DC_Notes

function (expr) 
{
    enexpr(expr)
}
<bytecode: 0x12d03d7a0>
<environment: namespace:rlang>

Adjusting the emissions data to match the accountinng measures we can start comparing country production and consumption emissions and how they relate to GDP and population growth for different countries.

In The year 2018 we find that in terms of production these countries rank the highest in terms of production emissions.

# A tibble: 57 × 4
    year country       prod_emissions prod_lulu
   <dbl> <chr>                  <dbl>     <dbl>
 1  2018 China                 15546.    13770.
 2  2018 United States          6715.     6500.
 3  2018 India                  4070.     3841.
 4  2018 Japan                  1555.     1477.
 5  2018 Brazil                 1357.     1551.
 6  2018 Germany                1255.     1171.
 7  2018 Indonesia              1166.     1816.
 8  2018 Canada                 1041.     1058.
 9  2018 Mexico                  970.      877.
10  2018 Saudi Arabia            788.      810.
# … with 47 more rows

However if we discount land use and forestry regulation the raking is a little different

# A tibble: 57 × 4
    year country       prod_emissions prod_lulu
   <dbl> <chr>                  <dbl>     <dbl>
 1  2018 China                 15546.    13770.
 2  2018 United States          6715.     6500.
 3  2018 India                  4070.     3841.
 4  2018 Indonesia              1166.     1816.
 5  2018 Brazil                 1357.     1551.
 6  2018 Japan                  1555.     1477.
 7  2018 Germany                1255.     1171.
 8  2018 Canada                 1041.     1058.
 9  2018 Mexico                  970.      877.
10  2018 Saudi Arabia            788.      810.
# … with 47 more rows

The same happens to global consumption emissions.

# A tibble: 57 × 3
   country       cons_lulu cons_emissions
   <chr>             <dbl>          <dbl>
 1 China            10919.         12695.
 2 United States     6654.          6870.
 3 India             3256.          3485.
 4 Japan             1333.          1411.
 5 Brazil            1462.          1268.
 6 Indonesia         1717.          1067.
 7 Germany            904.           988.
 8 Mexico             676.           770.
 9 Saudi Arabia       742.           720.
10 Canada             735.           718.
# … with 47 more rows

A similar group of countries appear at the top however the order varies depending on the metric used

# A tibble: 57 × 3
   country       cons_lulu cons_emissions
   <chr>             <dbl>          <dbl>
 1 China            10919.         12695.
 2 United States     6654.          6870.
 3 India             3256.          3485.
 4 Indonesia         1717.          1067.
 5 Brazil            1462.          1268.
 6 Japan             1333.          1411.
 7 Germany            904.           988.
 8 Saudi Arabia       742.           720.
 9 Canada             735.           718.
10 Mexico             676.           770.
# … with 47 more rows

Now looking at the effects of GDP and population growth we can see that the following countries have a higher percentage increase for each percent increase in population. The following values come from the beta coefficients calculated from the historical performance data of select countries from 1995 to 2018.

# A tibble: 57 × 2
# Groups:   country [57]
   country      CurrentGDP
   <chr>             <dbl>
 1 Latvia            1.06 
 2 Vietnam           0.762
 3 Cambodia          0.678
 4 Morocco           0.599
 5 Singapore         0.546
 6 Saudi Arabia      0.507
 7 India             0.498
 8 Tunisia           0.488
 9 Slovenia          0.474
10 Thailand          0.439
# … with 47 more rows

And these are the countries that show a higher percent decrease for each percentage of GDP growth.

# A tibble: 57 × 2
# Groups:   country [57]
   country        CurrentGDP
   <chr>               <dbl>
 1 Sweden            -0.518 
 2 United Kingdom    -0.313 
 3 Finland           -0.291 
 4 Costa Rica        -0.213 
 5 France            -0.191 
 6 Romania           -0.161 
 7 Brazil            -0.157 
 8 Belgium           -0.152 
 9 Cyprus            -0.0938
10 Croatia           -0.0721
# … with 47 more rows

Looking at emissions now we can see that the countries below rank the highest in terms in percent increase per percent population growth.

# A tibble: 57 × 2
# Groups:   country [57]
   country    pop
   <chr>    <dbl>
 1 Slovenia 12.8 
 2 Vietnam   9.27
 3 China     9.23
 4 Greece    7.36
 5 Poland    5.51
 6 Hungary   4.28
 7 Cambodia  3.83
 8 Thailand  3.00
 9 Morocco   2.96
10 India     2.95
# … with 47 more rows

And lastly we can see these countries that have a negative correlation between percent emissions per percent GDP growth.

# A tibble: 57 × 2
# Groups:   country [57]
   country           pop
   <chr>           <dbl>
 1 Latvia         -8.89 
 2 Finland        -7.93 
 3 Denmark        -7.82 
 4 Singapore      -6.71 
 5 Sweden         -3.69 
 6 Italy          -3.48 
 7 United Kingdom -2.73 
 8 Netherlands    -2.53 
 9 Chile          -1.04 
10 Brazil         -0.978
# … with 47 more rows