2023-09-22

other pages:
state value

1 Game Example

MLS state Probability & Value

Goal Kick strategy

States

Expanded state set: adding 2 bands of zones (R, Mid, L) in the middle of the field

Probability between states

Home Team:

When Home Team posesses the ball in state X, the probability of moving to the next state, and possessed by home OR away

Away Team:

When AWAY Team possesses the ball in state X, the probability of moving to the next state, and possessed by home OR away

Value

The home team scores a LOT more goals:

## 
## away home 
## 1150 1607

value: V1 - play until the next goal tmax = 48min

value: V2 - play until the next goal, tmax = 2 min & same period

value: V3 - play until the next goal, tmax = 5 min & same period