Data_Analysis_6

Author

Aumuller

PCAF Emissions - Key Metrics

There are four main calculations in PCAF’s Sovereign Debt Metrics for Financed Emissions:

  1. Consumption Emissions

    = Scope 1 + 2 + 3 Emissions - Exported Emissions

  2. Attributed Emissions

    = [Exposure to Sovereign Bond (USD) / PPP-adjusted GDP (International USD)] * Sovereign Emissions (tCO2e)

  3. Financed Emissions

    = Sigma (S) Attributed factor (s) * Sovereign Emissions (s) … (s = sovereign borrower)

  4. Attribution Factor

    = Sigma (S) Outstanding amount (s) / PPP-adjusted GDP (s) * sovereign emissions (s) … (s = sovereign borrower)

The main data points gathered for analysis are:

  • Sovereign Emissions (both CO2 and total GHG emissions as tCO2e)

  • GDP-PPP

  • Exposure to Sovereign Bonds

Loading Libraries for Analysis & Country Code Fx

Packages below are to help “tidy” the data within the tidyverse packages as well as incorporate geospatial data identifiers like iso3c country codes for joining different data tables. Additionally a country code function has been added to facilitate faster transformations of country level data.

Gathering Sovereign Emissions

A key metric in calculating attributed emissions, financed emissions, and attribution factor in PCAF’s Sovereign Debt metrics are Sovereign Emissions. To calculate these, data was gathered from PCAF’s suggested Scope 1 data sources like Climate Watch for CO2 emissions by country. It was joined with additional data from the EU’s EDGAR database and OECD’s Emissions in International Trade database to compare CO2 and total GHG emissions (CO2 equivalent) using ____ as a unique identifier. Additional emissions are listed on the UNFCCC’s page for select countries but have not been included at this time.

Loading in Climate Watch CO2 Emissions

Loading in the CO2 Emissions from Climate watch requires a few modifications for analysis. The data is first in wide format and needs to have data gathered by Country and Year so that the longitudinal data can be more easily analyzed and explored. Using the gather function we can transpose the year columns into a single column by country and add a new column “co2_em” for CO2 emissions. Next, we need to add iso3c country codes to allow for joining of multiple country wide data set using the mutate function. This new transformation will be stored in a new table called sov_debt which is what will be used for our final file. Finally, lets reorganize the columns so that the data table is easier to read with all the country data on the left and new columns can be added to the right.

# A tibble: 5,626 × 7
   country       iso3c country_name  flag                   unit    year co2_em 
   <chr>         <chr> <chr>         <chr>                  <chr>  <dbl> <chr>  
 1 China         CHN   China         "\U0001f1e8\U0001f1f3" MtCO2e  1990 2891.73
 2 United States USA   United States "\U0001f1fa\U0001f1f8" MtCO2e  1990 5417.32
 3 India         IND   India         "\U0001f1ee\U0001f1f3" MtCO2e  1990 1002.56
 4 Indonesia     IDN   Indonesia     "\U0001f1ee\U0001f1e9" MtCO2e  1990 1226.82
 5 Russia        RUS   Russia        "\U0001f1f7\U0001f1fa" MtCO2e  1990 2648.36
 6 Brazil        BRA   Brazil        "\U0001f1e7\U0001f1f7" MtCO2e  1990 1638.68
 7 Japan         JPN   Japan         "\U0001f1ef\U0001f1f5" MtCO2e  1990 1106.26
 8 Iran          IRN   Iran          "\U0001f1ee\U0001f1f7" MtCO2e  1990 304.22 
 9 Canada        CAN   Canada        "\U0001f1e8\U0001f1e6" MtCO2e  1990 606.91 
10 Saudi Arabia  SAU   Saudi Arabia  "\U0001f1f8\U0001f1e6" MtCO2e  1990 241.01 
# … with 5,616 more rows

Adding total GHG EDGAR Emissions

In addition to CO2 emissions, the PCAF taxonomy metrics are inclusive of additional greenhouse gases (GHGs). To add these, we will need to load in the data set, add iso3 codes and join the data to the sov_debt file. Once we’ve added the data and iso3 codes like in the script above, we can now use a left table join to add these new years and country GHGs to the data set

# A tibble: 18,512 × 6
   country                iso3c country_name      flag              year     co2
   <chr>                  <chr> <chr>             <chr>            <dbl>   <dbl>
 1 International Aviation <NA>  <NA>               <NA>             1970 1.72e+2
 2 International Shipping <NA>  <NA>               <NA>             1970 3.76e+2
 3 Afghanistan            AFG   Afghanistan       "\U0001f1e6\U00…  1970 1.71e+1
 4 Albania                ALB   Albania           "\U0001f1e6\U00…  1970 8.12e+0
 5 Algeria                DZA   Algeria           "\U0001f1e9\U00…  1970 5.51e+1
 6 Angola                 AGO   Angola            "\U0001f1e6\U00…  1970 1.98e+1
 7 Anguilla               AIA   Anguilla          "\U0001f1e6\U00…  1970 4.67e-3
 8 Antigua and Barbuda    ATG   Antigua & Barbuda "\U0001f1e6\U00…  1970 3.86e-1
 9 Argentina              ARG   Argentina         "\U0001f1e6\U00…  1970 2.24e+2
10 Armenia                ARM   Armenia           "\U0001f1e6\U00…  1970 1.36e+1
# … with 18,502 more rows

Now joining tables together using left_join() -

# A tibble: 5,626 × 8
   country       iso3c country_name  flag               unit   year co2_em   co2
   <chr>         <chr> <chr>         <chr>              <chr> <dbl> <chr>  <dbl>
 1 China         CHN   China         "\U0001f1e8\U0001… MtCO…  1990 2891.… 4018.
 2 United States USA   United States "\U0001f1fa\U0001… MtCO…  1990 5417.… 6199.
 3 India         IND   India         "\U0001f1ee\U0001… MtCO…  1990 1002.… 1421.
 4 Indonesia     IDN   Indonesia     "\U0001f1ee\U0001… MtCO…  1990 1226.…  422.
 5 Russia        RUS   Russia        "\U0001f1f7\U0001… MtCO…  1990 2648.… 3090.
 6 Brazil        BRA   Brazil        "\U0001f1e7\U0001… MtCO…  1990 1638.…  702.
 7 Japan         JPN   Japan         "\U0001f1ef\U0001… MtCO…  1990 1106.… 1316.
 8 Iran          IRN   Iran          "\U0001f1ee\U0001… MtCO…  1990 304.22  328.
 9 Canada        CAN   Canada        "\U0001f1e8\U0001… MtCO…  1990 606.91  582.
10 Saudi Arabia  SAU   Saudi Arabia  "\U0001f1f8\U0001… MtCO…  1990 241.01  235.
# … with 5,616 more rows

Adding Exports/Imports from OECD

OECD data set is in wide, Excel format and needs to be tidied so it can be analyzed for Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions.

# A tibble: 2,064 × 7
   code    country                year country_ghg_all iso3c country_name flag  
   <chr>   <chr>                 <dbl>           <dbl> <chr> <chr>        <chr> 
 1 Country <NA>                   1995            NA   <NA>  <NA>          <NA> 
 2 WLD     World                  1995         21367.  <NA>  <NA>          <NA> 
 3 OECD    OECD member countries  1995         13016.  <NA>  <NA>          <NA> 
 4 AUS     Australia              1995           278   AUS   Australia    "\U00…
 5 AUT     Austria                1995            85.1 AUT   Austria      "\U00…
 6 BEL     Belgium                1995           130.  BEL   Belgium      "\U00…
 7 CAN     Canada                 1995           409.  CAN   Canada       "\U00…
 8 CHL     Chile                  1995            39.9 CHL   Chile        "\U00…
 9 COL     Colombia               1995            65.5 COL   Colombia     "\U00…
10 CRI     Costa Rica             1995             8.1 CRI   Costa Rica   "\U00…
# … with 2,054 more rows
# A tibble: 5,626 × 10
   country       iso3c country_name flag  unit   year co2_em   co2 code  count…¹
   <chr>         <chr> <chr>        <chr> <chr> <dbl> <chr>  <dbl> <chr>   <dbl>
 1 China         CHN   China        "\U0… MtCO…  1990 2891.… 4018. <NA>       NA
 2 United States USA   United Stat… "\U0… MtCO…  1990 5417.… 6199. <NA>       NA
 3 India         IND   India        "\U0… MtCO…  1990 1002.… 1421. <NA>       NA
 4 Indonesia     IDN   Indonesia    "\U0… MtCO…  1990 1226.…  422. <NA>       NA
 5 Russia        RUS   Russia       "\U0… MtCO…  1990 2648.… 3090. <NA>       NA
 6 Brazil        BRA   Brazil       "\U0… MtCO…  1990 1638.…  702. <NA>       NA
 7 Japan         JPN   Japan        "\U0… MtCO…  1990 1106.… 1316. <NA>       NA
 8 Iran          IRN   Iran         "\U0… MtCO…  1990 304.22  328. <NA>       NA
 9 Canada        CAN   Canada       "\U0… MtCO…  1990 606.91  582. <NA>       NA
10 Saudi Arabia  SAU   Saudi Arabia "\U0… MtCO…  1990 241.01  235. <NA>       NA
# … with 5,616 more rows, and abbreviated variable name ¹​country_ghg_all

Creating Scope Emissions

WB Data

Show the code
## Join in relevant WB data

scope_1_2_3_wbnominal<-scope_1_2_3 |> 
  inner_join(wb_gdp_nominal_clean)
Show the code
sov_debt_1_2_3_allgdp<-scope_1_2_3_wbnominal |> 
  inner_join(wb_gdp_ppp_clean)
Show the code
sov_debt<-sov_debt_1_2_3_allgdp |> 
  inner_join(wb_population_clean)

Create .CSV File of Data

Show the code
write_csv(sov_debt, here("week_7", "sov_debt.csv"))

Limitations

  • Metadata could have been attached, formatted, saved more thoroughly

  • Calculations could have been added for imputed columns

  • To preserve data integrity, additional column(s) could be added that clarifies the source & metadata