# Assumptions
N <- 100
x <- 2
#P(X>=2 | N = 100, pi =.05)
sum(dbinom(x = 2:100, size = 100, prob = .05))
## [1] 0.9629188
pbinom(q = 1, size = 100, prob = .05, lower.tail=F)
## [1] 0.9629188
1 - pbinom(q = 1, size = 100, prob = .05, lower.tail=TRUE)
## [1] 0.9629188
#MOdel as Possion
# size=100, prob=0.04
#X <= 1 death
lambda = N * pi
lambda
## [1] 314.1593
sum(dpois(x = 2:100, lambda= .5) )
## [1] 0.09020401
ppois(q = 1, lambda = .5, lower.tail=F)
## [1] 0.09020401