Forecasting Football: 2015-08-28–2015-09-01
J. James Reade
28th August 2015
Introduction
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## as.Date, as.Date.numericThis is a collection of forecasts for this weekend’s matches. We use a statistical model estimated on a large dataset of historic football matches, and we compare these forecasts to bookmaker prices. This will be the second week of multi-national forecasts, but an absence of available hours in the day means I haven’t been able to properly evaluate forecasts from last week, nor develop further the forecast model to address the seemingly strong home bias in my forecasts.
English Premier League
French Ligue 1
German Bundesliga
Italian Serie A
Spain
Scottish Premier League
Home/Away Bankers
In last week’s file we set up two rules for determining home/away bankers. If a home win probability was 30% more than the away win probability, or if the away win probability was 20% more than the home probability, that should be backed. We now list the matches that satisfy these two criteria this week:
kable(forecast.matches[c(forecast.matches$Ph-forecast.matches$Pa)>0.3 | c(forecast.matches$Pa-forecast.matches$Ph)>0.2,c("team1","team2","division","date","Ph","Pa")])| team1 | team2 | division | date | Ph | Pa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | acad coimbra | sporting lisbon | Portuguese Liga | 2015-08-30 | 0.2214763 | 0.5220381 |
| 13 | asteras t. | panetolikos | Greek League | 2015-08-30 | 0.5798982 | 0.1837373 |
| 15 | atalanta | frosinone c | Italian Serie A | 2015-08-30 | 0.6551346 | 0.1405704 |
| 16 | augsburg | ingolstadt | German Bundesliga 1 | 2015-08-29 | 0.6460970 | 0.1454427 |
| 21 | barcelona | malaga | Spanish Primera Liga | 2015-08-29 | 0.6983234 | 0.1183446 |
| 23 | basel | fc zurich | Swiss Super League | 2015-08-30 | 0.6491254 | 0.1438011 |
| 24 | bate borisov | belshina | Belarus League | 2015-08-30 | 0.6192853 | 0.1603818 |
| 25 | b dortmund | hertha berlin | German Bundesliga 1 | 2015-08-30 | 0.6068389 | 0.1675742 |
| 27 | benfica | moreirense | Portuguese Liga | 2015-08-29 | 0.6931727 | 0.1209071 |
| 28 | berwick | arbroath | Scottish League Two | 2015-08-29 | 0.5367018 | 0.2114936 |
| 29 | blackburn | bolton | English Championship | 2015-08-28 | 0.5673060 | 0.1915853 |
| 30 | blackpool | walsall | English League One | 2015-08-29 | 0.2394652 | 0.4966850 |
| 31 | b munich | b leverkusen | German Bundesliga 1 | 2015-08-29 | 0.5367596 | 0.2114548 |
| 32 | bnei sakhnin | hapoel ra’ana | Israeli Ligat H | 2015-08-29 | 0.5619316 | 0.1949943 |
| 34 | bohemians d. | dundalk | League of Ireland | 2015-08-28 | 0.2492258 | 0.4834739 |
| 35 | bologna | sassuolo | Italian Serie A | 2015-08-29 | 0.2565528 | 0.4737963 |
| 36 | bordeaux | nantes | French Division 1 | 2015-08-30 | 0.5785429 | 0.1845727 |
| 40 | braga | boavista | Portuguese Liga | 2015-08-30 | 0.5591458 | 0.1967756 |
| 41 | brentford | reading | English Championship | 2015-08-29 | 0.5434214 | 0.2070174 |
| 47 | carpi | inter | Italian Serie A | 2015-08-30 | 0.2474885 | 0.4857984 |
| 49 | celtic | st johnstone | Scottish Premiership | 2015-08-29 | 0.6264234 | 0.1563319 |
| 50 | cfr cluj | botosani | Romanian Liga 1 | 2015-08-29 | 0.5438755 | 0.2067171 |
| 51 | chelsea | c palace | English Premier | 2015-08-29 | 0.5544790 | 0.1997818 |
| 57 | cork city | galway fc | League of Ireland | 2015-08-28 | 0.6886142 | 0.1231943 |
| 66 | din. moscow | fc ufa | Russian Premier | 2015-08-29 | 0.5517835 | 0.2015309 |
| 67 | dnipro | karpaty lvov | Ukrainian Premier | 2015-08-30 | 0.6271563 | 0.1559192 |
| 70 | dundalk | shamrock r | League of Ireland | 2015-09-01 | 0.5490870 | 0.2032901 |
| 72 | dunfermline | stranraer | Scottish League One | 2015-08-29 | 0.5230019 | 0.2208109 |
| 73 | dyn. zagreb | slaven | Croatian HNL | 2015-08-29 | 0.6636785 | 0.1360369 |
| 74 | eibar | ath bilbao | Spanish Primera Liga | 2015-08-30 | 0.2271740 | 0.5138623 |
| 75 | elgin city | stirling | Scottish League Two | 2015-08-29 | 0.5565569 | 0.1984399 |
| 77 | falkirk | dumbarton | Scottish Championship | 2015-08-28 | 0.5858527 | 0.1800925 |
| 81 | fenerbahce | antalyaspor | Turkish Super Lig | 2015-08-30 | 0.6333088 | 0.1524760 |
| 86 | gent | mechelen | Belgian Pro-League | 2015-08-29 | 0.6037553 | 0.1693824 |
| 95 | hibernian | raith | Scottish Championship | 2015-08-29 | 0.5418290 | 0.2080727 |
| 101 | ipswich | brighton | English Championship | 2015-08-29 | 0.5613124 | 0.1953894 |
| 108 | kuban k | cska mosc. | Russian Premier | 2015-08-30 | 0.2474283 | 0.4858791 |
| 111 | levski sofia | pirin | Bulgarian A-PFG | 2015-08-30 | 0.6726214 | 0.1313654 |
| 112 | leyton orient | bristol r | English League Two | 2015-08-29 | 0.5339617 | 0.2133364 |
| 113 | lille | gfc ajaccio | French Division 1 | 2015-08-29 | 0.6498786 | 0.1433943 |
| 115 | liverpool | west ham | English Premier | 2015-08-29 | 0.5994341 | 0.1719341 |
| 116 | lokeren | w beveren | Belgian Pro-League | 2015-08-30 | 0.5824181 | 0.1821897 |
| 119 | ludogorets | slavia sofia | Bulgarian A-PFG | 2015-08-28 | 0.5234512 | 0.2205012 |
| 123 | man city | watford | English Premier | 2015-08-29 | 0.6157698 | 0.1623963 |
| 126 | midtjylland | hobro ik | Danish SAS Ligaen | 2015-08-30 | 0.6524935 | 0.1419860 |
| 127 | milan | empoli | Italian Serie A | 2015-08-29 | 0.5551836 | 0.1993261 |
| 134 | motherwell | kilmarnock | Scottish Premiership | 2015-08-29 | 0.5403820 | 0.2090345 |
| 139 | newcastle | arsenal | English Premier | 2015-08-29 | 0.2536154 | 0.4776519 |
| 140 | newtown | haverfordwest | Welsh Premier | 2015-08-29 | 0.6791497 | 0.1280020 |
| 144 | nk maribor | krka | Slovenian League | 2015-08-29 | 0.5690336 | 0.1904971 |
| 153 | o. ljubljana | rudar velenje | Slovenian League | 2015-08-30 | 0.6156353 | 0.1624736 |
| 154 | oostende | waregem | Belgian Pro-League | 2015-08-29 | 0.5362781 | 0.2117779 |
| 155 | oxford | yeovil | English League Two | 2015-08-29 | 0.5443065 | 0.2064323 |
| 156 | pacos ferreira | arouca | Portuguese Liga | 2015-08-30 | 0.5505210 | 0.2023534 |
| 157 | panathinaikos | kalloni | Greek League | 2015-08-30 | 0.6361083 | 0.1509222 |
| 159 | panthrakikos k | veroia | Greek League | 2015-08-29 | 0.5540427 | 0.2000643 |
| 161 | partizan | ofk belgrade | Serbian Super Liga | 2015-08-29 | 0.6880677 | 0.1234697 |
| 166 | plymouth | newport co | English League Two | 2015-08-29 | 0.5523562 | 0.2011585 |
| 168 | porto | estoril | Portuguese Liga | 2015-08-29 | 0.6904880 | 0.1222519 |
| 172 | rapid vienna | mattersburg | Austrian Bundesliga | 2015-08-29 | 0.6953198 | 0.1198361 |
| 173 | real madrid | real betis | Spanish Primera Liga | 2015-08-29 | 0.7050738 | 0.1150208 |
| 176 | rijeka | osijek | Croatian HNL | 2015-08-30 | 0.6479780 | 0.1444221 |
| 179 | ross county | dundee utd | Scottish Premiership | 2015-08-29 | 0.5368909 | 0.2113668 |
| 183 | shakhtar | metalurg z. | Ukrainian Premier | 2015-08-28 | 0.6959977 | 0.1194988 |
| 189 | sligo rovers | shamrock r | League of Ireland | 2015-08-29 | 0.2552054 | 0.4755610 |
| 191 | sonderjyske | viborg | Danish SAS Ligaen | 2015-08-29 | 0.5492856 | 0.2031602 |
| 193 | spartak moscow | anzhi | Russian Premier | 2015-08-29 | 0.6000263 | 0.1715831 |
| 197 | st etienne | bastia | French Division 1 | 2015-08-30 | 0.5264076 | 0.2184703 |
| 200 | st patrick’s | derry city | League of Ireland | 2015-08-28 | 0.6492568 | 0.1437301 |
| 207 | the new saints | llandudno | Welsh Premier | 2015-08-28 | 0.6419593 | 0.1477004 |
| 212 | trabzonspor | akhisar b | Turkish Super Lig | 2015-08-30 | 0.5705322 | 0.1895562 |
| 218 | valencia | deportivo | Spanish Primera Liga | 2015-08-30 | 0.6343706 | 0.1518857 |
| 222 | volyn | olimpik donetsk | Ukrainian Premier | 2015-08-29 | 0.6176615 | 0.1613107 |
| 223 | waterford | wexford yth | League of Ireland Div 1 | 2015-08-28 | 0.2089947 | 0.5404419 |
| 228 | wolfsburg | schalke | German Bundesliga 1 | 2015-08-28 | 0.5969697 | 0.1733987 |
| 233 | zenit | kryliya sovetov | Russian Premier | 2015-08-29 | 0.6500255 | 0.1433150 |
My apologies for the un-sorted list, but the anticipated matches are in there: Chelsea, Man United, Barcelona, Real Madrid, and so on. Naturally I present the disclaimer that this strategy would have resulted in a positive payoff last week based on a much smaller sample.
We will see next week whether these picks were actually any good…
Conclusions
This is a tentative first foray into forecasting outside of England, and I hope to refine this, with bookmaker prices, and an evaluation of previous forecasts, in the coming weeks.
For transparency, all forecasts are also listed as a table:
kable(forecast.matches[order(forecast.matches$date,forecast.matches$division),
c("date","division","team1","team2","Ph","Pd","Pa")])| date | division | team1 | team2 | Ph | Pd | Pa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 2015-08-28 | Belarus League | dinamo minsk | fc minsk | 0.4621121 | 0.2722818 | 0.2656060 |
| 88 | 2015-08-28 | Belarus League | gomel | torpedo zh | 0.2923920 | 0.2783990 | 0.4292090 |
| 138 | 2015-08-28 | Belarus League | neman grodno | shakhtyor | 0.3191387 | 0.2822228 | 0.3986385 |
| 84 | 2015-08-28 | Belgian Pro-League | genk | charleroi | 0.4586762 | 0.2730113 | 0.2683125 |
| 119 | 2015-08-28 | Bulgarian A-PFG | ludogorets | slavia sofia | 0.5234512 | 0.2560475 | 0.2205012 |
| 146 | 2015-08-28 | Croatian HNL | nk zagreb | loko. zagreb | 0.4308703 | 0.2781381 | 0.2909916 |
| 2 | 2015-08-28 | Danish SAS Ligaen | aarhus | esbjerg | 0.3548749 | 0.2841640 | 0.3609611 |
| 29 | 2015-08-28 | English Championship | blackburn | bolton | 0.5673060 | 0.2411087 | 0.1915853 |
| 90 | 2015-08-28 | French Division 1 | guingamp | marseille | 0.3562679 | 0.2841721 | 0.3595600 |
| 228 | 2015-08-28 | German Bundesliga 1 | wolfsburg | schalke | 0.5969697 | 0.2296316 | 0.1733987 |
| 34 | 2015-08-28 | League of Ireland | bohemians d. | dundalk | 0.2492258 | 0.2673003 | 0.4834739 |
| 57 | 2015-08-28 | League of Ireland | cork city | galway fc | 0.6886142 | 0.1881915 | 0.1231943 |
| 69 | 2015-08-28 | League of Ireland | drogheda | limerick | 0.4600672 | 0.2727184 | 0.2672144 |
| 200 | 2015-08-28 | League of Ireland | st patrick’s | derry city | 0.6492568 | 0.2070131 | 0.1437301 |
| 44 | 2015-08-28 | League of Ireland Div 1 | cabinteely | finn harps | 0.2999214 | 0.2796957 | 0.4203829 |
| 185 | 2015-08-28 | League of Ireland Div 1 | shelbourne | ucd | 0.3441792 | 0.2839382 | 0.3718826 |
| 223 | 2015-08-28 | League of Ireland Div 1 | waterford | wexford yth | 0.2089947 | 0.2505634 | 0.5404419 |
| 61 | 2015-08-28 | Romanian Liga 1 | csms iasi | targu mures | 0.3383214 | 0.2836891 | 0.3779895 |
| 221 | 2015-08-28 | Romanian Liga 1 | voluntari | uni craiova | 0.3691989 | 0.2840201 | 0.3467810 |
| 181 | 2015-08-28 | Russian Premier | r. rostov | amkar perm | 0.4634787 | 0.2719861 | 0.2645352 |
| 216 | 2015-08-28 | Russian Premier | ural sver. oblast | terek grozny | 0.4112194 | 0.2808789 | 0.3079017 |
| 77 | 2015-08-28 | Scottish Championship | falkirk | dumbarton | 0.5858527 | 0.2340548 | 0.1800925 |
| 104 | 2015-08-28 | Serbian Super Liga | jagodina | borac cacak | 0.3467452 | 0.2840191 | 0.3692357 |
| 219 | 2015-08-28 | Spanish Primera Liga | villarreal | espanyol | 0.4757188 | 0.2691961 | 0.2550851 |
| 82 | 2015-08-28 | Turkish Super Lig | gaziantepspor | besiktas | 0.2724315 | 0.2740720 | 0.4534965 |
| 183 | 2015-08-28 | Ukrainian Premier | shakhtar | metalurg z. | 0.6959977 | 0.1845035 | 0.1194988 |
| 3 | 2015-08-28 | Welsh Premier | aberystwyth | rhyl | 0.5108460 | 0.2598534 | 0.2293005 |
| 207 | 2015-08-28 | Welsh Premier | the new saints | llandudno | 0.6419593 | 0.2103403 | 0.1477004 |
| 6 | 2015-08-29 | Austrian Bundesliga | admira wacker | aus. vienna | 0.4536783 | 0.2740356 | 0.2722861 |
| 172 | 2015-08-29 | Austrian Bundesliga | rapid vienna | mattersburg | 0.6953198 | 0.1848441 | 0.1198361 |
| 204 | 2015-08-29 | Austrian Bundesliga | sv grodig | ried | 0.4210499 | 0.2796031 | 0.2993470 |
| 64 | 2015-08-29 | Belarus League | dinamo brest | fc naftan | 0.3986690 | 0.2822199 | 0.3191110 |
| 79 | 2015-08-29 | Belarus League | fc slutsk | vitebsk | 0.4718537 | 0.2701042 | 0.2580421 |
| 188 | 2015-08-29 | Belarus League | slavia mozyr | granit mikashev | 0.3387919 | 0.2837124 | 0.3774957 |
| 86 | 2015-08-29 | Belgian Pro-League | gent | mechelen | 0.6037553 | 0.2268624 | 0.1693824 |
| 135 | 2015-08-29 | Belgian Pro-League | mouscron p | kortrijk | 0.3805557 | 0.2835587 | 0.3358856 |
| 151 | 2015-08-29 | Belgian Pro-League | o h leuven | st. truiden | 0.4760898 | 0.2691076 | 0.2548025 |
| 154 | 2015-08-29 | Belgian Pro-League | oostende | waregem | 0.5362781 | 0.2519440 | 0.2117779 |
| 37 | 2015-08-29 | Bulgarian A-PFG | botev plovdiv | cherno more | 0.3712796 | 0.2839581 | 0.3447623 |
| 114 | 2015-08-29 | Bulgarian A-PFG | litex | beroe stara | 0.4266081 | 0.2787969 | 0.2945951 |
| 73 | 2015-08-29 | Croatian HNL | dyn. zagreb | slaven | 0.6636785 | 0.2002847 | 0.1360369 |
| 145 | 2015-08-29 | Croatian HNL | nk split | nk istra 1961 | 0.4976792 | 0.2635792 | 0.2387417 |
| 191 | 2015-08-29 | Danish SAS Ligaen | sonderjyske | viborg | 0.5492856 | 0.2475542 | 0.2031602 |
| 41 | 2015-08-29 | English Championship | brentford | reading | 0.5434214 | 0.2495612 | 0.2070174 |
| 42 | 2015-08-29 | English Championship | bristol c | burnley | 0.4477335 | 0.2751964 | 0.2770702 |
| 63 | 2015-08-29 | English Championship | derby | leeds | 0.4849837 | 0.2669199 | 0.2480964 |
| 98 | 2015-08-29 | English Championship | huddersfield | qpr | 0.4261648 | 0.2788634 | 0.2949719 |
| 99 | 2015-08-29 | English Championship | hull | preston | 0.4293757 | 0.2783731 | 0.2922513 |
| 101 | 2015-08-29 | English Championship | ipswich | brighton | 0.5613124 | 0.2432982 | 0.1953894 |
| 129 | 2015-08-29 | English Championship | mk dons | birmingham | 0.4091053 | 0.2811277 | 0.3097670 |
| 148 | 2015-08-29 | English Championship | nottm forest | cardiff | 0.3397135 | 0.2837565 | 0.3765301 |
| 180 | 2015-08-29 | English Championship | rotherham | fulham | 0.4120733 | 0.2807758 | 0.3071509 |
| 184 | 2015-08-29 | English Championship | sheff wed | middlesbro | 0.3541533 | 0.2841579 | 0.3616888 |
| 229 | 2015-08-29 | English Championship | wolves | charlton | 0.4974376 | 0.2636451 | 0.2389173 |
| 30 | 2015-08-29 | English League One | blackpool | walsall | 0.2394652 | 0.2638498 | 0.4966850 |
| 39 | 2015-08-29 | English League One | bradford | port vale | 0.4352620 | 0.2774230 | 0.2873150 |
| 43 | 2015-08-29 | English League One | bury | oldham | 0.4323049 | 0.2779085 | 0.2897866 |
| 55 | 2015-08-29 | English League One | colchester | scunthorpe | 0.4140450 | 0.2805321 | 0.3054229 |
| 68 | 2015-08-29 | English League One | doncaster | fleetwood | 0.3504872 | 0.2841067 | 0.3654062 |
| 128 | 2015-08-29 | English League One | millwall | chesterfield | 0.3521031 | 0.2841334 | 0.3637634 |
| 162 | 2015-08-29 | English League One | peterborough | gillingham | 0.2817185 | 0.2762499 | 0.4420316 |
| 177 | 2015-08-29 | English League One | rochdale | barnsley | 0.3607737 | 0.2841654 | 0.3550610 |
| 186 | 2015-08-29 | English League One | shrewsbury | burton | 0.3062200 | 0.2806456 | 0.4131344 |
| 206 | 2015-08-29 | English League One | swindon | sheff utd | 0.4397708 | 0.2766511 | 0.2835781 |
| 226 | 2015-08-29 | English League One | wigan | crewe | 0.4590493 | 0.2729331 | 0.2680177 |
| 5 | 2015-08-29 | English League Two | accrington | northampton | 0.4321256 | 0.2779374 | 0.2899370 |
| 7 | 2015-08-29 | English League Two | afc w’bledon | exeter | 0.3455316 | 0.2839830 | 0.3704854 |
| 22 | 2015-08-29 | English League Two | barnet | cambridge u | 0.4160442 | 0.2802770 | 0.3036788 |
| 60 | 2015-08-29 | English League Two | crawley | wycombe | 0.2915979 | 0.2782518 | 0.4301503 |
| 62 | 2015-08-29 | English League Two | dag & red | stevenage | 0.3494867 | 0.2840867 | 0.3664265 |
| 92 | 2015-08-29 | English League Two | hartlepool | carlisle | 0.4911367 | 0.2653323 | 0.2435310 |
| 112 | 2015-08-29 | English League Two | leyton orient | bristol r | 0.5339617 | 0.2527019 | 0.2133364 |
| 121 | 2015-08-29 | English League Two | luton | portsmouth | 0.3182824 | 0.2821333 | 0.3995843 |
| 133 | 2015-08-29 | English League Two | morecambe | notts co | 0.4769131 | 0.2689105 | 0.2541763 |
| 155 | 2015-08-29 | English League Two | oxford | yeovil | 0.5443065 | 0.2492612 | 0.2064323 |
| 166 | 2015-08-29 | English League Two | plymouth | newport co | 0.5523562 | 0.2464853 | 0.2011585 |
| 231 | 2015-08-29 | English League Two | york | mansfield | 0.5020451 | 0.2623727 | 0.2355822 |
| 14 | 2015-08-29 | English Premier | aston villa | sunderland | 0.4493876 | 0.2748797 | 0.2757327 |
| 38 | 2015-08-29 | English Premier | bournemouth | leicester | 0.3887779 | 0.2830407 | 0.3281814 |
| 51 | 2015-08-29 | English Premier | chelsea | c palace | 0.5544790 | 0.2457392 | 0.1997818 |
| 115 | 2015-08-29 | English Premier | liverpool | west ham | 0.5994341 | 0.2286319 | 0.1719341 |
| 123 | 2015-08-29 | English Premier | man city | watford | 0.6157698 | 0.2218339 | 0.1623963 |
| 139 | 2015-08-29 | English Premier | newcastle | arsenal | 0.2536154 | 0.2687327 | 0.4776519 |
| 199 | 2015-08-29 | English Premier | stoke | west brom | 0.4792166 | 0.2683531 | 0.2524303 |
| 211 | 2015-08-29 | English Premier | tottenham | everton | 0.4849214 | 0.2669357 | 0.2481429 |
| 11 | 2015-08-29 | French Division 1 | angers | nice | 0.3962507 | 0.2824402 | 0.3213091 |
| 45 | 2015-08-29 | French Division 1 | caen | lyon | 0.3986922 | 0.2822178 | 0.3190900 |
| 113 | 2015-08-29 | French Division 1 | lille | gfc ajaccio | 0.6498786 | 0.2067271 | 0.1433943 |
| 174 | 2015-08-29 | French Division 1 | reims | lorient | 0.4739055 | 0.2696252 | 0.2564693 |
| 175 | 2015-08-29 | French Division 1 | rennes | toulouse | 0.4909007 | 0.2653943 | 0.2437051 |
| 213 | 2015-08-29 | French Division 1 | troyes | montpellier | 0.4526173 | 0.2742473 | 0.2731353 |
| 16 | 2015-08-29 | German Bundesliga 1 | augsburg | ingolstadt | 0.6460970 | 0.2084602 | 0.1454427 |
| 31 | 2015-08-29 | German Bundesliga 1 | b munich | b leverkusen | 0.5367596 | 0.2517856 | 0.2114548 |
| 56 | 2015-08-29 | German Bundesliga 1 | cologne | hamburg | 0.5182637 | 0.2576415 | 0.2240947 |
| 122 | 2015-08-29 | German Bundesliga 1 | mainz | hannover | 0.4902235 | 0.2655717 | 0.2442048 |
| 202 | 2015-08-29 | German Bundesliga 1 | stuttgart | e frankfurt | 0.4044712 | 0.2816408 | 0.3138879 |
| 203 | 2015-08-29 | German Bundesliga 1 | sv darmstadt | hoffenheim | 0.3673301 | 0.2840670 | 0.3486029 |
| 110 | 2015-08-29 | Greek League | levadiakos | olympiakos | 0.2750106 | 0.2747062 | 0.4502832 |
| 159 | 2015-08-29 | Greek League | panthrakikos k | veroia | 0.5540427 | 0.2458930 | 0.2000643 |
| 230 | 2015-08-29 | Greek League | xanthi | aek athens | 0.4613528 | 0.2724448 | 0.2662024 |
| 32 | 2015-08-29 | Israeli Ligat H | bnei sakhnin | hapoel ra’ana | 0.5619316 | 0.2430741 | 0.1949943 |
| 94 | 2015-08-29 | Israeli Ligat H | h. haifa | m. petah tikva | 0.3364628 | 0.2835910 | 0.3799462 |
| 96 | 2015-08-29 | Israeli Ligat H | h. kfar saba | m. haifa | 0.3238995 | 0.2826821 | 0.3934184 |
| 97 | 2015-08-29 | Israeli Ligat H | h tel aviv | ironi kiryat s | 0.3671030 | 0.2840722 | 0.3488248 |
| 35 | 2015-08-29 | Italian Serie A | bologna | sassuolo | 0.2565528 | 0.2696509 | 0.4737963 |
| 127 | 2015-08-29 | Italian Serie A | milan | empoli | 0.5551836 | 0.2454903 | 0.1993261 |
| 118 | 2015-08-29 | League of Ireland | longford t | bray | 0.3756415 | 0.2837951 | 0.3405634 |
| 189 | 2015-08-29 | League of Ireland | sligo rovers | shamrock r | 0.2552054 | 0.2692337 | 0.4755610 |
| 54 | 2015-08-29 | League of Ireland Div 1 | cobh | athlone town | 0.5095761 | 0.2602241 | 0.2301998 |
| 27 | 2015-08-29 | Portuguese Liga | benfica | moreirense | 0.6931727 | 0.1859202 | 0.1209071 |
| 168 | 2015-08-29 | Portuguese Liga | porto | estoril | 0.6904880 | 0.1872601 | 0.1222519 |
| 220 | 2015-08-29 | Portuguese Liga | vitoria setubal | rio ave | 0.3481084 | 0.2840551 | 0.3678365 |
| 50 | 2015-08-29 | Romanian Liga 1 | cfr cluj | botosani | 0.5438755 | 0.2494074 | 0.2067171 |
| 80 | 2015-08-29 | Romanian Liga 1 | fc timisoara | concordia c | 0.3640994 | 0.2841285 | 0.3517721 |
| 158 | 2015-08-29 | Romanian Liga 1 | pandurii | din. bucharest | 0.4245086 | 0.2791085 | 0.2963829 |
| 66 | 2015-08-29 | Russian Premier | din. moscow | fc ufa | 0.5517835 | 0.2466856 | 0.2015309 |
| 193 | 2015-08-29 | Russian Premier | spartak moscow | anzhi | 0.6000263 | 0.2283906 | 0.1715831 |
| 233 | 2015-08-29 | Russian Premier | zenit | kryliya sovetov | 0.6500255 | 0.2066595 | 0.1433150 |
| 10 | 2015-08-29 | Scottish Championship | alloa | morton | 0.2841775 | 0.2767780 | 0.4390445 |
| 95 | 2015-08-29 | Scottish Championship | hibernian | raith | 0.5418290 | 0.2500983 | 0.2080727 |
| 198 | 2015-08-29 | Scottish Championship | st mirren | livingston | 0.4278996 | 0.2786009 | 0.2934994 |
| 8 | 2015-08-29 | Scottish League One | airdrieonians | peterhead | 0.3931732 | 0.2827022 | 0.3241246 |
| 9 | 2015-08-29 | Scottish League One | albion | brechin | 0.4293852 | 0.2783716 | 0.2922432 |
| 17 | 2015-08-29 | Scottish League One | ayr | forfar | 0.2891173 | 0.2777790 | 0.4331037 |
| 72 | 2015-08-29 | Scottish League One | dunfermline | stranraer | 0.5230019 | 0.2561871 | 0.2208109 |
| 196 | 2015-08-29 | Scottish League One | stenh’semuir | cowdenbeath | 0.4667208 | 0.2712716 | 0.2620075 |
| 12 | 2015-08-29 | Scottish League Two | annan | montrose | 0.4882235 | 0.2660914 | 0.2456851 |
| 28 | 2015-08-29 | Scottish League Two | berwick | arbroath | 0.5367018 | 0.2518046 | 0.2114936 |
| 53 | 2015-08-29 | Scottish League Two | clyde | east stirling | 0.4352553 | 0.2774241 | 0.2873206 |
| 75 | 2015-08-29 | Scottish League Two | elgin city | stirling | 0.5565569 | 0.2450033 | 0.1984399 |
| 170 | 2015-08-29 | Scottish League Two | queen’s park | east fife | 0.4361162 | 0.2772797 | 0.2866041 |
| 49 | 2015-08-29 | Scottish Premiership | celtic | st johnstone | 0.6264234 | 0.2172446 | 0.1563319 |
| 71 | 2015-08-29 | Scottish Premiership | dundee | inverness ct | 0.3773699 | 0.2837183 | 0.3389118 |
| 91 | 2015-08-29 | Scottish Premiership | hamilton | hearts | 0.2939560 | 0.2786830 | 0.4273609 |
| 134 | 2015-08-29 | Scottish Premiership | motherwell | kilmarnock | 0.5403820 | 0.2505834 | 0.2090345 |
| 160 | 2015-08-29 | Scottish Premiership | partick | aberdeen | 0.2944241 | 0.2787665 | 0.4268094 |
| 179 | 2015-08-29 | Scottish Premiership | ross county | dundee utd | 0.5368909 | 0.2517423 | 0.2113668 |
| 105 | 2015-08-29 | Serbian Super Liga | javor | radnicki nis | 0.4067055 | 0.2813990 | 0.3118955 |
| 125 | 2015-08-29 | Serbian Super Liga | metalac | cukaricki | 0.3119833 | 0.2814099 | 0.4066068 |
| 130 | 2015-08-29 | Serbian Super Liga | mladost lucani | crvena zvezda | 0.2796116 | 0.2757814 | 0.4446070 |
| 149 | 2015-08-29 | Serbian Super Liga | novi pazar | rad | 0.4768906 | 0.2689159 | 0.2541935 |
| 161 | 2015-08-29 | Serbian Super Liga | partizan | ofk belgrade | 0.6880677 | 0.1884625 | 0.1234697 |
| 171 | 2015-08-29 | Serbian Super Liga | radnik surdulica | vozdovac | 0.3841878 | 0.2833486 | 0.3324636 |
| 194 | 2015-08-29 | Serbian Super Liga | sp subotica | vojvodina ns | 0.3013676 | 0.2799246 | 0.4187078 |
| 107 | 2015-08-29 | Slovenian League | koper | nd hit gorica | 0.3268085 | 0.2829313 | 0.3902602 |
| 141 | 2015-08-29 | Slovenian League | nk celje | domzale | 0.4058396 | 0.2814940 | 0.3126665 |
| 143 | 2015-08-29 | Slovenian League | nk krsko | nk zavrc | 0.4509722 | 0.2745718 | 0.2744560 |
| 144 | 2015-08-29 | Slovenian League | nk maribor | krka | 0.5690336 | 0.2404693 | 0.1904971 |
| 21 | 2015-08-29 | Spanish Primera Liga | barcelona | malaga | 0.6983234 | 0.1833320 | 0.1183446 |
| 48 | 2015-08-29 | Spanish Primera Liga | celta vigo | r. vallecano | 0.5143153 | 0.2588289 | 0.2268558 |
| 173 | 2015-08-29 | Spanish Primera Liga | real madrid | real betis | 0.7050738 | 0.1799054 | 0.1150208 |
| 190 | 2015-08-29 | Spanish Primera Liga | sociedad | sp. gijon | 0.4889426 | 0.2659053 | 0.2451521 |
| 120 | 2015-08-29 | Swiss Super League | lugano | lucerne | 0.3474874 | 0.2840393 | 0.3684733 |
| 217 | 2015-08-29 | Swiss Super League | vaduz | st gallen | 0.3617163 | 0.2841576 | 0.3541260 |
| 83 | 2015-08-29 | Turkish Super Lig | genclerbirligi | kasimpasa | 0.3895681 | 0.2829830 | 0.3274489 |
| 103 | 2015-08-29 | Turkish Super Lig | istanbul buyuk. | bursaspor | 0.4698702 | 0.2705606 | 0.2595692 |
| 106 | 2015-08-29 | Turkish Super Lig | konyaspor | galatasaray | 0.3431761 | 0.2839019 | 0.3729219 |
| 124 | 2015-08-29 | Turkish Super Lig | mersin | kayserispor | 0.5187617 | 0.2574902 | 0.2237481 |
| 167 | 2015-08-29 | Ukrainian Premier | poltava | metalist | 0.5112158 | 0.2597451 | 0.2290391 |
| 222 | 2015-08-29 | Ukrainian Premier | volyn | olimpik donetsk | 0.6176615 | 0.2210278 | 0.1613107 |
| 232 | 2015-08-29 | Ukrainian Premier | zakarpatty | stal dniprodzerzhynsk | 0.4372515 | 0.2770871 | 0.2856614 |
| 20 | 2015-08-29 | Welsh Premier | bangor city | pt talbot | 0.4408002 | 0.2764696 | 0.2827302 |
| 46 | 2015-08-29 | Welsh Premier | carmarthen | connah’s q | 0.3498271 | 0.2840938 | 0.3660791 |
| 140 | 2015-08-29 | Welsh Premier | newtown | haverfordwest | 0.6791497 | 0.1928483 | 0.1280020 |
| 201 | 2015-08-30 | Austrian Bundesliga | sturm graz | rb salzburg | 0.3919276 | 0.2828025 | 0.3252700 |
| 227 | 2015-08-30 | Austrian Bundesliga | wolfsberger | altach | 0.3929070 | 0.2827239 | 0.3243691 |
| 24 | 2015-08-30 | Belarus League | bate borisov | belshina | 0.6192853 | 0.2203329 | 0.1603818 |
| 78 | 2015-08-30 | Belgian Pro-League | fc bruges | standard liege | 0.5012616 | 0.2625913 | 0.2361471 |
| 116 | 2015-08-30 | Belgian Pro-League | lokeren | w beveren | 0.5824181 | 0.2353922 | 0.1821897 |
| 225 | 2015-08-30 | Belgian Pro-League | westerlo | anderlecht | 0.2707572 | 0.2736479 | 0.4555949 |
| 111 | 2015-08-30 | Bulgarian A-PFG | levski sofia | pirin | 0.6726214 | 0.1960132 | 0.1313654 |
| 164 | 2015-08-30 | Bulgarian A-PFG | pfc montana | loko. plovdiv | 0.4213698 | 0.2795583 | 0.2990719 |
| 142 | 2015-08-30 | Croatian HNL | nk inter | hajduk split | 0.4296085 | 0.2783367 | 0.2920548 |
| 176 | 2015-08-30 | Croatian HNL | rijeka | osijek | 0.6479780 | 0.2075999 | 0.1444221 |
| 1 | 2015-08-30 | Danish SAS Ligaen | aalborg | randers freja | 0.4769630 | 0.2688985 | 0.2541384 |
| 126 | 2015-08-30 | Danish SAS Ligaen | midtjylland | hobro ik | 0.6524935 | 0.2055205 | 0.1419860 |
| 147 | 2015-08-30 | Danish SAS Ligaen | nordsjaelland | brondby | 0.3776398 | 0.2837057 | 0.3386546 |
| 150 | 2015-08-30 | Danish SAS Ligaen | ob odense | fc copenhagen | 0.2770704 | 0.2751964 | 0.4477332 |
| 192 | 2015-08-30 | English Premier | southampton | norwich | 0.4111690 | 0.2808849 | 0.3079460 |
| 205 | 2015-08-30 | English Premier | swansea | man utd | 0.3767300 | 0.2837475 | 0.3395224 |
| 36 | 2015-08-30 | French Division 1 | bordeaux | nantes | 0.5785429 | 0.2368844 | 0.1845727 |
| 132 | 2015-08-30 | French Division 1 | monaco | paris st g. | 0.3399434 | 0.2837671 | 0.3762895 |
| 197 | 2015-08-30 | French Division 1 | st etienne | bastia | 0.5264076 | 0.2551221 | 0.2184703 |
| 25 | 2015-08-30 | German Bundesliga 1 | b dortmund | hertha berlin | 0.6068389 | 0.2255869 | 0.1675742 |
| 224 | 2015-08-30 | German Bundesliga 1 | w bremen | mgladbach | 0.3197540 | 0.2822858 | 0.3979602 |
| 13 | 2015-08-30 | Greek League | asteras t. | panetolikos | 0.5798982 | 0.2363646 | 0.1837373 |
| 100 | 2015-08-30 | Greek League | ioannina | paok salonika | 0.4622068 | 0.2722614 | 0.2655317 |
| 102 | 2015-08-30 | Greek League | iraklis salonika | panionios | 0.4321858 | 0.2779277 | 0.2898865 |
| 157 | 2015-08-30 | Greek League | panathinaikos | kalloni | 0.6361083 | 0.2129696 | 0.1509222 |
| 93 | 2015-08-30 | Israeli Ligat H | h. beer sheva | m. tel aviv | 0.3839531 | 0.2833631 | 0.3326838 |
| 131 | 2015-08-30 | Israeli Ligat H | m. netanya | beitar j’salem | 0.3220414 | 0.2825105 | 0.3954481 |
| 15 | 2015-08-30 | Italian Serie A | atalanta | frosinone c | 0.6551346 | 0.2042950 | 0.1405704 |
| 47 | 2015-08-30 | Italian Serie A | carpi | inter | 0.2474885 | 0.2667131 | 0.4857984 |
| 52 | 2015-08-30 | Italian Serie A | chievo | lazio | 0.2824047 | 0.2763993 | 0.4411960 |
| 85 | 2015-08-30 | Italian Serie A | genoa | verona | 0.4450577 | 0.2756981 | 0.2792442 |
| 137 | 2015-08-30 | Italian Serie A | napoli | sampdoria | 0.4577400 | 0.2732065 | 0.2690536 |
| 178 | 2015-08-30 | Italian Serie A | roma | juventus | 0.2973088 | 0.2792659 | 0.4234253 |
| 210 | 2015-08-30 | Italian Serie A | torino | fiorentina | 0.3433769 | 0.2839094 | 0.3727137 |
| 214 | 2015-08-30 | Italian Serie A | udinese | palermo | 0.3616709 | 0.2841581 | 0.3541710 |
| 4 | 2015-08-30 | Portuguese Liga | acad coimbra | sporting lisbon | 0.2214763 | 0.2564856 | 0.5220381 |
| 40 | 2015-08-30 | Portuguese Liga | braga | boavista | 0.5591458 | 0.2440786 | 0.1967756 |
| 156 | 2015-08-30 | Portuguese Liga | pacos ferreira | arouca | 0.5505210 | 0.2471256 | 0.2023534 |
| 209 | 2015-08-30 | Portuguese Liga | tondela | nacional | 0.3081996 | 0.2809193 | 0.4108811 |
| 163 | 2015-08-30 | Romanian Liga 1 | petrolul ploiesti | astra giurgiu | 0.3157617 | 0.2818577 | 0.4023806 |
| 195 | 2015-08-30 | Romanian Liga 1 | steaua | viitorul c | 0.4484518 | 0.2750595 | 0.2764888 |
| 108 | 2015-08-30 | Russian Premier | kuban k | cska mosc. | 0.2474283 | 0.2666926 | 0.4858791 |
| 117 | 2015-08-30 | Russian Premier | lok. moscow | fk krasnodar | 0.3773701 | 0.2837183 | 0.3389116 |
| 136 | 2015-08-30 | Russian Premier | m saransk | rubin | 0.4660592 | 0.2714189 | 0.2625219 |
| 169 | 2015-08-30 | Scottish Championship | queen of sth | rangers | 0.3459811 | 0.2839968 | 0.3700221 |
| 153 | 2015-08-30 | Slovenian League | o. ljubljana | rudar velenje | 0.6156353 | 0.2218911 | 0.1624736 |
| 74 | 2015-08-30 | Spanish Primera Liga | eibar | ath bilbao | 0.2271740 | 0.2589637 | 0.5138623 |
| 87 | 2015-08-30 | Spanish Primera Liga | getafe | granada | 0.3753441 | 0.2838076 | 0.3408483 |
| 109 | 2015-08-30 | Spanish Primera Liga | las palmas | levante | 0.3608986 | 0.2841645 | 0.3549369 |
| 182 | 2015-08-30 | Spanish Primera Liga | seville | atl madrid | 0.4203203 | 0.2797044 | 0.2999753 |
| 218 | 2015-08-30 | Spanish Primera Liga | valencia | deportivo | 0.6343706 | 0.2137437 | 0.1518857 |
| 23 | 2015-08-30 | Swiss Super League | basel | fc zurich | 0.6491254 | 0.2070734 | 0.1438011 |
| 89 | 2015-08-30 | Swiss Super League | grasshoppers | young boys | 0.4648095 | 0.2716950 | 0.2634955 |
| 208 | 2015-08-30 | Swiss Super League | thun | fc sion | 0.3926605 | 0.2827439 | 0.3245956 |
| 76 | 2015-08-30 | Turkish Super Lig | eskisehirspor | rizespor | 0.4056308 | 0.2815166 | 0.3128526 |
| 81 | 2015-08-30 | Turkish Super Lig | fenerbahce | antalyaspor | 0.6333088 | 0.2142152 | 0.1524760 |
| 187 | 2015-08-30 | Turkish Super Lig | sivasspor | 1299 osmanlispor | 0.4539568 | 0.2739796 | 0.2720635 |
| 212 | 2015-08-30 | Turkish Super Lig | trabzonspor | akhisar b | 0.5705322 | 0.2399117 | 0.1895562 |
| 67 | 2015-08-30 | Ukrainian Premier | dnipro | karpaty lvov | 0.6271563 | 0.2169245 | 0.1559192 |
| 152 | 2015-08-30 | Ukrainian Premier | oleksandria | ch. odessa | 0.4390451 | 0.2767779 | 0.2841770 |
| 234 | 2015-08-30 | Ukrainian Premier | zorya | dynamo kiev | 0.3044241 | 0.2803871 | 0.4151888 |
| 59 | 2015-08-31 | English League One | coventry | southend | 0.4779421 | 0.2686626 | 0.2533953 |
| 165 | 2015-08-31 | Greek League | platanias | atromitos | 0.3564579 | 0.2841728 | 0.3593693 |
| 33 | 2015-08-31 | Israeli Ligat H | bnei yehuda | hapoel acre | 0.4110099 | 0.2809039 | 0.3080861 |
| 58 | 2015-08-31 | League of Ireland | cork city | st patrick’s | 0.4581735 | 0.2731163 | 0.2687102 |
| 26 | 2015-08-31 | Portuguese Liga | belenenses | maritimo | 0.4711632 | 0.2702638 | 0.2585730 |
| 215 | 2015-08-31 | Portuguese Liga | uniao da madeira | v guimaraes | 0.3332110 | 0.2833972 | 0.3833918 |
| 19 | 2015-08-31 | Welsh Premier | bala town | airbus uk | 0.4122480 | 0.2807545 | 0.3069975 |
| 70 | 2015-09-01 | League of Ireland | dundalk | shamrock r | 0.5490870 | 0.2476229 | 0.2032901 |
| 18 | 2015-09-01 | Scottish League One | ayr | stenh’semuir | 0.4336304 | 0.2776929 | 0.2886767 |