Introduction

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This is a collection of forecasts for this weekend’s matches. We use a statistical model estimated on a large dataset of historic football matches, and we compare these forecasts to bookmaker prices. This will be the second week of multi-national forecasts, but an absence of available hours in the day means I haven’t been able to properly evaluate forecasts from last week, nor develop further the forecast model to address the seemingly strong home bias in my forecasts.

English Premier League

French Ligue 1

German Bundesliga

Italian Serie A

Spain

Scottish Premier League

Home/Away Bankers

In last week’s file we set up two rules for determining home/away bankers. If a home win probability was 30% more than the away win probability, or if the away win probability was 20% more than the home probability, that should be backed. We now list the matches that satisfy these two criteria this week:

kable(forecast.matches[c(forecast.matches$Ph-forecast.matches$Pa)>0.3 | c(forecast.matches$Pa-forecast.matches$Ph)>0.2,c("team1","team2","division","date","Ph","Pa")])
team1 team2 division date Ph Pa
2 accrington yeovil English League Two 2015-09-29 0.5217830 0.2217040
5 airbus uk haverfordwest Welsh Premier 2015-09-26 0.7050183 0.1150783
11 anderlecht st. truiden Belgian Pro-League 2015-09-27 0.6219626 0.1588963
16 astra giurgiu botosani Romanian Liga 1 2015-09-27 0.6131213 0.1639635
20 aus. vienna wolfsberger Austrian Bundesliga 2015-09-26 0.5849711 0.1806735
NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
25 barcelona las palmas Spanish La Liga 2015-09-26 0.6934238 0.1208132
28 basel lugano Swiss Super League 2015-09-26 0.6957917 0.1196326
30 b dortmund sv darmstadt German Bundesliga 2015-09-27 0.6751842 0.1300741
31 beitar j’salem h. kfar saba Israeli Ligat H 2015-09-28 0.5381497 0.2105734
32 benfica pacos ferreira Portuguese Liga 2015-09-26 0.6836031 0.1257625
34 birmingham rotherham English Championship 2015-09-26 0.6162721 0.1621481
36 boavista sporting lisbon Portuguese Liga 2015-09-26 0.2251782 0.5167847
NA.1 NA NA NA NA NA NA
NA.2 NA NA NA NA NA NA
49 burnley reading English Championship 2015-09-26 0.5368180 0.2114653
50 bursaspor eskisehirspor Turkish Super Lig 2015-09-28 0.5439688 0.2067042
54 caen gfc ajaccio French Ligue 1 2015-09-26 0.5963374 0.1738183
57 carlisle newport co English League Two 2015-09-26 0.5638003 0.1938514
59 celtic hearts Scottish Premiership 2015-09-26 0.6399504 0.1488404
60 cherno more pirin Bulgarian A-PFG 2015-09-26 0.6447407 0.1462181
62 ch. odessa poltava Ukrainian Premier 2015-09-27 0.2465546 0.4871270
65 cologne ingolstadt German Bundesliga 2015-09-25 0.5846203 0.1808875
68 cork city derry city League of Ireland 2015-09-25 0.6586705 0.1387213
71 crvena zvezda novi pazar Serbian Super Liga 2015-09-26 0.6708223 0.1323334
72 cska mosc. lok. moscow Russian Premier 2015-09-26 0.5785806 0.1845942
73 cukaricki mladost lucani Serbian Super Liga 2015-09-25 0.5385711 0.2102917
NA.3 NA NA NA NA NA NA
NA.4 NA NA NA NA NA NA
79 din zagreb osijek Croatian HNL 2015-09-25 0.5268461 0.2182209
87 dynamo kiev zakarpatty Ukrainian Premier 2015-09-26 0.7010981 0.1170044
90 eibar celta vigo Spanish La Liga 2015-09-26 0.2634609 0.4649279
91 estoril uniao da madeira Portuguese Liga 2015-09-27 0.5400947 0.2092751
94 fc minsk bate borisov Belarus League 2015-09-25 0.5472747 0.2045262
96 fc sion vaduz Swiss Super League 2015-09-27 0.6093839 0.1661310
100 fk krasnodar terek grozny Russian Premier 2015-09-27 0.5447467 0.2061904
102 forfar stranraer Scottish League One 2015-09-26 0.5530794 0.2007365
NA.5 NA NA NA NA NA NA
NA.6 NA NA NA NA NA NA
NA.7 NA NA NA NA NA NA
109 galatasaray gaziantepspor Turkish Super Lig 2015-09-26 0.6565382 0.1398566
112 gillingham fleetwood English League One 2015-09-29 0.5338210 0.2134812
114 grasshoppers st gallen Swiss Super League 2015-09-26 0.6309232 0.1538451
NA.8 NA NA NA NA NA NA
120 hibernian st mirren Scottish Championship 2015-09-26 0.5976798 0.1730186
126 ipswich bristol c English Championship 2015-09-26 0.5269388 0.2181575
128 ironi kiryat s hapoel ra’ana Israeli Ligat H 2015-09-26 0.5800819 0.1836688
130 jablonec mlada boleslav Czech Liga 2015-09-25 0.5411478 0.2085742
NA.9 NA NA NA NA NA NA
137 konyaspor mersin Turkish Super Lig 2015-09-27 0.5404745 0.2090221
142 levski sofia botev plovdiv Bulgarian A-PFG 2015-09-28 0.5887996 0.1783477
143 leyton orient carlisle English League Two 2015-09-29 0.5508955 0.2021571
144 lille nantes French Ligue 1 2015-09-29 0.6122825 0.1644486
145 limerick dundalk League of Ireland 2015-09-26 0.2206635 0.5232900
146 liverpool aston villa English Premier League 2015-09-26 0.5380324 0.2106519
NA.10 NA NA NA NA NA NA
NA.11 NA NA NA NA NA NA
152 lucerne fc zurich Swiss Super League 2015-09-27 0.5479577 0.2040780
155 mainz b munich German Bundesliga 2015-09-26 0.2375858 0.4993462
157 man utd sunderland English Premier League 2015-09-26 0.5947967 0.1747389
158 maritimo tondela Portuguese Liga 2015-09-27 0.5561975 0.1987189
159 marseille angers French Ligue 1 2015-09-27 0.5736619 0.1876452
163 middlesbro leeds English Championship 2015-09-27 0.5856755 0.1802444
169 morecambe luton English League Two 2015-09-29 0.5223788 0.2212922
170 moreirense porto Portuguese Liga 2015-09-25 0.2203186 0.5237906
175 nacional vitoria setubal Portuguese Liga 2015-09-27 0.5524920 0.2011181
NA.12 NA NA NA NA NA NA
177 nantes paris st g. French Ligue 1 2015-09-26 0.2177754 0.5274975
180 newcastle chelsea English Premier League 2015-09-26 0.2558996 0.4747252
184 nk krsko nk maribor Slovenian League 2015-09-27 0.2490526 0.4837795
188 nordsjaelland aarhus Danish SAS Ligaen 2015-09-27 0.5615766 0.1952675
193 olimpik donetsk shakhtar Ukrainian Premier 2015-09-26 0.1949442 0.5620834
194 olympiakos ioannina Greek League 2015-09-26 0.6217476 0.1590185
196 panathinaikos platanias Greek League 2015-09-27 0.5973208 0.1732322
200 plymouth barnet English League Two 2015-09-29 0.5314462 0.2150874
NA.13 NA NA NA NA NA NA
205 pt talbot llandudno Welsh Premier 2015-09-26 0.5423224 0.2077943
206 rad metalac Serbian Super Liga 2015-09-27 0.5818520 0.1825811
207 radnicki nis jagodina Serbian Super Liga 2015-09-27 0.6199925 0.1600182
209 raith dumbarton Scottish Championship 2015-09-26 0.5513314 0.2018731
211 rb salzburg mattersburg Austrian Bundesliga 2015-09-26 0.5665634 0.1921004
212 real madrid malaga Spanish La Liga 2015-09-26 0.7103744 0.1124676
214 rennes troyes French Ligue 1 2015-09-26 0.5662560 0.1922947
215 ried rapid vienna Austrian Bundesliga 2015-09-26 0.2454653 0.4885942
216 rio ave acad coimbra Portuguese Liga 2015-09-28 0.6416459 0.1479096
218 roma carpi Italian Serie A 2015-09-26 0.6684221 0.1335841
219 r. rostov kuban k Russian Premier 2015-09-28 0.5360808 0.2119600
223 seville r. vallecano Spanish La Liga 2015-09-26 0.5470141 0.2046973
224 shamrock r galway fc League of Ireland 2015-09-25 0.6407193 0.1484179
226 shelbourne waterford League of Ireland Div 1 2015-09-25 0.6347945 0.1516887
227 shrewsbury blackpool English League One 2015-09-26 0.5366525 0.2115763
NA.14 NA NA NA NA NA NA
238 sp. gijon real betis Spanish La Liga 2015-09-27 0.5554009 0.1992332
241 steaua voluntari Romanian Liga 1 2015-09-27 0.6328035 0.1527958
242 st etienne nice French Ligue 1 2015-09-27 0.5462165 0.2052218
245 st johnstone dundee utd Scottish Premiership 2015-09-26 0.5650833 0.1930371
NA.15 NA NA NA NA NA NA
252 teplice banik ostrava Czech Liga 2015-09-26 0.5644381 0.1934463
NA.16 NA NA NA NA NA NA
255 torino palermo Italian Serie A 2015-09-27 0.5297753 0.2162222
259 valencia granada Spanish La Liga 2015-09-25 0.6174149 0.1614923
264 viitorul c petrolul ploiesti Romanian Liga 1 2015-09-26 0.5558938 0.1989149
265 viktoria plzen slovan liberec Czech Liga 2015-09-26 0.5418819 0.2080866
269 walsall crewe English League One 2015-09-26 0.6127213 0.1641948
270 waregem westerlo Belgian Pro-League 2015-09-25 0.5782884 0.1847747
272 w beveren gent Belgian Pro-League 2015-09-26 0.2141268 0.5328652
276 wexford yth athlone town League of Ireland Div 1 2015-09-25 0.6386090 0.1495788
NA.17 NA NA NA NA NA NA
279 wolfsburg hannover German Bundesliga 2015-09-26 0.6817432 0.1267095
280 wycombe cambridge u English League Two 2015-09-29 0.6044445 0.1690191
283 zorya oleksandria Ukrainian Premier 2015-09-27 0.6975120 0.1187779

My apologies for the un-sorted list. Naturally I present the disclaimer that this strategy would have resulted in a positive payoff in previous weeks based on a much smaller sample.

We will see next week whether these picks were actually any good…

Conclusions

This is a tentative first foray into forecasting outside of England, and I hope to refine this, with bookmaker prices, and an evaluation of previous forecasts, in the coming weeks.

For transparency, all forecasts are also listed as a table:

kable(forecast.matches[order(forecast.matches$date,forecast.matches$division),
                       c("date","division","team1","team2","Ph","Pd","Pa")])
date division team1 team2 Ph Pd Pa
78 2015-09-25 Belarus League dinamo brest slavia mozyr 0.4514788 0.2744132 0.2741080
94 2015-09-25 Belarus League fc minsk bate borisov 0.5472747 0.2481991 0.2045262
97 2015-09-25 Belarus League fc slutsk belshina 0.3579576 0.2841071 0.3579353
267 2015-09-25 Belarus League vitebsk gomel 0.4644613 0.2717137 0.2638250
270 2015-09-25 Belgian Pro-League waregem westerlo 0.5782884 0.2369370 0.1847747
79 2015-09-25 Croatian HNL din zagreb osijek 0.5268461 0.2549330 0.2182209
130 2015-09-25 Czech Liga jablonec mlada boleslav 0.5411478 0.2502779 0.2085742
233 2015-09-25 Danish SAS Ligaen sonderjyske ob odense 0.4674416 0.2710529 0.2615055
263 2015-09-25 Danish SAS Ligaen viborg aalborg 0.2787976 0.2755229 0.4456795
106 2015-09-25 English Championship fulham qpr 0.4238114 0.2791480 0.2970407
213 2015-09-25 French Ligue 1 reims lille 0.4187027 0.2798626 0.3014346
65 2015-09-25 German Bundesliga cologne ingolstadt 0.5846203 0.2344922 0.1808875
68 2015-09-25 League of Ireland cork city derry city 0.6586705 0.2026083 0.1387213
82 2015-09-25 League of Ireland drogheda bohemians d. 0.3144564 0.2816361 0.4039075
224 2015-09-25 League of Ireland shamrock r galway fc 0.6407193 0.2108628 0.1484179
53 2015-09-25 League of Ireland Div 1 cabinteely cobh 0.3558417 0.2841016 0.3600568
99 2015-09-25 League of Ireland Div 1 finn harps ucd 0.4149845 0.2803502 0.3046653
226 2015-09-25 League of Ireland Div 1 shelbourne waterford 0.6347945 0.2135169 0.1516887
276 2015-09-25 League of Ireland Div 1 wexford yth athlone town 0.6386090 0.2118122 0.1495788
170 2015-09-25 Portuguese Liga moreirense porto 0.2203186 0.2558908 0.5237906
98 2015-09-25 Romanian Liga 1 fc timisoara csms iasi 0.4434748 0.2759288 0.2805965
251 2015-09-25 Romanian Liga 1 targu mures cfr cluj 0.4391303 0.2767026 0.2841671
93 2015-09-25 Scottish Championship falkirk queen of sth 0.5192459 0.2572911 0.2234630
73 2015-09-25 Serbian Super Liga cukaricki mladost lucani 0.5385711 0.2511372 0.2102917
259 2015-09-25 Spanish La Liga valencia granada 0.6174149 0.2210929 0.1614923
23 2015-09-25 Welsh Premier bangor city aberystwyth 0.3998956 0.2820389 0.3180655
9 2015-09-26 Austrian Bundesliga altach sv grodig 0.4961833 0.2639316 0.2398851
20 2015-09-26 Austrian Bundesliga aus. vienna wolfsberger 0.5849711 0.2343554 0.1806735
211 2015-09-26 Austrian Bundesliga rb salzburg mattersburg 0.5665634 0.2413363 0.1921004
215 2015-09-26 Austrian Bundesliga ried rapid vienna 0.2454653 0.2659405 0.4885942
95 2015-09-26 Belarus League fc naftan dinamo minsk 0.2966200 0.2790764 0.4243036
113 2015-09-26 Belarus League granit mikashev neman grodno 0.4598136 0.2727138 0.2674726
256 2015-09-26 Belarus League torpedo zh shakhtyor 0.3996074 0.2820666 0.3183260
160 2015-09-26 Belgian Pro-League mechelen charleroi 0.4271318 0.2786560 0.2942122
173 2015-09-26 Belgian Pro-League mouscron p oostende 0.3524575 0.2840696 0.3634730
240 2015-09-26 Belgian Pro-League standard liege o h leuven 0.4829946 0.2673646 0.2496408
272 2015-09-26 Belgian Pro-League w beveren gent 0.2141268 0.2530080 0.5328652
60 2015-09-26 Bulgarian A-PFG cherno more pirin 0.6447407 0.2090413 0.1462181
153 2015-09-26 Bulgarian A-PFG ludogorets litex 0.4518766 0.2743349 0.2737885
186 2015-09-26 Croatian HNL nk zagreb nk inter 0.3749807 0.2837558 0.3412635
229 2015-09-26 Croatian HNL slaven rijeka 0.2975888 0.2792404 0.4231708
83 2015-09-26 Czech Liga dukla prague fc brno 0.5123538 0.2593579 0.2282883
84 2015-09-26 Czech Liga dukla pribram vysocina jihlava 0.5150520 0.2585570 0.2263910
228 2015-09-26 Czech Liga sigma o. zlin 0.4164579 0.2801603 0.3033818
250 2015-09-26 Czech Liga synot b. 1905 0.4325959 0.2778003 0.2896039
252 2015-09-26 Czech Liga teplice banik ostrava 0.5644381 0.2421156 0.1934463
265 2015-09-26 Czech Liga viktoria plzen slovan liberec 0.5418819 0.2500315 0.2080866
34 2015-09-26 English Championship birmingham rotherham 0.6162721 0.2215798 0.1621481
38 2015-09-26 English Championship bolton brighton 0.3674876 0.2839959 0.3485166
44 2015-09-26 English Championship brentford sheff wed 0.4787107 0.2684201 0.2528692
49 2015-09-26 English Championship burnley reading 0.5368180 0.2517167 0.2114653
56 2015-09-26 English Championship cardiff charlton 0.5157964 0.2583341 0.2258695
123 2015-09-26 English Championship hull blackburn 0.5009563 0.2626226 0.2364211
126 2015-09-26 English Championship ipswich bristol c 0.5269388 0.2549037 0.2181575
165 2015-09-26 English Championship mk dons derby 0.3892922 0.2829378 0.3277701
203 2015-09-26 English Championship preston wolves 0.4095408 0.2810136 0.3094456
27 2015-09-26 English League One barnsley gillingham 0.3887249 0.2829789 0.3282961
41 2015-09-26 English League One bradford peterborough 0.4689788 0.2707062 0.2603149
52 2015-09-26 English League One bury coventry 0.4471981 0.2752381 0.2775637
61 2015-09-26 English League One chesterfield burton 0.3701349 0.2839262 0.3459389
101 2015-09-26 English League One fleetwood port vale 0.5025233 0.2621853 0.2352915
164 2015-09-26 English League One millwall rochdale 0.4030800 0.2817220 0.3151981
192 2015-09-26 English League One oldham wigan 0.4290216 0.2783665 0.2926119
225 2015-09-26 English League One sheff utd doncaster 0.5118541 0.2595051 0.2286408
227 2015-09-26 English League One shrewsbury blackpool 0.5366525 0.2517712 0.2115763
235 2015-09-26 English League One southend scunthorpe 0.5166324 0.2580829 0.2252847
249 2015-09-26 English League One swindon colchester 0.4573922 0.2732200 0.2693878
269 2015-09-26 English League One walsall crewe 0.6127213 0.2230839 0.1641948
26 2015-09-26 English League Two barnet dag & red 0.4548655 0.2737374 0.2713971
45 2015-09-26 English League Two bristol r portsmouth 0.3821401 0.2834045 0.3344554
55 2015-09-26 English League Two cambridge u stevenage 0.3978610 0.2822302 0.3199088
57 2015-09-26 English League Two carlisle newport co 0.5638003 0.2423484 0.1938514
69 2015-09-26 English League Two crawley accrington 0.3838613 0.2833026 0.3328360
92 2015-09-26 English League Two exeter wycombe 0.3422427 0.2837962 0.3739611
154 2015-09-26 English League Two luton afc w’bledon 0.4054174 0.2814757 0.3131069
156 2015-09-26 English League Two mansfield plymouth 0.3340776 0.2833814 0.3825410
189 2015-09-26 English League Two northampton leyton orient 0.3621663 0.2840852 0.3537486
190 2015-09-26 English League Two notts co york 0.4195577 0.2797466 0.3006957
195 2015-09-26 English League Two oxford morecambe 0.4680771 0.2709101 0.2610128
281 2015-09-26 English League Two yeovil hartlepool 0.4275249 0.2785964 0.2938787
140 2015-09-26 English Premier League leicester arsenal 0.4262735 0.2787852 0.2949413
146 2015-09-26 English Premier League liverpool aston villa 0.5380324 0.2513157 0.2106519
157 2015-09-26 English Premier League man utd sunderland 0.5947967 0.2304645 0.1747389
180 2015-09-26 English Premier League newcastle chelsea 0.2558996 0.2693753 0.4747252
234 2015-09-26 English Premier League southampton swansea 0.4006397 0.2819668 0.3173935
246 2015-09-26 English Premier League stoke bournemouth 0.4568708 0.2733277 0.2698015
257 2015-09-26 English Premier League tottenham man city 0.3864408 0.2831375 0.3304217
275 2015-09-26 English Premier League west ham norwich 0.4357171 0.2772859 0.2869970
29 2015-09-26 French Ligue 1 bastia toulouse 0.4301778 0.2781860 0.2916362
40 2015-09-26 French Ligue 1 bordeaux lyon 0.3921581 0.2827189 0.3251230
54 2015-09-26 French Ligue 1 caen gfc ajaccio 0.5963374 0.2298442 0.1738183
177 2015-09-26 French Ligue 1 nantes paris st g. 0.2177754 0.2547271 0.5274975
214 2015-09-26 French Ligue 1 rennes troyes 0.5662560 0.2414493 0.1922947
19 2015-09-26 German Bundesliga augsburg hoffenheim 0.4910323 0.2653049 0.2436628
116 2015-09-26 German Bundesliga hamburg schalke 0.3760645 0.2837102 0.3402253
155 2015-09-26 German Bundesliga mainz b munich 0.2375858 0.2630680 0.4993462
248 2015-09-26 German Bundesliga stuttgart mgladbach 0.3618796 0.2840881 0.3540324
273 2015-09-26 German Bundesliga w bremen b leverkusen 0.3561062 0.2841029 0.3597909
279 2015-09-26 German Bundesliga wolfsburg hannover 0.6817432 0.1915473 0.1267095
127 2015-09-26 Greek League iraklis salonika xanthi 0.4107769 0.2808683 0.3083548
131 2015-09-26 Greek League kalloni panetolikos 0.3588293 0.2841061 0.3570646
194 2015-09-26 Greek League olympiakos ioannina 0.6217476 0.2192339 0.1590185
117 2015-09-26 Israeli Ligat H hapoel acre h. beer sheva 0.3619212 0.2840877 0.3539911
128 2015-09-26 Israeli Ligat H ironi kiryat s hapoel ra’ana 0.5800819 0.2362493 0.1836688
162 2015-09-26 Israeli Ligat H m. haifa m. tel aviv 0.3579857 0.2841071 0.3579072
166 2015-09-26 Israeli Ligat H m. netanya h. haifa 0.4976585 0.2635307 0.2388108
174 2015-09-26 Israeli Ligat H m. petah tikva bnei sakhnin 0.5127995 0.2592264 0.2279742
178 2015-09-26 Italian Serie A napoli juventus 0.3050677 0.2804087 0.4145236
218 2015-09-26 Italian Serie A roma carpi 0.6684221 0.1979938 0.1335841
129 2015-09-26 Kazakhstan League irtysh astana 0.3630824 0.2840747 0.3528430
145 2015-09-26 League of Ireland limerick dundalk 0.2206635 0.2560465 0.5232900
149 2015-09-26 League of Ireland longford t st patrick’s 0.3184687 0.2820816 0.3994497
231 2015-09-26 League of Ireland sligo rovers bray 0.4349699 0.2774107 0.2876193
32 2015-09-26 Portuguese Liga benfica pacos ferreira 0.6836031 0.1906344 0.1257625
36 2015-09-26 Portuguese Liga boavista sporting lisbon 0.2251782 0.2580370 0.5167847
258 2015-09-26 Romanian Liga 1 uni craiova pandurii 0.3916891 0.2827559 0.3255550
264 2015-09-26 Romanian Liga 1 viitorul c petrolul ploiesti 0.5558938 0.2451913 0.1989149
14 2015-09-26 Russian Premier anzhi fc ufa 0.4612921 0.2723997 0.2663082
72 2015-09-26 Russian Premier cska mosc. lok. moscow 0.5785806 0.2368252 0.1845942
236 2015-09-26 Russian Premier spartak moscow zenit 0.2963079 0.2790229 0.4246692
8 2015-09-26 Scottish Championship alloa livingston 0.3590798 0.2841055 0.3568147
120 2015-09-26 Scottish Championship hibernian st mirren 0.5976798 0.2293017 0.1730186
209 2015-09-26 Scottish Championship raith dumbarton 0.5513314 0.2467955 0.2018731
24 2015-09-26 Scottish FA Cup banks o’dee cove rangers NA NA NA
47 2015-09-26 Scottish FA Cup bsc glasgow auchinleck NA NA NA
48 2015-09-26 Scottish FA Cup buckie thistle rothes NA NA NA
77 2015-09-26 Scottish FA Cup deveronvale clachnacuddin NA NA NA
103 2015-09-26 Scottish FA Cup formartine utd gretna 2008 NA NA NA
104 2015-09-26 Scottish FA Cup fraserburgh dalbeattie star NA NA NA
108 2015-09-26 Scottish FA Cup gala fairydean linlithgow rose NA NA NA
119 2015-09-26 Scottish FA Cup hawick royal a huntly NA NA NA
135 2015-09-26 Scottish FA Cup keith inverurie locos NA NA NA
150 2015-09-26 Scottish FA Cup lossiemouth forres mech NA NA NA
151 2015-09-26 Scottish FA Cup lothian thistle kelty hearts NA NA NA
176 2015-09-26 Scottish FA Cup nairn county selkirk NA NA NA
204 2015-09-26 Scottish FA Cup preston ath. fort william NA NA NA
237 2015-09-26 Scottish FA Cup spartans coldstream NA NA NA
247 2015-09-26 Scottish FA Cup strathspey t edinburgh c NA NA NA
253 2015-09-26 Scottish FA Cup threave rovers stirling univ NA NA NA
277 2015-09-26 Scottish FA Cup wick academy whitehill w NA NA NA
7 2015-09-26 Scottish League One albion stenh’semuir 0.4719313 0.2700293 0.2580395
21 2015-09-26 Scottish League One ayr peterhead 0.4869495 0.2663639 0.2466866
42 2015-09-26 Scottish League One brechin cowdenbeath 0.4041971 0.2816057 0.3141972
86 2015-09-26 Scottish League One dunfermline airdrieonians 0.5136939 0.2589614 0.2273447
102 2015-09-26 Scottish League One forfar stranraer 0.5530794 0.2461840 0.2007365
12 2015-09-26 Scottish League Two annan elgin city 0.4708429 0.2702805 0.2588766
63 2015-09-26 Scottish League Two clyde berwick 0.5206966 0.2568473 0.2224561
88 2015-09-26 Scottish League Two east stirling arbroath 0.3856191 0.2831917 0.3311891
168 2015-09-26 Scottish League Two montrose east fife 0.3776283 0.2836396 0.3387321
244 2015-09-26 Scottish League Two stirling queen’s park 0.3111462 0.2812332 0.4076206
59 2015-09-26 Scottish Premiership celtic hearts 0.6399504 0.2112092 0.1488404
85 2015-09-26 Scottish Premiership dundee ross county 0.3361974 0.2835062 0.3802964
125 2015-09-26 Scottish Premiership inverness ct aberdeen 0.3228927 0.2825193 0.3945880
136 2015-09-26 Scottish Premiership kilmarnock hamilton 0.3403955 0.2837178 0.3758867
172 2015-09-26 Scottish Premiership motherwell partick 0.4720928 0.2699918 0.2579154
245 2015-09-26 Scottish Premiership st johnstone dundee utd 0.5650833 0.2418796 0.1930371
71 2015-09-26 Serbian Super Liga crvena zvezda novi pazar 0.6708223 0.1968443 0.1323334
191 2015-09-26 Serbian Super Liga ofk belgrade sp subotica 0.3487547 0.2840014 0.3672439
208 2015-09-26 Serbian Super Liga radnik surdulica javor 0.2950547 0.2788052 0.4261401
80 2015-09-26 Slovenian League domzale o. ljubljana 0.3705515 0.2839137 0.3455348
182 2015-09-26 Slovenian League nk celje koper 0.4043663 0.2815879 0.3140458
187 2015-09-26 Slovenian League nk zavrc rudar velenje 0.4907577 0.2653769 0.2438654
25 2015-09-26 Spanish La Liga barcelona las palmas 0.6934238 0.1857630 0.1208132
90 2015-09-26 Spanish La Liga eibar celta vigo 0.2634609 0.2716112 0.4649279
212 2015-09-26 Spanish La Liga real madrid malaga 0.7103744 0.1771580 0.1124676
223 2015-09-26 Spanish La Liga seville r. vallecano 0.5470141 0.2482885 0.2046973
266 2015-09-26 Spanish La Liga villarreal atl madrid 0.3542392 0.2840900 0.3616708
28 2015-09-26 Swiss Super League basel lugano 0.6957917 0.1845757 0.1196326
114 2015-09-26 Swiss Super League grasshoppers st gallen 0.6309232 0.2152317 0.1538451
1 2015-09-26 Turkish Super Lig 1299 osmanlispor trabzonspor 0.3356672 0.2834761 0.3808567
6 2015-09-26 Turkish Super Lig akhisar b genclerbirligi 0.4942409 0.2644543 0.2413048
109 2015-09-26 Turkish Super Lig galatasaray gaziantepspor 0.6565382 0.2036052 0.1398566
87 2015-09-26 Ukrainian Premier dynamo kiev zakarpatty 0.7010981 0.1818975 0.1170044
193 2015-09-26 Ukrainian Premier olimpik donetsk shakhtar 0.1949442 0.2429724 0.5620834
5 2015-09-26 Welsh Premier airbus uk haverfordwest 0.7050183 0.1799035 0.1150783
22 2015-09-26 Welsh Premier bala town the new saints 0.3733954 0.2838176 0.3427870
58 2015-09-26 Welsh Premier carmarthen newtown 0.3403912 0.2837176 0.3758912
67 2015-09-26 Welsh Premier connah’s q rhyl 0.4549086 0.2737287 0.2713628
205 2015-09-26 Welsh Premier pt talbot llandudno 0.5423224 0.2498832 0.2077943
3 2015-09-27 Austrian Bundesliga admira wacker sturm graz 0.4120349 0.2807171 0.3072479
11 2015-09-27 Belgian Pro-League anderlecht st. truiden 0.6219626 0.2191411 0.1588963
138 2015-09-27 Belgian Pro-League kortrijk genk 0.3007021 0.2797476 0.4195503
147 2015-09-27 Belgian Pro-League lokeren fc bruges 0.3034880 0.2801762 0.4163358
148 2015-09-27 Bulgarian A-PFG loko. plovdiv slavia sofia 0.2943873 0.2786872 0.4269255
199 2015-09-27 Bulgarian A-PFG pfc montana beroe stara 0.2813708 0.2761002 0.4425290
183 2015-09-27 Croatian HNL nk istra 1961 loko. zagreb 0.4361045 0.2772208 0.2866747
185 2015-09-27 Croatian HNL nk split hajduk split 0.3991024 0.2821146 0.3187831
230 2015-09-27 Czech Liga slavia prague sparta prague 0.2773164 0.2751805 0.4475031
46 2015-09-27 Danish SAS Ligaen brondby fc copenhagen 0.3179771 0.2820295 0.3999934
188 2015-09-27 Danish SAS Ligaen nordsjaelland aarhus 0.5615766 0.2431559 0.1952675
210 2015-09-27 Danish SAS Ligaen randers freja midtjylland 0.3820796 0.2834080 0.3345125
163 2015-09-27 English Championship middlesbro leeds 0.5856755 0.2340802 0.1802444
271 2015-09-27 English Premier League watford c palace 0.4408956 0.2763924 0.2827121
115 2015-09-27 French Ligue 1 guingamp monaco 0.3368071 0.2835398 0.3796531
159 2015-09-27 French Ligue 1 marseille angers 0.5736619 0.2386929 0.1876452
167 2015-09-27 French Ligue 1 montpellier lorient 0.3621737 0.2840851 0.3537412
242 2015-09-27 French Ligue 1 st etienne nice 0.5462165 0.2485617 0.2052218
30 2015-09-27 German Bundesliga b dortmund sv darmstadt 0.6751842 0.1947417 0.1300741
89 2015-09-27 German Bundesliga e frankfurt hertha berlin 0.5148287 0.2586237 0.2265476
18 2015-09-27 Greek League atromitos paok salonika 0.4764227 0.2689716 0.2546057
141 2015-09-27 Greek League levadiakos asteras t. 0.3504545 0.2840370 0.3655085
196 2015-09-27 Greek League panathinaikos platanias 0.5973208 0.2294470 0.1732322
197 2015-09-27 Greek League panionios panthrakikos k 0.5215860 0.2565737 0.2218402
37 2015-09-27 Italian Serie A bologna udinese 0.3751255 0.2837498 0.3411246
110 2015-09-27 Italian Serie A genoa milan 0.4289924 0.2783711 0.2926366
124 2015-09-27 Italian Serie A inter fiorentina 0.4608709 0.2724895 0.2666396
221 2015-09-27 Italian Serie A sassuolo chievo 0.4728766 0.2698094 0.2573139
255 2015-09-27 Italian Serie A torino palermo 0.5297753 0.2540025 0.2162222
261 2015-09-27 Italian Serie A verona lazio 0.3859459 0.2831704 0.3308837
15 2015-09-27 Portuguese Liga arouca belenenses 0.3728588 0.2838372 0.3433040
91 2015-09-27 Portuguese Liga estoril uniao da madeira 0.5400947 0.2506302 0.2092751
158 2015-09-27 Portuguese Liga maritimo tondela 0.5561975 0.2450836 0.1987189
175 2015-09-27 Portuguese Liga nacional vitoria setubal 0.5524920 0.2463900 0.2011181
262 2015-09-27 Portuguese Liga v guimaraes braga 0.4280617 0.2785144 0.2934238
16 2015-09-27 Romanian Liga 1 astra giurgiu botosani 0.6131213 0.2229152 0.1639635
241 2015-09-27 Romanian Liga 1 steaua voluntari 0.6328035 0.2144007 0.1527958
100 2015-09-27 Russian Premier fk krasnodar terek grozny 0.5447467 0.2490629 0.2061904
139 2015-09-27 Russian Premier kryliya sovetov din. moscow 0.4068328 0.2813211 0.3118461
220 2015-09-27 Russian Premier rubin ural sver. oblast 0.4331322 0.2777132 0.2891546
171 2015-09-27 Scottish Championship morton rangers 0.2776954 0.2752688 0.4470359
74 2015-09-27 Scottish FA Cup cumbernauld c glasgow univ NA NA NA
39 2015-09-27 Serbian Super Liga borac cacak vojvodina ns 0.4073708 0.2812612 0.3113680
206 2015-09-27 Serbian Super Liga rad metalac 0.5818520 0.2355669 0.1825811
207 2015-09-27 Serbian Super Liga radnicki nis jagodina 0.6199925 0.2199893 0.1600182
268 2015-09-27 Serbian Super Liga vozdovac partizan 0.2789625 0.2755605 0.4454770
179 2015-09-27 Slovenian League nd hit gorica krka 0.4924204 0.2649389 0.2426407
184 2015-09-27 Slovenian League nk krsko nk maribor 0.2490526 0.2671680 0.4837795
76 2015-09-27 Spanish La Liga deportivo espanyol 0.4455943 0.2755387 0.2788670
111 2015-09-27 Spanish La Liga getafe levante 0.3855716 0.2831948 0.3312335
232 2015-09-27 Spanish La Liga sociedad ath bilbao 0.3573704 0.2841067 0.3585229
238 2015-09-27 Spanish La Liga sp. gijon real betis 0.5554009 0.2453659 0.1992332
96 2015-09-27 Swiss Super League fc sion vaduz 0.6093839 0.2244851 0.1661310
152 2015-09-27 Swiss Super League lucerne fc zurich 0.5479577 0.2479643 0.2040780
254 2015-09-27 Swiss Super League thun young boys 0.2789501 0.2755577 0.4454923
13 2015-09-27 Turkish Super Lig antalyaspor sivasspor 0.4319265 0.2779082 0.2901653
33 2015-09-27 Turkish Super Lig besiktas fenerbahce 0.4209391 0.2795561 0.2995048
137 2015-09-27 Turkish Super Lig konyaspor mersin 0.5404745 0.2505033 0.2090221
62 2015-09-27 Ukrainian Premier ch. odessa poltava 0.2465546 0.2663184 0.4871270
132 2015-09-27 Ukrainian Premier karpaty lvov volyn 0.3608418 0.2840968 0.3550614
161 2015-09-27 Ukrainian Premier metalist dnipro 0.2950962 0.2788125 0.4260913
239 2015-09-27 Ukrainian Premier stal dniprodzerzhynsk metalurg z. 0.5162277 0.2582046 0.2255676
283 2015-09-27 Ukrainian Premier zorya oleksandria 0.6975120 0.1837101 0.1187779
142 2015-09-28 Bulgarian A-PFG levski sofia botev plovdiv 0.5887996 0.2328526 0.1783477
121 2015-09-28 Danish SAS Ligaen hobro ik esbjerg 0.3850169 0.2832305 0.3317526
274 2015-09-28 English Premier League west brom everton 0.4276251 0.2785811 0.2937937
260 2015-09-28 Greek League veroia aek athens 0.4071023 0.2812912 0.3116066
31 2015-09-28 Israeli Ligat H beitar j’salem h. kfar saba 0.5381497 0.2512769 0.2105734
122 2015-09-28 Israeli Ligat H h tel aviv bnei yehuda 0.4598553 0.2727050 0.2674397
17 2015-09-28 Italian Serie A atalanta sampdoria 0.4080810 0.2811812 0.3107377
105 2015-09-28 Italian Serie A frosinone c empoli 0.2865677 0.2771991 0.4362332
216 2015-09-28 Portuguese Liga rio ave acad coimbra 0.6416459 0.2104445 0.1479096
66 2015-09-28 Romanian Liga 1 concordia c din. bucharest 0.3776062 0.2836406 0.3387532
10 2015-09-28 Russian Premier amkar perm m saransk 0.4826192 0.2674582 0.2499226
219 2015-09-28 Russian Premier r. rostov kuban k 0.5360808 0.2519592 0.2119600
50 2015-09-28 Turkish Super Lig bursaspor eskisehirspor 0.5439688 0.2493270 0.2067042
133 2015-09-28 Turkish Super Lig kasimpasa rizespor 0.3694957 0.2839445 0.3465598
134 2015-09-28 Turkish Super Lig kayserispor istanbul buyuk. 0.3276994 0.2829322 0.3893685
43 2015-09-29 English Championship brentford birmingham 0.3952602 0.2824618 0.3222780
107 2015-09-29 English Championship fulham wolves 0.3755969 0.2837302 0.3406730
35 2015-09-29 English League One blackpool chesterfield 0.3347205 0.2834205 0.3818590
51 2015-09-29 English League One burton sheff utd 0.5184916 0.2575206 0.2239878
64 2015-09-29 English League One colchester bradford 0.4346838 0.2774582 0.2878580
70 2015-09-29 English League One crewe southend 0.3658043 0.2840315 0.3501643
81 2015-09-29 English League One doncaster swindon 0.4041356 0.2816122 0.3142523
112 2015-09-29 English League One gillingham fleetwood 0.5338210 0.2526977 0.2134812
198 2015-09-29 English League One peterborough bury 0.3839590 0.2832967 0.3327443
202 2015-09-29 English League One port vale oldham 0.4529243 0.2741272 0.2729484
217 2015-09-29 English League One rochdale shrewsbury 0.4816425 0.2677009 0.2506566
222 2015-09-29 English League One scunthorpe walsall 0.3209953 0.2823384 0.3966663
278 2015-09-29 English League One wigan millwall 0.4631158 0.2720070 0.2648772
2 2015-09-29 English League Two accrington yeovil 0.5217830 0.2565130 0.2217040
4 2015-09-29 English League Two afc w’bledon northampton 0.4137301 0.2805084 0.3057615
75 2015-09-29 English League Two dag & red notts co 0.4306225 0.2781159 0.2912616
118 2015-09-29 English League Two hartlepool bristol r 0.4464594 0.2753772 0.2781634
143 2015-09-29 English League Two leyton orient carlisle 0.5508955 0.2469473 0.2021571
169 2015-09-29 English League Two morecambe luton 0.5223788 0.2563289 0.2212922
181 2015-09-29 English League Two newport co crawley 0.3895147 0.2829214 0.3275639
200 2015-09-29 English League Two plymouth barnet 0.5314462 0.2534663 0.2150874
201 2015-09-29 English League Two portsmouth exeter 0.4603191 0.2726068 0.2670741
243 2015-09-29 English League Two stevenage mansfield 0.5135646 0.2589998 0.2274356
280 2015-09-29 English League Two wycombe cambridge u 0.6044445 0.2265364 0.1690191
282 2015-09-29 English League Two york oxford 0.3797586 0.2835344 0.3367071
144 2015-09-29 French Ligue 1 lille nantes 0.6122825 0.2232688 0.1644486