Please see below for the latest update on Merced, Stanislaus, and Yolo County wastewater data.

  • Weeks 95-96: 08/13 - 08/26
  • Weeks 97-98: 08/27 - 09/09

Table 1: Variant to N-Gene Proportions (Week 98)

Last Week’s Variant to N-Gene Proportions
Site XBB HV 69 70
Davis 66% ( 53- 91) 0% ( 0- 0)
Esparto 77% ( 61- 89) 0% ( 0- 0)
Los Banos 78% ( 53- 97) 0% ( 0- 0)
Merced 83% ( 69-100) 0% ( 0- 0)
Modesto 33% ( 30- 36) 0% ( 0- 0)
Turlock 80% ( 56-100) 0% ( 0- 0)
Winters 64% ( 0-100) NA% (Inf--Inf)
Woodland 100% (100-100) 0% ( 0- 0)
* Average (min-max)
Week 98: 09/03 - 09/09

General Update

Table 2: Percentage of change

Percent change
Virus Merced County Stanislaus County Yolo County
Merced Los Banos Modesto Turlock Davis Esparto Winters Woodland
SARS-CoV-2 +148% +127% 49% +11% 26% +16% 91% 59%
Influenza A +289% ND ND ND +LL ND ND ND
Influenza B ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND
RSV 45% ND ND +LL 29% +LL ND ND
HMPV ND ND ND +LL ND ND ND ND
Norovirus +13% 14% +15% +65% +93% +112% +219% 51%
Weeks 95-96: 08/13 - 08/26
Weeks 97-98: 08/27 - 09/09
Percent change is calculated here using average of measurements over the past two weeks compared to the average of measurements from the prior two weeks.
ND- Non-detect (below detection limit)
+LL increasing but at low levels

Table 3: Current wastewater level

Current wastewater level
Virus Merced County Stanislaus County Yolo County
Merced Los Banos Modesto Turlock Davis Esparto Winters Woodland
SARS-CoV-2 High High High High High High Low High
Influenza A High Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
Influenza B Low Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
RSV Medium Low Low Medium Low High Low Low
HMPV Low Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
Norovirus Medium Low Medium Low Medium High Low Low
The current wastewater levels are estimated using the 10-day rolling average (10-dma). The 33rd and 66th percentiles are calculated over the past 365 days before 14 days ago. For cities with less than 365 days, all days before 14 days ago are used. The current wastewater level is classified as:
• Low: The current 10-dma is below 33rd percentile
• Medium: The current 10-dma is between the 33rd and 66th percentile
• High: The current 10-dma is above 66th Percentile

Trend test for SARS-CoV-2

Table 4: Mann-Kendall trend test

Mann-Kendall trend test
Virus Merced County Stanislaus County Yolo County
Merced Los Banos Modesto Turlock Davis Esparto Winters Woodland
SARS-CoV-2 Very likely upward Very likely upward Very likely downward No Trend Very likely downward No Trend Very likely downward Very likely downward
Influenza A Very likely upward No Data No Data No Data Likely downward No Data No Data No Data
Influenza B No Data No Data No Data No Data No Data No Data No Data No Data
RSV Downward No Data No Data Likely upward Very likely downward Very likely upward Very likely downward No Data
HMPV No Data No Data No Data No Trend Very likely downward No Data No Data No Data
Norovirus Very likely upward Very likely downward Upward Very likely upward Very likely upward Very likely upward No Trend Very likely downward
Week 98: 08/27 - 09/09
* The Mann-Kendall (MK) trend test is a nonparametric test that evaluates whether there is a monotonic trend in a time-series dataset. We applied the MK trend test to raw N/PMMoV data and used a 14-day lookback period. We interpreted positive values of the test statistic, tau (τ), with p ≤ 0.1, p ≤ 0.05, and p ≤ 0.01 as upward, likely upward, and very likely upward trends, respectively. We interpreted negative τ values with p ≤ 0.1, p ≤ 0.05, and p ≤ 0.01 as downward, likely downward, and very likely downward trends, respectively.

Table 5: Relative Strength Index

The Relative Strength Index
Virus Merced County Stanislaus County Yolo County
Merced Los Banos Modesto Turlock Davis Esparto Winters Woodland
SARS-CoV-2 Likely upward Upward No Trend No Trend No Trend No Trend No Trend Downward
Influenza A Likely upward No Data No Data No Data No Trend No Data No Data No Data
Influenza B No Data No Data No Data No Data No Data No Data No Data No Data
RSV No Trend No Data No Data Very likely upward No Trend No Trend No Trend No Data
HMPV No Data No Data No Data No Trend No Trend No Data No Data No Data
Norovirus No Trend No Trend No Trend Upward Likely upward Likely upward Upward No Trend
Week 98: 08/27 - 09/09
* The Relative Strength Index (RSI) calculates a ratio of the recent upward price movements to the absolute price movement. Developed by J. Welles Wilder.

Table 5: Percent change (PC)

Percent change in the last 14 days
Virus Merced County Stanislaus County Yolo County
Merced Los Banos Modesto Turlock Davis Esparto Winters Woodland
SARS-CoV-2 Very likely upward Very likely upward Very likely downward Upward Very likely downward No Trend Very likely downward Very likely downward
Influenza A Very likely upward No Trend No Trend No Trend No Trend No Trend No Trend No Trend
Influenza B No Trend No Trend No Trend No Trend No Trend No Trend No Trend No Trend
RSV Very likely downward No Trend No Trend Upward Very likely downward Very likely upward Very likely downward No Trend
HMPV No Trend No Trend No Trend No Trend Very likely downward No Trend No Trend No Trend
Norovirus Very likely upward Very likely downward Very likely upward Very likely upward Very likely upward Very likely upward Very likely upward Very likely downward
Week 98: 08/27 - 09/09
* The slope is calculated from a least-squares linear regression of log10-transformed values of the N/PMMoV data versus day. We used a 14-day look-back period to calculate the slope. For each slope estimate, we extracted the 90%, 95%, and 99% confidence intervals (CIs) to calculate the 90%, 95%, and 99% CIs for each PC estimate. We interpreted PC values greater than 0 for the 90%, 95%, and 99% upper CIs as upward, likely upward, and very likely upward trends, respectively. We interpreted PC values less than 0 for the 90%, 95%, and 99% lower CIs as downward, likely downward, and very likely downward trends day and previous n - 1 days.

Merced County

SARS-CoV-2

Merced’s average SARS-CoV-2 concentrations (N/PMMoV) increased ⬆️ by 148% between the most recent two weeks and the two weeks prior to that. Los Banos’ average increased ⬆️ by 127%.

Fig 1. Merced

Fig 2. Los Banos

Influenza A

Merced’s average Influenza A concentrations (Flu A/PMMoV) increased ⬆️ by 289% between the most recent two weeks and the two weeks prior to that. Los Banos’ average showed no detection.

Influenza B

Merced’s average Influenza B concentrations (Flu B/PMMoV) showed no detection between the most recent two weeks and the two weeks prior to that. Los Banos’ average showed no detection.

RSV

Merced’s average RSV concentrations (RSV/PMMoV) decreased ⬇️ by 45% between the most recent two weeks and the two weeks prior to that. Los Banos’ average showed no detection.

HMPV

Merced’s HMPV concentrations (HMPV/PMMoV) showed no detection between the most recent two weeks and the two weeks prior to that. Los Banos’s average showed no detection.

Norovirus

Merced’s average Norovirus concentrations (Norovirus/PMMoV) increased ⬆️ by 13% between the most recent two weeks and the two weeks prior to that. Los Banos’ average decreased ⬇️ by 14%.

Fig. Merced

Fig. Los Banos

Stanislaus County

SARS-CoV-2

Modesto’s average SARS-CoV-2 concentrations (N/PMMoV) decreased ⬇️ by 49% between the most recent two weeks and the two weeks prior to that. Turlock’s average increased ⬆️ by 11%.

Fig 1. Modesto

Fig 2. Turlock

Influenza A

Modesto’s average Influenza A concentrations (Flu A/PMMoV) showed no detection between the most recent two weeks and the two weeks prior to that. Turlock’s average showed no detection.

Influenza B

Modesto’s average Influenza B concentrations (Flu B/PMMoV) showed no detection between the most recent two weeks and the two weeks prior to that. Turlock’s average showed no detection.

RSV

Modesto’s average RSV concentrations (RSV/PMMoV) showed no detection between the most recent two weeks and the two weeks prior to that. Turlock’s average increased ⬆️ by 100%.

HMPV

Modesto’s average HMPV concentrations (HMPV/PMMoV) showed no detection between the most recent two weeks and the two weeks prior to that. Turlock’s average increased ⬆️ by 100%.

Norovirus

Modesto’s average Norovirus concentrations (Norovirus/PMMoV) increased ⬆️ by 15% between the most recent two weeks and the two weeks prior to that. Turlock’s average increased ⬆️ by 65%.

Fig. Modesto

Fig. Turlock

Yolo County

SARS-CoV-2

Davis’ average SARS-CoV-2 concentrations (N/PMMoV) decreased ⬇️ by 26% between the most recent two weeks and the two weeks prior to that. Esparto’s average increased ⬆️ by 16%. Winters’ average decreased ⬇️ by 91%. Woodland’s average decreased ⬇️ by 59%.

Fig 1. Davis

Fig 2. Esparto

Fig 3. Winters

Fig 4. Woodland

Influenza A

Davis’ average Influenza A concentrations (Flu A/PMMoV) increased ⬆️ by 100% between the most recent two weeks and the two weeks prior to that. Esparto’s average showed no detection. Winters’ average showed no detection. Woodland’s average showed no detection.

Influenza B

Davis’ average Influenza B concentrations (Flu B/PMMoV) showed no detection between the most recent two weeks and the two weeks prior to that. Esparto’s average showed no detection. Winters’ average showed no detection. Woodland’s average showed no detection.

RSV

Davis’ average RSV concentrations (RSV/PMMoV) decreased ⬇️ by 29% between the most recent two weeks and the two weeks prior to that. Esparto’s average increased ⬆️ by 100%. Winters’ average showed no detection. Woodland’s average showed no detection.

HMPV

Davis’ HMPV concentrations (HMPV/PMMoV) showed no detection between the most recent two weeks and the two weeks prior to that. Esparto’s average showed no detection. Winters’ average showed no detection. Woodland’s average showed no detection.

Norovirus

Davis’ Norovirus concentrations (Norovirus/PMMoV) increased ⬆️ by 93% between the most recent two weeks and the two weeks prior to that. Esparto’s average increased ⬆️ by 112%. Winters’ average increased ⬆️ by 219%. Woodland’s average decreased ⬇️ by 51%.

Fig. Davis

Fig. Esparto

Fig. Winters

Fig. Woodland

All Counties

Mpox Update

There are no detections for samples taken at our plants from the last two weeks. https://healthycvtogether.org/monkeypox-data/