Our data shows that a team with 49 wins has never missed the
playoffs. What is the expected points difference for a team to make it
to the postseason? Use the lecture solution file and more specifically
the WingsReg model.
There would be a minimum point difference of 245.47 to guarantee a
spot for this team who has 49 wins.
Lets calculate this below using the model fit in class.
Our models equation from the in class activity can be written as
follows: W = 41 + 0.03259 x PD
# Now lets take our equation and plug in our this teams wins (49) so we can se what the expected points difference would be in ordr to make it to the post season.
PD = (49 - 41) / (0.03259)
PD = 245.4741
PD
[1] 245.4741
The expected points difference required for a team with 49 wins to
make it to the postseason is approximately 245.47 points. This means
that for a team to secure a spot in the playoffs with 49 wins, they
would need to maintain an average point difference of around 245.47
points per game over the course of the regular season.
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