0276780 9.4873914 -4.1136 4.674e-05 ***
iis27 -1.0460369 0.3434421 -3.0457 0.0024648 **
iis50 1.1158249 0.3447436 3.2367 0.0013035 **
iis74 -1.7112083 0.4132818 -4.1405 4.177e-05 ***
iis76 -1.2649350 0.3436587 -3.6808 0.0002623 ***
iis169 -1.1071784 0.3433740 -3.2244 0.0013593 **
iis191 -1.3506688 0.3429841 -3.9380 9.594e-05 ***
iis213 -0.9451159 0.3455292 -2.7353 0.0064926 **
iis305 -1.8187639 0.3435090 -5.2947 1.912e-07 ***
iis376 1.3465640 0.3474239 3.8759 0.0001230 ***
iis405 -1.2037381 0.3414570 -3.5253 0.0004688 ***
iis444 -0.9491565 0.3459051 -2.7440 0.0063257 **
fesisAUS.2005 -0.5599637 0.1538687 -3.6392 0.0003069 ***
fesisCAN.1999 -0.6530585 0.2515554 -2.5961 0.0097545 **
fesisFIN.2012 0.4344985 0.1484398 2.9271 0.0036042 **
fesisKOR.2003 0.8551104 0.1611624 5.3059 1.805e-07 ***
fesisNLD.1997 0.9071770 0.3439220 2.6377 0.0086508 **
fesisRUS.2004 -0.6972233 0.1781857 -3.9129 0.0001061 ***
fesisSWE.2001 -0.6068883 0.1700152 -3.5696 0.0003981 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 5.3401 1 0.02084 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 15.7181 1 7.352e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.32528
R-squared 0.96399
Log-lik.(n=492) -113.06954 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:11:46 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 492
Sample: 1 to 492
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.397900 0.033525 11.8687 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 1.572721 0.143570 10.9544 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.564095 0.498930 -1.1306 0.2588753
idAUT 1.923461 0.496705 3.8724 0.0001252 ***
idBEL 1.051660 0.342089 3.0742 0.0022505 **
idCAN -0.140124 0.286662 -0.4888 0.6252353
idCHE 0.670328 0.480145 1.3961 0.1634362
idCHN -2.386744 2.063123 -1.1569 0.2479983
idDEU 0.743686 0.704243 1.0560 0.2915819
idDNK -2.107090 0.667710 -3.1557 0.0017184 **
idESP 0.451910 0.424950 1.0634 0.2882023
idFIN 2.072163 0.721674 2.8713 0.0042979 **
idFRA -0.184313 0.597731 -0.3084 0.7579680
idGBR 0.388507 0.575594 0.6750 0.5000740
idISR -0.203421 0.501007 -0.4060 0.6849348
idITA 0.274594 0.550473 0.4988 0.6181623
idJPN -6.721121 1.111426 -6.0473 3.300e-09 ***
idKOR -10.095659 0.989668 -10.2011 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 0.925341 0.176948 5.2294 2.708e-07 ***
idNOR -2.998584 0.748831 -4.0044 7.374e-05 ***
idRUS -6.281997 1.070254 -5.8696 8.977e-09 ***
idSWE -2.391022 0.464895 -5.1431 4.182e-07 ***
idUSA -0.895179 1.334687 -0.6707 0.5027847
time1996 -32.641062 8.548790 -3.8182 0.0001550 ***
time1997 -32.816238 8.548658 -3.8388 0.0001430 ***
time1998 -32.437485 8.547682 -3.7949 0.0001698 ***
time1999 -32.475005 8.550234 -3.7981 0.0001677 ***
time2000 -32.509072 8.553453 -3.8007 0.0001660 ***
time2001 -32.460118 8.555744 -3.7940 0.0001704 ***
time2002 -32.556084 8.558254 -3.8041 0.0001639 ***
time2003 -32.444887 8.560577 -3.7900 0.0001731 ***
time2004 -32.422657 8.562643 -3.7865 0.0001754 ***
time2005 -32.219319 8.563461 -3.7624 0.0001926 ***
time2006 -32.127185 8.564950 -3.7510 0.0002013 ***
time2007 -31.928476 8.567227 -3.7268 0.0002209 ***
time2008 -31.788948 8.568215 -3.7101 0.0002355 ***
time2009 -31.591366 8.567867 -3.6872 0.0002570 ***
time2010 -31.679682 8.569957 -3.6966 0.0002480 ***
time2011 -31.804088 8.573001 -3.7098 0.0002358 ***
time2012 -31.849322 8.577900 -3.7130 0.0002330 ***
time2013 -32.117345 8.582024 -3.7424 0.0002081 ***
time2014 -32.131633 8.587838 -3.7415 0.0002088 ***
time2015 -32.234274 8.592332 -3.7515 0.0002009 ***
time2016 -32.159938 8.597791 -3.7405 0.0002096 ***
time2017 -32.246543 8.601043 -3.7491 0.0002027 ***
time2018 -32.366658 8.604506 -3.7616 0.0001932 ***
time2019 -32.517626 8.610126 -3.7767 0.0001823 ***
iis8 0.771574 0.317907 2.4270 0.0156491 *
iis27 -1.181243 0.309047 -3.8222 0.0001526 ***
iis50 1.074606 0.309753 3.4692 0.0005769 ***
iis74 -1.295566 0.324061 -3.9979 7.570e-05 ***
iis76 -1.511700 0.321957 -4.6954 3.628e-06 ***
iis169 -1.165736 0.308151 -3.7830 0.0001778 ***
iis177 -1.021067 0.307861 -3.3166 0.0009917 ***
iis205 -1.151866 0.308145 -3.7381 0.0002116 ***
iis213 -0.942001 0.310308 -3.0357 0.0025517 **
iis232 0.704833 0.319864 2.2035 0.0281078 *
iis305 -2.005053 0.308394 -6.5016 2.297e-10 ***
iis375 -0.915985 0.310936 -2.9459 0.0034025 **
iis376 1.302868 0.312386 4.1707 3.703e-05 ***
iis401 -1.154156 0.308870 -3.7367 0.0002127 ***
iis405 -1.201320 0.306480 -3.9197 0.0001038 ***
iis424 0.765131 0.314557 2.4324 0.0154225 *
iis427 1.400119 0.309703 4.5208 8.057e-06 ***
iis428 1.154574 0.310636 3.7168 0.0002296 ***
iis444 -0.961863 0.309223 -3.1106 0.0019967 **
iis445 0.693236 0.340342 2.0369 0.0422994 *
iis469 -0.881629 0.311292 -2.8322 0.0048498 **
fesisAUS.2005 -0.384407 0.144890 -2.6531 0.0082834 **
fesisAUT.1998 -0.564326 0.226161 -2.4952 0.0129766 *
fesisCAN.2005 -1.029908 0.321270 -3.2057 0.0014518 **
fesisCAN.2006 0.922081 0.309733 2.9770 0.0030820 **
fesisESP.2001 -0.833462 0.252118 -3.3058 0.0010297 **
fesisESP.2003 1.249216 0.227472 5.4917 6.967e-08 ***
fesisFIN.1997 -1.067802 0.316082 -3.3782 0.0007988 ***
fesisFIN.2012 0.429601 0.140841 3.0503 0.0024338 **
fesisFRA.2001 0.601279 0.155423 3.8687 0.0001271 ***
fesisKOR.2003 0.928861 0.145529 6.3827 4.682e-10 ***
fesisSWE.2001 -0.381963 0.167669 -2.2781 0.0232319 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.2058 1 0.27218
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.8527 1 0.09122 .
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.29137
R-squared 0.97205
Log-lik.(n=492) -51.90194 without IIS
Count
0
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:12:43 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 513
Sample: 1 to 513
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 2.3207e-13 4.8750e-14 4.7605 2.606e-06 ***
pop 7.5484e-06 3.9962e-07 18.8890 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 8.2892e+01 1.3499e+01 6.1408 1.802e-09 ***
idBEL 6.0244e+01 1.3161e+01 4.5774 6.096e-06 ***
idCAN -9.0579e+01 1.3346e+01 -6.7870 3.615e-11 ***
idCHE 1.0338e+02 1.3598e+01 7.6031 1.694e-13 ***
idCHN -9.2277e+03 4.8903e+02 -18.8694 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU -3.5874e+02 2.9331e+01 -12.2309 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 8.6083e+01 1.4963e+01 5.7531 1.619e-08 ***
idESP -1.7184e+02 1.5448e+01 -11.1233 < 2.2e-16 ***
idFIN 9.1346e+01 1.4001e+01 6.5243 1.839e-10 ***
idFRA -2.7058e+02 2.1060e+01 -12.8484 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGBR -2.8654e+02 2.0445e+01 -14.0151 < 2.2e-16 ***
idISR 1.0204e+02 1.3942e+01 7.3190 1.155e-12 ***
idITA -2.6793e+02 1.9450e+01 -13.7750 < 2.2e-16 ***
idJPN -6.2127e+02 5.0209e+01 -12.3737 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -3.7833e+02 5.0903e+01 -7.4324 5.402e-13 ***
idNLD 3.3966e+01 1.2622e+01 2.6910 0.007389 **
idNOR 9.3580e+01 1.4099e+01 6.6372 9.198e-11 ***
idRUS -9.7713e+02 5.0719e+01 -19.2657 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE 6.5658e+01 1.3356e+01 4.9159 1.239e-06 ***
idUSA -1.8478e+03 1.0569e+02 -17.4833 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1995 -1.4613e+02 1.5635e+01 -9.3462 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1996 -1.4781e+02 1.5679e+01 -9.4273 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1997 -1.4450e+02 1.5197e+01 -9.5081 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1998 -1.4627e+02 1.5375e+01 -9.5136 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1999 -1.4635e+02 1.5523e+01 -9.4277 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2000 -1.3626e+02 1.5361e+01 -8.8704 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2001 -1.3867e+02 1.5365e+01 -9.0250 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2002 -1.4494e+02 1.5499e+01 -9.3518 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2003 -1.3469e+02 1.5336e+01 -8.7823 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2004 -1.3173e+02 1.5466e+01 -8.5177 2.452e-16 ***
time2005 -1.2178e+02 1.5598e+01 -7.8075 4.117e-14 ***
time2006 -1.2328e+02 1.5607e+01 -7.8995 2.159e-14 ***
time2007 -1.0999e+02 1.5109e+01 -7.2799 1.497e-12 ***
time2008 -1.0482e+02 1.5176e+01 -6.9068 1.694e-11 ***
time2009 -6.9203e+01 1.5323e+01 -4.5162 8.049e-06 ***
time2010 -7.2828e+01 1.5439e+01 -4.7171 3.196e-06 ***
time2011 -8.1461e+01 1.5542e+01 -5.2415 2.451e-07 ***
time2012 -9.0501e+01 1.5625e+01 -5.7919 1.307e-08 ***
time2013 -1.0951e+02 1.5805e+01 -6.9287 1.473e-11 ***
time2014 -1.3117e+02 1.5956e+01 -8.2211 2.165e-15 ***
time2015 -1.4011e+02 1.6102e+01 -8.7014 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2016 -1.1986e+02 1.6180e+01 -7.4082 6.358e-13 ***
time2017 -1.2347e+02 1.6354e+01 -7.5493 2.445e-13 ***
time2018 -1.2636e+02 1.6480e+01 -7.6673 1.089e-13 ***
time2019 -1.6538e+02 1.6579e+01 -9.9749 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2000 -2.2777e+02 3.8745e+01 -5.8786 8.056e-09 ***
fesisCHN.2003 -1.9121e+02 3.6237e+01 -5.2767 2.048e-07 ***
fesisCHN.2007 -1.5817e+02 3.5876e+01 -4.4088 1.301e-05 ***
fesisDEU.2007 4.7121e+02 2.2694e+01 20.7638 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -3.3077e+02 2.5232e+01 -13.1090 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2008 5.8918e+02 3.4407e+01 17.1240 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 5.9409e+02 4.5207e+01 13.1416 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -4.0482e+02 4.5235e+01 -8.9493 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2014 -2.8393e+02 4.1276e+01 -6.8788 2.024e-11 ***
fesisJPN.2017 -3.2314e+02 3.6928e+01 -8.7506 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2009 4.1112e+02 3.5415e+01 11.6085 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2006 3.9701e+02 3.5530e+01 11.1739 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2008 4.9353e+02 3.9326e+01 12.5495 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2012 -3.8609e+02 3.2130e+01 -12.0164 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2016 -4.0702e+02 3.2090e+01 -12.6837 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 7.5573 1 0.005977 **
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 63.6982 1 1.443e-15 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 44.10653
R-squared 0.97195
Log-lik.(n=513) -2639.44533 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:12:43 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 513
Sample: 1 to 513
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 2.3302e-13 4.7740e-14 4.8809 1.469e-06 ***
pop 6.3685e-06 4.7096e-07 13.5225 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 6.7663e+01 1.3645e+01 4.9589 1.006e-06 ***
idBEL 4.7856e+01 1.3179e+01 3.6312 0.0003145 ***
idCAN -7.6578e+01 1.3434e+01 -5.7002 2.168e-08 ***
idCHE 8.7406e+01 1.3781e+01 6.3426 5.508e-10 ***
idCHN -7.7859e+03 5.7607e+02 -13.5157 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU -2.8551e+02 3.3008e+01 -8.6497 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 6.6881e+01 1.5261e+01 4.3825 1.461e-05 ***
idESP -1.4494e+02 1.6265e+01 -8.9110 < 2.2e-16 ***
idFIN 7.2572e+01 1.4331e+01 5.0641 5.996e-07 ***
idFRA -2.2048e+02 2.3433e+01 -9.4091 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGBR -2.3871e+02 2.2664e+01 -10.5327 < 2.2e-16 ***
idISR 8.5440e+01 1.4142e+01 6.0416 3.202e-09 ***
idITA -2.2387e+02 2.1414e+01 -10.4544 < 2.2e-16 ***
idJPN -4.9569e+02 5.6526e+01 -8.7693 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -3.4731e+02 5.0322e+01 -6.9018 1.753e-11 ***
idNLD 2.8287e+01 1.2425e+01 2.2766 0.0232807 *
idNOR 7.4191e+01 1.4463e+01 5.1297 4.321e-07 ***
idRUS -8.3206e+02 5.9200e+01 -14.0551 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE 5.1590e+01 1.3447e+01 3.8365 0.0001427 ***
idUSA -1.5393e+03 1.2411e+02 -12.4022 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1995 -1.2443e+02 1.6052e+01 -7.7515 6.106e-14 ***
time1996 -1.2574e+02 1.6118e+01 -7.8016 4.308e-14 ***
time1997 -1.2230e+02 1.5678e+01 -7.8010 4.325e-14 ***
time1998 -1.2308e+02 1.5913e+01 -7.7345 6.870e-14 ***
time1999 -1.2224e+02 1.6117e+01 -7.5843 1.933e-13 ***
time2000 -1.1300e+02 1.5905e+01 -7.1047 4.749e-12 ***
time2001 -1.1450e+02 1.5975e+01 -7.1678 3.144e-12 ***
time2002 -1.2002e+02 1.6156e+01 -7.4288 5.551e-13 ***
time2003 -1.1058e+02 1.5945e+01 -6.9349 1.419e-11 ***
time2004 -1.0690e+02 1.6118e+01 -6.6324 9.494e-11 ***
time2005 -9.6240e+01 1.6295e+01 -5.9063 6.907e-09 ***
time2006 -9.8007e+01 1.6281e+01 -6.0196 3.632e-09 ***
time2007 -8.6017e+01 1.5724e+01 -5.4703 7.468e-08 ***
time2008 -8.0552e+01 1.5808e+01 -5.0956 5.126e-07 ***
time2009 -4.4276e+01 1.5994e+01 -2.7682 0.0058686 **
time2010 -4.7176e+01 1.6157e+01 -2.9199 0.0036775 **
time2011 -5.5210e+01 1.6298e+01 -3.3876 0.0007671 ***
time2012 -6.3765e+01 1.6413e+01 -3.8850 0.0001177 ***
time2013 -8.1919e+01 1.6647e+01 -4.9211 1.210e-06 ***
time2014 -1.0267e+02 1.6858e+01 -6.0901 2.422e-09 ***
time2015 -1.1085e+02 1.7054e+01 -6.5000 2.136e-10 ***
time2016 -9.0443e+01 1.7139e+01 -5.2769 2.046e-07 ***
time2017 -9.3496e+01 1.7343e+01 -5.3908 1.134e-07 ***
time2018 -1.0458e+02 1.6848e+01 -6.2075 1.224e-09 ***
time2019 -1.4313e+02 1.6971e+01 -8.4340 4.582e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2000 -1.9326e+02 3.8708e+01 -4.9928 8.525e-07 ***
fesisCHN.2003 -1.5880e+02 3.6208e+01 -4.3857 1.441e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2007 -1.1321e+02 3.6525e+01 -3.0994 0.0020605 **
fesisCHN.2018 1.8473e+02 4.1022e+01 4.5033 8.537e-06 ***
fesisDEU.2007 4.6878e+02 2.2230e+01 21.0877 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -3.3175e+02 2.4711e+01 -13.4252 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2008 5.8963e+02 3.3694e+01 17.4993 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 5.9260e+02 4.4271e+01 13.3856 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -4.0653e+02 4.4299e+01 -9.1769 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2014 -2.8628e+02 4.0425e+01 -7.0818 5.509e-12 ***
fesisJPN.2017 -3.1919e+02 3.6174e+01 -8.8236 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2009 4.1176e+02 3.4682e+01 11.8724 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2006 4.1764e+02 3.5094e+01 11.9004 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2008 5.0248e+02 3.8563e+01 13.0301 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2012 -3.7784e+02 3.1518e+01 -11.9880 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2016 -3.9473e+02 3.1543e+01 -12.5140 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 4.9244 1 0.02648 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 67.8070 1 2.22e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 43.19299
R-squared 0.97316
Log-lik.(n=513) -2628.20839 1
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:12:40 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 492
Sample: 1 to 492
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 7.8247e-01 1.7216e-02 45.4498 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -7.4138e-14 4.2377e-14 -1.7495 0.080917 .
pop 7.2445e-07 1.7708e-07 4.0912 5.123e-05 ***
idAUT 5.7187e+00 8.0720e+00 0.7085 0.479044
idBEL 2.5891e+00 7.9624e+00 0.3252 0.745213
idCAN -9.0264e+00 8.0270e+00 -1.1245 0.261425
idCHE 9.8486e+00 8.1147e+00 1.2137 0.225537
idCHN -9.0444e+02 2.2801e+02 -3.9667 8.534e-05 ***
idDEU -5.4525e+00 1.4824e+01 -0.3678 0.713188
idDNK 2.4301e+00 8.9073e+00 0.2728 0.785123
idESP -1.6474e+01 8.7383e+00 -1.8853 0.060065 .
idFIN 4.5763e+00 8.2328e+00 0.5559 0.578591
idFRA -1.7507e+01 1.0725e+01 -1.6324 0.103325
idGBR -2.4985e+01 1.0525e+01 -2.3738 0.018046 *
idISR 9.6193e+00 8.3123e+00 1.1572 0.247816
idITA -2.3587e+01 1.0151e+01 -2.3237 0.020608 *
idJPN 4.1801e+01 2.8545e+01 1.4643 0.143828
idKOR 6.0245e+01 4.1728e+01 1.4438 0.149528
idNLD 3.5132e+00 7.7933e+00 0.4508 0.652364
idNOR 4.6370e+00 8.2660e+00 0.5610 0.575110
idRUS -9.2227e+01 2.3323e+01 -3.9543 8.971e-05 ***
idSWE 3.2289e+00 8.0267e+00 0.4023 0.687685
idUSA -1.3884e+02 4.7597e+01 -2.9171 0.003718 **
time1996 -1.8519e+01 9.0732e+00 -2.0410 0.041855 *
time1997 -1.8150e+01 9.0832e+00 -1.9982 0.046327 *
time1998 -1.3779e+01 8.5768e+00 -1.6065 0.108886
time1999 -1.0322e+01 8.6079e+00 -1.1991 0.231137
time2000 -1.0455e+01 8.6391e+00 -1.2102 0.226862
time2001 -1.2176e+01 8.6774e+00 -1.4031 0.161298
time2002 -1.4704e+01 8.6312e+00 -1.7035 0.089186 .
time2003 -8.2370e+00 8.6744e+00 -0.9496 0.342858
time2004 -5.0118e+00 8.7144e+00 -0.5751 0.565517
time2005 3.4637e+00 8.7564e+00 0.3956 0.692627
time2006 2.2285e+00 8.7974e+00 0.2533 0.800149
time2007 1.8310e+00 8.8911e+00 0.2059 0.836934
time2008 2.0288e+01 9.0110e+00 2.2515 0.024859 *
time2009 1.8011e+01 8.9987e+00 2.0015 0.045962 *
time2010 1.7925e+00 9.1027e+00 0.1969 0.843985
time2011 5.6167e+00 9.1373e+00 0.6147 0.539081
time2012 -1.3412e+01 9.1987e+00 -1.4581 0.145544
time2013 -1.0419e+01 9.1336e+00 -1.1407 0.254631
time2014 -1.7545e+01 9.1429e+00 -1.9190 0.055642 .
time2015 -6.6110e+00 8.8954e+00 -0.7432 0.457773
time2016 -7.5783e+00 9.0274e+00 -0.8395 0.401664
time2017 -1.3355e+01 9.0160e+00 -1.4812 0.139276
time2018 -1.2672e+00 9.0678e+00 -0.1397 0.888929
time2019 -2.3027e+01 9.1404e+00 -2.5192 0.012122 *
fesisCHN.2015 1.7529e+02 2.1123e+01 8.2985 1.368e-15 ***
fesisCHN.2019 -3.1890e+02 3.1707e+01 -10.0580 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.5588e+02 1.6451e+01 9.4758 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -1.8958e+02 1.5976e+01 -11.8670 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2008 2.6025e+02 2.8830e+01 9.0269 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2009 2.6653e+02 3.4488e+01 7.7283 7.740e-14 ***
fesisJPN.2011 -3.3779e+02 3.5188e+01 -9.5994 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -2.1181e+02 3.1082e+01 -6.8147 3.195e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2007 1.8480e+02 2.4872e+01 7.4301 5.880e-13 ***
fesisKOR.2016 2.0499e+02 3.0663e+01 6.6851 7.163e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2017 -2.7009e+02 3.2076e+01 -8.4203 5.623e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2006 2.5203e+02 2.2124e+01 11.3917 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2008 8.9575e+01 2.7053e+01 3.3111 0.001007 **
fesisUSA.2011 -3.2831e+02 1.8863e+01 -17.4044 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 3.3578 1 0.06689 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 30.1041 1 4.095e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 26.83179
R-squared 0.98999
Log-lik.(n=492) -2286.09469 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:12:39 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 492
Sample: 1 to 492
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.2966e-01 1.9718e-02 42.0761 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 5.0746e-14 4.2323e-14 1.1990 0.2311904
pop 6.1457e-07 1.6223e-07 3.7883 0.0001735 ***
idAUT 5.1414e+00 7.1339e+00 0.7207 0.4714875
idBEL 2.4619e+00 7.0307e+00 0.3502 0.7263860
idCAN -7.7259e+00 7.1029e+00 -1.0877 0.2773391
idCHE 8.4160e+00 7.1865e+00 1.1711 0.2422205
idCHN -7.6982e+02 2.0865e+02 -3.6896 0.0002537 ***
idDEU -3.5898e+00 1.3178e+01 -0.2724 0.7854341
idDNK 2.6822e+00 7.8666e+00 0.3410 0.7333012
idESP -1.3910e+01 7.7752e+00 -1.7890 0.0743199 .
idFIN 4.3705e+00 7.2739e+00 0.6008 0.5482628
idFRA -1.5256e+01 9.5481e+00 -1.5978 0.1108252
idGBR -2.1503e+01 9.4130e+00 -2.2844 0.0228391 *
idISR 8.5203e+00 7.3561e+00 1.1583 0.2474054
idITA -2.0203e+01 9.0741e+00 -2.2264 0.0265079 *
idJPN -2.1249e+01 2.6903e+01 -0.7898 0.4300616
idKOR -5.6594e+01 4.1337e+01 -1.3691 0.1716944
idNLD 3.2350e+00 6.8795e+00 0.4702 0.6384291
idNOR 4.0893e+00 7.3043e+00 0.5598 0.5758763
idRUS -8.5893e+01 2.1359e+01 -4.0214 6.843e-05 ***
idSWE 2.7795e+00 7.0881e+00 0.3921 0.6951523
idUSA -1.1709e+02 4.3207e+01 -2.7100 0.0070003 **
time1996 -1.4507e+01 8.0643e+00 -1.7989 0.0727442 .
time1997 -1.4556e+01 8.0697e+00 -1.8038 0.0719704 .
time1998 -1.0172e+01 7.6148e+00 -1.3358 0.1823314
time1999 -7.3730e+00 7.6369e+00 -0.9654 0.3348709
time2000 -8.3424e+00 7.6568e+00 -1.0895 0.2765336
time2001 -1.0554e+01 7.6865e+00 -1.3730 0.1704744
time2002 -1.3679e+01 7.6440e+00 -1.7895 0.0742452 .
time2003 -7.3944e+00 7.6846e+00 -0.9622 0.3364787
time2004 -4.8365e+00 7.7160e+00 -0.6268 0.5311201
time2005 2.9259e+00 7.7484e+00 0.3776 0.7059038
time2006 1.1542e+00 7.7867e+00 0.1482 0.8822368
time2007 1.1545e+00 7.8802e+00 0.1465 0.8835940
time2008 1.9575e+01 7.9903e+00 2.4498 0.0146933 *
time2009 1.5388e+01 7.9536e+00 1.9347 0.0536917 .
time2010 -4.2849e+00 8.0684e+00 -0.5311 0.5956451
time2011 -1.5850e+00 8.1104e+00 -0.1954 0.8451510
time2012 -7.5961e+00 8.1708e+00 -0.9297 0.3530711
time2013 -7.7202e+00 8.1236e+00 -0.9503 0.3424744
time2014 -1.8495e+01 8.1187e+00 -2.2780 0.0232182 *
time2015 -1.1844e+01 7.9505e+00 -1.4897 0.1370405
time2016 -6.3181e+00 7.9722e+00 -0.7925 0.4285009
time2017 -1.1813e+01 7.9629e+00 -1.4835 0.1386730
time2018 5.8870e-01 8.0097e+00 0.0735 0.9414440
time2019 -2.0408e+01 8.0821e+00 -2.5251 0.0119297 *
fesisCHN.2015 1.6139e+02 1.8726e+01 8.6182 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2019 -3.4147e+02 2.8423e+01 -12.0140 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.3983e+02 1.5389e+01 9.0864 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -2.6073e+02 2.0433e+01 -12.7606 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2014 9.9565e+01 2.0941e+01 4.7546 2.725e-06 ***
fesisJPN.2008 2.5066e+02 2.5539e+01 9.8149 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2009 2.4953e+02 3.0886e+01 8.0791 6.783e-15 ***
fesisJPN.2011 -3.6609e+02 3.2033e+01 -11.4286 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -2.7925e+02 3.4354e+01 -8.1287 4.766e-15 ***
fesisJPN.2013 9.9660e+01 2.9098e+01 3.4249 0.0006746 ***
fesisKOR.2007 1.6006e+02 2.2325e+01 7.1695 3.349e-12 ***
fesisKOR.2012 -1.3547e+02 1.9317e+01 -7.0128 9.223e-12 ***
fesisKOR.2016 2.4569e+02 2.7749e+01 8.8542 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2017 -2.8967e+02 2.8448e+01 -10.1824 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2006 2.3986e+02 1.9851e+01 12.0828 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2008 6.2846e+01 2.4926e+01 2.5213 0.0120566 *
fesisUSA.2011 -3.1283e+02 1.8611e+01 -16.8082 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2015 1.2731e+02 2.7957e+01 4.5537 6.888e-06 ***
fesisUSA.2016 -1.7947e+02 2.7285e+01 -6.5776 1.404e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 14.665 1 0.0001284 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 29.308 1 6.174e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 23.6782
R-squared 0.9923
Log-lik.(n=492) -2222.0783 Log Count
0
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:12:43 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 513
Sample: 1 to 513
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 2.32736 0.17189 13.5399 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop 0.81160 0.56471 1.4372 0.1513594
idAUT 3.32171 0.48832 6.8023 3.308e-11 ***
idBEL 2.39980 0.36868 6.5092 2.028e-10 ***
idCAN -1.59407 0.30326 -5.2565 2.277e-07 ***
idCHE 3.01861 0.54492 5.5396 5.178e-08 ***
idCHN -10.74105 2.24749 -4.7791 2.391e-06 ***
idDEU -1.17371 0.77786 -1.5089 0.1320315
idDNK -1.54480 0.76101 -2.0299 0.0429538 *
idESP -0.60231 0.48440 -1.2434 0.2143618
idFIN 4.47945 0.74166 6.0397 3.246e-09 ***
idFRA -2.28439 0.65796 -3.4719 0.0005669 ***
idGBR -1.39341 0.64059 -2.1752 0.0301368 *
idISR 1.07058 0.56205 1.9048 0.0574477 .
idITA -3.07203 0.63716 -4.8215 1.955e-06 ***
idJPN -12.83023 1.19347 -10.7504 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -16.41475 1.08745 -15.0947 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 0.73766 0.29807 2.4748 0.0137000 *
idNOR -2.56581 0.86244 -2.9751 0.0030876 **
idRUS -12.07858 1.12375 -10.7484 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE -2.64720 0.52931 -5.0013 8.191e-07 ***
idUSA -5.75999 1.44949 -3.9738 8.242e-05 ***
time1995 -75.83151 9.02653 -8.4010 5.908e-16 ***
time1996 -75.59285 9.02967 -8.3716 7.331e-16 ***
time1997 -75.65359 9.02808 -8.3798 6.903e-16 ***
time1998 -75.59131 9.03139 -8.3698 7.426e-16 ***
time1999 -75.43630 9.03526 -8.3491 8.646e-16 ***
time2000 -75.47961 9.04024 -8.3493 8.634e-16 ***
time2001 -75.29035 9.04459 -8.3244 1.036e-15 ***
time2002 -75.32541 9.04850 -8.3246 1.034e-15 ***
time2003 -75.04481 9.05208 -8.2903 1.328e-15 ***
time2004 -75.10578 9.05591 -8.2936 1.297e-15 ***
time2005 -74.88640 9.05867 -8.2668 1.576e-15 ***
time2006 -74.71801 9.06389 -8.2435 1.868e-15 ***
time2007 -74.47813 9.06868 -8.2127 2.335e-15 ***
time2008 -74.21161 9.07294 -8.1794 2.970e-15 ***
time2009 -73.90524 9.07624 -8.1427 3.870e-15 ***
time2010 -73.92030 9.08049 -8.1406 3.930e-15 ***
time2011 -74.04471 9.08410 -8.1510 3.645e-15 ***
time2012 -74.20003 9.08863 -8.1641 3.318e-15 ***
time2013 -74.47248 9.09237 -8.1907 2.738e-15 ***
time2014 -74.60488 9.09638 -8.2016 2.530e-15 ***
time2015 -74.76383 9.10032 -8.2155 2.288e-15 ***
time2016 -74.81674 9.10404 -8.2180 2.247e-15 ***
time2017 -74.87415 9.10796 -8.2207 2.203e-15 ***
time2018 -75.01583 9.11154 -8.2331 2.015e-15 ***
time2019 -75.23373 9.11467 -8.2541 1.729e-15 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.91413 0.15053 -6.0726 2.688e-09 ***
fesisAUT.2016 -0.57396 0.18696 -3.0699 0.0022714 **
fesisCHE.2001 -0.77864 0.16331 -4.7679 2.522e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2016 0.65073 0.22965 2.8336 0.0048110 **
fesisESP.2001 -0.82772 0.22145 -3.7377 0.0002097 ***
fesisESP.2005 1.09158 0.19408 5.6245 3.280e-08 ***
fesisFIN.1997 -1.25397 0.26038 -4.8159 2.008e-06 ***
fesisFIN.2012 0.83306 0.15155 5.4968 6.503e-08 ***
fesisFRA.2002 0.53687 0.18415 2.9153 0.0037312 **
fesisFRA.2009 0.53763 0.16572 3.2442 0.0012659 **
fesisITA.2000 1.09863 0.20829 5.2745 2.076e-07 ***
fesisITA.2006 0.70833 0.17055 4.1531 3.929e-05 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.70509 0.22941 3.0734 0.0022453 **
fesisKOR.2007 0.80095 0.22044 3.6334 0.0003121 ***
fesisNLD.1997 1.35550 0.29717 4.5614 6.569e-06 ***
fesisNLD.2001 -0.64875 0.19014 -3.4120 0.0007033 ***
fesisRUS.2005 -0.92081 0.16898 -5.4492 8.368e-08 ***
fesisSWE.2002 -0.52843 0.15458 -3.4185 0.0006871 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.0356 1 0.308854
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 10.2110 1 0.001396 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.33241
R-squared 0.96363
Log-lik.(n=513) -130.40131 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:12:42 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 513
Sample: 1 to 513
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 2.28687 0.16359 13.9794 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop 0.77230 0.54488 1.4174 0.1570790
idAUT 3.79593 0.49078 7.7345 7.089e-14 ***
idBEL 2.36636 0.35278 6.7077 6.064e-11 ***
idCAN -1.52142 0.28972 -5.2513 2.351e-07 ***
idCHE 3.00829 0.52543 5.7253 1.909e-08 ***
idCHN -10.40862 2.16644 -4.8045 2.129e-06 ***
idDEU -1.04574 0.74903 -1.3961 0.1633748
idDNK -1.54512 0.73294 -2.1081 0.0355846 *
idESP -0.52448 0.46389 -1.1306 0.2588354
idFIN 4.41871 0.71370 6.1912 1.365e-09 ***
idFRA -2.09255 0.63090 -3.3168 0.0009858 ***
idGBR -1.29637 0.61661 -2.1024 0.0360800 *
idISR 1.05567 0.54114 1.9508 0.0517081 .
idITA -3.86633 0.68020 -5.6841 2.391e-08 ***
idJPN -12.47364 1.13924 -10.9491 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -16.05863 1.03247 -15.5537 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 0.77009 0.28285 2.7226 0.0067331 **
idNOR -1.92033 0.86421 -2.2221 0.0267849 *
idRUS -11.74784 1.08072 -10.8704 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE -3.66884 0.58761 -6.2436 1.004e-09 ***
idUSA -5.83759 1.38518 -4.2143 3.039e-05 ***
time1995 -74.03869 8.68208 -8.5278 2.392e-16 ***
time1996 -73.97188 8.68531 -8.5169 2.593e-16 ***
time1997 -74.01646 8.68349 -8.5238 2.463e-16 ***
time1998 -73.83467 8.68676 -8.4997 2.946e-16 ***
time1999 -73.67782 8.69042 -8.4781 3.457e-16 ***
time2000 -73.73188 8.69499 -8.4798 3.412e-16 ***
time2001 -73.55806 8.69805 -8.4568 4.043e-16 ***
time2002 -73.55678 8.70173 -8.4531 4.155e-16 ***
time2003 -73.29588 8.70511 -8.4199 5.309e-16 ***
time2004 -73.30992 8.71064 -8.4161 5.456e-16 ***
time2005 -73.17715 8.71364 -8.3980 6.234e-16 ***
time2006 -72.96416 8.71614 -8.3712 7.590e-16 ***
time2007 -72.72279 8.72062 -8.3392 9.591e-16 ***
time2008 -72.45535 8.72472 -8.3046 1.234e-15 ***
time2009 -72.15020 8.72793 -8.2666 1.627e-15 ***
time2010 -72.16366 8.73197 -8.2643 1.655e-15 ***
time2011 -72.28683 8.73541 -8.2752 1.529e-15 ***
time2012 -72.44106 8.73972 -8.2887 1.386e-15 ***
time2013 -72.71268 8.74331 -8.3164 1.133e-15 ***
time2014 -72.84399 8.74715 -8.3277 1.043e-15 ***
time2015 -72.98200 8.75124 -8.3396 9.561e-16 ***
time2016 -73.06278 8.75443 -8.3458 9.137e-16 ***
time2017 -73.11886 8.75817 -8.3486 8.950e-16 ***
time2018 -73.25939 8.76158 -8.3614 8.150e-16 ***
time2019 -73.47631 8.76457 -8.3833 6.943e-16 ***
fesisAUS.2006 -0.89182 0.14268 -6.2504 9.648e-10 ***
fesisAUT.1998 -0.60554 0.20675 -2.9289 0.0035780 **
fesisAUT.2015 -0.41710 0.16522 -2.5244 0.0119372 *
fesisCHE.2001 -0.80250 0.15632 -5.1337 4.266e-07 ***
fesisCHN.2016 0.68668 0.21767 3.1547 0.0017160 **
fesisESP.2001 -0.86083 0.21068 -4.0859 5.214e-05 ***
fesisESP.2005 1.10716 0.18414 6.0125 3.830e-09 ***
fesisFIN.1997 -1.27952 0.24859 -5.1470 3.989e-07 ***
fesisFIN.2012 0.82545 0.14376 5.7419 1.742e-08 ***
fesisFRA.2003 0.43659 0.17688 2.4682 0.0139556 *
fesisFRA.2009 0.54460 0.16473 3.3060 0.0010234 **
fesisITA.1996 1.67113 0.39840 4.1946 3.305e-05 ***
fesisITA.1998 -1.04451 0.32451 -3.2187 0.0013825 **
fesisITA.2000 1.35802 0.26500 5.1246 4.464e-07 ***
fesisITA.2006 0.70195 0.16183 4.3377 1.786e-05 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.69545 0.21800 3.1902 0.0015232 **
fesisKOR.2007 0.80859 0.20885 3.8716 0.0001245 ***
fesisNLD.1997 1.34328 0.28287 4.7487 2.771e-06 ***
fesisNLD.2001 -0.67011 0.18091 -3.7042 0.0002389 ***
fesisNOR.1998 -0.71500 0.20409 -3.5034 0.0005062 ***
fesisRUS.2004 -0.94018 0.16571 -5.6736 2.532e-08 ***
fesisSWE.1996 1.27180 0.35255 3.6074 0.0003445 ***
fesisSWE.2002 -0.73177 0.15524 -4.7137 3.266e-06 ***
fesisUSA.2001 0.42980 0.15670 2.7427 0.0063408 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.089835 1 0.76439
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 4.589830 1 0.03216 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.31514
R-squared 0.96775
Log-lik.(n=513) -100.02782 1
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:13:12 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 492
Sample: 1 to 492
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.373828 0.038642 9.6742 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 1.595088 0.172568 9.2433 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.362332 0.594311 -0.6097 0.5424051
idAUT 1.431088 0.535734 2.6713 0.0078447 **
idBEL 1.110550 0.400307 2.7742 0.0057751 **
idCAN -0.190393 0.457142 -0.4165 0.6772638
idCHE 0.760517 0.567970 1.3390 0.1812785
idCHN -3.405756 2.432440 -1.4001 0.1621960
idDEU 0.369007 0.830302 0.4444 0.6569596
idDNK -1.726880 0.823335 -2.0974 0.0365423 *
idESP -0.019108 0.496363 -0.0385 0.9693105
idFIN 1.162782 0.775864 1.4987 0.1346904
idFRA -0.060521 0.692226 -0.0874 0.9303714
idGBR 0.043220 0.678683 0.0637 0.9492535
idISR -0.117179 0.596050 -0.1966 0.8442396
idITA -0.335992 0.707196 -0.4751 0.6349550
idJPN -7.280758 1.295918 -5.6182 3.480e-08 ***
idKOR -10.499360 1.166419 -9.0014 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD -0.130450 0.394060 -0.3310 0.7407761
idNOR -2.988659 0.900844 -3.3176 0.0009854 ***
idRUS -6.214100 1.272592 -4.8830 1.478e-06 ***
idSWE -2.220443 0.552884 -4.0161 6.987e-05 ***
idUSA -1.596277 1.570178 -1.0166 0.3099075
time1996 -36.413833 10.025655 -3.6321 0.0003152 ***
time1997 -36.553771 10.026383 -3.6458 0.0002994 ***
time1998 -36.492613 10.024805 -3.6402 0.0003057 ***
time1999 -36.332797 10.030446 -3.6223 0.0003271 ***
time2000 -36.437511 10.031927 -3.6322 0.0003151 ***
time2001 -36.341767 10.034958 -3.6215 0.0003280 ***
time2002 -36.437425 10.038061 -3.6299 0.0003178 ***
time2003 -36.208928 10.041340 -3.6060 0.0003476 ***
time2004 -36.221755 10.044658 -3.6061 0.0003475 ***
time2005 -36.054816 10.046054 -3.5890 0.0003704 ***
time2006 -35.914614 10.048649 -3.5741 0.0003915 ***
time2007 -35.711039 10.051342 -3.5529 0.0004234 ***
time2008 -35.564396 10.052645 -3.5378 0.0004476 ***
time2009 -35.360259 10.052512 -3.5176 0.0004821 ***
time2010 -35.444160 10.054993 -3.5250 0.0004691 ***
time2011 -35.568677 10.058535 -3.5362 0.0004503 ***
time2012 -35.669062 10.064184 -3.5442 0.0004373 ***
time2013 -35.892152 10.069135 -3.5646 0.0004055 ***
time2014 -35.913939 10.075826 -3.5644 0.0004058 ***
time2015 -36.020326 10.081032 -3.5731 0.0003929 ***
time2016 -36.005309 10.086657 -3.5696 0.0003980 ***
time2017 -36.038753 10.091110 -3.5713 0.0003955 ***
time2018 -36.160336 10.095128 -3.5820 0.0003802 ***
time2019 -36.282108 10.100990 -3.5919 0.0003663 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.549776 0.161337 -3.4076 0.0007173 ***
fesisCAN.1997 -1.556666 0.495826 -3.1395 0.0018093 **
fesisCAN.1998 2.043670 0.497084 4.1113 4.717e-05 ***
fesisCAN.1999 -2.135746 0.496484 -4.3017 2.101e-05 ***
fesisCAN.2000 1.293709 0.358528 3.6084 0.0003445 ***
fesisDNK.2004 -1.463340 0.425793 -3.4367 0.0006463 ***
fesisDNK.2005 1.056396 0.359460 2.9388 0.0034727 **
fesisESP.2003 0.515798 0.160636 3.2110 0.0014226 **
fesisFIN.2012 0.502384 0.153366 3.2757 0.0011397 **
fesisITA.1998 -1.524113 0.429879 -3.5454 0.0004352 ***
fesisITA.1999 1.804129 0.359408 5.0197 7.605e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2003 0.900508 0.168731 5.3370 1.536e-07 ***
fesisNLD.1997 2.171864 0.496157 4.3774 1.511e-05 ***
fesisNLD.1998 -1.175806 0.362620 -3.2425 0.0012774 **
fesisRUS.2004 -0.765606 0.185881 -4.1188 4.573e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2019 -0.943413 0.360721 -2.6154 0.0092284 **
fesisSWE.2001 -0.580086 0.177274 -3.2723 0.0011534 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 7.6232 1 0.005762 **
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 10.2286 1 0.001383 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.33913
R-squared 0.96076
Log-lik.(n=492) -134.08854 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 03:13:10 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 492
Sample: 1 to 492
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.366147 0.036142 10.1309 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 1.676383 0.157506 10.6433 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.419029 0.539486 -0.7767 0.4377738
idAUT 2.135079 0.520315 4.1034 4.915e-05 ***
idBEL 0.852883 0.467066 1.8260 0.0685723 .
idCAN -0.060754 0.408276 -0.1488 0.8817793
idCHE 0.776814 0.511416 1.5189 0.1295482
idCHN -3.443740 2.197488 -1.5671 0.1178585
idDEU 0.407856 0.752772 0.5418 0.5882474
idDNK -1.851353 0.749235 -2.4710 0.0138805 *
idESP 0.292915 0.455774 0.6427 0.5207950
idFIN 2.372922 0.758114 3.1300 0.0018732 **
idFRA -0.469424 0.637696 -0.7361 0.4620766
idGBR 0.093133 0.615575 0.1513 0.8798178
idISR -0.155285 0.538762 -0.2882 0.7733203
idITA -0.177321 0.638316 -0.2778 0.7813099
idJPN -7.634724 1.161139 -6.5752 1.486e-10 ***
idKOR -10.992875 1.053229 -10.4373 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 0.040063 0.350023 0.1145 0.9089308
idNOR -2.694565 0.860067 -3.1330 0.0018550 **
idRUS -6.754368 1.149647 -5.8752 8.763e-09 ***
idSWE -2.336938 0.503904 -4.6377 4.749e-06 ***
idUSA -1.621534 1.418559 -1.1431 0.2536717
time1996 -37.823548 9.014833 -4.1957 3.339e-05 ***
time1997 -37.986212 9.014691 -4.2138 3.092e-05 ***
time1998 -37.637558 9.013276 -4.1758 3.631e-05 ***
time1999 -37.606376 9.018288 -4.1700 3.721e-05 ***
time2000 -37.665021 9.020202 -4.1756 3.634e-05 ***
time2001 -37.595529 9.023038 -4.1666 3.774e-05 ***
time2002 -37.671988 9.026463 -4.1735 3.666e-05 ***
time2003 -37.531289 9.028550 -4.1570 3.931e-05 ***
time2004 -37.517989 9.031075 -4.1543 3.974e-05 ***
time2005 -37.310217 9.032177 -4.1308 4.385e-05 ***
time2006 -37.214288 9.033665 -4.1195 4.597e-05 ***
time2007 -37.011201 9.036008 -4.0960 5.069e-05 ***
time2008 -36.862474 9.037148 -4.0790 5.438e-05 ***
time2009 -36.653161 9.037094 -4.0559 5.983e-05 ***
time2010 -36.737303 9.039261 -4.0642 5.781e-05 ***
time2011 -36.862998 9.042409 -4.0767 5.491e-05 ***
time2012 -36.963095 9.047377 -4.0855 5.294e-05 ***
time2013 -37.187572 9.051829 -4.1083 4.817e-05 ***
time2014 -37.212406 9.057844 -4.1083 4.816e-05 ***
time2015 -37.320655 9.062512 -4.1181 4.623e-05 ***
time2016 -37.254585 9.068301 -4.1082 4.818e-05 ***
time2017 -37.348501 9.072216 -4.1168 4.649e-05 ***
time2018 -37.471542 9.075800 -4.1287 4.424e-05 ***
time2019 -37.630748 9.081478 -4.1437 4.156e-05 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.553460 0.144248 -3.8369 0.0001443 ***
fesisAUT.1998 -1.714870 0.379416 -4.5198 8.117e-06 ***
fesisAUT.1999 1.067936 0.317985 3.3584 0.0008573 ***
fesisBEL.1997 1.391791 0.438256 3.1757 0.0016077 **
fesisBEL.1998 -1.102349 0.319905 -3.4459 0.0006282 ***
fesisCAN.1997 -1.529918 0.438143 -3.4918 0.0005320 ***
fesisCAN.1998 1.743558 0.439803 3.9644 8.684e-05 ***
fesisCAN.1999 -1.997862 0.437955 -4.5618 6.713e-06 ***
fesisCAN.2000 1.331701 0.337825 3.9420 9.504e-05 ***
fesisCAN.2005 -0.890143 0.336784 -2.6431 0.0085315 **
fesisCAN.2006 0.912798 0.317400 2.8759 0.0042400 **
fesisDNK.2004 -1.446086 0.375046 -3.8558 0.0001340 ***
fesisDNK.2005 1.056227 0.316550 3.3367 0.0009254 ***
fesisESP.2001 -0.891080 0.259139 -3.4386 0.0006447 ***
fesisESP.2003 1.213561 0.236529 5.1307 4.468e-07 ***
fesisESP.2016 -1.118889 0.317990 -3.5186 0.0004825 ***
fesisESP.2017 1.233448 0.353710 3.4872 0.0005411 ***
fesisFIN.1997 -1.053181 0.358722 -2.9359 0.0035132 **
fesisFIN.2000 -0.993873 0.354671 -2.8022 0.0053161 **
fesisFIN.2001 0.855878 0.322083 2.6573 0.0081850 **
fesisFIN.2012 0.474462 0.151246 3.1370 0.0018301 **
fesisFIN.2019 0.697919 0.327852 2.1288 0.0338710 *
fesisFRA.2001 0.565536 0.161022 3.5122 0.0004940 ***
fesisITA.1998 -1.793830 0.381171 -4.7061 3.461e-06 ***
fesisITA.1999 1.955931 0.318220 6.1465 1.883e-09 ***
fesisKOR.2003 0.902472 0.150076 6.0134 4.030e-09 ***
fesisNLD.1997 2.188322 0.438739 4.9878 9.046e-07 ***
fesisNLD.1998 -1.323264 0.322527 -4.1028 4.928e-05 ***
fesisNOR.1998 -1.395345 0.379469 -3.6771 0.0002674 ***
fesisNOR.1999 1.175620 0.356111 3.3013 0.0010470 **
fesisNOR.2002 -1.316112 0.354256 -3.7151 0.0002313 ***
fesisNOR.2003 1.118387 0.316601 3.5325 0.0004586 ***
fesisRUS.2002 0.879378 0.267887 3.2826 0.0011167 **
fesisRUS.2004 -1.332046 0.236654 -5.6287 3.377e-08 ***
fesisRUS.2019 -0.894679 0.318166 -2.8120 0.0051606 **
fesisSWE.2001 -0.596609 0.158898 -3.7547 0.0001987 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.1896 1 0.27541
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 3.7166 1 0.05387 .
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.29854
R-squared 0.97094
Log-lik.(n=492) -61.86191 Wind
with IIS
Count
AR 0
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:42:44 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 546
Sample: 1 to 546
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 2.8381e-14 8.3543e-15 3.3972 0.0007390 ***
pop 1.0454e-06 9.1485e-08 11.4269 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 5.2621e+00 5.3861e+00 0.9770 0.3290834
idBEL 1.7893e+00 5.3416e+00 0.3350 0.7378004
idCAN -1.3719e+01 5.3644e+00 -2.5575 0.0108583 *
idCHE 4.2037e+00 5.3989e+00 0.7786 0.4366017
idCHN -1.2589e+03 1.1055e+02 -11.3877 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU -4.2634e+01 9.9714e+00 -4.2756 2.312e-05 ***
idDNK 2.0967e+02 6.2783e+00 33.3957 < 2.2e-16 ***
idESP -4.9479e+00 5.6514e+00 -0.8755 0.3817429
idFIN 5.1681e+00 5.4538e+00 0.9476 0.3438203
idFRA -4.0230e+01 6.5335e+00 -6.1575 1.594e-09 ***
idGBR -1.5719e+01 6.4332e+00 -2.4435 0.0149157 *
idISR 3.8761e+00 5.4073e+00 0.7168 0.4738391
idITA -4.0424e+01 6.2607e+00 -6.4568 2.685e-10 ***
idJPN -9.8336e+01 1.2031e+01 -8.1736 2.839e-15 ***
idKOR -4.9039e+01 1.1953e+01 -4.1028 4.817e-05 ***
idNLD 7.8047e+00 5.2719e+00 1.4805 0.1394274
idNOR 1.0654e+01 5.4659e+00 1.9492 0.0518641 .
idRUS -1.4157e+02 1.2438e+01 -11.3817 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE 5.3099e+00 5.3658e+00 0.9896 0.3228844
idUSA -2.4732e+02 2.4881e+01 -9.9399 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1995 -1.9621e+01 5.6242e+00 -3.4888 0.0005312 ***
time1996 -1.9540e+01 5.6476e+00 -3.4599 0.0005899 ***
time1997 -2.0561e+01 5.6721e+00 -3.6249 0.0003208 ***
time1998 -2.0667e+01 5.6974e+00 -3.6274 0.0003178 ***
time1999 -1.5989e+01 5.6568e+00 -2.8265 0.0049078 **
time2000 -1.8070e+01 5.6746e+00 -3.1844 0.0015474 **
time2001 -1.5343e+01 5.6954e+00 -2.6938 0.0073177 **
time2002 -1.5373e+01 5.7160e+00 -2.6895 0.0074124 **
time2003 -1.1965e+01 5.6114e+00 -2.1322 0.0335125 *
time2004 -1.1430e+01 5.6287e+00 -2.0307 0.0428545 *
time2005 -1.0779e+01 5.6465e+00 -1.9089 0.0568850 .
time2006 -4.3642e+00 5.6650e+00 -0.7704 0.4414694
time2007 -1.0123e+01 5.6849e+00 -1.7807 0.0756050 .
time2008 3.4101e+00 5.8671e+00 0.5812 0.5613747
time2009 1.1933e+01 5.8808e+00 2.0292 0.0430070 *
time2010 1.5185e+01 5.9587e+00 2.5484 0.0111399 *
time2011 1.7806e+01 5.9756e+00 2.9797 0.0030355 **
time2012 8.3518e+00 5.9957e+00 1.3930 0.1642907
time2013 -7.0629e-01 5.9681e+00 -0.1183 0.9058455
time2014 -3.1815e+00 5.9411e+00 -0.5355 0.5925539
time2015 -7.2057e+00 5.9636e+00 -1.2083 0.2275501
time2016 -7.2759e+00 6.0316e+00 -1.2063 0.2283144
time2017 -6.4748e-01 6.0102e+00 -0.1077 0.9142555
time2018 -7.6058e+00 6.0760e+00 -1.2518 0.2112742
time2019 -1.2310e+01 6.0457e+00 -2.0362 0.0422951 *
time2020 -7.6554e+00 6.0577e+00 -1.2638 0.2069483
iis172 1.2440e+02 1.6542e+01 7.5204 2.822e-13 ***
iis173 1.2970e+02 1.6541e+01 7.8409 3.060e-14 ***
iis174 9.9164e+01 1.6542e+01 5.9948 4.080e-09 ***
iis178 4.5359e+01 1.6523e+01 2.7452 0.0062805 **
iis180 6.9603e+01 1.6524e+01 4.2123 3.034e-05 ***
iis183 -1.9056e+02 1.6258e+01 -11.7208 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis184 -1.9251e+02 1.6255e+01 -11.8426 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis185 -1.9168e+02 1.6253e+01 -11.7932 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis186 -1.7609e+02 1.6253e+01 -10.8348 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis187 -1.8279e+02 1.6253e+01 -11.2463 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis188 -1.8373e+02 1.6250e+01 -11.3066 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis189 -1.8348e+02 1.6248e+01 -11.2921 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis190 -1.7397e+02 1.6247e+01 -10.7076 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis191 -1.8239e+02 1.6246e+01 -11.2267 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis192 -1.8744e+02 1.6244e+01 -11.5391 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis193 -1.7844e+02 1.6242e+01 -10.9863 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis194 -1.4904e+02 1.6240e+01 -9.1773 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis533 6.6452e+01 1.6846e+01 3.9446 9.220e-05 ***
iis534 1.1259e+02 1.6823e+01 6.6929 6.287e-11 ***
iis535 2.1057e+02 1.6807e+01 12.5287 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis536 2.1106e+02 1.6810e+01 12.5558 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis537 1.2503e+02 1.6800e+01 7.4419 4.810e-13 ***
iis538 7.2155e+01 1.6793e+01 4.2968 2.109e-05 ***
iis539 1.1292e+02 1.6767e+01 6.7348 4.839e-11 ***
fesisAUS.2008 -1.7743e+01 6.1946e+00 -2.8644 0.0043669 **
fesisCHN.1999 -4.9105e+01 1.1757e+01 -4.1768 3.528e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2003 -3.5108e+01 1.1520e+01 -3.0476 0.0024376 **
fesisDEU.2000 6.2373e+01 9.1970e+00 6.7818 3.600e-11 ***
fesisDEU.2007 9.6254e+01 7.9421e+00 12.1195 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 6.1453e+01 6.2667e+00 9.8063 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2007 8.4704e+01 8.2000e+00 10.3297 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 145.697 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 60.273 1 8.216e-15 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 15.29507
R-squared 0.95181
Log-lik.(n=546) -2224.47198 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:42:41 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 546
Sample: 1 to 546
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 1.2942e-14 6.2747e-15 2.0625 0.0397469 *
pop 1.0384e-06 1.2810e-07 8.1067 5.255e-15 ***
idAUT 9.9003e+00 4.6636e+00 2.1229 0.0343231 *
idBEL 8.5724e+00 4.6889e+00 1.8282 0.0681973 .
idCAN -1.0135e+01 4.5304e+00 -2.2371 0.0257825 *
idCHE 1.0538e+01 4.6968e+00 2.2436 0.0253601 *
idCHN -1.2506e+03 1.5447e+02 -8.0965 5.653e-15 ***
idDEU -4.2548e+01 1.0033e+01 -4.2407 2.720e-05 ***
idDNK 1.7074e+02 7.6879e+00 22.2087 < 2.2e-16 ***
idESP -1.1046e+01 4.8315e+00 -2.2863 0.0227158 *
idFIN 1.2253e+01 4.7879e+00 2.5593 0.0108246 *
idFRA -4.6176e+01 6.6580e+00 -6.9353 1.461e-11 ***
idGBR -2.1683e+01 6.4643e+00 -3.3542 0.0008650 ***
idISR 1.0991e+01 4.6547e+00 2.3614 0.0186437 *
idITA -4.6412e+01 6.1245e+00 -7.5781 2.108e-13 ***
idJPN -1.0756e+02 1.5048e+01 -7.1482 3.705e-12 ***
idKOR -3.5314e+01 9.3354e+00 -3.7828 0.0001766 ***
idNLD 1.5083e+00 3.9173e+00 0.3850 0.7004058
idNOR 1.4280e+01 4.8211e+00 2.9619 0.0032239 **
idRUS -1.3471e+02 1.6867e+01 -7.9867 1.234e-14 ***
idSWE 1.2231e+01 4.6320e+00 2.6405 0.0085738 **
idUSA -2.1072e+02 3.6102e+01 -5.8367 1.037e-08 ***
time1995 -1.9387e+01 4.5508e+00 -4.2601 2.503e-05 ***
time1996 -1.8990e+01 4.6007e+00 -4.1275 4.391e-05 ***
time1997 -2.0073e+01 4.6513e+00 -4.3155 1.970e-05 ***
time1998 -2.0067e+01 4.7009e+00 -4.2688 2.411e-05 ***
time1999 -1.5260e+01 4.5914e+00 -3.3236 0.0009631 ***
time2000 -1.7767e+01 4.6301e+00 -3.8373 0.0001427 ***
time2001 -1.4714e+01 4.6707e+00 -3.1502 0.0017433 **
time2002 -1.6414e+01 4.7123e+00 -3.4833 0.0005452 ***
time2003 -1.3434e+01 4.5868e+00 -2.9288 0.0035805 **
time2004 -1.4753e+01 4.5916e+00 -3.2130 0.0014104 **
time2005 -1.4048e+01 4.6351e+00 -3.0307 0.0025845 **
time2006 -6.4312e+00 4.6975e+00 -1.3691 0.1716779
time2007 -4.9693e-01 4.9458e+00 -0.1005 0.9200135
time2008 1.3589e+01 5.1499e+00 2.6387 0.0086187 **
time2009 2.3089e+01 5.2065e+00 4.4346 1.168e-05 ***
time2010 2.2560e+01 5.2816e+00 4.2715 2.383e-05 ***
time2011 2.6395e+01 5.0873e+00 5.1884 3.250e-07 ***
time2012 2.2703e+01 5.1233e+00 4.4314 1.185e-05 ***
time2013 1.4222e+01 5.1422e+00 2.7658 0.0059180 **
time2014 1.1748e+01 5.1459e+00 2.2831 0.0229039 *
time2015 7.7709e+00 5.1947e+00 1.4959 0.1353934
time2016 5.2704e+00 5.2811e+00 0.9980 0.3188392
time2017 1.0340e+01 5.3324e+00 1.9391 0.0531288 .
time2018 6.3232e+00 5.4193e+00 1.1668 0.2439335
time2019 4.1628e+00 5.4000e+00 0.7709 0.4411923
time2020 6.8695e+00 5.4508e+00 1.2603 0.2082410
iis170 2.9075e+01 1.2306e+01 2.3626 0.0185851 *
iis171 3.0376e+01 1.2303e+01 2.4689 0.0139323 *
iis172 1.4185e+02 1.2305e+01 11.5279 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis173 1.4592e+02 1.2303e+01 11.8605 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis174 1.0963e+02 1.2296e+01 8.9159 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis178 5.7642e+01 1.2284e+01 4.6924 3.616e-06 ***
iis179 4.6201e+01 1.2284e+01 3.7610 0.0001922 ***
iis180 8.0510e+01 1.2297e+01 6.5471 1.645e-10 ***
iis183 -1.5181e+02 1.3231e+01 -11.4739 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis184 -1.5407e+02 1.3225e+01 -11.6495 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis185 -1.5318e+02 1.3221e+01 -11.5857 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis186 -1.3770e+02 1.3219e+01 -10.4169 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis187 -1.4453e+02 1.3225e+01 -10.9287 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis188 -1.4504e+02 1.3219e+01 -10.9723 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis189 -1.4511e+02 1.3216e+01 -10.9804 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis190 -1.3393e+02 1.3207e+01 -10.1412 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis191 -1.4193e+02 1.3206e+01 -10.7471 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis192 -1.4512e+02 1.3195e+01 -10.9984 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis193 -1.3618e+02 1.3191e+01 -10.3232 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis194 -1.0798e+02 1.3181e+01 -8.1923 2.841e-15 ***
iis206 4.1742e+01 1.3143e+01 3.1759 0.0015995 **
iis208 4.0356e+01 1.3132e+01 3.0730 0.0022512 **
iis521 -4.2551e+01 1.3622e+01 -3.1238 0.0019037 **
iis522 -4.7690e+01 1.3547e+01 -3.5203 0.0004762 ***
iis523 -4.5502e+01 1.3474e+01 -3.3770 0.0007983 ***
iis524 -4.8334e+01 1.3410e+01 -3.6045 0.0003487 ***
iis525 -5.0124e+01 1.3304e+01 -3.7676 0.0001874 ***
iis526 -4.2033e+01 1.3255e+01 -3.1711 0.0016254 **
iis527 -4.7669e+01 1.3223e+01 -3.6051 0.0003479 ***
iis528 -4.3230e+01 1.3194e+01 -3.2766 0.0011342 **
iis529 -3.8294e+01 1.3154e+01 -2.9113 0.0037831 **
iis534 4.5608e+01 1.6093e+01 2.8340 0.0048092 **
iis535 2.1329e+02 1.2372e+01 17.2396 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis536 2.1759e+02 1.2330e+01 17.6477 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis537 1.3036e+02 1.2241e+01 10.6499 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis538 7.1751e+01 1.2215e+01 5.8741 8.422e-09 ***
iis539 1.1196e+02 1.2186e+01 9.1879 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisAUS.2008 -3.0240e+01 4.6726e+00 -6.4718 2.598e-10 ***
fesisAUT.2007 -2.0421e+01 4.7274e+00 -4.3198 1.934e-05 ***
fesisBEL.2006 -2.2747e+01 4.7413e+00 -4.7977 2.205e-06 ***
fesisCAN.2009 -2.1119e+01 4.6700e+00 -4.5222 7.889e-06 ***
fesisCHE.2007 -2.3571e+01 4.7221e+00 -4.9915 8.661e-07 ***
fesisCHN.1999 -4.8414e+01 9.7563e+00 -4.9623 9.988e-07 ***
fesisCHN.2003 -3.0675e+01 9.0788e+00 -3.3787 0.0007934 ***
fesisCHN.2011 -2.2064e+01 1.0017e+01 -2.2026 0.0281423 *
fesisDEU.2000 6.4362e+01 6.6860e+00 9.6265 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 6.9969e+01 6.5128e+00 10.7433 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2010 9.7111e+01 1.0412e+01 9.3266 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -1.0863e+02 9.8679e+00 -11.0082 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2016 3.9752e+01 8.6964e+00 4.5710 6.322e-06 ***
fesisFIN.2007 -2.5008e+01 4.7311e+00 -5.2859 1.977e-07 ***
fesisISR.2008 -2.6942e+01 4.6839e+00 -5.7519 1.658e-08 ***
fesisJPN.2002 3.0258e+01 5.9294e+00 5.1030 4.991e-07 ***
fesisJPN.2010 5.4801e+01 5.7904e+00 9.4642 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2018 -6.7159e+01 7.7236e+00 -8.6953 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisNOR.2007 -1.8515e+01 4.7259e+00 -3.9177 0.0001037 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -2.0791e+01 4.7619e+00 -4.3662 1.579e-05 ***
fesisSWE.2007 -2.4552e+01 4.7227e+00 -5.1987 3.085e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2007 1.0728e+02 1.3175e+01 8.1427 4.060e-15 ***
fesisUSA.2009 -7.0675e+01 1.2482e+01 -5.6623 2.706e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 57.035 1 4.285e-14 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 33.616 1 6.715e-09 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 11.09268
R-squared 0.97623
Log-lik.(n=546) -2034.57240 AR 1
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:42:40 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 525
Sample: 1 to 525
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.1370e-01 1.8967e-02 42.9002 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 2.6122e-15 4.9367e-15 0.5291 0.5969737
pop 1.9362e-07 3.2746e-08 5.9127 6.670e-09 ***
idAUT 2.9238e+00 2.4442e+00 1.1962 0.2322475
idBEL 2.1101e+00 2.4308e+00 0.8681 0.3858060
idCAN -7.6113e-01 2.4339e+00 -0.3127 0.7546425
idCHE 2.4550e+00 2.4463e+00 1.0036 0.3161287
idCHN -2.3926e+02 4.2485e+01 -5.6317 3.152e-08 ***
idDEU 6.5975e+00 3.8418e+00 1.7173 0.0866173 .
idDNK 8.3355e+00 3.2836e+00 2.5385 0.0114692 *
idESP 2.0840e+00 2.5230e+00 0.8260 0.4092435
idFIN 2.4836e+00 2.4604e+00 1.0094 0.3133082
idFRA -4.7285e+00 2.7509e+00 -1.7189 0.0863259 .
idGBR 1.6724e-01 2.7264e+00 0.0613 0.9511149
idISR 2.2649e+00 2.4479e+00 0.9252 0.3553393
idITA -5.4676e+00 2.6791e+00 -2.0409 0.0418472 *
idJPN -8.0416e+00 4.8946e+00 -1.6430 0.1010932
idKOR -2.8787e+00 6.9000e+00 -0.4172 0.6767338
idNLD 4.2483e+00 2.4242e+00 1.7524 0.0803812 .
idNOR 4.5478e+00 2.4688e+00 1.8421 0.0661208 .
idRUS -2.4352e+01 4.7235e+00 -5.1555 3.799e-07 ***
idSWE 2.6372e+00 2.4402e+00 1.0807 0.2803906
idUSA -3.7089e+01 9.1052e+00 -4.0734 5.478e-05 ***
time1996 -5.9256e+00 2.5692e+00 -2.3064 0.0215421 *
time1997 -6.9145e+00 2.5717e+00 -2.6887 0.0074392 **
time1998 -5.6321e+00 2.5780e+00 -2.1847 0.0294296 *
time1999 -4.0165e+00 2.5787e+00 -1.5576 0.1200359
time2000 -4.8278e+00 2.5756e+00 -1.8744 0.0615200 .
time2001 -2.8445e+00 2.5764e+00 -1.1040 0.2701712
time2002 -4.6342e+00 2.5738e+00 -1.8006 0.0724440 .
time2003 -3.6944e+00 2.5762e+00 -1.4340 0.1522596
time2004 -4.4561e+00 2.5775e+00 -1.7289 0.0845200 .
time2005 -3.6197e+00 2.5807e+00 -1.4026 0.1614214
time2006 1.3589e-01 2.6247e+00 0.0518 0.9587339
time2007 4.0249e-01 2.6554e+00 0.1516 0.8795880
time2008 3.9813e+00 2.6669e+00 1.4929 0.1361735
time2009 5.7946e+00 2.6301e+00 2.2032 0.0280895 *
time2010 -5.1600e-01 2.7256e+00 -0.1893 0.8499332
time2011 3.7796e+00 2.6712e+00 1.4149 0.1577840
time2012 -5.5861e+00 2.6681e+00 -2.0937 0.0368481 *
time2013 -6.3171e+00 2.6955e+00 -2.3436 0.0195354 *
time2014 -6.0857e+00 2.6562e+00 -2.2911 0.0224174 *
time2015 -5.8343e+00 2.6338e+00 -2.2152 0.0272484 *
time2016 -4.0036e+00 2.7063e+00 -1.4794 0.1397451
time2017 8.8995e-02 2.6820e+00 0.0332 0.9735440
time2018 -4.8815e+00 2.7122e+00 -1.7998 0.0725622 .
time2019 -5.1930e+00 2.7270e+00 -1.9043 0.0575141 .
time2020 2.1156e+00 2.7330e+00 0.7741 0.4392912
iis163 3.6018e+01 9.2532e+00 3.8925 0.0001143 ***
iis165 1.0441e+02 9.2177e+00 11.3271 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis168 -9.3647e+01 9.3315e+00 -10.0356 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis171 4.3842e+01 9.2224e+00 4.7538 2.692e-06 ***
iis174 -5.6157e+01 9.2589e+00 -6.0652 2.801e-09 ***
iis175 -5.6232e+01 9.2048e+00 -6.1090 2.175e-09 ***
iis187 3.0471e+01 1.0248e+01 2.9733 0.0031049 **
iis188 4.8012e+01 1.0103e+01 4.7524 2.710e-06 ***
iis190 6.2575e+01 1.0121e+01 6.1827 1.417e-09 ***
iis196 4.7450e+01 1.0081e+01 4.7069 3.356e-06 ***
iis198 4.6945e+01 1.0099e+01 4.6485 4.401e-06 ***
iis200 7.8643e+01 1.2370e+01 6.3574 5.052e-10 ***
iis365 6.4295e+01 8.9760e+00 7.1630 3.254e-12 ***
iis512 4.1128e+01 1.1214e+01 3.6676 0.0002742 ***
iis514 6.6318e+01 1.0701e+01 6.1975 1.300e-09 ***
iis518 6.6512e+01 9.8610e+00 6.7450 4.727e-11 ***
iis519 -4.3836e+01 9.9756e+00 -4.3944 1.388e-05 ***
iis522 6.3728e+01 9.7507e+00 6.5358 1.722e-10 ***
iis523 -3.3708e+01 9.8029e+00 -3.4386 0.0006392 ***
fesisDEU.2006 2.7395e+01 4.8591e+00 5.6378 3.049e-08 ***
fesisDNK.2006 3.9945e+01 6.3583e+00 6.2824 7.889e-10 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -6.1483e+01 8.0812e+00 -7.6081 1.648e-13 ***
fesisDNK.2014 4.9097e+01 8.0684e+00 6.0852 2.496e-09 ***
fesisDNK.2019 -3.2519e+01 1.0193e+01 -3.1904 0.0015205 **
fesisJPN.2016 -1.6893e+01 4.4386e+00 -3.8058 0.0001610 ***
fesisUSA.2007 6.5448e+01 8.0902e+00 8.0899 5.629e-15 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -9.3899e+01 8.7491e+00 -10.7324 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2013 2.4027e+01 8.1406e+00 2.9515 0.0033278 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.0545 1 0.3045
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 69.5183 1 <2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 8.50525
R-squared 0.98550
Log-lik.(n=525) -1830.80156 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:42:37 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 525
Sample: 1 to 525
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 7.8708e-01 2.0062e-02 39.2320 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 3.6980e-15 4.5286e-15 0.8166 0.4146100
pop 2.1150e-07 3.0708e-08 6.8875 1.960e-11 ***
idAUT 3.1640e+00 2.2270e+00 1.4208 0.1560914
idBEL 2.2873e+00 2.2138e+00 1.0332 0.3020635
idCAN -7.6684e-01 2.2155e+00 -0.3461 0.7294076
idCHE 2.6678e+00 2.2285e+00 1.1972 0.2318842
idCHN -2.6159e+02 3.9764e+01 -6.5786 1.345e-10 ***
idDEU 6.7470e+00 3.5010e+00 1.9272 0.0546008 .
idDNK 8.7029e+00 2.9975e+00 2.9033 0.0038769 **
idESP 8.5854e-01 2.6408e+00 0.3251 0.7452517
idFIN 2.7010e+00 2.2414e+00 1.2050 0.2288361
idFRA -5.1600e+00 2.5111e+00 -2.0548 0.0404817 *
idGBR 3.8750e-01 2.4828e+00 0.1561 0.8760470
idISR 2.4677e+00 2.2297e+00 1.1067 0.2690074
idITA -5.9370e+00 2.4467e+00 -2.4265 0.0156439 *
idJPN -1.4448e+01 4.7772e+00 -3.0244 0.0026361 **
idKOR -4.1310e+00 6.3193e+00 -0.6537 0.5136449
idNLD 4.6232e+00 2.2114e+00 2.0906 0.0371371 *
idNOR 4.8790e+00 2.2512e+00 2.1673 0.0307478 *
idRUS -2.6677e+01 4.4062e+00 -6.0545 3.012e-09 ***
idSWE 2.8964e+00 2.2236e+00 1.3026 0.1934040
idUSA -4.1326e+01 8.4666e+00 -4.8810 1.477e-06 ***
time1996 -6.1272e+00 2.3447e+00 -2.6132 0.0092747 **
time1997 -7.1081e+00 2.3467e+00 -3.0289 0.0025983 **
time1998 -5.8382e+00 2.3528e+00 -2.4814 0.0134588 *
time1999 -4.2029e+00 2.3529e+00 -1.7862 0.0747443 .
time2000 -4.9541e+00 2.3488e+00 -2.1092 0.0354904 *
time2001 -2.9398e+00 2.3490e+00 -1.2515 0.2114000
time2002 -4.6516e+00 2.3452e+00 -1.9834 0.0479402 *
time2003 -3.6932e+00 2.3472e+00 -1.5734 0.1163400
time2004 -4.4151e+00 2.3479e+00 -1.8804 0.0607051 .
time2005 -3.5654e+00 2.3506e+00 -1.5168 0.1300415
time2006 -3.8471e-01 2.3925e+00 -0.1608 0.8723236
time2007 2.1472e-01 2.4204e+00 0.0887 0.9293481
time2008 4.0755e+00 2.4287e+00 1.6781 0.0940434 .
time2009 5.1039e+00 2.4075e+00 2.1200 0.0345631 *
time2010 -1.2190e-01 2.4850e+00 -0.0491 0.9608986
time2011 9.9037e-01 2.4642e+00 0.4019 0.6879434
time2012 -6.7258e+00 2.4489e+00 -2.7464 0.0062706 **
time2013 -6.5116e+00 2.4611e+00 -2.6458 0.0084402 **
time2014 -5.6386e+00 2.4347e+00 -2.3160 0.0210175 *
time2015 -5.4618e+00 2.4158e+00 -2.2609 0.0242516 *
time2016 -4.0597e+00 2.4725e+00 -1.6419 0.1013159
time2017 7.7512e-01 2.4568e+00 0.3155 0.7525305
time2018 -5.2908e+00 2.5408e+00 -2.0823 0.0378880 *
time2019 -5.3745e+00 2.4941e+00 -2.1549 0.0317066 *
time2020 1.8593e+00 2.5014e+00 0.7433 0.4576863
iis163 3.1355e+01 9.1871e+00 3.4129 0.0007019 ***
iis165 8.1667e+01 1.1453e+01 7.1307 4.103e-12 ***
iis168 -7.6821e+01 8.9625e+00 -8.5714 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis171 5.7230e+01 8.9568e+00 6.3896 4.225e-10 ***
iis173 4.4054e+01 8.9053e+00 4.9469 1.074e-06 ***
iis174 -4.0531e+01 8.9035e+00 -4.5522 6.872e-06 ***
iis175 -4.2145e+01 8.9064e+00 -4.7320 2.997e-06 ***
iis187 2.6272e+01 9.4133e+00 2.7910 0.0054827 **
iis188 4.5358e+01 9.2094e+00 4.9252 1.193e-06 ***
iis190 6.2192e+01 9.2216e+00 6.7442 4.832e-11 ***
iis196 4.7627e+01 9.1802e+00 5.1880 3.245e-07 ***
iis198 7.8647e+01 1.1287e+01 6.9681 1.173e-11 ***
iis200 7.7444e+01 1.1269e+01 6.8723 2.159e-11 ***
iis365 5.2642e+01 8.6329e+00 6.0977 2.348e-09 ***
iis373 -2.2706e+01 8.9093e+00 -2.5486 0.0111526 *
iis512 3.6447e+01 1.0397e+01 3.5054 0.0005025 ***
iis514 6.6631e+01 9.7470e+00 6.8361 2.713e-11 ***
iis518 6.8976e+01 9.0134e+00 7.6526 1.247e-13 ***
iis519 -4.1151e+01 9.1673e+00 -4.4889 9.145e-06 ***
iis522 6.2982e+01 8.8761e+00 7.0957 5.151e-12 ***
iis523 -3.1938e+01 8.9601e+00 -3.5645 0.0004043 ***
fesisDEU.2006 3.4592e+01 5.4429e+00 6.3554 5.182e-10 ***
fesisDEU.2010 1.9670e+01 9.8414e+00 1.9987 0.0462536 *
fesisDEU.2012 -3.6902e+01 9.0242e+00 -4.0892 5.143e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2006 4.5516e+01 6.0024e+00 7.5829 2.010e-13 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -5.9868e+01 7.4128e+00 -8.0764 6.404e-15 ***
fesisDNK.2014 4.5743e+01 7.3789e+00 6.1992 1.303e-09 ***
fesisDNK.2018 -2.9904e+01 9.3056e+00 -3.2135 0.0014071 **
fesisESP.2011 3.5526e+01 6.0091e+00 5.9120 6.766e-09 ***
fesisESP.2013 -3.9573e+01 6.2926e+00 -6.2889 7.689e-10 ***
fesisJPN.2009 1.7377e+01 4.2166e+00 4.1211 4.504e-05 ***
fesisJPN.2016 -2.3595e+01 5.1567e+00 -4.5756 6.178e-06 ***
fesisUSA.2007 7.1794e+01 7.7511e+00 9.2624 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -9.0417e+01 7.9901e+00 -11.3162 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2013 1.7059e+01 7.6378e+00 2.2335 0.0260148 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.8127 1 0.1782
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 46.9225 1 7.385e-12 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 7.74162
R-squared 0.98818
Log-lik.(n=525) -1777.91327 Log Count
AR 0
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:42:44 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 546
Sample: 1 to 546
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.22165 0.23444 5.2110 2.784e-07 ***
lpop -4.76777 0.64693 -7.3699 7.417e-13 ***
idAUT -2.90112 0.55045 -5.2705 2.051e-07 ***
idBEL -1.55727 0.43203 -3.6045 0.0003451 ***
idCAN 2.22421 0.33451 6.6492 7.956e-11 ***
idCHE -4.17049 0.58672 -7.1081 4.232e-12 ***
idCHN 15.93699 2.51722 6.3312 5.549e-10 ***
idDEU 8.31987 0.86373 9.6325 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK -5.30599 0.88485 -5.9965 3.943e-09 ***
idESP 4.41040 0.55505 7.9460 1.358e-14 ***
idFIN -3.97137 0.80241 -4.9493 1.029e-06 ***
idFRA 5.48164 0.72566 7.5540 2.117e-13 ***
idGBR 5.35602 0.73908 7.2469 1.691e-12 ***
idISR -5.19803 0.64334 -8.0797 5.199e-15 ***
idITA 4.83939 0.68618 7.0526 6.082e-12 ***
idJPN 2.27395 1.46649 1.5506 0.1216486
idKOR -3.49613 1.45624 -2.4008 0.0167354 *
idNLD 0.35336 0.22513 1.5696 0.1171685
idNOR -8.18433 1.01945 -8.0282 7.536e-15 ***
idRUS 4.72159 1.25565 3.7603 0.0001904 ***
idSWE -4.10826 0.64327 -6.3866 3.978e-10 ***
idUSA 11.10714 1.59458 6.9655 1.070e-11 ***
time1995 46.59546 10.04404 4.6391 4.507e-06 ***
time1996 46.88379 10.04840 4.6658 3.982e-06 ***
time1997 46.82515 10.05296 4.6578 4.132e-06 ***
time1998 46.84804 10.05683 4.6583 4.123e-06 ***
time1999 47.28366 10.06385 4.6984 3.421e-06 ***
time2000 47.46966 10.07019 4.7139 3.181e-06 ***
time2001 47.58675 10.07475 4.7234 3.042e-06 ***
time2002 47.72286 10.07893 4.7349 2.881e-06 ***
time2003 47.70823 10.08293 4.7316 2.927e-06 ***
time2004 47.97596 10.08894 4.7553 2.617e-06 ***
time2005 48.10782 10.09163 4.7671 2.475e-06 ***
time2006 48.47954 10.09686 4.8014 2.102e-06 ***
time2007 48.69404 10.10331 4.8196 1.927e-06 ***
time2008 49.00836 10.10809 4.8484 1.679e-06 ***
time2009 49.32016 10.10761 4.8795 1.445e-06 ***
time2010 49.35280 10.11265 4.8803 1.439e-06 ***
time2011 49.39724 10.11686 4.8827 1.423e-06 ***
time2012 49.30588 10.12082 4.8717 1.500e-06 ***
time2013 49.06880 10.12502 4.8463 1.696e-06 ***
time2014 48.97306 10.12960 4.8346 1.793e-06 ***
time2015 48.75191 10.13410 4.8107 2.011e-06 ***
time2016 48.79921 10.13879 4.8131 1.988e-06 ***
time2017 48.97530 10.14338 4.8283 1.849e-06 ***
time2018 48.86766 10.14754 4.8157 1.963e-06 ***
time2019 48.64839 10.15030 4.7928 2.190e-06 ***
time2020 48.98339 10.15069 4.8256 1.873e-06 ***
iis64 -1.78632 0.43823 -4.0763 5.348e-05 ***
fesisAUS.2009 -0.60101 0.18116 -3.3176 0.0009762 ***
fesisBEL.2003 -0.58206 0.18519 -3.1430 0.0017746 **
fesisCHN.2005 0.96742 0.28020 3.4526 0.0006038 ***
fesisDNK.2007 1.14872 0.17083 6.7243 4.975e-11 ***
fesisESP.2004 0.84656 0.17965 4.7122 3.207e-06 ***
fesisFIN.2000 -1.16335 0.21597 -5.3866 1.122e-07 ***
fesisGBR.2001 0.93819 0.20049 4.6795 3.737e-06 ***
fesisJPN.1999 0.96255 0.23941 4.0205 6.731e-05 ***
fesisNOR.2019 1.30271 0.31506 4.1348 4.187e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2004 -1.27717 0.20936 -6.1002 2.167e-09 ***
fesisSWE.2003 -1.35108 0.18396 -7.3444 8.805e-13 ***
fesisUSA.2003 1.26002 0.18421 6.8401 2.392e-11 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 14.1637 1 0.0001676 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.9474 1 0.0860168 .
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.41542
R-squared 0.92743
Log-lik.(n=546) -264.59586 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:42:43 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 546
Sample: 1 to 546
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.145977 0.230147 4.9793 9.040e-07 ***
lpop -1.210123 0.760879 -1.5904 0.1124252
idAUT 0.231254 0.670287 0.3450 0.7302467
idBEL 0.098799 0.503806 0.1961 0.8446141
idCAN 0.225131 0.413889 0.5439 0.5867456
idCHE -0.553110 0.727574 -0.7602 0.4475182
idCHN 1.579526 3.101878 0.5092 0.6108451
idDEU 2.503790 1.135051 2.2059 0.0278858 *
idDNK -1.330116 1.011878 -1.3145 0.1893321
idESP 1.640091 0.643781 2.5476 0.0111712 *
idFIN 0.399658 0.981384 0.4072 0.6840221
idFRA 1.418024 0.896233 1.5822 0.1142901
idGBR 1.263205 0.887670 1.4231 0.1553978
idISR -1.292421 0.805542 -1.6044 0.1093099
idITA 0.672615 0.862072 0.7802 0.4356559
idJPN -3.908319 1.768971 -2.2094 0.0276406 *
idKOR -6.440171 1.517136 -4.2450 2.646e-05 ***
idNLD 1.025640 0.254954 4.0228 6.721e-05 ***
idNOR -3.007941 1.142327 -2.6332 0.0087440 **
idRUS -2.318119 1.593164 -1.4550 0.1463401
idSWE -1.402649 0.685821 -2.0452 0.0414024 *
idUSA 1.816096 1.995450 0.9101 0.3632366
time1995 -10.760751 12.641446 -0.8512 0.3950857
time1996 -10.438514 12.647269 -0.8254 0.4095967
time1997 -10.568986 12.655721 -0.8351 0.4040863
time1998 -10.600198 12.661184 -0.8372 0.4029036
time1999 -10.178161 12.669609 -0.8034 0.4221860
time2000 -10.032503 12.676443 -0.7914 0.4291016
time2001 -9.990163 12.681953 -0.7877 0.4312508
time2002 -9.804477 12.685594 -0.7729 0.4399887
time2003 -10.012556 12.687109 -0.7892 0.4304068
time2004 -9.783337 12.696081 -0.7706 0.4413519
time2005 -9.688200 12.698012 -0.7630 0.4458725
time2006 -9.317130 12.703388 -0.7334 0.4636658
time2007 -9.069023 12.710562 -0.7135 0.4758965
time2008 -8.832115 12.716420 -0.6945 0.4876917
time2009 -8.522995 12.716163 -0.6702 0.5030355
time2010 -8.476893 12.720694 -0.6664 0.5054984
time2011 -8.419635 12.720312 -0.6619 0.5083637
time2012 -8.533396 12.725301 -0.6706 0.5028215
time2013 -8.793578 12.730585 -0.6907 0.4900747
time2014 -8.912487 12.736321 -0.6998 0.4844251
time2015 -9.156354 12.741968 -0.7186 0.4727534
time2016 -9.132166 12.747833 -0.7164 0.4741264
time2017 -8.934438 12.752720 -0.7006 0.4839126
time2018 -9.073984 12.756274 -0.7113 0.4772372
time2019 -9.254112 12.757822 -0.7254 0.4685953
time2020 -8.985816 12.759847 -0.7042 0.4816484
iis23 -0.888869 0.371985 -2.3895 0.0172718 *
iis34 -1.420456 0.363964 -3.9027 0.0001093 ***
iis39 -1.068427 0.363388 -2.9402 0.0034455 **
iis58 1.155395 0.365025 3.1652 0.0016523 **
iis59 1.040146 0.364485 2.8537 0.0045157 **
iis64 -1.744049 0.363786 -4.7942 2.209e-06 ***
iis136 -1.115191 0.381195 -2.9255 0.0036090 **
iis138 -1.518233 0.383054 -3.9635 8.561e-05 ***
iis139 -1.006771 0.385642 -2.6106 0.0093323 **
iis315 0.997105 0.375228 2.6573 0.0081503 **
iis343 -1.088089 0.384516 -2.8298 0.0048620 **
iis368 -0.941756 0.411440 -2.2889 0.0225360 *
iis373 1.041233 0.366278 2.8427 0.0046718 **
iis393 -0.941408 0.376168 -2.5026 0.0126734 *
iis519 -0.997520 0.367595 -2.7136 0.0069048 **
iis522 -1.103233 0.380782 -2.8973 0.0039438 **
fesisAUS.2000 -0.913809 0.298898 -3.0573 0.0023638 **
fesisAUS.2002 1.161263 0.288091 4.0309 6.502e-05 ***
fesisAUS.2009 -1.153692 0.189061 -6.1022 2.223e-09 ***
fesisCAN.2002 0.760381 0.188449 4.0350 6.395e-05 ***
fesisCAN.2010 -0.727163 0.170533 -4.2641 2.437e-05 ***
fesisCHE.2006 -0.437638 0.148019 -2.9566 0.0032701 **
fesisCHN.2005 0.767150 0.283657 2.7045 0.0070945 **
fesisDEU.1998 0.995805 0.229029 4.3479 1.693e-05 ***
fesisDNK.1998 0.798178 0.239694 3.3300 0.0009383 ***
fesisDNK.2007 1.084793 0.154775 7.0088 8.602e-12 ***
fesisESP.2004 0.799297 0.155865 5.1281 4.320e-07 ***
fesisFIN.2000 -0.880048 0.183433 -4.7977 2.173e-06 ***
fesisGBR.2001 1.098249 0.169937 6.4627 2.626e-10 ***
fesisISR.2011 -0.664700 0.202778 -3.2780 0.0011248 **
fesisISR.2018 -0.621997 0.251161 -2.4765 0.0136268 *
fesisITA.2002 0.593147 0.176516 3.3603 0.0008434 ***
fesisJPN.1999 1.055709 0.231882 4.5528 6.787e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2005 0.571730 0.169323 3.3766 0.0007962 ***
fesisNOR.2019 1.116717 0.265978 4.1985 3.226e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2004 -0.777469 0.187162 -4.1540 3.896e-05 ***
fesisSWE.2003 -1.131608 0.157861 -7.1684 3.044e-12 ***
fesisUSA.2003 1.129683 0.165630 6.8205 2.865e-11 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.2798 1 0.2579
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 5.6360 1 0.0176 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.34706
R-squared 0.95196
Log-lik.(n=546) -153.93046 AR 1
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:44:05 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 525
Sample: 1 to 525
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.372862 0.038225 9.7544 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 1.114035 0.162974 6.8357 2.585e-11 ***
lpop -3.261650 0.614527 -5.3076 1.727e-07 ***
idAUT -1.238052 0.557022 -2.2226 0.0267233 *
idBEL -0.712973 0.420737 -1.6946 0.0908273 .
idCAN 1.701742 0.294845 5.7716 1.439e-08 ***
idCHE -2.341131 0.603583 -3.8787 0.0001202 ***
idCHN 10.729958 2.407890 4.4562 1.048e-05 ***
idDEU 5.643371 0.843496 6.6905 6.438e-11 ***
idDNK -3.588850 0.835291 -4.2965 2.116e-05 ***
idESP 3.708390 0.506305 7.3244 1.073e-12 ***
idFIN -2.616218 0.812138 -3.2214 0.0013655 **
idFRA 3.891075 0.676718 5.7499 1.623e-08 ***
idGBR 4.313392 0.675590 6.3846 4.182e-10 ***
idISR -3.092229 0.651017 -4.7498 2.720e-06 ***
idITA 3.597022 0.627663 5.7308 1.803e-08 ***
idJPN -0.277307 1.234125 -0.2247 0.8223123
idKOR -4.053931 1.026906 -3.9477 9.116e-05 ***
idNLD 0.704836 0.208868 3.3746 0.0008015 ***
idNOR -5.511600 0.968636 -5.6901 2.255e-08 ***
idRUS 2.517124 1.163325 2.1637 0.0309956 *
idSWE -2.829314 0.585804 -4.8298 1.861e-06 ***
idUSA 7.146139 1.547810 4.6169 5.052e-06 ***
time1996 24.189648 9.667720 2.5021 0.0126896 *
time1997 24.016680 9.673413 2.4828 0.0133904 *
time1998 24.049540 9.676287 2.4854 0.0132922 *
time1999 24.543537 9.680790 2.5353 0.0115637 *
time2000 24.344266 9.689260 2.5125 0.0123268 *
time2001 24.500568 9.694315 2.5273 0.0118257 *
time2002 24.721125 9.701734 2.5481 0.0111527 *
time2003 24.576770 9.708005 2.5316 0.0116842 *
time2004 24.721636 9.709995 2.5460 0.0112195 *
time2005 24.852027 9.715699 2.5579 0.0108472 *
time2006 25.113873 9.722020 2.5832 0.0100946 *
time2007 25.259938 9.728532 2.5965 0.0097179 **
time2008 25.426887 9.735836 2.6117 0.0093025 **
time2009 25.585292 9.741869 2.6263 0.0089173 **
time2010 25.532611 9.747617 2.6194 0.0090984 **
time2011 25.555538 9.751492 2.6207 0.0090640 **
time2012 25.437998 9.755629 2.6075 0.0094145 **
time2013 25.232626 9.758736 2.5856 0.0100242 *
time2014 25.222736 9.760911 2.5841 0.0100698 *
time2015 25.032342 9.764154 2.5637 0.0106710 *
time2016 25.156941 9.766563 2.5758 0.0103092 *
time2017 25.310930 9.770767 2.5905 0.0098866 **
time2018 25.130474 9.775689 2.5707 0.0104604 *
time2019 24.955627 9.776991 2.5525 0.0110156 *
time2020 25.338715 9.777711 2.5915 0.0098583 **
iis7 1.135680 0.426809 2.6609 0.0080648 **
iis32 -1.823295 0.425951 -4.2805 2.267e-05 ***
iis55 1.296683 0.423162 3.0643 0.0023094 **
iis61 -1.853029 0.422940 -4.3813 1.461e-05 ***
iis132 -1.603600 0.430714 -3.7231 0.0002210 ***
iis234 1.178161 0.424099 2.7780 0.0056910 **
iis308 -1.253064 0.424665 -2.9507 0.0033312 **
iis329 -1.611946 0.423913 -3.8025 0.0001624 ***
fesisDNK.2006 0.794083 0.175900 4.5144 8.064e-06 ***
fesisJPN.1999 1.031341 0.261415 3.9452 9.208e-05 ***
fesisNOR.2019 1.089819 0.307433 3.5449 0.0004327 ***
fesisRUS.2003 -0.936638 0.208539 -4.4914 8.945e-06 ***
fesisSWE.2002 -0.889528 0.200422 -4.4383 1.135e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2003 0.767454 0.192249 3.9920 7.618e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 3.5506 1 0.05952 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 6.6241 1 0.01006 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.40396
R-squared 0.92970
Log-lik.(n=525) -238.06436 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:44:02 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 525
Sample: 1 to 525
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.29992 0.03522 8.5156 2.694e-16 ***
lgdp 1.03784 0.15418 6.7314 5.296e-11 ***
lpop -3.38085 0.58697 -5.7598 1.590e-08 ***
idAUT -1.45631 0.50645 -2.8755 0.0042305 **
idBEL -0.85474 0.38281 -2.2328 0.0260676 *
idCAN 1.82775 0.33450 5.4641 7.831e-08 ***
idCHE -2.44407 0.55132 -4.4331 1.176e-05 ***
idCHN 11.68610 2.33314 5.0088 7.966e-07 ***
idDEU 6.08415 0.84472 7.2026 2.604e-12 ***
idDNK -4.20991 0.80569 -5.2252 2.699e-07 ***
idESP 3.29498 0.53929 6.1099 2.208e-09 ***
idFIN -2.42993 0.73328 -3.3138 0.0009970 ***
idFRA 4.67265 0.73038 6.3976 4.069e-10 ***
idGBR 3.85068 0.69879 5.5105 6.125e-08 ***
idISR -3.33627 0.59425 -5.6143 3.514e-08 ***
idITA 3.77495 0.64403 5.8615 9.048e-09 ***
idJPN 0.47324 1.19511 0.3960 0.6923140
idKOR -3.30230 0.99273 -3.3265 0.0009538 ***
idNLD 0.71891 0.20842 3.4494 0.0006164 ***
idNOR -5.62235 0.90138 -6.2375 1.051e-09 ***
idRUS 2.89294 1.14160 2.5341 0.0116216 *
idSWE -2.79420 0.54080 -5.1668 3.628e-07 ***
idUSA 7.90476 1.51277 5.2254 2.697e-07 ***
time1996 28.37621 9.14088 3.1043 0.0020311 **
time1997 28.22996 9.15105 3.0849 0.0021655 **
time1998 28.15337 9.14773 3.0776 0.0022178 **
time1999 28.64782 9.15326 3.1298 0.0018665 **
time2000 28.57308 9.16164 3.1188 0.0019362 **
time2001 28.71118 9.16703 3.1320 0.0018528 **
time2002 28.97062 9.17189 3.1586 0.0016951 **
time2003 28.76222 9.17934 3.1334 0.0018445 **
time2004 28.89680 9.17904 3.1481 0.0017558 **
time2005 29.05559 9.18313 3.1640 0.0016647 **
time2006 29.34629 9.19050 3.1931 0.0015092 **
time2007 29.50331 9.19493 3.2086 0.0014318 **
time2008 29.74386 9.20212 3.2323 0.0013210 **
time2009 29.87785 9.20768 3.2449 0.0012652 **
time2010 29.87877 9.21311 3.2431 0.0012731 **
time2011 29.87245 9.21670 3.2411 0.0012817 **
time2012 29.76001 9.22062 3.2275 0.0013425 **
time2013 29.54859 9.22357 3.2036 0.0014565 **
time2014 29.52265 9.22562 3.2001 0.0014741 **
time2015 29.36612 9.22925 3.1819 0.0015677 **
time2016 29.43741 9.23094 3.1890 0.0015304 **
time2017 29.63932 9.23381 3.2099 0.0014259 **
time2018 29.43218 9.23952 3.1855 0.0015487 **
time2019 29.33563 9.23973 3.1749 0.0016047 **
time2020 29.61975 9.24144 3.2051 0.0014491 **
iis22 -0.88474 0.36586 -2.4183 0.0160028 *
iis32 -1.78753 0.36394 -4.9116 1.279e-06 ***
iis55 1.20536 0.36242 3.3258 0.0009559 ***
iis61 -1.88474 0.36241 -5.2006 3.059e-07 ***
iis74 -0.88960 0.36423 -2.4424 0.0149840 *
iis111 -1.16160 0.36238 -3.2055 0.0014472 **
iis113 -0.93780 0.36112 -2.5969 0.0097243 **
iis127 -0.77812 0.38371 -2.0279 0.0431762 *
iis130 -1.24841 0.37697 -3.3117 0.0010043 **
iis132 -1.89416 0.37239 -5.0864 5.425e-07 ***
iis133 -1.02901 0.37393 -2.7519 0.0061716 **
iis234 1.29877 0.36409 3.5672 0.0004008 ***
iis253 -0.89826 0.36525 -2.4593 0.0143069 *
iis302 0.78823 0.37561 2.0986 0.0364300 *
iis308 -1.12238 0.36472 -3.0774 0.0022195 **
iis311 0.87686 0.36301 2.4155 0.0161236 *
iis329 -1.54415 0.36293 -4.2546 2.563e-05 ***
iis377 -1.14593 0.36512 -3.1385 0.0018130 **
iis409 -0.80644 0.36157 -2.2304 0.0262307 *
iis453 0.84600 0.38331 2.2071 0.0278278 *
iis470 -0.82146 0.36388 -2.2575 0.0244698 *
iis490 -0.73198 0.36392 -2.0114 0.0449001 *
iis499 -0.89001 0.36469 -2.4405 0.0150644 *
iis501 -1.09914 0.38274 -2.8718 0.0042805 **
fesisAUS.2002 0.82012 0.25190 3.2557 0.0012192 **
fesisAUS.2005 -0.81450 0.22888 -3.5586 0.0004137 ***
fesisDNK.1998 1.76021 0.43441 4.0520 6.011e-05 ***
fesisDNK.1999 -1.13554 0.38099 -2.9805 0.0030384 **
fesisDNK.2006 0.87028 0.16620 5.2363 2.551e-07 ***
fesisESP.1999 1.04737 0.41008 2.5541 0.0109853 *
fesisESP.2000 -1.20471 0.40956 -2.9415 0.0034399 **
fesisESP.2003 0.93367 0.22434 4.1618 3.804e-05 ***
fesisFIN.2001 -0.65691 0.18604 -3.5311 0.0004578 ***
fesisFRA.1998 -0.55202 0.26449 -2.0871 0.0374541 *
fesisGBR.2000 0.86140 0.19769 4.3574 1.642e-05 ***
fesisJPN.1999 1.11296 0.22615 4.9213 1.220e-06 ***
fesisNOR.2019 1.10354 0.26349 4.1881 3.404e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2003 -0.74268 0.19106 -3.8872 0.0001172 ***
fesisSWE.2002 -0.83995 0.17593 -4.7744 2.464e-06 ***
fesisUSA.2003 0.74466 0.17481 4.2599 2.506e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.47108 1 0.2252
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 0.90499 1 0.3414
SE of regression 0.34482
R-squared 0.95166
Log-lik.(n=525) -141.95618 without IIS
Count
0
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:45:25 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 546
Sample: 1 to 546
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 2.8030e-14 8.5394e-15 3.2824 0.0011034 **
pop 1.0461e-06 9.3548e-08 11.1825 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 5.1707e+00 5.5062e+00 0.9391 0.3481667
idBEL 1.6961e+00 5.4606e+00 0.3106 0.7562337
idCAN -1.3828e+01 5.4832e+00 -2.5219 0.0119909 *
idCHE 4.1127e+00 5.5193e+00 0.7452 0.4565413
idCHN -1.2595e+03 1.1304e+02 -11.1420 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU -4.2460e+01 1.0189e+01 -4.1674 3.649e-05 ***
idDNK 2.8587e+01 6.3997e+00 4.4669 9.885e-06 ***
idESP -5.0645e+00 5.7764e+00 -0.8768 0.3810469
idFIN 5.0787e+00 5.5756e+00 0.9109 0.3628085
idFRA -4.0360e+01 6.6781e+00 -6.0437 3.006e-09 ***
idGBR -1.5848e+01 6.5756e+00 -2.4102 0.0163150 *
idISR 3.7856e+00 5.5279e+00 0.6848 0.4937916
idITA -4.0551e+01 6.3992e+00 -6.3369 5.362e-10 ***
idJPN -9.8331e+01 1.2305e+01 -7.9911 9.833e-15 ***
idKOR -4.8709e+01 1.2219e+01 -3.9864 7.741e-05 ***
idNLD 7.7076e+00 5.3891e+00 1.4302 0.1532937
idNOR 1.0566e+01 5.5879e+00 1.8909 0.0592317 .
idRUS -1.4173e+02 1.2716e+01 -11.1457 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE 5.2189e+00 5.4854e+00 0.9514 0.3418612
idUSA -2.4758e+02 2.5440e+01 -9.7319 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1995 -2.0039e+01 5.7031e+00 -3.5137 0.0004833 ***
time1996 -2.0050e+01 5.7263e+00 -3.5014 0.0005056 ***
time1997 -2.1031e+01 5.7504e+00 -3.6573 0.0002828 ***
time1998 -2.0396e+01 5.7752e+00 -3.5316 0.0004525 ***
time1999 -1.6018e+01 5.7355e+00 -2.7927 0.0054333 **
time2000 -1.8118e+01 5.7531e+00 -3.1493 0.0017377 **
time2001 -1.5378e+01 5.7736e+00 -2.6635 0.0079900 **
time2002 -1.4955e+01 5.7937e+00 -2.5812 0.0101389 *
time2003 -1.1940e+01 5.6912e+00 -2.0980 0.0364201 *
time2004 -1.1645e+01 5.7083e+00 -2.0401 0.0418815 *
time2005 -1.0565e+01 5.7258e+00 -1.8452 0.0656250 .
time2006 -2.7498e+00 5.7441e+00 -0.4787 0.6323586
time2007 -1.1113e+01 5.7945e+00 -1.9178 0.0557176 .
time2008 4.6275e+00 5.9761e+00 0.7743 0.4391081
time2009 1.2047e+01 5.9908e+00 2.0109 0.0448841 *
time2010 1.5613e+01 6.0349e+00 2.5872 0.0099657 **
time2011 1.9481e+01 6.0384e+00 3.2262 0.0013391 **
time2012 6.0558e+00 6.0608e+00 0.9992 0.3182088
time2013 -8.5602e-01 6.0769e+00 -0.1409 0.8880343
time2014 -3.7636e+00 6.0793e+00 -0.6191 0.5361565
time2015 -7.7873e+00 6.1024e+00 -1.2761 0.2025336
time2016 -5.6969e+00 6.1261e+00 -0.9299 0.3528641
time2017 -1.2278e+00 6.1503e+00 -0.1996 0.8418552
time2018 -4.8710e+00 6.1707e+00 -0.7894 0.4302799
time2019 -1.2889e+01 6.1867e+00 -2.0834 0.0377404 *
time2020 -8.2354e+00 6.1990e+00 -1.3285 0.1846361
fesisAUS.2008 -1.7944e+01 6.3319e+00 -2.8339 0.0047902 **
fesisCHN.1999 -4.9493e+01 1.2006e+01 -4.1225 4.409e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2003 -3.5248e+01 1.1768e+01 -2.9952 0.0028830 **
fesisDEU.2000 6.1860e+01 9.3886e+00 6.5888 1.158e-10 ***
fesisDEU.2007 9.6014e+01 1.1077e+01 8.6675 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2010 1.1834e+02 1.3098e+01 9.0351 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -1.0346e+02 1.0856e+01 -9.5298 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2007 1.8098e+02 6.3611e+00 28.4508 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 6.1448e+01 6.4086e+00 9.5883 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2007 1.7417e+02 1.2390e+01 14.0575 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2009 1.2113e+02 1.6031e+01 7.5561 2.086e-13 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -1.0692e+02 1.4634e+01 -7.3064 1.136e-12 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -1.0383e+02 1.1089e+01 -9.3638 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 117.334 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 63.417 1 1.665e-15 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 15.6347
R-squared 0.9477
Log-lik.(n=546) -2245.4627 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:45:24 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 546
Sample: 1 to 546
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 1.2373e-14 6.8305e-15 1.8114 0.0707138 .
pop 1.0365e-06 1.3507e-07 7.6739 9.752e-14 ***
idAUT 9.7580e+00 5.0633e+00 1.9272 0.0545586 .
idBEL 8.5909e+00 5.0961e+00 1.6858 0.0925039 .
idCAN -1.0266e+01 4.9153e+00 -2.0886 0.0372847 *
idCHE 1.0394e+01 5.0974e+00 2.0391 0.0420045 *
idCHN -1.2480e+03 1.6294e+02 -7.6590 1.081e-13 ***
idDEU -4.2055e+01 1.0727e+01 -3.9205 0.0001015 ***
idDNK 2.9212e+01 5.1831e+00 5.6360 3.008e-08 ***
idESP -1.1216e+01 5.1992e+00 -2.1573 0.0314867 *
idFIN 1.2106e+01 5.1908e+00 2.3321 0.0201157 *
idFRA -4.6308e+01 7.0955e+00 -6.5264 1.751e-10 ***
idGBR -2.1819e+01 6.8936e+00 -3.1651 0.0016511 **
idISR 1.0967e+01 5.0479e+00 2.1725 0.0303182 *
idITA -4.6554e+01 6.5397e+00 -7.1187 4.114e-12 ***
idJPN -1.0681e+02 1.5976e+01 -6.6855 6.557e-11 ***
idKOR -3.4746e+01 1.0126e+01 -3.4313 0.0006539 ***
idNLD 1.2851e+00 4.2621e+00 0.3015 0.7631454
idNOR 1.4132e+01 5.2249e+00 2.7047 0.0070847 **
idRUS -1.3456e+02 1.7827e+01 -7.5483 2.317e-13 ***
idSWE 1.2092e+01 5.0309e+00 2.4035 0.0166271 *
idUSA -2.5516e+02 3.5477e+01 -7.1923 2.536e-12 ***
time1995 -1.9695e+01 4.8132e+00 -4.0920 5.035e-05 ***
time1996 -1.9647e+01 4.8694e+00 -4.0349 6.378e-05 ***
time1997 -2.0580e+01 4.9272e+00 -4.1769 3.524e-05 ***
time1998 -1.9972e+01 4.9843e+00 -4.0070 7.150e-05 ***
time1999 -1.5557e+01 4.8941e+00 -3.1786 0.0015777 **
time2000 -1.7658e+01 4.9429e+00 -3.5724 0.0003902 ***
time2001 -1.4874e+01 4.9913e+00 -2.9801 0.0030317 **
time2002 -1.5784e+01 5.0408e+00 -3.1312 0.0018499 **
time2003 -1.2920e+01 4.9280e+00 -2.6218 0.0090318 **
time2004 -1.4669e+01 4.9255e+00 -2.9782 0.0030500 **
time2005 -1.3535e+01 4.9686e+00 -2.7240 0.0066896 **
time2006 -4.5515e+00 5.0304e+00 -0.9048 0.3660430
time2007 -1.9038e+00 5.3147e+00 -0.3582 0.7203461
time2008 1.5782e+01 5.5119e+00 2.8632 0.0043815 **
time2009 2.4192e+01 5.5639e+00 4.3481 1.686e-05 ***
time2010 2.3537e+01 5.6528e+00 4.1637 3.726e-05 ***
time2011 2.8590e+01 5.4430e+00 5.2527 2.279e-07 ***
time2012 2.0246e+01 5.4853e+00 3.6911 0.0002496 ***
time2013 1.3573e+01 5.5345e+00 2.4524 0.0145558 *
time2014 1.0788e+01 5.5531e+00 1.9427 0.0526552 .
time2015 6.8129e+00 5.6037e+00 1.2158 0.2246760
time2016 6.3828e+00 5.6639e+00 1.1269 0.2603508
time2017 1.0911e+01 5.7161e+00 1.9088 0.0569003 .
time2018 1.0566e+01 5.7811e+00 1.8278 0.0682204 .
time2019 2.5865e+00 5.8153e+00 0.4448 0.6566831
time2020 7.2146e+00 5.8431e+00 1.2347 0.2175522
fesisAUS.2008 -3.0667e+01 5.0877e+00 -6.0276 3.371e-09 ***
fesisAUT.2007 -2.0600e+01 5.1457e+00 -4.0034 7.256e-05 ***
fesisBEL.2006 -2.3185e+01 5.1597e+00 -4.4935 8.837e-06 ***
fesisCAN.2009 -2.1247e+01 5.0856e+00 -4.1779 3.509e-05 ***
fesisCHE.2007 -2.3749e+01 5.1403e+00 -4.6202 4.961e-06 ***
fesisCHN.1999 -4.8745e+01 1.0452e+01 -4.6635 4.060e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2003 -3.1238e+01 9.7612e+00 -3.2002 0.0014665 **
fesisCHN.2011 -2.1367e+01 1.0670e+01 -2.0026 0.0457990 *
fesisDEU.2000 6.3518e+01 7.2607e+00 8.7482 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 8.3943e+01 8.6605e+00 9.6926 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2010 1.1876e+02 1.0138e+01 11.7146 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -1.0730e+02 8.3956e+00 -12.7806 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2007 1.4091e+02 8.1266e+00 17.3392 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2010 9.6155e+01 1.1326e+01 8.4897 2.748e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -1.0579e+02 1.0727e+01 -9.8619 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2016 5.3976e+01 8.3170e+00 6.4899 2.188e-10 ***
fesisFIN.2007 -2.5188e+01 5.1495e+00 -4.8913 1.379e-06 ***
fesisISR.2008 -2.7372e+01 5.0997e+00 -5.3675 1.258e-07 ***
fesisJPN.2002 2.9344e+01 6.4439e+00 4.5537 6.727e-06 ***
fesisJPN.2010 5.5523e+01 6.3015e+00 8.8112 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2018 -6.8177e+01 8.4018e+00 -8.1146 4.315e-15 ***
fesisNOR.2007 -1.8694e+01 5.1442e+00 -3.6339 0.0003100 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -2.0958e+01 5.1798e+00 -4.0461 6.089e-05 ***
fesisSWE.2007 -2.4730e+01 5.1408e+00 -4.8105 2.032e-06 ***
fesisUSA.2004 4.4191e+01 8.5548e+00 5.1656 3.550e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2007 1.3053e+02 1.1378e+01 11.4720 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2009 1.2133e+02 1.2402e+01 9.7827 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -1.0940e+02 1.1357e+01 -9.6323 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -1.0537e+02 8.6216e+00 -12.2217 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 30.370 1 3.570e-08 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 32.044 1 1.507e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 12.07726
R-squared 0.96982
Log-lik.(n=546) -2096.50333 1
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:45:19 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 525
Sample: 1 to 525
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.2679e-01 2.4241e-02 34.1074 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 1.6496e-15 5.9964e-15 0.2751 0.783366
pop 1.8644e-07 4.0034e-08 4.6572 4.206e-06 ***
idAUT 2.8265e+00 2.9654e+00 0.9532 0.341015
idBEL 2.0400e+00 2.9488e+00 0.6918 0.489415
idCAN -7.7753e-01 2.9522e+00 -0.2634 0.792385
idCHE 2.3724e+00 2.9678e+00 0.7994 0.424496
idCHN -2.3038e+02 5.1911e+01 -4.4380 1.139e-05 ***
idDEU 6.4383e+00 4.6630e+00 1.3807 0.168046
idDNK 8.1935e+00 3.9886e+00 2.0542 0.040520 *
idESP 1.8888e+00 3.0618e+00 0.6169 0.537619
idFIN 2.4025e+00 2.9849e+00 0.8049 0.421317
idFRA -4.5851e+00 3.3389e+00 -1.3732 0.170358
idGBR -6.7183e-03 3.3079e+00 -0.0020 0.998380
idISR 2.1878e+00 2.9697e+00 0.7367 0.461674
idITA -5.2970e+00 3.2522e+00 -1.6287 0.104055
idJPN -4.0987e+00 5.9135e+00 -0.6931 0.488590
idKOR -1.7479e+00 8.3776e+00 -0.2086 0.834821
idNLD 4.0718e+00 2.9424e+00 1.3839 0.167075
idNOR 4.4125e+00 2.9959e+00 1.4728 0.141484
idRUS -2.3379e+01 5.7663e+00 -4.0544 5.906e-05 ***
idSWE 2.5305e+00 2.9607e+00 0.8547 0.393172
idUSA -3.5244e+01 1.1099e+01 -3.1753 0.001598 **
time1996 -5.8721e+00 3.1207e+00 -1.8817 0.060515 .
time1997 -6.8653e+00 3.1236e+00 -2.1979 0.028456 *
time1998 -5.5789e+00 3.1314e+00 -1.7816 0.075480 .
time1999 -3.9724e+00 3.1319e+00 -1.2684 0.205316
time2000 -4.8125e+00 3.1274e+00 -1.5388 0.124537
time2001 -2.8444e+00 3.1280e+00 -0.9093 0.363644
time2002 -4.6719e+00 3.1238e+00 -1.4956 0.135451
time2003 -3.7413e+00 3.1266e+00 -1.1966 0.232078
time2004 -4.5221e+00 3.1277e+00 -1.4458 0.148915
time2005 -3.6919e+00 3.1315e+00 -1.1790 0.239029
time2006 -1.5351e+00 3.1719e+00 -0.4840 0.628646
time2007 2.6147e-01 3.1774e+00 0.0823 0.934452
time2008 4.2568e+00 3.1564e+00 1.3487 0.178114
time2009 5.0257e+00 3.1723e+00 1.5843 0.113824
time2010 5.1292e+00 3.2408e+00 1.5827 0.114173
time2011 2.2047e+00 3.2349e+00 0.6815 0.495878
time2012 -5.9927e+00 3.2380e+00 -1.8508 0.064849 .
time2013 -6.6320e+00 3.2697e+00 -2.0283 0.043107 *
time2014 -7.5884e+00 3.2218e+00 -2.3553 0.018929 *
time2015 -8.3006e+00 3.2004e+00 -2.5937 0.009800 **
time2016 -1.8488e+00 3.2218e+00 -0.5738 0.566362
time2017 9.0197e-01 3.2289e+00 0.2793 0.780107
time2018 -4.8420e+00 3.2337e+00 -1.4974 0.134986
time2019 -4.3747e+00 3.2890e+00 -1.3301 0.184151
time2020 3.0033e+00 3.3007e+00 0.9099 0.363350
fesisDEU.2006 3.9313e+01 6.5486e+00 6.0033 3.937e-09 ***
fesisDEU.2010 8.4580e+01 1.1939e+01 7.0846 5.292e-12 ***
fesisDEU.2011 -1.0053e+02 1.3228e+01 -7.5996 1.692e-13 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -9.2592e+01 1.2981e+01 -7.1328 3.865e-12 ***
fesisDEU.2014 1.0129e+02 1.1800e+01 8.5833 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2019 -6.4026e+01 8.8951e+00 -7.1979 2.521e-12 ***
fesisDNK.2006 6.1272e+01 6.2788e+00 9.7585 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -8.5699e+01 8.9274e+00 -9.5996 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2014 6.8832e+01 9.0050e+00 7.6438 1.248e-13 ***
fesisDNK.2019 -5.3308e+01 1.1733e+01 -4.5436 7.084e-06 ***
fesisDNK.2020 7.9200e+01 1.4985e+01 5.2854 1.945e-07 ***
fesisJPN.2016 -2.1594e+01 5.3587e+00 -4.0296 6.540e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2007 1.0275e+02 7.7264e+00 13.2982 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2010 -5.7900e+01 1.2881e+01 -4.4950 8.825e-06 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -7.6434e+01 1.3007e+01 -5.8766 8.071e-09 ***
fesisUSA.2013 9.1202e+01 1.3156e+01 6.9322 1.415e-11 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -1.0959e+02 1.4998e+01 -7.3070 1.224e-12 ***
fesisUSA.2015 6.6166e+01 1.2439e+01 5.3192 1.634e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2018 -3.5544e+01 8.6467e+00 -4.1107 4.676e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 11.274 1 0.0007859 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 37.875 1 7.541e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 10.31631
R-squared 0.97824
Log-lik.(n=525) -1936.64905 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:45:17 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 525
Sample: 1 to 525
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 7.5336e-01 2.5179e-02 29.9198 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 4.8658e-15 5.0615e-15 0.9613 0.3368996
pop 2.3340e-07 3.4898e-08 6.6881 6.801e-11 ***
idAUT 3.4582e+00 2.4808e+00 1.3939 0.1640305
idBEL 2.5035e+00 2.4653e+00 1.0155 0.3104319
idCAN -7.6515e-01 2.4663e+00 -0.3102 0.7565190
idCHE 2.9269e+00 2.4821e+00 1.1792 0.2389453
idCHN -2.8890e+02 4.5119e+01 -6.4031 3.874e-10 ***
idDEU 7.4014e+00 3.9064e+00 1.8947 0.0587791 .
idDNK 9.5757e+00 3.3498e+00 2.8586 0.0044553 **
idESP 7.1987e-01 2.9397e+00 0.2449 0.8066661
idFIN 2.9639e+00 2.4965e+00 1.1872 0.2357733
idFRA -5.6746e+00 2.7998e+00 -2.0268 0.0432755 *
idGBR 6.9681e-01 2.7670e+00 0.2518 0.8012932
idISR 2.7140e+00 2.4833e+00 1.0929 0.2750305
idITA -6.5039e+00 2.7294e+00 -2.3829 0.0175963 *
idJPN -1.6430e+01 5.3557e+00 -3.0678 0.0022881 **
idKOR -5.4258e+00 7.0521e+00 -0.7694 0.4420655
idNLD 5.0940e+00 2.4669e+00 2.0649 0.0395102 *
idNOR 5.2864e+00 2.5095e+00 2.1066 0.0357158 *
idRUS -2.9516e+01 4.9899e+00 -5.9151 6.619e-09 ***
idSWE 3.2160e+00 2.4775e+00 1.2981 0.1949285
idUSA -4.6020e+01 9.5479e+00 -4.8199 1.974e-06 ***
time1996 -6.7905e+00 2.6194e+00 -2.5923 0.0098462 **
time1997 -7.7598e+00 2.6213e+00 -2.9603 0.0032381 **
time1998 -6.5058e+00 2.6285e+00 -2.4751 0.0136911 *
time1999 -4.8442e+00 2.6279e+00 -1.8434 0.0659366 .
time2000 -5.5177e+00 2.6213e+00 -2.1050 0.0358530 *
time2001 -3.4632e+00 2.6205e+00 -1.3216 0.1869760
time2002 -5.0750e+00 2.6143e+00 -1.9412 0.0528592 .
time2003 -4.0921e+00 2.6161e+00 -1.5642 0.1184804
time2004 -4.7624e+00 2.6160e+00 -1.8205 0.0693550 .
time2005 -3.8948e+00 2.6188e+00 -1.4872 0.1376589
time2006 -2.0369e+00 2.6545e+00 -0.7674 0.4432780
time2007 6.4726e-01 2.6592e+00 0.2434 0.8078031
time2008 5.6267e+00 2.6460e+00 2.1265 0.0340126 *
time2009 3.7898e+00 2.6781e+00 1.4151 0.1577431
time2010 3.0475e+00 2.7403e+00 1.1121 0.2666869
time2011 3.3516e-01 2.7570e+00 0.1216 0.9032969
time2012 -6.8254e+00 2.7441e+00 -2.4873 0.0132368 *
time2013 -6.8183e+00 2.7393e+00 -2.4890 0.0131730 *
time2014 -6.6571e+00 2.7151e+00 -2.4518 0.0145965 *
time2015 -6.6391e+00 2.7040e+00 -2.4553 0.0144584 *
time2016 -2.3751e+00 2.7350e+00 -0.8684 0.3856389
time2017 4.5905e-02 2.7585e+00 0.0166 0.9867301
time2018 -6.4612e+00 2.7939e+00 -2.3126 0.0212016 *
time2019 -5.1813e+00 2.7630e+00 -1.8752 0.0614175 .
time2020 1.7795e+00 2.7775e+00 0.6407 0.5220643
fesisDEU.2006 4.5093e+01 5.5858e+00 8.0728 6.480e-15 ***
fesisDEU.2010 9.2984e+01 1.0074e+01 9.2304 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2011 -7.4073e+01 1.2808e+01 -5.7833 1.381e-08 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -3.7492e+01 1.2501e+01 -2.9990 0.0028604 **
fesisDEU.2013 -7.7717e+01 1.2533e+01 -6.2009 1.283e-09 ***
fesisDEU.2014 7.2643e+01 1.1148e+01 6.5164 1.953e-10 ***
fesisDEU.2016 5.5240e+01 1.0824e+01 5.1033 4.953e-07 ***
fesisDEU.2017 -5.0229e+01 1.2575e+01 -3.9944 7.588e-05 ***
fesisDEU.2018 4.1557e+01 1.2516e+01 3.3202 0.0009735 ***
fesisDEU.2019 -8.6614e+01 1.0845e+01 -7.9867 1.195e-14 ***
fesisDNK.2006 6.3698e+01 5.6347e+00 11.3046 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2010 4.7507e+01 1.0270e+01 4.6257 4.901e-06 ***
fesisDNK.2011 -4.5753e+01 1.2626e+01 -3.6237 0.0003240 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -7.1748e+01 1.0862e+01 -6.6057 1.132e-10 ***
fesisDNK.2014 5.4869e+01 7.8921e+00 6.9523 1.287e-11 ***
fesisDNK.2018 3.8941e+01 9.9454e+00 3.9154 0.0001044 ***
fesisDNK.2019 -7.8687e+01 1.2557e+01 -6.2665 8.731e-10 ***
fesisDNK.2020 7.6104e+01 1.2534e+01 6.0720 2.710e-09 ***
fesisESP.2011 3.7391e+01 6.7133e+00 5.5697 4.422e-08 ***
fesisESP.2013 -4.0146e+01 7.0110e+00 -5.7261 1.893e-08 ***
fesisJPN.2009 2.7811e+01 4.5376e+00 6.1290 1.951e-09 ***
fesisJPN.2016 -3.6762e+01 5.2064e+00 -7.0609 6.399e-12 ***
fesisUSA.2007 9.6404e+01 7.3215e+00 13.1672 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2009 5.0455e+01 1.1115e+01 4.5395 7.267e-06 ***
fesisUSA.2010 -7.5752e+01 1.2803e+01 -5.9165 6.568e-09 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -7.9830e+01 1.0899e+01 -7.3247 1.133e-12 ***
fesisUSA.2013 8.2504e+01 1.1102e+01 7.4313 5.553e-13 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -1.0832e+02 1.2542e+01 -8.6363 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2015 3.9123e+01 1.1064e+01 3.5360 0.0004489 ***
fesisUSA.2017 6.0683e+01 1.0844e+01 5.5960 3.839e-08 ***
fesisUSA.2018 -9.2679e+01 1.2585e+01 -7.3642 8.707e-13 ***
fesisUSA.2019 2.5704e+01 1.0983e+01 2.3404 0.0197047 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.3326 1 0.1266878
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 11.6700 1 0.0006351 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 8.61792
R-squared 0.98525
Log-lik.(n=525) -1835.71063 Log Count
0
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:45:26 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 546
Sample: 1 to 546
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.22649 0.23452 5.2298 2.531e-07 ***
lpop -4.77908 0.64712 -7.3852 6.709e-13 ***
idAUT -2.90163 0.55051 -5.2708 2.050e-07 ***
idBEL -1.55645 0.43209 -3.6022 0.0003482 ***
idCAN 2.23109 0.33463 6.6674 7.119e-11 ***
idCHE -4.17489 0.58681 -7.1145 4.067e-12 ***
idCHN 15.97103 2.51779 6.3433 5.169e-10 ***
idDEU 8.33465 0.86397 9.6469 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK -5.32306 0.88514 -6.0138 3.575e-09 ***
idESP 4.42100 0.55523 7.9625 1.212e-14 ***
idFIN -3.97502 0.80251 -4.9532 1.010e-06 ***
idFRA 5.49511 0.72589 7.5702 1.900e-13 ***
idGBR 5.36921 0.73930 7.2625 1.528e-12 ***
idISR -5.20525 0.64347 -8.0894 4.867e-15 ***
idITA 4.85279 0.68641 7.0698 5.452e-12 ***
idJPN 2.26744 1.46669 1.5460 0.1227677
idKOR -3.51677 1.45659 -2.4144 0.0161314 *
idNLD 0.35712 0.22519 1.5858 0.1134322
idNOR -8.20193 1.01975 -8.0431 6.795e-15 ***
idRUS 4.72712 1.25581 3.7642 0.0001876 ***
idSWE -4.11981 0.64346 -6.4026 3.618e-10 ***
idUSA 11.12729 1.59492 6.9767 9.982e-12 ***
time1995 46.64921 10.04542 4.6438 4.412e-06 ***
time1996 46.93747 10.04979 4.6705 3.898e-06 ***
time1997 46.87872 10.05434 4.6625 4.045e-06 ***
time1998 46.90154 10.05821 4.6630 4.036e-06 ***
time1999 47.33698 10.06523 4.7030 3.349e-06 ***
time2000 47.52278 10.07157 4.7185 3.114e-06 ***
time2001 47.63978 10.07613 4.7280 2.978e-06 ***
time2002 47.77586 10.08031 4.7395 2.821e-06 ***
time2003 47.77105 10.08437 4.7371 2.853e-06 ***
time2004 48.03850 10.09038 4.7608 2.551e-06 ***
time2005 48.17029 10.09308 4.7726 2.412e-06 ***
time2006 48.53192 10.09824 4.8060 2.058e-06 ***
time2007 48.74387 10.10468 4.8239 1.889e-06 ***
time2008 49.05820 10.10946 4.8527 1.645e-06 ***
time2009 49.36997 10.10898 4.8838 1.416e-06 ***
time2010 49.40252 10.11401 4.8846 1.411e-06 ***
time2011 49.44691 10.11823 4.8869 1.395e-06 ***
time2012 49.35556 10.12219 4.8760 1.471e-06 ***
time2013 49.11849 10.12639 4.8505 1.663e-06 ***
time2014 49.02274 10.13096 4.8389 1.758e-06 ***
time2015 48.80157 10.13547 4.8149 1.972e-06 ***
time2016 48.84883 10.14016 4.8174 1.949e-06 ***
time2017 49.02487 10.14475 4.8325 1.813e-06 ***
time2018 48.91718 10.14890 4.8199 1.925e-06 ***
time2019 48.69770 10.15167 4.7970 2.148e-06 ***
time2020 49.03296 10.15206 4.8299 1.836e-06 ***
fesisAUS.2009 -0.59551 0.18128 -3.2851 0.0010934 **
fesisBEL.2003 -0.79086 0.28934 -2.7334 0.0064985 **
fesisBEL.2006 -1.57702 0.49166 -3.2075 0.0014276 **
fesisBEL.2007 1.83189 0.44096 4.1544 3.856e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2005 0.96715 0.28023 3.4512 0.0006070 ***
fesisDNK.2007 1.15452 0.17096 6.7531 4.161e-11 ***
fesisESP.2004 0.84980 0.17971 4.7287 2.968e-06 ***
fesisFIN.2000 -1.16297 0.21600 -5.3842 1.137e-07 ***
fesisGBR.2001 0.93921 0.20052 4.6839 3.662e-06 ***
fesisJPN.1999 0.96368 0.23944 4.0247 6.619e-05 ***
fesisNOR.2019 1.30634 0.31512 4.1455 4.003e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2004 -1.27689 0.20939 -6.0982 2.196e-09 ***
fesisSWE.2003 -1.35039 0.18398 -7.3397 9.112e-13 ***
fesisUSA.2003 1.26132 0.18424 6.8461 2.307e-11 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 14.0753 1 0.0001756 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 3.1702 1 0.0749917 .
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.41547
R-squared 0.92757
Log-lik.(n=546) -264.16207 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:45:23 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 546
Sample: 1 to 546
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.019362 0.246881 4.1290 4.311e-05 ***
lpop -1.671266 0.811271 -2.0601 0.0399417 *
idAUT -0.190736 0.716940 -0.2660 0.7903238
idBEL 0.030381 0.548949 0.0553 0.9558875
idCAN 0.462225 0.443134 1.0431 0.2974446
idCHE -1.120269 0.778053 -1.4398 0.1505782
idCHN 3.476506 3.305070 1.0519 0.2933983
idDEU 3.287682 1.211538 2.7136 0.0068987 **
idDNK -1.863301 1.080127 -1.7251 0.0851700 .
idESP 1.947316 0.687267 2.8334 0.0048030 **
idFIN -0.433996 1.047335 -0.4144 0.6787839
idFRA 1.990247 0.954115 2.0860 0.0375196 *
idGBR 1.822111 0.947236 1.9236 0.0550060 .
idISR -1.804848 0.865281 -2.0859 0.0375296 *
idITA 1.066787 0.916960 1.1634 0.2452584
idJPN -2.487946 1.883775 -1.3207 0.1872350
idKOR -5.289813 1.623423 -3.2584 0.0012013 **
idNLD 0.825912 0.277534 2.9759 0.0030716 **
idNOR -3.590456 1.221030 -2.9405 0.0034379 **
idRUS -0.905284 1.698197 -0.5331 0.5942261
idSWE -1.630720 0.733759 -2.2224 0.0267292 *
idUSA 3.226338 2.124848 1.5184 0.1295882
time1995 0.474677 13.479419 0.0352 0.9719233
time1996 0.750666 13.485242 0.0557 0.9556317
time1997 0.682544 13.491293 0.0506 0.9596725
time1998 0.613575 13.500340 0.0454 0.9637688
time1999 1.026303 13.509386 0.0760 0.9394755
time2000 1.238609 13.517143 0.0916 0.9270290
time2001 1.335587 13.522868 0.0988 0.9213669
time2002 1.402632 13.528862 0.1037 0.9174698
time2003 1.308708 13.533454 0.0967 0.9230044
time2004 1.544588 13.540602 0.1141 0.9092302
time2005 1.618025 13.543009 0.1195 0.9049515
time2006 1.987671 13.548319 0.1467 0.8834239
time2007 2.194874 13.555810 0.1619 0.8714431
time2008 2.488172 13.562225 0.1835 0.8545133
time2009 2.797933 13.561827 0.2063 0.8366384
time2010 2.850342 13.566663 0.2101 0.8336813
time2011 2.912044 13.566124 0.2147 0.8301288
time2012 2.802761 13.571443 0.2065 0.8364748
time2013 2.547470 13.577079 0.1876 0.8512473
time2014 2.434315 13.583202 0.1792 0.8578458
time2015 2.196137 13.589230 0.1616 0.8716834
time2016 2.226345 13.595491 0.1638 0.8699934
time2017 2.388054 13.601606 0.1756 0.8607060
time2018 2.293855 13.604535 0.1686 0.8661761
time2019 2.069541 13.607703 0.1521 0.8791842
time2020 2.382181 13.608388 0.1751 0.8611137
fesisAUS.2000 -0.957864 0.324527 -2.9516 0.0033194 **
fesisAUS.2002 1.211482 0.313155 3.8686 0.0001249 ***
fesisAUS.2009 -1.172108 0.203187 -5.7686 1.449e-08 ***
fesisAUT.2002 -1.529842 0.414820 -3.6880 0.0002524 ***
fesisAUT.2003 1.216112 0.399063 3.0474 0.0024379 **
fesisBEL.2003 -0.588583 0.265068 -2.2205 0.0268599 *
fesisBEL.2006 -1.561166 0.447047 -3.4922 0.0005243 ***
fesisBEL.2007 1.727656 0.401126 4.3070 2.015e-05 ***
fesisCAN.2002 0.766695 0.205729 3.7267 0.0002175 ***
fesisCAN.2010 -0.707169 0.185512 -3.8120 0.0001562 ***
fesisCHE.2006 -0.425706 0.162079 -2.6265 0.0089070 **
fesisCHN.2005 1.243080 0.285889 4.3481 1.684e-05 ***
fesisDEU.1998 0.933102 0.250476 3.7253 0.0002187 ***
fesisDNK.1998 0.774560 0.260776 2.9702 0.0031279 **
fesisDNK.2007 1.064651 0.169309 6.2882 7.336e-10 ***
fesisESP.2004 0.806482 0.170639 4.7263 3.025e-06 ***
fesisFIN.2000 -0.922887 0.201243 -4.5859 5.800e-06 ***
fesisGBR.2001 1.069173 0.186613 5.7294 1.800e-08 ***
fesisISR.2011 -0.635329 0.220309 -2.8838 0.0041089 **
fesisISR.2018 -0.567445 0.272834 -2.0798 0.0380827 *
fesisITA.2002 0.694043 0.184387 3.7641 0.0001883 ***
fesisJPN.1999 1.262100 0.225216 5.6040 3.571e-08 ***
fesisKOR.2005 0.693253 0.180766 3.8351 0.0001426 ***
fesisNOR.2019 1.148042 0.289102 3.9711 8.273e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2004 -0.804989 0.204320 -3.9398 9.388e-05 ***
fesisSWE.2003 -1.205280 0.172142 -7.0017 8.763e-12 ***
fesisUSA.2003 1.266195 0.174289 7.2649 1.559e-12 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 3.2489 1 0.07147 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 3.2605 1 0.07097 .
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.37760
R-squared 0.94177
Log-lik.(n=546) -205.48372 1
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:46:17 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 525
Sample: 1 to 525
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.331856 0.039887 8.3199 9.898e-16 ***
lgdp 0.760984 0.236950 3.2116 0.0014118 **
lpop -3.075116 0.663001 -4.6382 4.578e-06 ***
idAUT -1.458478 0.591875 -2.4642 0.0140948 *
idBEL -0.989206 0.457310 -2.1631 0.0310437 *
idCAN 1.646194 0.312780 5.2631 2.169e-07 ***
idCHE -2.537946 0.629791 -4.0298 6.522e-05 ***
idCHN 10.438973 2.547673 4.0975 4.930e-05 ***
idDEU 5.683449 0.890844 6.3799 4.296e-10 ***
idDNK -3.213698 0.910721 -3.5287 0.0004592 ***
idESP 3.435842 0.560410 6.1309 1.870e-09 ***
idFIN -3.089385 0.855480 -3.6113 0.0003379 ***
idFRA 3.782666 0.720419 5.2506 2.312e-07 ***
idGBR 4.172745 0.723240 5.7695 1.455e-08 ***
idISR -3.178427 0.685941 -4.6337 4.674e-06 ***
idITA 3.505689 0.727380 4.8196 1.952e-06 ***
idJPN 1.514137 1.470518 1.0297 0.3037050
idKOR -1.837213 1.453090 -1.2643 0.2067396
idNLD 0.437708 0.236674 1.8494 0.0650339 .
idNOR -5.059816 1.068125 -4.7371 2.886e-06 ***
idRUS 3.371289 1.251496 2.6938 0.0073201 **
idSWE -2.387524 0.666662 -3.5813 0.0003780 ***
idUSA 7.500403 1.624863 4.6160 5.070e-06 ***
time1996 30.898382 10.287011 3.0036 0.0028120 **
time1997 30.749450 10.294078 2.9871 0.0029655 **
time1998 30.788872 10.297629 2.9899 0.0029390 **
time1999 31.300145 10.305133 3.0373 0.0025213 **
time2000 31.202740 10.316320 3.0246 0.0026277 **
time2001 31.310896 10.321943 3.0334 0.0025535 **
time2002 31.529775 10.328636 3.0527 0.0023985 **
time2003 31.357926 10.336689 3.0337 0.0025517 **
time2004 31.587867 10.338899 3.0552 0.0023783 **
time2005 31.682889 10.345801 3.0624 0.0023234 **
time2006 31.970551 10.354067 3.0877 0.0021378 **
time2007 32.142404 10.362318 3.1019 0.0020404 **
time2008 32.328367 10.370402 3.1174 0.0019381 **
time2009 32.487154 10.375767 3.1311 0.0018517 **
time2010 32.453595 10.382682 3.1257 0.0018848 **
time2011 32.485931 10.387291 3.1275 0.0018740 **
time2012 32.373178 10.391747 3.1153 0.0019516 **
time2013 32.167002 10.395066 3.0944 0.0020909 **
time2014 32.152584 10.397480 3.0923 0.0021055 **
time2015 31.963746 10.401131 3.0731 0.0022432 **
time2016 32.085482 10.403867 3.0840 0.0021642 **
time2017 32.249354 10.408849 3.0983 0.0020647 **
time2018 32.083202 10.414601 3.0806 0.0021886 **
time2019 31.909771 10.416409 3.0634 0.0023156 **
time2020 32.270878 10.415607 3.0983 0.0020644 **
fesisAUT.2002 -1.971687 0.464621 -4.2436 2.657e-05 ***
fesisAUT.2003 1.695237 0.444476 3.8140 0.0001552 ***
fesisBEL.2006 -1.986931 0.450804 -4.4075 1.300e-05 ***
fesisBEL.2007 1.835875 0.444048 4.1344 4.224e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2004 0.845793 0.279175 3.0296 0.0025854 **
fesisDNK.2006 0.812236 0.182718 4.4453 1.099e-05 ***
fesisITA.1999 -1.642074 0.495838 -3.3117 0.0009997 ***
fesisITA.2000 1.541366 0.441769 3.4891 0.0005309 ***
fesisJPN.1999 0.997006 0.272781 3.6550 0.0002866 ***
fesisNOR.2019 1.086796 0.318636 3.4108 0.0007044 ***
fesisRUS.2003 -0.826842 0.228116 -3.6247 0.0003214 ***
fesisSWE.2002 -0.903360 0.209352 -4.3150 1.951e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2003 0.824486 0.199352 4.1358 4.199e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.8573 1 0.17293
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 5.0602 1 0.02448 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.41854
R-squared 0.92438
Log-lik.(n=525) -257.17162 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:46:13 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 525
Sample: 1 to 525
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.267438 0.038477 6.9506 1.297e-11 ***
lgdp 0.382673 0.275594 1.3885 0.1656665
lpop -3.033282 0.781564 -3.8810 0.0001197 ***
idAUT -1.916456 0.664827 -2.8826 0.0041342 **
idBEL -1.385844 0.508692 -2.7243 0.0066964 **
idCAN 1.813659 0.427912 4.2384 2.737e-05 ***
idCHE -2.567884 0.725981 -3.5371 0.0004469 ***
idCHN 11.297217 3.070212 3.6796 0.0002621 ***
idDEU 6.143793 1.090699 5.6329 3.142e-08 ***
idDNK -3.445962 1.070966 -3.2176 0.0013868 **
idESP 2.846914 0.700572 4.0637 5.708e-05 ***
idFIN -3.246229 0.964146 -3.3669 0.0008259 ***
idFRA 4.599121 0.935610 4.9156 1.246e-06 ***
idGBR 3.637990 0.905911 4.0158 6.950e-05 ***
idISR -3.162824 0.858348 -3.6848 0.0002570 ***
idITA 3.642466 0.881426 4.1325 4.287e-05 ***
idJPN 3.851004 1.785493 2.1568 0.0315527 *
idKOR 0.012997 1.701800 0.0076 0.9939099
idNLD 0.271491 0.266595 1.0184 0.3090566
idNOR -4.669088 1.215089 -3.8426 0.0001394 ***
idRUS 4.729221 1.543175 3.0646 0.0023118 **
idSWE -1.892361 0.754354 -2.5086 0.0124755 *
idUSA 8.459212 1.967016 4.3005 2.095e-05 ***
time1996 40.678269 12.292863 3.3091 0.0010118 **
time1997 40.562004 12.300199 3.2977 0.0010529 **
time1998 40.514308 12.304065 3.2928 0.0010710 **
time1999 41.042938 12.313157 3.3333 0.0009299 ***
time2000 41.014489 12.323393 3.3282 0.0009466 ***
time2001 41.185873 12.330221 3.3402 0.0009074 ***
time2002 41.378578 12.335798 3.3543 0.0008634 ***
time2003 41.233435 12.338517 3.3418 0.0009023 ***
time2004 41.325295 12.337507 3.3496 0.0008781 ***
time2005 41.600682 12.341996 3.3707 0.0008151 ***
time2006 41.915883 12.349937 3.3940 0.0007503 ***
time2007 42.084149 12.357637 3.4055 0.0007201 ***
time2008 42.299257 12.365776 3.4207 0.0006822 ***
time2009 42.465700 12.370788 3.4327 0.0006533 ***
time2010 42.458013 12.378258 3.4300 0.0006596 ***
time2011 42.502200 12.383666 3.4321 0.0006547 ***
time2012 42.396575 12.388810 3.4222 0.0006785 ***
time2013 42.188389 12.393264 3.4041 0.0007237 ***
time2014 42.139375 12.395666 3.3995 0.0007357 ***
time2015 41.951147 12.400520 3.3830 0.0007802 ***
time2016 42.066225 12.404814 3.3911 0.0007580 ***
time2017 42.242539 12.410671 3.4037 0.0007248 ***
time2018 42.096293 12.416857 3.3903 0.0007604 ***
time2019 41.921230 12.419250 3.3755 0.0008012 ***
time2020 42.256236 12.418789 3.4026 0.0007277 ***
fesisAUS.2002 0.878351 0.275795 3.1848 0.0015501 **
fesisAUS.2005 -0.892035 0.253636 -3.5170 0.0004812 ***
fesisAUT.2002 -1.903207 0.418726 -4.5452 7.077e-06 ***
fesisAUT.2003 1.618461 0.401144 4.0346 6.435e-05 ***
fesisBEL.2006 -2.043651 0.406453 -5.0280 7.192e-07 ***
fesisBEL.2007 1.862918 0.399366 4.6647 4.092e-06 ***
fesisCHE.2005 -0.982875 0.304047 -3.2326 0.0013175 **
fesisCHE.2007 0.764667 0.292833 2.6113 0.0093245 **
fesisCHN.2004 1.110157 0.262763 4.2249 2.899e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2014 0.539119 0.243704 2.2122 0.0274593 *
fesisDNK.1998 1.731969 0.472731 3.6637 0.0002784 ***
fesisDNK.1999 -1.126970 0.415014 -2.7155 0.0068745 **
fesisDNK.2006 0.849134 0.181841 4.6697 3.998e-06 ***
fesisESP.1999 1.017520 0.447185 2.2754 0.0233564 *
fesisESP.2000 -1.155643 0.446684 -2.5872 0.0099925 **
fesisESP.2003 0.913935 0.247907 3.6866 0.0002553 ***
fesisFIN.2001 -0.931928 0.287095 -3.2461 0.0012583 **
fesisFIN.2004 1.618839 0.446649 3.6244 0.0003230 ***
fesisFIN.2005 -1.313256 0.398863 -3.2925 0.0010720 **
fesisFRA.1998 -0.648397 0.289892 -2.2367 0.0258006 *
fesisGBR.2000 0.864884 0.217771 3.9715 8.324e-05 ***
fesisISR.2003 -1.282069 0.417261 -3.0726 0.0022521 **
fesisISR.2004 1.230526 0.408115 3.0151 0.0027152 **
fesisITA.1999 -1.567054 0.446862 -3.5068 0.0004995 ***
fesisITA.2000 1.446973 0.399397 3.6229 0.0003248 ***
fesisJPN.1999 1.017437 0.250440 4.0626 5.734e-05 ***
fesisKOR.1998 0.893320 0.297534 3.0024 0.0028290 **
fesisNOR.2019 1.120795 0.287890 3.8931 0.0001141 ***
fesisRUS.2003 -0.711968 0.220167 -3.2338 0.0013124 **
fesisSWE.2002 -0.921153 0.193363 -4.7639 2.573e-06 ***
fesisUSA.2003 0.934955 0.185645 5.0363 6.905e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.15430 1 0.1422
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 0.52852 1 0.4672
SE of regression 0.37614
R-squared 0.94129
Log-lik.(n=525) -192.09969 Batteries
with IIS
Count
AR 0
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:50:03 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 546
Sample: 1 to 546
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 2.6633e-12 9.6426e-14 27.6199 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop 4.7554e-06 3.7647e-07 12.6317 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 7.5556e+01 1.3203e+01 5.7229 1.875e-08 ***
idBEL 5.0165e+01 1.2892e+01 3.8911 0.0001143 ***
idCAN -2.9165e+01 1.3047e+01 -2.2354 0.0258641 *
idCHE 6.9968e+01 1.3292e+01 5.2640 2.153e-07 ***
idCHN -5.7198e+03 4.5203e+02 -12.6536 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU -2.3267e+02 2.8823e+01 -8.0721 5.908e-15 ***
idDNK 6.8060e+01 1.3638e+01 4.9903 8.521e-07 ***
idESP -1.1134e+02 1.4955e+01 -7.4447 4.718e-13 ***
idFIN 7.4393e+01 1.3666e+01 5.4438 8.441e-08 ***
idFRA -1.2826e+02 2.0134e+01 -6.3702 4.526e-10 ***
idGBR -1.5740e+02 1.9581e+01 -8.0384 7.524e-15 ***
idISR 7.1196e+01 1.3351e+01 5.3327 1.511e-07 ***
idITA -1.7137e+02 1.8611e+01 -9.2080 < 2.2e-16 ***
idJPN 2.5558e+02 6.4853e+01 3.9409 9.359e-05 ***
idKOR -2.0786e+03 7.6197e+01 -27.2789 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 2.5699e+01 1.2396e+01 2.0732 0.0387051 *
idNOR 6.8448e+01 1.3758e+01 4.9751 9.182e-07 ***
idRUS -7.6927e+02 4.8058e+01 -16.0072 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE 5.2046e+01 1.3075e+01 3.9806 7.970e-05 ***
idUSA -9.7719e+02 1.0236e+02 -9.5465 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1995 -8.8516e+01 1.4762e+01 -5.9964 4.044e-09 ***
time1996 -9.7209e+01 1.4904e+01 -6.5223 1.803e-10 ***
time1997 -1.0128e+02 1.5055e+01 -6.7273 5.069e-11 ***
time1998 -8.7172e+01 1.4711e+01 -5.9256 6.049e-09 ***
time1999 -1.0034e+02 1.4836e+01 -6.7633 4.044e-11 ***
time2000 -9.5127e+01 1.5111e+01 -6.2954 7.078e-10 ***
time2001 -8.8188e+01 1.5132e+01 -5.8278 1.048e-08 ***
time2002 -1.0294e+02 1.5239e+01 -6.7549 4.264e-11 ***
time2003 -1.1011e+02 1.5357e+01 -7.1702 2.950e-12 ***
time2004 -1.0955e+02 1.5478e+01 -7.0777 5.405e-12 ***
time2005 -1.1068e+02 1.4931e+01 -7.4125 5.868e-13 ***
time2006 -1.0484e+02 1.5096e+01 -6.9452 1.273e-11 ***
time2007 -1.0871e+02 1.5185e+01 -7.1591 3.174e-12 ***
time2008 -1.1277e+02 1.5298e+01 -7.3714 7.739e-13 ***
time2009 -9.9911e+01 1.5423e+01 -6.4780 2.361e-10 ***
time2010 -8.4625e+01 1.5417e+01 -5.4889 6.647e-08 ***
time2011 -7.8628e+01 1.5634e+01 -5.0292 7.036e-07 ***
time2012 -9.4237e+01 1.5491e+01 -6.0832 2.455e-09 ***
time2013 -8.5231e+01 1.5526e+01 -5.4895 6.625e-08 ***
time2014 -1.0084e+02 1.5678e+01 -6.4316 3.128e-10 ***
time2015 -1.0472e+02 1.5828e+01 -6.6158 1.014e-10 ***
time2016 -9.1101e+01 1.5959e+01 -5.7084 2.030e-08 ***
time2017 -8.7407e+01 1.5730e+01 -5.5566 4.628e-08 ***
time2018 -7.7174e+01 1.5841e+01 -4.8718 1.517e-06 ***
time2019 -9.0571e+01 1.5786e+01 -5.7376 1.729e-08 ***
time2020 -7.6004e+01 1.5828e+01 -4.8018 2.121e-06 ***
iis155 2.1989e+02 5.5569e+01 3.9571 8.767e-05 ***
iis156 2.7624e+02 5.5646e+01 4.9643 9.682e-07 ***
iis365 -1.4776e+03 4.8903e+01 -30.2157 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis366 -1.4762e+03 4.8762e+01 -30.2738 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis367 -1.4569e+03 4.8733e+01 -29.8959 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis368 -1.4418e+03 4.8791e+01 -29.5498 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis369 -1.2159e+03 4.8850e+01 -24.8909 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis370 -1.1297e+03 4.8719e+01 -23.1883 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis371 -1.2081e+03 4.8614e+01 -24.8500 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis372 -1.2782e+03 4.8638e+01 -26.2794 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis373 -1.2585e+03 4.8593e+01 -25.8994 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis374 -1.2382e+03 4.8540e+01 -25.5090 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis375 -1.1360e+03 4.8534e+01 -23.4069 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis376 -1.1181e+03 4.8473e+01 -23.0671 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis377 -9.5548e+02 4.8468e+01 -19.7134 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis378 -1.0270e+03 4.8462e+01 -21.1910 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis379 -6.6036e+02 4.8549e+01 -13.6020 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis381 4.4482e+02 4.8473e+01 9.1768 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis382 3.5220e+02 4.8451e+01 7.2692 1.532e-12 ***
iis387 4.1910e+02 4.8486e+01 8.6437 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis388 4.9961e+02 4.8489e+01 10.3035 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.1998 -2.5035e+02 3.6872e+01 -6.7897 3.425e-11 ***
fesisCHN.2005 -1.8611e+02 3.4438e+01 -5.4041 1.040e-07 ***
fesisCHN.2017 3.4884e+02 4.0251e+01 8.6667 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2005 8.9996e+01 2.6859e+01 3.3507 0.0008715 ***
fesisDEU.2009 3.5981e+02 2.6244e+01 13.7103 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2000 -3.5642e+02 5.1673e+01 -6.8976 1.727e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2001 -2.7090e+02 5.1803e+01 -5.2295 2.570e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2006 -3.4626e+02 4.2920e+01 -8.0675 6.108e-15 ***
fesisKOR.2015 -3.7427e+02 4.1507e+01 -9.0169 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2012 3.9864e+02 2.1790e+01 18.2948 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 15.482 1 8.330e-05 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 51.094 1 8.805e-13 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 44.19004
R-squared 0.99081
Log-lik.(n=546) -2803.76114 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:50:01 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 546
Sample: 1 to 546
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 2.9256e-12 1.6230e-13 18.0259 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop 5.6087e-06 4.2001e-07 13.3535 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 8.7010e+01 1.1648e+01 7.4699 4.109e-13 ***
idBEL 5.9542e+01 1.1208e+01 5.3126 1.692e-07 ***
idCAN -3.9362e+01 1.1430e+01 -3.4438 0.0006265 ***
idCHE 8.1881e+01 1.1774e+01 6.9544 1.230e-11 ***
idCHN -6.7771e+03 5.0626e+02 -13.3866 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU -2.8466e+02 2.9833e+01 -9.5417 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 8.1511e+01 1.2261e+01 6.6480 8.488e-11 ***
idESP -1.3062e+02 1.4044e+01 -9.3007 < 2.2e-16 ***
idFIN 8.8453e+01 1.2294e+01 7.1949 2.578e-12 ***
idFRA -1.6460e+02 2.0573e+01 -8.0008 1.027e-14 ***
idGBR -1.9207e+02 1.9900e+01 -9.6518 < 2.2e-16 ***
idISR 8.3356e+01 1.1858e+01 7.0298 7.574e-12 ***
idITA -2.0316e+02 1.8706e+01 -10.8610 < 2.2e-16 ***
idJPN 2.4600e+01 9.4654e+01 0.2599 0.7950640
idKOR -2.7328e+03 1.5214e+02 -17.9620 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 3.0149e+01 1.0490e+01 2.8742 0.0042397 **
idNOR 8.2260e+01 1.2430e+01 6.6177 1.024e-10 ***
idRUS -8.5765e+02 5.3975e+01 -15.8899 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE 6.1770e+01 1.1479e+01 5.3812 1.185e-07 ***
idUSA -1.2094e+03 1.1359e+02 -10.6470 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1995 -1.1193e+02 1.3333e+01 -8.3946 5.913e-16 ***
time1996 -1.1568e+02 1.3547e+01 -8.5387 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1997 -1.1531e+02 1.3765e+01 -8.3769 6.734e-16 ***
time1998 -1.1970e+02 1.3978e+01 -8.5635 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1999 -1.1045e+02 1.3622e+01 -8.1082 4.760e-15 ***
time2000 -1.1252e+02 1.3749e+01 -8.1836 2.762e-15 ***
time2001 -1.2035e+02 1.3910e+01 -8.6525 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2002 -1.2132e+02 1.4072e+01 -8.6212 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2003 -1.2014e+02 1.3673e+01 -8.7865 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2004 -1.2094e+02 1.3822e+01 -8.7498 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2005 -1.2203e+02 1.4083e+01 -8.6650 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2006 -1.3498e+02 1.4233e+01 -9.4834 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2007 -1.3067e+02 1.4407e+01 -9.0693 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2008 -1.2330e+02 1.4657e+01 -8.4128 5.170e-16 ***
time2009 -1.2367e+02 1.4737e+01 -8.3915 6.047e-16 ***
time2010 -9.9697e+01 1.4181e+01 -7.0302 7.554e-12 ***
time2011 -1.0006e+02 1.4410e+01 -6.9437 1.318e-11 ***
time2012 -1.1535e+02 1.4192e+01 -8.1280 4.128e-15 ***
time2013 -1.0739e+02 1.4293e+01 -7.5137 3.052e-13 ***
time2014 -1.1404e+02 1.4568e+01 -7.8280 3.482e-14 ***
time2015 -1.2022e+02 1.4700e+01 -8.1781 2.876e-15 ***
time2016 -1.0788e+02 1.4849e+01 -7.2649 1.623e-12 ***
time2017 -1.0467e+02 1.4676e+01 -7.1324 3.884e-12 ***
time2018 -9.5695e+01 1.4817e+01 -6.4586 2.707e-10 ***
time2019 -1.0985e+02 1.4770e+01 -7.4368 5.139e-13 ***
time2020 -9.4922e+01 1.4825e+01 -6.4028 3.790e-10 ***
iis155 2.1222e+02 4.6677e+01 4.5465 6.995e-06 ***
iis156 2.6483e+02 4.6796e+01 5.6592 2.688e-08 ***
iis365 -1.4505e+03 4.2433e+01 -34.1835 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis366 -1.4580e+03 4.1828e+01 -34.8579 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis367 -1.4446e+03 4.1656e+01 -34.6800 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis368 -1.4097e+03 4.1865e+01 -33.6724 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis369 -1.2060e+03 4.1960e+01 -28.7428 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis370 -1.1161e+03 4.1451e+01 -26.9271 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis371 -1.1805e+03 4.1460e+01 -28.4729 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis372 -1.2647e+03 4.1355e+01 -30.5814 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis373 -1.2556e+03 4.1220e+01 -30.4608 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis374 -1.2368e+03 4.1032e+01 -30.1417 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis375 -1.1370e+03 4.0828e+01 -27.8485 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis376 -1.1022e+03 4.0781e+01 -27.0278 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis377 -9.4990e+02 4.0689e+01 -23.3457 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis378 -1.0312e+03 4.0776e+01 -25.2886 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis379 -6.4357e+02 4.1231e+01 -15.6089 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis381 4.5417e+02 4.0760e+01 11.1426 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis382 3.5957e+02 4.0707e+01 8.8330 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis387 4.1443e+02 4.0770e+01 10.1649 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis388 4.9540e+02 4.0781e+01 12.1478 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis391 6.0988e+02 6.0840e+01 10.0243 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis392 4.8165e+02 5.5609e+01 8.6613 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis393 3.6516e+02 5.1954e+01 7.0285 7.634e-12 ***
iis394 4.8143e+02 5.5138e+01 8.7313 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis395 2.4498e+02 4.9158e+01 4.9836 8.873e-07 ***
iis404 -2.5172e+02 4.4130e+01 -5.7041 2.103e-08 ***
fesisCHN.1999 -2.4873e+02 3.2249e+01 -7.7128 7.774e-14 ***
fesisCHN.2003 -1.8803e+02 2.9637e+01 -6.3445 5.375e-10 ***
fesisCHN.2010 -1.2500e+02 2.9751e+01 -4.2015 3.190e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2017 3.3398e+02 3.4064e+01 9.8044 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2005 8.9533e+01 2.2569e+01 3.9671 8.444e-05 ***
fesisDEU.2009 3.6025e+02 2.2044e+01 16.3421 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2002 -3.0757e+02 4.1014e+01 -7.4991 3.371e-13 ***
fesisKOR.2005 -2.1189e+02 4.0200e+01 -5.2708 2.098e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2007 -1.9600e+02 4.3799e+01 -4.4749 9.662e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2011 9.8899e+01 4.1503e+01 2.3830 0.0175819 *
fesisKOR.2014 -2.1541e+02 4.6423e+01 -4.6402 4.554e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2015 -3.5260e+02 4.8419e+01 -7.2822 1.448e-12 ***
fesisRUS.2010 -8.2093e+01 1.5959e+01 -5.1439 4.000e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2012 3.6873e+02 2.0201e+01 18.2531 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 4.4008 1 0.03592 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 119.1425 1 < 2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 37.07682
R-squared 0.99367
Log-lik.(n=546) -2702.93411 AR 1
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:49:56 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 525
Sample: 1 to 525
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.2783e-01 1.0512e-02 88.2601 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 8.4011e-16 3.0596e-14 0.0275 0.9781063
pop 5.5454e-07 1.1179e-07 4.9604 9.982e-07 ***
idAUT 9.4704e+00 6.6223e+00 1.4301 0.1533869
idBEL 5.3305e+00 6.5582e+00 0.8128 0.4167642
idCAN -4.3180e+00 6.5734e+00 -0.6569 0.5115878
idCHE 7.7060e+00 6.6325e+00 1.1618 0.2459139
idCHN -6.8333e+02 1.4327e+02 -4.7696 2.497e-06 ***
idDEU 6.6839e+00 9.1577e+00 0.7299 0.4658479
idDNK 7.5681e+00 6.6878e+00 1.1316 0.2583931
idESP -1.3530e+01 6.9387e+00 -1.9500 0.0518007 .
idFIN 8.0119e+00 6.6943e+00 1.1968 0.2320022
idFRA -1.1529e+01 7.9102e+00 -1.4575 0.1456776
idGBR -1.6461e+01 7.8328e+00 -2.1015 0.0361484 *
idISR 7.4117e+00 6.6423e+00 1.1158 0.2650823
idITA -2.0184e+01 7.6598e+00 -2.6351 0.0087015 **
idJPN 6.8495e+00 2.3066e+01 0.2969 0.7666417
idKOR 2.2248e+01 3.1555e+01 0.7051 0.4811313
idNLD 1.9612e+00 6.4735e+00 0.3030 0.7620672
idNOR 8.1218e+00 6.7081e+00 1.2108 0.2266244
idRUS -6.9217e+01 1.5373e+01 -4.5025 8.562e-06 ***
idSWE 7.3126e+00 6.5906e+00 1.1095 0.2677856
idUSA -9.2381e+01 3.0816e+01 -2.9978 0.0028699 **
time1996 -1.2966e+01 6.9462e+00 -1.8666 0.0626105 .
time1997 -9.6818e+00 6.9618e+00 -1.3907 0.1649992
time1998 -1.6332e+01 6.9791e+00 -2.3401 0.0197116 *
time1999 -1.2527e+01 7.0210e+00 -1.7843 0.0750490 .
time2000 -1.6624e+01 7.0252e+00 -2.3663 0.0183872 *
time2001 -1.3992e+01 7.0957e+00 -1.9719 0.0492282 *
time2002 -1.8489e+01 7.1149e+00 -2.5986 0.0096667 **
time2003 -1.7857e+01 7.1034e+00 -2.5139 0.0122861 *
time2004 -6.8775e+00 7.1253e+00 -0.9652 0.3349509
time2005 -9.6994e+00 7.1298e+00 -1.3604 0.1743824
time2006 -1.6565e+01 7.1437e+00 -2.3189 0.0208479 *
time2007 -7.7158e+00 7.2291e+00 -1.0673 0.2863964
time2008 -1.2215e+01 7.2467e+00 -1.6856 0.0925672 .
time2009 2.8855e+00 7.3411e+00 0.3931 0.6944566
time2010 5.8301e-01 7.3452e+00 0.0794 0.9367717
time2011 -4.2299e+00 7.2861e+00 -0.5805 0.5618361
time2012 -7.4127e+00 7.2221e+00 -1.0264 0.3052568
time2013 -1.7957e+01 7.4846e+00 -2.3993 0.0168334 *
time2014 -1.1959e+01 7.3717e+00 -1.6223 0.1054273
time2015 -1.8808e+01 7.3983e+00 -2.5422 0.0113502 *
time2016 -9.2055e+00 7.2803e+00 -1.2644 0.2067237
time2017 8.7075e+00 7.2668e+00 1.1982 0.2314492
time2018 -2.7169e+00 7.2763e+00 -0.3734 0.7090319
time2019 -1.7203e+01 7.2936e+00 -2.3587 0.0187641 *
time2020 -7.8296e+00 7.4322e+00 -1.0535 0.2926898
iis146 1.1693e+02 2.6704e+01 4.3790 1.484e-05 ***
iis356 -1.1480e+02 2.5740e+01 -4.4598 1.037e-05 ***
iis357 -1.3307e+02 2.5821e+01 -5.1536 3.830e-07 ***
iis362 1.3089e+02 2.5663e+01 5.1003 5.003e-07 ***
iis363 -1.2407e+02 2.5593e+01 -4.8477 1.721e-06 ***
iis364 2.4711e+02 2.5639e+01 9.6380 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis365 6.8760e+02 2.5699e+01 26.7565 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis366 4.8954e+02 2.7276e+01 17.9477 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis368 -3.3893e+02 2.7242e+01 -12.4412 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis372 3.6054e+02 2.7003e+01 13.3517 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis373 9.2984e+01 2.7368e+01 3.3975 0.0007403 ***
iis374 -4.8417e+02 2.7525e+01 -17.5902 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis375 -2.0412e+02 2.7056e+01 -7.5441 2.533e-13 ***
iis389 1.4429e+02 2.7985e+01 5.1561 3.781e-07 ***
iis390 1.8061e+02 2.6663e+01 6.7740 3.922e-11 ***
iis393 2.0248e+02 2.5599e+01 7.9096 2.010e-14 ***
iis394 -2.5935e+02 2.5622e+01 -10.1224 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis395 -2.6334e+02 2.5305e+01 -10.4064 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis400 3.3542e+02 2.5759e+01 13.0213 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis518 1.8970e+02 2.4013e+01 7.8997 2.156e-14 ***
iis525 -1.5288e+02 2.4484e+01 -6.2442 9.848e-10 ***
fesisCHN.2016 1.3831e+02 1.7173e+01 8.0542 7.203e-15 ***
fesisJPN.1999 1.5494e+02 2.1386e+01 7.2451 1.885e-12 ***
fesisJPN.2001 -1.0259e+02 2.0210e+01 -5.0760 5.647e-07 ***
fesisJPN.2013 7.1047e+01 1.9725e+01 3.6019 0.0003510 ***
fesisKOR.2009 1.4268e+02 2.3692e+01 6.0222 3.572e-09 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.22905 1 0.6322
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 37.47042 1 9.281e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 22.79965
R-squared 0.99762
Log-lik.(n=525) -2349.48390 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:49:54 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 525
Sample: 1 to 525
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.6110e-01 1.1760e-02 81.7253 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -4.3731e-14 2.9660e-14 -1.4744 0.1410766
pop 4.4296e-07 1.0872e-07 4.0743 5.462e-05 ***
idAUT 7.6403e+00 6.3182e+00 1.2093 0.2272031
idBEL 4.1830e+00 6.2513e+00 0.6691 0.5037491
idCAN -3.9071e+00 6.2626e+00 -0.6239 0.5330226
idCHE 6.0362e+00 6.3264e+00 0.9541 0.3405357
idCHN -5.4257e+02 1.3922e+02 -3.8973 0.0001122 ***
idDEU 4.5437e+00 8.7310e+00 0.5204 0.6030361
idDNK 5.9935e+00 6.3786e+00 0.9396 0.3479154
idESP -1.0877e+01 6.6304e+00 -1.6404 0.1016183
idFIN 6.3152e+00 6.3855e+00 0.9890 0.3232036
idFRA -9.1159e+00 7.5519e+00 -1.2071 0.2280335
idGBR -1.3024e+01 7.4931e+00 -1.7382 0.0828729 .
idISR 5.6983e+00 6.3362e+00 0.8993 0.3689671
idITA -1.6236e+01 7.3379e+00 -2.2126 0.0274321 *
idJPN 1.7109e+02 2.3684e+01 7.2239 2.194e-12 ***
idKOR 5.2163e+01 3.0310e+01 1.7210 0.0859460 .
idNLD 1.3412e+00 6.1679e+00 0.2174 0.8279613
idNOR 6.5334e+00 6.3982e+00 1.0211 0.3077424
idRUS -5.2390e+01 1.4943e+01 -3.5061 0.0005007 ***
idSWE 6.0547e+00 6.2836e+00 0.9636 0.3357783
idUSA -7.6775e+01 2.9528e+01 -2.6001 0.0096289 **
time1996 -1.0284e+01 6.6914e+00 -1.5369 0.1250332
time1997 -6.6629e+00 6.7095e+00 -0.9931 0.3212210
time1998 -1.3243e+01 6.7250e+00 -1.9693 0.0495372 *
time1999 -9.2646e+00 6.7122e+00 -1.3803 0.1681903
time2000 -1.3492e+01 6.7127e+00 -2.0099 0.0450454 *
time2001 -1.0580e+01 6.7833e+00 -1.5597 0.1195379
time2002 -1.4933e+01 6.8026e+00 -2.1952 0.0286627 *
time2003 -1.4427e+01 6.7745e+00 -2.1297 0.0337445 *
time2004 -1.0695e+01 6.8682e+00 -1.5572 0.1201320
time2005 -6.3829e+00 6.7976e+00 -0.9390 0.3482397
time2006 -1.3356e+01 6.8095e+00 -1.9614 0.0504530 .
time2007 -3.6858e+00 6.9139e+00 -0.5331 0.5942238
time2008 -9.5938e+00 6.9532e+00 -1.3798 0.1683452
time2009 5.5916e+00 7.0126e+00 0.7974 0.4256593
time2010 2.7192e+00 7.0094e+00 0.3879 0.6982520
time2011 -2.6297e+00 6.9503e+00 -0.3784 0.7053497
time2012 -3.5934e+00 6.9045e+00 -0.5204 0.6030120
time2013 -1.6423e+01 7.1362e+00 -2.3013 0.0218345 *
time2014 -1.0762e+01 7.0264e+00 -1.5317 0.1263105
time2015 -1.7642e+01 7.0515e+00 -2.5019 0.0127093 *
time2016 -7.7908e+00 6.9407e+00 -1.1225 0.2622628
time2017 1.1178e+01 6.9377e+00 1.6112 0.1078506
time2018 -1.1971e+00 6.9414e+00 -0.1725 0.8631575
time2019 -1.9420e+01 7.0100e+00 -2.7703 0.0058333 **
time2020 -6.1708e+00 7.0923e+00 -0.8701 0.3847315
iis146 1.4902e+02 2.6365e+01 5.6522 2.827e-08 ***
iis149 6.3989e+01 2.5752e+01 2.4848 0.0133265 *
iis351 -1.4381e+02 2.7339e+01 -5.2602 2.237e-07 ***
iis352 -1.4943e+02 2.7314e+01 -5.4709 7.467e-08 ***
iis353 -1.5639e+02 2.7295e+01 -5.7297 1.851e-08 ***
iis356 -1.2659e+02 2.4905e+01 -5.0826 5.482e-07 ***
iis357 -1.4280e+02 2.4890e+01 -5.7373 1.776e-08 ***
iis362 2.3483e+02 2.9032e+01 8.0886 5.735e-15 ***
iis364 3.4786e+02 2.8683e+01 12.1278 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis365 7.7982e+02 2.7864e+01 27.9869 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis366 5.5843e+02 2.7388e+01 20.3894 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis368 -3.4952e+02 2.6023e+01 -13.4311 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis372 3.5825e+02 2.5727e+01 13.9249 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis373 7.8219e+01 2.6205e+01 2.9849 0.0029923 **
iis374 -4.9863e+02 2.6434e+01 -18.8628 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis375 -2.0693e+02 2.5778e+01 -8.0272 8.891e-15 ***
iis384 1.5509e+02 2.3387e+01 6.6314 9.616e-11 ***
iis389 1.5679e+02 2.6961e+01 5.8155 1.152e-08 ***
iis390 1.8722e+02 2.5525e+01 7.3350 1.051e-12 ***
iis393 1.9678e+02 2.4396e+01 8.0661 6.732e-15 ***
iis394 -2.7212e+02 2.4495e+01 -11.1091 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis395 -2.6784e+02 2.4117e+01 -11.1059 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis400 3.3265e+02 2.4568e+01 13.5402 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis518 1.8456e+02 2.2894e+01 8.0613 6.970e-15 ***
iis525 -1.6681e+02 2.3445e+01 -7.1148 4.483e-12 ***
fesisCHN.2016 1.0855e+02 1.7669e+01 6.1433 1.788e-09 ***
fesisJPN.2001 -9.8305e+01 1.9362e+01 -5.0771 5.635e-07 ***
fesisJPN.2007 -1.1781e+02 2.2626e+01 -5.2069 2.935e-07 ***
fesisJPN.2013 1.3895e+02 2.0575e+01 6.7534 4.508e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2009 1.5165e+02 2.3215e+01 6.5327 1.762e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.2419 1 0.2651
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 26.6801 1 2.401e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 21.71924
R-squared 0.99786
Log-lik.(n=525) -2321.99695 Log Count
AR 0
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:50:04 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 546
Sample: 1 to 546
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.501582 0.163545 9.1814 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -2.272653 0.572998 -3.9662 8.427e-05 ***
idAUT 0.093894 0.509091 0.1844 0.8537516
idBEL -0.263223 0.392108 -0.6713 0.5023538
idCAN 2.200097 0.263000 8.3654 6.722e-16 ***
idCHE -0.649865 0.554125 -1.1728 0.2414735
idCHN 6.636859 2.260749 2.9357 0.0034895 **
idDEU 4.844803 0.780839 6.2046 1.195e-09 ***
idDNK -2.925639 0.812368 -3.6014 0.0003499 ***
idESP 1.685846 0.453656 3.7161 0.0002264 ***
idFIN -0.498260 0.739605 -0.6737 0.5008395
idFRA 4.066721 0.619860 6.5607 1.403e-10 ***
idGBR 3.696739 0.611230 6.0480 2.972e-09 ***
idISR -0.960237 0.674244 -1.4242 0.1550544
idITA 2.601080 0.580724 4.4790 9.403e-06 ***
idJPN 0.277772 1.131042 0.2456 0.8061061
idKOR -4.961881 1.012501 -4.9006 1.313e-06 ***
idNLD 1.218816 0.187664 6.4947 2.102e-10 ***
idNOR -5.382654 0.898219 -5.9926 4.086e-09 ***
idRUS -1.178201 1.090766 -1.0802 0.2806197
idSWE -3.196799 0.547811 -5.8356 9.933e-09 ***
idUSA 6.432374 1.430608 4.4963 8.702e-06 ***
time1995 -2.340864 9.073051 -0.2580 0.7965172
time1996 -2.301414 9.076516 -0.2536 0.7999476
time1997 -2.055767 9.080595 -0.2264 0.8209945
time1998 -2.193629 9.083392 -0.2415 0.8092727
time1999 -1.999419 9.086931 -0.2200 0.8259405
time2000 -1.802128 9.091015 -0.1982 0.8429486
time2001 -1.944428 9.094325 -0.2138 0.8307895
time2002 -2.112851 9.092843 -0.2324 0.8163552
time2003 -2.047423 9.097640 -0.2250 0.8220373
time2004 -2.086385 9.101937 -0.2292 0.8187933
time2005 -1.920628 9.106858 -0.2109 0.8330565
time2006 -1.918173 9.110865 -0.2105 0.8333390
time2007 -1.785948 9.119001 -0.1958 0.8448120
time2008 -1.758293 9.124279 -0.1927 0.8472724
time2009 -1.435444 9.128362 -0.1573 0.8751138
time2010 -1.231438 9.132419 -0.1348 0.8927935
time2011 -1.124666 9.135888 -0.1231 0.9020767
time2012 -1.079249 9.140319 -0.1181 0.9060576
time2013 -1.013365 9.144044 -0.1108 0.9118040
time2014 -1.070575 9.147979 -0.1170 0.9068869
time2015 -1.152097 9.151908 -0.1259 0.8998755
time2016 -1.041690 9.155898 -0.1138 0.9094661
time2017 -0.834085 9.160511 -0.0911 0.9274895
time2018 -0.693901 9.164117 -0.0757 0.9396743
time2019 -0.825684 9.164545 -0.0901 0.9282494
time2020 -0.701859 9.168871 -0.0765 0.9390154
iis58 -1.071154 0.346667 -3.0899 0.0021200 **
iis107 -1.796449 0.333791 -5.3820 1.160e-07 ***
iis132 -0.979935 0.353502 -2.7721 0.0057887 **
iis326 1.490871 0.337005 4.4239 1.203e-05 ***
iis337 -1.292258 0.341293 -3.7864 0.0001725 ***
iis391 -0.940122 0.349801 -2.6876 0.0074495 **
iis491 -1.078228 0.343213 -3.1416 0.0017854 **
iis492 -1.096690 0.343389 -3.1937 0.0014978 **
iis493 -1.017654 0.343835 -2.9597 0.0032331 **
iis494 -1.218173 0.343920 -3.5420 0.0004363 ***
fesisAUT.2009 0.922963 0.131069 7.0418 6.689e-12 ***
fesisBEL.2004 0.515767 0.141869 3.6355 0.0003077 ***
fesisCHN.2002 0.652302 0.214868 3.0358 0.0025305 **
fesisDEU.2007 0.674540 0.140687 4.7946 2.184e-06 ***
fesisDNK.1997 -1.216222 0.246811 -4.9277 1.151e-06 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -1.242106 0.208082 -5.9693 4.667e-09 ***
fesisDNK.2015 1.009758 0.231183 4.3678 1.542e-05 ***
fesisFIN.2003 -0.434665 0.143088 -3.0378 0.0025147 **
fesisISR.2002 -0.633287 0.173807 -3.6436 0.0002984 ***
fesisKOR.2003 0.794101 0.156646 5.0694 5.729e-07 ***
fesisNLD.2009 -0.850679 0.131470 -6.4705 2.435e-10 ***
fesisRUS.2005 0.803154 0.259615 3.0936 0.0020938 **
fesisRUS.2007 -1.196649 0.255784 -4.6784 3.776e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 4.6430 1 0.03118 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 1.7258 1 0.18895
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.31889
R-squared 0.97546
Log-lik.(n=546) -115.21575 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:49:59 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 546
Sample: 1 to 546
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.458997 0.142882 10.2112 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -1.653512 0.496472 -3.3305 0.0009363 ***
idAUT 0.603563 0.469175 1.2864 0.1989359
idBEL 0.119625 0.365836 0.3270 0.7438228
idCAN 2.527007 0.269460 9.3780 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCHE -0.061832 0.496400 -0.1246 0.9009255
idCHN 4.209951 1.997207 2.1079 0.0355760 *
idDEU 4.017076 0.685727 5.8581 8.902e-09 ***
idDNK -3.308220 0.684675 -4.8318 1.844e-06 ***
idESP 1.105178 0.388996 2.8411 0.0046945 **
idFIN 0.180845 0.680010 0.2659 0.7904008
idFRA 3.399658 0.542807 6.2631 8.643e-10 ***
idGBR 3.040950 0.532559 5.7101 2.023e-08 ***
idISR -0.215951 0.600201 -0.3598 0.7191625
idITA 1.978807 0.505987 3.9108 0.0001058 ***
idJPN -0.580809 1.065753 -0.5450 0.5860335
idKOR -5.185047 0.934989 -5.5456 4.938e-08 ***
idNLD 1.336474 0.176692 7.5639 2.132e-13 ***
idNOR -4.287245 0.783727 -5.4703 7.373e-08 ***
idRUS -2.492957 0.984069 -2.5333 0.0116286 *
idSWE -2.691522 0.463959 -5.8012 1.223e-08 ***
idUSA 4.892902 1.279397 3.8244 0.0001491 ***
time1995 -11.608701 8.327830 -1.3940 0.1639983
time1996 -11.554347 8.333351 -1.3865 0.1662573
time1997 -11.294921 8.337410 -1.3547 0.1761664
time1998 -11.449530 8.339459 -1.3729 0.1704388
time1999 -11.271900 8.343230 -1.3510 0.1773492
time2000 -11.022033 8.347534 -1.3204 0.1873573
time2001 -11.168406 8.350742 -1.3374 0.1817454
time2002 -11.368082 8.347878 -1.3618 0.1739269
time2003 -11.275120 8.352508 -1.3499 0.1777064
time2004 -11.314937 8.356652 -1.3540 0.1763972
time2005 -11.169567 8.360149 -1.3360 0.1821910
time2006 -11.106653 8.363327 -1.3280 0.1848277
time2007 -10.990520 8.369993 -1.3131 0.1898058
time2008 -10.966212 8.374859 -1.3094 0.1910428
time2009 -10.623170 8.377332 -1.2681 0.2054062
time2010 -10.480939 8.381198 -1.2505 0.2117390
time2011 -10.376711 8.384608 -1.2376 0.2164965
time2012 -10.348102 8.388579 -1.2336 0.2179814
time2013 -10.266532 8.392286 -1.2233 0.2218288
time2014 -10.363882 8.396005 -1.2344 0.2176878
time2015 -10.437150 8.399763 -1.2426 0.2146629
time2016 -10.330113 8.403581 -1.2293 0.2196033
time2017 -10.162732 8.408699 -1.2086 0.2274358
time2018 -9.985332 8.412292 -1.1870 0.2358403
time2019 -10.117318 8.412817 -1.2026 0.2297441
time2020 -10.000716 8.416056 -1.1883 0.2353296
iis58 -1.099424 0.322503 -3.4090 0.0007091 ***
iis107 -1.767320 0.310843 -5.6856 2.314e-08 ***
iis132 -0.968233 0.329151 -2.9416 0.0034292 **
iis183 0.954784 0.315321 3.0280 0.0025997 **
iis184 1.561225 0.314793 4.9595 9.945e-07 ***
iis201 -0.770715 0.372267 -2.0703 0.0389763 *
iis238 0.792854 0.325044 2.4392 0.0150944 *
iis326 1.473576 0.313528 4.7000 3.439e-06 ***
iis337 -1.340674 0.317458 -4.2232 2.903e-05 ***
iis391 -0.906342 0.326166 -2.7788 0.0056787 **
iis431 -0.639314 0.317888 -2.0111 0.0448920 *
iis465 0.801573 0.319219 2.5110 0.0123778 *
iis469 0.947857 0.317944 2.9812 0.0030228 **
iis476 0.718637 0.313672 2.2911 0.0224099 *
iis479 1.181117 0.312497 3.7796 0.0001776 ***
iis480 0.950136 0.312710 3.0384 0.0025133 **
iis491 -1.094274 0.315626 -3.4670 0.0005755 ***
iis492 -1.148692 0.315735 -3.6382 0.0003056 ***
iis493 -1.068220 0.316282 -3.3774 0.0007935 ***
iis494 -1.261231 0.316880 -3.9802 7.996e-05 ***
iis499 1.106586 0.310505 3.5638 0.0004035 ***
fesisAUT.2009 0.931897 0.122107 7.6318 1.337e-13 ***
fesisBEL.2004 0.488008 0.132294 3.6888 0.0002521 ***
fesisCAN.1998 -0.455134 0.206756 -2.2013 0.0282078 *
fesisCAN.2006 -0.335762 0.136176 -2.4656 0.0140392 *
fesisCHN.2002 0.660596 0.191445 3.4506 0.0006108 ***
fesisDEU.2007 0.708538 0.129033 5.4911 6.603e-08 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -0.963900 0.230075 -4.1895 3.350e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2015 0.765818 0.248305 3.0842 0.0021634 **
fesisESP.2013 0.365488 0.131377 2.7820 0.0056239 **
fesisFIN.2003 -0.344268 0.138409 -2.4873 0.0132228 *
fesisISR.2002 -0.764570 0.163083 -4.6882 3.632e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2003 0.784395 0.143230 5.4765 7.138e-08 ***
fesisNLD.2009 -0.785737 0.125419 -6.2649 8.552e-10 ***
fesisNOR.2006 -0.749953 0.178452 -4.2025 3.169e-05 ***
fesisNOR.2010 0.601075 0.181318 3.3150 0.0009885 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.7089 1 0.1911
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 1.4352 1 0.2309
SE of regression 0.29662
R-squared 0.97935
Log-lik.(n=546) -69.18020 AR 1
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:51:51 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 525
Sample: 1 to 525
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.222860 0.037591 5.9285 6.014e-09 ***
lgdp 1.550404 0.141551 10.9529 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -3.132287 0.503740 -6.2181 1.133e-09 ***
idAUT -0.609808 0.449993 -1.3551 0.1760366
idBEL -0.300836 0.343292 -0.8763 0.3813100
idCAN 2.228091 0.254262 8.7630 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCHE -1.459989 0.488022 -2.9916 0.0029242 **
idCHN 9.988056 1.983093 5.0366 6.823e-07 ***
idDEU 5.398806 0.721893 7.4787 3.847e-13 ***
idDNK -4.417461 0.711075 -6.2124 1.171e-09 ***
idESP 2.475606 0.392547 6.3065 6.716e-10 ***
idFIN -1.764062 0.663062 -2.6605 0.0080763 **
idFRA 4.569451 0.572017 7.9883 1.113e-14 ***
idGBR 4.259979 0.557034 7.6476 1.212e-13 ***
idISR -2.408230 0.526532 -4.5738 6.171e-06 ***
idITA 3.343381 0.516286 6.4758 2.430e-10 ***
idJPN 0.407947 0.965996 0.4223 0.6729982
idKOR -4.840833 0.843170 -5.7412 1.711e-08 ***
idNLD 0.942316 0.178777 5.2709 2.093e-07 ***
idNOR -6.412326 0.808151 -7.9346 1.630e-14 ***
idRUS 0.433791 0.947092 0.4580 0.6471523
idSWE -3.986389 0.485731 -8.2070 2.310e-15 ***
idUSA 7.702628 1.294125 5.9520 5.266e-09 ***
time1996 10.542619 7.932872 1.3290 0.1845152
time1997 10.812432 7.935123 1.3626 0.1736754
time1998 10.533779 7.938583 1.3269 0.1851984
time1999 10.678963 7.941192 1.3448 0.1793683
time2000 10.895711 7.945284 1.3713 0.1709380
time2001 10.790181 7.949429 1.3574 0.1753361
time2002 10.584433 7.952897 1.3309 0.1838858
time2003 10.755376 7.955556 1.3519 0.1770627
time2004 10.671164 7.958967 1.3408 0.1806575
time2005 10.872979 7.962218 1.3656 0.1727422
time2006 10.856731 7.968831 1.3624 0.1737400
time2007 10.963511 7.975385 1.3747 0.1699049
time2008 10.973705 7.979609 1.3752 0.1697346
time2009 11.240656 7.983566 1.4080 0.1598156
time2010 11.405485 7.987708 1.4279 0.1540066
time2011 11.462872 7.991521 1.4344 0.1521450
time2012 11.487347 7.995740 1.4367 0.1514892
time2013 11.560900 7.998944 1.4453 0.1490551
time2014 11.442602 8.002655 1.4299 0.1534402
time2015 11.463513 8.006864 1.4317 0.1529072
time2016 11.582998 8.010243 1.4460 0.1488531
time2017 11.714949 8.013946 1.4618 0.1444748
time2018 11.817704 8.017568 1.4740 0.1411735
time2019 11.654887 8.017614 1.4537 0.1467239
time2020 11.816289 8.021561 1.4731 0.1414186
iis55 -1.353399 0.327061 -4.1381 4.167e-05 ***
iis102 -1.965254 0.327821 -5.9949 4.125e-09 ***
iis108 -1.067373 0.328012 -3.2541 0.0012217 **
iis126 -1.129701 0.340361 -3.3191 0.0009749 ***
iis177 -1.956907 0.361521 -5.4130 1.001e-07 ***
iis181 -1.222285 0.336752 -3.6296 0.0003158 ***
iis313 1.280497 0.327120 3.9145 0.0001043 ***
iis324 -1.236820 0.334304 -3.6997 0.0002420 ***
iis436 -1.079106 0.327366 -3.2963 0.0010555 **
iis479 1.202945 0.326941 3.6794 0.0002615 ***
fesisAUT.2009 0.715967 0.133498 5.3631 1.299e-07 ***
fesisDEU.2006 0.434324 0.139976 3.1028 0.0020350 **
fesisDNK.2001 -0.712993 0.191009 -3.7328 0.0002132 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -1.308959 0.249568 -5.2449 2.392e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2014 1.053631 0.256817 4.1026 4.833e-05 ***
fesisNLD.2007 -0.663443 0.134298 -4.9401 1.096e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.534140 0.160850 -3.3207 0.0009694 ***
fesisRUS.2015 -0.839067 0.177440 -4.7287 3.011e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.38245114 1 0.5363
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 0.00011111 1 0.9916
SE of regression 0.31236
R-squared 0.97627
Log-lik.(n=525) -101.05326 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:51:47 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 525
Sample: 1 to 525
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.252562 0.036147 6.9871 1.035e-11 ***
lgdp 1.373266 0.131925 10.4094 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -2.433394 0.539282 -4.5123 8.227e-06 ***
idAUT -0.264350 0.493082 -0.5361 0.5921470
idBEL -0.045097 0.372304 -0.1211 0.9036440
idCAN 1.868058 0.262476 7.1171 4.471e-12 ***
idCHE -0.983808 0.532082 -1.8490 0.0651272 .
idCHN 7.573300 2.153655 3.5165 0.0004824 ***
idDEU 4.489746 0.764836 5.8702 8.542e-09 ***
idDNK -3.631008 0.757795 -4.7915 2.262e-06 ***
idESP 1.880434 0.412037 4.5638 6.516e-06 ***
idFIN -1.612825 0.757740 -2.1285 0.0338496 *
idFRA 3.764659 0.604777 6.2249 1.119e-09 ***
idGBR 3.462924 0.588825 5.8811 8.038e-09 ***
idISR -1.685524 0.610200 -2.7622 0.0059793 **
idITA 2.611208 0.549349 4.7533 2.710e-06 ***
idJPN 0.013461 1.024735 0.0131 0.9895252
idKOR -4.674713 0.818818 -5.7091 2.083e-08 ***
idNLD 0.912885 0.181892 5.0188 7.543e-07 ***
idNOR -5.303345 0.848904 -6.2473 9.811e-10 ***
idRUS -1.107056 1.092975 -1.0129 0.3116688
idSWE -3.282160 0.500839 -6.5533 1.567e-10 ***
idUSA 6.119668 1.396766 4.3813 1.474e-05 ***
time1996 3.761078 8.721057 0.4313 0.6664862
time1997 3.949487 8.725360 0.4526 0.6510262
time1998 3.643116 8.728780 0.4174 0.6766112
time1999 3.868806 8.732428 0.4430 0.6579538
time2000 4.068161 8.736406 0.4657 0.6416905
time2001 3.962262 8.740051 0.4533 0.6505220
time2002 3.761295 8.744120 0.4302 0.6672947
time2003 3.984289 8.747693 0.4555 0.6489962
time2004 3.868548 8.752173 0.4420 0.6586976
time2005 3.993018 8.755476 0.4561 0.6485707
time2006 4.010900 8.761192 0.4578 0.6473185
time2007 4.111358 8.767637 0.4689 0.6393544
time2008 4.119395 8.770034 0.4697 0.6387915
time2009 4.439715 8.773231 0.5061 0.6130716
time2010 4.561774 8.777446 0.5197 0.6035215
time2011 4.584092 8.779212 0.5222 0.6018247
time2012 4.585467 8.782934 0.5221 0.6018698
time2013 4.678330 8.786599 0.5324 0.5946887
time2014 4.581677 8.789572 0.5213 0.6024441
time2015 4.557165 8.794678 0.5182 0.6045962
time2016 4.676267 8.798431 0.5315 0.5953465
time2017 4.762423 8.801468 0.5411 0.5887147
time2018 4.901978 8.805582 0.5567 0.5780205
time2019 4.735716 8.807374 0.5377 0.5910549
time2020 4.890134 8.810061 0.5551 0.5791321
iis9 -0.810761 0.296357 -2.7358 0.0064737 **
iis55 -1.393080 0.295408 -4.7158 3.231e-06 ***
iis58 -0.965681 0.294704 -3.2768 0.0011325 **
iis102 -1.890569 0.295493 -6.3980 4.009e-10 ***
iis103 0.734434 0.302678 2.4264 0.0156455 *
iis108 -1.111698 0.295741 -3.7590 0.0001934 ***
iis126 -1.273986 0.309055 -4.1222 4.481e-05 ***
iis155 -0.667008 0.304482 -2.1906 0.0289991 *
iis176 0.695534 0.335562 2.0727 0.0387739 *
iis177 -1.781333 0.337544 -5.2773 2.056e-07 ***
iis181 -1.154353 0.298197 -3.8711 0.0001246 ***
iis192 -0.958628 0.296407 -3.2342 0.0013113 **
iis193 -1.405019 0.298083 -4.7135 3.266e-06 ***
iis313 1.174613 0.302550 3.8824 0.0001192 ***
iis324 -1.271195 0.304747 -4.1713 3.645e-05 ***
iis414 -0.802593 0.299405 -2.6806 0.0076227 **
iis430 0.992274 0.295951 3.3528 0.0008686 ***
iis436 -1.034706 0.295540 -3.5011 0.0005104 ***
iis444 -0.877306 0.295183 -2.9721 0.0031191 **
iis447 0.887146 0.295380 3.0034 0.0028210 **
iis460 0.825640 0.305265 2.7047 0.0071008 **
iis479 1.176930 0.294210 4.0003 7.412e-05 ***
fesisAUT.2009 0.704942 0.121152 5.8186 1.139e-08 ***
fesisDEU.2006 0.403449 0.132432 3.0465 0.0024538 **
fesisDNK.2001 -0.619107 0.182722 -3.3882 0.0007663 ***
fesisFIN.1997 1.244776 0.354652 3.5098 0.0004943 ***
fesisFIN.1999 -0.846241 0.214637 -3.9427 9.363e-05 ***
fesisISR.2009 -0.697244 0.226664 -3.0761 0.0022271 **
fesisISR.2011 0.594820 0.230025 2.5859 0.0100307 *
fesisKOR.2004 0.446440 0.130783 3.4136 0.0007001 ***
fesisNLD.2007 -0.565526 0.123198 -4.5904 5.771e-06 ***
fesisRUS.1997 0.780290 0.308011 2.5333 0.0116427 *
fesisRUS.2007 -0.442798 0.152343 -2.9066 0.0038373 **
fesisRUS.2015 -0.761057 0.160024 -4.7559 2.677e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.038299 1 0.8448
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 0.669981 1 0.4131
SE of regression 0.28099
R-squared 0.98147
Log-lik.(n=525) -37.48580 without IIS
Count
0
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:53:11 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 546
Sample: 1 to 546
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 2.6716e-12 9.9620e-14 26.8184 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop 4.9294e-06 3.8828e-07 12.6955 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 7.7837e+01 1.3655e+01 5.7001 2.093e-08 ***
idBEL 5.2025e+01 1.3336e+01 3.9010 0.0001094 ***
idCAN -3.1234e+01 1.3495e+01 -2.3144 0.0210650 *
idCHE 7.2355e+01 1.3747e+01 5.2633 2.138e-07 ***
idCHN -5.9280e+03 4.6622e+02 -12.7151 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU -2.4320e+02 2.9762e+01 -8.1715 2.726e-15 ***
idDNK 7.0820e+01 1.4104e+01 5.0214 7.246e-07 ***
idESP -1.1529e+02 1.5459e+01 -7.4581 4.141e-13 ***
idFIN 7.7200e+01 1.4132e+01 5.4629 7.533e-08 ***
idFRA -1.3565e+02 2.0791e+01 -6.5242 1.738e-10 ***
idGBR -1.6446e+02 2.0222e+01 -8.1329 3.608e-15 ***
idISR 7.3649e+01 1.3808e+01 5.3338 1.485e-07 ***
idITA -1.7785e+02 1.9223e+01 -9.2519 < 2.2e-16 ***
idJPN -1.2301e+03 6.5644e+01 -18.7395 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -2.0895e+03 7.8737e+01 -26.5385 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 2.6567e+01 1.2826e+01 2.0713 0.0388662 *
idNOR 7.1321e+01 1.4227e+01 5.0131 7.547e-07 ***
idRUS -7.9130e+02 4.9568e+01 -15.9639 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE 5.4125e+01 1.3524e+01 4.0020 7.275e-05 ***
idUSA -1.0244e+03 1.0558e+02 -9.7024 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1995 -9.2317e+01 1.5144e+01 -6.0957 2.240e-09 ***
time1996 -1.0112e+02 1.5284e+01 -6.6160 9.873e-11 ***
time1997 -1.0444e+02 1.5435e+01 -6.7666 3.853e-11 ***
time1998 -8.9300e+01 1.5097e+01 -5.9151 6.310e-09 ***
time1999 -1.0396e+02 1.5206e+01 -6.8369 2.468e-11 ***
time2000 -9.4552e+01 1.5476e+01 -6.1096 2.066e-09 ***
time2001 -9.1649e+01 1.5506e+01 -5.9105 6.477e-09 ***
time2002 -1.0988e+02 1.5614e+01 -7.0374 6.797e-12 ***
time2003 -1.1625e+02 1.5732e+01 -7.3894 6.594e-13 ***
time2004 -1.1485e+02 1.5851e+01 -7.2459 1.726e-12 ***
time2005 -1.1057e+02 1.5308e+01 -7.2231 2.007e-12 ***
time2006 -1.1219e+02 1.5507e+01 -7.2350 1.854e-12 ***
time2007 -1.0845e+02 1.5593e+01 -6.9554 1.156e-11 ***
time2008 -1.1604e+02 1.5706e+01 -7.3880 6.658e-13 ***
time2009 -1.0369e+02 1.5944e+01 -6.5034 1.975e-10 ***
time2010 -8.7937e+01 1.6049e+01 -5.4794 6.903e-08 ***
time2011 -8.0466e+01 1.6081e+01 -5.0039 7.900e-07 ***
time2012 -1.0040e+02 1.5938e+01 -6.2994 6.762e-10 ***
time2013 -9.0541e+01 1.6068e+01 -5.6347 2.992e-08 ***
time2014 -1.0629e+02 1.6224e+01 -6.5511 1.474e-10 ***
time2015 -1.1014e+02 1.6381e+01 -6.7237 5.045e-11 ***
time2016 -9.6656e+01 1.6515e+01 -5.8528 8.965e-09 ***
time2017 -9.9447e+01 1.6095e+01 -6.1786 1.381e-09 ***
time2018 -8.5495e+01 1.6202e+01 -5.2770 1.992e-07 ***
time2019 -8.7764e+01 1.6303e+01 -5.3832 1.147e-07 ***
time2020 -7.0561e+01 1.6381e+01 -4.3074 2.004e-05 ***
fesisCHN.1998 -2.5940e+02 3.8102e+01 -6.8082 2.962e-11 ***
fesisCHN.2005 -1.9907e+02 3.5555e+01 -5.5990 3.634e-08 ***
fesisCHN.2017 4.6116e+02 3.5538e+01 12.9767 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2005 8.8749e+01 2.7781e+01 3.1945 0.0014927 **
fesisDEU.2009 3.6141e+02 2.7150e+01 13.3117 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.1999 2.5377e+02 2.9472e+01 8.6106 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2006 1.7525e+02 3.2625e+01 5.3715 1.220e-07 ***
fesisJPN.2009 3.7374e+02 5.4234e+01 6.8912 1.746e-11 ***
fesisJPN.2010 6.4746e+02 6.6282e+01 9.7682 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2011 4.1150e+02 5.7389e+01 7.1703 2.847e-12 ***
fesisJPN.2013 -3.7322e+02 4.0650e+01 -9.1812 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2017 4.4006e+02 4.0657e+01 10.8238 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2019 -5.1523e+02 4.6884e+01 -10.9895 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2000 -3.6175e+02 5.3417e+01 -6.7722 3.718e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2001 -2.6740e+02 5.3518e+01 -4.9965 8.192e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2006 -3.4991e+02 4.4379e+01 -7.8846 2.141e-14 ***
fesisKOR.2015 -3.7773e+02 4.2929e+01 -8.7990 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2012 3.9399e+02 2.2525e+01 17.4914 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 11.370 1 0.0007466 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 58.345 1 2.198e-14 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 45.72675
R-squared 0.98989
Log-lik.(n=546) -2828.92557 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:53:10 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 546
Sample: 1 to 546
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
gdp 2.5867e-12 1.6411e-13 15.7621 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop 5.9312e-06 4.6919e-07 12.6414 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 9.0814e+01 1.3072e+01 6.9473 1.232e-11 ***
idBEL 6.2587e+01 1.2582e+01 4.9743 9.169e-07 ***
idCAN -4.3123e+01 1.2829e+01 -3.3615 0.0008378 ***
idCHE 8.5977e+01 1.3212e+01 6.5076 1.942e-10 ***
idCHN -7.1635e+03 5.6555e+02 -12.6664 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU -3.0390e+02 3.3368e+01 -9.1074 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 8.6766e+01 1.3752e+01 6.3091 6.434e-10 ***
idESP -1.3813e+02 1.5737e+01 -8.7777 < 2.2e-16 ***
idFIN 9.3191e+01 1.3790e+01 6.7577 4.117e-11 ***
idFRA -1.7812e+02 2.3016e+01 -7.7389 6.078e-14 ***
idGBR -2.0509e+02 2.2264e+01 -9.2114 < 2.2e-16 ***
idISR 8.7698e+01 1.3305e+01 6.5915 1.160e-10 ***
idITA -2.1511e+02 2.0933e+01 -10.2761 < 2.2e-16 ***
idJPN -1.2937e+03 9.1635e+01 -14.1176 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR -2.0489e+03 1.2535e+02 -16.3464 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 3.1446e+01 1.1784e+01 2.6686 0.0078772 **
idNOR 8.8037e+01 1.3939e+01 6.3157 6.188e-10 ***
idRUS -8.7857e+02 6.0257e+01 -14.5804 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSWE 6.6378e+01 1.2880e+01 5.1534 3.759e-07 ***
idUSA -1.2919e+03 1.2692e+02 -10.1787 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1995 -1.1091e+02 1.4787e+01 -7.5005 3.150e-13 ***
time1996 -1.2029e+02 1.4979e+01 -8.0311 7.677e-15 ***
time1997 -1.2425e+02 1.5195e+01 -8.1772 2.671e-15 ***
time1998 -1.2245e+02 1.5436e+01 -7.9332 1.545e-14 ***
time1999 -1.2516e+02 1.5037e+01 -8.3233 9.170e-16 ***
time2000 -1.1513e+02 1.5295e+01 -7.5273 2.623e-13 ***
time2001 -1.2544e+02 1.5471e+01 -8.1081 4.409e-15 ***
time2002 -1.3176e+02 1.5648e+01 -8.4206 4.464e-16 ***
time2003 -1.2910e+02 1.5224e+01 -8.4802 2.865e-16 ***
time2004 -1.2802e+02 1.5384e+01 -8.3216 9.287e-16 ***
time2005 -1.2546e+02 1.5652e+01 -8.0157 8.575e-15 ***
time2006 -1.4443e+02 1.5874e+01 -9.0988 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2007 -1.3110e+02 1.6047e+01 -8.1700 2.815e-15 ***
time2008 -1.3916e+02 1.6226e+01 -8.5759 < 2.2e-16 ***
time2009 -1.2714e+02 1.6506e+01 -7.7024 7.840e-14 ***
time2010 -1.0133e+02 1.5966e+01 -6.3466 5.145e-10 ***
time2011 -1.0527e+02 1.6083e+01 -6.5457 1.538e-10 ***
time2012 -1.2408e+02 1.5848e+01 -7.8293 3.224e-14 ***
time2013 -1.1455e+02 1.6037e+01 -7.1427 3.459e-12 ***
time2014 -1.2204e+02 1.6346e+01 -7.4661 3.982e-13 ***
time2015 -1.2997e+02 1.6484e+01 -7.8846 2.181e-14 ***
time2016 -1.1689e+02 1.6654e+01 -7.0187 7.771e-12 ***
time2017 -1.1942e+02 1.6285e+01 -7.3327 9.797e-13 ***
time2018 -1.0572e+02 1.6432e+01 -6.4339 3.040e-10 ***
time2019 -1.0820e+02 1.6578e+01 -6.5268 1.727e-10 ***
time2020 -9.1520e+01 1.6690e+01 -5.4837 6.780e-08 ***
fesisCHN.1999 -2.5663e+02 3.6156e+01 -7.0977 4.646e-12 ***
fesisCHN.2003 -1.9867e+02 3.3209e+01 -5.9826 4.327e-09 ***
fesisCHN.2010 -1.3217e+02 3.3296e+01 -3.9697 8.310e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2017 4.4634e+02 3.2931e+01 13.5535 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2005 9.0457e+01 2.5345e+01 3.5690 0.0003947 ***
fesisDEU.2009 3.5925e+02 2.4759e+01 14.5098 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.1999 2.5113e+02 2.6971e+01 9.3112 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2006 1.8358e+02 2.9976e+01 6.1242 1.912e-09 ***
fesisJPN.2009 3.6844e+02 4.9589e+01 7.4298 5.093e-13 ***
fesisJPN.2010 6.3909e+02 6.0463e+01 10.5699 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2011 4.2299e+02 5.2329e+01 8.0833 5.274e-15 ***
fesisJPN.2013 -3.7529e+02 3.7151e+01 -10.1015 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2017 4.4211e+02 3.7097e+01 11.9176 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2019 -5.1523e+02 4.2769e+01 -12.0468 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2000 -3.8155e+02 4.5294e+01 -8.4238 4.361e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2002 -2.5713e+02 4.4747e+01 -5.7464 1.631e-08 ***
fesisKOR.2005 -1.7195e+02 4.4010e+01 -3.9070 0.0001070 ***
fesisKOR.2007 -2.0675e+02 4.5176e+01 -4.5765 6.044e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2011 2.2262e+02 4.3655e+01 5.0994 4.930e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2014 -1.8282e+02 5.1640e+01 -3.5403 0.0004391 ***
fesisKOR.2015 -3.0054e+02 5.2933e+01 -5.6778 2.378e-08 ***
fesisRUS.2010 -7.2078e+01 1.7789e+01 -4.0517 5.938e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2012 3.6037e+02 2.2642e+01 15.9160 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.1476 1 0.7008
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 85.3971 1 <2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 41.65989
R-squared 0.99169
Log-lik.(n=546) -2775.56867 1
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:53:07 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 525
Sample: 1 to 525
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.2776e-01 1.4839e-02 62.5231 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -1.1762e-15 3.7993e-14 -0.0310 0.9753161
pop 5.6270e-07 1.3173e-07 4.2717 2.363e-05 ***
idAUT 9.5761e+00 7.5738e+00 1.2644 0.2067393
idBEL 5.4156e+00 7.4897e+00 0.7231 0.4700050
idCAN -4.4127e+00 7.5004e+00 -0.5883 0.5566049
idCHE 7.8167e+00 7.5827e+00 1.0309 0.3031480
idCHN -6.9378e+02 1.6862e+02 -4.1143 4.608e-05 ***
idDEU 6.2127e+00 1.0428e+01 0.5958 0.5516130
idDNK 7.6990e+00 7.6446e+00 1.0071 0.3144082
idESP -1.3718e+01 7.9551e+00 -1.7244 0.0853174 .
idFIN 8.1411e+00 7.6537e+00 1.0637 0.2880353
idFRA -1.1869e+01 9.0534e+00 -1.3110 0.1905029
idGBR -1.6789e+01 8.9953e+00 -1.8664 0.0626209 .
idISR 7.5261e+00 7.5947e+00 0.9910 0.3222215
idITA -2.0486e+01 8.8167e+00 -2.3236 0.0205867 *
idJPN 7.3853e+00 2.7109e+01 0.2724 0.7854119
idKOR 2.4578e+01 3.8905e+01 0.6318 0.5278598
idNLD 2.0005e+00 7.3878e+00 0.2708 0.7866765
idNOR 8.2601e+00 7.6682e+00 1.0772 0.2819665
idRUS -7.0082e+01 1.8150e+01 -3.8613 0.0001291 ***
idSWE 7.4162e+00 7.5290e+00 0.9850 0.3251420
idUSA -8.6750e+01 3.5471e+01 -2.4457 0.0148360 *
time1996 -1.3530e+01 7.9624e+00 -1.6993 0.0899470 .
time1997 -1.0248e+01 7.9803e+00 -1.2842 0.1997323
time1998 -1.6909e+01 7.9952e+00 -2.1149 0.0349829 *
time1999 -1.3102e+01 8.0524e+00 -1.6271 0.1043998
time2000 -1.7194e+01 8.0512e+00 -2.1357 0.0332397 *
time2001 -1.4129e+01 8.0846e+00 -1.7476 0.0811981 .
time2002 -1.9494e+01 8.1159e+00 -2.4019 0.0167083 *
time2003 -1.8762e+01 8.1317e+00 -2.3073 0.0214848 *
time2004 -7.7802e+00 8.1592e+00 -0.9535 0.3408181
time2005 -1.0600e+01 8.1583e+00 -1.2993 0.1945131
time2006 -1.7462e+01 8.1718e+00 -2.1369 0.0331372 *
time2007 -8.2789e+00 8.3011e+00 -0.9973 0.3191356
time2008 -1.2778e+01 8.3160e+00 -1.5365 0.1250994
time2009 4.1525e+00 8.3819e+00 0.4954 0.6205496
time2010 3.6739e+00 8.3344e+00 0.4408 0.6595572
time2011 -1.0166e+01 8.3125e+00 -1.2229 0.2219863
time2012 -1.2019e+01 8.3312e+00 -1.4427 0.1497960
time2013 -4.2841e+00 8.3580e+00 -0.5126 0.6084934
time2014 -1.2401e+01 8.3633e+00 -1.4827 0.1388326
time2015 -1.9439e+01 8.4021e+00 -2.3136 0.0211357 *
time2016 -5.0648e+00 8.2452e+00 -0.6143 0.5393396
time2017 7.1592e+00 8.3092e+00 0.8616 0.3893578
time2018 -4.2610e+00 8.3076e+00 -0.5129 0.6082678
time2019 -1.8745e+01 8.3236e+00 -2.2520 0.0247986 *
time2020 -9.3234e+00 8.4792e+00 -1.0996 0.2721026
fesisCHN.2016 1.6134e+02 1.8244e+01 8.8436 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.1999 1.5496e+02 2.4435e+01 6.3416 5.480e-10 ***
fesisJPN.2001 -2.2650e+02 2.6813e+01 -8.4473 4.027e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2003 1.3095e+02 2.3100e+01 5.6687 2.555e-08 ***
fesisJPN.2007 1.2396e+02 2.9893e+01 4.1466 4.025e-05 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -2.5496e+02 3.7790e+01 -6.7467 4.600e-11 ***
fesisJPN.2009 3.6928e+02 3.7713e+01 9.7921 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 4.3873e+02 3.7890e+01 11.5790 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2011 -1.8898e+02 3.9061e+01 -4.8380 1.798e-06 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -5.1741e+02 3.8271e+01 -13.5196 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2013 -2.5956e+02 3.7730e+01 -6.8794 1.992e-11 ***
fesisJPN.2014 3.5157e+02 3.1086e+01 11.3098 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2017 3.6314e+02 3.0802e+01 11.7894 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2018 -2.6752e+02 3.8105e+01 -7.0205 8.060e-12 ***
fesisJPN.2019 -5.7715e+02 3.7716e+01 -15.3025 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2020 2.7993e+02 3.8368e+01 7.2958 1.327e-12 ***
fesisKOR.2009 2.5029e+02 2.2010e+01 11.3716 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2014 -3.6777e+02 2.3960e+01 -15.3494 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2016 2.5702e+02 2.3954e+01 10.7300 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2020 3.4111e+02 3.0001e+01 11.3700 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2020 -1.5961e+02 2.8051e+01 -5.6898 2.277e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.34986 1 0.5542
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 29.00175 1 7.231e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 26.01212
R-squared 0.99687
Log-lik.(n=525) -2421.18806 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:53:06 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 525
Sample: 1 to 525
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.2010e-01 1.7027e-02 54.0368 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 1.9110e-14 3.4829e-14 0.5487 0.58350
pop 5.0563e-07 1.1873e-07 4.2588 2.502e-05 ***
idAUT 8.9194e+00 6.7658e+00 1.3183 0.18807
idBEL 4.8017e+00 6.6878e+00 0.7180 0.47314
idCAN -3.5236e+00 6.7025e+00 -0.5257 0.59934
idCHE 7.0698e+00 6.7728e+00 1.0439 0.29711
idCHN -6.2035e+02 1.5192e+02 -4.0834 5.250e-05 ***
idDEU 1.1703e+01 9.7135e+00 1.2049 0.22888
idDNK 6.7328e+00 6.8288e+00 0.9859 0.32469
idESP -1.2436e+01 7.1119e+00 -1.7487 0.08103 .
idFIN 7.2042e+00 6.8367e+00 1.0538 0.29256
idFRA -8.9142e+00 8.1291e+00 -1.0966 0.27341
idGBR -1.4223e+01 8.0572e+00 -1.7652 0.07820 .
idISR 6.7565e+00 6.7838e+00 0.9960 0.31980
idITA -1.8323e+01 7.8928e+00 -2.3215 0.02071 *
idJPN 7.6185e+00 2.4471e+01 0.3113 0.75570
idKOR 6.6444e+00 3.5387e+01 0.1878 0.85115
idNLD 1.7350e+00 6.5954e+00 0.2631 0.79262
idNOR 7.2312e+00 6.8506e+00 1.0556 0.29174
idRUS -6.4464e+01 1.6293e+01 -3.9565 8.828e-05 ***
idSWE 6.6774e+00 6.7242e+00 0.9930 0.32122
idUSA -7.9303e+01 3.1793e+01 -2.4943 0.01298 *
time1996 -1.2125e+01 7.1247e+00 -1.7019 0.08947 .
time1997 -8.8141e+00 7.1394e+00 -1.2346 0.21763
time1998 -1.5326e+01 7.1517e+00 -2.1430 0.03265 *
time1999 -1.1608e+01 7.2042e+00 -1.6113 0.10781
time2000 -1.5657e+01 7.1992e+00 -2.1748 0.03016 *
time2001 -1.2608e+01 7.2294e+00 -1.7440 0.08183 .
time2002 -1.8012e+01 7.2571e+00 -2.4820 0.01343 *
time2003 -1.7297e+01 7.2724e+00 -2.3784 0.01780 *
time2004 -6.3306e+00 7.2960e+00 -0.8677 0.38603
time2005 -9.0729e+00 7.2919e+00 -1.2442 0.21406
time2006 -1.5898e+01 7.3027e+00 -2.1770 0.03000 *
time2007 -6.7865e+00 7.4177e+00 -0.9149 0.36073
time2008 -1.1218e+01 7.4305e+00 -1.5097 0.13183
time2009 3.2818e+00 7.4884e+00 0.4383 0.66141
time2010 3.0008e+00 7.4651e+00 0.4020 0.68789
time2011 -2.9974e+00 7.4843e+00 -0.4005 0.68899
time2012 -4.7303e+00 7.5092e+00 -0.6299 0.52906
time2013 -1.6439e+01 7.6502e+00 -2.1488 0.03218 *
time2014 -1.0638e+01 7.4698e+00 -1.4242 0.15508
time2015 -1.7734e+01 7.5041e+00 -2.3633 0.01854 *
time2016 -3.7707e+00 7.3763e+00 -0.5112 0.60947
time2017 8.5940e+00 7.4237e+00 1.1577 0.24762
time2018 -2.5919e+00 7.4199e+00 -0.3493 0.72701
time2019 -1.6941e+01 7.4406e+00 -2.2768 0.02327 *
time2020 -7.5286e+00 7.5984e+00 -0.9908 0.32231
fesisCHN.2016 1.7124e+02 1.7908e+01 9.5623 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.1999 1.5605e+02 2.1867e+01 7.1362 3.844e-12 ***
fesisJPN.2001 -2.2509e+02 2.4025e+01 -9.3691 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2003 1.3027e+02 2.0627e+01 6.3154 6.451e-10 ***
fesisJPN.2007 1.2487e+02 2.6737e+01 4.6704 3.970e-06 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -2.5351e+02 3.3785e+01 -7.5037 3.324e-13 ***
fesisJPN.2009 3.7161e+02 3.3688e+01 11.0310 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 4.4043e+02 3.3938e+01 12.9776 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2011 -1.9134e+02 3.5777e+01 -5.3481 1.415e-07 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -5.1414e+02 3.4493e+01 -14.9058 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2013 -2.4103e+02 3.3738e+01 -7.1441 3.651e-12 ***
fesisJPN.2014 3.3535e+02 2.7973e+01 11.9882 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2017 3.6338e+02 2.7502e+01 13.2127 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2018 -2.6471e+02 3.4249e+01 -7.7289 7.089e-14 ***
fesisJPN.2019 -5.7649e+02 3.3679e+01 -17.1171 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2020 2.7657e+02 3.4684e+01 7.9739 1.270e-14 ***
fesisKOR.2009 3.0028e+02 2.1896e+01 13.7143 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2011 -1.5254e+02 2.5231e+01 -6.0457 3.118e-09 ***
fesisKOR.2013 1.9485e+02 2.9408e+01 6.6257 9.852e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2014 -4.6328e+02 2.9426e+01 -15.7437 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2016 2.5349e+02 2.1467e+01 11.8083 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2020 3.4116e+02 2.6810e+01 12.7251 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2013 1.9584e+02 2.5129e+01 7.7934 4.526e-14 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -1.8028e+02 2.6005e+01 -6.9325 1.434e-11 ***
fesisUSA.2020 -1.5793e+02 2.5804e+01 -6.1203 2.027e-09 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.29787 1 0.5852
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 37.88085 1 7.52e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 23.22021
R-squared 0.99753
Log-lik.(n=525) -2359.57972 Log Count
0
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:53:11 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 546
Sample: 1 to 546
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.553494 0.167398 9.2802 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -2.039240 0.622586 -3.2754 0.0011315 **
idAUT 0.389466 0.562401 0.6925 0.4889552
idBEL -0.154590 0.429349 -0.3601 0.7189629
idCAN 2.088785 0.285274 7.3220 1.041e-12 ***
idCHE -0.491688 0.655744 -0.7498 0.4537327
idCHN 5.404988 2.478049 2.1811 0.0296582 *
idDEU 4.482960 0.852789 5.2568 2.212e-07 ***
idDNK -2.611241 0.875601 -2.9822 0.0030075 **
idESP 1.536637 0.487250 3.1537 0.0017134 **
idFIN -0.076599 0.816538 -0.0938 0.9252994
idFRA 3.794387 0.675818 5.6145 3.344e-08 ***
idGBR 3.440367 0.664730 5.1756 3.349e-07 ***
idISR -0.644178 0.737376 -0.8736 0.3827691
idITA 2.358127 0.631422 3.7346 0.0002106 ***
idJPN -0.442934 1.236071 -0.3583 0.7202467
idKOR -5.613753 1.060212 -5.2949 1.817e-07 ***
idNLD 1.318505 0.201586 6.5407 1.575e-10 ***
idNOR -5.067841 0.968275 -5.2339 2.488e-07 ***
idRUS -1.832045 1.204234 -1.5213 0.1288353
idSWE -3.050589 0.583636 -5.2269 2.579e-07 ***
idUSA 5.691559 1.574519 3.6148 0.0003324 ***
time1995 -7.721600 10.034637 -0.7695 0.4419789
time1996 -7.686882 10.038562 -0.7657 0.4442109
time1997 -7.402222 10.043278 -0.7370 0.4614634
time1998 -7.543949 10.046341 -0.7509 0.4530725
time1999 -7.353047 10.050272 -0.7316 0.4647543
time2000 -7.210617 10.054606 -0.7171 0.4736338
time2001 -7.304486 10.058479 -0.7262 0.4680697
time2002 -7.480524 10.058759 -0.7437 0.4574331
time2003 -7.423063 10.063914 -0.7376 0.4611235
time2004 -7.471236 10.068596 -0.7420 0.4584307
time2005 -7.308819 10.074103 -0.7255 0.4684962
time2006 -7.309863 10.078549 -0.7253 0.4686288
time2007 -7.182880 10.087305 -0.7121 0.4767673
time2008 -7.155282 10.091111 -0.7091 0.4786274
time2009 -6.833303 10.094468 -0.6769 0.4987737
time2010 -6.632568 10.098968 -0.6568 0.5116526
time2011 -6.528449 10.102812 -0.6462 0.5184586
time2012 -6.485888 10.107615 -0.6417 0.5213857
time2013 -6.422310 10.111736 -0.6351 0.5256441
time2014 -6.482188 10.116091 -0.6408 0.5219722
time2015 -6.566142 10.120427 -0.6488 0.5167780
time2016 -6.458514 10.124845 -0.6379 0.5238516
time2017 -6.252837 10.130106 -0.6173 0.5373612
time2018 -6.116096 10.133938 -0.6035 0.5464444
time2019 -6.264161 10.135077 -0.6181 0.5368246
time2020 -6.087255 10.136609 -0.6005 0.5484426
fesisAUT.2009 0.931426 0.134052 6.9482 1.213e-11 ***
fesisBEL.2004 0.640463 0.139659 4.5859 5.777e-06 ***
fesisCHE.1997 -1.685019 0.409375 -4.1161 4.538e-05 ***
fesisCHE.1998 1.824393 0.341919 5.3357 1.471e-07 ***
fesisCHN.2002 0.743895 0.215205 3.4567 0.0005956 ***
fesisDEU.2007 0.701106 0.144803 4.8418 1.739e-06 ***
fesisDNK.1997 -1.233767 0.252529 -4.8856 1.408e-06 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -1.226787 0.212762 -5.7660 1.457e-08 ***
fesisDNK.2015 1.005531 0.236371 4.2540 2.526e-05 ***
fesisFIN.2003 -0.424872 0.146525 -2.8997 0.0039073 **
fesisISR.2002 -0.617788 0.195782 -3.1555 0.0017031 **
fesisISR.2008 1.437344 0.361470 3.9764 8.077e-05 ***
fesisISR.2009 -1.496006 0.353111 -4.2366 2.722e-05 ***
fesisISR.2019 -0.917559 0.263214 -3.4860 0.0005354 ***
fesisKOR.2003 0.899078 0.154351 5.8249 1.049e-08 ***
fesisNLD.2009 -0.840711 0.134476 -6.2517 8.990e-10 ***
fesisRUS.2005 0.809562 0.265755 3.0463 0.0024448 **
fesisRUS.2007 -1.190646 0.261548 -4.5523 6.737e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2017 -1.097974 0.199161 -5.5130 5.776e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 3.0784 1 0.07934 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.0619 1 0.15102
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.32602
R-squared 0.97414
Log-lik.(n=546) -129.28266 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 0
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:53:09 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 546
Sample: 1 to 546
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
lgdp 1.612777 0.163027 9.8927 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -1.740075 0.624536 -2.7862 0.0055475 **
idAUT 0.762133 0.559553 1.3620 0.1738339
idBEL 0.151154 0.425912 0.3549 0.7228262
idCAN 2.563454 0.314525 8.1502 3.277e-15 ***
idCHE -0.088753 0.654925 -0.1355 0.8922618
idCHN 4.049143 2.478072 1.6340 0.1029265
idDEU 4.038294 0.851629 4.7418 2.807e-06 ***
idDNK -2.192049 0.878848 -2.4942 0.0129634 *
idESP 1.227107 0.488077 2.5142 0.0122622 *
idFIN 0.474425 0.813950 0.5829 0.5602602
idFRA 3.447560 0.676971 5.0926 5.109e-07 ***
idGBR 3.112751 0.666125 4.6729 3.877e-06 ***
idISR -0.218196 0.739942 -0.2949 0.7682126
idITA 2.047626 0.632701 3.2363 0.0012957 **
idJPN -1.324304 1.211208 -1.0934 0.2747858
idKOR -6.226165 1.026452 -6.0657 2.692e-09 ***
idNLD 1.445239 0.197025 7.3353 9.684e-13 ***
idNOR -4.513724 0.986830 -4.5740 6.121e-06 ***
idRUS -2.621637 1.192424 -2.1986 0.0283915 *
idSWE -2.856755 0.584651 -4.8863 1.409e-06 ***
idUSA 4.759174 1.573626 3.0243 0.0026273 **
time1995 -14.432115 9.974439 -1.4469 0.1485845
time1996 -14.400827 9.978241 -1.4432 0.1496196
time1997 -14.118062 9.982671 -1.4143 0.1579444
time1998 -14.237657 9.984807 -1.4259 0.1545476
time1999 -14.050707 9.988552 -1.4067 0.1601787
time2000 -13.912864 9.992653 -1.3923 0.1644829
time2001 -14.009869 9.996433 -1.4015 0.1617244
time2002 -14.181282 9.996653 -1.4186 0.1566733
time2003 -14.123342 10.001534 -1.4121 0.1585729
time2004 -14.174044 10.005902 -1.4166 0.1572674
time2005 -14.013560 10.011268 -1.3998 0.1622351
time2006 -13.967541 10.014313 -1.3948 0.1637435
time2007 -13.845586 10.022692 -1.3814 0.1678009
time2008 -13.818716 10.026407 -1.3782 0.1687832
time2009 -13.497751 10.029622 -1.3458 0.1790154
time2010 -13.324520 10.033203 -1.3280 0.1848045
time2011 -13.223621 10.036943 -1.3175 0.1883106
time2012 -13.184053 10.041592 -1.3129 0.1898383
time2013 -13.141187 10.045778 -1.3081 0.1914645
time2014 -13.204337 10.050061 -1.3139 0.1895314
time2015 -13.292680 10.054314 -1.3221 0.1867781
time2016 -13.188450 10.058648 -1.3112 0.1904415
time2017 -13.011701 10.063376 -1.2930 0.1966506
time2018 -12.878080 10.067115 -1.2792 0.2014459
time2019 -13.028872 10.068168 -1.2941 0.1962742
time2020 -12.850863 10.069945 -1.2762 0.2025252
fesisAUT.2009 0.931184 0.129296 7.2020 2.353e-12 ***
fesisBEL.2004 0.610999 0.134766 4.5338 7.350e-06 ***
fesisCAN.1998 -0.479097 0.218234 -2.1953 0.0286248 *
fesisCAN.2006 -0.333637 0.144450 -2.3097 0.0213340 *
fesisCHE.1997 -1.684256 0.393138 -4.2841 2.223e-05 ***
fesisCHE.1998 1.774451 0.328842 5.3961 1.079e-07 ***
fesisCHN.2002 0.653531 0.207403 3.1510 0.0017302 **
fesisDEU.2007 0.708067 0.139367 5.0806 5.425e-07 ***
fesisDNK.1997 -1.274724 0.242753 -5.2511 2.289e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -1.219398 0.204663 -5.9581 4.989e-09 ***
fesisDNK.2015 1.029847 0.227119 4.5344 7.330e-06 ***
fesisESP.2013 0.374973 0.138770 2.7021 0.0071376 **
fesisFIN.2003 -0.448767 0.140976 -3.1833 0.0015520 **
fesisISR.2002 -0.689068 0.189408 -3.6380 0.0003050 ***
fesisISR.2008 1.384849 0.347352 3.9869 7.754e-05 ***
fesisISR.2009 -1.486946 0.339580 -4.3788 1.470e-05 ***
fesisISR.2019 -0.916729 0.253326 -3.6188 0.0003279 ***
fesisKOR.2003 0.848733 0.148463 5.7168 1.925e-08 ***
fesisNLD.2009 -0.839075 0.129660 -6.4714 2.431e-10 ***
fesisNOR.2006 -0.742942 0.188422 -3.9430 9.265e-05 ***
fesisNOR.2010 0.494557 0.202683 2.4400 0.0150514 *
fesisNOR.2017 0.476459 0.201877 2.3601 0.0186726 *
fesisRUS.2005 0.773268 0.255519 3.0263 0.0026109 **
fesisRUS.2007 -1.185410 0.251243 -4.7182 3.138e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2017 -1.040130 0.191577 -5.4293 9.059e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.28522 1 0.5933
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 1.71178 1 0.1908
SE of regression 0.31309
R-squared 0.97645
Log-lik.(n=546) -104.18569 1
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:54:05 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 525
Sample: 1 to 525
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.1953800 0.0396549 4.9270 1.167e-06 ***
lgdp 1.6186961 0.1497456 10.8096 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -2.5860711 0.6014403 -4.2998 2.089e-05 ***
idAUT 0.0043123 0.5524983 0.0078 0.9937759
idBEL -0.0774005 0.4361021 -0.1775 0.8592076
idCAN 2.0157347 0.2950146 6.8327 2.653e-11 ***
idCHE -0.7463212 0.6868212 -1.0866 0.2777690
idCHN 6.5060880 2.4331793 2.6739 0.0077642 **
idDEU 4.6676101 0.8565944 5.4490 8.269e-08 ***
idDNK -3.0900478 0.8785238 -3.5173 0.0004792 ***
idESP 2.0913716 0.4601949 4.5445 7.046e-06 ***
idFIN -0.8845463 0.8130086 -1.0880 0.2771687
idFRA 4.0069560 0.6770254 5.9185 6.357e-09 ***
idGBR 3.7100884 0.6587640 5.6319 3.107e-08 ***
idISR -1.5528394 0.6768004 -2.2944 0.0222182 *
idITA 2.7988774 0.6142268 4.5567 6.665e-06 ***
idJPN -0.8259780 1.1622794 -0.7107 0.4776591
idKOR -5.6499642 0.9395625 -6.0134 3.706e-09 ***
idNLD 1.1561667 0.2054332 5.6279 3.175e-08 ***
idNOR -5.7127683 0.9458297 -6.0400 3.183e-09 ***
idRUS -0.8844351 1.1630968 -0.7604 0.4473967
idSWE -3.5464395 0.5582435 -6.3529 5.087e-10 ***
idUSA 6.2050692 1.5645786 3.9660 8.475e-05 ***
time1996 -0.5342612 9.7818428 -0.0546 0.9564668
time1997 -0.2333677 9.7846361 -0.0239 0.9809823
time1998 -0.4958548 9.7882456 -0.0507 0.9596199
time1999 -0.2997103 9.7919263 -0.0306 0.9755955
time2000 -0.1504854 9.7966671 -0.0154 0.9877509
time2001 -0.2699423 9.8012742 -0.0275 0.9780397
time2002 -0.4822260 9.8055807 -0.0492 0.9607982
time2003 -0.3709671 9.8090442 -0.0378 0.9698485
time2004 -0.4073322 9.8132300 -0.0415 0.9669085
time2005 -0.2102293 9.8172029 -0.0214 0.9829244
time2006 -0.2806131 9.8243649 -0.0286 0.9772255
time2007 -0.1277948 9.8322522 -0.0130 0.9896354
time2008 -0.0577916 9.8371035 -0.0059 0.9953151
time2009 0.1697308 9.8373059 0.0173 0.9862416
time2010 0.3340021 9.8419773 0.0339 0.9729425
time2011 0.3930619 9.8461246 0.0399 0.9681739
time2012 0.4179418 9.8507621 0.0424 0.9661764
time2013 0.4865271 9.8547439 0.0494 0.9606460
time2014 0.3642112 9.8592076 0.0369 0.9705479
time2015 0.3781747 9.8643863 0.0383 0.9694353
time2016 0.4918258 9.8686122 0.0498 0.9602736
time2017 0.6219894 9.8728902 0.0630 0.9497941
time2018 0.7249569 9.8769323 0.0734 0.9415205
time2019 0.5034996 9.8805027 0.0510 0.9593804
time2020 0.7193991 9.8818365 0.0728 0.9419968
fesisAUT.2009 0.7471516 0.1405174 5.3171 1.648e-07 ***
fesisBEL.2000 -1.1341695 0.3761370 -3.0153 0.0027092 **
fesisBEL.2001 1.4149665 0.3451980 4.0990 4.905e-05 ***
fesisCHE.1997 -2.0401032 0.4768839 -4.2780 2.295e-05 ***
fesisCHE.1998 1.9021724 0.3445548 5.5207 5.653e-08 ***
fesisCHN.1997 1.0752819 0.3584737 2.9996 0.0028499 **
fesisDEU.2006 0.5007571 0.1491168 3.3582 0.0008498 ***
fesisDNK.1997 -2.5569569 0.4772189 -5.3580 1.333e-07 ***
fesisDNK.1998 1.6954103 0.3930789 4.3132 1.971e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2001 -1.6865020 0.3887026 -4.3388 1.762e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2002 1.2185689 0.3537655 3.4446 0.0006244 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -1.3334878 0.2621258 -5.0872 5.302e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2014 1.0706316 0.2697829 3.9685 8.389e-05 ***
fesisISR.2009 -0.4681355 0.1630907 -2.8704 0.0042885 **
fesisNLD.2007 -0.6770761 0.1410903 -4.7989 2.160e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.5188794 0.1698241 -3.0554 0.0023783 **
fesisRUS.2015 -0.8248190 0.1865766 -4.4208 1.228e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.91079 1 0.3399
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 0.22051 1 0.6387
SE of regression 0.32813
R-squared 0.97376
Log-lik.(n=525) -127.41058 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
(1995:2020); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Thu Dec 7 09:54:02 2023
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 525
Sample: 1 to 525
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.2005472 0.0383183 5.2337 2.563e-07 ***
lgdp 1.4818460 0.1413131 10.4863 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -2.2310345 0.5863197 -3.8052 0.0001615 ***
idAUT 0.1256142 0.5366091 0.2341 0.8150235
idBEL -0.0015032 0.4187576 -0.0036 0.9971374
idCAN 1.8700679 0.2842084 6.5799 1.323e-10 ***
idCHE -0.5799502 0.6582339 -0.8811 0.3787545
idCHN 5.2923765 2.3740826 2.2292 0.0262959 *
idDEU 4.2548943 0.8305605 5.1229 4.487e-07 ***
idDNK -2.6517391 0.8458673 -3.1349 0.0018324 **
idESP 1.7809445 0.4478805 3.9764 8.162e-05 ***
idFIN -1.0994666 0.8236563 -1.3349 0.1826029
idFRA 3.6487697 0.6565972 5.5571 4.727e-08 ***
idGBR 3.3422308 0.6394250 5.2269 2.653e-07 ***
idISR -1.2293962 0.6601706 -1.8622 0.0632266 .
idITA 2.4535163 0.5974320 4.1068 4.774e-05 ***
idJPN -0.6870187 1.1171652 -0.6150 0.5388908
idKOR -5.3581983 0.8869579 -6.0411 3.231e-09 ***
idNLD 1.1280391 0.1955939 5.7672 1.508e-08 ***
idNOR -5.0034251 0.9379774 -5.3343 1.529e-07 ***
idRUS -1.8478779 1.1937382 -1.5480 0.1223374
idSWE -3.0950775 0.5557980 -5.5687 4.441e-08 ***
idUSA 5.5673330 1.5203073 3.6620 0.0002803 ***
time1996 -2.6313960 9.5140476 -0.2766 0.7822307
time1997 -2.4453512 9.5187832 -0.2569 0.7973764
time1998 -2.7151813 9.5225169 -0.2851 0.7756748
time1999 -2.5283364 9.5275720 -0.2654 0.7908467
time2000 -2.3659855 9.5323520 -0.2482 0.8040894
time2001 -2.4286175 9.5366899 -0.2547 0.7991028
time2002 -2.6396390 9.5408725 -0.2767 0.7821644
time2003 -2.4699413 9.5443969 -0.2588 0.7959210
time2004 -2.5736287 9.5479901 -0.2695 0.7876337
time2005 -2.3745017 9.5517757 -0.2486 0.8037903
time2006 -2.3975132 9.5585322 -0.2508 0.8020654
time2007 -2.2877839 9.5651368 -0.2392 0.8110763
time2008 -2.2192375 9.5696973 -0.2319 0.8167200
time2009 -1.9829667 9.5715641 -0.2072 0.8359695
time2010 -1.8175290 9.5758539 -0.1898 0.8495496
time2011 -1.7859513 9.5781045 -0.1865 0.8521674
time2012 -1.7636991 9.5824025 -0.1841 0.8540531
time2013 -1.6955628 9.5862822 -0.1769 0.8596878
time2014 -1.8172758 9.5905004 -0.1895 0.8497973
time2015 -1.8029802 9.5954581 -0.1879 0.8510410
time2016 -1.6886706 9.5995632 -0.1759 0.8604436
time2017 -1.5577955 9.6035546 -0.1622 0.8712137
time2018 -1.4209140 9.6054967 -0.1479 0.8824671
time2019 -1.6424770 9.6087810 -0.1709 0.8643524
time2020 -1.4329511 9.6103776 -0.1491 0.8815385
fesisAUT.2009 0.7421501 0.1309131 5.6690 2.583e-08 ***
fesisBEL.2000 -1.1011987 0.3479313 -3.1650 0.0016571 **
fesisBEL.2001 1.3551202 0.3193435 4.2435 2.679e-05 ***
fesisCHE.1997 -1.9256891 0.4410022 -4.3666 1.570e-05 ***
fesisCHE.1998 2.0520130 0.3412714 6.0128 3.797e-09 ***
fesisCHE.2003 -1.1955425 0.3419225 -3.4965 0.0005186 ***
fesisCHE.2004 0.9975893 0.3207476 3.1102 0.0019895 **
fesisCHN.1997 1.2561314 0.3339288 3.7617 0.0001913 ***
fesisDEU.2006 0.5069278 0.1398598 3.6245 0.0003228 ***
fesisDNK.1997 -2.4427739 0.4412978 -5.5354 5.307e-08 ***
fesisDNK.1998 1.7154372 0.3636456 4.7173 3.202e-06 ***
fesisDNK.2001 -1.7491973 0.3590494 -4.8717 1.539e-06 ***
fesisDNK.2002 1.2145010 0.3266471 3.7181 0.0002263 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -1.3081270 0.2421579 -5.4020 1.075e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2014 1.0564215 0.2490324 4.2421 2.694e-05 ***
fesisFIN.1997 1.2109649 0.3824621 3.1662 0.0016501 **
fesisFIN.1999 -0.8262360 0.2321113 -3.5597 0.0004112 ***
fesisISR.2009 -0.7984496 0.2425580 -3.2918 0.0010746 **
fesisISR.2011 0.5794299 0.2523349 2.2963 0.0221231 *
fesisISR.2018 -0.7098626 0.2179453 -3.2571 0.0012116 **
fesisKOR.2004 0.4642725 0.1413288 3.2851 0.0011000 **
fesisNLD.2007 -0.6721151 0.1311147 -5.1262 4.414e-07 ***
fesisNOR.2000 0.9556451 0.3479683 2.7464 0.0062699 **
fesisNOR.2001 -1.0722026 0.3407092 -3.1470 0.0017602 **
fesisNOR.2006 -0.9615305 0.3404042 -2.8247 0.0049451 **
fesisNOR.2007 0.9683397 0.3229613 2.9983 0.0028665 **
fesisRUS.1997 0.8488681 0.3315529 2.5603 0.0107872 *
fesisRUS.2007 -0.5328927 0.1598252 -3.3342 0.0009268 ***
fesisRUS.2015 -0.8201688 0.1725785 -4.7524 2.715e-06 ***
fesisSWE.1999 1.0978950 0.3589561 3.0586 0.0023578 **
fesisSWE.2000 -1.1934159 0.3185415 -3.7465 0.0002029 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.036311 1 0.8489
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 0.157628 1 0.6913
SE of regression 0.30284
R-squared 0.97833
Log-lik.(n=525) -78.30616