Big Picture Recap

Salaries are Up, Employment Per Capita is Down

Budgets

Shares of Budgets

Crime and Fires

Tax Rates

Massachussetts

California

Texas

Regressions

Percent Change, Above/Below Avg 2000 Crime Levels

regression term est se p_val
Police Salaries
pct_change_police_salaries vs pct_change_hpi *above_avg_crime_in_2000 pct_change_hpi 0.114 0.032 0.000
pct_change_police_salaries vs pct_change_hpi *above_avg_crime_in_2000 above_avg_crime_in_2000 -0.067 0.037 0.073
pct_change_police_salaries vs pct_change_hpi *above_avg_crime_in_2000 pct_change_hpi:above_avg_crime_in_2000 0.095 0.058 0.101
Police Employment per Capita
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs pct_change_hpi *above_avg_crime_in_2000 pct_change_hpi -0.035 0.039 0.374
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs pct_change_hpi *above_avg_crime_in_2000 above_avg_crime_in_2000 0.002 0.045 0.956
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs pct_change_hpi *above_avg_crime_in_2000 pct_change_hpi:above_avg_crime_in_2000 -0.057 0.070 0.415
Police Share of Budget
pp_change_police_budget_share vs pct_change_hpi *above_avg_crime_in_2000 pct_change_hpi -0.007 0.007 0.336
pp_change_police_budget_share vs pct_change_hpi *above_avg_crime_in_2000 above_avg_crime_in_2000 0.021 0.008 0.011
pp_change_police_budget_share vs pct_change_hpi *above_avg_crime_in_2000 pct_change_hpi:above_avg_crime_in_2000 -0.021 0.013 0.102

Panel, Yearly Log Crime Levels (No FE, Not Clustered, Robust SE)

regression term est se p_val
Police Salaries
police_salaries vs hpi_2000_base *total_crime_pc hpi_2000_base 10.071 3.127 0.001
police_salaries vs hpi_2000_base *total_crime_pc total_crime_pc -18957.763 8023.187 0.018
police_salaries vs hpi_2000_base *total_crime_pc hpi_2000_base:total_crime_pc 76.725 71.045 0.280
Police Employment per Capita
police_employment_pc vs hpi_2000_base *total_crime_pc hpi_2000_base 0.000 0.000 0.520
police_employment_pc vs hpi_2000_base *total_crime_pc total_crime_pc 0.023 0.009 0.008
police_employment_pc vs hpi_2000_base *total_crime_pc hpi_2000_base:total_crime_pc 0.000 0.000 0.850
Police Share of Budget
police_pct_budget vs hpi_2000_base *total_crime_pc hpi_2000_base 0.000 0.000 0.266
police_pct_budget vs hpi_2000_base *total_crime_pc total_crime_pc 0.554 0.294 0.060
police_pct_budget vs hpi_2000_base *total_crime_pc hpi_2000_base:total_crime_pc -0.003 0.002 0.241

Panel, Yearly Log Crime Levels (City FE, City Clustered Robust SE)

regression term est se p_val
Police Salaries
police_salaries vs hpi_2000_base *total_crime_pc hpi_2000_base 10.125 2.183 0.000
police_salaries vs hpi_2000_base *total_crime_pc total_crime_pc -3541.155 4997.534 0.481
police_salaries vs hpi_2000_base *total_crime_pc hpi_2000_base:total_crime_pc 0.964 43.225 0.982
Police Employment per Capita
police_employment_pc vs hpi_2000_base *total_crime_pc hpi_2000_base 0.000 0.000 0.807
police_employment_pc vs hpi_2000_base *total_crime_pc total_crime_pc 0.013 0.004 0.001
police_employment_pc vs hpi_2000_base *total_crime_pc hpi_2000_base:total_crime_pc 0.000 0.000 0.160
Police Share of Budget
police_pct_budget vs hpi_2000_base *total_crime_pc hpi_2000_base 0.000 0.000 0.000
police_pct_budget vs hpi_2000_base *total_crime_pc total_crime_pc 0.388 0.240 0.110
police_pct_budget vs hpi_2000_base *total_crime_pc hpi_2000_base:total_crime_pc -0.001 0.002 0.681