Tema 6: Redes Neuronales -

El siguiente conjunto de datos contiene informacion acerca de las viviendas de Boston y columnas en español, el objetivo es predecir si la construccion de la casa es nueva o no, en función de sus atributos. Incluyen el área total en pies cuadrados, el año de construcción de la casa, el precio promedio del terreno, el área habitable en pies cuadrados, entre otros.

Se pretende utilizar estos atributos para construir un modelo predictivo que pueda estimar de manera efectiva el precio final de una casa, aprovechando las relaciones y patrones presentes en los datos existentes.

library(neuralnet)
library(openxlsx)
library("stats")
library("psych")
## Warning: package 'psych' was built under R version 4.3.2
library("MASS")
library("ISLR")
library("fRegression")
library("vcd")
## Loading required package: grid
## 
## Attaching package: 'vcd'
## The following object is masked from 'package:ISLR':
## 
##     Hitters
library("dplyr")
## 
## Attaching package: 'dplyr'
## The following object is masked from 'package:MASS':
## 
##     select
## The following object is masked from 'package:neuralnet':
## 
##     compute
## The following objects are masked from 'package:stats':
## 
##     filter, lag
## The following objects are masked from 'package:base':
## 
##     intersect, setdiff, setequal, union
library("openxlsx")
library("mlbench")
## Warning: package 'mlbench' was built under R version 4.3.2
library("magrittr")
library("neuralnet")
library("keras")
## Warning: package 'keras' was built under R version 4.3.2
library("caret")
## Warning: package 'caret' was built under R version 4.3.2
## Loading required package: ggplot2
## Warning: package 'ggplot2' was built under R version 4.3.2
## 
## Attaching package: 'ggplot2'
## The following objects are masked from 'package:psych':
## 
##     %+%, alpha
## Loading required package: lattice
#file.choose()

data <- read.csv("C:\\Users\\danbr\\OneDrive\\Desktop\\Mineria de Datos\\Actividad Constante - El Diario\\boston_housing_esp.csv")

View(data)
colSums(is.na(data))
##             precio     metros_totales         antiguedad     precio_terreno 
##                  0                  0                  0                  0 
##  metros_habitables     universitarios        dormitorios           chimenea 
##                  0                  0                  0                  0 
##             banyos       habitaciones        calefaccion consumo_calefacion 
##                  0                  0                  0                  0 
##            desague        vistas_lago nueva_construccion aire_acondicionado 
##                  0                  0                  0                  0
str(data)
## 'data.frame':    1728 obs. of  16 variables:
##  $ precio            : int  132500 181115 109000 155000 86060 120000 153000 170000 90000 122900 ...
##  $ metros_totales    : num  0.09 0.92 0.19 0.41 0.11 0.68 0.4 1.21 0.83 1.94 ...
##  $ antiguedad        : int  42 0 133 13 0 31 33 23 36 4 ...
##  $ precio_terreno    : int  50000 22300 7300 18700 15000 14000 23300 14600 22200 21200 ...
##  $ metros_habitables : int  906 1953 1944 1944 840 1152 2752 1662 1632 1416 ...
##  $ universitarios    : int  35 51 51 51 51 22 51 35 51 44 ...
##  $ dormitorios       : int  2 3 4 3 2 4 4 4 3 3 ...
##  $ chimenea          : int  1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 ...
##  $ banyos            : num  1 2.5 1 1.5 1 1 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 ...
##  $ habitaciones      : int  5 6 8 5 3 8 8 9 8 6 ...
##  $ calefaccion       : chr  "electric" "hot water/steam" "hot water/steam" "hot air" ...
##  $ consumo_calefacion: chr  "electric" "gas" "gas" "gas" ...
##  $ desague           : chr  "septic" "septic" "public/commercial" "septic" ...
##  $ vistas_lago       : chr  "No" "No" "No" "No" ...
##  $ nueva_construccion: chr  "No" "No" "No" "No" ...
##  $ aire_acondicionado: chr  "No" "No" "No" "No" ...

I. Preparacion de Datos

Dada la composición de la base de datos, que abarcaba datos numéricos, decimales y de tipo cadena de texto (“chr”), era esencial adecuar los datos de manera apropiada para llevar a cabo el algoritmo de forma precisa. La primera etapa consistió en transformar los datos de tipo “chr” a variables numéricas, con el objetivo de retener la información de estas variables sin perder su contexto. En particular, se aplicó esta transformación a las variables “calefacción, consumo_calefacción, desagüe, vistas_lago y aire_acondicionado”. Este proceso posibilitará una comprensión completa de todas las variables al realizar predicciones. A continuación de la transformación de cada variable, se proporciona una explicación detallada de la interpretación asociada a cada valor asignado.

# Crear un dataframe y Convertir la variable categórica a factor (Asignar valores numéricos (0 y 1))
data2 <- data

data2$calefaccion <- factor(data2$calefaccion)
data2$calefaccion <- as.numeric(data2$calefaccion) - 1
#0 es electric, 1 es hot water/steam y 2 es gas

data2$consumo_calefacion <- factor(data2$consumo_calefacion)
data2$consumo_calefacion <- as.numeric(data2$consumo_calefacion) - 1
#0 es electric, 1 es gas y 2 es oil

data2$desague <- factor(data2$desague)
data2$desague <- as.numeric(data2$desague) - 1
#0 es none, 1 es public/commercial y 2 es septic

data2$vistas_lago <- factor(data2$vistas_lago)
data2$vistas_lago <- as.numeric(data2$vistas_lago) - 1
#0 es No y 1 es Si

data2$nueva_construccion <- factor(data2$nueva_construccion)
data2$nueva_construccion <- as.numeric(data2$nueva_construccion) - 1
#0 es No y 1 es Si

data2$aire_acondicionado <- factor(data2$aire_acondicionado)
data2$aire_acondicionado <- as.numeric(data2$aire_acondicionado) - 1
#0 es No y 1 es Si


# Mostrar el resultado
View(data2)

Se lleva a cabo una nueva verificación para asegurarse de que no haya valores faltantes (NA) y para confirmar que la transformación de las variables se haya realizado correctamente.

colSums(is.na(data2))
##             precio     metros_totales         antiguedad     precio_terreno 
##                  0                  0                  0                  0 
##  metros_habitables     universitarios        dormitorios           chimenea 
##                  0                  0                  0                  0 
##             banyos       habitaciones        calefaccion consumo_calefacion 
##                  0                  0                  0                  0 
##            desague        vistas_lago nueva_construccion aire_acondicionado 
##                  0                  0                  0                  0
str(data2)
## 'data.frame':    1728 obs. of  16 variables:
##  $ precio            : int  132500 181115 109000 155000 86060 120000 153000 170000 90000 122900 ...
##  $ metros_totales    : num  0.09 0.92 0.19 0.41 0.11 0.68 0.4 1.21 0.83 1.94 ...
##  $ antiguedad        : int  42 0 133 13 0 31 33 23 36 4 ...
##  $ precio_terreno    : int  50000 22300 7300 18700 15000 14000 23300 14600 22200 21200 ...
##  $ metros_habitables : int  906 1953 1944 1944 840 1152 2752 1662 1632 1416 ...
##  $ universitarios    : int  35 51 51 51 51 22 51 35 51 44 ...
##  $ dormitorios       : int  2 3 4 3 2 4 4 4 3 3 ...
##  $ chimenea          : int  1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 ...
##  $ banyos            : num  1 2.5 1 1.5 1 1 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 ...
##  $ habitaciones      : int  5 6 8 5 3 8 8 9 8 6 ...
##  $ calefaccion       : num  0 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 0 1 ...
##  $ consumo_calefacion: num  0 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 0 1 ...
##  $ desague           : num  2 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 0 ...
##  $ vistas_lago       : num  0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ...
##  $ nueva_construccion: num  0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 ...
##  $ aire_acondicionado: num  0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 ...

Posteriormente se normalizan los datos de 0 a1 para obtener una mejor convergencia del modelo (evitar atributos con diferentes escalas) y facilitar la comparacion entre atributos. Esto contribuye para que entrenamiento de datos sea más eficiente y con un mejor rendimiento. Se excluye la variable, nueva_construccion, dado que es la variable de interes para realizar las predicciones.

normalize_column <- function(column) {
  return((column - min(column)) / (max(column) - min(column)))
}

#Columnas normalizadas
columns_to_normalize <- c("precio", "metros_totales", "antiguedad", "precio_terreno", "metros_habitables","universitarios", "dormitorios", "chimenea", "banyos", "habitaciones", "calefaccion", "consumo_calefacion", "desague", "vistas_lago","aire_acondicionado")

for (column_name in columns_to_normalize) {
  data2[[column_name]] <- normalize_column(data2[[column_name]])
}

# Bucle para generar histogramas después de la normalización
for (column_name in columns_to_normalize) {
  hist(data2[[column_name]], main = paste("Histograma de ", column_name))
}

#Con estas líneas hacemos que el escoger datos de training sea aleatorio (Dividir datos)
set.seed(50)
inp <- sample(2, nrow(data2), replace = TRUE, prob = c(0.7, 0.3))
training_data <- data2[inp==1, ]
test_data <- data2[inp==2, ]

II. Red Neuronal

#Aquí creamos la red neuronal
set.seed(350)

n <- neuralnet(nueva_construccion~.,
               data = training_data,
               hidden = c(5,3),
               err.fct = "ce",
               linear.output = TRUE,
               lifesign = 'full',
               rep = 2,
               algorithm = "rprop+",
               stepmax = 800000)
## hidden: 5, 3    thresh: 0.01    rep: 1/2    steps:    1000   min thresh: 3.07892732718788
##                                                       2000   min thresh: 1.54222676821163
##                                                       3000   min thresh: 1.02876670053533
##                                                       4000   min thresh: 0.771806057355355
##                                                       5000   min thresh: 0.617555795376303
##                                                       6000   min thresh: 0.514691486902009
##                                                       7000   min thresh: 0.441201888974324
##                                                       8000   min thresh: 0.386076434891923
##                                                       9000   min thresh: 0.343196188491823
##                                                      10000   min thresh: 0.308888908155995
##                                                      11000   min thresh: 0.280817276409596
##                                                      12000   min thresh: 0.257422848174847
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##                                                      1e+05   min thresh: 0.0308988887150536
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##                                                      2e+05   min thresh: 0.0154497221736949
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##                                                     227000   min thresh: 0.013612119135337
##                                                     228000   min thresh: 0.0135524178001698
##                                                     229000   min thresh: 0.0134932378658547
##                                                     230000   min thresh: 0.013434572531618
##                                                     231000   min thresh: 0.0133764151144442
##                                                     232000   min thresh: 0.0133187590465427
##                                                     233000   min thresh: 0.0132615978728736
##                                                     234000   min thresh: 0.0132049252487347
##                                                     235000   min thresh: 0.0131487349374199
##                                                     236000   min thresh: 0.0130930208079274
##                                                     237000   min thresh: 0.0130377768327306
##                                                     238000   min thresh: 0.0129829970856047
##                                                     239000   min thresh: 0.0129286757395061
##                                                     240000   min thresh: 0.0128748070645075
##                                                     241000   min thresh: 0.0128213854257841
##                                                     242000   min thresh: 0.0127684052816462
##                                                     243000   min thresh: 0.0127158611816237
##                                                     244000   min thresh: 0.0126637477645967
##                                                     245000   min thresh: 0.0126120597569748
##                                                     246000   min thresh: 0.0125607919709129
##                                                     247000   min thresh: 0.0125099393025804
##                                                     248000   min thresh: 0.0124594967304653
##                                                     249000   min thresh: 0.0124094593137194
##                                                     250000   min thresh: 0.0123598221905491
##                                                     251000   min thresh: 0.0123105805766368
##                                                     252000   min thresh: 0.0122617297636073
##                                                     253000   min thresh: 0.0122132651175223
##                                                     254000   min thresh: 0.0121651820774213
##                                                     255000   min thresh: 0.0121174761538846
##                                                     256000   min thresh: 0.0120701429276389
##                                                     257000   min thresh: 0.0120231780481942
##                                                     258000   min thresh: 0.0119765772325074
##                                                     259000   min thresh: 0.0119303362636819
##                                                     260000   min thresh: 0.0118844509896965
##                                                     261000   min thresh: 0.0118389173221609
##                                                     262000   min thresh: 0.0117937312351027
##                                                     263000   min thresh: 0.011748888763779
##                                                     264000   min thresh: 0.0117043860035193
##                                                     265000   min thresh: 0.0116602191085907
##                                                     266000   min thresh: 0.0116163842910878
##                                                     267000   min thresh: 0.0115728778198554
##                                                     268000   min thresh: 0.0115296960194247
##                                                     269000   min thresh: 0.0114868352689795
##                                                     270000   min thresh: 0.0114442920013463
##                                                     271000   min thresh: 0.0114020627020005
##                                                     272000   min thresh: 0.0113601439081034
##                                                     273000   min thresh: 0.0113185322075513
##                                                     274000   min thresh: 0.0112772242380534
##                                                     275000   min thresh: 0.0112362166862231
##                                                     276000   min thresh: 0.0111955062866933
##                                                     277000   min thresh: 0.0111550898212493
##                                                     278000   min thresh: 0.0111149641179826
##                                                     279000   min thresh: 0.0110751260504578
##                                                     280000   min thresh: 0.0110355725369031
##                                                     281000   min thresh: 0.0109963005394149
##                                                     282000   min thresh: 0.0109573070631792
##                                                     283000   min thresh: 0.0109185891557114
##                                                     284000   min thresh: 0.0108801439061118
##                                                     285000   min thresh: 0.0108419684443321
##                                                     286000   min thresh: 0.0108040599404667
##                                                     287000   min thresh: 0.0107664156040494
##                                                     288000   min thresh: 0.0107290326833706
##                                                     289000   min thresh: 0.0106919084648064
##                                                     290000   min thresh: 0.0106550402721595
##                                                     291000   min thresh: 0.0106184254660217
##                                                     292000   min thresh: 0.0105820614431384
##                                                     293000   min thresh: 0.0105459456357944
##                                                     294000   min thresh: 0.0105100755112096
##                                                     295000   min thresh: 0.0104744485709448
##                                                     296000   min thresh: 0.0104390623503246
##                                                     297000   min thresh: 0.0104039144178668
##                                                     298000   min thresh: 0.0103690023747266
##                                                     299000   min thresh: 0.0103343238541492
##                                                      3e+05   min thresh: 0.0102998765209377
##                                                     301000   min thresh: 0.0102656580709261
##                                                     302000   min thresh: 0.0102316662304679
##                                                     303000   min thresh: 0.0101978987559301
##                                                     304000   min thresh: 0.0101643534332021
##                                                     305000   min thresh: 0.0101310280772092
##                                                     306000   min thresh: 0.0100979205314409
##                                                     307000   min thresh: 0.0100650286674829
##                                                     308000   min thresh: 0.0100323503845635
## 
## Warning in log(x): Se han producido NaNs
## Warning: 'err.fct' does not fit 'data' or 'act.fct'
##  308997  error: NaN          time: 7.16 mins
## hidden: 5, 3    thresh: 0.01    rep: 2/2    steps:    1000   min thresh: 3.0751631201077
##                                                       2000   min thresh: 1.54128175885913
##                                                       3000   min thresh: 1.02834610755192
##                                                       4000   min thresh: 0.771569307927883
##                                                       5000   min thresh: 0.617404211992262
##                                                       6000   min thresh: 0.514586191133116
##                                                       7000   min thresh: 0.441124513315128
##                                                       8000   min thresh: 0.386017185248659
##                                                       9000   min thresh: 0.343149368485764
##                                                      10000   min thresh: 0.308850980403936
##                                                      11000   min thresh: 0.28078592876112
##                                                      12000   min thresh: 0.257396505762528
##                                                      13000   min thresh: 0.237604120497878
##                                                      14000   min thresh: 0.220638244719286
##                                                      15000   min thresh: 0.205933758306769
##                                                      16000   min thresh: 0.193066778579283
##                                                      17000   min thresh: 0.181713131658048
##                                                      18000   min thresh: 0.171620662999153
##                                                      19000   min thresh: 0.162590289748663
##                                                      20000   min thresh: 0.154462736020119
##                                                      21000   min thresh: 0.147109057222302
##                                                      22000   min thresh: 0.140423748094522
##                                                      23000   min thresh: 0.134319648268687
##                                                      24000   min thresh: 0.128724121184882
##                                                      25000   min thresh: 0.123576149890194
##                                                      26000   min thresh: 0.118824102913569
##                                                      27000   min thresh: 0.114423996524076
##                                                      28000   min thresh: 0.110338129298373
##                                                      29000   min thresh: 0.106533999144377
##                                                      30000   min thresh: 0.102983436885434
##                                                      31000   min thresh: 0.0996619075117007
##                                                      32000   min thresh: 0.0965479424272275
##                                                      33000   min thresh: 0.0936226749096942
##                                                      34000   min thresh: 0.090869457536231
##                                                      35000   min thresh: 0.0882735451843377
##                                                      36000   min thresh: 0.0858218308588976
##                                                      37000   min thresh: 0.0835026243524986
##                                                      38000   min thresh: 0.0813054658496406
##                                                      39000   min thresh: 0.0792209682037058
##                                                      40000   min thresh: 0.0772406828695302
##                                                      41000   min thresh: 0.0753569854532611
##                                                      42000   min thresh: 0.0735629776103819
##                                                      43000   min thresh: 0.0718524026308585
##                                                      44000   min thresh: 0.0702195725341041
##                                                      45000   min thresh: 0.0686593048836079
##                                                      46000   min thresh: 0.0671668678422398
##                                                      47000   min thresh: 0.0657379322410827
##                                                      48000   min thresh: 0.0643685296390289
##                                                      49000   min thresh: 0.063055015517454
##                                                      50000   min thresh: 0.0617940368910899
##                                                      51000   min thresh: 0.0605825037290302
##                                                      52000   min thresh: 0.0594175636729993
##                                                      53000   min thresh: 0.0582965796174447
##                                                      54000   min thresh: 0.0572171097805198
##                                                      55000   min thresh: 0.0561768899489307
##                                                      56000   min thresh: 0.0551738176249678
##                                                      57000   min thresh: 0.0542059378421394
##                                                      58000   min thresh: 0.0532714304480127
##                                                      59000   min thresh: 0.0523685986802264
##                                                      60000   min thresh: 0.0514958588848119
##                                                      61000   min thresh: 0.0506517312457532
##                                                      62000   min thresh: 0.0498348314116069
##                                                      63000   min thresh: 0.0490438629195253
##                                                      64000   min thresh: 0.0482776103294812
##                                                      65000   min thresh: 0.047534932992208
##                                                      66000   min thresh: 0.0468147593836351
##                                                      67000   min thresh: 0.0461160819466856
##                                                      68000   min thresh: 0.0454379523881264
##                                                      69000   min thresh: 0.0447794773844142
##                                                      70000   min thresh: 0.0441398146555391
##                                                      71000   min thresh: 0.0435181693706607
##                                                      72000   min thresh: 0.0429137908532537
##                                                      73000   min thresh: 0.0423259695570319
##                                                      74000   min thresh: 0.0417540342870629
##                                                      75000   min thresh: 0.0411973496431735
##                                                      76000   min thresh: 0.0406553136651804
##                                                      77000   min thresh: 0.0401273556616037
##                                                      78000   min thresh: 0.0396129342053813
##                                                      79000   min thresh: 0.0391115352818034
##                                                      80000   min thresh: 0.0386226705753459
##                                                      81000   min thresh: 0.0381458758833994
##                                                      82000   min thresh: 0.0376807096460488
##                                                      83000   min thresh: 0.0372267515821363
##                                                      84000   min thresh: 0.0367836014227472
##                                                      85000   min thresh: 0.0363508777340784
##                                                      86000   min thresh: 0.0359282168224391
##                                                      87000   min thresh: 0.0355152717147612
##                                                      88000   min thresh: 0.035111711208617
##                                                      89000   min thresh: 0.0347172189862689
##                                                      90000   min thresh: 0.0343314927877955
##                                                      91000   min thresh: 0.0339542436387212
##                                                      92000   min thresh: 0.0335851951280204
##                                                      93000   min thresh: 0.0332240827326934
##                                                      94000   min thresh: 0.0328706531854613
##                                                      95000   min thresh: 0.0325246638823906
##                                                      96000   min thresh: 0.0321858823275391
##                                                      97000   min thresh: 0.0318540856119439
##                                                      98000   min thresh: 0.0315290599245222
##                                                      99000   min thresh: 0.0312106000926051
##                                                      1e+05   min thresh: 0.030898509150027
##                                                     101000   min thresh: 0.0305925979308941
##                                                     102000   min thresh: 0.0302926846872348
##                                                     103000   min thresh: 0.0299985947289152
##                                                     104000   min thresh: 0.0297101600843425
##                                                     105000   min thresh: 0.0294272191805525
##                                                     106000   min thresh: 0.0291496165413886
##                                                     107000   min thresh: 0.028877202502632
##                                                     108000   min thresh: 0.0286098329429297
##                                                     109000   min thresh: 0.0283473690295541
##                                                     110000   min thresh: 0.0280896769780226
##                                                     111000   min thresh: 0.0278366278246967
##                                                     112000   min thresh: 0.0275880972115936
##                                                     113000   min thresh: 0.02734396518259
##                                                     114000   min thresh: 0.0271041159903688
##                                                     115000   min thresh: 0.0268684379134427
##                                                     116000   min thresh: 0.026636823082626
##                                                     117000   min thresh: 0.0264091673164174
##                                                     118000   min thresh: 0.0261853699647488
##                                                     119000   min thresh: 0.0259653337606092
##                                                     120000   min thresh: 0.0257489646790882
##                                                     121000   min thresh: 0.0255361718034188
##                                                     122000   min thresh: 0.0253268671975906
##                                                     123000   min thresh: 0.0251209657851847
##                                                     124000   min thresh: 0.0249183852340852
##                                                     125000   min thresh: 0.0247190458466941
##                                                     126000   min thresh: 0.0245228704554026
##                                                     127000   min thresh: 0.0243297843229848
##                                                     128000   min thresh: 0.0241397150476645
##                                                     129000   min thresh: 0.0239525924725982
##                                                     130000   min thresh: 0.0237683485995364
##                                                     131000   min thresh: 0.023586917506433
##                                                     132000   min thresh: 0.0234082352688064
##                                                     133000   min thresh: 0.0232322398846471
##                                                     134000   min thresh: 0.0230588712026856
##                                                     135000   min thresh: 0.0228880708538489
##                                                     136000   min thresh: 0.0227197821857388
##                                                     137000   min thresh: 0.0225539501999847
##                                                     138000   min thresh: 0.022390521492316
##                                                     139000   min thresh: 0.022229444195221
##                                                     140000   min thresh: 0.0220706679230666
##                                                     141000   min thresh: 0.0219141437195525
##                                                     142000   min thresh: 0.0217598240073786
##                                                     143000   min thresh: 0.0216076625400358
##                                                     144000   min thresh: 0.0214576143555961
##                                                     145000   min thresh: 0.0213096357324206
##                                                     146000   min thresh: 0.0211636841466832
##                                                     147000   min thresh: 0.0210197182316307
##                                                     148000   min thresh: 0.020877697738493
##                                                     149000   min thresh: 0.0207375834989706
##                                                     150000   min thresh: 0.0205993373892172
##                                                     151000   min thresh: 0.0204629222952573
##                                                     152000   min thresh: 0.0203283020797688
##                                                     153000   min thresh: 0.0201954415501669
##                                                     154000   min thresh: 0.0200643064279285
##                                                     155000   min thresh: 0.019934863319113
##                                                     156000   min thresh: 0.0198070796860072
##                                                     157000   min thresh: 0.0196809238198588
##                                                     158000   min thresh: 0.0195563648146436
##                                                     159000   min thresh: 0.0194333725418238
##                                                     160000   min thresh: 0.0193119176260541
##                                                     161000   min thresh: 0.0191919714217871
##                                                     162000   min thresh: 0.0190735059907539
##                                                     163000   min thresh: 0.0189564940802655
##                                                     164000   min thresh: 0.0188409091023154
##                                                     165000   min thresh: 0.0187267251134337
##                                                     166000   min thresh: 0.0186139167952756
##                                                     167000   min thresh: 0.0185024594359075
##                                                     168000   min thresh: 0.018392328911759
##                                                     169000   min thresh: 0.0182835016702137
##                                                     170000   min thresh: 0.0181759547128197
##                                                     171000   min thresh: 0.0180696655790852
##                                                     172000   min thresh: 0.0179646123308406
##                                                     173000   min thresh: 0.0178607735371451
##                                                     174000   min thresh: 0.0177581282597053
##                                                     175000   min thresh: 0.0176566560388081
##                                                     176000   min thresh: 0.017556336879719
##                                                     177000   min thresh: 0.0174571512395507
##                                                     178000   min thresh: 0.0173590800145694
##                                                     179000   min thresh: 0.0172621045279298
##                                                     180000   min thresh: 0.0171662065178142
##                                                     181000   min thresh: 0.0170713681259724
##                                                     182000   min thresh: 0.016977571886633
##                                                     183000   min thresh: 0.0168848007157779
##                                                     184000   min thresh: 0.016793037900773
##                                                     185000   min thresh: 0.0167022670903282
##                                                     186000   min thresh: 0.0166124722847849
##                                                     187000   min thresh: 0.0165236378267141
##                                                     188000   min thresh: 0.0164357483918162
##                                                     189000   min thresh: 0.0163487889801056
##                                                     190000   min thresh: 0.0162627449073785
##                                                     191000   min thresh: 0.0161776017969467
##                                                     192000   min thresh: 0.016093345571627
##                                                     193000   min thresh: 0.0160099624459871
##                                                     194000   min thresh: 0.0159274389188191
##                                                     195000   min thresh: 0.0158457617658593
##                                                     196000   min thresh: 0.0157649180327187
##                                                     197000   min thresh: 0.0156848950280372
##                                                     198000   min thresh: 0.0156056803168366
##                                                     199000   min thresh: 0.0155272617140845
##                                                      2e+05   min thresh: 0.0154496272784418
##                                                     201000   min thresh: 0.0153727653062034
##                                                     202000   min thresh: 0.0152966643254133
##                                                     203000   min thresh: 0.0152213130901611
##                                                     204000   min thresh: 0.0151467005750374
##                                                     205000   min thresh: 0.0150728159697576
##                                                     206000   min thresh: 0.014999648673941
##                                                     207000   min thresh: 0.0149271882920424
##                                                     208000   min thresh: 0.0148554246284227
##                                                     209000   min thresh: 0.0147843476825725
##                                                     210000   min thresh: 0.0147139476444635
##                                                     211000   min thresh: 0.0146442148900352
##                                                     212000   min thresh: 0.0145751399768082
##                                                     213000   min thresh: 0.0145067136396236
##                                                     214000   min thresh: 0.0144389267865001
##                                                     215000   min thresh: 0.0143717704946028
##                                                     216000   min thresh: 0.0143052360063329
##                                                     217000   min thresh: 0.0142393147255196
##                                                     218000   min thresh: 0.0141739982137126
##                                                     219000   min thresh: 0.0141092781865892
##                                                     220000   min thresh: 0.0140451465104455
##                                                     221000   min thresh: 0.0139815951987901
##                                                     222000   min thresh: 0.0139186164090308
##                                                     223000   min thresh: 0.0138562024392452
##                                                     224000   min thresh: 0.0137943457250441
##                                                     225000   min thresh: 0.0137330388365123
##                                                     226000   min thresh: 0.0136722744752337
##                                                     227000   min thresh: 0.0136120454713982
##                                                     228000   min thresh: 0.0135523447809774
##                                                     229000   min thresh: 0.0134931654829802
##                                                     230000   min thresh: 0.0134345007767793
##                                                     231000   min thresh: 0.0133763439795041
##                                                     232000   min thresh: 0.0133186885235024
##                                                     233000   min thresh: 0.0132615279538704
##                                                     234000   min thresh: 0.0132048559260427
##                                                     235000   min thresh: 0.0131486662034428
##                                                     236000   min thresh: 0.0130929526551969
##                                                     237000   min thresh: 0.0130377092539055
##                                                     238000   min thresh: 0.0129829300734652
##                                                     239000   min thresh: 0.0129286092869543
##                                                     240000   min thresh: 0.0128747411645647
##                                                     241000   min thresh: 0.0128213200715848
##                                                     242000   min thresh: 0.0127683404664387
##                                                     243000   min thresh: 0.0127157968987673
##                                                     244000   min thresh: 0.0126636840075603
##                                                     245000   min thresh: 0.012611996519333
##                                                     246000   min thresh: 0.012560729246345
##                                                     247000   min thresh: 0.0125098770848667
##                                                     248000   min thresh: 0.0124594350134871
##                                                     249000   min thresh: 0.0124093980914563
##                                                     250000   min thresh: 0.0123597614570756
##                                                     251000   min thresh: 0.0123105203261237
##                                                     252000   min thresh: 0.0122616699903157
##                                                     253000   min thresh: 0.012213205815806
##                                                     254000   min thresh: 0.0121651232417206
##                                                     255000   min thresh: 0.0121174177787275
##                                                     256000   min thresh: 0.0120700850076398
##                                                     257000   min thresh: 0.0120231205780499
##                                                     258000   min thresh: 0.0119765202069977
##                                                     259000   min thresh: 0.0119302796776666
##                                                     260000   min thresh: 0.011884394838114
##                                                     261000   min thresh: 0.0118388616000278
##                                                     262000   min thresh: 0.0117936759375106
##                                                     263000   min thresh: 0.0117488338858944
##                                                     264000   min thresh: 0.0117043315405826
##                                                     265000   min thresh: 0.0116601650559123
##                                                     266000   min thresh: 0.0116163306440508
##                                                     267000   min thresh: 0.0115728245739102
##                                                     268000   min thresh: 0.0115296431700898
##                                                     269000   min thresh: 0.0114867828118401
##                                                     270000   min thresh: 0.0114442399320524
##                                                     271000   min thresh: 0.0114020110162667
##                                                     272000   min thresh: 0.011360092601707
##                                                     273000   min thresh: 0.0113184812763323
##                                                     274000   min thresh: 0.0112771736779109
##                                                     275000   min thresh: 0.0112361664931162
##                                                     276000   min thresh: 0.0111954564566399
##                                                     277000   min thresh: 0.0111550403503252
##                                                     278000   min thresh: 0.0111149150023189
##                                                     279000   min thresh: 0.0110750772862416
##                                                     280000   min thresh: 0.0110355241203758
##                                                     281000   min thresh: 0.0109962524668706
##                                                     282000   min thresh: 0.0109572593309653
##                                                     283000   min thresh: 0.0109185417602267
##                                                     284000   min thresh: 0.0108800968438051
##                                                     285000   min thresh: 0.0108419217117032
##                                                     286000   min thresh: 0.0108040135340636
##                                                     287000   min thresh: 0.0107663695204681
##                                                     288000   min thresh: 0.0107289869192541
##                                                     289000   min thresh: 0.0106918630168431
##                                                     290000   min thresh: 0.010654995137086
##                                                     291000   min thresh: 0.0106183806406171
##                                                     292000   min thresh: 0.0105820169242273
##                                                     293000   min thresh: 0.0105459014202435
##                                                     294000   min thresh: 0.0105100315959287
##                                                     295000   min thresh: 0.0104744049528863
##                                                     296000   min thresh: 0.0104390190264805
##                                                     297000   min thresh: 0.0104038713852705
##                                                     298000   min thresh: 0.0103689596304509
##                                                     299000   min thresh: 0.0103342813953063
##                                                      3e+05   min thresh: 0.0102998343446778
##                                                     301000   min thresh: 0.0102656161744383
##                                                     302000   min thresh: 0.0102316246109765
##                                                     303000   min thresh: 0.010197857410698
##                                                     304000   min thresh: 0.0101643123595267
##                                                     305000   min thresh: 0.0101309872724243
##                                                     306000   min thresh: 0.0100978799929147
##                                                     307000   min thresh: 0.0100649883926174
##                                                     308000   min thresh: 0.0100323103707948
## 
## Warning in log(x): Se han producido NaNs

## Warning in log(x): 'err.fct' does not fit 'data' or 'act.fct'
##  308996  error: NaN          time: 4.25 mins
plot(n, rep = 1)

n$result.matrix
##                                          [,1]          [,2]
## error                                     NaN           NaN
## reached.threshold                9.999981e-03  9.999973e-03
## steps                            3.089970e+05  3.089960e+05
## Intercept.to.1layhid1            4.982530e+00  6.259942e+00
## precio.to.1layhid1               7.184836e+00  5.572345e+00
## metros_totales.to.1layhid1       6.878726e+00  5.257815e+00
## antiguedad.to.1layhid1           5.499488e+00  5.110272e+00
## precio_terreno.to.1layhid1       8.384913e+00  4.195687e+00
## metros_habitables.to.1layhid1    6.828599e+00  5.039723e+00
## universitarios.to.1layhid1       5.869398e+00  5.199630e+00
## dormitorios.to.1layhid1          5.676326e+00  5.723168e+00
## chimenea.to.1layhid1             5.982562e+00  3.891654e+00
## banyos.to.1layhid1               6.126169e+00  5.746695e+00
## habitaciones.to.1layhid1         7.389135e+00  7.918020e+00
## calefaccion.to.1layhid1          7.847513e+00  4.763018e+00
## consumo_calefacion.to.1layhid1   7.041115e+00  6.783992e+00
## desague.to.1layhid1              6.857109e+00  5.488970e+00
## vistas_lago.to.1layhid1          5.305859e+00  6.012722e+00
## aire_acondicionado.to.1layhid1   7.149835e+00  5.207177e+00
## Intercept.to.1layhid2            5.378830e+00  6.966801e+00
## precio.to.1layhid2               5.496763e+00  5.071029e+00
## metros_totales.to.1layhid2       5.705149e+00  4.798233e+00
## antiguedad.to.1layhid2           6.647084e+00  6.152356e+00
## precio_terreno.to.1layhid2       6.275654e+00  4.474981e+00
## metros_habitables.to.1layhid2    5.714653e+00  6.097751e+00
## universitarios.to.1layhid2       5.532215e+00  5.562506e+00
## dormitorios.to.1layhid2          6.709478e+00  5.610098e+00
## chimenea.to.1layhid2             7.167540e+00  6.558664e+00
## banyos.to.1layhid2               5.507995e+00  5.035799e+00
## habitaciones.to.1layhid2         4.199854e+00  6.379840e+00
## calefaccion.to.1layhid2          7.817897e+00  4.364430e+00
## consumo_calefacion.to.1layhid2   6.428456e+00  4.675623e+00
## desague.to.1layhid2              4.899607e+00  5.256006e+00
## vistas_lago.to.1layhid2          6.302570e+00  5.356985e+00
## aire_acondicionado.to.1layhid2   5.665519e+00  5.762387e+00
## Intercept.to.1layhid3            6.446017e+00  6.313229e+00
## precio.to.1layhid3               4.136929e+00  5.895468e+00
## metros_totales.to.1layhid3       8.080031e+00  5.837974e+00
## antiguedad.to.1layhid3           5.892638e+00  5.186045e+00
## precio_terreno.to.1layhid3       5.187794e+00  6.690054e+00
## metros_habitables.to.1layhid3    5.504404e+00  5.904151e+00
## universitarios.to.1layhid3       4.852793e+00  5.579601e+00
## dormitorios.to.1layhid3          6.127468e+00  4.789876e+00
## chimenea.to.1layhid3             4.831821e+00  8.177392e+00
## banyos.to.1layhid3               4.026638e+00  5.423634e+00
## habitaciones.to.1layhid3         5.249890e+00  5.271285e+00
## calefaccion.to.1layhid3          6.147508e+00  4.714763e+00
## consumo_calefacion.to.1layhid3   5.165758e+00  6.445685e+00
## desague.to.1layhid3              4.730172e+00  6.057487e+00
## vistas_lago.to.1layhid3          5.509019e+00  7.489152e+00
## aire_acondicionado.to.1layhid3   5.930658e+00  5.060515e+00
## Intercept.to.1layhid4            6.774284e+00  4.551450e+00
## precio.to.1layhid4               8.317263e+00  5.284768e+00
## metros_totales.to.1layhid4       5.906831e+00  4.873763e+00
## antiguedad.to.1layhid4           6.144150e+00  5.497510e+00
## precio_terreno.to.1layhid4       6.376803e+00  4.533164e+00
## metros_habitables.to.1layhid4    6.714303e+00  6.796722e+00
## universitarios.to.1layhid4       4.923151e+00  3.676481e+00
## dormitorios.to.1layhid4          6.273490e+00  6.736311e+00
## chimenea.to.1layhid4             7.388723e+00  4.942937e+00
## banyos.to.1layhid4               5.953604e+00  6.503255e+00
## habitaciones.to.1layhid4         6.221845e+00  5.099541e+00
## calefaccion.to.1layhid4          7.732734e+00  4.547166e+00
## consumo_calefacion.to.1layhid4   5.850645e+00  3.721191e+00
## desague.to.1layhid4              6.359465e+00  5.090402e+00
## vistas_lago.to.1layhid4          4.257111e+00  5.113630e+00
## aire_acondicionado.to.1layhid4   6.135466e+00  6.398439e+00
## Intercept.to.1layhid5            7.837943e+00  5.113238e+00
## precio.to.1layhid5               5.952384e+00  7.267616e+00
## metros_totales.to.1layhid5       5.228906e+00  6.700666e+00
## antiguedad.to.1layhid5           7.990432e+00  7.815100e+00
## precio_terreno.to.1layhid5       7.542649e+00  5.543106e+00
## metros_habitables.to.1layhid5    6.709740e+00  6.515411e+00
## universitarios.to.1layhid5       5.623469e+00  7.267316e+00
## dormitorios.to.1layhid5          6.560307e+00  6.425294e+00
## chimenea.to.1layhid5             7.627453e+00  6.653221e+00
## banyos.to.1layhid5               7.234614e+00  7.955772e+00
## habitaciones.to.1layhid5         8.432252e+00  9.032896e+00
## calefaccion.to.1layhid5          8.241337e+00  7.184379e+00
## consumo_calefacion.to.1layhid5   9.328957e+00  4.864751e+00
## desague.to.1layhid5              6.510811e+00  5.116410e+00
## vistas_lago.to.1layhid5          5.773520e+00  6.348530e+00
## aire_acondicionado.to.1layhid5   7.346007e+00  6.684646e+00
## Intercept.to.2layhid1            5.840154e+00  6.867420e+00
## 1layhid1.to.2layhid1             6.482893e+00  5.772330e+00
## 1layhid2.to.2layhid1             5.884376e+00  4.839478e+00
## 1layhid3.to.2layhid1             6.113227e+00  7.193617e+00
## 1layhid4.to.2layhid1             6.263704e+00  5.374291e+00
## 1layhid5.to.2layhid1             6.225516e+00  6.846064e+00
## Intercept.to.2layhid2            6.000409e+00  6.474449e+00
## 1layhid1.to.2layhid2             6.135781e+00  5.991440e+00
## 1layhid2.to.2layhid2             7.881790e+00  6.106204e+00
## 1layhid3.to.2layhid2             5.298286e+00  6.398302e+00
## 1layhid4.to.2layhid2             5.980997e+00  6.246699e+00
## 1layhid5.to.2layhid2             5.894241e+00  5.727886e+00
## Intercept.to.2layhid3            5.399327e+00  6.393992e+00
## 1layhid1.to.2layhid3             5.414006e+00  6.515561e+00
## 1layhid2.to.2layhid3             7.374425e+00  7.881780e+00
## 1layhid3.to.2layhid3             6.102341e+00  5.200315e+00
## 1layhid4.to.2layhid3             6.131467e+00  4.762649e+00
## 1layhid5.to.2layhid3             6.884506e+00  6.244730e+00
## Intercept.to.nueva_construccion -3.089939e+04 -3.089911e+04
## 2layhid1.to.nueva_construccion  -3.089783e+04 -3.090038e+04
## 2layhid2.to.nueva_construccion  -3.090071e+04 -3.090029e+04
## 2layhid3.to.nueva_construccion  -3.090135e+04 -3.089960e+04

III. Predicciones

output <- neuralnet::compute(n, rep = 1, training_data[, -1])
head(output$net.result)
##        [,1]
## 2 -123599.3
## 3 -123599.3
## 5 -123599.3
## 6 -123599.3
## 7 -123599.3
## 8 -123599.3
View(training_data[1, ])

IV. Conclusiones

#Se crea la matrix de confusión con la cual podremos saber que tan buena es nuestra red neuronal
output <- neuralnet::compute(n, rep = 1, training_data[, -1])
p1 <- output$net.result
pred1 <- ifelse(p1 > 0.5, 1, 0)
length(pred1[1])
## [1] 1
length(training_data[1])
## [1] 1
tab1 <- table(pred1, training_data$nueva_construccion)
tab1
##      
## pred1    0    1
##     0 1185   51
#Con esta operación obtenemos el porcentaje de error total (usando datos de la matrix de confusión)
1 - sum(diag(tab1)) / sum(tab1)
## [1] 0.04126214

Un modelo eficaz con solo un 4.126% de error en la predicción ha sido desarrollado para determinar si una propiedad es o no una construcción reciente. De los datos totales, se lograron 1185 verdaderos negativos (TN), indicando correctamente que no es una nueva construcción, y solo 51 falsos negativos (FN), donde se clasificó incorrectamente como no una nueva construcción. Este bajo porcentaje de error sugiere una buena capacidad del modelo para distinguir entre las dos clases.