‘Just How Unaffordable is Australian Housing Anyway?’

An Examination of the Last 50 Years.

Synopsis

We have all heard about the calamity that is the modern housing market.

With so many Millennials abandoning their dreams of owning a house, and the youth of Generation Z not even willing to broach the topic, I thought it would be nice to reflect on the history of the Australian housing market. More specifically, how it has developed over the last 50 years.

So let us, in light of the recent, rampant rate hikes by the RBA, examine Aussie housing data.

1973 Woolworths Catalogue
[Image Caption: Drake Shying Away from a Pricey House]

Average House Price Over the Last 50 years (Raw)

[Source: ABS Census & Macquarie University]

Inflation (Just Look at Those Prices!)

1973 Woolworths Catalogue
[Image Caption: 1973 Woolworths Catalogue]

Average House Price Over the Last 50 years (Inflation-Adjusted).

[Source: ABS Census & Macquarie University]

A Hypothetical Situation

Time Machine
[Image Caption: Time Machine]

Number of 1973 Houses Affordable at the Price of a 2021 House.

Population and House Price Overtime (Inflation Adjusted)

[Source: ABS Census & Macquarie University]

Conclusion

This concludes our visual examination of the history of Australian house prices.

While this presentation validates the housing concerns held by Millennials and Generation Z, it also offers a lifeline by emphasising the importance of population.

As demonstrated in the previous slide, population is the key reason for the massive hikes in house prices seen in major cities like Sydney and Melbourne. Although, the less populated cities did not share this pattern as strongly.

To this end, it is reasonable to deduce that remote, sparsely populated locations will have more affordable housing.

However, it is key to balance the quality of the location with the dwelling. For example, housing in Melbourne and Sydney are popular because the locations themselves are a hotbed for job opportunities and amenities.

Purchasing a remote property would forfeit these benefits.

Ultimately, with each passing year, the difficulty to afford a house continues to grow and now, with the recent rate hikes by the RBA, the next batch of ABS census data past 2023, will likely spell a gloomy future for the housing market.

References

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