Recession and Layoffs in 2022

Azhar Kudaibergenova

2023-01-07

AGENDA

INTRODUCTION

Why is it important to know about recession nowadays?

Currently, the job market is very intense and competitive, especially for those who are just starting their careers without any experience. As we saw huge layoffs in 2022, graduate students in 2023 should understand the reasons for such kind of events and prepare for next year accordingly. That is why, understanding the term recession can be helpful in this aspect.

What is recession?

A recession is a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real gross domestic product, employment, industry production, and other indicators. A recession begins when the economy reaches a peak of activity and ends when the economy reaches its trough. Between trough and peak, the economy is in an expansion.

Indicator 1. Real GDP

Real GDP or Read Gross Domestic Product is a measure of all the goods and services produced in a nation adjusted for inflation or deflation, expressed in dollars.

Indicator 1. Real GDP

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Indicator 2. Unemployment

The term unemployment refers to a situation where a person actively searches for employment but is unable to find work. Unemployment is considered to be a key measure of the health of the economy.

The most frequently used measure of unemployment is the unemployment rate. It’s calculated by dividing the number of unemployed people by the number of people in the labor force.

Indicator 2. Unemployment

Indicator 3. Industry Production

Industrial production refers to the output of industrial establishments and covers sectors such as mining, manufacturing, electricity, gas and steam and air-conditioning. This indicator is measured in an index based on a reference period that expresses change in the volume of production output.

Indicator 3. Industry Production

Layoffs in 2022

Layoffs in 2022

Layoffs in 2022

Layoffs in 2022

What to expect in 2023?

The layoffs are basically an instance of social contagion, in which companies imitate what others are doing. If you look for reasons for why companies do layoffs, the reason is that everybody else is doing it. Layoffs are the result of imitative behavior and are not particularly evidence-based.

Layoffs increase mortality by 15-20% over the following 20 years.Not surprisingly, layoffs increase people’s stress. Stress, like many attitudes and emotions, is contagious. Depression is contagious, and layoffs increase stress and depression, which are bad for health.

Conclusion

That is why for people who will be looking for a job in 2023 after graduation or after being laid off it is better to expect some more domino effect and try to take care of their physical and mental health, and patiently anticipate till the market stabilizes.

THANK YOU FOR ATTENTION!

References

https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/swaptr/layoffs-2022 https://data.oecd.org/industry/industrial-production.htm https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/LUR@WEO/OEMDC/ADVEC/WEOWORLD\ https://thebalancemoney.com/what-is-a-recession-3306019 https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/NGDP_RPCH@WEO/OEMDC/ADVEC/WEOWORLD https://simplemaps.com/data/world-cities