How to Participate
Participants in this game are required to submit their
predictions no later than midnight on Thursday September 29th. A $10
entry fee is due at time of submission. Venmo Sarah Brown (@scathbrown).
Notes
- In the past GBBO does not distinguish between 2nd and 3rd place. On
the last episode, a winner is chosen but 2nd and 3rd place are not
announced. If this season is the same, scoring will treat 2nd and 3rd
place as tied for 2nd.
- Winner takes all. In the event of a tie, proceeds will be donated to
a charity the winners agree on.
Scoring Details
Participants will submit predictions for what place each contestant
will finish in. These predictions will be compared to the actual finish
that takes place and scored. For each contestant, scoring is based on
the difference in the predicted place, and the actual finish. A point
bonus is given for correct guesses, and and extra point bonus is given
for correctly predicting the season winner. Details and examples are
below.
| 0, Correct! |
7 (15 if season winner) |
| 1 week off |
3 |
| 2 weeks off |
2 |
| 3 weeks off |
1 |
| 4 weeks off |
0 |
| 5 weeks off |
-1 |
| 6 weeks off |
-2 |
| 7 weeks off |
-3 |
| 8 weeks off |
-4 |
| 9 weeks off |
-5 |
Examples
Next we will look at some examples to see how this scoring system
plays out. In this example, the show finishes with the following
outcome. Peter’s predictions are shown, along with the score he earned
each week.
Example 1
| abdul |
1 |
9 |
-4 |
| carole |
2 |
4 |
2 |
| dawn |
3 |
7 |
0 |
| james |
4 |
1 |
1 |
| janusz |
5 |
2 |
1 |
| kevin |
6 |
5 |
3 |
| maxy |
7 |
3 |
0 |
| rebs |
8 |
10 |
2 |
| sandro |
9 |
6 |
1 |
| syabira |
10 |
8 |
2 |
Example 2
| abdul |
1 |
5 |
0 |
| carole |
2 |
6 |
0 |
| dawn |
3 |
9 |
-2 |
| james |
4 |
1 |
1 |
| janusz |
5 |
10 |
-1 |
| kevin |
6 |
7 |
3 |
| maxy |
7 |
4 |
1 |
| rebs |
8 |
8 |
7 |
| sandro |
9 |
3 |
-2 |
| syabira |
10 |
2 |
-4 |
Scoring stats for nerds
If we run this experiment many times, we can determine the
probability of scoring a given score with guesses randomly. Now
obviously our guesses are not random, they are calculated, based on the
first two episodes and solid instincts. Regardless, if you guessed
randomly, here is what you can expect to score…
5,000 guesses were simulated.
