Bayesian Statistic

Welcome everyone!

Discussion

Discussion

Probability is just calculus for counting

Discussion

The frequentist approach requires that all probabilities be defined by connection to the frequencies of events in very large samples

Discussion

From the perspective of our [statistical] golem, the coin toss is ‘random’, but it’s really the golem that is random, not the coin

Discussion

Do animals/humans reason in a Bayesian way?

Lecture 2 - First Part

Lecture 2 - First Part

Post-lecture check-in and discussion

Cards

Divided into couples we are going to play a Bayesian card game

Next time

Next time

  • Read up to section 2.3. (2.0, 2.1, 2.2)
  • Exercise: 2E4