Introduction

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This is a collection of forecasts for this weekend’s matches. We use a statistical model estimated on a large dataset of historic football matches, and we compare these forecasts to bookmaker prices. This will be the second week of multi-national forecasts, but an absence of available hours in the day means I haven’t been able to properly evaluate forecasts from last week, nor develop further the forecast model to address the seemingly strong home bias in my forecasts.

English Premier League

French Ligue 1

German Bundesliga

Italian Serie A

Spain

Scottish Premier League

Home/Away Bankers

In last week’s file we set up two rules for determining home/away bankers. If a home win probability was 30% more than the away win probability, or if the away win probability was 20% more than the home probability, that should be backed. We now list the matches that satisfy these two criteria this week:

kable(forecast.matches[c(forecast.matches$Ph-forecast.matches$Pa)>0.3 | c(forecast.matches$Pa-forecast.matches$Ph)>0.2,c("team1","team2","division","date","Ph","Pa")])
team1 team2 division date Ph Pa
9 alloa falkirk Scottish Championship 2015-09-19 0.2477796 0.4854860
14 astana kairat almaty Kazakhstan League 2015-09-20 0.5654340 0.1928171
20 atl madrid getafe Spanish La Liga 2015-09-22 0.6919648 0.1215446
23 bala town bangor city Welsh Premier 2015-09-18 0.5705950 0.1895646
25 banik ostrava jablonec Czech Liga 2015-09-19 0.2509671 0.4812335
26 barcelona levante Spanish La Liga 2015-09-20 0.6841396 0.1254915
29 bate borisov torpedo zh Belarus League 2015-09-20 0.6131358 0.1639571
30 b dortmund b leverkusen German Bundesliga 2015-09-20 0.5428478 0.2074484
31 belenenses moreirense Portuguese Liga 2015-09-21 0.5325401 0.2143490
36 b leverkusen mainz German Bundesliga 2015-09-23 0.5259834 0.2188143
40 bohemians d. longford t League of Ireland 2015-09-18 0.5756562 0.1864068
41 bologna frosinone c Italian Serie A 2015-09-20 0.5536478 0.2003701
42 bordeaux toulouse French Ligue 1 2015-09-20 0.6016206 0.1706844
50 bury port vale English League One 2015-09-19 0.5370801 0.2112919
51 caen montpellier French Ligue 1 2015-09-19 0.5273211 0.2178984
53 carpi fiorentina Italian Serie A 2015-09-20 0.2448708 0.4894006
55 celta vigo barcelona Spanish La Liga 2015-09-23 0.2584807 0.4713608
56 celtic dundee Scottish Premiership 2015-09-20 0.6655959 0.1350654
57 celtic raith Scottish League Cup 2015-09-23 0.7686781 0.0855342
69 crawley yeovil English League Two 2015-09-19 0.5321569 0.2146084
71 dag & red newport co English League Two 2015-09-19 0.5380318 0.2106547
74 derry city shamrock r League of Ireland 2015-09-18 0.2609665 0.4681405
75 dinamo minsk vitebsk Belarus League 2015-09-20 0.6622131 0.1368463
78 domzale koper Slovenian League 2015-09-20 0.6133799 0.1638161
80 dumbarton rangers Scottish Championship 2015-09-19 0.2033071 0.5491383
81 dundalk drogheda League of Ireland 2015-09-18 0.7118247 0.1117663
82 dundee utd dunfermline Scottish League Cup 2015-09-22 0.6081737 0.1668381
85 eibar atl madrid Spanish La Liga 2015-09-19 0.2320327 0.5070762
91 fc bruges w beveren Belgian Pro-League 2015-09-20 0.6638838 0.1359654
92 fc copenhagen hobro ik Danish SAS Ligaen 2015-09-20 0.6818044 0.1266799
94 fenerbahce bursaspor Turkish Super Lig 2015-09-20 0.5876553 0.1790432
95 fiorentina bologna Italian Serie A 2015-09-23 0.6777317 0.1287643
98 genclerbirligi besiktas Turkish Super Lig 2015-09-21 0.2583682 0.4715072
101 gent standard liege Belgian Pro-League 2015-09-20 0.6297304 0.1545145
107 guingamp gfc ajaccio French Ligue 1 2015-09-19 0.6165479 0.1619916
113 haverfordwest pt talbot Welsh Premier 2015-09-22 0.2485067 0.4845126
114 h. beer sheva m. haifa Israeli Ligat H 2015-09-21 0.5344516 0.2130585
118 hibernian aberdeen Scottish League Cup 2015-09-23 0.2329581 0.5057798
120 hoffenheim b dortmund German Bundesliga 2015-09-23 0.2562901 0.4742175
123 hull qpr English Championship 2015-09-19 0.5301062 0.2159996
128 istanbul buyuk. akhisar b Turkish Super Lig 2015-09-18 0.5248948 0.2195614
129 jagodina crvena zvezda Serbian Super Liga 2015-09-18 0.2168899 0.5287984
132 juventus frosinone c Italian Serie A 2015-09-23 0.7403198 0.0983057
133 kilmarnock hearts Scottish League Cup 2015-09-23 0.2626093 0.4660245
140 las palmas seville Spanish La Liga 2015-09-23 0.2514352 0.4806123
145 litex cherno more Bulgarian A-PFG 2015-09-18 0.5702117 0.1898051
148 livingston inverness ct Scottish League Cup 2015-09-22 0.2041985 0.5477775
150 lokeren mouscron p Belgian Pro-League 2015-09-19 0.5480684 0.2040077
152 loko. plovdiv pirin Bulgarian A-PFG 2015-09-20 0.5489614 0.2034228
155 ludogorets botev plovdiv Bulgarian A-PFG 2015-09-19 0.6233086 0.1581341
158 lyon bastia French Ligue 1 2015-09-23 0.5639941 0.1937305
159 mainz hoffenheim German Bundesliga 2015-09-18 0.5429327 0.2073922
161 man city west ham English Premier League 2015-09-19 0.6457782 0.1456549
163 mersin 1299 osmanlispor Turkish Super Lig 2015-09-18 0.5288412 0.2168607
167 midtjylland nordsjaelland Danish SAS Ligaen 2015-09-20 0.6414269 0.1480314
174 monaco lorient French Ligue 1 2015-09-20 0.6225873 0.1585433
177 morecambe northampton English League Two 2015-09-19 0.5286968 0.2169591
180 m. tel aviv hapoel ra’ana Israeli Ligat H 2015-09-20 0.6403730 0.1486099
192 novi pazar ofk belgrade Serbian Super Liga 2015-09-19 0.5659036 0.1925198
193 ob odense viborg Danish SAS Ligaen 2015-09-19 0.5539153 0.2001967
196 o. ljubljana nk zavrc Slovenian League 2015-09-23 0.6446114 0.1462903
202 panathinaikos levadiakos Greek League 2015-09-20 0.5605244 0.1959420
204 panetolikos veroia Greek League 2015-09-20 0.5456107 0.2056230
207 paris st g. guingamp French Ligue 1 2015-09-22 0.6726076 0.1314082
208 partizan rad Serbian Super Liga 2015-09-23 0.6366509 0.1506618
209 partizan radnicki nis Serbian Super Liga 2015-09-20 0.5690762 0.1905184
211 peterhead brechin Scottish League One 2015-09-19 0.6076409 0.1671490
215 plymouth bristol r English League Two 2015-09-19 0.5415751 0.2082927
216 poltava olimpik donetsk Ukrainian Premier 2015-09-19 0.6748035 0.1302722
222 rapid vienna admira wacker Austrian Bundesliga 2015-09-20 0.5846389 0.1808783
224 real madrid granada Spanish La Liga 2015-09-19 0.7183654 0.1086186
225 reims paris st g. French Ligue 1 2015-09-19 0.2389915 0.4974136
227 rhyl haverfordwest Welsh Premier 2015-09-19 0.6444906 0.1463562
229 rijeka nk inter Croatian HNL 2015-09-19 0.6520769 0.1422479
233 ross county falkirk Scottish League Cup 2015-09-22 0.6031405 0.1697880
234 ross county partick Scottish Premiership 2015-09-19 0.5730850 0.1880072
236 r. rostov anzhi Russian Premier 2015-09-18 0.5642769 0.1935509
242 shakhtar stal dniprodzerzhynsk Ukrainian Premier 2015-09-19 0.6828388 0.1261529
243 shamrock r bray League of Ireland 2015-09-22 0.5890976 0.1781696
245 shrewsbury crewe English League One 2015-09-19 0.5688103 0.1906857
252 sparta prague sigma o. Czech Liga 2015-09-20 0.6697393 0.1328987
253 sporting lisbon nacional Portuguese Liga 2015-09-21 0.6478547 0.1445274
255 steaua concordia c Romanian Liga 1 2015-09-21 0.5506987 0.2022878
257 st etienne nantes French Ligue 1 2015-09-20 0.6391804 0.1492658
265 sv darmstadt b munich German Bundesliga 2015-09-19 0.2226946 0.5203562
270 terek grozny fc ufa Russian Premier 2015-09-19 0.5339902 0.2133695
271 the new saints carmarthen Welsh Premier 2015-09-22 0.6711082 0.1321864
284 valencia real betis Spanish La Liga 2015-09-19 0.6738931 0.1307426
287 vojvodina ns rad Serbian Super Liga 2015-09-19 0.5641925 0.1936045
289 volyn dynamo kiev Ukrainian Premier 2015-09-19 0.2408718 0.4948361
292 w bremen ingolstadt German Bundesliga 2015-09-19 0.6117985 0.1647309
295 wolfsberger rb salzburg Austrian Bundesliga 2015-09-19 0.2441557 0.4903679
296 wolfsburg hertha berlin German Bundesliga 2015-09-19 0.6582844 0.1389282
298 xanthi olympiakos Greek League 2015-09-20 0.2613236 0.4676796
301 zakarpatty ch. odessa Ukrainian Premier 2015-09-19 0.5692069 0.1904362
302 zenit amkar perm Russian Premier 2015-09-20 0.6403004 0.1486498

My apologies for the un-sorted list. Naturally I present the disclaimer that this strategy would have resulted in a positive payoff in previous weeks based on a much smaller sample.

We will see next week whether these picks were actually any good…

Conclusions

This is a tentative first foray into forecasting outside of England, and I hope to refine this, with bookmaker prices, and an evaluation of previous forecasts, in the coming weeks.

For transparency, all forecasts are also listed as a table:

kable(forecast.matches[order(forecast.matches$date,forecast.matches$division),
                       c("date","division","team1","team2","Ph","Pd","Pa")])
date division team1 team2 Ph Pd Pa
32 2015-09-18 Belarus League belshina shakhtyor 0.3250573 0.2827098 0.3922329
104 2015-09-18 Belarus League gomel granit mikashev 0.3393097 0.2836642 0.3770260
183 2015-09-18 Belarus League neman grodno fc minsk 0.3125774 0.2814079 0.4060147
99 2015-09-18 Belgian Pro-League genk mechelen 0.5204745 0.2569130 0.2226126
145 2015-09-18 Bulgarian A-PFG litex cherno more 0.5702117 0.2399832 0.1898051
198 2015-09-18 Croatian HNL osijek nk zagreb 0.4650134 0.2715896 0.2633970
290 2015-09-18 Czech Liga vysocina jihlava dukla prague 0.3685762 0.2839660 0.3474578
2 2015-09-18 Danish SAS Ligaen aarhus sonderjyske 0.3350365 0.2834360 0.3815275
127 2015-09-18 English Championship ipswich birmingham 0.4248695 0.2789906 0.2961399
226 2015-09-18 French Ligue 1 rennes lille 0.4174533 0.2800265 0.3025202
159 2015-09-18 German Bundesliga mainz hoffenheim 0.5429327 0.2496751 0.2073922
40 2015-09-18 League of Ireland bohemians d. longford t 0.5756562 0.2379370 0.1864068
74 2015-09-18 League of Ireland derry city shamrock r 0.2609665 0.2708931 0.4681405
81 2015-09-18 League of Ireland dundalk drogheda 0.7118247 0.1764090 0.1117663
96 2015-09-18 League of Ireland galway fc sligo rovers 0.3901305 0.2828725 0.3269970
261 2015-09-18 League of Ireland st patrick’s cork city 0.3325107 0.2832779 0.3842114
19 2015-09-18 League of Ireland Div 1 athlone town shelbourne 0.2924258 0.2783288 0.4292454
278 2015-09-18 League of Ireland Div 1 ucd wexford yth 0.3749631 0.2837533 0.3412836
291 2015-09-18 League of Ireland Div 1 waterford cabinteely 0.3566491 0.2841017 0.3592491
286 2015-09-18 Portuguese Liga vitoria setubal v guimaraes 0.3278453 0.2829403 0.3892144
203 2015-09-18 Romanian Liga 1 pandurii targu mures 0.4036344 0.2816615 0.3147041
288 2015-09-18 Romanian Liga 1 voluntari fc timisoara 0.3357692 0.2834786 0.3807522
236 2015-09-18 Russian Premier r. rostov anzhi 0.5642769 0.2421722 0.1935509
259 2015-09-18 Scottish Championship st mirren raith 0.4692702 0.2706373 0.2600925
129 2015-09-18 Serbian Super Liga jagodina crvena zvezda 0.2168899 0.2543117 0.5287984
187 2015-09-18 Slovenian League nk celje nk krsko 0.4688314 0.2707369 0.2604317
102 2015-09-18 Spanish La Liga getafe malaga 0.3576108 0.2841037 0.3582855
128 2015-09-18 Turkish Super Lig istanbul buyuk. akhisar b 0.5248948 0.2555438 0.2195614
163 2015-09-18 Turkish Super Lig mersin 1299 osmanlispor 0.5288412 0.2542981 0.2168607
23 2015-09-18 Welsh Premier bala town bangor city 0.5705950 0.2398404 0.1895646
52 2015-09-18 Welsh Premier carmarthen aberystwyth 0.3842189 0.2832775 0.3325036
228 2015-09-19 Austrian Bundesliga ried altach 0.3300878 0.2831101 0.3868022
263 2015-09-19 Austrian Bundesliga sturm graz aus. vienna 0.3946807 0.2825083 0.3228110
267 2015-09-19 Austrian Bundesliga sv grodig mattersburg 0.3611727 0.2840910 0.3547363
295 2015-09-19 Austrian Bundesliga wolfsberger rb salzburg 0.2441557 0.2654764 0.4903679
93 2015-09-19 Belarus League fc slutsk dinamo brest 0.5216838 0.2565411 0.2217751
248 2015-09-19 Belarus League slavia mozyr fc naftan 0.4747514 0.2693664 0.2558823
150 2015-09-19 Belgian Pro-League lokeren mouscron p 0.5480684 0.2479239 0.2040077
194 2015-09-19 Belgian Pro-League o h leuven waregem 0.4340043 0.2775675 0.2884281
197 2015-09-19 Belgian Pro-League oostende kortrijk 0.4962775 0.2639035 0.2398190
293 2015-09-19 Belgian Pro-League westerlo st. truiden 0.4399149 0.2765625 0.2835226
155 2015-09-19 Bulgarian A-PFG ludogorets botev plovdiv 0.6233086 0.2185574 0.1581341
213 2015-09-19 Bulgarian A-PFG pfc montana slavia sofia 0.3314650 0.2832075 0.3853276
108 2015-09-19 Croatian HNL hajduk split din zagreb 0.5014460 0.2624837 0.2360703
229 2015-09-19 Croatian HNL rijeka nk inter 0.6520769 0.2056751 0.1422479
25 2015-09-19 Czech Liga banik ostrava jablonec 0.2509671 0.2677994 0.4812335
90 2015-09-19 Czech Liga fc brno synot 0.3656611 0.2840310 0.3503080
171 2015-09-19 Czech Liga mlada boleslav teplice 0.5074865 0.2607732 0.2317403
303 2015-09-19 Czech Liga zlin slavia prague 0.4629570 0.2720386 0.2650043
193 2015-09-19 Danish SAS Ligaen ob odense viborg 0.5539153 0.2458880 0.2001967
34 2015-09-19 English Championship blackburn charlton 0.4954539 0.2641260 0.2404202
48 2015-09-19 English Championship brentford preston 0.4385316 0.2768036 0.2846649
49 2015-09-19 English Championship bristol c reading 0.5014280 0.2624887 0.2360832
121 2015-09-19 English Championship huddersfield bolton 0.4635328 0.2719136 0.2645535
123 2015-09-19 English Championship hull qpr 0.5301062 0.2538942 0.2159996
170 2015-09-19 English Championship mk dons leeds 0.4578284 0.2731268 0.2690448
190 2015-09-19 English Championship nottm forest middlesbro 0.3131179 0.2814736 0.4054085
235 2015-09-19 English Championship rotherham cardiff 0.3312602 0.2831933 0.3855465
244 2015-09-19 English Championship sheff wed fulham 0.4416988 0.2762464 0.2820548
297 2015-09-19 English Championship wolves brighton 0.4475112 0.2751761 0.2773127
35 2015-09-19 English League One blackpool barnsley 0.3262136 0.2828080 0.3909784
50 2015-09-19 English League One bury port vale 0.5370801 0.2516280 0.2112919
64 2015-09-19 English League One colchester gillingham 0.3400704 0.2836998 0.3762298
67 2015-09-19 English League One coventry chesterfield 0.4509373 0.2745165 0.2745462
79 2015-09-19 English League One doncaster oldham 0.4708747 0.2702705 0.2588549
169 2015-09-19 English League One millwall southend 0.4465701 0.2753535 0.2780764
210 2015-09-19 English League One peterborough walsall 0.3352016 0.2834457 0.3813527
231 2015-09-19 English League One rochdale scunthorpe 0.4862109 0.2665500 0.2472391
245 2015-09-19 English League One shrewsbury crewe 0.5688103 0.2405041 0.1906857
269 2015-09-19 English League One swindon burton 0.3961204 0.2823837 0.3214959
294 2015-09-19 English League One wigan fleetwood 0.4164253 0.2801615 0.3034132
5 2015-09-19 English League Two accrington exeter 0.3930261 0.2826459 0.3243279
6 2015-09-19 English League Two afc w’bledon notts co 0.4411799 0.2763390 0.2824811
27 2015-09-19 English League Two barnet stevenage 0.3507725 0.2840396 0.3651879
69 2015-09-19 English League Two crawley yeovil 0.5321569 0.2532347 0.2146084
71 2015-09-19 English League Two dag & red newport co 0.5380318 0.2513136 0.2106547
112 2015-09-19 English League Two hartlepool cambridge u 0.4693512 0.2706189 0.2600299
144 2015-09-19 English League Two leyton orient wycombe 0.3994575 0.2820778 0.3184647
157 2015-09-19 English League Two luton mansfield 0.4102122 0.2809320 0.3088558
177 2015-09-19 English League Two morecambe northampton 0.5286968 0.2543441 0.2169591
199 2015-09-19 English League Two oxford portsmouth 0.4396447 0.2766099 0.2837455
215 2015-09-19 English League Two plymouth bristol r 0.5415751 0.2501322 0.2082927
299 2015-09-19 English League Two york carlisle 0.4271904 0.2786442 0.2941654
16 2015-09-19 English Premier League aston villa west brom 0.3826917 0.2833694 0.3339389
44 2015-09-19 English Premier League bournemouth sunderland 0.4992443 0.2630935 0.2376622
60 2015-09-19 English Premier League chelsea arsenal 0.4609039 0.2724797 0.2666164
161 2015-09-19 English Premier League man city west ham 0.6457782 0.2085669 0.1456549
184 2015-09-19 English Premier League newcastle watford 0.3099916 0.2810816 0.4089268
260 2015-09-19 English Premier League stoke leicester 0.3884635 0.2829945 0.3285420
268 2015-09-19 English Premier League swansea everton 0.4406471 0.2764335 0.2829194
11 2015-09-19 French Ligue 1 angers troyes 0.4424267 0.2761157 0.2814575
28 2015-09-19 French Ligue 1 bastia nice 0.4803164 0.2680253 0.2516584
51 2015-09-19 French Ligue 1 caen montpellier 0.5273211 0.2547805 0.2178984
107 2015-09-19 French Ligue 1 guingamp gfc ajaccio 0.6165479 0.2214605 0.1619916
225 2015-09-19 French Ligue 1 reims paris st g. 0.2389915 0.2635949 0.4974136
65 2015-09-19 German Bundesliga cologne mgladbach 0.4360293 0.2772306 0.2867401
109 2015-09-19 German Bundesliga hamburg e frankfurt 0.3736632 0.2838043 0.3425325
265 2015-09-19 German Bundesliga sv darmstadt b munich 0.2226946 0.2569492 0.5203562
292 2015-09-19 German Bundesliga w bremen ingolstadt 0.6117985 0.2234706 0.1647309
296 2015-09-19 German Bundesliga wolfsburg hertha berlin 0.6582844 0.2027874 0.1389282
38 2015-09-19 Israeli Ligat H bnei sakhnin hapoel acre 0.3998410 0.2820411 0.3181179
39 2015-09-19 Israeli Ligat H bnei yehuda beitar j’salem 0.3492428 0.2840091 0.3667481
117 2015-09-19 Israeli Ligat H h. haifa h tel aviv 0.4036000 0.2816651 0.3147349
119 2015-09-19 Israeli Ligat H h. kfar saba m. petah tikva 0.3101617 0.2811037 0.4087346
173 2015-09-19 Israeli Ligat H m. netanya ironi kiryat s 0.3104158 0.2811365 0.4084477
168 2015-09-19 Italian Serie A milan palermo 0.4344382 0.2774960 0.2880658
279 2015-09-19 Italian Serie A udinese empoli 0.4490178 0.2748886 0.2760935
47 2015-09-19 League of Ireland bray limerick 0.4760051 0.2690687 0.2549262
63 2015-09-19 League of Ireland Div 1 cobh finn harps 0.3643009 0.2840543 0.3516448
200 2015-09-19 Portuguese Liga pacos ferreira rio ave 0.4772457 0.2687715 0.2539828
272 2015-09-19 Portuguese Liga tondela estoril 0.3473877 0.2839641 0.3686482
58 2015-09-19 Romanian Liga 1 cfr cluj astra giurgiu 0.4211869 0.2795185 0.2992946
70 2015-09-19 Romanian Liga 1 csms iasi viitorul c 0.3274629 0.2829100 0.3896271
138 2015-09-19 Russian Premier kuban k spartak moscow 0.3150577 0.2817024 0.4032399
270 2015-09-19 Russian Premier terek grozny fc ufa 0.5339902 0.2526403 0.2133695
9 2015-09-19 Scottish Championship alloa falkirk 0.2477796 0.2667345 0.4854860
80 2015-09-19 Scottish Championship dumbarton rangers 0.2033071 0.2475547 0.5491383
147 2015-09-19 Scottish Championship livingston hibernian 0.2865244 0.2771868 0.4362888
219 2015-09-19 Scottish Championship queen of sth morton 0.4092996 0.2810386 0.3096618
8 2015-09-19 Scottish League One airdrieonians ayr 0.5146236 0.2586824 0.2266941
68 2015-09-19 Scottish League One cowdenbeath forfar 0.2887209 0.2776250 0.4336541
211 2015-09-19 Scottish League One peterhead brechin 0.6076409 0.2252101 0.1671490
256 2015-09-19 Scottish League One stenh’semuir dunfermline 0.3210824 0.2823435 0.3965740
262 2015-09-19 Scottish League One stranraer albion 0.4570779 0.2732822 0.2696399
12 2015-09-19 Scottish League Two arbroath stirling 0.3946784 0.2825085 0.3228131
33 2015-09-19 Scottish League Two berwick annan 0.3691585 0.2839506 0.3468910
84 2015-09-19 Scottish League Two east fife clyde 0.4091334 0.2810578 0.3098088
176 2015-09-19 Scottish League Two montrose east stirling 0.5076092 0.2607379 0.2316529
220 2015-09-19 Scottish League Two queen’s park elgin city 0.4251242 0.2789531 0.2959227
83 2015-09-19 Scottish Premiership dundee utd inverness ct 0.3158695 0.2817949 0.4023356
110 2015-09-19 Scottish Premiership hamilton motherwell 0.4585598 0.2729744 0.2684658
134 2015-09-19 Scottish Premiership kilmarnock st johnstone 0.2650377 0.2720479 0.4629144
234 2015-09-19 Scottish Premiership ross county partick 0.5730850 0.2389078 0.1880072
131 2015-09-19 Serbian Super Liga javor cukaricki 0.4342241 0.2775313 0.2882446
164 2015-09-19 Serbian Super Liga metalac radnik surdulica 0.4834936 0.2672370 0.2492694
172 2015-09-19 Serbian Super Liga mladost lucani vozdovac 0.4709612 0.2702506 0.2587882
192 2015-09-19 Serbian Super Liga novi pazar ofk belgrade 0.5659036 0.2415766 0.1925198
254 2015-09-19 Serbian Super Liga sp subotica borac cacak 0.4065130 0.2813533 0.3121337
287 2015-09-19 Serbian Super Liga vojvodina ns rad 0.5641925 0.2422030 0.1936045
137 2015-09-19 Slovenian League krka rudar velenje 0.4372747 0.2770195 0.2857058
182 2015-09-19 Slovenian League nd hit gorica o. ljubljana 0.3566864 0.2841018 0.3592118
189 2015-09-19 Slovenian League nk zavrc nk maribor 0.3059310 0.2805291 0.4135399
85 2015-09-19 Spanish La Liga eibar atl madrid 0.2320327 0.2608911 0.5070762
224 2015-09-19 Spanish La Liga real madrid granada 0.7183654 0.1730160 0.1086186
250 2015-09-19 Spanish La Liga sociedad espanyol 0.4727364 0.2698394 0.2574242
284 2015-09-19 Spanish La Liga valencia real betis 0.6738931 0.1953643 0.1307426
88 2015-09-19 Turkish Super Lig eskisehirspor kasimpasa 0.4754432 0.2692024 0.2553544
230 2015-09-19 Turkish Super Lig rizespor antalyaspor 0.4816548 0.2676952 0.2506500
246 2015-09-19 Turkish Super Lig sivasspor konyaspor 0.3647622 0.2840469 0.3511909
276 2015-09-19 Turkish Super Lig trabzonspor galatasaray 0.3992069 0.2821016 0.3186916
77 2015-09-19 Ukrainian Premier dnipro zorya 0.4896696 0.2656586 0.2446718
165 2015-09-19 Ukrainian Premier metalurg z. metalist 0.3219353 0.2824259 0.3956389
195 2015-09-19 Ukrainian Premier oleksandria karpaty lvov 0.3027064 0.2800549 0.4172388
216 2015-09-19 Ukrainian Premier poltava olimpik donetsk 0.6748035 0.1949243 0.1302722
242 2015-09-19 Ukrainian Premier shakhtar stal dniprodzerzhynsk 0.6828388 0.1910083 0.1261529
289 2015-09-19 Ukrainian Premier volyn dynamo kiev 0.2408718 0.2642921 0.4948361
301 2015-09-19 Ukrainian Premier zakarpatty ch. odessa 0.5692069 0.2403569 0.1904362
7 2015-09-19 Welsh Premier airbus uk the new saints 0.3288977 0.2830217 0.3880806
66 2015-09-19 Welsh Premier connah’s q llandudno 0.4366213 0.2771306 0.2862481
227 2015-09-19 Welsh Premier rhyl haverfordwest 0.6444906 0.2091532 0.1463562
222 2015-09-20 Austrian Bundesliga rapid vienna admira wacker 0.5846389 0.2344828 0.1808783
29 2015-09-20 Belarus League bate borisov torpedo zh 0.6131358 0.2229071 0.1639571
75 2015-09-20 Belarus League dinamo minsk vitebsk 0.6622131 0.2009406 0.1368463
59 2015-09-20 Belgian Pro-League charleroi anderlecht 0.3194168 0.2821767 0.3984065
91 2015-09-20 Belgian Pro-League fc bruges w beveren 0.6638838 0.2001508 0.1359654
101 2015-09-20 Belgian Pro-League gent standard liege 0.6297304 0.2157551 0.1545145
143 2015-09-20 Bulgarian A-PFG levski sofia beroe stara 0.3385589 0.2836277 0.3778135
152 2015-09-20 Bulgarian A-PFG loko. plovdiv pirin 0.5489614 0.2476158 0.2034228
153 2015-09-20 Croatian HNL loko. zagreb nk split 0.3499866 0.2840247 0.3659887
247 2015-09-20 Croatian HNL slaven nk istra 1961 0.5078004 0.2606828 0.2315168
22 2015-09-20 Czech Liga b. 1905 viktoria plzen 0.3077271 0.2807796 0.4114933
249 2015-09-20 Czech Liga slovan liberec dukla pribram 0.5034782 0.2619144 0.2346074
252 2015-09-20 Czech Liga sparta prague sigma o. 0.6697393 0.1973620 0.1328987
1 2015-09-20 Danish SAS Ligaen aalborg brondby 0.3921048 0.2827200 0.3251752
87 2015-09-20 Danish SAS Ligaen esbjerg randers freja 0.4168610 0.2801046 0.3030344
92 2015-09-20 Danish SAS Ligaen fc copenhagen hobro ik 0.6818044 0.1915157 0.1266799
167 2015-09-20 Danish SAS Ligaen midtjylland nordsjaelland 0.6414269 0.2105417 0.1480314
45 2015-09-20 English League One bradford sheff utd 0.4443560 0.2757647 0.2798793
146 2015-09-20 English Premier League liverpool norwich 0.4542669 0.2738555 0.2718776
251 2015-09-20 English Premier League southampton man utd 0.3883363 0.2830036 0.3286601
274 2015-09-20 English Premier League tottenham c palace 0.4327745 0.2777684 0.2894571
42 2015-09-20 French Ligue 1 bordeaux toulouse 0.6016206 0.2276950 0.1706844
162 2015-09-20 French Ligue 1 marseille lyon 0.4002013 0.2820063 0.3177923
174 2015-09-20 French Ligue 1 monaco lorient 0.6225873 0.2188694 0.1585433
257 2015-09-20 French Ligue 1 st etienne nantes 0.6391804 0.2115538 0.1492658
21 2015-09-20 German Bundesliga augsburg hannover 0.4822129 0.2675567 0.2502304
30 2015-09-20 German Bundesliga b dortmund b leverkusen 0.5428478 0.2497038 0.2074484
264 2015-09-20 German Bundesliga stuttgart schalke 0.3365645 0.2835232 0.3799123
15 2015-09-20 Greek League asteras t. panionios 0.4837491 0.2671729 0.2490780
126 2015-09-20 Greek League ioannina atromitos 0.3870307 0.2830945 0.3298747
202 2015-09-20 Greek League panathinaikos levadiakos 0.5605244 0.2435336 0.1959420
204 2015-09-20 Greek League panetolikos veroia 0.5456107 0.2487663 0.2056230
205 2015-09-20 Greek League panthrakikos k kalloni 0.4883889 0.2659909 0.2456202
206 2015-09-20 Greek League paok salonika aek athens 0.4647551 0.2716464 0.2635985
214 2015-09-20 Greek League platanias iraklis salonika 0.4850637 0.2668415 0.2480948
298 2015-09-20 Greek League xanthi olympiakos 0.2613236 0.2709967 0.4676796
180 2015-09-20 Israeli Ligat H m. tel aviv hapoel ra’ana 0.6403730 0.2110171 0.1486099
17 2015-09-20 Italian Serie A atalanta verona 0.3851418 0.2832194 0.3316388
41 2015-09-20 Italian Serie A bologna frosinone c 0.5536478 0.2459821 0.2003701
53 2015-09-20 Italian Serie A carpi fiorentina 0.2448708 0.2657286 0.4894006
61 2015-09-20 Italian Serie A chievo inter 0.3796538 0.2835366 0.3368096
100 2015-09-20 Italian Serie A genoa juventus 0.2806375 0.2759344 0.4434280
181 2015-09-20 Italian Serie A napoli lazio 0.3616649 0.2840868 0.3542483
232 2015-09-20 Italian Serie A roma sassuolo 0.5146162 0.2586846 0.2266993
273 2015-09-20 Italian Serie A torino sampdoria 0.4845918 0.2669608 0.2484474
14 2015-09-20 Kazakhstan League astana kairat almaty 0.5654340 0.2417489 0.1928171
4 2015-09-20 Portuguese Liga acad coimbra boavista 0.4076966 0.2812216 0.3110818
217 2015-09-20 Portuguese Liga porto benfica 0.4783498 0.2685050 0.2531453
281 2015-09-20 Portuguese Liga uniao da madeira arouca 0.4524311 0.2742224 0.2733465
43 2015-09-20 Romanian Liga 1 botosani din. bucharest 0.3498543 0.2840220 0.3661237
212 2015-09-20 Romanian Liga 1 petrolul ploiesti uni craiova 0.4255132 0.2788955 0.2955913
151 2015-09-20 Russian Premier lok. moscow kryliya sovetov 0.5045518 0.2616111 0.2338371
179 2015-09-20 Russian Premier m saransk cska mosc. 0.2844475 0.2767580 0.4387944
302 2015-09-20 Russian Premier zenit amkar perm 0.6403004 0.2110498 0.1486498
56 2015-09-20 Scottish Premiership celtic dundee 0.6655959 0.1993387 0.1350654
115 2015-09-20 Scottish Premiership hearts aberdeen 0.3695562 0.2839396 0.3465042
209 2015-09-20 Serbian Super Liga partizan radnicki nis 0.5690762 0.2404054 0.1905184
78 2015-09-20 Slovenian League domzale koper 0.6133799 0.2228040 0.1638161
26 2015-09-20 Spanish La Liga barcelona levante 0.6841396 0.1903689 0.1254915
72 2015-09-20 Spanish La Liga deportivo sp. gijon 0.4921146 0.2650171 0.2428683
139 2015-09-20 Spanish La Liga las palmas r. vallecano 0.3730608 0.2838267 0.3431126
241 2015-09-20 Spanish La Liga seville celta vigo 0.5147268 0.2586516 0.2266216
285 2015-09-20 Spanish La Liga villarreal ath bilbao 0.4055201 0.2814616 0.3130183
94 2015-09-20 Turkish Super Lig fenerbahce bursaspor 0.5876553 0.2333015 0.1790432
97 2015-09-20 Turkish Super Lig gaziantepspor kayserispor 0.4190979 0.2798062 0.3010959
218 2015-09-20 Welsh Premier pt talbot newtown 0.4262155 0.2787910 0.2949935
73 2015-09-21 English Championship derby burnley 0.3766406 0.2836816 0.3396778
114 2015-09-21 Israeli Ligat H h. beer sheva m. haifa 0.5344516 0.2524900 0.2130585
31 2015-09-21 Portuguese Liga belenenses moreirense 0.5325401 0.2531109 0.2143490
46 2015-09-21 Portuguese Liga braga maritimo 0.4449095 0.2756628 0.2794277
253 2015-09-21 Portuguese Liga sporting lisbon nacional 0.6478547 0.2076179 0.1445274
255 2015-09-21 Romanian Liga 1 steaua concordia c 0.5506987 0.2470135 0.2022878
76 2015-09-21 Russian Premier din. moscow rubin 0.5185111 0.2575122 0.2239767
282 2015-09-21 Russian Premier ural sver. oblast fk krasnodar 0.2900931 0.2778908 0.4320161
98 2015-09-21 Turkish Super Lig genclerbirligi besiktas 0.2583682 0.2701247 0.4715072
191 2015-09-22 English League Two notts co crawley 0.4139331 0.2804800 0.3055869
10 2015-09-22 French Ligue 1 angers reims 0.3585907 0.2841033 0.3573060
207 2015-09-22 French Ligue 1 paris st g. guingamp 0.6726076 0.1959842 0.1314082
37 2015-09-22 German Bundesliga b munich wolfsburg 0.4952791 0.2641730 0.2405479
116 2015-09-22 German Bundesliga hertha berlin cologne 0.4129391 0.2806035 0.3064574
124 2015-09-22 German Bundesliga ingolstadt hamburg 0.3271426 0.2828842 0.3899731
266 2015-09-22 German Bundesliga sv darmstadt w bremen 0.3450342 0.2838943 0.3710715
280 2015-09-22 Italian Serie A udinese milan 0.3599218 0.2840990 0.3559792
243 2015-09-22 League of Ireland shamrock r bray 0.5890976 0.2327329 0.1781696
82 2015-09-22 Scottish League Cup dundee utd dunfermline 0.6081737 0.2249882 0.1668381
148 2015-09-22 Scottish League Cup livingston inverness ct 0.2041985 0.2480240 0.5477775
178 2015-09-22 Scottish League Cup morton motherwell 0.2924847 0.2783397 0.4291756
221 2015-09-22 Scottish League Cup rangers st johnstone 0.4047676 0.2815423 0.3136902
233 2015-09-22 Scottish League Cup ross county falkirk 0.6031405 0.2270715 0.1697880
20 2015-09-22 Spanish La Liga atl madrid getafe 0.6919648 0.1864905 0.1215446
89 2015-09-22 Spanish La Liga espanyol valencia 0.2971657 0.2791656 0.4236686
105 2015-09-22 Spanish La Liga granada sociedad 0.3982332 0.2821928 0.3195740
156 2015-09-22 Swiss Super League lugano fc zurich 0.3861612 0.2831530 0.3306858
258 2015-09-22 Swiss Super League st gallen thun 0.4195748 0.2797413 0.3006839
3 2015-09-22 Welsh Premier aberystwyth bala town 0.3323937 0.2832702 0.3843361
24 2015-09-22 Welsh Premier bangor city connah’s q 0.4997555 0.2629526 0.2372919
113 2015-09-22 Welsh Premier haverfordwest pt talbot 0.2485067 0.2669808 0.4845126
149 2015-09-22 Welsh Premier llandudno rhyl 0.3965969 0.2823415 0.3210617
185 2015-09-22 Welsh Premier newtown airbus uk 0.3981089 0.2822043 0.3196869
271 2015-09-22 Welsh Premier the new saints carmarthen 0.6711082 0.1967054 0.1321864
103 2015-09-23 French Ligue 1 gfc ajaccio rennes 0.2924194 0.2783277 0.4292529
154 2015-09-23 French Ligue 1 lorient caen 0.3960054 0.2823938 0.3216008
158 2015-09-23 French Ligue 1 lyon bastia 0.5639941 0.2422755 0.1937305
186 2015-09-23 French Ligue 1 nice bordeaux 0.3294996 0.2830669 0.3874335
275 2015-09-23 French Ligue 1 toulouse marseille 0.3387891 0.2836390 0.3775718
277 2015-09-23 French Ligue 1 troyes st etienne 0.2966602 0.2790798 0.4242601
36 2015-09-23 German Bundesliga b leverkusen mainz 0.5259834 0.2552023 0.2188143
111 2015-09-23 German Bundesliga hannover stuttgart 0.4641513 0.2717787 0.2640699
120 2015-09-23 German Bundesliga hoffenheim b dortmund 0.2562901 0.2694923 0.4742175
166 2015-09-23 German Bundesliga mgladbach augsburg 0.5153876 0.2584541 0.2261583
240 2015-09-23 German Bundesliga schalke e frankfurt 0.4202451 0.2796493 0.3001057
54 2015-09-23 Italian Serie A carpi napoli 0.2712767 0.2737033 0.4550200
62 2015-09-23 Italian Serie A chievo torino 0.4094450 0.2810217 0.3095333
95 2015-09-23 Italian Serie A fiorentina bologna 0.6777317 0.1935041 0.1287643
125 2015-09-23 Italian Serie A inter verona 0.5158790 0.2583069 0.2258142
132 2015-09-23 Italian Serie A juventus frosinone c 0.7403198 0.1613745 0.0983057
141 2015-09-23 Italian Serie A lazio genoa 0.5177352 0.2577475 0.2245173
201 2015-09-23 Italian Serie A palermo sassuolo 0.4148178 0.2803684 0.3048138
239 2015-09-23 Italian Serie A sampdoria roma 0.3512906 0.2840486 0.3646609
13 2015-09-23 Kazakhstan Cup astana aktobe 0.4576491 0.2731640 0.2691869
57 2015-09-23 Scottish League Cup celtic raith 0.7686781 0.1457878 0.0855342
118 2015-09-23 Scottish League Cup hibernian aberdeen 0.2329581 0.2612620 0.5057798
133 2015-09-23 Scottish League Cup kilmarnock hearts 0.2626093 0.2713662 0.4660245
130 2015-09-23 Serbian Super Liga jagodina vojvodina ns 0.3008231 0.2797633 0.4194136
208 2015-09-23 Serbian Super Liga partizan rad 0.6366509 0.2126873 0.1506618
135 2015-09-23 Slovenian League koper nk krsko 0.4570959 0.2732785 0.2696256
136 2015-09-23 Slovenian League krka nk celje 0.4823802 0.2675151 0.2501047
188 2015-09-23 Slovenian League nk maribor domzale 0.4890617 0.2658167 0.2451216
196 2015-09-23 Slovenian League o. ljubljana nk zavrc 0.6446114 0.2090983 0.1462903
237 2015-09-23 Slovenian League rudar velenje nd hit gorica 0.3444764 0.2838757 0.3716480
18 2015-09-23 Spanish La Liga ath bilbao real madrid 0.2695155 0.2732498 0.4572347
55 2015-09-23 Spanish La Liga celta vigo barcelona 0.2584807 0.2701585 0.4713608
140 2015-09-23 Spanish La Liga las palmas seville 0.2514352 0.2679525 0.4806123
142 2015-09-23 Spanish La Liga levante eibar 0.4758364 0.2691089 0.2550547
160 2015-09-23 Spanish La Liga malaga villarreal 0.3343931 0.2833973 0.3822096
238 2015-09-23 Spanish La Liga r. vallecano sp. gijon 0.4480480 0.2750741 0.2768779
106 2015-09-23 Swiss Super League grasshoppers fc sion 0.5047588 0.2615524 0.2336888
283 2015-09-23 Swiss Super League vaduz lucerne 0.2784750 0.2754454 0.4460796
300 2015-09-23 Swiss Super League young boys basel 0.2947934 0.2787557 0.4264509
122 2015-09-24 English Championship huddersfield nottm forest 0.4387830 0.2767600 0.2844570
175 2015-09-24 French Ligue 1 montpellier monaco 0.2919762 0.2782458 0.4297780
86 2015-09-24 Italian Serie A empoli atalanta 0.4053412 0.2814809 0.3131779
223 2015-09-24 Spanish La Liga real betis deportivo 0.3034915 0.2801733 0.4163352